one woman has died — and several people injured — after four accidents on the aao near witney in oxfordshire. a search is still under way off the kent coast for two missing crew members of a fishing boat which capsized last night. public health england warns of a ‘middle age health crisis‘ with 80% of those aged a0 to 60 overweight, inactive or drinking too much. nhs hospitals have made more money than ever from parking charges and fines. figures from 89 health trusts across england suggest £120 million was raised parking fees last year — that's up five per cent on the year before. and fans and friends pay tribute to the star wars actress carrie fisher, who has died at the age of 60.
i will be looking back on a year which will shape the world economy for yea rs which will shape the world economy for years to come. and the billionaire is this man donald trump winds the race for the white house. was told tok and no action? that is all to come on business live review. —— was at all talk and no action? good morning and welcome to bbc news. a woman has died and a man is seriously injured in a series of crashes on the aao in oxfordshire a further ten to fifteen people with minor injuries have been treated a further ten
to fifteen people with minor injuries have been treated by emergency services at the scene. there are apparently 20 vehicles involved in around four crashes in this devastating accident and a woman has died. she was apparently driving. the a40 has been closed in both directions. these crashes happened over half a mile on the a40 near witney. eyewitnesses say there was heavy fog at the time and one script is really dangerous and said you could not see any other car and to the top of it. —— until you were on top of it. two crew members are still missing after a fishing vessel capsized off the kent coast last night.
one person was rescued from the upturned hull early this morning after being spotted by a passing boat and has been airlifted to hospital. two lifeboats are currently searching off north foreland. middle—aged people are putting themselves at risk of serious health problems unless they take action to change their lifestyles, according to health officials. public health england says 80% of a0 to 60 year olds are overweight, drinking too much and not getting enough exercise. it says modern life is putting middle aged people at a greater risk of developing diseases like type 2 diabetes. here's our health correspondent robert pigott. lee parker is running for his life. aged 41 and weighing 22 stone, he was told by his seven—year—old son that he loved him even though he was fat. it was the nudge lee needed. since august, when he changed his diet and began to exercise, he has lost 5 stone.
it was a case of, with us, should we just order a pizza tonight because we have food in but we could not be bothered cooking it. so i think you just become a bit lazy and a bit drowned out with the daily grind of routine. there are many people in lee's position. almost 80% of women aged 40—60 are either overweight, obese, physically inactive or drinking more than official guidelines. among men, almost 90% fall into the same category. among the potentially devastating outcomes of this accumulation of health risks is diabetes. it has doubled in this age group in the last 20 years and already costs the nhs in england an estimated £14 billion per year. we are ageing as a population but too many of us are ageing with a number of chronic diseases. the reason why we are seeing these increases in chronic diseases, such as cancer, stroke and heart disease, is in a large part because of behaviours which are adopted during our 40— to 60—year—old age period. for example, still smoking, or not getting enough physical activity, or perhaps drinking
too much alcohol. the big impact, of course, is that this is going to put a huge burden on health services. to get the message across, in march, public health england launched a health quiz as part of its one you campaign. it says more than a million people have now taken the quiz and now have a route map to change their lives. robert pigott, bbc news penny henderson took the online health quiz on the public health england website and and says the results helped her turn her life around — she explained how she first came across the quiz. i didn't think i had a problem, and i think these things creep up on you slowly, but i did realise when my e—mail popped up with a link to a quiz, and i decided not to delete the e—mail but to take the quiz, and i realised when i didn't give true answers and lied to myself, and i realised the end, i thought, if you are lying to yourself then you've got a problem.
just rewind a bit, you said this came up in an e—mail to you, so how did you become aware of the quiz? i had originally registered for one you. what is that? it is health, it is through the nhs, and i saw the website and it said if you want to register and get more information about health, so ijust put my e—mail down and occasionally got the odd e—mail with some health advice. was that because you were feeling unhealthy or someone had said something to you or you were just aware things were... why did you do that? i don't know, it was curiosity, i think. i thought, i'll register and see what advice comes. i don't need to listen to it, i don't have a problem, i'lljust see what happens. i think it was just that point where i had got the quiz and i'd lied to myself. that is... something needs to change, i need to do something now. so what were you not being honest about? alcohol, the amount i was drinking.
