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tv   New Day  CNN  January 1, 2016 3:00am-6:01am PST

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that's why i switched from u-verse to xfinity. now i can download my dvr recordings and take them anywhere. ready or not, here i come! (whispers) now hide-and-seek time can also be catch-up-on-my-shows time. here i come! can't find you anywhere! don't settle for u-verse. x1 from xfinity will change the way you experience tv.
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2015 was full of twists, turns and turmoil, to be sure, but now it is time to look ahead, and we have just enough time to ask our guests as we always do, what do you wish for america? in the coming year? i think it would be nice if for 2016 people were offended less. >> i hope that there's another "mad max" movie? >> i would also wish for -- more love. more awareness. and more fun! >> i would like the global community to come togetheralities bit more. also -- i would like a micro pony.
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>> oh, i hope 2016 will be a year of really moving forward and being able to find some -- some common ground. >> i wish that we actually start to see lives, to see each other. >> you know, you don't even have to understand everyone all the tile. just be kind to them. >> -- because i think that if we start with being a bit kinder to each other, then everything else follows from that. and that's it. thank you for watching. for all of us at "a.c. 360" and in the cnn family around the world, i'm tom foreman hoping you have all of the best and none of the worst in 2016.
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-- captions by vitac -- www.vitac.com the gunman went into the offices during the editorial meeting -- >> police raids linked to the paris attacks are underway in belgium. >> active shooter in san bernardino, california. >> isil wants to bring this as a war between the united states and islam. >> unbelievable scenes of lawlessness in baltimore. >> to the youth of this city, i will seek justice on your behalf. >> another tape the city of chicago does not want you to see. >> they're bringing drugs. they're rapists. complete shutdowns of muslims entering the united states. >> i cannot wait to stand on the debate stage with hillary clinton. >> sick and tired of hearing
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about your damn e-mails! >> i've lost more sleep than all of you put together. >> you are wrong, people! >> the pope of the holy sea. >> if there's anything true about pope francis, he is close to the people. >> god bless america. yes. >> happy new year -- or -- >> happy new year. >> it's a new year, it's a new day, so we have a special edition of "new day" for you. chris cuomo, alisyn camerota, michaela pereira, we're all here, going to look into the crystal ball. how will all the big stories in the past year play out into the new year this year? will donald trump stay on top of the republican field? the gop nominee? start his own party called the trump party? >> and a lot of serious issues we'll deal with. how will world leaders respond
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to the growing threats from isis? plus terror fears re-igniting the battle over gun control here at home. will congress and the president act on that it divisive issue. >> and on a personal level, you're probably swearing, this is the year i'm going to stick to my diet you know, lose a few pounds here and there. what about your financial health ask we want to talk about that. the resolution we all should be considering. that and so much more ahead. first, though, let's check your headlines at the newsdesk. >> good morning, everybody. i'm fredricka whitfield. 2016, many celebrations including the big one in new york city. [ cheers ] more than a million people packing into times square to celebrate. security was tight. more than 6,000 nypd officers on hand after new york, los angeles and washington were targeted by a terror threat.
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intense security also greeting the thousands who jammed into central london for a spectacular fireworks display there. and federal agents spoiling an alleged new year's eve terror plot in upstate new york. the suspect, 25 yard emanuel ledgeman now in custody. authorities say he planned to target revelers at a rochester bar and restaurant in the name of isis. officials say he wanted to sneak a bomb into the restaurant then kidnap and kill some of the customers. following the arrest, the city cancelled the new year's fireworks show. an intense and frightening new year's eve in dubai. a spectacular fire at a luxury high-rise hotel keeping firefighters busy deep into the night while just three blocks away revelers were taking in the world's largest fireworks show. let's bring in cnn's becky anderson live for us from dubai. so how's it going there and what's the investigation leading
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up to right now? >> reporter: well, fredricka, smoke still billowing from what is a luxury hotel in dubai after it was involved in a massive fire on new year's eve. as you pointed out, firefighters continue the process of colding down a smoldering building. the fire at the address downtown started at around 9:30 local time and sent flames shooting out of the 163-floor building. all this as revelers gathered close by to watch what was a spectacular firework display on the world's tallest building. s burj khalifa. firefighters battled the blaze well into the early hours. the government here in dubai says everyone was safely evac wapted from the hotel and's only 16 people, they say, were treated for minor injuries and smoke inhalation. investigators now clearly working to determine the cause
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of the fire. the second major fire to engulf a dubai high-rise in 2015. the deputy head of dubai police tweeting just in the past couple of hours, this photograph issued a while ago, saying it shows where the fire started last night, and finding one source telling cnn that the fire may have broken out in a residence on the building's 20th floor when curtains caught alight, still working for you to get more information on this. fredricka? >> all right, becky, thank you so much. you and i spending a lot of time on the air yesterday, as it was happening. remarkable that the casualty count was not even higher. thanks so much, becky. all right. right here in the states, it will be top ranked clemson against alabama in college football's national title game. clemson beating oklahoma 37-17 in the orange bowl. they are now 14-0. and in the other playoff semifinal, heisman trophy winner
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derrick henry scored two touchdowns as the alabama crimson tide rolled over michigan state 38-0 in the cotton bowl. the championship game is january 11th in arizona. all right. that's a look at your new year's morning headlines. i'm fredricka whitfield. back to you. the political season about to pick up speed. the iowa caucuses just one month away. it will be the first time that we have real results from real voters. >> we can't just mindlessly speculate anymore? >> that is over. we actually have a real political panel now for insight. cnn political commentator and former communications director for senator ted cruz and former reagan white house executive and cnn political commentator and jeb bush supporter. great to see you.
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>> hi. >> happy new year. >> happy new year to you, too. great to have you with us today. okay. anna, start with you. look into your crystal ball. what's about to happen now? >> oh, lord, alyson, that crystal ball was so -- so hard to read in to 2015. i'm not sure i'll do a better job of it in 2016. but you're right. we are in a sprint. contribution i'm very happy to tell you we have about two more weeks of mindless speculation left. >> oh, good. >> you do know that -- iowa voters, new hampshire voters, these folks just take their time. they like to look under the hood, and a lot of them, half of them, don't make up their mind until that last week, but certainly we are in the sprint, and i think you're going to see a lot of candidates spending a lot of time, some of them focused on iowa, some more focused in new hampshire. >> too reasonable. bite off some stuff and chew on it. >> oh, good. >> jeffrey lorde.
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the prop sills, tell me why it's true or false in the new year. trump cannot hold on in iowa, the evangelical base, too big. they don't like the negativity. they go cruz. true or false and why? >> sure, possible. sure, absolutely. >> possible. >> what's all the hedge, jeffrey? come on it's 2016! take a risk. >> are you asking me, could ted cruz win this in iowa? yes. the question is what can he do beyond that? and the one thing that i would add is -- ronald reagan, of course, lost iowa and became president. rick santorum and governor huckabee both won iowa and never became iowa. so winning iowa in and of itself doesn't do anything. i really do think this is going to be a long march here. a long march. new hampshire, south carolina, nevada are and on beyond that. so whoever wins, even if donald trump wins iowa, that's not going to solve anything. >> amanda? >> or settle anything. >> amanda, winning iowa doesn't mean anything? >> it's always good to win iowa,
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but here are the thing. iowa doesn't crown a king but it knocks out a lot of princes. i think we're going to see a lot of candidates -- remember how big this field is, they're going to get knocked out and then another big shake-up when the polls is redistributed. think about it. the guys in the undercard debate may have just 1% or 20 perce% i polls but that could mean a lot. after iowa, a big shake-up. good to win but winning iowa is not everything. >> can't trust the other two with this next one, staying with you. >> great. >> after what we saw with trump and jeb where trump -- i know you're sick of it but saying it again, trump looks at jeb and says, who's talking, me or you, jeb, me or you? and she gives a little of that action, which is what jeb bush said, and i say this is a new jeb bush who decided to be the anti-trump, and it is going to give him a boost. yes or no, amanda? >> yeah. i mean, it's always good to see jeb assert himself on the
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national stage. i think a lot of people are waiting to see real personality come out and the less guarded jeb bush is the better it is for him. that said, i still think it's a bad idea for jeb bush to define his candidacy via trump. be his own man. quick looking back on his florida run, trying to run with that, and get in the middle of that. >> anna, you're close, of course, to jeb bush. was that the moment in the last cnn debate where he found his sea legs? does he feel he found his voice that night? >> you know, i'm seeing a different jeb bush in the last several weeks. i think that, really, since what seems like ancient history, but since the very bad debate in boulder, i think he figured out theatrics is part of the job description and is now doing it. i also see him doing much more focus on new hampshire, which i think is smart, as we've discussed. iowa means something. it doesn't mean everything. the only time iowa means
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something huge is when it's an upset like in 2008 when barack obama upset then hillary clinton. if we see that on either the republican or democrat side, it would be huge. on jeb, i think you'll see him keep grinding away. a lot of retail politics, spending a lot of time in the early states, new hampshire and south carolina, and i think you're going to see him try to do this the old-fashioned way. one voter at a time. >> amanda, do you want to jump in? >> yeah. one thing about that, the interesting part of the new jeb dynamic is that a rising jeb, a rising chris christie makes life a lot harder for marco rubio. in many ways they're competing for the same type of voter. the more they clash, the more those three continue to be competitive with each other, marks it easier for a cruz or trump to take the bigger lane. >> actually i think the two young bucks have been locking horns and we're going to could not seeing cruz and rubio who are so evenly matched, both rookie senators, who are, you
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know, both lawyers, very different styles. one goes poetic, the other goes legalese on us, and i think you're going to see the two of them clash a lot, which i'm not sure doesn't open up a space for another candidate, maybe jefferies, maybe somebody else. >> jeffrey what about this one? the chance that donald trump picks a female running mate before the convention? >> before the convention? >> yes. >> possible, yeah, sure. i can see it. >> possible. it's possible that alyson knocks me unconscious in the next 15 seconds. >> probable! >> you know, so i think, sure, absolutely. absolutely. i mean, if donald trump wins this nomination or it becomes certain ahead of time that he's going to do it, yeah. yes. that's possible. he could pick carly fiorina. >> oh, come on, jeffrey! he can't stand carly fiorina. he has said over and over again, five minutes of hearing her voice is, you know -- >> but carly holds her own in the debate. >> wait. wait, wait, wait, wait.
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couldn't stand lyndon johnson but made him vice presidet. >> donald trump is no jfk. >> one other thing here. i really think this is going to be the year of the outsider. again. and, i mean, election year itself. so whether it's donald trump or ted cruz or whom ever, i think the outside is winning. i think that's why donald trump picks on jeb bush all the tile. not because he thinks jeb bush is a threat but because jeb bush is the very symbol of the establishment. and whether it's jeb bush or john kasich or others, i think that's a real weak inside and somebody on the outside is going to win this nomination. >> i think we're going to leave it there. >> absolutely. >> jeffrey -- >> happy new year. >> thank you, guys. thank you, amanda and anna, great to see you. [ speaking in foreign language ]. >> thank you. >> mick? the evolving threat from isis growing deadlier downing a passenger plane over egypt and carrying attacks in egypt, inspiring the first deadly attack here at home.
