tv Ali Velshi on Target Al Jazeera March 2, 2016 9:00pm-9:31pm EST
"ali velshi on target" is next. >> i'm ali velshi. "on target" tonight the real deal. you can't deny that donald trump looks like the republican nominee for the white house. like it or not. get real, republican party, one day after his super tuesday victories there is no denying that donald trump is now real deal and yet the republican party establishment and a confused news media are still in denial over trump's dominance at
the polls. with the momentum he now has trump is poised to win the gop nomination for be president. >> we've gone from x number to a much larger number. that hasn't happened to the republican party in many, many decades. >> trump has won ten out of the 15 primary contests the republican party has had so far. he's won in the suburban snort. he has won in the rural south. he's won over wealthy voters and those in the working class. he's got evangelicals voting for him and he has agnostics. trump is riding on such broad support that he now talks of a quote new coalition to underpin the republican party. but trump is not a sure thing yet. ted cruz has four states under his belt. including the delegate rich home state of texas.
while marco rubio fast becoming the establishment favorite can finally claim at least one victory in minnesota. meanwhile on the democratic side hillary clinton now has a comfortable lead against her rival bernie sanders after sweeping the south on super tuesday, clinton has won ten state contest to date, sanders 5. she still needs more to clinch her party's nomination but a clinton victory looks more likely by the day. and the angst that is causing republicans is undenia undeniab. but time is running out for antitrump camp in the gop. it is clear now that trump is the real deal. joining me on the state of the republican party, our al jazeera political comont michae owner ct
michael shure and gina zano, and joe is now a senior vice president at elected face a social media site that's devoted to politics. let's take a look at where we stand now. jeannie i'm going to start with you. it seems like everybody is willing, what is about to happen not to happen. there is this denial in the republican establishment,. >> he won a commanding lead, seven states, we've got a quote unquote trump coalition starting, like no other coalition we have seen recently in the republican party. so this is a momentous moment for him. the question is can they stop
him? and if you look at it it's really, really unlikely. >> right. >> there are a couple of pathways and they are an uphill battle by any stretch of the imagination. the irony as you mentioned the hopes are on ted cruz who would have thought the establishment. >> i'm going to keep michael shure waiting in miami. i'm get to him but i want to get to joe watkins. joe, donald trump said last night the media are being nice are to me, respect the fact that i won. he's talking about this coalition, he calls himself the unifier. listen to him. >> look i'm a unifier, i know people are a little bit hard to believe but believe me i'm unifier. >> he used that many times. he was implying something to do about a reagan-like coalition, attracting the likes of reagan democrats, the fact had people are coming out in record
numbers, everybody wants him to be the new reagan. is this it? >> i don't know that anybody else will ever be like president ronald reagan bit clearly donald trump has got people excited. look at the long lines of people waiting to vote, never anything like this before. a lot of this is uncomfortable about establishment republicans, these are people that perhaps have not voted with republicans in the past. they are angry for the most part, that is the one common denominator. about the lack of movement in government, angry about terror, about illegal immigration and they're angry about the economy and donald trump has been telling them what he is going to do to fix it. he's knot a politician, not an inside guy, an outside guy. he says guess what, i can do what politicians can't do. and his statement is resonating.
both establishment and nonestablishment republicans are going to have to throarn live with donallearn to livewith don. >> i was at a place where he invoked jfk and ronald reagan. you can't do it if marco rubio stays in the race. you were in a sad little room in miami when the rubio celebration, what happened to that campaign? >> ironically ali i was at the ronald reagan equestrian center. a rally for rubio family. invoking fdr and ronald reagan, whrea was doing was setting a little bit of distinction with the words of even democrats and, then went to morning in america, what happened to the rubio campaign is that it never really happened. so even though marco rubio stood
before his supporters in miami last night and said we got this thing, i will be the president i will be the nominee before that and we're all going to come back to florida, there were a lot in that crowd that were incredulous and a lot that just believed. what joe said, with donald trump's supporters and you and i have been on the road and seen them as well, you see people who are not just angry, you see people who are involved for the first time who are actually having funnel. out of supporting this guy and that is also part of the danger the democrats are wary of that they are trying to do that as well. rubio has got list work cut out for him. it's got to be here and that will be his last stand, ali. >> jeannie zano, main street republicans, somewhat conservatively, generally fiscally conservative, they have always seen the conservatives as a side helping. now donald trump is causing a problem for mainstream
