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tv   Situation Room With Wolf Blitzer  CNN  March 15, 2016 2:00pm-3:01pm PDT

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i'm be back 6:00 eastern. i turn you over to wolf blitzer and anderson cooper next door in "the situation room." >> happening now, decisive day. will the third super tuesday be the last for some candidates or will it be the first step in their comeback campaigns? no place like home. john kasich and marco rubio hoping to take their winner take all states. the question is, what happens to the race if they do? taking the pulse of the votes. first exit polling arriving right now. what clues will it reveal about who's voting and why? >> i'm anderson cooper. >> i'm wolf blitzer. you're in "the situation room." the night could not be bigger. the stakes could not be higher. millions of voters going to the polls in ohio, illinois, missouri, north carolina, and florida. for the democrats, a close race
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could get even closer. for republicans, with ohio and florida delegates winner take all, today could be win or go home for two of the candidates. we have the first batch of exit polling coming into "the situation room" right now that could give us some early indications. david chalian's going through all of the numbers. we'll bring them to you shortly. of course, we have our correspondents across the map. polling places and campaign stops bringing you the latest as well as best team of analysts around. jim acosta joining us from palm beach, florida, covering the trump campaign. trump is making a big play for florida and ohio. how confident is his campaign feeling now? >> reporter: wolf, donald trump and his team have seen the polls here in florida, feeling very confident they will win the state. will it be by 20 points as polls suggest? i talked to one trump official here who said that's going to be tough in marco rubio's home state. but the other big prize of the night, john kasich's backyard of
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ohio, obviously where the big concern is for the trump campaign. trump spent the last 48 hours savaging kasich as absentee governor who supports great deals that are killing jobs in ohio. touch trump wants tonight be a turning point where he becomes the presumptive nominee and starts pulling the gop establishment behind him. but the establishment, wolf, still has jitters. mitch mcconnell earlier today said he spoke with trump by phone and urged the real estate tycoon to denounce the violence at his rallies. speaking of unrest, like the near-riot friday, that is likely a big topic at trump's news conference tonight which is likely, once again, to be half party with supporters and half press availability. it will be must-see tv. >> certainly will be. when we hear from mr. trump later, after his victories last week, remember, he held that
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unorthodox news conference event, water, wine, steaks. can we expect the same tonight? >> reporter: i think that remains to be seen. he may have made his point when he had trump products out there the steaks were not exactly trump steaks. they haven't put the finishing touches and done the full security sweep inside to allow the press in there. once we get inside, we'll find out what's on the menu besides potentially a victory speech for donald trump. >> thanks very much, jim acosta. ted cruz, currently running second in delegates, has already gone on record saying that a vote for marco rubio in florida or for john kasich in ohio would be a wasted vote because, as he sees it, he's the only remaining viable alternative to done. he does, however, say he'd make room for kasich and rubio in a cruz administration. sunlen serfaty is over at cruz primary headquarters in houston, texas, for us right now. while cruz hasn't written off
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the bigger prizes of florida and ohio he's more focused on wins in the other super tuesday states, right? >> reporter: that's absolutely right, wolf. for the cruz campaign, it's not about the outright right wins and any winner take all states. they're much more focused on the math. collecting delegates. and why we've seen the cruz campaign invest a lot of time and money in the recent days in the states of north carolina, missouri, illinois. these are states that award delegates proportionally so the goal of the cruz campaign says they fully expect to meet the threshold in all of the states to expand delegate totals going forward. that's a core part of the message beyond today, to bring this fight against donald trump. it about being competitive in terms of the delegates, of the math to make it important to amass delegates. >> what's the cruz campaign's plan going forward? >> reporter: well, the plan that they want to be able to start arguing tomorrow is that it is it legitimately a two-man race with donald trump, of course.
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so much of that depends and is contingent on what john kasich and marco rubio do, how they perform what decisions they make going forward. but the cruz campaign says they fully will continue to make that argument. they believe that if they can get this into two-man race, head to head race with donald trump they come out on top. this is the message that he takes into the contests coming up in arizona why utah next week. >> sunlen serfaty, thanks very much. if any republican in any state has a built-in advantage, certainly john kasich the sitting governor of ohio a well-established political organization and approval ratings at 80% among republicans in the state. for as long as we've been asking him, governor kasich has told us he's going to win. he's going to win at home and then take that momentum out on the road. phil mattingly has the latest from kasich primary night headquarters. phil, when john kasich voted this morning, he said he felt terrific, and again said, quoting him now, we're going to win. what's the latest from his campaign this evening?