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now, in 2015 the number of refugees fleeing war-torn countries like syria reached the level of an international crisis. thousands have died making dangerous journeys to escape turmoil at home. millioning more nowhere to go. there will be a solution? what's going to happen in syria? what's going to happen with daesh? what will the new year bring? let's talk an cnn global affairs
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analyst and of course happy new year to you and wish you all the best always. so let's take a look into the ball. we have annreasonable expect apgs of speed when it comes to dealing with terror, dealing with daesh, isil or isis, whatever you want to call it. how do you see progress in this year? >> you have to color me skeptical. i think that it's good thing that there are more negotiations taking place, that all of the different foreign players are trying to push assad and the rebels into some kind of a negotiated settlement, but i'm not very optimistic that that's going to go very far. the problem is that all the outer, outside players, whether russia, iran, the united states, saudi arabia and so on, none of these countries seem to agree on the basics. who are the bad guys? different people have different ideas of who the bad guy. who are the good guy, therefore? can assad stay? can there be a solution with assad? some say yes, some say never. so because these other groups
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cannot arrive at a common idea of what progress looks like, any negotiations towards progress, i don't think will go very far. it's a good thing they're talking. always better to talk than to shoot, but the problem is that unless you have a real framework, conversations are not going to go anywhere. >> you see a massive deployment of u.s. troops on the ground? >> i don't see that happening, unless absent a major event in the united states. i think public opinion in the united states will remain strongly opposed to putting boots on the ground, and no american president, especially not a lame duck one, let's not forget, is going to be able to persuade the american people that we need to put american boots on the ground. so absent, hope that never happens, absent a major terrorist attack against an american target i don't see bill numbers of american soldiers going. 2016, taking on islam within its own faith.
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the battle for the soul of islam. will we see the muslim community coming on the state level and on the popular level against the enemy? >> i argue that's already going on. it will continue to gain steam, i think. there are conversations taking place among islamic scholars how to deal with this. i was in iran earlier this month, earlier last month, and there was a lot of conversations taking place there. the islamic community is already grappling with this. i don't think they need a major event or a major calendar event to take place for them to accelerate. i think that's taking place already. >> you don't have massive armies, say of saudi arabia go either way on that, but turkey. you don't have them saying, this is our fight. yes, u.s., help us. give us money, planning, intel, but this is us. nobody's going to tell us what being muslim is. we'll take it. were you don't see that, and many say that's what should be happening? >> i don't think that's a realistic expectation because the enemy is not a traditional
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nation state. even though isis controls territory, it's not as if a muslim country can say, we are going to go and send our troops there and fight those people. these guys are everywhere. turkey is dealing, you mentioned turkey, they're dealing with extremism within their own country. isis is already, you know -- there's been landfall in turkey, events of killings within turkey. this is a struggle within, not a struggle without so much and that struggle is already taking place. i would pay less attention to political leaders in the muslim world and more attention to -- to civil groups, i mean, sort of activists, religious figures and i think if you focus your attention there you'll see there's a lot of struggle already going on about how to deal with extremism alarmists, politicians have different agendas to deal with, and sometimes they are contradictory to what we'd like them to be doing, but in -- in ordinary
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civil society, there's a lot taking place. that's room for optimism. >> a lot of time before we're going to see real change on the ground and all about how we spin it. any look from bobby ghosh in 2016? any chance, grow out the hair? i know you had a big head of hair at some point. >> a long time ago. not going back to that. the world doesn't need to see that, trust me. >> a successful look. trust me. alisyn? >> he looks fantastic. meanwhile, donald trump rewriting the rulebook for presidential campaigns but how will the presidential race effect congressional races this year? john king is here with his magic wall, next. announcer: it's time to make room
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i'm gonna keep saying it -- happy new year. welcome back to our special edition of "new day," in a new year. kind of exciting. >> hmm. >> we have a lot to get to this half hour including how the 2016 presidential race could effect the balance of power in congress. >> the key political races to watch, but also a lot of news. a check of the headlines at the newsdesk. >> all right, thanks again. good morning, and happy new year, i'm fredricka whitfield. a look at the top stories -- revelers around the world celebrated the new year overnight. the biggest party in america, times square. >> all: three, two, one -- [ cheers ] >> a million people squeezing in to watch the ball drop under the watchful eye of more than 6,000
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nypd officers. security was reinforced after new york, washington and los angeles became targets of a terror threat originating overseas. terror driving tight security in paris in the wake of the attacks there, that didn't stop thousands from jamming into the boulevards to celebrate, and two rail stations in munich, germany reopened. evacuated because of a reported isis terror plot on new year's eve. authorities say the plot involved between five and seven potential suicide attackers. they say intelligence officials from another country tipped off german police about the threat of an attack and the connection to isis. and in this country -- bill cos it buy taking to twitter to start the new year posting a message thanking his friends and fans for their support. cosby was arraigned earlier this week on felony aggravated assault charges, and this new
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development, a judge ruling cosby's wife camille must testify at an upcoming d deposition in a defamation case brought by seven of her husband's accusers. her lawyers plan to appeal that order. now to the historic floods in missouri, where the death toll now stands at 14. floodwaters from a number of rivers beginning to recede around st. louis, but levees are still threatening to fail around the town of porton bersu. that's a look at your new year's morning headlines. alisyn and chris, back to you. okay. at the stroke of midnight it officially became an election year. congratulations. >> feels good. >> all eyes on the presidential
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race, but there are plenty of key congressional races to watch as well. how will donald trump's rise affect the republican reign in both houses of congress? here to illustrate it all with a magic wall, cnn chief national correspondent john king. happy new year. >> i'm going to take a vacation. can i have the year off? >> no. a busy year for you. >> okay. >> let's start right now. what do you predict the trump effect will be, not obviously just on the presidential race this year but on all other congressional races? >> an easier question to answer in march or april when we know more about the outcome of the presidential primaries. no question heading into the new year republicans are worried, democrats happy. you already hear hillary clinton and bernie sanders on the campaign trail saying all republicans are anti-muslim and anti-african-american, anti-immigrant and anti-hispanic. they're trying to paint the republican party with the trump brush, if you will and the republican establishment is clearly worried about it. they're worried that some races that are probably leaning republican now, a senate map, we
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can go through them, worried some of the races leaning republican could go democratic if trump stays in the headlines, the nominee, even more worried. it's a factor. how big? ask me in march, april, may. >> a little bit of what's going on, though, is in-house disorder. right? the gop have made big gains since obama has been the president of the united states. and maybe there's a feeling within the party that they didn't get what they were bargaining for in terms of, you know, this big movement of blue to red across that map that you can show us and yet feel they don't have anything to show for that so they're angry at their own party. can we see that? >> exactly right, chris, and why the republican base is so upset. a senate map. back to senate races in a minute. take you to the house map. look at all the red. the united states of america, 247 house districts controlled by republicans. >> a lot of red. >> a big majority. republican, remember this, back to right after president obama was elected. all the blue. democrats had the majority, 257.
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this is after the election in 2008. right? the 2010 mid-terms, huge republican gains, get majority. 2012, democrats get a little back. they won eight seats in 2012. not a big presidential sweep in the second term. only eight seats for democrats then 2014, wow, boom. look at this. a lot of people on the coasts, which are blue, tend to forget this. america is very red. the republican base is upset. have a house majority, won the senate majority in midterms last time, 31 governorships and don't think they're getting conservative leadership. part because you have a democrat in the white house but why you have trump and others talking to the republican base saying why do we keep winning but not getting what we want? a big part of the dynamic. >> john, what happens with that calculation if donald trump runs as a third-party candidate as he sometimes threatens to to? >> what would be his signature animal? >> if you look at the data,
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donald trump is a third-party candidate. the data today as we enter the year and again, if we learned anything in 2015 to remember in 2016 is things change and we live in a volatile environment. look at the date taye today. donald trump is a third-party candidate hurts the republican party and you can almost guarantee a democratic victory. almost. how does that play out? people come out to vote for trump as an independent they're still voting for house and senate and choices are d or r. you would assume most are republicans nap is a potential wild card especially when it comes to turnout operations. republicans trying to turn out votes for president in a state, also, vote for senate but the trump factor there becomes pretty strange. >> what do you got? what's going to be his petronous curse, his party animal? >> i got it. the teddy bear what do you say, john king? >> well, he's the human chainsaw. how do you attach an animal to that. he's some kind of a lion.
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>> i'm going with the liger. the lion tiger mix. he's a lyger. >> so much in there. we'll explain later but let you go, john. thanks so much. >> i got to go get an animal book. >> you really do. happy new year. >> happy new year. >> more like a purist to me. pick one or the other. not as wishy washer as a lyger might be, chris. looking at politics, also at money. it has been a bumpy ride for investors in 2015. 401(k)s rising and falls, market doing much of the same. what can we expect in this new year? the financial resolutions we should all make, now, coming up. sweet-treat-goodness hold-onto-your-tiara, kind-of-day. live 24/7 with 24/7 digestive support. try align, the undisputed #1 ge recommended probiotic.
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all right. happy new year once again. you're probably swearing to stick to a healthier lifestyle this year. maybe join a gym, eat more kale.
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how about our financial health? joining us, our chefs of finance, chief business correspondent christine romans and cnn economic analyst hana ga rather ra. what we want to do, we often say, lower credit card debt and spend less money. but there's more involved things we can be aware of, and you're going to walk us through some of the resolutions we need to be making. >> absolutely. it's a new year. i always say new year's and your birthday, the two times you really look at your money. twice a year. new year's and your birthday. >> and i need to buy myself a nice something for my birthday. talk about mortgage rates. what do predict is going to happen for those thinking of buying a home, refiing, any of that? >> you'll hear about how mortgage and interest rates are rising, true, but mortgage rates will rise slowly and well below the historical average for post-world war ii.