republicans, if you are a typical mainstream conservative you don't have issues with abortion, you are finding yourself between a rock and hard place. you're likely option is a social conservative. >> absolutely. it's really ironic. part of the blame has to fall on the republican party itself. this is a trend that is a london time in coming. you go back to the tea party, donald trump is part of that frustrated outsider and the party didn't listen. they have had a speaker overthrown essentially moved out and yet the party hasn't responded and they have come to this too late and now they are facing donald trump. so you're right. if you are a conservative you have two not really good choices there in donald trump and in ted cruz. and you know i would say that while donald trump is expanding the interest and expanding the base if you will in the
republican party, unfortunately for republicans he is not diversifying it. so while he can win a primary it is still highly unlikely that he plays, if you look at his hispanic and latino trouble. at 80%, african americans and women and young people. you can't win with those kinds of numbers. he is going to have to move fast to try to address that and i'm not so certain can he do that. >> joe when people say to me, is this real, can he really become president, speaking to what jeannie just said, there is an invisible coalition, a lot of people in this country who aren't alarmed because they think that the horse has left the barn and abortion rights, gay rights are coming and states rights are eroding them, they are not as motivated to support the nondonald trump person. could you see blacks and hispanics and women and all
sorts of people coming out in numbers you haven't seen before just to make certain that donald trump doesn't become president? >> that becomes the challenge for donald trump if he is the republican nominee as he is poised to become. he has got to win over hispanics, he's got to win over african americans, and women, in large numbers. i think he can bring in some of the same independent democrats who are not happy with the way things are going with their economic situation. but at the same time he's got to work really hard to walk back some of the comments that he made earlier. the trick is to work hard to reach out to these groups to make sure they are going to be part of his coalition, his growing coalition as he talks about because he is going to need those numbers to be better than they are in order to be viable in the fall especially against hillary clinton. hillary clinton will bring out african american and latino voters, and women in big
numbers. >> let me ask you this, jeannie was talking about this is a long time coming. after the last republican convention, the republicans sat down and said they don't want to see this happening again, they want to make incremental moves high were african americans and hispanics and gay community they could find people who were more supportive of them and their fiscally conservative policies. how did this back slide happen? >> remember, they had that important session but they've taken baby steps so far. i mean baby steps. they've paid some moves to grow the coalition to grow the tent but the tent isn't nearly as large as it needs to be ali for the party to be viable for a national election. you got to include the lgbt community, you got include it in a major way african americans and women and latinos and they can't be on the periphery, they have got to be people who are really a full partner in that
coalition. people with substantive positions and positions that don't just cater to minorities or to their own group. so that's the challenge for republicans going forward. that's the distance that needs to be traveled in order for the republican party to be a majority party in coming national elections. >> michael last night, at marel lago in miami beach, donald trump didn't have a crowd of people behind him, he had chris christie. take a look at chris christie face during donald trump's victory speech. >> that hasn't happened to the republican party in many, many decades. ♪ ♪ >> that is just not a place chris christie wants to be. it is a very unusual role for
him to be standing off to the side and behind someone, to not be sucking most of the oxygen out of the air, i say that with no disrespect to the governor, he thought he was going to be that guy. he was supposed to be the guy that said everything that came to mind and all of a sudden another guy who says everything that comes to mind is there. what is chris christie up to? >> i don't know. the whole time i kept looking at that image thinking that he now has resigned himself to be over the right shoulder when president trump gives the first state of the union address. it is up to chris christie that says i'm going to be the pioneer, the bravest the boldest the first to endorse who will be our eventually nominee, the man who will be our nominee. that has to be part of the calculus for chris christie. he is a man that usually dominates the room and he was not dominating. we are accustomed to seeing him
in another way and whether we see him that way it puts us off a little bit. literally and figuratively. >> joe thank you very much for joining us, and for your support in the coverage for super tuesday. there is an antiestablishment candidate in the race, we'll look at bernie sanders and hillary clinton.
>> hillary clinton's seven victories on super tuesday gave her enough delegates to almost reach the halfway point of locking up the democratic nomination, that's if you include her so-called superdelegates party insiders and officials who can support her or bernie sanders. i want to talk about how big a blow sanders suffered last night against hillary clinton. i'm joined by jeannie zano, a
professor ever political science at ione college. and michael shure. let me start with you jeannie is there any scenario in which hillary clinton is not the democratic nominee in your mind? >> not at all. unless there is some catastrophic event that happens, she can just not fail owin. going forward the math just totally works against him. if they had a winner take all system like the republicans are going to have starting now essentially. >> right. >> he might have a shot picking up big states. that's not going to happen in the democratic states. >> peter fenn, she last got a gadfly that pulls her, he gets those 27, 35 dollar donation.
