tv Early Start With John Berman and Christine Romans CNN February 1, 2016 2:00am-3:01am PST
right now. all right. it is good time. in just hours, the iowa caucuses begin. the first contest of the 2016 campaign. candidates making their last minute pitches to voters late into the night. with tight races on both sides of the aisle who comes out on top tonight? welcome to "early start." i'm christine romans in new york. john has the front row seat there. >> i am in the front row seat in the mars cafe in des moines, iowa. john berman here. it is monday, february 1st. 2016. you know what that means! it is caucus day at last. it is finally here. after all of the months of campaigning and town hall speeches and debates, hours from now, the first actual voters cast the first actual votes in the 2016 presidential race. iowa caucuses officially here.
candidates are campaigning everywhere across the state. engaged in the vast turnout effort. they want to get their voters to the right caucuses at the right time with the right knowledge about how to cast the votes. everyone says it all comes down to turn out which is about the most overworn cliche in politics. on the republican side, the main battle is between donald trump and ted cruz. cnn's jim acosta is following the campaign. >> reporter: john, donald trump was here in sioux city, iowa with jerry falwell jr., where they accused ted cruz of dishonest attacks. he predicted a win here in iowa and that could make his candidacy unstoppable. >> we have to win in iowa. a lot of people say donald do
well in iowa. i can't do that. i really want to win. maybe it won't work that way. if we do, we will run the table. you will have victories all over the place. >> reporter: trump handed out a check for $100,000 for veterans the support of the rally he had last week after skipping the debate. john and christine. >> on the democratic side, hillary clinton and bernie sanders. they are in a tight race. running essentially neck and neck. all the polls show hillary clinton with a two or three-point lead here. both campaigns think the polls are more or less accurate. that doesn't mean hillary clinton will definitely win. why not? because of the bernie sanders support. filled with young first time voters sending the rallies bursts at the seams. will they show up to caucus? cnn's jeff zeleny attended a bernie sanders event.
>> reporter: with caucus day here, bernie sanders had a bounce in his step as he made his final stop of the night in des moines speaking to hundreds of screaming supporters. in the same venue where hillary clinton was only a few days earli earlier. the difference in energy and enthusiasm was palpable. >> months ago, we were 41 points behind. we have come a long way in eight months. >> reporter: bernie sanders is trying to drive young voters to the polls. young women voters are the key demographic for his campaign. they are being contacted in the final day making sure they show up in the town meetings across the state of iowa. the bernie sanders supporters believe they are strong in college towns and urban areas.
the question is how much support in rural areas? they hope the power of social media through snapchat and facebook and instagram and others will help drive young voters to the polls. bernie sanders announced he raised $20 million in january alone with the average contribution of $27. he believes that is a sign he reached beyond iowa and this campaign can go on regardless of iowa as he heads to new hampshire and the rest of the states as this campaign finally gets under way. john and christine. >> jeff zeleny for us following the bernie sanders campaign. here with me at the mars cafe in des moines, iowa, is colleen mccain nelson and then eric bradner. i get beat up on on twitter for not noticing the bernie sanders crowds. they are passionate and
electric. it is unbelievable. it is impressive. what are the strengths of that and what are the limitations? >> you are absolutely right. without fail, the crowds are electric and so enthusiastic. every time. everywhere he goes, he draws a huge crowd. he goes to places he has chosen strategically. he appeals to a specific section of the democratic party. some people outside of the democratic party. he is popular in college towns in iowa and in urban areas. he is not popular everywhere in iowa. he goes place is where he can draw big crowds. there are advantages to that, but question marks related to that. bernie sanders is relying on notably unreliable voting blocks. he is counting on young people and who never caucused before or don't have an attachment to the democratic party to come out and vote for him. they are showing up and yelling
and screaming and feeling the bern. the question is will they come to the caucus and stay for the evening. >> the fact of the matter is, they all could show up. sanders could win by five points and people say the passion was real and it turned into votes. eric, on the hillary clinton side. i went to the event at the college and it was a tiny room and the former president of the united states is talking to a small group of people in the subdued way. hillary clinton had a similar event event in grand view. >> they are after democrats. people part of the process for a long time and now how it works and reliable and definitely will show up. they are looking at african-american voters, smaller number in iowa, but still here. it can make a difference. they are courting a lot of minorities here. hillary clinton is focused on
urban areas. she spent a lot of time in counties she lost in 2008. bernie sanders is doing events in rural areas in addition to college towns. if he can get people to show up in the middle of nowhere, that is important for him than going back to ames or iowa city and getting another huge crowd. hillary clinton is trying to turn out the core group of democrats, reliable people that showed up in 2004 when turnout was half of what it was in 2008. if bernie sanders fails at expanding dramatically, she is in position to win. >> the clinton campaign praying there is not so wave here of new voters. crossing their fingers. no one i talked to sees a wave. they don't think greater than in
'08. we heard from ted cruz a while ago, colleen, no one stood up against obamacare like i have. then he says no one stood up and fought against amnesty like i have. he is talking about marco rubio. he is fighting both sides right now. >> absolutely. he is trying to frame himself as the most conservative republican in the race. he is saying don't take a chance on these guys. you will see i will fight to the death. for better or worse. he is trying to make the argument that he is the most conservative candidate among them. you have seen his lead slip away in the last few weeks. he has suffered under attacks from donald trump. that has hurt him. he has lost traction here in the last few weeks. >> and eric, the trump campaign conceding nothing. especially among the evangelical vot voters.
