tv With All Due Respect Bloomberg November 7, 2016 5:00pm-6:01pm EST
mark: john: i mark halperin. and i'm john heilemann. with all due respect to donald trump, that escalated quickly. mr. trump: this is going to be exit plus. times five.it this is brexit times 10. this is going to be brexit times 50. it's going to be brexit plus plus plus. a lot of brexits. happy election eve sports fans. tomorrow in all 50 of these united states, voters will pick
the next leader of the free world. mark and i spent the weekend flying around with hillary clinton and donald trump, touching down in battleground states across the country as candidates made their final -- -- made their final dash to the end of this sometimes stomach turning race. that got me to the city of brotherly love where barack obama, michelle bon jovi -- michelle obama and jon bon jovi will be there for a rally. mike pence and donald trump are holding a monster rally of their own. today was a frenzy of more than two dozen campaign events. hello pittsburgh. mr. trump: florida is my second home. , we are going to win
the great state of north carolina. >> we will win michigan. >> we have to make sure we leave no stone unturned. >> this is the most consequential election of our life. >> tomorrow is the election but that's just the beginning. heal this country. mr. trump: we are a very divided country. we aren't unbelievable -- unbelievably divided country. president obama: it is now down to you. it is out of michelle's hands, it is in your hands. >> get your friends out. every single vote counts. john: the final polls of this cycle are now all in. the gist is that it is a tight race as hillary clinton maintains a sliver of the lead. paul has clinton up three points among likely voters. that's similar to a flurry of other national polls out today
that have her up for or five points. staples break down into three categories. in clinton leading states, she's up three points. the albuquerque journal has her fox to points and detroit has her up in michigan. that's all good news and these are states donald trump's team has been trying to pick off in recent days. then there is iowa, a state that has been leading -- has been leaning toward donald trump and has an almond the -- the republican nominee up seven points. but most polls come from tossup states that will likely decide this election. north carolina, florida and nevada. ahead. is either tied or trump and clinton are virtually tied in to ohio polls. note there was an emerson polo has trumped leading
clinton by as much as seven in the buckeye state. that appears to be an outlier. what is not factored into these numbers is the surprise by fbi director james comey who informed congress that the bureau had examined those e-mails from the laptop and who after sending a shockwave through this race two weeks ago, comey is suggesting there is very little to see here. the fbi director standing behind the decision not to recommend charges against the democratic nominee. at today's rally, trump run-up that subject as well. mr. trump: of course, the fbi, the director was obviously under tremendous pressure. so they went through 650,000 e-mails in eight days. right? john: so we have these poll numbers and we heard the campaign messages over the weekend. where do you think the race stands as of now?
forget access hollywood, forget the polls, let's get to where we are. hillary clinton is on the doorstep of the elected president. she has a structural advantages. she has run a good campaign, she's dealt with events like comey very well. she is the favorite, the heavy favorite. trump is behind these national polls. to say she is the favorite is not to say trump does not have a path to stop if you take all the states were trump is down by two points or less and give them to 200 69.e gets to it is the so-called new hampshire scenario. give him that one district in maine and he gets 270. i'm not predicting it. i'm not saying it's going to happen, how can he get every state where he is a tossup? the way to get it is if there is a silent majority, there's more enthusiasm on the trump side, if that is true to trump is within
striking distance of doing what he needs to do, run the table. hard, but not impossible. john: not impossible, but i would say so hard as to be close to impossible. but one of the things we have said for a couple of weeks and probably even longer is the only way for trump to win and pull that off is to pull off some kind of national wave. this is not going to be a way he cherry picks his way to the vote but it will mean he has to see a movement and consort across the battleground states where he picks up the points he needs to win them all. it's not clear to me where that would come from. it seems plausible in my mind and i would say the clinton campaign which does an extra amount of data analysis, they are really confident they will win this race, not by a lot, but