i wasn't drinking a lot, but when i was coming home from work and feeling tired, i thought, the only answer is a glass of wine and put my feet up, you know. i would automatically start getting into that habit of reaching for a glass of wine. i think when you add it up at the end of the week and you are truthful about it, it really does add up. you must have heard health messages like this before and i wonder what it was about this quiz that made a difference. well, i never thought it referred to me, because i didn't think i had a problem. i didn't really have a problem, it was just a gradual creeping up of the amount i was drinking and the amount of exercise i was doing declining. everything happens very slowly and, before you know it, you know, you don't really think there is anything wrong and these health messages don't, you know, apply to you. but i think when i realised it did and i had to do something, that was where the quiz came in. nhs hospitals have made
more money than ever from parking charges and fines. figures from 89 health trusts across england suggest £120 million was raised parking fees last year — that's up five per cent on the year before. patient groups have criticised rising parking charges and the department of health said it expects trusts to put concessions in place for disabled people, carers and shift workers. campaigners for an early brexit have written to business organisations across europe asking them to support a free trade agreement with the european union after the uk stops being a member. the campaign group, ‘leave means leave‘, wants a trade deal with no taxes on goods travelling to and from the continent. the government says it‘s working to secure the best possible deal. earlier i spoke tojohn longworth, one of the co—chairs of the campaign group.
he explained to me what it is the group wants. it is this people such as myself talking to business people on the continent in order to put pressure on politicians to be sensible and go for a free trade. it is very important for the european union and the eurozone that are not performing well economically and have massive unemployment rates that they are actually able to continue to trade with the uk which is one of their biggest export markets. what response we had? the letter has only recently been issued and be expecting responses the new year. what sort of expenses are you expecting? from discussions we've had some business committees in european member states we have a lot of sympathy, particularly amongst businesses owned by individuals or private and medium—size businesses and so on. let‘s remember the next
year that will actually be general elections in the netherlands and in france and in germany so it is a very good time for business people to make their voices heard in those countries that laci politicians, let‘s be sensible about this lets free trade. —— and let politicians. plans to issue new building permits for israeli homes in east jerusalem have been cancelled by the jerusalem municipality. hundreds of new homes were planned to for construction in areas that were captured by israel and annexed to the city in the 1960s. israel is still angry over the resolution approved by the united nations security council, demanding an end to settlement activity in the occupied west bank and eastjerusalem. earlier our middle east correspondent, yollande knell, who is in jerusalem, explained the significance of the decision. this was expected to be the first approval of new settlement homes in the un security council resolution calling for a complete halt to israeli settlement activity,
saying this was necessary in order to salvage the two state solution. what we heard from thejerusalem local council committee for planning and construction is that it was now postponing the vote for what was expected to be the authorisation of nearly 500 homes in two settlements in the north—east and east of jerusalem. this is land that the palestinian want for future promised state. this is land that the palestinian want for future promised state. particularly angry about some
of the language condemning east jerusalem and construction in the statement that came out. originally, the head of it was very defined and said that there would be an acceleration of plans for new settlements, but then we heard from one committee member that there was late intervention by the israeli prime ministers office in which the prime minister indicated he did not want to strain relations with the 0bama administration further, because the us did not use its veto power as it customarily does at the un security council to prevent this resolution going through last friday, and also because later in the day, we expect a major speech by the us secretary of state, john kerry, in which he says he will lay out a comprehensive vision for ending the israel palestinian friday, and also because later in the day, we expect a major speech by the us secretary of state, john kerry, in which he says he will lay out a comprehensive vision for ending the israel palestinian the us secretary of state, john kerry, in which he says he will lay out a comprehensive vision for ending the israel palestinian conflict.