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you want to buy a home? a nice time to buy a home. rates are low. refinance, the biggest money-saving thing you do all year, if you refinance your loan. >> absolutely. many have already done that. >> a couple of times. >> hello! you know? $400 saved per month, and that's something we should think about, too. there's going to be more market volatility, saving will be important this year. >> right. because of that volatility we saw last year, so many of us, we'll talk about that in a minute, are a little shy, and we're looking at our personal finances in a little different way, which brings me to gas prices. we've seen some lows. do you think that's going to extend into this new year? >> gas prices stay pretty low. >> they do. >> and you really need to look at that money not as money falling out of your pocket into something else. important to take the savings, build your cash reserves. make sure you have three to six months of money on hand. liquid money on hand for an emergency, and really take a look at using that little bit extra in your monthly budget to pay down high interest credit
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card debt, get out of debt and start saving moving forward. >> important to get out of debt before interest rates rise then the cost of debt becomes higher. gas will stay low, i agree. oil around $50 a barrel because opec is continuing to pump a lot. iranian o'conline as sanctions away and still have shale here at home. >> and that doesn't mean great news for the energy sector? >> it doesn't. and not for investors, you keep hearing volatility in stock markets, concern be global demand weak. u.s. raising interest rates, the rest of the world low interest rates, some countries negative what does that mean for investors? you shouldn't expect big stock market gains. i don't think anybody is forecasting that. in your stock market portfolio incredibly important to be dollar cost averaging, buying stocks every month. periodically make sure you know what your mix is for your risk and how long you have until you retire, and be putting money away into a 529 for your kids.
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college tuition going up. invest for your children's education, too. >> important to remember, too, even though the u.s. market is not going up, u.s. blue chip stocks are a great place to be. jut because we won't get the returns maybe from the past we're the pretty house on the ugly block that is the global economy. the rest of the world is not doing as well in many cases as the u.s. >> since we have the time to ask you this, looking forward, there's probably a couple people just starting out. right? starting out thinking, i'm hearing my parents tell me in my ear get into the market. i want to start. it be very overwhelming. what's the best piece of advice to tell somebody, the new year has come, this is the year to do it. dip my baby toe into the stock market? >> absolutely do it. >> it's terrifying. you see the volatility. >> take the long view. you're a young person and be in the market, there's room for changes. and there is going to be volatility this year, no question. you don't sell when the market goes down. remember that.
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hang tight. everybody panics. it's our psychology, but you got to hang tight, weather the storm and you will end up better in stocks. >> two kinds of people in the world. the kind who think about how they're spend their money and the kind that think how to grow their money you want to be the person growing your money. make sure you are living on a little less than you bring home every month and the rest investing and do that in the stock market. you do that with investments, and i think 52% of american households have stocks. they have been over the past six years able to grow their household net worth because wages are not doing it. not getting higher wages, it was through the stock market. i don't think the stock market will be gang busters but you need to be in it. >> for those that can, and given the volatility and some sectors will feel their own, the emergency fund. something you've taught me a lot about. having that extra cushion. >> sure. >> how -- what's the best way to start an emergency fund for yourself? >> it has to be automatic.
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take it of you 0 your paycheck, almost not see that money. it's so important. half of all americans can't put their hands on even $2,000 if they needed to in an emergency. you have to have the saving. >> a lot of people are one flat tire away from ruining their household budget and being in debt on household credit. get out of the credit card debt. it's the worst thing and get out of debt. for young people with student loans, ten years. pay it off in ten years. a lot of kids are trying to get out of it, from under in five. they want to be part of the middle class and want to invest. not paying down a student loan. >> we give you a lot of information, seems overwhelming. the great thing you're here for us all year long. we can turn to you when we have questions what's going on out there what we can do. thank you so much for the new year's resolutions for our financial health. happy new year. >> happy new year. >> to you as well. speaking of resolutions, president obama has one a top priority for 2016, of course, his final year in office. talking about gun control. will there really finally be change in washington?
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the country is still reeling from the terror attack in san bernardino last month. how do lawmakers plan to tackle that in the new year? here to discuss, a commentator and conservative radio host ben
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ferguson. happy new year to both of you, gentlemen. an interesting pairing on this topic, because let's start with the common ground. you actually come from similar positions in terms of your families use guns. you're from hunting families. you both know how to use guns you shoot guns yet you're on different sides of the gun control issue. charles, start with you. what do you think lawmakers plan to do about gun control in the coming year? >> i don't think they're necessarily is a plan and i don't think there's necessarily going to be a lot of progress. right? because what ends up happening is that this debate runs up against kind of constitutional structure of the country. the gun ownership and the gun debate overlaps quite significantly with the kind of wide open spaces in this country, and people who want more regulations are generally in the clustered urban spaces, but because of the way the senate is structured, every state, no matter how wide open, how few people are in that
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state, still have two senators. right? you have -- you know, brooklyn has more population than all of alaska, but new york state is only going to have two senators just like alaska has two senators. so when you get down to voting on an actual kind of more regulations, the people in alaska who are more hunting culture are going to say, those senators say, my constituents don't necessarily want this and i'm not going to necessarily support this. >> what's made it such a challenge in congress to see any sort of action, but then president obama said after the tragedy in newtown, he would do whatever he could. sounds like he's eyeing some executive actions on gun control? >> yeah. i think you'll see an awful lot of executive actions, especially the closer we get to the end of his presidency. this is something he wants to be a part of his legacy. if they really want to get something done on capitol hill, starting new year's off on the right foot, there's things charles and i and others can agree on that is probably taking
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smaller steps to deal with specific issues. one would be mental health. there is i think bipartisan support found on dealing with mental health and what we should do when it comes to buying a gun or if committed by a state or by a judge, those are the types of things congress could have success on. try to turn it into a massive gun control law it will not pass. there aren't the votes there as charles talked about. you have leadership, focus on simple issues to find the common ground, i actually think they could get something done most americans would support. >> how about that compromised support? everybody after newtown and ar the aurora theater said we need something to somehow deal with th this. >> i think there's a mental health but the transfer of weapons that require no
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background check, whatever. >> he's saying baby steps. >> i'm saying 40% transfers that don't require any checks is going to be really hard to deal with the mental health piece because it's only dealing with the 6% that do wire some sort of background check. you have to combine a couple to make them work. >> excellent point. ben, tackle that. the loophole called in the vernacular mean private transfers don't have to be recorded. with mental health, how do you tackle that? >> when it comes to the private checks or the private dealings between one or the other, if you come at this from a sensible solution, which is, hey, if i'm buying a gun from my dad, for example, who's in law enforcement and we've traded guns multiple times since i've been a young adult that is an example of where, if you have a caveat for that, i think you can find common ground. there are many people that say, if i'm trading a gun with my neighbor or with a hunting buddy, where he says, you know what? i really would love to have that
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30 aught 6 and tired of my 38 over here. let's do a trade, that is where, if you have something like that where there can be a compromise for the reality, that does take place a lot. there are a lot of people in hunting clubs, for example, that have club guns where somebody wants to go use it and they trade with another person. >> right, but then the -- >> happens all the time. >> why is that paperwork so onerous? so onerous to ask you to record that transaction? >> well, it's onerous because you have to go through a residenced armed dealer, pay another fee on top of it depending on the class of firearm, it can be ex-kpleemly expensive and in some cases set up a trust and have each person that use that gun on a trust. when you look at the paperwork, i point to the federal government. they haven't made -- they made is so hard to do these things. stream line the process, again, i think you would have a lot of people that would agree on it. >> but i think even, you know, more common than -- than even maybe gun shows and more common
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than, you know, hunting clubs is just intergeneration transfers. you have a grandfather. he's older. doesn't hunt anymore. passes it down. >> those are fine. >> we had guns my whole life, me and my brothers, and i don't think -- other than the bb guns and pellet guns we never bought those guns. an uncle, a grandfather -- >> lawmakers don't need to tackle that. >> i am saying that. i'm saying just because the father and grandfather was a responsible gun own hear nothing to do with the person they're passing it down to. right? i do believe that transfer needs to be recorded and there has to be some check on the kind of, the mental stability and kind of crim malbackground of the person coming into possession of that gun. right now that is not necessarily the case and i think that becomes a loophole that gets kind of fuzzy for people, because we want to say, it's in my family. i should be able to do whatever i want to within my family. it doesn't work that way. >> last word, ben. >> many people will say this --
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it's not a loophole, because there is already a law that says that if you are a convicted felon you are not allowed to own a fire warm, whether it's given to you or not. you cannot own it. you can't purchase it. >> sure, but if you're not a convicted felon, maybe have some sort of mental instabilities not recorded that becomes an issue. >> and many of our shooters are not convicted felons. >> right. where i go back to, if we can just focus first off on the mental health side of this, and build some momentum from it, there are also is a big trust issue. people on both sides that do not trust the other side and think they're always going to go for something a step further. if they can just focus on one piece at a time, that could be where we could actually be having conversation next year as, wow, we did some good this year and it makes sense. otherwise we won't get anything done at all. >> thanks so much. great to get at least a small point of compromise there. thanks. happy new year. over to michaela. >> as we weenter this year, how
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will the white house play out? hillary clinton versus donald trump come november? our political experts give us their best guess. . now i use this. the nicoderm cq patch, with unique extended release technology, helps prevent the urge to smoke all day. i want this time to be my last time. that's why i choose nicoderm cq. cleans so well, it keeps your underwear cleaner. so clean...you could wear them a second day. charmin ultra strong. it's 4 times stronger, and you can use up to 4 times less. enjoy the go with charmin.
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the gunman went into the offices during the editorial meeting -- >> police raids linked to the pair attacks are under way in belgium. >> active shooter in san bernardino, california. >> isil wants to frame this as a war between the united states and islam. >> unbelievable scenes of lawlessness in baltimore. >> to the youth of this city -- i will seek justice on your behalf. >> another tape the city of they're bringing drugs.ou to see they're rapists.
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>> complete shutdown of muslims entering the united states. >> i cannot wait to stand on the debate stage with hillary clinton. >> sick and tired of hearing about your damn e-mails! >> i've lost more sleep than all of you put together. >> you are a -- >> the pope of the holy sea. >> if there's anything true about pope francis, he is close to the people. >> god bless america. happy new year! welcome to this special edition of "new day." chris cuomo, alisyn camerota, michaela pereira all here for you. we'll look at all 2016 has to offer. trump, continue on the road to be republican nominee? what will happen on the democratic side? shake-up there's? >> and could this be the year of incredible medical breakthroughs? how will new treatments and advancements in medicine affect
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your health? dr. sanjay gupta joins us with a look at the medical horizon. >> so much possibility and speaking of that, hollywood getting ready for the award season. oh, it's going to be exciting. who's going to be up for top honors and take home the coveted oscar? that and so much mothre ahead. first a check of the headlines with the newsdesk. >> good morning, happy new year. i'm fredricka whitfield. a look at the top stories -- the new year rung in around the world with huge parties and celebrations. but all eyes turned to new york city when the ball drops there. >> all: three, two, one -- [ cheers ] >> oh, very exciting. 1 million-plus jamming times square to greet 2016 amid some of the tightest security ever. 6,000 officers on duty following terror threats aimed at new york, washington and los angeles. in belgium, officials cancelled brussels festivities outright in the wake of an arrest connected to a suspect the new year terror
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plot, and in munich, germany, train service resuming toelgd at two major rail stations there after a reported isis terror plot forced evacuation of stations on new year's eve. authorities say an alleged plot involved between five and seven potential suicide attackers from iraq and syria. they say intelligence officials from another country tipped off german police about the threat, and the isis connection. and president barack obama preparing to leap over congressional road blocks with executive action to address gun violence. white house officials say the president has been frustrated by his inability to get gun control legislation through congress. gun control advocates expect the executive orders to be announced next week ahead of the state of the union. and only two teams left standing in the battle for college football's national championship. clemson and alabama. rolling over their opponents in the orange and cotton bowls, setting up an epic showdown, one week from monday.