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>> reporter: well, his campaign shares the enthusiasm, maybe more cautious on the optimism. look, wolf, you pointed it out, they have significant structural advantages in this state but still, it has been an uphill climb over the last couple of weeks. what we've seen in public polling, onjohn kasich building a lead. they feel good about that. but they recognize that donald trump's message resonates in certain parts of the state and know that tonight will be close no matter what their hope is that that organization really bolstered by the 2014 re-election and governor, a fresh political police, fresh political team, will pay off with a victory in ohio. >> as tonight plays out, what will team kasich be watching for as far as signs of how they're doing? >> reporter: it's all about the suburbs, wolf. you have to look at where he can turn out his voters. if you look at cuyahoga outside cleveland, stark county, canton/akron, columbus,
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delaware, outside dayton, crucial counties if kasich wants to win. the separation he gets from donald trump in the counties determine whether or not he wins. mitt romney won all of those. only by 10,000 votes. there's a good reason mitt romney was in a number of the counties as they traveled through ohio yesterday. >> thanks very much. marco rubio, who is vowing to stay in the race beyond tonight, virtually camped out in florida, hoping to turn win or go home as to go home and win. he's been expressing doubts whether he could support donald trump if trump were to win the republican nomination. for the latest on the rubio c p campaign to sara murray in miami for us. today's a big day for marco rubio. focus a lot of his campaign on winning tonight in florida with only a few more hours until polls close, what's the latest over there? >> reporter: that's right, wolf. the rubio campaign is hoping for a shocker tonight.
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they see the same polls that we're seeing show him with an uphill climb but hoping to surprise, the polls will be wrong and they'll be able to drive up turnout in places like miami-dade county and be able to surprise for marco rubio. and the impetus behind this is not just them wanting home state senator to win here in florida and to be able to continue with momentum behind the campaign, but they're watching what's going on with the trump campaign. they saw images coming out of chicago, they've seep his rhetoric on the trail. and marco rubio and his staff around him are increasingly concerned about the tenor of the politics going on in the country now and they want to be a part of being a part to stop that right here in florida. >> if senator rubio doesn't come out on top tonight, in his home state, what's the path forward for his campaign? is he planning to push forward? he says he is. what are you hearing? >> reporter: well, despite the fact that many view florida as a
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must-win frubio, he is not sayig that. he said that he is going to on to utah, irrespective of what happens here in florida tonight. it kind of amazing because the number of his donors have second thoughts about that strategy. but he is saying that, no matter what the results are here tonight, he's going to be heading on to florida and plans to continue the fight there. >> thanks very much. check in with boris sanchez in a polling station in winter park, florida, north of orlando. what's the turnout like all day over there? >> reporter: wolf, it's certainly different now as you look behind me. not many people here as whether it was a full line out the door. however that's not fully representative of turnout for winter park. and actually exceeded expectations here. part of the reason we're not seeing a huge turnout in the polling location is because about 40% of winter park voters voted early, before the polls were even open one interesting note, though, wolf, there's
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apparently a glitch in about a dozen polling locations here in winter park and in orange county, specifically. they nearly ran out of ballots. the reason is along with the presidential primary today, this area also held municipal elections. because florida is a close the primary, there were individual ballots for gop voters, democratic voters and independent voters going to vote in that municipal election. unfortunately the local elections board didn't print out enough individual gop and democratic ballots and too many of the independent municipal independent ballot. they had to have them reprinted and restocked. they are fully up and running now. they've actually asked the governor to extend voting by an hour here so to keep polls open until 8:00 p.m. we did reach out to the office of rick scott but yet to receive an answer whether or not that will happen. >> we'll stay in touch with you. you've been talking to voters, boris. what's on their minds, at least
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anecdotally as you spoke to them while casting their ballots? >> reporter: well, this area of florida, central florida, winter park, is supposed to be a trump stronghold. projected to do very well here. that's more or less reflected in the people we spoke to today. i did speak to one voter who said that she was a kasich supporter but was voting for marco rubio, partly bhauz she believes that rubio has the best chance to stop trump from securing those 1237 delegates he needs to head into the convention as undisputed candidate on the republican ticket. thanks very much. anderson? >> we've got a very full night ahead, to say the least. next, further hints of what kind of voters turned out. and the issues driving them. our first batch of exit polling. also ahead -- the democrats, both candidates positioning themselves against trump and whether bernie sanders can turn last week's michigan