harrison ford has led tributes to carrie fisher, who has died at the age of 60, calling her "one of a kind". harrison ford has led tributes to carrie fisher, who has died at the age of 60, calling her "one of a kind". the hollywood actress, best known for her role as princess laia in star wars, had been in hospital since suffering a heart attack on a flight from london to los angeles last friday. 0ur entertainment correspondent lizo mzimba looks back at her life. clever and confident... what the hell are you doing?! somebody has to save our skins. ..0ccasionally caustic... will somebody get this big walking carpet out of my way? carrie fisher‘s leia wasn‘t your typical princess waiting to be rescued. good luck. what appealed to me was that george lucas, who wrote it and directed it, didn‘t want a damsel in distress, didn‘t want your stereotypical princess, you know. the galactic princess grew up hollywood royalty, the daughter of ‘50s movie legend debbie reynolds. throughout her acting career she battled drug addiction and mental illness. writing about it was a form of therapy for her. people used to ask me, you know, right after i got sober, initially they'd say, so, are you happy now? i would say, among other things, happy is one of the many things,
the many emotions i will go through in a day. i love you. an instantly recognisable face after star wars, from time to time there were appearances in other films, like when harry met sally. her mother has led tributes, saying... per star wars co—star mark hamill tweeted. .. her star wars co—star mark hamill tweeted. .. harrison ford said in a statement... george lucas said... asi
as i got to know her i realised what afun as i got to know her i realised what a fun person she was to be around. 0n initially meeting carrie, i didn‘t see carrie fisher the actress but i saw princess leia before me. that was initially how i met her but i got to know what a kind and fun person she was to be around. in 2015 she reprised to her role as princess leia in star wars: the force awakens, and that‘s how millions will remember her. i was in awe, when i first met carrie fisher as princess leia, and i have such fond memories of the whole experience but carrie does feature very prominently in those memories. what was she like to work with? she guided me through that particular scene, she was brilliant, she guided me through that scene. i had never acted prior to working on the film, and she had had a lot
of experience at that point, she really helped me through the process and was very relaxed, was always very thoughtful, if ever i looked a bit hot, she would grab some chocolate milk and cookies from craft service, and have them standing by in case i needed revising. thoughtful, kind lady, fun person to be around, the life and soul of the set, really, kept spirits high, through long hours and long days. really wonderful. can you give us a sense of what it was like onset, you were involved with return of thejedi, third film in the series, presumably people knew each other pretty well by then, she was right at the heart of it all, was she? yes, i worked on the third star wars film, return of thejedi, initially, star wars was huge by that stage, a worldwide phenomenon. carrie was a big star but she never behaved in that way, there was no ego with her, she did
not swan around like a big star. she was carrie. it is amazing to be able to keep your feet on the ground in spite of that notoriety, and it is something she even did, even to the last time i met her, in this pastjuly, when i interviewed her for star wars celebration, in london. again, a very down—to—earth person, speaking frankly about her time on star wars, and the character she played, and had a lot of fun. a real thirst for life and enjoying herself, which was infectious. how comfortable was she with the fact that people really associated her with that particular role? she seemed to have embraced it, it is one of those things that you either embrace those iconic characters that you might have played or not. carrie chose to embrace princess leia, there was a
lot of carrie in that character, feisty, gutsy, very much her own persona. and personality. that helped her to embrace that, she was loved by millions of fans all over the world and enjoyed that, which is wonderful to see. one woman has died — and several people injured — after four accidents on the aao near witney in oxfordshire. a search is still under way off the kent coast for two missing crew members of a fishing boat which capsized last night. public health england warns of a ‘middle age health crisis‘ with 80% of those aged a0 to 60 overweight, inactive or drinking too much. sport now, and for a full round up,
from the bbc sport centre, reports in russia this morning suggest that the country‘s anti doping body rusada claim quotes from its acting director general about doping were distorted. in interviews with the new york times, it had seemed that for the first time, russian officials had admitted the existence of a doping operation which affected some of the world‘s major competitions. there were quotes which appeared to acknowledge the programme while denying it was state—sponsored. the acting director general of russia‘s anti doping agency was quoted as saying it was an "international conspiracy". swansea city are on the hunt for a new manager with alan pardew, nigel pearson and ryan giggs all names being linked with the job after bob bradley was sacked last night. the club is now looking
for theirfourth manager of 2016 — with giggs, amongst the early favourites to help turn around the fortunes of the premier league‘s second bottom side. russian officials have admitted for the first time, the existence of a doping operation which affected some of the world‘s we understand that he is interviewed at the time that bradley was interviewed by not chosen but we understand swansea are still keen on ryan giggs. the other candidates are wales manager chris coleman and former leicester boss nigel pearson and the ex—birmingham manager. ryan giggs is the early favourite. liverpool have closed the gap on leaders chelsea to six points after a 4—1win over stoke at anfield. they came from behind as well afterjon walters put the visitors ahead adam lallana, roberto firmino and daniel sturridge all scored for liverpool. sturridge‘s goal was the side‘s 100th league goal under managerjurgen klopp. for the manager, the important thing now is keeping his players energised for the coming fixtures. we need love especially daniel. it