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coy wire has the latest live from fort lauderdale. good morning. happy new year, good to see you. >> reporter: good to see you as well. clemson entered as lone unbeaten number one ranked team and an underdog to big 12 champion oklahoma. clemson seeking their first national title since 1981 had to find a way to stop the sooners third ranked scoring offense and they did. this game was close until clemson exploded in the second half outscoring oklahoma 21-0. led by wayne on the ground scoring twice and deshaun watson, game's offensive mvp over 330 total yards and two touchdowns, clemson stays perfect with a 37-17 victory. the other semifinal matchup featured the only team to make last season's playoffs, alabama, taking on the big 10 champs michigan state. the crimson tide cyrus jones, big play of the night. 557yard punt return for a
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touchdown and coker played the game of his life playing for two touchdownses in 'bama's 38-0 smackdown of the spartans's in just ten days, alabama and kmemsen are going to play for that national championship in arizona. alabama and clemson. more big bowls rose bowl, under heightened security today. fred? >> good luck to all. thanks so much, coy. all right. back to alisyn and chris. the political season about to pick up speed. the iowa caucuses just one month away. it will be the first time that we have real results from real voters. >> we can't mindlessly speculate anymore? >> that is over. right. and we actually have a real political panel here now to give insight. cnn political commentator and former communications director foresenator ted cruz amanda
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carpenter and former reagan white house jeffrey lorde, trump supporter and cnn political commentator and jeb bush supporter anna. good to see you. >> happy new year. >> happy new year to you, too. great to have you with us today. okay. anna, start with you. look into your crystal ball. what's about to happen now? >> oh, lord, alisyn, that crystal ball was -- was so -- so hard to read in 2015. i'm not sure i'm going to do a better job of it in 2016, but you're right. we are in the sprint. chris, i'm glad, very happy to tell you we do have about two more weeks of mindless speculation left. >> oh, good. >> you know? you do know that -- iowa voters, new hampshire voters, these folks just take their time. they like to look under the hood and a lot of them, half of them, don't make up their mind until that last week, but certainly we are in the sprint. i think you're going see a lot of candidates spending a lot of
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time. some of them focused on iowa. some more focused on new hampshire. >> too reasonable. bite off stuff and chew on it. >> oh, good. >> jeffrey lorde. the proposition. tell me why it's true and/or false in the new year. trump cannot hold on in iowa. the evangelical base, too big. they don't like the negativity. they go cruz. true or false and why? >> sure. possible. sure, possible. >> possible? >> absolutely. >> the one thing -- >> what's all the hedge, jeffrey? come on. it's 2016. take a risk! >> are you asking me, could ted cruz win this in iowa? yes. the question is, what can he do beyond that? and the one thing that i would add is -- ronald range, of course, lost iowa and became president. rick santorum and governor huckabee both won iowa, and never became president. so winning iowa in and of itself doesn't do anything. i really do think this is going to be a long march here, a long march. new hampshire, south carolina, nevada and on beyond that.
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so whoever wins, even if donald trump wins iowa, that's not going to solve anything. >> amanda? >> or settle anything. >>ning iowa doesn't mean anything? >> it's always good to win iowa. here's the thing. it doesn't crown a king but knocks out a lot of princes. remember how big the field is, they're going to get knocked out and then another big shape-up when the polling is redistributed. the guys in the undercard debate may only have 1% or 2% but that can mean a lot for the top tier candidates. after iowa, a big shake-up and may start again. it's always good to win but winning iowa is not everything. >> i can't trust the other two with this next one amanda so i'll stay with you. after what we saw with jeb at the most recent debate -- you're sick of it, saying it again. trump looks at jeb and says, who's talkin', me or you? >> i'm talking.
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>> a little of that action, what jeb bush did. i say, a new jeb bush, decided to be the anti-trump and it's going to give him a boost. yes or no, amanda? >> yeah. it's always good to see jeb assert himself on the national stage. i think a lot of people are claiming for that, waiting to see real personality come out. the less guarded jeb bush is the better for hill. that said, i still think it's a bad idea for jeb bush to define his candidacy via trump. he needs to be his own man, quit looking back on his florida record trying to run on that and look forward at the current fights that have happened with the obama administration and get in the middle of that. >> ana, you're close, of course, to jeb bush. was that the moment in the last cnn debate where he found his sea legs? does he feel that he found his voice that night? >> you know, i'm seeing a different jeb bush in the last several weeks. i think that really since, what seems like ancient history, but since the very bad debate in boulder, i think he figured out theatrics is part of the job
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description and is now doing it. i also see him doing much more focus on new hampshire, which i think is smart. you know, as we've discussed. iowa means something. it doesn't mean everything. the only time iowa means something huge is when it's an upset like in 2008 when barack obama upset then hillary clinton. if we see that kind of thing either on the democrat or republican side, it would be huge. on jeb, i think you're going to see him, you know, keep grinding away. a lot of retail politics, spending a lot of time in the early states, new hampshire and south carolina, and i think you're going to see him try to do this the old-fashioned way. one voter at a time. >> amanda, you want to jump in? >> yeah, one thing about that, the interesting part of the new jeb dynamic is that a rising jeb, a rising chris christie makes life a lot harder for marco rubio. in many ways they're competing for the same type of voter, and the more they clash, the more, you know, those three continue to be competitive with each other, makes it easier for a cruz or a trump to take the bigger lane. >> actually, i think it's the
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two young bucks locking horns and i think we'll continue to see cruz and rubio who are so evenly matched. >> true. >> both rookie senators, who are, you know, both lawyers, very different styles. one goes poetic, the other one goes legalese on us, and i think you're going to see the two of them clash a lot, which i'm not sure doesn't open up a space for another candidate, maybe jefferies, maybe somebody else. >> what about this one. the chance donald trump pick as female running mate before the convention? >> before the convention? >> yes. >> possible. yeah. sure. i can see it. >> possible. it's possible that alisyn knocks me unconscious in the next 15 seconds. >> probable. >> you know, i think, sure, absolutely. absolutely. i mean, if donald trump wins this nomination or it becomes certain ahead of time he's going to do it, yeah. yes. that's possible. he couldfiorina.
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>> come on, jeffrey. he can't stand carly fiorina, he's said over and over again five minutes of hearing her voice is -- >> but, wait. wait, wait, wait, wait. jfk couldn't stand lyndon johnson either but he made him vice president. >> yeah, well, donald trump is no jfk. >> there's one -- one other thing here. i really do think this is going to be the year of the outsider. again. the election year itself. so whether it's donald trump or ted cruz or whoever, i think the outside is winning and that's why donald trump picks on jeb bush all the time. not because he thinks he's a threat but jeb bush is the symbol of the establishment. and whether it's jeb bush or john kasich or some of these others i think that's a real weakness and i think somebody on the outside is going to win this nomination. >> i think we're going to leave it there. >> absolutely. >> jeffrey -- >> happy new year. >> thank you, guys. thank you, amanda, ana, great to see you guys. [ speaking in foreign language ].
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>> mik. hillary clinton is the democratic front-runner. that doesn't mean she clinched the nomination. what does she have to do to stay on top? does bernie sanders stand a chance? all of that, next. year. then one night, you hydroplane into a ditch. yeah... surprise... your insurance company tells you to pay up again. why pay for insurance if you have to pay even more for using it? if you have liberty mutual deductible fund™, you could pay no deductible at all. sign up to immediately lower your deductible by $100. and keep lowering it $100 annually, until it's gone. then continue to earn that $100 every year. there's no limit to how much you can earn and this savings applies to every vehicle on your policy. call to learn more. switch to liberty mutual and you could save up to $509. call liberty mutual for a free quote today at
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it is getting very close to the time to walk the walk and just one month the election season really gets under way. the iowa caucuses. >> hasn't been yet. >> no, no. once the ballots go, everything becomes the real show. it's going to be a slog for the white house after that. so let's talk about the democrats. you got hillary and bernie up on top. what do they need to do to get the nomination? maria cardona, democratic strategist, donna brazile, political strategist and cnn democratic strategist paul begala. we're not changes in 2016, you're attached to a hillary super pac and the titles all the time whenever you guys come in. >> full disclosure, people should know that. i am paid by a super pac. >> good to know. when we plolook at it you have hillary and bernie. you do not believe that hillary will not win the nomination, right? >> of course i'm for her and
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trying to gelt her nominated, even if i weren't, she has a commanding lead. the party likes her, even among bernie voters. she has a stratospherically high voting rate. >> what about her is potentially problematic. >> his strength with young people could be a challenge for her. that is to say, you can't be president in my party unless you excite young people. bernie is doing that. hillary has to find a way to match that. he has an energy with young people, it's trick for him and for the party. a challenge for hillary, meet him among the younger voters and try to challenge and beat him there. >> maria, look into your crystal ball if you would for 2016. what happens in iowa and new hampshire? >> i think actually that hillary clinton will win iowa. i think, hopefully, she will also win new hampshire. i am also a hillary supporter, but i think bernie will continue to hang on. he has a lot of money. he has the ability to go back to
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those donors, because he has a lot of small dollar donors. he would do very well in iowa. he could do very well in new hampshire which is the neighboring state, and is the closest, he is the closest they have to a favorite son. he will do obviously very well in vermont and massachusetts in the northeast. so i think that the robust dialogue that they have between the two of them, which will focus on making sure that middle-class families have what they need, not just to survive but to succeed in this economy, is a very good one for the democratic party. >> donna, how does she deal with the upside-down positive negatives when it comes to trustworthiness and ratings overall? >> continues to reach out, touch voters and convince them she is the right person at this time to lead the country. i'm neutral, vice chair of the democratic party and i do believe bernie sanders has a high probability of winning one of those early contests. he has a lot of enthusiasm.
