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tv   Mad Money  CNBC  June 29, 2016 6:00pm-7:01pm EDT

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my mission is simple. to make you money. i'm here to level the playing field for all investors. there's always a bull market somewhere, and i promise to help you find it. "mad money" starts now. hey, i'm cramer. welcome to "mad money." other people want to make friends, i'm just trying to make you some money. my job is not just to entertain but coach and teach you. so call me, 1-800-743-cnbc or tweet me. sometimes we want to pay more for stocks than the day before. sure, there are events that make stocks more valuable, like take
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overs. but today the dow roared, the s&p rocketed. and the nasdaq. we have another phenomenon at work. and it's called re-rating. something when one company gives us a new-found positive. we're basically upgrading stocks from hold to buy mentally. now today we had a whole host of re-ratings. it colored the whole tape so to speak. it's true that we can't go "poof", or voila. you need a special backdrop to make the magic happen. it's all been done by analogy. it's about being willing to buy something at a higher price, because you think yesterday's
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price was just plain too low for that enterprise. amazing a few days after the brexit vote, which we were told would be the end of the financial world, at least as we know it, we have the backup that's necessary for a re-rate. investors are now realizing maybe they were a little bit too headstrong about dumping stocks wholesale. sure, the united kingdom has chosen a path that will have high highly chances of recession. you have to look at the whole p panoply. it means that stocks are less dire than we thought and starting to rally. in some ways, it's back to where
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we were before the brexit vote, one week ago. we find the stock market takes its cue from the price of oil. the correlation is back in play. the price of crude bounced off of $46 where it sank post brexit. that reflects genuine strength in the economy and it's very positive for stocks. the big change from last time? when oil was here section dix d we were worried that the federal reserve would raise interest rates five or six times. we have stock nirvana. higher oil and higher interest rates. ♪ hallelujah that's fertile ground for the
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type of rating i'm talking about. just because we have re-rating, doesn't mean you have to stay away from the world of financials. a host of banks got approved by the fed after the close to buyback stocks and increase dividends, something badly needed if it's ever going to get out of its miserable run. maybe we're getting some relief. so what sectors are going from hold to buy here with on the fly re-ratings? this week, a giant time share company, for $25.30 in cash. now what's happening is that off that deal we're getting the re-rating in the form of pin action. we're seeing the re-rating of everything. similar business model to
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diamond popped over 4%. perhaps we weren't paying enough for this asset. marriott's had its best day in years, jumping 44.5%. suddenly, this disappointing group, [ baby crying ] which had been rated negatively for a long time, is back in the fashion show. how about price line, expedia, trip adviser, the online travel cohort. they're probably not concerned about the long-term impact of airbnb, which has been the psychological bain of the group's existence. they've got southwest and delta moving up. the technicians are dying on this. they thought they are all going down. it's been ages since the airline
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group's seen buyers. however, fleeting to the west sector in the entire book. what else got re-rated? consider the slow-growing food stocks, general mills. keeping the yield around 3%. that small beat translated into a 3% rally for kellogg, kraft and others. then yeawe're going to pay morer the other consistent members of the cohort. then there's knight. so many people got it wrong. it put the stock down 20%. the sle sellers were worried ab some future orders, unforgivable. if you're watching "mad money", you just shouldn't be doing that stuff. what people were worried about was the wrong thing, wrong
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metric. they should be worried about the inventory. the whole apparel business has had too much apparel. nike said north american inventory is now clean. no more backlog. bingo, that was the signal for under armour and lululemon and footlock footlocker. now there were a host of other stocks that went higher, the banks, and those huge buybacks, and the dividend boost. health care because of positive comments about a couple of biotechs. and stocks that had been doing well before brexit. but to me, it's the re-ratings of these doggie dog sectors that took center stage. because with the possible exception of the food group, these were the worse stocks in
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this market of before and after brexit. we didn't like the leisure stocks and the airlines, especially transports which hadn't participated at all in any major advance this year, and that had been flat, therefore a major overhang on the market. we also despised everything retail. more on retail later in the show. to see a bellwether like nike to give us hope is a big deal, plus footlocker could go higher, especially after its subpar quarter. yesterday was a relief rally. today was something a little more permanent. a re-rating of some previously despised stocks. it's a welcome change. and it may lead to more positive change. who knows what could happen to those companies alive and well and making great money.