is another game and hopefully they will all stay healthy and fit and then two days later that is another game ina then two days later that is another game in a few days later another game in a few days later another game so they have enough opportunities for everybody who is fit so hopefully the overall fit. the fifa president gianni infantino says the world‘s football federations are "overwhelmingly in favour" of plans for a 48—team world cup. earlier this month, the head of the sport's governing body outlined his vision for an expanded tournament comprising of 16 groups of three teams. the top two in each group would progress to the knockout stages. a decision is expected injanuary but even if approved is unlikely to take effect before 2026. world number one michael van gerwen survived a nervy second round match against the number 32 seed cristo reyes to reach the last 16 of the pdc
world darts championship van gerwen, champion in 2014, eventually came through to beat reyes 4—2. former champions phil taylor and raymond van barneveld are also through. that‘s all the sport for now. you can keep up—to—date on the website and i will have more in an hour. turkey and russia have agreed on a ceasefire plan for syria, reportedly starting from tonight. the state run turkish news agency says the plan is aimed at expanding the ceasefire in aleppo to the rest of the country, but will exclude terror groups. if successful, it will form the basis of the forthcoming talks between the syrian regime and opposition, which are being overseen by russia and turkey in kazakhstan. toshiba shares fell 20% after the firm warned that its us
nuclear business may be worth less than previously thought. the slump was large enough for trading in stocks of the japanese industrial giant to be automatically halted. shares had already fallen 12% yesterday, after reports of the likely write—down began circulating. unsettled weather during the past decade has had a dramatic impact on the uk‘s wildlife, according to the national trust, with some of its sites recording huge falls in the number or bees and butterflies. the charity says a combination of milder winters and wetter summers have boosted grass growth, which has been good for farmers making hay, but led to falls in insect numbers. 0ur correspondent tim muffett is in tintsfield national trust estate, near bristol, for us this morning. a pretty cold morning this morning about ten miles to the west bristol
so talk of mild winter might feel a little out of place but it has been just that and in fact over the past ten yea rs just that and in fact over the past ten years we have seen a series of mild winters and generally wet summers. what impact is this having a wildlife? each year the national trust surveys properties across the uk to see what impact the weather is having. this year, if you feel you have been more in your lawn a bit more often than you normally do it is not something you have been imagining. it seems it probably has been true. v0|ceover: this year, beef farmer rob havard made hay while the sun shone and while the rain came and still, he‘s grass grows. ——his. we have seen a really good grass grazing through the season, a lot of grass on the ground at the moment and we are in early --end
——end of december. december and still grazing outside, everyday i can keep my cattle out of the shed i think it is better for them. why the rampant grass growth? a mild wet winter was followed by a cold spring. and then came all mild wet weather in may and june, ideal conditions in which grass can grow. the rate of grass growth was in many places a third faster than normal, according to the agriculture and horticulture development board. conservationists are assessing the impact. excessive grass growth, why should anyone care? a lot of our more rare plants and animals, particularly insects, live in very short turf, if it is covered over by these coarse grasses, populations of those rare insects plummet. that has been an issue in 2016? definitely. the weather‘s impact on wildlife has been measured by matthew 0akes for ten years.
the losers have been butterflies, bees, beetles, some grasshoppers, which require very short turf. wasps were hit very badly in 2012 and have not really recovered. we usually get a lot of waspa nesting on this bank, but i can vouch that we have not had any. surely a good thing, people hate wasps. they are a really important part of the food chain, they are really quite good at controlling a lot of pests and nasty little insects like black fly and greenfly. one thing that should be properly hibernating is caterpillars, butterflies and moths, when you get a mild month like this, they are not hibernating properly, they are out and about, that is not good for them, they burn off energy. as ever, there were wildlife winners in 2016, help in part by wind direction. it has been a fantastic year for migrant birds,
strong winds from the east, that helps a lot of migrating birds. we have had over 200 gold crests arrived one day, from the point of view of slugs, an excellent year, from a gardener ‘s point of view, it was disastrous! we keep getting these mild wet winters, and we keep getting short spells of good weather. we have not had a good summer since 2006. we are overdue! staff here at tyntesfield say that they have been mowing the lawn for a lot later than they normally expect. another winner this year, apples, very good year for apple growth, cider manufacturers say they have seen a bumper crop. will this trend for mild winters and wet summers continue? we will soon find out what january has concern. ——in store. there is concern that the impact on insects, reliant on short grass, being overtaken by this excessive course grass growth, one