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he's been able to raise a lot of money. many of his donors have not maxed out. so we're going to have a competitive primary season. yes, hillary clinton is very favorable in the polls, but bernie sanders has proven that he's up to the task of addressing some of these dbig issues that demming care about. the economy. he's addressed, of course, criminal justice reform and i just want to make sure it's a neutral party, that i can talk about both candidates. i like them both and, of course, we still have martin o'malley, who's out there, still trying to get to first base. >> there you go. paul, obviously, always surprises. you can never guard against what surprise might crop up. 2015 certainly filled with many surprises. care to predict what's going to happen on the other side? >> you know, we've all sat around for the last six months as donald trump dominated and presumed, all professionals -- well, trump will go away and then what? you know, the last month of this
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year, last year, he didn't go away. he kept going up. and i think democrats now have to be prepared for a trump nomination. and he is enormously talented. fatally flawed. i don't think he can be president but upended the republican party. >> fatally flawed is exactly what the gop says about hillary clinton, and if you face donald trump, how do you think she weathers the relentless battering he will give you on all the things you don't like to talk about? >> trump against hillary, i would, i would bet the farm. here's why. >> why? >> on that, he loves to attack, but he's a bully. bullies back downed when you stand up to them. donald trump couldn't last three hours in a debate, had to negotiate it down to two. hillary testified under withering opponents and didn't faint or negotiate down to two
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hours. >> and truth and hyperbole. where are your e-mails, why did you let those people die in den ben gauzy. >> i don't think daunting is the right word. anybody in politics that's been tried and that has been under the gauntlet it's hillary clinton. and i think that her supporters within the democratic party, which i think is a huge point here, you know, you all love to talk about her favorability or unfavorability as it were, if donald trump is the nominee, i completely agree with paul. republican need to prepare themselves for the real possibility he will be the nominee, then you have the contrast between somebody like donald trump, who if he is the nominee will get there with probably not a whole lot of favor act amongst the republican party. it's very low favorability for him right now, versus hillary clinton, who is probably up to 80% favorability among her own party. that is where you start to
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actually win a general election race. so she starts from a very positive point of voters within her own party and then she can energize and mobilize others who will see trump as a fatally flawed candidate, and the contrast between her enthusiasm, optimism for this country versus the kind of language he has been using, which essentially devalues our american principles, will be a fantastic contrast for her and i think will help her win the general election. >> and yet, donna, in head-to-head matchups in those polls she does not run away with it. >> because we live in a very polarized, divided country. but i want to be a contrarian this morning, and i think ted cruz, i think we need to look at ted cruz. ted cruz has really come up in the polls recently. he has a, a very good ground operation in iowa and ready to compete in all of those so-called super tuesday southern
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sec primaries. so i think ted cruz has been the sleeper in the race. i think donald trump is going to come under another difficult storm. this one he might not be able to find an anchor, with the republican base, and i think ted cruz is the candidate we should watch out for. >> donna, paul, maria, happy new year. thanks so much for being here. >> happy new year to you. >> thanks, guys. michaela. guys in 2016 we could see life-changing medical breakthroughs. dr. sanjay gupta is here to talk about that and how eliminating one thing from your diet could really improve your health.
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sax always makes me think of drunk thoughts. you know? >> does it? >> a little woozy boozie. >> it makes me a little nostalgic. you know? that poignance, or drunk. >> nostalgic, same thing. >> happy new year. welcome back to this special a lot to get to including incredible breakthroughs in medicine we could see this year. >> and new laws on the book, you need to know about.
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first a check of the news at the nez dufk. >> happy new year. i'm fredricka whitfield. a look at the top stories-did she say 2016 entering with big celebrations around the world, including the big one in new york city. >> all: three, two, one -- [ cheers ] >> more than a million people packing into times square to celebrate. security tight. more than 6,000 nypd officers on hand after new york, los angeles and washington were targeted by a terror threat. intense security also greeting the thousands who jammed into central london for a spectacular fireworks display there. and pope francis delivering his message for the new year in a variety of languages. in his homily he urged people to combat the torrent of misery injustice and violence in the world and on the day of the catholic church dedicates to the theme of peace, francis said, we must overcome the indifference which blocks solidarity.
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and big changes in the ben carson camp to begin the new year. carson's campaign manager deputy campaign manager and communications director all resigning thursday, and they've already been replaced. the retired neurosurgeon is fading badly in polls and says the changes were needed to jump-start his campaign and the race for the white house. wayne rogers, the actor who played wise-cracking u.s. army surgeon trapper john mcentire in the classic tv series m.a.s.h. has died. rogers was surrounded by family thursday when he died of complications from pneumonia. he left the wildly popular show after three seasons following a contract dispute and became a money manager and investor. he was 82. that's a look at the headlines. i'm fredricka whitfield. michaela, back to you. whenever there is important health news, our chief medical
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correspondent dr. sanjay gupta is the man to turn to do break it all down for us. this morning we're looking ahead to 2016 for reasons to be hopeful when it comes to our health in the new year. dr. sanjay gupta joins us now from atlanta. we probably should be talking about hangover remedies, but we will stick to the things that a lot of us are really feeling starting to resonate with us. we know a few weeks ago, jimmy carter, former president, announced he a cancer-free at age 91. talk about this, because this has got to represent really good news for other cancer patients? >> i think it absolutely does and keep in mind that he's 91 years old. so you know, it says many things. good news for cancer patients across the board but also people who are older, always weighing this idea, should i get therapy? too hard on my body? still important questions. at 91 he's doing well.
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keep in mind, michaela, he has metastatic melanoma, a type of skin cancer that spread throughout his body. found in his liver and brain and he got an operation on his liver to remove that, radiation to his brain and taking another drug known as an amino therapy drug and it seems to at least at this time be working. there's no evidence that the cancer is in his body. he got scans and it doesn't show it and he says he's feeling well. so fingers are crossed, but this is, again, pretty exciting news that he seems to at least be free of cancer at this time. >> a couple of points to remember. he is an extraordinary human being. he has beat the odds in a number of ways here. we know he's made of other stuff, but the fact that he is 91. i mean that is truly, truly remarkable and speaks to the science and where the science is going. that is where i think we're feeling most hopeful. correct? >> i think so. let me tell you, these immunotherapy drugs, we've been hearing about these generally for several years but the drug he's on was just approved last
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year, or in 2014. it's amazing. think of it like this, michaela, you're developing cancer in your body in the time we're talking and your immune system is fighting that constant war in your body. what happens including certain types of cancer including. he melanoma, this drug turns on the immune system back on and let's the body do what it can do. let's the immune system fight the cancer. it's remarkable. if it works, seems to be in his case, significant forelots of patients out there. >> good news on the cdc on the hive ai hiv-aids chase, way up among two groups. what are those two groups and an overall look where this epidemic is headed? >> overall numbers are down, you mentioned. significant dips for a period of
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time and plateauing. among gay, bisexual latino men between the ages of 13 raand 24. young men, it's gone up. gone up still 87% in terms of new cases. >> wow. >> pretty significant. we have made a lot of progress in terms of treatment, as you know. the cocktails of drugs have turned people who have this diagnosis into one with chronic disease as opposed to a death sentence. you've heard that, and there's new medications with 90% sort of significance, they can decrease the likelihood that you'll become infected with hiv-aids. really, almost acting like a preventive. these are really important developments rchltd. >> and the new aids vaccine about to do a trial here in the united states? >> yeah. robert gallo, remember his name? the one really the first person to associate the fact that this thing known at now everyone knows at hiv was causing infections.
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people didn't know this before some of his work. it's his trial. he's been working on this for a long time. it hasn't really started. going into phase one trials but already gone through animal studies and he's optimistic about it. i think the scientific world is paying attention. short of a vaccine, michaela, so many things people can do. >> absolutely. >> the preventatives, get tested, make sure they're always practicing safe sex. >> awareness is key here. good news on the diabetes front. remarkable. the first time in 25 years the cases of new diabetes dropped. what's going on? it's working. we're paying attention, making changes. >> i feel like, people are actually paying attention when we talk. kind of nice. you know, look, here's what we were saying a few years ago. by the year 2020, half the country would either have diabetes or pre-diabetic. half the country. now we're seeing, as you point out, for the first time, there have been fewer new cases of diabetes in this country.
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it's -- it's great news. just to give you context -- 1.7 million new cases the year before. and now 1.4 million new cases this year. not a huge drop but, look, we thought we were -- >> right. >> we're exercising more, we're eating less. we're drinking less soda. people are generally aware we need to be healthy. not as sedentary as they used to be. more healthy choices available. they make a difference. >> speaking of healthy choices you've been a proponent of ut cutting sugar out of a person's diet. talk about that quickly. new studies showing how beneficial that one move, significant for some of us, but that can really contribute to better health? >> there's no question. what was fascinating about this study, really good news, if you just cut out added sugar out of your diet, just the added sugar, for ten days, we're not asking people to change their entire life. ten days of cutting out added sugar, you could decrease fatty components in your blood known
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at triglycerides, reduce blood pressure and decrease your chance of developing heart disease or strokes. obviously, you want to keep it up after the ten days. the point is, that just as quickly as sugar can have these adverse effects in your body, you can get rid of those adverse effects in your body quickly. what a great time to do it, beginning of the year. >> hello. >> it make as huge difference in term of overall survival and how you feel ct exactly why i wanted to talk to you on this day because people are starting new year's resolutions. a good time to start, something like this. try it out, see if you can stick to it. sanjay gupta, nobody better i like to start the new year out with. happy new year. >> you, too. >> saw startling rulings from the supreme court, same-sex marriage, affordable care act. now that we're beginning 2016, what is next? here to break it down, legal
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analyst and criminal defense attorney. happy new year. >> happy new year. >> a favorite? start with army fffirmative act. is it done? >> affirmative action could go away and been around some time. the supreme court hasn't really spoken on it in a while but at issue here is whether or not the university of texas can use sort of that holistic approach in which they take race into account when deciding who gets into the entering freshman class at texas. >> hmm. now, justice scalia made some headlines a little while ago bringing up his brief submitted that showed research, controversial research, that when you looked at african-americans in the science field, that the higher performing professionals had gone to second tier colleges or not the top, top, top colleges and the suggestion was, maybe affirmative action is putting in places they're not going to do as well.