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now less than two hours away from the first poll closings of the very, very big night at stake. nearly one-third of the delegates needed for either party's nomination. already, early hints of how the evening might go. it comes from exit polling, the first batch has just come out. david chalian's crunching the numbers. we're getting a little bit of insight into the minds of the voters. >> starting to see patterns, wolf, we've seen across each of the election nights. we asked voters in the republican primary, do you feel betrayed by republican party leaders? take a look, north carolina, one of the stated to close early
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tonight, 56% of republicans say they do feel betrayed by politicians in their own party, 40% say no. similar in ohio. 57% of republicans say they feel betrayed, compared to 38% that do not feel betrayed. the two states have different solutions to this. take a look at this. north carolina, we asked, do you want somebody from outside the establishment or like somebody with experience in politics? big sentiment for the outsider, 54% of republican primary voters in north carolina want an outsider, 38% want somebody with experience. in ohio, though, it's a slightly different story. 50% want an outsider, and a slight uptick for those looking for somebody with experience in politics, 43% of republicans in ohio voting in the prime mary today tell us they want somebody with experience. >> so beginning to get more sense of the minds of the voters today. i know you and your team are crunching more numbers. we'll get more soon.
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fascinating. david, the panel's early attack on those numbers and the rest of it. joining us, inside politics anchor, john king, political analysts, gloria borger, david gergen, maky haberman. maggie, clearly, that number in ohio would seem to play, you know, a good indication for john kasich, obviously somebody who has long experience in politics. but there is this real desire, in all of the states, we're seeing this in stated previous, for somebody outside, somebody without any experience. >> yeah, i'm very struck by the numbers of how many feel the party has betrayed them. that's a serious indicator why people are looking for outsiders. we saw throughout the primary process the poll leaders leading up until the iowa caucuses were ted cruz and donald trump. they combined played up more than 50%. so you are seeing a lot of
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people gravitating toward something different. it is not -- it is a real throw the bums out, it not just we want change, it's we want to tear the system down. that's going to benefit trump. the question, though, whether that is consistent across every state, i think you're seeing different electorates in different places. that is going to be what will give hope to the people trying to stop him before the convention. >> remember, if you go -- take donald trump out of the equation for a second, you cannot take him out longer than a second. >> lay lot of people have been trying to take him out. >> as we look at stated, go back to the original tea party movement, a lot of people think the tea party movement started under barack obama. it was started under george w. bush because of the bailouts. that was ted cruz. it will be interesting to see on a night focused on kasich and rubio, because this is survival for them, cruz needs to turn in a strong performance. he keeps saying i'm the alternative to donald trump.
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in some ways fighting for the same voters. i'll challenge the republican establishment, i'll change washington, not many like me. rare is the candidate to say vote for me because they don't like me. but that's the appeal. >> cruz's appeal supposed to be he was the genuine, pure bred conservative and he thought that in this election cycle that was going to be popular, that was the key to his success, which is he didn't compromise, he didn't work with others, he was disliked, you know, in washington. and as it turns out, people don't really care about how conservative someone like donald trump is. they care more that he tells it like it is, right? they care -- they see him as the truth teller in this, the political incorrect candidate who represents that betrayal they talk about, and their anxiety. they believe he can provide problems -- solutions that nobody else could. >> the high level of betrayal maggie was talking about. what it does suggest is, i'm not
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sure who is the outsider, who is the insider anymore, but cruz is the outsider, but the sense of betrayal sends a message to the party. you go to a brokered convention at establishment takes away from the outsider, it's going to rip the party apart. we have that level of betrayal. they will expect something -- expect a candidate who responds -- >> gop leaders must know that. >> but they haven't managed it. you're looking at -- if i wrote a book about washington, why do smart people do stupid things. whether talking about leaders in the party, the tea party movement was about them, voters were mad at them. then they quashed the tea party in 2014 -- they didn't try to manage them, they didn't try to learn from them, they got better candidates, raised money, and mitch mcconnell's own words crushed em in. this is the revenge. this is the revenge. republicans, the obama years have been the best thing that
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ever happened to the republican party. >> whoa. >> they have taken the house by a bigger margin, taken back control of the senate, 30 of the 50 governorships and won 1,000 seats across the country but voters think they got nothing for it. >> and they're at crisis. >> listening to you list those numbers, that is why you have republican leaders freaking out prospect of donald trump nominee because all of the gains you described, they are worried those go and that's a major concern. >> if you talk to house members donald trump is doing well in their districts and you might find that while the senators might say we can't run with donald trump on this, but you have house members from those conservative districts who see trump's numbers go up, they're like he's fine with me. the split in the republican party, no matter what happens, will only grow. >> does donald trump have coattails they can ride on? >> some. >> in the house, in the house, perhaps. in the senate, there are a lot of blue state republicans up for re-election and that could be a