of the big features of 2016. cold and frosty and fog in some areas with areas of fog in east anglia and 0xfordshire areas with areas of fog in east anglia and oxfordshire and the midlands and the welsh marches. england and wales will largely see a lot of sunshine and with some sunshine across eastern scotland while eastern parts of northern ireland and the meaning areas have a milder south—westerly wind. a chilly day when the fog in low cloud process. it will develop again do this evening and become more widespread overnight especially from the west country into the midlands across the ganglia and intellectual as well. —— east anglia. and the midlands as well. macleod will keep
temperatures up across northern scotland. another dry day across england and wales and a lot of that fog and low cloud lifting but only slowly. some sunshine developing towards the south coast, in particular parts of northern england as well. with the cloud process another call day like today. —— process. “— another call day like today. —— process. —— pair cysts. ——persists. hello, this is bbc news with me,
rebecca jones. the headlines. 80% of middle—aged people in england are overweight, four accidents involving up to 20 vehicles have taken place within a mile and a half stretch of the aao in oxfordshire 80% of middle—aged people in england are overweight, don‘t exercise or drink too much, experts have warned. public health england says the medical system is facing a crisis because of unhealthy lifestyles. a search is under way for missing crew members of a fishing boat that capsized in the english channel off the kent coast. nhs hospitals in england have made more than £120 million last year from parking charges, a new report has found. nhs trusts have defended the charges saying that the money goes back into patient care or maintaining car parks. campaigners for an early brexit write to business across europe to try to build support for a free trade
agreement with the eu. now on bbc news, business live looks back at the big stories this year, and asks what we can expect in the coming twelve months. this is business live from bbc news. yes, as 2016 draws to a close, we are going to look back on a year which featured two events which will shape the global economy for decades to come. welcome to business live review of 2016. yep, this year saw the uk take that momentous decision to leave the european union. we‘re going to take a look at what lies in store for the next 12 months. and, defying all the odds—
he did it! the billionaire businessman donald trump wins the race for the white house. he has made some bold announcements, what was it all talk and no action? and, of course, it has been a turbulent year for the global market. oil prices hit that historic low. but there is light at the end of the tunnel. and, of course, following a landmark deal between members of the opec cartel. and exploding phones, driverless cars and virtual reality. it has been an eventful 12 months in the world of tech but what can we look forward to in 2017? we‘ll speak to our resident gadget guru. and indeed, a very warm welcome to a very special edition of business live. so this year saw two of the biggest political results of the decade, as the recent trend towards globalisation kind of took a step back. there are now dark clouds of uncertainty hanging over two of the world‘s biggest economies — europe and the united states.
so let‘s start by taking a look back at what happened following the uk‘s decision to leave the european union. tonight at 10pm, the voters decide that after four decades it is time for britain to leave the european union. i do not think it would be right for me to try to be the captain that steers our country to its next destination. across asia today we have seen shares fall on the major markets, like japan‘s nikkei, down more than 7%. now look what happened, it tumbled down to levels not seen since the 19805. many people in the financial markets caught perhaps unawares by this decision. brexit means brexit, and we‘re going to make a success of it. it's a victory against the big merchant banks, against the big businesses, and against big politics. at the end of the day, jamie dunn, jp morgan, gold—medallist goldman sachs, have a good holiday. because i will give you a clue
guys, you will be back. we are joined by our economics editor, ahmed. we saw there brexit back in the summer. —— we are joined by our economics editor, kamal ahmed. we saw there brexit back in the summer. we are looking ahead to 2017. where do we stand in terms of uk negotiations? everything looks so uncertain, doesn‘t it? i think the phoney war will come to an end. 0bviously britain voted to leave the european union injune, and actually the practicalities of that will start next year. so the british government wants to spark what is called article 50, that starts the process of exit by the end of march. that‘s a two year process, so that process should be completed, we think, by 2019. i think their attentions on both sides. —— i think their are tensions on both sides. in britain there are tensions
between those who want what is called a hard brexit, fully out of the single market, out of the customs union, able to sign trade deals around the world itself, with no reference to the european union, and those that want a softer brexit. still having preferential access to the single market, possibly still in the customs union. 0n the european side, the 27 other member states, there are tensions between those who want to ensure that britain doesn‘t get a better deal by coming out of the european union, politically unpalatable as that is, but also britain is the second largest economy in europe. they don‘t want to set up trade barriers such that the european economy itself suffers by losing the british market. and, of course, london, the city, is one of the global leading financial centres. europe needs the city to fund its own businesses. indeed it does. talking of financials, let‘s bring up the market board because i want to talk about that. we can bring it up because i want to talk about the ftse and the pound. this is how they ended as of 21st of december. everyone talked about how if there was a vote for brexit we would see that pound plunge.