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what do you think about that? >> always an issue measuring discriminatory impact. do you look at your end data and decide whether or not there is discrimination or racial inequality just based on that data? you know, ultimately when it comes to aaffirmative action it's caught in a bit of a gordian knot itself because how do you achieve racial diversity using racially neutral criteria? it may be something that is possible in theory but simply impossible in practice and the supreme court hat to make a decision. >> usually there to divine with the rule is, here to divine an exception to the rule with affirmative action. abortion. tell us about the case. >> another point the supreme court hasn't really visit ntd a long time. the issue is basically this -- the rule since planned parenthood is that the government can put restrictions on a woman's right to get an abortion, but they may not create what is called an undue
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burden. i put that in quotes because the supreme court has given us virtually no guidance whatsoever as to what an undue burden is. so in the present case you could boil it down to this -- is it an undue burden if you heightened standards on abortion clinics such that citizens in a state have to drive an extra three hours to find an abortion clinic? now, that's an oversimplification. basically it's requiring, nuk number one, that physicians performing abortions be admitted at a hospital within 30 miles. and number two, it heightens the standards of an abortion clinic so that it must be equal to a surgical center. now, the net effect of that is that it less and less clinics will meet that criteria. as a result some have to close and there simply will be less clinics available to citizens of that state. so the question is, is that an undue burden? >> access versus avoiding having a chop shop mentality? right? what the opponents of the increased standard say, we want it to be as healthy and safe for
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people as possible. >> of course. why we have all kinds of rules and standards for hospitals and medical facilities to protect citizens. of course, what the proponents of the law argue. the only reason we have the rules to make abortions safer. people who oppose the law say, no, no, no. while it may make them safer, the neglect effect make it more difficult to find a place that can do an abortion, therefore undue burden is achieved. >> not to make it better, how to make it harder. is it a legal issue? a complicated case. how about mary jane. marijuana making its way through ditch state legislatures. found fairly significant legal approval on the federal scale. what do you think we'll see there. >> as a criminal defense attorney i am grappling with this i feel in the trenches when it comes to the legality of marijuana, because we're in a bit of a crisis of federalism, because under federal law marijuana is still illegal. >> it's a scheduled drug. >> but when you get out to
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places like california, legality of marijuana, it's not just county by county anymore. it's city by city. when you talk about patchwork legislation, marijuana is this battlefield. it's impossible as a citizen to know where you stand, whether or not marijuana is legal in your state. even if it is legal it may be illegal under federal law. so we are in a bit of a quagmire when it comes to marijuana legislation and all we can really hope for in the coming year is some clarity. at least as we march, states march towards legalization, at least we hope that we march towards some sort of infounifor whether yea or nay. >> how do you get that from the supreme court? this isn't for us. it's a law. make it legal, it's legal. make it illegal, it's illegal. we can't give you a higher sense? no pun intended? >> a compelling argument. right? states traditionally have reserved powers to legislate in this area, but, of course, the federal government has chosen to
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outlaw marijuana. marijuana under federal law. so it's not just a question of whether states have the rights to legislate in this area. it's a question of the conflict of the federal government preemption against state law. >> we haven't seen a case yet where somebody's bringing it from one state to another, they get caught in the interstate movement, winds ufr a federal case and it gets jammed up. that's the way we'll see this get moving on this. all the best. happy new year to you. >> to you as well. how about entertainment? the academy awards, golden globes, a lot of award shows to look forward to. who are the potential winners, who are the losers? we've got a preview ahead. but ended up nowhere. now i use this. the nicoderm cq patch, with unique extended release technology, helps prevent the urge to smoke all day. i want this time to be my last time. that's why i choose nicoderm cq. perfect driving record. >>perfect. no tickets. no accidents...
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to discover the best shows friends together and movies with xfinity's winter watchlist. later on, we'll conspire ♪
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♪ as we dream by the fire ♪ a beautiful sight, we're happy tonight ♪ ♪ watching in a winter watchlist land, ♪ ♪ watching in a winter watchlist land! ♪ xfinity's winter watchlist. watch now with xfinity on demand- your home for the best entertainment this holiday season. be happy. >> rock oushgs festive, welcome back and happy new year everyone. the academy awards approaching, and a lot of great movies in the past potential to be big winners. who might go home with the big prize and who might go home empty-handed? cnn senior media correspondent.
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>> rename his mr. possibility. >> just for the next few minutes. >> the next four minutes we'll ask you about all the possibilities. >> what movie do we need to run out and see today? >> perfect for if you haven't . jennifer lawrence is going to be contender for best actress. spotlight. >> little heavier. >> the drama about the boston globe. seems like it's got a real great chance. >> i want to talk about jennifer lawrence because when she pairs with bradley cooper it seems to be box office gold. >> magic. absolutely. >> and i think we might have that again. >> absolutely. and already we're waiting on the oscar nominations but already for the golden globe we know jennifer lawrence is the one to beat in that category. they are in about ten days. then we're going to get the oscar nominations. >> 14 days after. >> yep. and the golden globes set up the oscars really nicely. people debate how influential
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they are but a great start to the season and then we get the real show the academy awards later. these two are constantly in the movies together. i just feel like at any minute they should start dating. >> i want to talk about lee for that doe dicaprdicapri dicaprio. >> he has stiff competition.
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mark rouufolo. michael keaton. >> there are a lot of contenders this time. will smith for "concussion," michael fassbender for the steve jobs film. >> interesting to see a little nos sta nostalgia too. with creed. and do you think sly stalone and that franchise. part of that realm. he's your guy. >> i love him. >> the actor that plays creed's son. >> i can only tell you his character in all my children. that is when i started watching him. >> he plays creed's son. and he wants to go to sly stalone to have him train right? >> yeah. there is so much nostalgia with the film. but it is going to be very tough for a film like this. >> do you think?
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>> i do. maybe a nod for sly? >> look at the golden globe nominations. mad max and carroll and -- but i think a lot of people would love to see it. >> who do you think is going to take it a away? >> certainly jennifer learns at the top of the list with joy, the right time for the award season and she is going to be the one to beat. >> we saw some nods with other award shows. maggie smith. jane fonda. nice to see some not 20-year-old actresses getting recognized for their roles. >> absolutely. and jane fonda in particular. i've heard so much buzz. her best in in many years. >> that is fantastic. >> a huge list of films to see. golden globes on the 10th. >> well the golden globe awards on the 10th.
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and we haven't even talked about some of the comedies. the golden globes have seen the train wreck, joy.. and also the big short which is the movie about the financial crisis in 2008. funny it was nominated in the comedy category. i has dramatic elements as well. very compelling film. >> and chris rock is post hosting the academy awards. >> yes. he is. and ricky jer vase will be hosting the gold globes. can't wait. >> happy new year. >> happy 2016. happy new year. i'm going to keep saying it. all day. >> what do you got? you know what this time of year is about. what do you want for yourself? what is the big promise?
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>> oh resolutions. >> what you do got? >> i don't make resolutions. >> oh please, why not. >> because i just break them. >> -- [inaudible]. >> all right. i'm try to exercise more. >> will you? >> let's ask america. >> let's ask the back of your flabbing arm what it says. [ laughter ] >> you gonna be nicer this year? >> nope. maxed out. >> what are you going to do this year? >> i'm with you. i changed it. i hated doing resolutions so now my guy and i do themes. and i realized i spent way too much time this year being anxious about stuff i need not worry about. so i'm going to be more in the now. >> 2016 for me is going to be the year of new things. i'm going to do five new things i have never done before. i'm a control freak so for me i
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think -- >> -- >> i love high heels. don't kid yourself. i'm going pick five things. i believe that is how you maximize your life. you got to grow. you got to try things. >> -- >> i jumped off a trump hotel for charity. >> does this involve lifting something heavier. >> no i'm done lifting heavyweights. i will never do that again. never. that's done. five new things. >> -- >> look at him he's sealing it. >> what do you think? "i think it's a good idea, chris." . >> i'm going to go to the gym. >> give it a name. >> the gym. >> the race for the white house clearly the political story other than the beating i'm about to get off camera. what are your picks? "i don't know.
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why don't you tell me." sure, tv has evolved over the years.
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it's gotten squarer. brighter. bigger. it's gotten thinner. even curvier. but what's next?
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for all binge watchers. movie geeks. sports freaks. x1 from xfinity will change the way you experience tv. the gunman went into the offices during the editorial meeting. >> police raids linked to the pairs attacks are under way in belgium. >> active shoot ner san bernardino california.er in san bernardino california. >> unbelievable scenes of lawlessness in baltimore. >> to the youth of this city. i will seek justice on your behalf. >> another scene city of chicago doesn't want you to see. >> they are brick bringing
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drugs, they are -- >> i can't wait. >> sick and tired hearing about your damn e-mails. >> i've lost more sleep than all of you put together. > >> if there is anything true about pope francis, he is close to the people. >> god bless america. yes. >> happy new year. or happy new year. >> whisper. >> it's a new year a new day. a special edition of "new day" for you. chris cuomo, alisyn camerota, michaela pereira. we're going to look into the crystal ball. how will all the stories of the past year play out into the new year this year? will donald trump stay on top of
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the republican field? is he going to start his own party? the trump party? >> and the growing threats of isis and terror and fears reigniting the battle over gun control. >> and on the personal level you are probably swearing this is the year i'm going to stick to my diet, you know, lose a few pounds here and there. what about your financial health? we want to talk about that. the resolution we all should be considering. that and so much more ahead. first of all let's check your headlines at the news desk. >> good morning everyone and happy new year. i'm fredericka whitfield. the biggest party in america overnight, times square. a million people squeezing in to watch the ball drop under the watchful eye of more than 6,000
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nypd officers. and terror concerns also driving tight security in paris in the wake of the november attacks. that didn't stop many thousands from jamming the boulevards to celebrate hour. and new developments this morning. service resuming at two major railway stations in munich germany that were evacuated on new year's eve because of the threat of an isis attack. following the story for us from london, cnn international correspondent. >> reporter: good morning. and these threats were relayed to the intelligence service from the u.s. and french intelligence services. speaking of an imminent attack on new year's eve exactly at midnight, that led to the german authorities locking down those two railway stations. they say the data they received was very specific, including names and other personal data.
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they are still trying to find out whether or not these names are real or actually exist. all of that work is still going on. the talk is about 5-7 people who wanted to conduct suicide attacks in the munich area. they say it was possibly syrian and iraqi nationals who wanted to do this. now a couple of minutes ago the two stations have reopened and been given the all clear. >> thank you so much. smoke still billowing from a hotel in dubai at this hour. . 16 people were injured in total. record breaking floods in the
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u.s. still threatening levees around in missouri. the death toll from flooding in the state now 14. river levels around st. louis now beginning to recede. the flood threat persists down the mississippi in places like memphis and southern illinois. and we also learned the five soldier whose died in the floods we were. alisyn and chris back to you. the political season about to pick up speed. the iowa caucuses just one month away. it will be the first time that we have real results from real voters. >> we can't just mindlessly speculate anymore? >> that's right. that is over. and we actually have a real political panel here now to give
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us some insight. cnn political commentator. and cnn political commentator anna navarro and jeffrey lord. anna, look into your crystal ball. what is about to happen now? >> oh lord alisyn that crystal ball was so hard to read in 2015. i'm not sure i'm going to do a better job of it in 2016. but you are right we are in the sprint. i'm very happy to tell you we do have about two more weeks of mindless speculation left. >> oh good. >> you do know that iowa voters, new hampshire voters, these folks just take their time. they like to look under the hood. and a lot of them, half of them, don't make up their mind until that last week. but certainly we are in the sprint.
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and i think you are going to see a lot of candidates spending a lot of time. some of them focused on iowa. some of them more focused in new hampshire. >> too reasonable. let's bite off some stuff and chew on it. jeffrey lord. tellry why it's truer or false. trump cannot hold on in iowa. the evangelical base too big. they can't handle it they go cruz. true or false or not and why? >> possible. >> possible? >> i call that a hedge. come on. it's 2015. take a risk. >> are you asking me could ted cruz win this in iowa? yes. the question is what can he do beyond that? and the one thing i would add is ronald reagan lost iowa and became president. rick santorum and huckabee both won iowa and never became president. so winning iowa in and of itself doesn't do anything.