they will win it. mark: the only way they will lose is if they are unable to take into account how voters feel about her and how voters will about trump. these other states they are , colorado,ut michigan, minnesota, wisconsin, new mexico -- maybe, but in the nevada,th carolina, those are the states that will be the toughest and and his hopes? case, wethat is the will have a lot of science got the window. the campaigns of hillary clinton and donald trump could hardly have been more different when to substance and style. the same held true when they offered their final final closing arguments. the clinton campaign released a video is a katy perry song that we are all sick
of by now. cbs, we would hear a two minute address from clinton directly to the camera. not just my it's name and my opponents name on the ballot, it's the kind of country we want for our children and grandchildren. is america dark and divisive or hopeful and inclusive? our core values are being tested in this election but everywhere i go, people are refusing to be defined by fear and division. john: an op-ed appeared under clinton's by-line with the headline i will look for common ground. donald trump also wrote a headline titled "we must clean up this corruption." in his final tv ad, he strikes a similar tone. mr. trump: our movement is about replacing the failed and corrupt political establishment with a new government controlled by
you, the american people. the establishment has trillions of dollars at stake in this election. for those who control the levers of power in washington and the global special interests, they partner with these people that don't have your good in mind. between these ads and what you heard on the campaign trail, how well are clinton and trump making their pitch to voters? mark: i think they are both closing again exactly where i think we would have guessed they would have closed. clinton is talking about how trump is unacceptable and how she can unify the country and playoff trump's divisive comments. trump is basically saying change, change, change. if you want change, you got to vote for me and playoff the headlines to say clinton is
john: welcome back. sorry we had to cut out. we had a technical glitch but we are back with you now. there are a little more than 48 hours in this 2016 presidential race. when james comey came out yesterday, he said he would stand behind his recommendation not to charge hillary clinton with any wrongdoing. that timing has raised questions about whether that news will
make any difference in the opinions of voters for election day. let me ask you what impact this news might have, if any and with the 12 hours or so left to go, is there any surprise left that could sway voters now? mark: i think it through the trump campaign off momentarily but i don't think it's going to have a cataclysmic effect on the race. is thatg i have learned in the age of twitter and rapid response and polarization, it takes a really big event to capture the news media in a way that clearly helps one candidate or the other. you saw that in the previous mess but i don't think anything in the next 12 hours barring a martian invasion is going to shake up this race. i agree with that. from the time, he sent his
letter to congress 10 days ago more 11 days ago, the ap was reporting 24 million people voted in time. that is a lot of people who voted in the time when that was driving negative headlines. it will clearly affect the down ballot races. certainly changed trump's closing message and gave hillary clinton a chance to pivot to a more positive message. but at this point, you are to imagine anything that would not be cataclysmic that would change how the race plays out. mark: when something happens, the partisans on both sides jump aggressively on it and in a way to energize their borders. on to new hampshire and philadelphia, tracking the last 48 hours.d
i was in florida, north carolina, nevada, michigan and virginia. been covering hillary clinton and here in new hampshire. the clinton bubble, what are you seeing that's not being clearly reported? isn: i think the first thing in the -- in the final time, a sense of relief. the clinton campaign says they bottom post-comey. the race was tightening and acknowledged it was but that their worst day in the polling was wednesday. from that point, they started to see a widening out of her lead to the point where they felt toe they had some room breathe and the atmosphere around her, she had a much more casual -- a much less intense
campaign schedules and donald trump did and the people around her seemed relieved confident. mark: the trump bubble is surprising. we on a press plane, not on trump lane. there's almost no information available. i haven't spoken on the ground in the senior status. we never see trump except the rally. it's ending as it began. it was trump and a couple of others. there are a few other people traveling with him, but it's giant rallies in big places. they are not trying to spin the press or find out what we are working on. it is unlike a traveling roadshow organism unlike any i've ever covered, even when you think a would be influencing what they're traveling press is writing about.