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ed kndie in florida. >> caller: as you know, following the e. coli outbreak at chipotle, they are taking steps. now all those short sellers have been pounding the stock to oblivion, including yesterday -- >> sir, i think they'll be wrong. i think they'll be wrong, and i'll tell you why. companies in there buying back stock. people came back, taco bell came back. chipotle will come back. andrew! >> caller: here's a booyah coming at you. marathon oil's going to buy cave rock. was i correct in assuming the
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oil purchase in oklahoma was a good buy, and if so, why did marathon oil get so little coverage when they announced the acquisition? >> people don't, they cut their dividend. that caused a lot of people to say, you know what, we've got to be careful. i saw a piece in real money today on the leviathan field in israel. let's go to devontae. >> caller: hello, mr. cramer. >> good afternoon. >> caller: last year i bought over 50 shares of paypal for 39 $39.72. should i hold or sell? >> paypal, you can follow what we do before we make our move, and we sold a lot of it above $40, it's now coming back down. we're within a come of points of where we want to buy it again,
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but not yet, why? because the analysts are so negative, they keep shooting at it. you've got to wait until they stop until you can possibly dip your toe in the water. i think it's a good sign for companies alive and kicking. "mad money" tonight, it seems wall street may have lost its appetite for fast food. i'm sitting down with ceo of sonic to see about returns. and the long holiday means big sales. i'll tell you if it's time to start shopping for retail stocks. and it's the largest tractor in the world, and it's being unveiled tonight. we have the ceo of agco. so stick with cramer!
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don't miss a second of "mad money". follow @jimcramer on twitter. tweet #madtweets. or give us a call at 1-800-743-cnbc. miss something? head to mad money.cnbc.com. you pay your car insurance premium like clockwork. month after month. year after year. then one night, you hydroplane into a ditch. yeah... surprise... your insurance company tells you to pay up again. why pay for insurance if you have to pay even more for using it? if you have liberty mutual deductible fund™, you could pay no deductible at all. sign up to immediately lower your deductible by $100.
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what the heck is happening at sonic? the drive-in hamburger chain across 45 states. it seemed like it was one of the only fast casual restaurant chains that actually fried. it has all-day breakfast and value menus. it was doing well when so many competitors were ailing. and last week we got justification for weakness. on thursday after the close, son eck reported a slight one penny earning off a 42% basis. big deceleration same-store sales growth from 65% in the
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previous quarter. imagine talking about an industry-wide slow down, possibly because of the rainy weather in april and may. sonic might be attractive because as an excellent long-term story, they are in the process of franchising. more importantly, that's going to smooth out their earnings and volatility. think of domino's pizza. but the stock's only worth buying if we're dealing with a short-term stumble, not a long-term issue. let's check in with the ceo of sonic. welcome back to "mad money". >> thank you, jim, grad to lad with you. >> i've never seen you stuck. i've never seen you say, we're not quite sure what's going on. i'm hoping you've had a little soul searching, because it's unlike you and unlike sonic.
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>> we're certainly aware and comfortable with the initiatives that we have under way. what we're less certain about is what's happening with the consumer. the consumer went through something like an attitudal shift in a broad basis. this was something that took all of us by surprise. the weather, yes, you mentioned, was unseasonably cool. wea've got the heat back, and it's a good deal drier. as our business got soft late april into may with those weather issues and the consumer shift, as that occurred, we shifted to a little bit more of a value promotion to drive traffic and reversed some of the things we saw in may. the challenge was we were selling less drink and ice cream. just about now, our media weights are shifting. we're still focussing on that value piece, the sonic boom box.