with jerry falwell jr. and sarah palin. >> evangelical voters are important in iowa. ted cruz has been saying, look, go with one of your own. donald trump is saying i have the strength to defend you. he is making a real effort to reach out to them. he built an organization here. there are 44 counties in western iowa he spent time in and devoted resources to. if he can convince them that perhaps he is not one of them, but he can defend them against the changing of the tide of the united states, then he could win. all he has to do is keep it close. not get blown out by ted cruz in those areas. he will have a good night. >> all right. just over what? 14 hours now until the voters actually show up. eric bradner and colleen mccain nelson, thank you. christine, in last few years, since you moved away from the great state, there are all these
suburbs now, too, that is a relatively new phenomena. it is a different voter he is trying to reach. >> he is trying to separate himself from the governors. he wants iowans to think it's him. >> it is interesting. a great point. marco rubio is fighting with ted cruz here in iowa. tomorrow in new hampshire, he has a totally different fight and focus. rubio will focus on jeb bush and christie and john kasich. >> as of today, it is iowa. we are watching the forecast. you may get snow there, john. thanks, john. other news, three dangerous inmates who escaped from the california jail cell, they are now back behind bars. the details on their capture are really interesting. we have that next. off script. so if i wanna go to jersey and check out shotsy tuccerelli's portfolio, what's it to you?
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the california jail worker accused of helping three violent inmates escape will head to court today. charged with accessory to a felony. the three fugitives back behind bars in orange county. one turned himself in on friday. the last two arrested after a tip from someone who saw their stolen van in a parking lot of whole foods in san francisco. we have more from cnn's dan simon. >> reporter: john and christine, you hear police say if you see something, you should say something. that came into play here in the ashbury neighborhood of san francisco. someone in the area recognized the fugitives and flagged down police. >> get on the ground. i knew that was more than a homeless person. >> a citizen saw something
suspicious and that officer led to the apprehension of two suspects. >> i can say the entire state can breathe a sigh of relief because we have the other two dangerous individuals in custody where they should be. >> reporter: authorities had offered a $200,000 reward for information that led to the fugitives capture. the sheriff said the witness here deserves part of the reward. seems like the fair thing to do. john and christine. >> dan, thank you. two virginia tech students held without bail in connection with a kidnapping and murder of a 13-year-old girl. nicole lovell disappeared last week. her body found in north carolina near the virginia border. 18-year-old david eisenhauer is charged with murder. police are not commenting on how the girl died or motive. they say eisenhauer and nicole were acquainted before her
disappearance. a second virginia tech student natalie keepers is charged with helping dispose of the body. investigators plan to release more than 2,000 pages of evidence from last spring's deadly amtrak derailment in philadelphia. eight people were killed and 200 hurt. the black box information could explain why the train was traveling at 106 miles per hour as the engineer hit the curve instead of 50 miles an hour. stocks slipping around the world. asian stocks ended mixed after weak manufacturing report from china. after a rally on friday, here is how we stand in 2016. dow down 5.5%. nasdaq down 7.8%. the s&p is down 5%. it is a bad omen for the rest of the year. the january barometer. the old wall street saying as goes january, so goes the year.