no indication there's any interest in that. i'm curious, as he kept up that pace, there were a couple of ways you could read that. to playd see him trying on multiple fronts and being optimistic than aggressive or was there a century of -- a sense of desperation trying to get votes that were not already in their sites? saturday, it seems like aggressiveness and they are acting like they are confident and claim their internal data gives them confidence. trump is dominated by what happened in reno and there was a protest when he was rushed off the stage and yesterday was made by the comey news. comey news broke, he seemed a little rattled and a roadie , but heto talk about shortened up his speech, running .ell behind schedule
much shorter stump speeches and you usually see an little tired but he is still performing and trying to show the level of confidence he needs to convince his supporters is surging at the end even though the clinton people from all indications are supremely confident. we're going to take a break and only come back, we'll talk to a democratic congress and from california -- right after this.
john: we're back at getting ready for election day and talking about what we have seen. you, at thisor moment, what is your sense of how donald trump is going to spend election day? mark: we get back tonight and he comes back to new hampshire. even if he stays on schedule, we will be back in new york relate. i expect he will look for opportunities to influence voters. he is a restless guy and i expect he's going to find some way to communicate with voters whether it is in person or electronically to look for every vote because voting doesn't stop until well into the evening tomorrow, including those western states that are competitive. john: i guess donald trump will
be more active than hillary clinton. i think she is going to be resting up. we are joined by the chairman of the house democratic caucus. he comes to us from los angeles. what is your sense of optimism ?n a scale of one to 10 how confident are you hillary clinton is going to win tomorrow? guest: i feel confident we're going to get people out to vote. results should be good. you hate to make a judgment call it when four hours to go but i feel pre-good. do you sense -- there are some folks who feel like this race has tightened to the point .here is general nervousness others look at it and say the fundamentals of the race are locked in, the dynamics are not shifting and this is all cable news driven hype to suggest this would become a close race. where are you on that spectrum?
guest: i think there are a number of things going on. the race has tightened but every time i've been on the ground, i'm now in los angeles and i was and coloradoexas recently. i felt very good and i would tell you this -- because there were so many people coming out to vote that we were not expecting, they rarely ask questions because they are not likely voters. if they are coming out of the numbers, they are going to skew things. that is why i have a confidence level beyond what i see in the polls. is there a scenario where if donald trump one you would have trouble accepting the results? hold bunch of folks
come out to vote and is the vote for donald trump we were not every vote we are getting from the poll watchers was this was an election were people had a chance to vote, i would accept what the american people give us through their vote. there'someone tells me inappropriate activity, i think we should be ready to accept the result. your candidate is the favorite here. people are a little on edge to see if the candidate perceived as behind at the end of the night decides to challenge the results, what would you say to both candidates about what the thresholds of -- threshold should be about challenging the results? guest: it has to be a close vote where on election day, you probably don't know who won or lost, as we saw in 2000 with the florida vote. i think it has to be uncertain
what the results are because it's a close separation. if you are talking about a percentage and a half, a 1% or 2% three, that's not close when you go down deep and dive. it has to be something where it election tight and numbers can't be determined because there are absentee ballots or maybe there's a problem with some of the ballots. we have this system down the well where we have a good system of how people have voted and unless someone can point to true evidence of fraud, we have always in this democracy accepted the results even when it has not been though way that we like and in 2000, i did not like where we ended up. john: you have been very critical of james comey in light of the letter he sent 10 days ago and now he's sent a new letter.