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but the media shift is occurring literally this week where we're also promoting drinks and ice cream. so we should start seeing that pick up, and we're anxious to see that pick up in this warmer, drier weather. >> i get natural gas figures by the hour, and the use of natural gas and air conditioning this week is way off the charts. your timing couldn't be better. how about this competition issue. it's always been more difficult. look, it's, the industry, as you say, it's an intense industry from a competitive stand point. somebody's always trying to pick-off the stuff we're doing, somebody is. who's doing it now >> well, a little bit everybody is doing it, the convenience stores are trying to get breakfast and drink business, and dairy queen's trying to get our ice cream, burger king is trying to get our hot dog
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business. but it is essential for us at this time of the year, because in the summer, we make hay while the sun shines. we sell more drinks and ice cream in the summertime. it's only this week that the media's been shifted back to those weights in those products in addition of the sonic boom box. >> let's talk about labor costs. many n i'm in the restaurant business myself. people aren't thinking about opening up restaurants. how are you able to manage minimum wages and competitive wages against the other people in your industry? >> the competitive wage situation is one where we're all on the same plane. i see that as a little bit less of a challenge. but there is growing pressure.
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we're in the southern plains is the greatest market penetration, texas and surrounding states do account for a majority of our revenues. but, yeah. >> i know you care about your work and what you're he doing. i happen to give mean oney to t school next door to me. you have a campaign called limeades for learning. you care more about just the shareholders and customers, not that those aren't important constituencies. tell us about something else you're doing. >> we've had the limeade for learning program since 2009. we've stepped it up quite dramatically. what this involves is sonic supporting classroom teacher grants all across our system. every market where we do business, and whoe'll be contributing about $5 million a year. month of may, we committed 1 $1
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million in the month of may alone. this is supporting teachers who very often, public schoolteachers, docking out of their pockets for materials for their students. this is where we do business and are a good corporate citizen. >> this stock has come down. is this a case where it's temporary? >> well, we have announced ongoing that we have a stock repurchase program, recently, it strikes me, i think it was april we made the release that our board had increased that once again. and in the immediate circumstance, we've got about $155 million program focussed on stock repurchases. the rate we do that we only announce after the fact. but we have worked to
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aggressively focus on that when there have been buying opportunities, and i would describe it as a buying opportunity. >> let's leave it at that. thank you so much, cliff hudson, chairman and ceo of sonic, thank you. >> happy to be with you. thank you. >>. coming up, what happens when the world's biggest tractor visits "mad money." the ceo of agco has an important message, and he's breaking the news to crimamer when mad money returns.
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it's time to circle back to one of the most troubled groups out there, department stores,
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especially because nike just reported positive numbers. maybe things are getting better out there. the polarization of this group has been staggering. since peaking last year, kohl's is down 53%. nordstrom down 53%. the two exceptions of the department stores that didn't peak in 2015, mostly because if it had been free falling for years, jc penney's and sears. things have gotten so bad, you have to start asking yourselves, which of them has what it takes to survive in this ultra hostile environment. that's why we're going to rank these stores for survivability. meaning their ability to survive the onslaught of amazon, the value-conscious consumer, the
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design of the shopping mall and some sort of fatigue in shopping in general. we're going to grade each department store. how fast the sales are falling, how fast the earnings are shrinking. we going to rank them from 1-6. and when we add up the scores we come up with buys and sells. let's start with brothers. the only difficulty is figuring out who comes in first, nordstrom or j krchc penney. the fact is penny's up against some easy comparisons after years of mismanagement. plus nordstrom is the overall biggest revenue growth, 6.9% gain in 2015 versus 3% for pe y pennipenn
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penny's. kohl's comes in third. it's better than dillards in fourth place with a 5% decline which was in turn better than macy's. last place goes to sears holdings. it posted a 6.1% drop in store sales last quarter. then we have survivability. how badly are the earnings getting damaged? jc penney is the clear western. ev -- winner. the company's margins continue to expand, including a 350 basis point upcrease in t point increase. macy's comes in second, despite its earnings per share coming down 28.6% the last quarter. in third we have this dillard's which saw market erosion, but
