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tv   The Lead With Jake Tapper  CNN  March 15, 2016 1:00pm-2:01pm PDT

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>> president obama says the musical "hamilton "is the only thing he and former vice president cheney agree on. stay with cnn all day coverage. super tuesday. there you very. brooke baldwin. "the lead" starts right now. it's decision day in six stated and territories. can donald trump deliver the knockout he promised? will bernie sanders score more upsett upsets? "the lead" starts right now. good afternoon, welcome to a special edition of "the lead." i'm jake tapper. super tuesday iii could be decision day on several fronts. 358 delegates at stake. 165 of them in the crucial winner take all state of ohio and florida. donald trump began his super
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tuesday by winning the nine delegates of the northern mariana islands. whether you've ever heard of the northern mariana islands trump's victory, 14 pacific islands was pivotal because, according to republican national committee rule number 40, to be in contention for the republican presidential nomination, a candidate has to have won, quote, the support of a majority of the delegates from each of eight or more states or territories. and the northern marianas were donald trump's eighth victory with a majority of delegates. he's now the only republican candidate eligible for the presidential nomination. to be even considered for the nomination, according to current rules, ted cruz has four more states to go. marco rubio has six. and john kasich has, well, eight. a short time after his pivotal victory, trump spoke with nbc news and asked if a big win this evening would get the republican
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party to rally around him. >> i do, i mean they're already calling. i have the biggest people in the party, they want to sit down, they want to make the writers, i have a lot of respect for him -- >> the ryan office clarifying he called because donald trump asked him to call. for john kasich and marco rubio, it's go big in your home states or go home. kasich and trump running neck and neck in the buckeye state of ohio. rubio needs an epic upset to take florida. ted cruz is running a major tv ad campaign in every super tuesday primary state except florida. looking to strengthen his grippen 0 the number two spot. president obama weighed innen the republican race today with choice words for the tone of the race. >> we have heard vulgar and divisive rhetoric aimed at women and minorities, and americans who don't look like us or pray like us or vote like we do, and
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we've heard silence from too many of our leaders. >> the president and first lady also voted today in their home state primary, illinois, by abisna absentee ballot. we have reporters with candidates and voters as we await the first exit poll results. we begin with jim acosta in palm beach, florida. you heard mr. trump sounding positive about tonight. is it possible he's going 6 for 6? >> reporter: well, jake, i talked to a top trump campaign official in florida who said, yes, they are confident they will win here, maybe not as much as the margin suggested in the polls because this marco rubio's home state but they are confident, nonetheless. trump has been saying all day, as you said, members of the gop establishment have been calling him. it's important to note, both speaker paul ryan and senate majority leader mitch mcconnell said trump called them and as
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for mcconnell he made it clear he told trump today the gop front-runner would be well served if he were to discourage the violence taking place at his rallies. at this point, jake, trump's campaign is more concerned where things will stand after tonight. if he pulls a super tuesday sweep he's in the driver's seat. >> so much at stake, thanks, jim. sara murray at rubio campaign headquartered in miami, florida. rubio was sounding fairly, let's call it, reflective last night, his hopes all pinned today on his home state of florida. what's the mood in the campaign right now? >> reporter: that's absolutely right, jake. he gave the speech in west palm beach where he reflected on 11 months he's been in the race and sounded a warning about the idea of donald trump as potential republican nominee essentially saying this is not a man who reflects our values, what the
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republican party stands for. but just in the last 24 hours marco rubio has been out there doing interviews and saying, irrespective of what happens in florida, he's planning to go on to utah. now, he's saying that just to reiterate, even if he loses his moment state of florida, he's still planning to go on. he said this in multiple different interviews. that would be a tough sell to donors and his supporters going forward. if you have not won your home state, it's going to be difficult to go to a place like utah, wisconsin, and to convince voters you still have a chance not just of winning states but to take on donald trump to win the nomination. >> sunlen serfaty is at cruz campaign headquartered in houston, texas. cruz is focusing in on one state tonight, governor kasich's state, ohio. what is cruz's calculation in ohio? >> reporter: yeah, this is interesting, jake. the cruz campaign has been squarely focused leading to today on picking up delegates in north carolina, illinois,
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missouri. but there is a surprising last-minute focus within the cruz campaign on ohio tonight. now, the cruz campaign is certainly not predicting a win in ohio but they do say that it's a potential big opportunity to close the gap with donald trump, to close the gap with john kasich, in that state. they've been spending big money in the last few days on tv ads, nearly 500,000 dollars in that state and a few others combined, really see as potential, of course, ohio is a winner take all state. there's no runner-up delegates on the table. but the cruz campaign sees their consolation prize potentially coming out of tonight as closing the gap,. >> sunlen serfaty, thank you so much. joining me on the phone, governor of ohio, john kasich. thanks for joining us. >> reporter: glad to do it, jake. >> so, how confident are you about winning ohio tonight? you basically said that it is make or break for you.