give me a sense of what you role in james comey's this election and whether it is inappropriate. guest: director comey inject himself into an election in ways that he didn't need to and shouldn't have. i think he took the institution of the fbi with him and that is unfortunate. luckily, as many of us have expected, he has found there was thatng to the new e-mails had been discovered and we can move forward, but it is unfortunate because you want to know the premier investigative body in the united dates of america will always be impartial and independent. james comey, i hate to say it because i think he wants to be injectedding american, himself and the fbi in ways that are probably going to harm him and the institution for some time to come. think the fact he , do youk in this late
feel as though he has rectified the sixth -- the situation by dming out with a statement or feel that 10 days was damaging to hillary clinton in a way that you find problematic? guest: with 24 hours to go, i'm focused as much as possible on making sure hillary clinton wins, but on the question of hillary clinton -- on james comey coming in 10 days before, it was the wrong thing to do. the fbi is an investigative body, not a reporting body. thank you very much. up next, we will check in with the republican party chief strategist, sean spicer, right after this. ♪
been working hand in glove with team trump back and forth. racking up a lot of amtrak and shuttle miles. i'm going start with the biggest question. we talked earlier. for donald trump to get to 269 electoral votes he needs to win every state where he's a even ahead or down by 2%. what makes you able to argue with a straight face that donald trump's going to win every state he needs to where he's down in every public poll average by 2%? guest: you look at a state like colorado, he won the early vote there. up by 7,000. that's unprecedented. i think you're seeing more and more of these states come home, like never before. solid blue states. whether the michigan or colorado, you can see this pattern throughout the country of states that republicans haven't carried in decades. suddenly becoming, open pping up to donald trump and mike pence. i think that's a phenomenon that we haven't seen and you see it over and over again. whether the pennsylvania, the state that you're in right now, new hampshire, or other states
that have traditionally been the bubble states. but the bubble states are coming home. all the momentum's with trump and pence right now. i think even more so they're opening up new states. john: i know you all like to cite national polls that show donald trump ahead or even. but the national polls that i've over the years relied on and the one that came out today, including others, show donald trump down three or four points in the national poll. do you see a scenario where he might lose the national popular vote but still win the electoral votes? guest: i think, first of all, i think what we're focused on here are states. i know that, yes, we do -- cite some of the national polls from time it time. i think what the focus here has been, the path has gotten widener -- wider and brighter every day. john: to clarify, yes or no, easy, do you see a scenario where he loses the popular vote but wins over 270 electoral votes? guest: i haven't even thought of it. literally all the math that we're focused on here is 270. so we're not looking at popular
vote. john: take a second and think about it now. is it possible? guest: sure. of course it is. you can ask president gore. it's possible, of course it is. but i don't think anybody here or anybody in the -- anyone if the need is focused on to -- field is focused on popular vote versus electoral. we're focused on 2070 -- 270 and beyond. >> i want to ask you about director comey and the f.b.i. investigation. i've criticized both the democratic campaign and the republican campaign for liking comey when the news was stuff that was favorable to them and disease liking him when the news was not favorable -- disliking him when the news was not favorable. comey became a great, fine, upstanding citizen and now he's part of a rigged system. how is it as a voter, hearing donald trump and others around donald trump, and his views on comey, how can anybody take him seriously when his entire
outlook on comey seems to be determined by whether or not what he's doing is politically advantageous or disadvantageous to donald trump? >> back in july, director comey laid out a very clear case of gross negligence. he went one by one all of the actions that hillary clinton had done that sort of seemed to meet a very clear standard of gross negligence. then the conclusion he came to was quite the opposite. by a lot of americans, it wasn't just donald trump, i think most people sort of looked at that and said, wait a second, i don't understand how you can lay out such a clear case of recklessness and mishandling classified information and then come to a conclusion that doesn't otherwise suggest what you just laid out. then i think when he said, i found more information, i'm going to open it up, i think we said, wow, actually that seems to make sense. and then since that happened, you found out that her maid was printing off classified information, anthony wiener, who was sexting with yunleds aged children, had access somehow to some kind of email or not. and i think we thought, oh, my gosh, you can't come to noshe
conclusion that's not otherwise in that -- come to some kind of conclusion that's not otherwise in that direction. it's baffling to see the case being made for gross negligence and then a conclusion coming otherwise. i think i don't knows that just donald trump. i think a lot of americans look at the case that was made and can't figure out how you come to the conclusion. you use words like reckless and then don't come to a conclusion that says, we must take further ction. >> i guess it doesn't really kind of explain the period of time for the last 10 days in which director comey was suddenly the greatest thing since sliced bread from your guys' point of view. guest: if you -- with all due respect, what he said was that i finally, i think -- he said, maybe it isn't as rigged as i thought it was. maybe he's going to do the right thing. i think he did put a lot of hope in people who had thought that he made a -- or came to an ill-timed conclusion in july. i think hes remain rected some hope.