absolutey. investors would think that assets in the uk may be less valuable in the future so that money would be better employed on the european continent, and frankly in america, and so the pound has fallen in value. i think what is interesting, and maybe slightly more surprising, is how good equities have been and the markets have been. i think in a way although, yes brexit is incredibly important, politically and economically, but the fundamentals haven‘t changed that much yet. and so equities are still very attractive, because of the hyper low interest rates, very loose monetary policy, no signal yet from britain, really. the central bank in the uk or the central bank in europe, that interest rates are going to rise any time soon, and certainly not quickly. so the equities run has been very powerful.
of course, a lot of those equities in the ftse, the london market, are companies that are global. their profits are in dollars, and so as sterling falls, their profits actually... yes, their actual profits are then sparked upwards. so you get to a situation where those equities are doing rather well. so you have this sort of clash. equities positive, sterling having a tough time. you touched on europe, the european project, how is it looking going into 2017? well, again, brexit is important, but i wouldn‘t suggest it is the most important thing going on in europe in 2017. you have elections in the netherlands. you have elections in france, you have elections in germany, and each of those elections will be a big test about the kind of europe that the voters in europe want. a reformed europe, they still want higher levels of unemployment, problems with growth, what type of europe will people who support the project, when those elections, or will people who want to rip up the project and cause more tension in europe and possibly split up
the european union, will they win? it is going to be a fascinating year. we are going to wrap it up, but let‘s put the cards on the table. could we see a european shock like we have seen brexit, and the election of donald trump? all the polls, i know we have to be very careful, all the polls suggest not, but at the end of 2017, what might be described as the establishment parties have re... put themselves back at the centre of europe. the european project is incredibly important to the european governments, at the end of 2017, at the polls suggest, that they will look more victorious than those who want to break up the european union. one thing we learnt this year was don‘t listen to the polls! thank you for your time this year. happy new year. thank you, and to you. the other uk‘s decision to leave the european union certainly surprised the markets but investors didn‘t have to wait long for the next upset. he did it, the billionaire businessman donald trump swept to power in certainly one of the most divisive political campaigns in living memory.
let‘s take a look back at some of those highlights. right now 92 million americans are on the sideline, outside of the workforce, and they‘re not a part of our economy. it‘s a silent nation ofjobless americans. donald was one of the people who rooted the housing crisis. he said back in 2006, "gee, i hope it does collapse because then i can go in and buy some and makes money." well, it did collapse. that is core business. 9 million people. we will build the wall, 100%, and mexico will be paying for the wall. just imagine how many more automobile jobs will be lost if the tpp is actually approved. it will be catastrophic. we can't continue to allow china to rape our country, and that's what they're doing.
donaldj trump, the billionaire property developer with no previous experience of public office, is the 45th president of the united states. companies are not going to leave the united states any more without consequence. it's not going to happen. 0ur number one priority is going to be the economy, getting back to 3% to 4% growth, we believe that is very sustainable, and focus on things for the american worker. that is absolutely our priority. nice, thunderous music there! dramatic! i love it, i love the drama. a former white house adviser is here to add to the drama. and pippa, you did it! you picked brexit and you picked trump. idid!
can you pick the lottery numbers for me? i know! i know you want to talk about the economics, trump‘s vision for the economy. this is what we have been hearing day in and out over the last couple of weeks. the team that he is building, what do you make of it? last one was mr navarro, who wrote one of his books, death by china. yes, exactly. one thing that is interesting, he‘s picking people with very different points of view. they will have a cabinet which actually argues, which may not be a bad thing. they are going to have debates and proper punch—ups about what is the right direction to go. so that is one thing. second thing, the establishment is very upset about all these new people because they are not. the electorate said they want the establishment out, i want something new in, something that looks after my interest more. that‘s what i think they are going to deliver. it is kind of... i think someone described it as bonfire of the agencies.
trump has been brought into literally burn the house down and start again, reconstruct this thing, and washington was overgrown in so many ways. so will they be accidents along the way? look, every president makes mistakes, so we are going to see those for sure. but on the other hand, the upside here may be greater than people expect. just because they don‘t like him personally, but the markets are going to like his policies. we have seen that with the dow, haven‘t we? the wild card, though, is trade and the trade policy, and whether that is going to harm growth in the future. what is your take on that? so again, i suspect, i don‘t know, these are my personal views, but i think that there is a lot of bluster about trade policy. but in the end, what they want to do is sell more american goods, have better quality imports so the end goal is to actually have trade. they just won‘t use that word. we will hear free trade less and less. we will hear more things like smart business.