has no reason not to stay in this race and on the other side he has got donald trump who very effectively denigrates, by saying there's a lawsuit, or whatever, donald trump is put in the minds that something catastrophic might happen to hillary clinton. >> i guess he has to did that because catastrophic things seem to be ready to happen to him with lawsuits and looking into his past activities but look jeannie's right, the point now is that you're moving into some of these big states, a lot of them have very large minority populations. i did analysis of the 22 states that are in yesterday's and up to the 15th of march, and 15 of them have minority populations in excess of 20%, five of them have minority populations over 50%. you know she is winning these states, especially the larker ones by 2 to 1, 3 to 1 as she
did in south carolina. she is getting the delegates to come in. so he's got to win in michigan. he's got to win in florida. he's got to win in missouri, he's got to win in illinois and i don't see that happening. i sigh first of all she's going to do very well in those states. she might lose a few but he can't do it with small caucus states. nebraska doesn't make it. >> right. let me bring michael shure in from miami. michael on february 10th peter fenn published a piece in u.s. news and world report where he advises hillary clinton whom he's supporting of going against the party of extreme right wing. who marco rubio who were covering last night or ted cruz don't become the nominee is that argument as useful against donald trump as it is a real right wing candidate? >> it probably isn't, i would
never challenge the wisdom of peter fenn ever ever ever, if you look at the wisdom of donald trump, i don't think we're there yet, it's not necessarily the far right that you have to go against consistently. i do think you have to be wary of it. there are people who think ted cruz is more dangerous to the republican brand than donald trump is, a lot of people will distance themselves very easily from donald trump. if ted cruz a junior senator from an important state like texas is the nominee it's very difficult to distance frurs that kinyourselffrom that kind of a . hillary clinton is going to try unite the same way as donald trump is trying to a as well. >> forget the polls and the polls are national and they don't matter in the few states that one has to win like ohio
like virginia like florida. who does hillary clinton want to go up against? >> i think she'll take them all on but clearly i think donald trump because of his history and it isn't i agree with that there it isn't so much ideology with trump but anyone who is antiimmigrant who is antigay who is antiabortion antiwomen's rights, he's got his own series of problems. i tell you in all honesty i think the toughest candidate for the democrats is probably john kasich. i think there you've got a guy who has a serious record both in the congress and as governor who, you know, he may have some strong conservative positions but he comes across as somebody who can deal with other people. you know which i'm afraid. >> and john -- that is exactly the problem. jeannie you heard donald trump
talk, almost like he was trying to force the issue of not cutting funding to planned parenthood. he talked about the millions of women he's going to be good to women and women's health care. he doesn't want to scrap it he wants to fix it, scra not scrapr look for something better. that's not what he be real estate want to hear. >> this is a challenge for her. on the one hand i agree with peter, they do feel there is a sense that if donald trump is the nominee it is going to bring out the african american hispanic latino female vote and she will be the beneficiary of that. as we have seen throughout this campaign rung against the donald trump is not easy. he is not an ort orthodox he be republican or an o orthodox
politician. least going to have to go head to head and talk about the substance of the issue. that's where hillary clinton will have the win. if he's challenged on many of these position he whether it's foreign policy or domestic policy quite frankly when you look at where she stands her positions are more plan with a larger percentage of americans and she's at least now more substantive on these issues. i think that's what she needs to do and he hasn't been challenged like that. but would i say i would be cautious about going up against him because you never know what he is going to throw at you and it could be a very ugly campaign. i worry if she does win she could enter the white house as a battered politician. that's not a good position to be from. >> peter fenn, the president ever fenn communications group, al jazeera political correspondent michael shure, and
al jazeera america. >> the 2016 race for president has certainly captivated america couple no advise, given high stakes for those who call the united states home. but there's a global fascination as well, with allies alike. around the world, starting with aal jazeera's adrian brown in beijing. >> china's state controlled media appears to be even handed in its coverage, not favoring one candidate over the other. but political commentators and be donald trump is portrayed as
a clown and extremist, a symptom of the disgust and i distrust of the u.s. political system. bernie sanders on the other hand is getting pretty favorable coverage. one political analyst i spoke to says his candidacy fits in with the government's narrative of the united states being beset with the problems of racial and economic inequality. and then there's hillary clinton. if you go to social media sites she is perceived as being a china-backer even though her husband remains very popular here, she is also seen as someone riding on the coat tails of president barack obama. so to sum up most chinese are adopting a wait and see attitude mixed in with criticism of the u.s. political system. >> most people here in iraq don't really care about the u.s. elections. they have their own problems here. specifically it comes to security, electricity shortages and getting paid on time. but the u.s. elections are very
important to the political blogs here. the be shia, the sunni and the curds. the shia are very suspicious with the americans, any combat troops on the ground here constitute an enemy and they will need to be fought. the sunnis however have a very good relationship with the u.s. and they remember when the u.s. helped them fight al qaeda in iraq and they want to get back to that strong relationship. the kurds have a good relationship with the u.s. but they are slightly suspicious. they would like the u.s. to help them become much more independent from bagz than they already are. because of that three pronged approached, thei politicians are giving them approaches, their politics never changes. >> there was a poll recently taken, which way of politics did
they prefer? it was western democracy that was least popular. add to that the current russian tv diet of the syrian affair, they are not particularly avid watchers of the u.s. political cycle. only clinton and trump are well-known. clinton as her spell of secretary of state and before that first lady. trump bass he's the most high profile candidate. he seems to be the most appealing candidate for the kremlin, brilliant and talented without a doubt putin said late last year. trump said he would get along with putin just fine and has given hinl an a for leadership. there's a prospect. be putin in the kremlin, trump in the white house, a very different relationship with implications of course for much of the world.
>> that's rory challands in russia. thank you for joining us. the news continues here on al jazeera america. . >> thanks for joining us on "america tonight", i'm melissa chan. we looked at crime and punishment with an eye to the victims, there are hidden victims, those that the justice system didn't intend to punish, but who suffered anyway. consider that a third of the people in prison are women, and most of them are mothers.