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>> we're totally confident, jake. we're doing well. we have a great ground game. good momentum and a good record and pottive campaign. we're going to do well here. i'm scheduled to leave tomorrow morning for philadelphia and places, you know, on the schedule. so, we feel very good. >> as you know, governor, rule 40 of the republican national committee states that a candidate must win majority of delegates in at least four states in territory to be nominee. if you win ohio, you will still have seven more to go. where else do you think you can win? >> i don't know, jake. i don't know the ones that are. coming. that's the process question. i kind of leave that to the campaign. but with momentum we're gaining we believe we're going to be very strong going forward. i have to have you talk to all of my campaign strategists because i'm trying to take care of today. >> you responded to a new tv ad from an anti-donald trump super pac featuring women repeating quotes that trump has made about women.
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here's a clip of that ad. >> bimbo. >> dog. >> fat pig. >> real quotes from donald trump about women. >> a person who is very flat-chested is very hard to be a ten. i'd like her right in the fat ugly face. >> look at that face. would anyone vote for that? >> you said this morning that you just saw that tv ad and you're going to have more to say about comments. i guess my question is, were you not aware that donald trump has made comments like this? >> jake, it's really interesting because when we had the debate, you were the moderator, you did a fine job, but in those debates, i'm not paying a lot of attention to the details of the questions. and, frankly, after the friday problems in chicago, i actually had my press people give me all of his quotes at rallies and, you know, i just didn't know the extent of them, to tell you the truth i'm too busy doing what i
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need to do. and this commercial, you know, which i just saw yesterday, i was not aware of all of this. it's deeply disturbing. it really is. this is not what we would expect out of a leader of our country. look, today i'm focused on ohio and we'll have more to say when we get down the road. >> so, i guess my question is, beyond your being offending by the comments, do you also think that if donald trump ends up the nominee, a premise that i know you're not going to buy into, if he does that could help deliver the election to hillary clinton? is that also a concern? >> jake, today is election day in ohio. i've said everything that i want to say about mr. trump. today is ohio. tomorrow is another day. the sun will come up and we'll have -- i'll have more to say whenever i'm prepared to say more. >> all right. governor john kasich of ohio, best of luck to you today, sir. >> sorry you didn't get a lot
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there, but you know it is election day in ohio. i've got to be focused here, my friend. >> i hear ya. i'll hit you up later. thanks so much, governor. joining me our panel for the hour, national correspondent and host of "inside politics" john king, maggie halverman, skoernt for "the new york times," analyst david gergen, gloria borger, and cnn political commentators donald trump supporter kayleigh mceneny, mary katharine ham, and hillary clinton, and former mayor of philadelphia, michael nutter and bill press and a bernie sanders supporters. john, start with you. do you think john kasich really had never heard comment s abos donald trump has made about women. >> no, with a crowded field he thought his lane in the race
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would be mr. positive, i'm blue collar, economics message. if he wins ohio and rubio loses florida it's more than likely we lose marco rubio and then john kasich is the establishment candidate against donald trump and he has no choice but to be tougher. this is his moment. if he gets the moment he's going to have to turn on trump aggressively if he's going to win in the future and compete with ted cruz to be the alternative. he was drafting, if you will, off the other candidates. but he may be the last establishment man standing tomorrow morning. >> kayleigh, you're a trump supporter. a matter 0 of historical record no republican has gone on to win the presidency if he didn't win ohio in the general election. do you think ohio is going to be an area of strength for donald trump or might this be a loss for him tonight? >> it could be a loss technically speaking but if he comes close to john kasich that is a win. it's important to emphasize john kasich won ohio by 31 points less than two years ago in the rate in the gubernatorial race.