i think that when he then suddenly mysteriously was able to go through 650,000 emails and come to a real rushed conclusion, it continues to baffle meme how this is being handled -- people how this is being handled. >> i know you spent most time thinking about the presidential race of late. let me ask you about the senate. which of your senate incumbents do you consider the most endangered right now? >> i think mark kirk's going to have a touch time in illinois. that's -- we've known that for a long time. >> which other ones? >> on the flip side, i feel really good about joe heck in nevada, i think that the colorado senate race came out of nowhere and is suddenly on the map. >> are there any other ones of your income benlts that you're worried about tonight? guest: of course there are. >> which ones? guest: rondo johnson's been a fighter. he took a state that everyone put him for dead a few months ago. he's fought hard. continued to be that outsider
and talked about a record that he's had over the last six years fighting for the people of wisconsin. i think he's kept a race like that unbelieveably exceptive going into the final stretch. -- competitive going into the final stretch. pat tomby. i think that's -- he's going to be a highlight of ours tomorrow. those are all races that are going to be tight, absolutely. >> let me ask you one more question. we've seen in modern american history things like florida or in florida specifically, not quite like that, where there was a contested challenge. but we've seen other losing presidential nominees walk away from contesting states. do you think that the r.n.c., mr. trump, will be inclined to look for places to contest or inclined to accept the results even if there's some question about how a particular state conducted its vote? guest: well, i guess what you're asking is, if there's a questionable outcome, i.e. there's a recount that's required by law, or -- then we're going to exercise every right to make sure everyone's vote was counted. but i think you'd be silly,
anybody would be silly to walk away from that. >> are you looking to make challenges or to accept what state elective officials are -- election officials say? guest: attitudely i'm looking to win this outright, so that we don't have to deal with that. i think if there's a case where it comes down to sort of a rounding error, or there's impropriety, everyone's going -- of course everyone's going to exercise the rights they have under the law. you don't go into a race thinking like that. that's just not the mentality. you go in knowing that you're going to win. i think we feel very confident in the ground game that we have. i think wear going to turn out the voters and win decisively. >> generous for you to make time for us today. thanks very much. when we come back, we'll talk to some strategists about the end game right after this. ♪
john: we are less than one day out from election day which means there's time for one last strategy session. joining us now is republican strategist and former campaign manager for ted cruz's presidential bit bid, jeff roe, who comes to us from kansas city, missouri. and out in raleigh, north carolina, we have a clinton supporter, stephanie schriock. both to see you both. you're both sitting out there in americaland. give us a sense from where you sit, starting with you, stephanie, where you see the race in these closing hours. >> i couldn't be more pleased about where we are. first off, we've had 41 million americans already vote in this election. we're seeing historic hispanic turnout in places like florida and nevada where of course a
significant senate race. and even in north carolina, where i was canvasing today in wilson and i cannot believe how many doors i went to and they're like, we woted -- voted on saturday whefment a huge turnout of african-american voters on saturday. and those that couldn't -- just couldn't stay in line long enough. this know they're committing to getting there at 6:30 tomorrow morning. it's about execution, turnout, and it's happening. i'm really pleased where we are. john: jeff, tell me, i'm going to ask you to cut to the chase and we'll drill down a little bit further. tomorrow, on the basis of all the data you currently have in your big, giant brain, who's going to be the next president of the united states and are democrats going to take the senate? >> i think hillary has a small, steady lead. but trump is making a run these last, you know, the last 168 hours this week. i think we're in a rain delay with the comey letter yesterday and he's making a frantic finish
to try and close. but i think when it drops tomorrow, it is all going to be about what kind of campaign did they execute. when you're in the marger of error race, it's about -- margin of error race, it's about the ground game, the analytics. he didn't have that ground game capacity. on the other side, he had populist anger. what's going to win out? i'd hate to pick which one of those is going to win. but it's clear he's got some ground to make up. in the senate i think we're going to hold the senate. and i think the going to be very close. you have seven races that are within the margin of error. but at the same time, as with the presidential, you have several senators that have had a small, narrow, consistent advantage. so i think we hold on. mark: we've been say, looking at all the data, it appears hillary clinton has a clear and obvious advantage, with many more paths to 270 and the ability to stop donald trump, so let me ask you this. if donald trump loses, how do you think the republican party