but does it really mean something profoundly different? maybe not. they are saying you can‘t see the us as an island, it can‘tjust act as an island. it has to trade in the world. it does, although to be fair, less than 10% of us gdp depends on exports, so as a nation we are incredibly lucky. we can be an engine even if the rest of the world isn‘t growing very well. trade is a relatively small part our economy, compared to most others. so something to keep in mind. good to talk to you, pippa. thank you very much indeed. still to come, exploding phones, driverless cars, and virtual reality. it has all been a very eventful 12 months in the world of tech. but what can we look forward to in 2017? we are going to find out, we will speak to the group, rory cellan—jones. you‘re watching business live from bbc news. throughout the show we have been hearing about how the events of 2016 are set to shake the business landscape for years to come. 2017 is set to be a busy year.
the bbc‘s theo leggett has a timeline of key events in the next 12 months. in january, president—elect donald trump enters the white house. 0nlookers will be keen to see if he follows through with plans this is to restrict trade and inject hundreds of billions of dollars into the us economy. fast—forward a couple of months and we will see the first big development in the brexit story. the uk prime minister says she‘ll trigger article 50 by the end of march. this is when britain can start formal negotiations with the european union and we may begin to see what the new relationship could look like in years to come. this is, of course, crucial to the future of the eu project. france is one other country which will be paying close attention. in april it will hold elections. the far—right candidate marine le pen is riding high on nt europe sentiment which is sweeping the globe. —— on the wave of anti—establishment
sentiment which is sweeping the globe. she is a staunch eurosceptic so there could be bad news for brussels is she is voted into power. in germany it is a similar picture. recent events have seen chancellor angela merkel come under fire for her open door migrant policy. the public could go to the polls as early as 27th august. the german leader has seen a steady decline in her popularity ratings over the last few years. 2016 is anything to go by, the next 12 months could be very interesting indeed. looking at the markets, and starting with stocks in europe. the sterling down 16%, pretty much expected. but the ftse is up some 13%. the european markets also gained. so not a bad year. this is up until 20th december. you call it the quid, i call it the squid! let us do us markets now.
in terms of the dowjones, a rise of around 15% this year. anticipating that donald trump may follow through with his trillion dollar spending plan. it could provide a boost to many major american companies, this let‘s admit it, they need it. it is borrow and build, but maybe they don‘t need to borrow. many investors may throw borrow. many investors may throw their money into infrastructure. you are watching business live, review 2016. events of the past 12 months have made for a turbulent year in global markets. the price of the black stuff, oil, was already added oil, was already at its lowest point for a decade. this had investors wondering whether the market could get any lower. injanuary, iran returned to international markets following the lifting of western sanctions, and crude fell below
$20 per barrel. it proved to be short—lived. the market rallied. some of that oversupply left the market, if you will. in september, some of the world‘s leading oil—producing nations managed to reach a landmark agreement to the first time in november in over eight years. members of 0pec struck a deal to limit production. initially, the market had it doubts that the deal were told, —— initially, the market had it doubts that the deal would hold, but after iran and saudi arabia agreed to resolve their differences, the oil price surged once more. we can speak to a senior royal and gas analyst. a good aussie institution, macquarrie. that is the key. what we just said there, we have all agreed, but with a stick to that? compliance is always key. they have not done it for a while. what encourages the market is that the core countries of 0pec, the gulf countries
like saudi arabia, uae, kuwait, they make up more than half, and they will comply. we think most of the rest of the countries will comply to some degree. many countries tempted by the slightly higher oil price to increase supply and make more money. it has been hard going for countries including south america in some african countries. yes, and also libya and nigeria, coming out of a depressed position. they will be allowed to increase. there will be a lot of compliance. when we saw that announcement, in the lead up, they have finally made this agreement, but they cut at record levels. rush was producing more than 11 million a day, something like that. will it make a huge difference? with demand increasing, lower prices equals that it is cheaper,
so demand growth is good. how long will that last now prices are rising? unless there is a recession in the west, we will see a decent amount of growth. it will increase the wiggle room that some of the countries have. of course, the us is also producing a lot of oil at the moment. the worry they will produce even more. the frackers, when they come into it because of the price, making money. they can switch it on pretty quickly? there is a finite limit to that. with a bit of compliance and demand and great, i think the oil price will reach $60. brand crude up 40% in 2016. —— brent crude. what are your predictions that 2017?
as i say, $60 brent. no $100 mark? unless there is a cataclysm somewhere. we have had that before. no, we‘re not forecasting that. a nice and smooth path back up to $70. we will have you back next year to work out if you were right! we have put you on the spot. thank you forjoining us. in a moment we will be talking tech. i love talking tech. you like talking full—stop! that is rich, coming from you? rory cellan—jones is here. he is taking photos of us. then he will put it on social media. we will look at the social media. we will look at the year in social media. these are daft people in our office playing it. jay says majorly disappointed.