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so the fact that he's fighting for his home state, the fact that donald trump very well could win florida and do so handedly come close to ohio or win ohio home states are usually givens. it's not a given tonight. donald trump is performing that strongly among union workers, blue car workers in the home state of john kasich. no matter what happens, if he comes within five points of kasich that is a win. >> mayor nutter, you're a supporter of hillary clinton. where are you on the donald trump phenomenon? one of the democrats who thinks he's going to be easy to beat or subscribe more to caylee's theory, including bill cosby, that he has a -- bill clinton that he has a following 0 of white klatt workers. >> he has a following. no candidate is easy. it's presidency of the united states of america. if he gets to be the republican nominee, i fully expect that democratic party will win the presidency and we will have a very, very good candidate and
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mr. trump will then have to explain much of the bizarreness that's been going on in the course of the race. >> we'll have more talk about all sorts of business tsarnaiza. florida, 99 delegates. the biggest prize of the night. will it be marco rubio's last stand. >> slamming bill clinton for this. >> millions and millions and millions and millions of people look at that pretty picture of america he painted and they cannot find themselves in it to save their lives. >> who is bill clinton talking about? hint, it's not bernie sanders. counting down to the first exit poll results. stay with us. ♪
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edition of "the lead." fewer than three hours away from when the first polls close, and the fight for florida taking center stage. moments ago donald trump tweeted, quote a lot of complaints from people saying my name is not on the ballot in various places in florida. hope it's false. the florida secretary of state says it's not the case. what are you hearing there?
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>> reporter: we reached out to the secretary of state's office an hour ago, that we first saw this tweet that donald trump tweeted out to all of his followers that those complaints that his name wasn't on the ballot and he said we hope this is false. so, we reach out to the secretary of state's office pinpointed where complaints were coming from. it is in palm beach county here in the state of florida, palm beach county, you may remember, infamous forever in florida politics and national politics that's where the hanging chads of 2000 and the year 2000 where they originated. but there's a perfectly reasonable explanation for what is happening here according to the secretary of state's office. florida has a closed primary. no party affiliation, if you do not have a party, you do not get a ballot for a democrat or a republican. what people got in palm beach county was a local municipal ballot and donald trump's name was not on there. that's what we're hearing from the secretary of state's office.
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>> palm beach county, looking at you. thanks so much. tonight, all eyes on ohio. governor john kasich is betting on his home team advantage to help him score ohio's 66 delegates it's a winner take all state one of tonight's biggest prizes. dan simon live at a polling station in north olmsteed, ohio. >> reporter: not surprisingly in our unscientific survey john kasich is doing well with republicans voters but democrat voters as well. the same can be said of donald trump. a spoke to a 59-year-old construction worker supported democratic candidates his entire life. today he supported donald trump. let me explain. when you come to the desk if you're a voter in ohio, you can choose either a democratic ballot or republican ballot. republicans here on the pink side, democratic ballots here on the green side. so the bottom line is, that crossover vote could be critical in determining the winner
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tonight. i can tell you that voter turnout has been extremely high high at this one precinct and the same can be said throughout the entire state, according to the secretary of state. jake, back to you. >> panel's back with me now. david gergen, we're all looking at ohio and florida. if kasich is not able to win ohio and rubio's not able to win florida, what, what happens? >> that's the importance of tonight's election, clarifying election. all the way aen lo we've been waiting for a nice that would tell us what the path forward is. tonight is that night. we'll come out knowing either donald trump has a broad clear path or it's a rocky path and he may not get there. on the other side, hillary has to shake loose from bernie sanders or is he going to stay in there? bernie's not going to take the nomination away from her. if he has the force, he will have enormous power at the