at large will respond -- react on wednesday to a president-elect hillary clinton? >> itlike six out of the last seven campaigns that we lost the popular vote. we have to figure out, we have to take some stock in that, understand some weaknesses in that. it depends on how we lose. mark: i'm sorry, i'm asking not the structural question you're answering, i'm asking more in an emotional and advice ral way. how do you think republicans will -- advice ral way. how do you think republicans will react to the news that hillary clinton's going to be president if she wins? >> i can tell you, i'm helping a lot of candidates write their statements right now. i think everything -- we can't say this, i think i can maybe articulate it by it sucks. and the terrible. and we squanledered a great opportunity to defeat a candidate that had very big structural problems. it will be extremely disappointing. mark: stephanie, same question for you. how do you think your party will react if wednesday donald trump
is president-elect? emotionally and viscerally in the moment? >> of course we have to wait until all those voight votes are cast and counted. i think that, one, i'm going to be very surprised if that's in fact the case. because of where we are in this structural moment. but i think for women voters and women across this country, it's going to be a hard pill to swallow. i think there's going to have to be a lot of conversation about how we move forward in our politics. i think women voters are going to decide this election. i've said that this entire election. i'm seeing really, really good energy from women across this country. who are excited, i mean, honestly excited about voting for hillary clinton. they believe in her, they want to see her as president. they believe in her leadership. and i think there's also a lot of pent-up emotion to want to
celebrate a potential breaking of the glass ceiling if we do what we're supposed to do tomorrow. and i can't tell you how many women i've looked at, of all ages, who are holding back tears of joy in fear that we might lose this moment. but who want to embrace it and so i think that's something that's getting overlooked. i think there's really a lot of folks that are very excited about voting tomorrow. john: jeff, you're a super smart strategist and one who is more data-oriented than anybody i know in the republican party. one of the things we spend a lot of time on in our political conversation is polls. seems to me as we get closer and closer to election day, the smartest strategists i know are focused more and more on actual vote. the early vote that's come through in a lot of states. looking at just early vote right now, it's kind of a confusing picture. just bring some clarity for us on that question. was the early vote telling us -- what is the early vote telling us about -- telling us about
what's going to happen tomorrow? >> the hard. the early vote goes up cycle after cycle. this cycle is the biggest jump we've seen yet. a couple martives have taken hold. african-americans are depressed in most parts of the country and hispanics are whipped up. i think that's why you've seen the map change a little bit from the storen states with more his pa -- southern states with more hispanic fluns have come on the line for hillary and she felt for a while she could win arizona and maybe georgia, maybe texas, they feel i know more confident about florida. but the further north you go, where there's less hispanic influence, and where there's more african-american influence, those are the states now that trump believes he has in play. they feel better about north carolina, they feel much better about michigan, obviously. and ohio and new hampshire. so as you see that, for every point that the democrats perform under the 2012 number, is a point that they have to make up in a big way with hispanics. it seems like they might be doing that. that's why i think you've seen this frantic, almost like, oh, wait, we have to get to 270, not
250, let's go find some other states to put in play. the been that kind of plane right for all of us the last 48 hours. i think the because the change in democrat -- it's because the change in demographics of clinton campaign underpepper formed with african-americans and -- underperformed with african-americans and overperformed with hispanic. that's why you've seen the math change. mark: that's really enlightening. thank you. john: you're both great. we'll have you back again real soon. we're going to dig deeper into our final poll and also impacting early voting returns at greater depth in just a moment. if you're watching us in washington, d.c., you can also listen to us on the bloomberg radio and we'll be right back. ♪
mark: welcome back. nothing better on this election eve to be joined by two people who guided us through the entire election cycle. sasha issenberg and the president of selzer and company, ann selzer. thank you for join us. we have our new bloomberg politics national poll out today. a lot of data out there. what's the number in all the data that's grabbing your attention right now? >> we decided to have a little bit of fun, maybe we had an imaginary horse race in our poll. that was pitting hillary clinton against mitt romney. of course she's not running against mitt romney. mitt romney already won and lost. but we just wondered, if we could learn something about the tension and the reluctance in this race by asking that horse race. in fact, mitt romney won over hillary clinton. now, not just did he win over