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this is a long march here. new hampshire south carolina and on beyond that. whoever wins. even if donald trump wins iowa that is not going to solve anything or settle anything. >> winning iowa doesn't mean anything? >> it's always good to win iowa but here is the thing. iowa doesn't crown a king but it knocks out a lot of princes. i think we're going to -- remember how big this field is. are going to get knocked out and then another big polling. 1 or 2% in the polls can mean a lot for the top tier candidates. after iowa we're going to see a big shake up and start again. it's good to win but it's not everything. >> i can't trust the next two with this next one so i'll stay with you amanda. at the most recent republican debate, where trump looks at jeb and says who's talken, me or you
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jeb and then she gives a little of that action. which is what jeb bush did. and this is a new bush. he's decided to o be the anti trump. and it is going to give him a boost. yes or no amanda? >> it is always good to see jeb assert himself on the national stage. i think people were waiting for that. and the less guarded jeb bush is the better it is for him. that said i still think it is a bad idea for jeb bush to define hissed can his candidacy via trump. he needs to be his own man and look forward on the current fight and get in the middle of that. >> was that the moment in the last cnn debate where he found his sea legs? does he feel that he found his voice that night? >> you know, i'm seeing a different jeb bush in the last several weeks. since the very bad debate in boulder, i think that he figured
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out that thete ricks is part of the job distribution and he's now doing it. if we see that kind of thing on the republican or the democrat side it will be huge. but jeb, i think you are going to see him keep grinding away. a lot of retail politics. spending time in the early states, new hampshire and south carolina. and i think you are going to see him doing this the old fashioned way. one voter at a time. >> amanda? >> one thing about that, the interesting part about the new jeb dynamic is a rising jeb and a rising chris christie makes life a lot harder for marco rubio. in many ways they are competing for the same type of voter and the more they clash, the more those three continue to be competitive with each other makes it easier for cruz or
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trump to take the bigger lane. >> actually i think it's the two young bucks that have been locking horns and i think we are going to continue seeing cruz and rubio who are so evenly matched and both rookie senators. both lawyers. very different styles. one is poetic. and the other goes legalese on us and i think you are going to see the two of them clash a lot which i'm not sure doesn't open a space for another candidate, maybe jeffreys, maybe somebody else. >> what about this one? the chance that donald trump picks a female running meat before the convention? >> before the convention? >> yes. >> possible. yeah sure. i can see it. >> possible. it's possible that alisyn knocks me unconscious in the next 15 seconds. >> -- i think sure absolutely. i mean if donald trump wins this nomination or it becomes certain ahead of time that he's going to do it, yeah. yes that's possible.
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he could pick carly fiorina. he could pick ted cruz. >> oh come on. he can't stand carly fiorina. he's said over and over again that five minutes of -- >> but -- [inaudible]. >> jfk couldn't stand linden johnson either but he made him vice president. >> donald trump is no jfk. >> there is one other thing here. i really think this is going to be the year of the outsider again. election year itself. so whether it is donald trump or ted cruz or whomever, i think the outside is winning. i think that is why donald trump picks on jeb bush all the time. not because he thinks jeb bush is a threat but because jeb bush is the very symbol of the establishment. and whether it's jeb bush or john kasich or some of the others i think that is a real weakness and i think somebody on the outside is going to win this nomination. >> i think we're going to leave it there. >> absolutely. >> jeffrey. >> happy new year.
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the evolving threat from isis growing deadlier. downing a passenger plane in egypt. attacks in paris. inspiring the first deadly attack here at home. we're going discuss ahead. (vo) some call it giving back. we call it share the love. during our share the love event, get a new subaru, and we'll donate $250 to those in need. bringing our total donations to over sixty-five million dollars. and bringing love where it's needed most. love. it's what makes a subaru, a subaru.
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now in 2015 the number of refugees fleeing war torn countries like syria reached the level of international crisis. thousands died making dangerous journeys toe scape turmoil at home. millions more have nowhere to go. will there be a solution? what is going to happen in syria what's going to happen with daesh? what will the new year bring? happen new year sir. wish you all the best always. let's take a look binto the bal. we have an unreasonable expectation of speed when it comes to dealing with terror or
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isil or daesh or whatever you want to call it. how do you seal dealing with isis this year. >> i think you will have to call me skeptical. it is good thing that all the different negotiations are taking place and all the different foreign players are trying to reach settlements but i'm not very optimistic that is going to go very far. all the outside states, none of these countries seem to agree on the basics. who are the bad guys? who are the good guys. can assad stay? some say yes. some never. so because these other groups cannot aware at a common idea of what progress looks like. any negotiations towards.
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unless you have the real framework conversations are not going to go anywhere. >> o do you see a massive deployment of u.s. troops? on the ground? >> i don't see that happening unless a major event in the united states. i think public opinion in the united states will remain strongly opposed to putting boots on the ground. and no american president, especially not a lame duck one let's not forget, is going to be able to persuade the american people that we need to put american boots on the ground. so absent and let's hope that never happens. absent a major event against an american target i don't see american soldiers going -- >> is 2016 the year islam takes on the skorj of islamist extremist in its own faith? do you think we'll see it on the state level and the popular level against the enemy? >> i would argue that is already going on.
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it will continue to take place. there are conversations taking place among muslim scholars how to deal with this and there are a number of conversations taking place. the community is already grappling with this. i don't think they need a major event or a major calendar event to take place for them to accelerate. >> but you don't have a massive army. let's say saudi arabia you could go either way. but turkey you don't have them saying this is our fight. u.s. you can help us. give us money and -- but >> i don't think that is a realistic expectation because the enemy is not a traditional nation state. even though isis controls territory. it is not as if a muslim country is say we are going to go there and fight those people. these guys are everywhere.
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turkey they are dealing with extremism within their own country. isis is already, you know, interest's been land fall in turkey. i would pay less attention to political leaders in the world and more attention to civil groups, political activist, religious figures. and if you focus your attention there you will see there is a lot of struggle already going on about how to deal with extremism in our midst. politicians have got different agendas to deal with. and sometimes they are contradictory to what we'd like them to be doing. but in ordinary civil society there is a lot taking place that is room for optimism. >> so we have a lot of time before we're going to see real change on the ground. any chance of a new look from bobby ghosh in 2016? not that this wasn't isn't
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killer. but is there any chance you are going to grouf out the hair again? >> that was a long time ago. the world doesn't need to see that. >> it is a successful look. everybody loves you. bobby ghosh. thank you very much. always. alisyn. >> oh he looks fantastic. donald trump meanwhile rewriting the rule book for presidential campaigns. how will the presidential race effective congressional races this year? john king is here with his magic wall next.
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good morning. we have the key political races to watch and also a check at the news here are the headlines at the news desk. >> i'm fredericka whitfield.
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all eyes on new york city when the ball drops there. one million plus jamming times square to bring in 2016 amid some of the tightest security ever. 6,000 officers on duty. in belgium officials canceled festivities outright in the wake of an arrest connect today a suspected new year terror plot. and indicted comedian bill cosby thanking his friends and fans for their support on twitter just a day after being arranignd on sexual assault charges. his wife must testify in a deposition brought by seven of her husband's accusers. and football college playoff, alabama and clemson
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blowing out the competition in the cotton and orange bowls setting up a heavyweight battle for january 11 and the national title. join us from fort lauderdale. >> reporter: clemson entered it is nation's lone unbeaten and number one ranked team but they were still the under dog to oklahoma. clemson are seeking their first national title since 1981 but they had to find a way to stop the sooners offense. and they did. they outscored oklahoma 21-0 in the opening half. led by the dynamic duo on the ground and watson was the mvp with over 330 total yards and two touchdowns. clemson stays perfect with a 37-17 victory. the other semi final featured the match up with a team who was the only to make it from last season back. alabama. they were facing michigan state,
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the big ten champs. and this 57 yard punt return here for a touchdown, and jacob coker he played the game of his life throwing two touchdowns and bama's 38-0 smack down of the spartans. in just ten days they play in arizona. cnn will be there giving you coverage. and the rose bowl is today. >> that is a look at your new year's morning headlines. alisyn and crazy chris, back to you. so at the stroke of minnesota it officially became an election year. congratulations. >> feels good. >> all eyes on the presidential race but there are plenty of key congressional races to watch as well. how will donald trump's rise
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effect the republican reign in both houses of congress. here to illustrate it all is cnn chief national correspondent john king. happy new year john. >> i'm going to take a vacation can i have all year off? >> no. this is going to be a busy year fur you. let's start right now. what do you predict the trump effect will be not just on the presidential race but all the other congressional races. >> it will be easier in march or april after the primaries but there is no question republicans are worried and democrats are happy right now. you hear hillary clinton and bernie sanders saying all republicans are antimuslim. all republicans are the antiafrican american. all republicans are the antiimmigrant and antihispanic. they are painting the republican party with the trump brush. and worried that some races that are leaning republican right now. could go democratic. if trump stays in the headlines.
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if trump is the nominee they are even more worried. thaw they do think it is a factor. how big? ask me in march, april, may. >> a little of what's going on though is in-house disorder, right? the gop have made big gains since obama has been the president of the united states. and maybe there is a feeling within the party they didn't get what they were bargaining for in terms of this big movement from blue to red across the map you can show us and yet they feel they don't have anything to show for that so they are angry at their own party. >> that's right. look at the house map here. this is the united states of america. 247 house districts. a big majority. and republicans remember this. because let's go back to right after obama was elected. the democrat had the majority in 2007. this is after the election in
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2008. 2012 democrats get a little back. not a big sweep in the second term. only eight seats for the democrats then. 2014. wow boom. and a lot of people on the coast, which are blue tend to forget this. but america is very red. and that is why the republican base is upset. they have this house majority and then they won the senate majority in the midterm elections last time and they don't think they are getting much for it. that's why you have trump and outsiders talking to the republican base saying why do we keep winning but not getting what we want? and that is a big part of the dynamic. >> there are four seats i guess the democrats could retake. >> there are more than that. but first just look at it. >> 34 senate races up. a third is up every cycle. and all the red, republicans are defending 24 seats.