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convention, the platform, what position she'll be taking in the general election and what a hillary clinton presidency would look like. >> maggie, right now donald trump with his victory in the northern mariana islands the only one eligible to have his name in contention at republican convention. other candidates are hoping they're able to do that. >> this might be the first rules committee meeting at rnc broadcast in prime time, a sk scramble. >> if they let cameras in. >> trump is the only one who qualifies to be nominated on that first ballot. ted cruz won some states but he's not there yet. john kasich hopes to end tonight with a state. it not clear how many people are going to be able to get there. ted cruz probably has the strongest case to make, assuming the polls in florida are right and rubio has a tough night. if you reopen rules and rewrite them, they -- people who have been involved in conventions will say the rules are temporary, they are always reissued. but if it's done in a way to dramatically change it, there's
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an uproar from trump supporters. >> the republican party will suffer an existential crisis. if donald trump wins ohio and if he wins florida, because then they're going to have to decide what do we do next? do we go to the rules committee? do we rewrite this so we can put somebody in at convention. do we tell rubio and kasich and cruz hang in there, guys, which is what the "wall street journal" editorial page wants him to do, all of you hang in there, guys so we can fight donald trump, or do they rally around -- i can't believe i'm saying this -- does the establishment of the republican party ted cruz, the man they loathe? >> one of the ways that donald trump is hoping to get some excitement, not that he needs it, and more attention to his campaign is he got the endorsement from dr. ben carson, who lives in florida, as well as maryland. i don't know that dr. ben carson
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is quite the surrogate that, for instance, you are, take a listen to the radio interview yesterday. >> i have to look at what is practical and what is going to save this country and the american dream for the next generation. is there another scenario that i would have preferred? that scenario isn't available. >> with one of the other candidates, you mean? >> yes. >> there's trump surrogate saying he would have preferred to endorsed somebody else but he went with donald trump. >> right. ben carson, i love him to death but he doesn't always say the exact thing that you would hope he would say. but i think he's being honest and that's why we love ben carson, he's being honest. i commend ben carson for realizing this will likely be the candidate, time to line up behind him. ben carson is not one of people saying i want to take it to a brokered convention and probably destroy the republican party. if donald trump ends with less than a majority of votes and the
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numb nomination is taken from him, i would urge him to run third party. voters feel disenfranchised that would be the ultimate way of disenfranchising voters. >> rubio says he's going to stick in the race no matter what happens. is that a viable option, if he loses his home state, he can keep unaring and running? >> i think it's difficult, partly he's made the argument that florida is the end game. kasich on the other hand has not made that argument and he's been pretty good sticking around without much of a rational except going to ohio. i think he has more to hold on to. the interesting thing in ohio and florida, that i'm seeing, why democrats should not say that trump will not scramble the map or trump won't be unpredictab unpredictable. you have kasich in ohio with 60-some percent approval ratings in ohio and fighting for his life. florida, senator rubio who has
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decent high 40s to low 50s approval rating for his job as senator but many of those large portions of those saying they're voting trump. this is scrambling the entire way that politics works. so don't think in the general it ain't going to do the same thing. >> no, it's crazy. next, hillary clinton telling supporters, don't trust the polls. >> sometimes, you know, the public reporting of polls, you know, somebody might say, well, my candidate is so far ahead i don't need to come out. everybody should come out. >> trying to avoid the replay of a michigan upset. bernie sanders needing big turnouts today. could he stage another sanders surprise? ibs-d. you know the symptoms when they start. abdominal pain. diarrhea. xifaxan can help. prescription xifaxan is a 2-week treatment that can provide you with 6 to 24 weeks of relief from your ibs-d symptoms. specifically, relief from diarrhea
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welcome back to a special edition of "the lead." it's super tuesday iii or call it survival tuesday because in a few hours results could literally end the campaigns of several candidates. on the democratic side, millions are casting votes in five states, nearly 700 delegates at stake. that's why both bernie sanders and former secretary of state hillary clinton pleading with supporters to get out and vote. >> i think if there's a large voter turnout, we're going to do just great. >> sometimes, you know, the public reporting of polls, you know, somebody might say well my candidate is so far ahead i don't need to come out. everybody should come out. there's so much at stake in this election. >> ryan young in chicago, where bernie sanders held an event earlier today. brianna keilar live at clinton campaign headquarters in west palm beach, florida.