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real problem for control of the senate. >> a great conversation in the republican party right now. i don't know who's right. i don't think anybody is right. if donald trump has a big night and clearly on a path to the nomination and to david's point, only way to stop him is to tell voters you're wrong, you're telling customer, thousands and millions, you're wrong. what is the choice that republican establishment figures make? do we hug the bull and ride it until november and hope the damage isn't so bad and run and have a third party conservative candidate. >> do we get clarity by the end of tonight? people have been seeking clarity for months. >> if trump runs the table, then it's clear no matter what the republican establishment thinks or hopes or dreams of. it clear. >> it's the first night it's going to be clarifying. >> thank you. john king is going to the magic wall briefly. breaking news. it raises a chill. rubio campaign headquartered in washington has been evacuated. a haz-mat team is on the scene.
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dana bash reporting it began after a powdery substance found in a piece of office mail. the first details, we are just getting this in. a crew on the way to the scene. we'll bring you more as we learn more. ahead the latest in the democratic race with hillary clinton, bernie sanders said to voters as they made their final push in a pivotal day. see me. see me. don't stare at me. see me. see me. see me to know that psoriasis is just something that i have. i'm not contagious. see me to know that... ...i won't stop until i find what works. discover cosentyx, a different kind of medicine for moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. proven to help the majority of people find clear or almost clear skin. 8 out of 10 people saw 75% skin clearance at 3 months. while the majority saw 90% clearance. do not use if you are allergic to cosentyx. before starting, you should be tested for tuberculosis. an increased risk of infections and lowered ability to fight them may occur... ...tell your doctor if you have an infection or symptoms...
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we're bringing you the latest wave of march madness in election 2016 on super tuesday iii. hillary clinton and bernie sanders, battling over five stated. he made his final push in illinois while she stumped in north carolina and florida.
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total of 691 delegates at stake for the democrats. florida is the biggest prize. first polls close about 90 minutes from now. brianna keilar joining us from west palm beach, clinton's headquarters. focus on the republican candidates today but nearly 700 delegates at stake for both clinton and sanders. what's their final push message on this day? >> reporter: there really is so much at stake on the democratic side. you see a lot of focus on the republican candidates, that's true here with bernie sanders and hillary clinton, wolf. both of them foe cutting a lot on donald trump in their final push, framing themselves as the best alternative to a donald trump candidacy in the general election. and they are really the best candidates to take him on moving forward. bernie sanders, of course, focusing a lot on trade. here in florida, where hillary clinton is, but with missouri, illinois, and ohio at stake
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here, these industrial states, he is continuing his attacks that we saw in michigan on hillary clinton's past trade positions. hillary clinton is urging voters not to be complacent. this is part of her final pitch this morning in north carolina, telling them you may think that your candidate is ahead and you don't need to vote but you need to get out and vote. it's clear that the clinton campaign is worried some of the margins are closer than the polls indicate. >> how are the camps feeling about tonight in terms of their confidence? are they secure they can win? >> reporter: well, they are. you know, there's something different about the democratic side and that's when you look at these states, they are not winner take all, unlike with florida and ohio on the republican side. there will be splitting of delegates even if one candidate greatly outperforms another in one of the states. hillary clinton's campaign feels very good about florida and north carolina. they're worried about missouri, ohio, illinois. bernie sanders is raising expectations about ohio,
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certainly he's feeling bullish coming off of his upset in michigan. and he's also expect that he'll do well in missouri. so those are really the expectations here from florida. but i think that the clinton campaign is haunted by what happened in michigan. they think that perhaps some voters thought she was so far ahead in the polls they didn't come out but also certainly admit that bernie sanders' attacks on her past trade positions may be resonating and we could see that happen tonight as well, wolf. >> brianna, thanks very much. check in with cnn's polo sandoval in north carolina. polls will be open for another two hours. the north carolina's primary moved up earlier to march this year. how's that affecting turnout? >> reporter: that's a significant part of the story, too. remember that the primaries in north carolina were typically held in may, when there's usually a presumptive candidate, according to some voters, that almost takes the excitement out of it and a reason not to show