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in just hours, the first contest in the 2016 presidential race begins. candidates in iowa making the last-minute cases to voters before they caucus. who will come out on top? our special live coverage begins right now. welcome back to "early start." i'm christine romans in new york. >> i'm john berman at the mars cafe in des moines, iowa. 30 minutes past the hour.
it is all about iowa because it is finally here after all the months of campaigning and rallies and all the town halls and all the speeches and all the debates. voters get to cast actual votes for president of the united states at the iowa caucuses tonight. today, the candidates will be everywhere. last-minute pitches trying to get the loyal backers to the right caucus site with the right time and the right instructions on how to vote. it is not easy. the saying is it is all about turnout. whoever gets the most turnout gets the most votes. the battle with the republican side is with donald trump and ted cruz. we have cnn's phil mattingly with more. >> reporter: good morning, john and christine. don't roll the dice.
that is what ted cruz is repeating. don't roll the dice on donald trump. someone who gained support in recent polls, but maybe not as aligned with him in his career. don't roll the dice on amnesty. ted cruz spent much of the last couple weeks hammering marco rubio on. ted cruz under firm attack by donald trump. marco rubio swinging to sharp attacks in last couple days. he is trying to push back. >> every candidate will say they oppose obamacare. the question we need to ask is show me when have you stood up and fought against obamacare. every candidate is going to say they oppose amnesty. even if their name is on the leading amnesty bill and they led the fight to try to pass it. the question we should ask is
when have you stood and fought against amnesty and for the rule of law. >> reporter: today, he will reach his 99th county named after chuck grassley. part of the vaunted ground game. they spent millions on digital and knocking on doors to get the key turnout. what will prevail? donald trump? a message that expanded his lead in the polls last couple weeks or ted cruz and the amount he and his team invested in over the last ten months? we will see. john and christine, back to you. >> all right, phil. thank you. that is the republican race. what about the democratic side? hillary clinton and bernie sanders. it has been tight here for weeks. 47% for clinton. 44% for bernie sanders in the latest polling. both campaigns think that is an accurate sense of where things stand heading in to caucus
night. that doesn't mean that clinton is a sure thing. not at all. because bernie sanders has the passion and energy base and people overflowing crowds at rallies. will they show up to caucus? that is the question. that is what the clinton campaign is wrestling with right now. can they overcome that? cnn's brianna keilar at clinton's campaign last night. >> reporter: john, thousands at hillary clinton's last campaign event beforeiowans caucus. hillary clinton making the case she is more electable than bernie sanders and more capable of getting things done in washington. >> if you agree with me that we need to build on the progress we have made, we need to prevent it from being ripped away and undermined by the other party whose views and values are opposed to what i believe, then
i hope you will go caucus for me tomorrow night. i hope you will go. i hope you will stand up for me. i hope you will fight for me. and i promise you this, i will stand up and fight for you every single day of this campaign and then when we win, i will fight for you in the white house. thank you and god bless you. >> reporter: talking to clinton campaign sources, they feel good about hillary clinton's prosp t prospects going into caucus day. she has done all she can when it comes to messaging and polls. the lead is making them feel about, but they are cautious because many of them are haunted by what happened in iowa in 2008. they went into the state and thinking they were going to win and instead she got a third place stinging defeat. john and christine. >> brianna keilar following the clinton campaign.
let's talk about where things stand just a few hours before voters line up to caucus. i'm joined by white house correspondent colleen mccain nelson and with eric bradner. again, we are at the mars cafe in des moines. colleen, what is the turnout effort we heard about? what does it involve over the next few hours? >> hillary clinton is probably not going to be doing a lot of rallies in the next few hours. instead, she will probably stop by and talk to some campaign volunteers and get the troops fired up. there will be a very concerted effort to organize the volunteers. the good news for hillary clinton is that she had a months long head start on bernie sanders in this regard. she spent a long time building the huge operation. bernie sanders was not expected to do well overall and not expected to do this well in
iowa. he was drawing big crowds, but not drawing the infrastructure. he had to play catch up and build an infrastructure in 99 iowa counties. >> you know, in these campaigns, they are dragging supporters to the caucus sites. you need a ride? i'll give you a ride. you need someone to open the door? i'll open the door for you. >> i was at the sanders' organizing office a few days ago. a young volunteer was excited because she tried to reach someone 18 times. on the 19th time, got them. it is calling, texting, e-mailing, door knocking, everything. all about reaching the people they amassed contact information for. colleen said ten months for clinton and two months for sanders. sanders is trying to turnout people who have not participated
in the past. college students. people he may not have reached in the course of campaigning. he is hoping for an organic turnout that could reach not fight 2008 levels, but high 100,000. something like that. it will be a challenge. >> donald trump has a similar challenge on the republican side. >> absolutely. he has done everything differently from start to finish on the campaign. he has not immediately hired the normal political advisers you have seen. you see him hiring people on "the apprentice" for starters and filling in with more normal political hands. it is unclear what his infrastructure looks like when you look closely under the hood. in talking with donald trump voters, you eventually hear them say, i have been hearing from the campaign. they seem to be more organized. not to the degree you see with the other campaigns.