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democrats have ten seats to defend. part depends on the sweep of the presidential election. you have to call that a toss up right now. she's running for reelection. democrats tend to win that state and presidential politics. florida, marco rubio's seat. he's not running for reelection. that's a toss up. one democratic toss up. harry reed. the latino vote. the presidential election will influence florida and nevada. and the presidential election will no doubt influence new hampshire. those are your toss ups and then you look at other races. this is why the trump effect could come in. in pennsylvania has gone blue and presidential politics back to 1988. a republican incumbent running in that state. not a strong democratic challenger at the moment but republicans worry if you have a big democratic surge they could
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lose that one. ohio, rob portman. you would have to say portman should be the incumbent going in but ohio can go back and forth in presidential politics. ron johnson in wisconsin going to run most likely against former senator rus fine goeld. again a state that tends to go blue in politics. so if you have a 15% majority. and i gave you -- republicans are simply worried in a big democratic presidential year we could lose that. >> could have a seven or eight seat swing. that is why they want to be guarded about. and why we're having the debates in vegas. nevada of growing importance in the elections. >> harry reed is retiring in nevada. republicans should be able to win that one.
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except you are dead right, chris. nevada and new mexico used to be swing states in presidential politics. they used to go back and forth. now you have to say they lean democratic if they are not just blue because of the republican failure, mccain and romney, to get the latino vote. watch what happens as we go through this year. but at the moment, especially with the trump effect, republicans are very nervous. they have a strong candidate for the senate seat but they are nervous for a presidential year they get overwhelmed by a wave. >> what happens to all of that momentum? >> if you look at the data donald trump is a third party candidate t data today as we enter the year and if we learn anything in 2015 we should remember in 2016 that things
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change. donald trump as the third party candidate hurts the republican party and almost guarantees a democratic victory. if people come out to vote for trump as an independent, should he do that, they are still going to vote for house and senate. and their choices in almost all of those races are d or r. but that is a potential wild card especially when it comes to turn out operations. you also say hey vote for senate. but the trump factor there becomes pretty strange. >> so what do you have? what is going to be his spirit animal? >> the teddy bear. >> what do you see john king? well he's the human chain saw. how do you attach an animal to that some kind lion. >> i'm going with a liger. a lion/tiger.
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>> happy new year. >> seems more like a purist so me. so we're looking at politics. we're also looking at money. it has been a bumpy ride in 2015. rising and falling markets. what can we expect in the new year? the financial resolutions we should all make now. coming up. i take prilosec otc each morning
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happy new year once again you are probably swearing to stick to a healthier lifestyle
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this year. join a gym, eat more kale. how about our financial health? joining us our chefs of finance, chief business correspondent christine romans. first of all happy new year. and i think this is such ab an important for thing us to talk about. all these resolutions and we often say i want to lower my credit card debt and spend less money. but there are more involved things we can be aware of. and you are going to walk us through some of those resolutions we need to be making. >> absolutely. it's a new year. new year's and your birthday are two times you really look at your money. two times a year. >> mortgage rates here, what are we predicting is going to happen? especially for those maybe thinking of buying a home? refieing? any of that. >> mortgage rates and interest rates are rising and that is true but i still think they are going to rise very slowly and be
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well below historical average. so as the nice time to buy a home. if you want to refinance that could be the biggest money-saving thing you do all year. >> many have already done that. >> a couple of times. >> hello. $400 saved per month. and that is something we should be thinking about too. there is going to be more market volatility and saving could be important this year. >> market volatility and some of rus a little shy and looking at our personal finances in a different way. which brings me to gas prices. we've seen some lows. do you think they are going to stay? >> i think you can look at that money not just falling into something else. i think it is really important to take those savings and build your cash reserves, make sure you have 3-6 month of money on hand for an emergency and really take a look at using that little bit of extra in your monthly budget to pay down highinterest
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credit card debt and get out of debt and start saving and moving forward. >> and it is important to get out of debt before interest rates do rise because then the cost becomes so much higher. but i agree. i think oil is going to be around $50 a barrel this year. because opec is co-n'ting to pump a lot. iranian oil and still the shale boom at home. >> all that news for our personal economy doesn't necessarily mean great news for the energy sector. >> no and it doesn't necessarily mean good news for investors because of the volatility in stock markets and the global demand being week weak, the u.s. is raising and some countries no or negative interest rates so i don't think you should expect to see big gains in the stock market this year. in the stock market portfolio it is incredibly important to be dollar cost averaging, buying stocks every month. periodly know what your mix is for your risk and how long you
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have to retire and put money into a 529 for your kids. college tuition is going occupy so invest for your children's education too. >> and even though the u.s. market is not going to two up the u.s. blue chips are still a great place. just because we're not going to get the returns maybe of the past we're still sort of the pretty house on the ugly block has the global economy. >> we have the time to ask you this looking forward for the others there are probably a couple of people just starting out and thinking okay. i know i'm hearing my parents tell my e need to get into the market. it can be very very overwhelming. what is the best piece of advice for someone? >> absolutely do it. particularly -- >> it is terrifying though when you see the volatility. >> take the long view. if you are a young person -- >> there is room. >> sure. >> there is room for changes and there is going to be volatility this year. no question. but don't sell when the market
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goes down. hang tight. everybody panics. it is our psychology but you got hang tight. and weather the storm. >> there are two kinds of people. the kind who think about how they are going to spend their money and the kind who think about how they are going to grow their money and you want to be the kind of person who's growing your money. you want to make sure you are living on a little less than you bring home every month and the rest you are investing and you do that in the stock market and do that with voesmt investments. they have been over the past six years able to grow household net worth because wages aren't doing it. >> and for those that it can and given the volatility and that some sectors are going the feel their own volatility, the emergency fund, i think this is something you taught me a lot about. is having that little extra cushion. what is the best way to start that? >> it has to be automatic.
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you have to take it out of your paycheck. you have to almost not see that money and it is so important because about half of all americans can't put their hands on even 2,000 dollars if they need in an emergency. you have to have that savings. >> a lot of people are one flat tire away from ruining their budget. you need a little put away but you need to get out of credit card debt. credit card debt is the worst thing. and you have to get out of debt. for young people with student loans. ten years. you got to pay it off in ten years. a lot of kids are trying to get out in under five years because they want to be part of the middle class. >> we gave you a lot of information i know and it is going to seem overwhelming butter hebut you are here all yearlong. thank you so much. >> happy new year. speaking of resolutions, president obama has one. making it a top priority for 2016 which of course is his final year in office. we're talking about gun control. will there really finally be
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happy new year to both of you gentlemen. you are a very interesting pairing on this topic. let's start with the common ground. you come from similar positions in terms of your families used guns. you are from hunting families. you know how to use guns. you shoot guns, yet you are on different sides of the gun control issue. charles starting with you, what do you think lawmakers plan to
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do about gun control in the coming year? >> i don't think there is necessarily a plan and i don't think there is necessarily going to be a lot of progress. what ends up happening is the debate runs up against the constitutional structure of the country. the gun debate overlaps with wide open spaces in the country and people who want more regulation are generally in the clustered urban spaces. but because of the way the senate is structured, every state, no matter how wide open, how few people are in that state still have two senators. brooklyn has more population than all of alaska. but new york state is only going to have two senators just like alaska has two senators. so when you get down to voting on an actual kind of more regulations. the people in alaska who are more hunting culture are going to say those centers will say my
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constituents don't necessarily want this so i'm not going to support this. >> and that's why it's been such a challenge in congress to see any sort of action. but then president obama said after the tragedy in newtown he could do what he could and sounds like he's eyeing executive actions on gun control. >> i think you will see a lot of executive actions especially closer to the end of his presidency and something he wants to be a part of his legacy. but if they really want to get something done on capitol hill i think there are things charles and i and others can agree on. and that is probably taking smaller steps to deal with specific issues. one of those would be mental health. i think there is bipartisan support that can be found on dealing with mental health and what we should do with mental health when it comes to buying a gun or not being able to purchase one if you are committed against your will by a state or by a judge. those are types of things i think congress could have
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success on. if they try to turn it into a massive gun control law, it will not pass. there are not the votes there. if you have leadership here and focus on simple issues where you can find the common ground i actually think they could probably get something done most americans would support. >> how about that point of compromise? everybody after newtown and after the aurora movie theater said we need the mental health gun nexus to be dealt with somehow. >> i do believe there is a mental health component but i don't think that you can necessarily take on mental health without dealing with the 40% of transfers of weapons that require no background checks whatsoever. >> he's saying baby steps. >> right. but i'm saying 40% transfers that don't require any checks that is going to be really hard to deal with the mental health piece because it is only dealing with the 6% that do require some sort of background check. you have to combine a couple of these in order to make them actual work. >> excellent point.
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so tackle that. the gun show loophole as it is called means there are private transfers that don't have to be recorded. there are no background check. so with mental health how are you going to tackle that? >> when it comes to private deals, if you come at this from a sensible solution, which is hey, if i'm buying a gun from my dad in law enforcement and we've traded guns multiple times since i've been a young adult, that is an example of where you have a caveat for that i think you can find some common ground. there are many people who say if i'm trading a gun with my neighbor or with a hunting buddy who says would really love that and let's do a trade. that is where you have something like that, that does take place a lot. there are a lot of people in hunting clubs for example that have club guns where somebody wants to go use and it they trade with another person that happens all the time. >> why is that paperwork so
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onerous to ask you just to record that transaction? >> it's onerous because you have to go through a licensed arm dealer. you have to then pay another fee on top of it. depending on the class of firearm it can be extremely expensive. and in some cases you have to even set up a trust and have each person use that gun on a trust. when you look at the paperwork i would point to the federal government. they have made it so hard to do these things. if they would streamline the process i think you would have a lot of people that would agree on it. >> but i think even, you know, more common than even maybe gun shows and more common than hunting clubs is intergenerational transfers. you have a grandfather, he's holder. doesn't hunt anymore. we had guns my whole life. me and my brothers. and other than the bee bee guns and belt guns we never bought the real guns. there was a grandfather t uncle.
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>> so lawmakers don't need to tackle that part -- what i am saying is just because the father or grandfather was a responsible gun owner that has nothing to do with the person they are passing it down too. i believe that transfer needs to be recorded and there has to be some check on the mental stability and criminal background of the person who is coming into possession of that gun. right now that is not necessarily the case and i think that that becomes a loophole that gets fuzzy mofor people. because we want to say it is in my family i should be able to do whatever i want to within my family. >> many people are going to say this. it is not a loophole because lar law that says if you are a convicted felon you are not allowed to own a firearm whether it is given to you or not. >> sure, but if you are not a convicted felon. if you have maybe some mental instability that becomes an issue. >> and many of our shooters are
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not convicted felons. >> and if we can just focus first off on the mental health side of this and build momentum from it, there also is a big trust issue here. you have people on both sides who do not trust the other side and they think they are always going to go for something a step further. if they can just focus on one piece at a time, that could be where we could actually be having conversation next new year's about wow, we did some good this year and it made sense. otherwise we are not going to get anything done at all. >> ben, charles, thanks so much at least to get a small point of compromise there. happy new year. charmin ultra strong. it's 4 times stronger, and you can use up to 4 times less. enjoy the go with charmin.
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>> right now in tel aviv, the oo

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