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up at the polls. but this year, legislators pushing it up to march, part of the super tuesday madness and that's why some voters have told me they feel more involved, their vote goes further now and they play a more significant role in selecting their presidential nominees. that could be one reason we expect extremely large turnout here at this location in this ymca gymnasium in charlotte. we'll check in with folks, 850 people already made their way through here. the trickle does remain constant. one more reason we could be seeing a significant turnout. the sample ballot for the democratic primary. important races for people including north carolina governor, lieutenant governor, and also attorney general as well. the people that i have spoken to in the location telling us some of the key races also another reason why they're seeing this kind of turnout here in the tar
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heel state. >> we have to take a quick break. getting new exit polling information coming into "the situation room." we'll have that for you in a moment. to travel for work. hi there, looks like you've had a long day. pull up a crate! some people get to travel for work. i'm really looking forward to this spinach salad. it's got quinoa in it! sometimes it's the little things that make a big difference. it's wireless. do you like reggae? may not always be clear.
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polls are open in five states, ohio, illinois, missouri, north carolina, florida. first polls close in less than two hours from now, 7:30 p.m. eastern. we already are getting exit poll information.
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political director david chalian crunching numbers for us. >> well, you know, we are looking at racial makeup in the democratic primary in two of the key states tonight. take a look at this. in ohio today the breakdown among race, 76% white. 19% african-american in ohio among democratic primary voters. that's quite a different picture than we see in florida. another key state tonight. we see 49% of the democratic primary voters in florida are white, 27% are black, and 20% are latino. so, wolf, as you know, as we've looked in the contests, hillary clinton has tended to do better in states where the white turnout is lower and there is more african-american and latino presence in the electorate. south carolina, nevada as examples. you say, well if you're the bernie sanders campaign, ohio looks like fertile ground, similar, even whiter, in turnout than michigan where he had the upset victory last week whereas florida looks like much more
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diverse electorate which benefits hillary clinton. we will see if that plays out. two different pictures of what's going 0en. >> she's swept the whole south where there's big minority turnout on the democratic races at that time. thanks very much. anderson? >> now to our political commentators, mary katharine ham, michael nutter, radio host bill press who supports bernie sanders. bernie, what are the interesting things about ohio, and i guess with sanders doing so well in michigan, the question is, does that -- the similar electorate in ohio, we saw exit polls, large number of white voters, perhaps his win in michigan help him in ohio and is hillary clinton weak in ohio. >> hillary clinton has been strong in ohio. i wouldn't downplay her appeal. bernie sanders has come on
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strong in ohio with the same message that worked in michigan. >> trade. >> the same electorate. trade, job, against cafta, nafta, against tpp, advertising heavily in that state. and hillary clinton, when she won ohio in 2008 said this is my reason for staying in the race all the way to the end. i think bernie could pick up three states tonight. but the key win for him would be ohio, hugely significant for him. >> where else do you think he's strong? >> in missouri and illinois, as well, where he's been running, as you know, tying hillary clinton to rahm emanuel and also -- >> what is her home state. >> certainly her home state. i would say quite surprising if a presidential election, maybe a little on the low side than a presidential candidate goes after a sitting mayor, trying to take advantage of some local issues in that particular city
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for his own political benefit. and you know, the senator is this independent candidate running as a democrat, running against president clinton, against president obama and running against secretary clinton and now running against the mayor of chicago, who is take on some big challenges and should not be exploited in that way. i find it very interesting that the republican super pacs are running ads against hillary clinton in illinois and other places with regard to trade, helping to make senator sanders' case which is really not a pure case. she was against nafta -- cafta, voted against that, was not in office when nafta was the issue, her husband, president clinton, did that, and -- >> she did speak in favor of that. >> expressed opposition to tpp. every now and then you get lucky your wife might be for something
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you're working on. >> i'd like to point out, bernie sanders is running for president of the united states against hillary clinton, period. he's not running against barack obama. >> he talks about president clinton, consistently talks about president obama. >> mr. mayor -- >> he's also been negative. >> let's move on to the republican side. >> which is reflected in our book -- >> how optimistic for you that donald trump will get na and ohio and essentially if those things take place, has a clear path? >> i can certainly see that happening. i'm optimistic about florida. look at last four polls, he's ahead in most of the polls by 20 points, if not 20, very close to that. ohio's a different story. running against a popular sitting governor. two polls show him five, six points losing to kasich. kasich has the infrastructure there. he has the ohio republican party in his back pocket.