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worse was kohl's. you might wonder what could be more hideous, how about nordstr nordstrom. fifth place, down 60%, actually a little lower than that. the company's spending heavily. sears, losing money hands over fist saw a dramatic last quarter. ouch. the next thing, major insight in the ability of these stores to remain solvent. dillard's comes in first place. in terms of the company's actual survival. that means the store is safe. nordstrom comes in second, even though they have $1.15 billion
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in debt. macy's comes in third. it has a cleaner balance sheet than nordstrom as a vast bulk of macy's debt doesn't come due until 2020. and even though it's spread out over the following two decades, macy's has over $1.1 billion in cash. however, macy's saw its free cash flow sink. that's why i think nordstrom's in a better position. kohl's, fourth place, it has a debt-laden balance sheet but none of it comes due until after 2021. i'm too nervous, the truth is, kohl's didn't generate enough earnings per share to cover the payout. it's a red flag, plus the pre-cash flow. penny's comes in fifth, heinous
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balance sheet. $2.7 billion, but $4.8 billion in debt. however they plan to pay off in the next two years. i know it's repetitive, sears. they will likely continue selling off assets to pay its debts. given that the company's cash flow gets worse. and that's without addressing pension obligations. they have the ability to sell or monday advertise something in order to prolong the agony. finally, the strategic flexion nl. >> meaning the ability to resist amazon. addressing the value conscious consumer. nordstrom's doing everything they can to fend off competition
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and reach the sweet spot. second place goes it penny's. they've made some really savvy moves, including bolstering its partnership with sephora for in-store salons. remember sephora cosmetics have become a necessity in this era of incredibly high-resolution selfies. third place going to kohl's. unfortunately, kohl's hasn't done much, and there's management uncertainty. macy's comes in fourth. they've really struggled to adapt. we thought at one time they really had it goingoing. their long-time ceo is stepping down. dillard's is in fifth place by default, we already know what they are doing. family-owned company. we barely heard a peep out of management. but that's still better than
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sears, the worst of the department stores. they also have kmart. run by a hedge fund manager with fewer and fewer options as time goes on. sears has been left behind, and it doesn't help that their ceo announced his departure. so let's add up the results of the four categories to get the final department store standings, and remember, the company with the lowest points win, while the one in the highest is in most danger. macy's and kohl's have 14. i'd stay away from all the department stores, nordstrom is the most safe, followed by jc penney, and dillard's. the stronger players may be worth the trade for the people who aren't afraid, but not for the squeamish, though, and if you're stuck, given what nike
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said, you may be able to get out higher than you started. let's go to zachary in west virginia. >> caller: dr. cramer, thank you for taking my call. i wanted to get your take on whole foods given their new 365 concept. >> they have run into one of the longest streaks of bad luck i have come across. and i think they are going to come through. meanwhile, the stock has stopped going down, even though it reported a couple sub-par quarters. the 365 is doing well. whole foods is inexpensive. it wouldn't hurt you to own some. james in new york. james. >> caller: booyah, jim. jamie from long island, new york. thank you for taking my call. >> of course. >> caller: my question is, what do you think of designer shoe warehouse? i bought it in 2015. it hadn't moved much. should i hold it, and if yes, should i add to my position? >> not a fave, not a fave.
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hasn't done well. a lot of people are in it for a takeover basis. it's gone down too much. even though it's a discounter, i'd rather be in a dollar tree or dollar general. rich in new york, rich. >> caller: hello. >> hey, what's up? >> caller: god bless you! my stock is kimball realty. what's your price tag if you can say, and what's the long term. >> this is one where i will say that these guys know that when in the darkest moments, when everyone was laughing at them and saying they were going to be amazon i came out and said pull the trigger, 52-week high, $3, and it yields 3.3%. but it's a winner, not a loser. now you have your survival guide. i wouldn't spend too much time out there in the elements, but a short-time trade, it might work. if one thing's for certain, it's
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that everyone around the world has to eat. i'll tell you if it's time to harvest one global ag play. and have you heard of "crouching tiger hidden brexit"? probably not. it's in limited release. have no fear, i'm bringing you this -- and the lightning round! people talk about "deals" on their auto insurance. wouldn't a deal involve two parties discussing something? a little give? a little take? because last time you checked, your rate was just, whatever they say it is. why not give you some say in the matter? or -even better- let your driving do the talking. liberty mutual righttrack finally puts you in control of your rates. all you have to do is connect,
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♪ could we be approaching a turn around in the agricultural space? and the stock of agco, the world's third largest maker of agricultural equipment was flying high. and pretty solid quarter in april. but ever since the brexit-induced selloff, the stock has gotten pummelled. today up less than a buck from its monday lows, despite today's market-wide rebound. the ag business may be returning. the simple fact agco announced it's buying sim bria holdings.