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hillary clinton is really, really still shell-shocked about losing michigan last week, where the polls had her up and she actually lost. she's trying to make sure her supporters head to the polls. >> reporter: yeah, that's exactly right. i think her campaign is feeling optimistic about florida here, north carolina, the overall delegate count. but not overly optimistic that she is going to stage a shutout of bernie sanders today. like you mentioned, michigan, they're worried the campaign is that the polls showing she's ahead in ohio, for instance, can't be trusted. they're saying polls are wrong, what they're seeing it's a much closer race. you heard hillary clinton, she was in raleigh, north carolina, imploring voter to get out and vote. warning against complacency and the idea voters saying my candidate is up in the polls i don't have to go out and vote for them. all eyes on michigan, as you said. campaign worried that bernie sanders' attacks on clinton's
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past support for trade pacts like nafta, while she was secretary of state are resonating with voters, particularly in ohio, missouri, illinois. >> back to chicago where bernie sanders just wrapped up a rally and that's where ryan young is. you've been talking to voters there. what are they telling you? >> reporter: a lot of energy here. talking to people who have been going inside to vote. they made the switch over to bernie sanders. that's what we've been hearing throughout the day. especially young people. there are people who say they've been energized by what they've been seeing all day long in terms of bernie sanders coming back to chicago, hitting the streets when you think about that trump event on friday. people were screaming, bernie, bernie, bernie, not talking about hillary. older african-american voters, saying they plan to vote for hillary but the ground swell that we saw, especially with lines that stretched from where i'm standing all the way down the block for early voting, 90%
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of the people that we talked to voting democrat were telling us they were voting for bernie sanders. so you can see a tide shift going on in the city. >> all right. thank you so much. bring back the panel. bill press, bernie sanders' campaign in illinois, where we just heard ryan young, is basically running against the mayor of chicago, rahm emanuel, running a tv ad, who has long and deep ties with the clinton campaign and hillary clinton herself. this seems to be working very well. >> if i were running in chicago i'd be running against rahm emanuel, too, he's probably the least popular person in chicago. i was in chicago a couplef days ago talking with union leaders and members, what else -- the other thing working is trade and jobs, his message there. you know, i talked to several union leaders who said, first, their union endorsed hillary clinton. they were driving cars with bernie sanders stickers on them. their members on the floor, they
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said, voting for bernie sanders over nafta, cafta, and tpp, and hillary clinton on the wrong side of those. that's the number one issue for them. so i think, look, tonight, we've said this united states a pivotal night. i think pivotal for bernie, he has to prove that michigan was not an aberration, this is his home territory now and if he wins one state tonight, i think that's really big for him. if he wins two states, to use his word, it is huge. if he wins three, which is possible, ohio, illinois, missouri, it's mt. vesuvius, the whole night changes. the race changes. >> mayor nutter, i want to bring your attention to what bill clinton said. hillary clinton has been very, very assiduously hugging president obama but bill clinton has been speaking more candidly. take a listen. >> why is there so much intensity and anger and confusion and anxiety? that beautiful picture of the
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future the president painted, millions of americans can't look at that picture and find themselves in their families in it to save their lives. >> what do you think? >> well, i don't know what was in front of the president's comment but was the real on the ground, there has been the greatest recession since the great depression. there has been some recovery. in many, many communities across the united states of america, certainly in philadelphia as well. but if you don't have a job or if you're in a job that is very different than the job you had before, the recovery doesn't mean a whole lot to you. when i was mayor, we had 37% reduction in homicides. but if you heard gunshots last night those numbers don't mean anything to you. if your relative was injured, your reality is your own reality not the overall reality. i do want to go back to one thing bill said. he talked about nafta, cafta, tpp, for a fact that hillary in office voted against cafta and
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voted against tpp -- >> mayor, i'm not voting in illinois and i'm not a union member nor in michigan nor illinois nor ohio but those issues are resonating in those states. bernie sanders has been running ads on trade and jobs in illinois, ohio, missouri. woch watch out for tonight. >> sanders, he not only has to win but he has to win big. because these are not winner take all states. if he wants to cut into hillary clinton's margins with delegates, these have to be, to use your word and his word, huge, huge wins. one benefit that he's got is that these are open contests and so he does very well with independent voters. she does better with democrats. >> right. >> so we'll have to see what kind of crossover. >> gloria, i normally agree with you but i must tell you, bernie sanders wins three tonight, i don't care if he wins by two votes in each one, that is going to be --
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>> huge? >> i think it will be -- it's going to cause a rupture within the clinton camp. what is going wrong here? >> there's an emotional rupture and there's mathematics. >> i agree. >> the emotional rupture, there's two things going on. one the calendar that is coming up before new york is not great for hillary clinton and her campaign is aware of that. there are a bunch of states where she's saying look, i'm leading in delegates as i'm losing and losing and losing and that is what they are worried about. she's held it pretty together since new hampshire which was a pretty big loss. but there are two questions, one is can she win over white working class voters in the fall against a donald trump? and can she essentially wrap this up soon enough so the democrats are not fighting while the republican contests ironically could be resolving. >> the big problem that marco rubio has had. rubio making the argument about delegates.