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that cannot be underestimated. that being said, the same issues that are propelling sanders could propel trump in ohio, anti-trade. kasich was for nafta, i'm against it, i'm for you workers. that cannot be underestimated either. does kasich's infrastructure win? >> do you think the protests against trump actually helped trump? >> i think there's certainly part of his support that is galvanized by that, looking at this is a coordinated effort and they're trying to silence us. that being said, of course, trump should stop telling people to beat people up. interesting work in ohio, kasich is the most establishment and more moderate of any of the candidates that are nontrump candidates but also when speaking to these people who feel betrayed has a message for blue collar workers in a way
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other establishment gop guys have not. he has that trump populism to him. plus, 60-something percent approval in his home state. >> yeah. a lot to watch for tonight. we're going to be on way into the morning, i want to thank commentators. we'll check in at a polling station in ohio, one of two winner take all for republicans tonight. kasich predicts he'll win the state. he's been saying that. he's got to win the state. hear what voters are saying, hear what voters are saying, ahead. a score, thanks to exper. kaboom... get your credit swagger on. go to experian.com. become a member of experian credit tracker and take charge of your score. you can fly across welcome town in minutes16, or across the globe in under an hour. whole communities are living on mars and solar satellites provide earth with unlimited clean power. in less than a century, boeing took the world from seaplanes
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voting is under way right now in five states, two of the biggest contests in ohio and sfla.
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a lot at stake for the hometown boys, above kasich and senator rubio, respectively. reporters at polling stations in florida and ohio. first, check in with dan simon 20 miles west of cleveland. dan, how busy has it been over there? >> reporter: well, wolf, it's been pretty steady. you have a mad dash of people coming here to the polling place. people leaving work, casting ballots, you know, polls remain open until 7:30 tonight. it should be pretty full until then. we chose this area of north olmstead, it's diverse, a large amount of republicans and democratic voters. one thing important to point out, here in ohio during the primary, you you can either poll a republican ballot or democratic ballot. if you're a democrat and want to vote for john kasich or donald trump, you're absolutely free to do so. >> i understand you're hearing democrats actually voting republican. what more can you tell us? that's what they've been telling
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you, right? >> that's right. unsurprisingly in our nonscientific survey we talked to a lot of people, a lot of republicans voting for john kasich but a lot of democrats as well. . that could be key. weave spoken to a number of donald trump supporters on the republican and democratic side. again, the crossover vote could be key in determining the outcome. >> dan, thank you. let's check in with brian todd right now, he's in st. louis for us. brian, what's the turnout like over there in missouri? >> reporter: wolf, very strong turnout in missouri. we're going to show you why as we go into the booth area here, the voting area here. just a couple hours before the polls close. one of the reasons that turnout is very strong is because it is an open primary format. people have the luxury of deciding who they want to vote for at the very last minute. you do not have to register by party in the state of missouri. you come in here, as these
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voters have done. we see a last push here a couple hours before the polls close. you come in here, you register, you check in, show a photo i.d. then they ask you which primary you want to vote in, democrat or republican. you get your ballot, you have the choice of touchscreen or paper with an optical scan over here. and one of the reasons that turnout is high is because of that system and it also is favoring voters who are last-minute deciders. i personally sampled more than 80 voters coming out of the p l polls today, more than a third of them were last-minute deciders and that breaks well for bernie sanders on the democratic side, wolf and ted cruz on the republican side, so that's what they've been telling us, that a lot of those last-minute deciders have gone for sanders and cruz. those are two candidate who did expect to do well in missouri tonight, wolf. >> all right, brian, thanks very much. brian todd in missouri for us. before going to a break, a quick update right now at the evacuation over at rubio campaign hours in washington, d.c., after a piece of mail came in containing some kind of
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powder. just moments ago, we got word emergency crews have given the all-clear. so campaign workers are returning to their offices right now. that's good news. just ahead, john king joins us over at the magic wall. he's going to show us how tonight's wins and losses could reshape the race ahead. see me. see me. don't stare at me. see me. see me. see me to know that psoriasis is just something that i have. i'm not contagious. see me to know that... ...i won't stop until i find what works. discover cosentyx, a different kind of medicine for moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. proven to help the majority of people find clear or almost clear skin. 8 out of 10 people saw 75% skin clearance at 3 months. while the majority saw 90% clearance. do not use if you are allergic to cosentyx. before starting, you should be tested for tuberculosis. an increased risk of infections and lowered ability to fight them may occur... ...tell your doctor if you have an infection or symptoms...