it changed my life for a week and then it was gone. the best phone out this year. a viewer in scotland says i would never use a driverless taxi orvehicle, and in india, i would be scared to sit in one in india because it might malfunction. i tweeted this about five o‘clock this morning and had nothing but a short, sharp, swift response
from viewers about this one. it has been an interesting year. a bundock appearance! 2016 has been an eventful year in the world of tech. we have seen driverless taxi is picking up passengers for the first time. and of course the war between samsung and apple reached explosive new heights, i see what they did there. boom—boom. rory, good to see you. you have bought your gadgets in. see that picture? is this the future? we have said 2016 was going to be the year of virtual reality, when we saw a lot of gadgets. we have not seen the mass take—up yet. we are now seeing the emergence of cheaper forms of it. this is an example, a cheap headset in which you put a mobile phone. much easier to get to grips with.
not as good as things like the 0culus rift, but obviously very cheap. what does it do? you are being transported into new worlds. my experience from this... i like the world i‘m living in! my experience is the first time somebody does this, i did it with family members, with an ageing parent the other day. did you? they are quite excited by it. my question is whether that will last. the first expense is great and then you do begin to say, yes, but what is it for? it is all about big companies applying it to something. a constructive... i‘m seeing more of augmented reality mode, putting virtual objects on a real word. a great example was pokemon go, wandering around with phones catching pokemon. getting arrested for wandering around with friends. we will see more of that next year. microsoft has a thing called the
whole lens that takes a virtual objects and puts them in the real world and has lots of business applications for that. —— the whole lens. -- voice control! be quiet. 0k google who is aaron headsle hurst he is a bbc world television 0k google who is aaron heslehurst? he is a bbc world television presenter... it works! amazing. it then goes on to offer information like, how old is he? we will not go into that. we saw the amazon echo, voice controlled speaker, take off. then we have the google rival. devices that you talk to, voice becoming a new interface.
we have seen in mobile phones. this is a google mobile phone using the google smart assistant. you also have siri. you have cortana in microsoft. those are becoming so much more sophisticated. for instance, it knows that when i ask, who is aaron heading first, it knows a good follow—up question, how old is he? —— aaron heslehurst. so much smarter. are people buying them? they are. these voice controlled speakers are out there. these are things that are out there. they are in the environment. voice control is becoming a thing. this is the stuff when we were younger we watch the science fiction films and there would be people talking to a spaceship. what amazes me is how blase we are about it.
in star trek, there were devices where you could speak one language and it will come out in another. we have them! what about the driverless cars? there is a lot of controversy. it feeds into the same theme, more intelligence being built into all sorts of devices. principally carvers. as michael principally cars —— principally ca rs. we have come a long way with driverless technology and i am expecting more demos of that. the big show in las vegas in january. and that sort of technology leads us into the internet of things. yes. i‘ve a bunch of devices, all connected to the internet. that is a smart doorbell with a camera on it. so it will identify who has come to your door and you can let them in by smart phone. smart lighting that you can control. i brought this on because you said to me before i came in that you wa nted to me before i came in that you wanted a drone. i just bought this. rory turns his christmas tree lights on via his phone. we love you in the non—biblical
sense, and happy new year. thank you for joining sense, and happy new year. thank you forjoining us. that is it from business live. thank you for watching. see you in the new year. take care. hello, more frost and fog on the way overnight, chiefly across england and wales country. looking at the satellite, we can pick out the main areas of fog, one in the welsh markets —— else marches, one in east anglia. these areas are shrinking to a certain extent but some may continue to affect these areas. 0utside continue to affect these areas. outside of outcome sunshine for england and wales country, milder cloudy weather coming into scotland and northern ireland on a south—westerly breeze. we will see more frost, some slippery icy roads and also more fog forming chiefly across england and wales country. a cold start on thursday, and whether
fog persists, the main areas across the west of the country, east anglia and into lincolnshire, some brightening up going on, a bit of sunshine around, milder south—westerly winds ringing in a lot of cloud into scotland and northern ireland. it will generally remain for he is in part of northern ireland and wales country. are this is bbc news. the headlines at mid—day. one woman has died and several people have been injured after four accidents on the aao in oxfordshire. a search operation is still under way off the kent coast for two missing crew members after a fishing boat capsized last night. public health england warns of a ‘middle age health crisis‘ — with 80% of those aged a0 to 60