hillary clinton generally, but he erased the lead among women that hillary clinton has had. she is up 15 points over donald trump with women. but against mitt romney, he leads by a point. to me this told a whole little story about the potential first woman president and yet there's not necessarily the symbolic part of that that's carrying her through. she's going to carry through if she wins on sort of her guts. and sticking things out. but to me i thought that was very enlightening. john: sasha, you heard me asking jeff roe about early voting. you're a great student of data. what are you looking at right now in terms of what we've seen in early voting so far? >> one thing that was interesting to me, sort of harbinger of how the ground game will play out tomorrow. i think you can make the case that the two best looking states from early vote for donald trump
or at least for the republicans were iowa and home state and ohio. far better than republicans seemed to do in nevada and florida, for example. one thing that those two states have in common, iowa and ohio, they both have an incumbent republican senator on the ballot who has the full support of a state party and, as we know, donald trump is basically relying entirely on the r.n.c. and the state parties to mobilize voters for him. so i think the question is, even if we look at those early vote numbers and see that a lot of republicans are turning out in iowa and ohio, those people might be voting for grassley and rob portman, how many will be voting for hillary clinton? mark: so tomorrow night everybody going to be looking to figure out as early in the day as possible what's going on. what kind of things are you looking at and if there's anything up here in new an shire which obviously is
eastern time zone state, anything you'll look at here to get a feel of the overall flow? >> polls in new hampshire close at 7:00 and some of the cities at 8:00. i'll be looking at a bunch of college towns. obviously bernie sanders won the state by over 20 points. it's a place where hillary clinton's campaign has been particularly concerned about young liberals, many of whom are not registered democrats, coming home. they've seen generally in the polls, sanders endorsed, as they moved into the fall, that they've consolidated a lot of that support. i want to know whether hillary clinton is matching barack obama's margins in some of these places. he got 68% in durham, where u.n.h. is i think it's a decent benchmark to see if she gets that number. how many are peeling away to third party candidates and turnout levels in places like keene, hanover, plymouth, similar to what they were in 2012. because that will be the first real test i think we see of whether the sort of bernie millennial demographic is
john: some sad news before we go. janet reno died today at the age of 78. there's already been a lot of talk today about her legacy and contributions to the country. how do you think she'll be remembered? mark: she served for almost the whole span of the clinton administration. she was an extraordinary historical figure. all clinton controversies and investigations. she was an outsider. and at a time when washington was still dominated by men and there had never been a woman attorney general, she
represented people, whatever you thought of her policies and decisions, with an outsider's mentality. john: i totally agree with. that i'll say about her, she had a great sense of humor. she really didn't care about the politics of the beltway. she made her decisions totally on the basis what have she thought was the right thing and not on the basis of how washington would think about her and her decision. i think that's admirable. you can read more about our final bloomberg politics d national poll of this election season to on our website, bloombergpolitics.com. tune in tomorrow for our special two-hour election day edition of "with all due respect." coming up on bloomberg technology d, the c.e.o. of fire eye. until tomorrow, goodbye. ♪
trump is in florida, north carolina and new hampshire. clinton is rallying crowds in pennsylvania and michigan. she'll be joined by her husband and by president and mrs. obama at a rally in philadelphia. the final bloomberg politics nationwide poll has clinton with a 44% to 41% lead that includes third party candidates. hillary clinton enters the last day of the campaign after getting a welcome november surprise. f.b.i. director james comey announced sunday that the bureau found no new evidence of its review of newly discovered emails to warrant charges against clinton. donald trump said she's being protected by a rigged system. the u.s. commitment to the paris climate change accord could be affected by the presidential election. donald trump has said he would cancel the deal if he wins while clinton supports the accord. 100 nations have pledged to honor the agreement. iraqi kurdish fighters exchanged heavy fire with militants monday as they entered a town near mosul held by islamic state.