the other campaigns will call you up and tell you where the caucus site and offer you a ride. trump supporters say they have not heard real detailed instruction. >> the messagesmessagesing from donald trump campaign seems interesting. >> and spent a lot of time in the closing days going after evangelical voters. that is the group that ted cruz is expected to do well with. in the 44 counties west of des moines, where we are now, more rural and conservative and they could be key. if cruz could win by a significant margin, that means he wins iowa. trump spent a lot of time going after them in recent days campaigning with jerry falwell jr. he is out with sarah palin today. trump is really built an
impressive organization here. he is not totally flying by the seat of his pants. he is for real. he has experienced iowa operatives. he is like bernie sanders. he needs a bigger turnout. >> colleen and eric, thank you for being with us. fascinating to see what happens here in iowa. i should say obviously it doesn't end tonight in iowa. after the caucus tonight, everyone, all of us, all of the candidates and campaign staffs go to new hampshire in just two days. cnn has an amazing event. cnn town hall with the candidates, martin o'malley and hillary clinton and bernie sanders on stage with anderson cooper in the town of derry. that will be fascinating. someone will come out of here with momentum and someone will come out of here with a grudge. christine. >> it will be interesting, john,
to see if team trump can get all of the people lining up in the cold to see him speak, if they can get them to turn out at 8:00 p.m. to go and actually caucus for him. >> you know, he placed a bet. he hired real iowa strategists months ago. people are saying does he mean it? if you are a political junkie, you know who these guys are. it does seem that there is a little bit of the machinery you need in to campaign in a traditional way. donald trump has bought a campaign machine and it may be working. will they be able to get that last bit from voters from the kitchens to the caucus sites? we will know. >> kitchen to the caucus site. a different candidate running a different campaign. i like it, john. other news we are following. three dangerous inmates who
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welcome back to "early start." the california jail worker accused of helping three inmates escape will make her first court appearance today. she is charged with accessory to a felony. the three fugitives are back behind bars after a week on the run. one fugitive turned himself in on friday. last two were arrested after a tip from someone who saw the stolen van in the parking lot of a whole foods in san francisco. we have more from dan simon. >> reporter: john and christine, the one thing you hear police say is if you see something, say something. that came to play here in ashbury neighborhood in san francisco. >> get on the ground. get on the ground.
i knew that was more than a homeless person. >> a citizen saw something suspicious. notified an officer. that ultimately led to the apprehension. >> i can say this morning that the entire state can breathe a sigh of relief because we have the two dangerous individuals back in custody where they should be. >> reporter: authorities offered a $200,000 reward that led to the fugitives capture. the sheriff said the witness deserves part of that reward. seems like the fair thing to do. john and christine. >> dan, thank you. two virginia tech students held without bail in connection with a kidnapping and murder of a 13-year-old girl. nicole lovell disappeared last week. her body found saturday in north carolina near the virginia border. 18-year-old david eisenhauer is charged with murder. police are not commenting on how
she died or possible motive. they say eisenhauer and nicole were acquainted before her disappearance. a second virginia tech student, natalie keepers, is charged with helping dispose of the body. later today, investigators plan to release more than 2,000 pages of evidence from the deadly amtrak derailment in philadelphia. eight were killed and more than 200 hurt. the evidence is expected to include data from the train's black box and it could explain why the engineer was traveling at 106 miles an hour as he entered a sharp curve near the philadelphia station. the speed limit for that curve was 50 miles an hour. four anti-government protesters holed up in the oregon refuge in the standoff that has gone on for a month. authorities are concerned about the negotiations after the protesters reported they lost communications channels. they are the last of the armed occupiers who took over the headquarters. the group's leader, ammon bundy
was arrested last week and his follower was killed in a shootout with police. attorneys for dzhokhar tsarnaev are seeking so overturn his conviction and death sentence. they filed a notice of appeal last week. earlier this month, a federal judge denied tsarnaev's request for a new trial after his lawyers claimed he could not get fair treatment in boston. time for an early start on your money. big rally on friday. global markets dropping this morning after a weak reading on manufacturing in china. oil prices are down as well. the iowa caucuses are happening today. the economy is the topic of conversation there. the recent cnn/orc poll shows the economy is number one among democrats and republicans. it is more important than terrorism or foreign policy. the unemployment rate in iowa is 3.4%. below the national average.