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in a deal that should bolster their seed and grain business. so let's take a closer look with the chairman, ceo and president of agco to learn more about this deal and get a peek at the latest tractor model. let me ask you something. i am looking at what i regard as being one of the biggest machines i have ever seen, at the same time, the ag business is not so hot. is it the right time to introduce this monster? >> this beast has accepted the seam horsepower as famous astin martin of james bond. so why is it attractive for america? because it's very compact, very powerful, and actually performance will outperform the competitors. >> give me the value proposition, i'm a farmer, why would i want this over john
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deere? >> first you would have to pay $400,000, to $450,000. plus the return on invest is short. it can replace two john deere's. this guy does the work of two traditional tractors. which would cost, apparently two together would be more than this. >> exactly. and you have lower fuel consumption. excellent value for money. >> one of the things that you've taught us is this ag cycle is a tough one. yet you seem committed to buying back stock, spending on r&d >> i'm slightly more optimistic for 2017. we will perform pretty well. i think we will deliver on what we promised. and as you mentioned before, brexit is a no-brainer for us. >> martin, explain to me how it's a no-brainer, because i know this time europe was bad
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for you this quarter. >> europe is not doing so well. we have that in our plan so therefore for us it's not a surprise. there are certain areas of europe doing better. and then of course england is not an important market. we don't manufacture in england, because when they decided not to be a euro country, we had to move out. because exporting with england with a very high pound was not feasible. >> now you recently had a sha shareholder had gotten involved, this blue harbor. any insight from them? they help? they hurt? they like you? they don't like you? >> so far they're very positive. cliff is a great guy. he's also a supporter. he talks very, very positive about us of the management team. i think they're have strategic, and they believe we will do much better in the near future. >> all right.
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we've got big consolidation in the seed industry. everyone is saying the same thing exaept for bayer in germany. what are the signs that we need to see that people know this? >> actually, first of all, you see the first signs that the commodity price has come back again. farm income in many countries is doing better. argentina with a new government with new strategies. they discontinue export taxes. brazil, hopefully will going into the same direction, so overall, the environment does get a little bit more friendly, and fortunately, people in europe start to think about, reconsider the sanctions. so maybe also russia will come back soon. >> i know you're always traveling. you're in the great capitals, b you've spent time in germany. it looks like you could take sanctions forever, but russia's not done anything since then. >> i think sanctions are an
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old-fashioned tool of politics. it's much better to sit and talk and sort it out. and i think we're close to getting the german secretary of formen affairs indicated that the time is ripe to talk. >> let's circle back to this great machine. selling in the united states, introducing on our show? >> this is the p lounge. my guys don't like it so much. they want to do it at a big event. >> this is a big event. i have to explain to them what the deal is. >> what can be bigger than your show, and this, actually, is the tractor for the cat distribution. so all cat dealers who have the contract will have this. now our top ten dealers in america are caterpillar dealers.
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>> i don't know much about tractors, but it is an incredible machine. >> it can go as slow as a snail and win the kentucky derby. you can drive it easily better than your car. four-wheel drive. >> i'm not that good a driver. i hope so. "mad money's" back after the break. >> thank you very much.
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it is time! [ buzzer ] >> are you ready? we're going to start with rich. >> caller: jim, how are you doing today? just wanted to showay i love th show and thanls you fk you for y call. with all the diversity in the market, i'm sitting on a bunch of shares .