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and he's losing and losing and losing and nothing succeeds like success. next, who are late deciding voters turning to in missouri? we'll go live to st. louis. just minutes from now, some of the first exit poll numbers expected. you're an at&t small business expert? sure am. my staff could use your help staying in touch with customers. at&t can help you stay connected. am i seeing double? no ma'am. our at&t 'buy one get one free' makes it easier for your staff to send appointment reminders to your customers... ...and share promotions on social media? you know it!
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welcome back to a special edition of "the lead." i'm jake. today could prove to be one of the most pivotal days of the campaign. one state senator bernie sanders is looking to for a possible upset missouri. that's where we find brian todd in st. louis. the democrats, what are you hearing from voters there? >> reporter: talked to a lot of democratic voters, jake, and so far, in this voting place, they are favoring bernie sanders. it's evenly split here.
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i sampled personally more than 80 voters total and it's evenly split among democrats and republicans. bernie sanders has the distinct advantage. the sanders campaign told cnn they feel pretty good about missouri. this was seen as his best chance to win today, and that's playing out in the district. also, we can tell you that people who are late deciders and first-time voters are coming out for bernie sanders. that's a place where he also was seen to have an advantage. the core voters who are, you know, traditional democrats go for hillary clinton. but the secretary of state of missouri today had predicted a higher voter turnout than there was in 2012, that advantage goes to bernie sanders. and that is playing out right now, jake. >> what about on the republican side? >> reporter: interesting there on the republicans, too, there are a lot of late deciders in the precinct and again, split between democrats and republicans. we were told this was a democrat-leaning precinct. the sample we've taken is evenly
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split. late deciders today that we've talked to, and they're going for ted cruz. so far, among those we've polled today, ted cruz has the advantage. this was a place where ted cruz was seen to really have maybe his best chance at a win today. a strong ground game here in missouri. he sent his father here, his wife here. he has been here a couple of times. and also strong infrastructure with people canvassing neighborhoods, making robocalls, knocking on doors seems to be paying off for the precinct. >> one precinct, late deciders who go, have gone to marco rubio, have gone to ted cruz. >> i think ted cruz is take the late decider crown from rubio. cruz performed well in the region, iowa and kansas, there is a chance for him. also an open primary, not as successful as he is in closed ones. we'll see what happens. it does look like if he's going to pull something out this would
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be a good place to do. the fact he shifted his focus to ohio he feels better about other places on the map. >> why do you think -- he's obviously winning, if i were a republican, i'd rather be him than others, but why does he not do well with late deciders. >> you know he's in some ways a polarizing figure, you either like what he does or don't. people who are late deciders say i like this guy, i'm not sure, maybe in the end decide the other way. that's what i think the late deciders. but as to missouri, this is big for ted cruz because he's risked the narrative changing tonight. ted cruz takes a few states, donald trump wins the night. that's the narrative. but tonight it's going to be donald trump and perhaps kasich winning ohio and ted cruz risks not even being a part of the narrative or discussion unless he has a strong showing in missouri a state he should do well in. >> because we haven't been talking about illinois and missouri, the entire week, if he
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overperforms he can exceed expectations. >> don't forget, cruz performance is critical to the overall delegate math. you have florida and ohio winners take all. if trump takes florida, that's 99, that's a big basket of eggs to start the night. cruz has to take away from trump. even if he doesn't win statewide he has to take some delegates in missouri, illinois, north carolina to keep trump's math from getting overly prohibitive. >> what is there in missouri that would make ted cruz think that's a good state for him? >> the birthplace of right-to-life movement, large evangelical. the funny part, missouri's the only one of the states with a democratic governor, jay nixon but a more conservative state than many of the 0er states. plenty of congressional districts, several in the state that cruz can win and get delegates. >> open primary aside, tonight is the first test whether donald trump has had a rough week, this
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is the first time that we're really seeing whether this had resonance with voters, to the point you like him or don't like. people have decided early and accident move from him. but those who decided late did not go with him. we have normally seen people who have won 12, now 13 this morning, start to move up in terms of the percentage of the vote they're taking. we haven't seen that with trump. we saw a couple of states, places like oklahoma, ash arc, where the club for growth airing ads against him. his numbers stayed below 35%. tonight is telling whether he has growth potential in the primary and how much of the republican party might cleave away from him if he's the nominee. >> think about missouri, rick santorum won in missouri and won 55 to romney's 25. the evangelicals, as you were talking about, i think milwaukee a difference. this would be an opportunity for cruz if he doesn't pick up delegates here, substantial number or win, then you could
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say he's got problems in his whole thing that i'm the alternative to donald trump. people may say, wait a minute, you are? i don't think you are. >> go back to the late deciders and the question, it's relevant, how much of an impact has the rallies have, the question of violence. this issue will go on with this. we have evidence, twitter, anecdotal, it solidified among the trump supporters. one of the reports out of the chicago area suggests it's bringing out bernie people because they're mixed up with this now. my own sense is it's going to help him in the primaries but hurt him in the general. what are the keys experts are looking for this evening? and the first exit polling on the crucial super tuesday iii is minutes away. this is a special edition of "the lead."