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with the zika virus exploding to two dozen countries, the world health organization is holding an emergency meeting in geneva to come up with a plan to halt the outbreak. travel warnings are in effect for pregnant women and they could declare an emergency of international concern. the virus was first noticed in uganda. we have cnn's david mckenzie there.
the virus was named in the forest where you are. >> reporter: that is right, christine. the zika forest found in 1947. all those years passed by with zika unknown to the general population only infecting a few humans and exploding on the scene in brazil with devastating effects. the fact is scientists in the area that test viruses, particularly mosquito-borne viruses, say they find new ones all the time. >> we don't know for sure. we don't know confidently what is in the forests. we have not done enough. we can't say we know anything. every other year, we come across new viruses. in the last five years or so, almost each year, we come across a new virus in the country. >> reporter: this is the bio-diversity hot zone,
christine. that is why it is important for further study of viruses. initially, they did not think the zika virus warranted attention like the yellow fever got and did not get a vaccine. >> interesting, david, it got from uganda to brazil and now outbreaks in latin america. how did that happen? >> reporter: well, we don't know exactly how it happened. that is part of the mystery behind zika. it effectively vanished off the face of the earth for decades. cropping up in micronesia. they believe the strain of virus here in uganda and one that hit brazil are two separate ones. the asian lineage appears to be a mutated virus or evolved virus that attacks humans more effectively and potentially with more harm. there is not a direct link yet
to the birth defects and autoimmune issues. there could be very difficult period ahead. many scientists say areas like this need constant study to prevent something like this taking everyone by surprise. >> david mckenzie in the zika forest. thank you. let's get an early start on your money. welcome to february. stocks around the world are lower this morning. weak manufacturing data from china and lower oil prices. recent college graduates are getting jobs and making more money. millennials are entering the best labor markets in years. graduates ages 22 to 27 fell to 4.9% last year. median incomes rose to $43,000. wages for the same age group of high school diplomas are falling at $25,000 a year.
look at the starting salaries by major incomes. chemical engineers earn the most out of college. theology and religion earn the least in that study. and president obama wants students better prepared. he is asking congress for big time funding. computer science for all will teach tech skills. obama plans to ask congress for $4 billion to help states increase computer science budget. additional $135 million would come from science foundations. the money used to train teachers and pay for key instruction materials and resources. the president also wants help from the corporate sector to get everyone up to speed in public education on computer science. 57 minutes past the hour.
the big show begins. go-time for the iowa caucuses. the first contest of the 2016 presidential campaign. "new day" picks it up from here. we want to make america great again. that's what we want to do. >> i hope you all fight for me. i will fight for you in the white house. >> we will beat hillary clinton. >> you need to have a president who knows what he's talking about. >> ted cruz is a total liar. >> as more people learn about his record, they will learn he is very calculated. >> shame on donald trump. >> this is a serious issue. >> this is like benghazi. it is clear they are grasping at extras. >> we are going to have a winner, you better believe it.
this is new day with chris cuomo, al sis camerota and mikayla. >> the mars cafe. welcome to our viewers in the united states and around the world. this is "new day", monday, february 1st. allison and i are coming to you live from des moines, iowa. show then the headline, my friend. caucus. that was the headline work. >> it has an 'em claimation point. caucus! >> 61 precincts to canvas. the most unpredictable presidential race we have ever witnessed to this point. the hype is over. who makes history tonight? >> so candidates making their final push across iowa's 99 counties which get under way 14
hours from now. turnout tonight will be the key. because this race is razor thin on both sides. can donald trump show his strong showing into caucusgoers. can hillary clinton fend up bernie sanders. first we have the iowa caucuses covered only the way cnn can. hi, sunlen. >> reporter: hi. they are so close in the latest polls. equally as important to watch is the battle for third. if marco rubio is able to close the gap and make a strong showing, that can go a long way to alter the race and change the dynamic going forward. >> you haven't had a winner in iowa in 16 years. we're going to have a winner, you better believe it. >> republicans in iowa are waking up