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>> you're in good shape. let's go to bill. >> caller: hi, jim, i'm calling in regards to sparks therapeutics, they're involved in gene transfer therapy, neurological diseases. >> they are an incredibly speculative stock. we had a couple biostocks that did some moves. it makes me uneasy, but once they've done secondaries, i feel if anything goes wrong, let's just say -- [ screaming ] joe in new jersey. joe? >> caller: my question is general electric. >> general electric goes with nelson. made you a lot of money, then he'll be buying back stock hand over fist and you should too.
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i think you should own ge. anthony? tennessee. >> caller: a great billing tennessee volume tears n tennessee volume tearsteevolunt. >> i do not know what they invest in. i'm not going to do it. i'm going to say don't buy. go to francis in new york. francis? >> caller: hello, mr. cramer, thank you for sharing your wondrous knowledge. o you've helped me increase my retirement money. is it too late to buy verizon? >> i wouldn't recommend buying veriz verizon. that said, don't want to be penny-wise. let's go to cayman in new york.
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>> caller: hey, cramer, a big millennial millennial booyah. i've been adding with stx. >> freeport has a very bad balance sheet, but they're trying to fix it. i have to say, don't buy, don't buy. the fossil fuels that are doing well also have problems. how about mike in new jersey? mike? >> caller: hey, how's it going, it's your old neighbor from summit. i'm asking about the company alumina. >> alumina is a hold, but thermal fisher, 16 times earnings, better company, came off big from a high. tmo is the better buy. and that, ladies and gentlemen, is the conclusion of the lightning round.
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everybody's been distracted by the united kingdom exactly when we should have been watching the middle kingdom, the old name for china. we've got a crouching tiger, hidden by brexit scenario. i'm talking about the strength ever since britain decided to
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leave the eu. by any objective measure, china, the world's second-largest economy matters a heck of a lot more than the uk, right? that's the fifth largest economy. and it is manifested in multiple ways. a 2% rally in the shanghai market since the brexit vote. it would suggest that china's importing more raw goods, along with a rally in oil and copper. yesterday we got not one but two incredibly positive reports from the chinese consumer. i'm talking about the chinese results from carnival cruise and nike, which were totally out of whack with the bear thesis. both of these companies had big brands at their core. they typically cost more than most chinese people could have afforded just a few years ago. their sales are spurred by the
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great migration from the country to the city. and yesterday we got further evidence of an acceleration in chinese consumer spending, the ceo of carnival talked up championship as the strongest region in the carnival cruise world. he said, and i quote, china, which is destined to be the world's largest cruise market continues to deliver returns on investment capital. ween earned growth and expect t deliver accretive growth through the end of the year. the company wants to grow capacity quickly because of heightened consumer demand. i tried to get him to say there had to be some slowing in the chinese market. and he refused to deviate from his positive message. nike was even more definitive.
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china remains their leading growth market. they pointed out in greater china we had a truly incredible year. q4 revenue growth, 20%. strong growth in nearly every category across footwear and appar apparel. plus nike experienced an astounding 44% increase in chinese-direct to consumer sales and they introduced a new running store concept . china continues to be one of the world's fastest growing markets in terms of consumption. in addition to tremendous revenue growth, all this good
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news help propel nike's stock almost 4%. the same cannot be said for china, it's clearly better off. the data points are up, not down. that's why the uk blow seems to have softened, all the queen's horses and all the queen's men, yes, indeed, can put the humpty-dumpty union back together again. stick with cramer.
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travel and leisure, it's a bull market somewhere. i'm jim cramer, and i will see you tomorrow!
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did america change its policy from promoting development in america, in, in, in america? trump tees off on trade. >> it's a disaster. >> how does it impact the u.s. and its workers. have brexit fears left you shaken up? so are you missing an opportunity to add your portfolio? are you being watched at work? >> what i [ bleep ] said -- >> we know what key phrases in your e-mail will get you flagged as one big company. cnbc investigates.

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