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♪ no, you're not ♪ yogonna watch it! ♪tch it! ♪ ♪ we can't let you download on the goooooo! ♪ ♪ you'll just have to miss it! ♪ yeah, you'll just have to miss it! ♪ ♪ we can't let you download... uh, no thanks. i have x1 from xfinity so... don't fall for directv. xfinity lets you download your shows from anywhere. i used to like that song. welcome back to a special edition of "the lead." at this hour, voters are vote in five states, they can make or break the final four republicans and two democrats running for
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president. moments away from when the first cnn exit polls will be released. quick, closing thoughts from the panel. john, you're going to be at magic wall looking at key counties and states. what are you looking for? >> number one, see if there's a dramatic impact from the negative press coverage of donald trump last friday. you've had a couple of weeks of sustained advertising against him, is donald trump bulletproof or does negative advertising bring him down some. >> does hillary clinton's number with working class white voters improve and younger voters improve. those are the main things. with bernie sanders, whether they can do that with african-american voters. >> struggles with them? >> very much so. that's part of the argument against him, re-creating the obama coalition, the coalition available to a democratic nominee at this point. >> david? >> as i've been saying, the man to watch is john kasich. if he wins, it changes the race. if he loses, it changes the race. >> i'm going to look for republicans freaking out,
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basically, if -- if donald trump wins both ohio and florida. they've got real issue on their hands because they're going to have to decide to grin and bear it and going to have to understand the reality that a contested convention will not be reality if he runs the table tonight. >> mayor nutter, i'll go to you. you're my former mayor. >> certainly looking at ohio, illinois, and i think it's probably close in missouri. i was in missouri yesterday. >> you think it's close there? >> a lot of activity there. we've seen polls on -- that are favorable to each of the candidatesing both secretary clinton and senator sanders. i think those three for me tonight are the key to watch. >> bill? >> i'm going to pick up on gloria, looking forward to the clinton campaign freaking out tonight. bernie sanders wins three states and they have to say, my god we've better retool again. they realize bernie's not a
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message candidate, he's a serious contender and super delegates think, we better get ready to move. >> on the republican side, does more than one nontrump hang on after tonight? can the money they've spent on advertising go up against according to a "new york times" study $2 billion of media coverage of trump. on the other side, bernie doesn't have to do that much to keep momentum and news cycle going on and she has to run the table. the other side of delegates, it's the opposite way. >> a number of how many contests you think donald trump will win. >> four. >> out of six. including mariana. >> five. >> oh. >> that's a bold prediction. >> counting down to the last few hours of voting on super tuesday iii. the first exit poll results are minutes away. we'll be right back. stay with us. (burke) at farmers, we've seen almost everything,
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i'm be back 6:00 eastern. i turn you over to wolf blitzer and anderson cooper next door in "the situation room." >> happening now, decisive day. will the third super tuesday be the last for some candidates or will it be the first step in their comeback campaigns? no place like home. john kasich and marco rubio hoping to take their winner take all states. the question is, what happens to the race if they do? taking the pulse of the votes. first exit polling arriving right now. what clues will it reveal about who's voting and why? >> i'm anderson cooper. >> i'm wolf blitzer. you're in "the situation room." the night could not be bigger. the stakes could not be higher. millions of voters going to the polls in ohio, illinois, missouri, north carolina, and florida. for the