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today's super tuesday, like the first who has the potential to reshape the presidential race. nearly two hours to go until the last polls close. john king is back with us.
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>> five states on the board tonight, florida, north carolina, ohio, illinois, missouri. the big question can hillary clinton and donald trump pull away or can their rivals close the game specip, especially on republican side, raise property spect of a -- let's start there as we look at the map. donald trump enters tonight with about 100-delegate lead over ted cruz. rubio a distant third. kasich who's home state is up today way back in fourth. what happens in donald trump runs the board? if donald trump runs the board tonight and fills in all five trump red, he's going to end up somewhere winner take all florida, winner take all ohio, see how the delegates are allocated in north carolina, illinois, missouri. a big night for trump would leave him somewhere in the ballpark of 790, maybe as high as 800 delegates. if that happens, the trump train becomes a runaway. at this point, need 42%, 43%, 44% max of the delegates to get to the magic number of 1,237. running the board tonight would
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make donald trump almost unstoppable. here's the big question. ma happ what happens, for example, if just john kasich can win his home state of ohio? trump comes back a little bit, would be in a commanding lead. this dramatically changes the math and because of the future states increases the odds of an open convention. the republican establishment dream, of course, is for marco rubio to somehow hold on and win his home state of florida. at this point, donald trump would need, if that happened, kasich, ohio, rubio, florida, donald trump would need 60%, somewhere in that ballpark, of the remaining delegates. at that point, if you see kasich purple, rubio red at the end of the night, we almost guarantee an open convention on the republican side. but donald trump is hoping for a big night to run the board. most folks heading in think we'll see something like this at the end of the night, perhaps donald trump if he can hold onto florida and kasich holds on in ohio raises the prospect of an open convention but doesn't guarantee it. let's switch to the democratic race. hillary clinton simply wants to put michigan behind her, that's her big goal tonight. she wants to run the board and prove to bernie sanders i'm
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winning again in the south in north carolina and racking up some wins in the midwest. should she sweep the race, her math becomes more and more dramatic. she'll get close to the halfway point in the delegate chase, pledged delegates, put bernie sanders behind her, and she wants to make the statement that michigan was a fluke and that she now can prove she can win in the rust belt. what bernie sanders wants tonight is to prove michigan was no fluke and to try to send a message, that would send a message if he just won ohio, he would say i'm strong in the industrial midwest, but it would not fundamentally change the map. if bernie sanders wants to change the conversation tonight and make people think hillary clinton is weak, he needs to win more than one in the midwest. illinois and ohio would be a strong message to the sanders campaign also thinks he'll do very well in missouri. so watch at the end of the night, is bernie sanders somewhere in the ballpark of 100 delegates away or does hillary clinton run the board and get into a situation where not only is the math at her favor, this is what hillary clinton wants, she wants to send a message that i'm strong in the midwest, i'm dominant in the south and senator sanders, you can't catch me.
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anders anderson? >> john, thanks so much. a big night ahead. polls still open in five states. two states winner take all for republicans. tonight we'll find out if donald trump and hillary clinton can cement their front-runner status. so much at stake. our special coverage continues right now. the presidential race has been building for weeks to this moment. >> will tonight's contest guarantee the front-runners are unt unstoppable? we're standing by for the first results. >> right now from the chicago lakefront to south beach in florida, big state primaries that will change the state of the race. >> you will vote for donald trump. yes? >> who will hit the jackpot in florida, north carolina, ohio, illinois, and missouri? >> i need your help, your support. your guidance and your vote. >> on this high-stakes super tuesday, it's america's choice. tonight, in the republi

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