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tv   CNN Newsroom With Brooke Baldwin  CNN  November 7, 2016 12:00pm-1:01pm PST

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people -- the press doesn't talk about it. donna brazile gets the questions during a debate, then it turns out to be a number of debates. who cares about donna brazile? she's turned out to be not what people thought. she gets -- illegally, illegally, she gets the questions to the debate. she then takes those questions and gives them to crooked hillary clinton. now, does crooked hillary report it? does she say, i shouldn't have these questions or these answers? i think they gave them the answers also, right? no she doesn't. i wonder if she had the questions in my debates? i don't think so because she didn't do that well. i don't think so. i don't think so. but the years of betrayal will end and they will end and they're going to end quickly. they're going to end as of the
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day we take office, which is going to be very, very soon. the theft of north carolina jobs will end. you've taken it harder than most states. real change begins with immediately repealing and replacing obamacare. sadly, it's just been announced that the residents of north carolina are going to experience massive double-digit premium hikes. 95 of the 100 north carolina counties will only have one insurer in the obamacare exchange next year. lots of luck negotiating. honestly, it's not going to matter because we're going to win and we're going to terminate it. you'll have much better health care for much less money. it won't matter.
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premiums are surging, companies are leaving, insurers are fleeing, doctors are quitting. by the way, doctors, they're leaving. they're quitting. i have a friend who's a doctor. he said, i have more accountants than i have nurses. it's so complicated. and deductibles are going through the roof. yet hillary clinton wants to double down and expand obamacare and make it even more expensive. i'm asking for your vote so we can repeal and replace obamacare and save health care for every family of north carolina. thank you. thank you. thank you. [ crowd chanting "trump" ]
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people are pouring in, folks. pouring in. did you see last night in michigan, the crowd we had? and the crowd we had -- by the way, how about 24,000, maybe 25,000 right next to ft. bragg. you saw that the other night. and we went to minnesota. minnesota's been treated very, very badly. we went to minimum, where we're doing very, very well. everyone said, why minnesota? that doesn't go republican. it's going republican this year, i tell you. minnesota. great place. and, you know, you've been watching and you've been seeing and these people are being driven crazy, the dishonest media. we're winning ohio. we're winning iowa. we're winning, we think, new hampshire. we're going to do great in new hampshire.
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i hear we're winning north carolina big, i hear. we're winning florida. winning florida. headlines today on drudge, how well we're doing in florida. and i think we're going to win the great state of pennsylvania. i do. and we're winning plenty of other places. so, we have to go. the big key, you have to go. we're in a rigged system, folks. we're in a rigged system. have you to go. have you to vote. make sure that vote gets registered. real change also means restoring honesty to our government. [ crowd chanting "we want trump" ] >> thanks. great, great spirit. i have a job -- we have a
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beautiful property right near charlotte. you know about it, folks? it's great, right? some of the people. but it's an amazing place. it's an amazing place to work and to live and we love it. hillary clinton is the most corrupt person ever to seek the office of the presidency of the united states. she threatened national security. she sold her office to the highest bidder. then to cover her tracks, she deleted 33,000 e-mails after receiving a congressional subpoena. and nothing happens to her. nothing happens. she's being protected by a totally rigged system, folks. she's being protected. you know, james cartwright, general james cartwright,
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four-star general, probably going to jail for for doing nothing in comparison. he said he did it for national security reasons. i can understand that. going to jail for up to five years. general petraeus, his life was destroyed. and here she is, running for president. she's done 25 times worse than anybody's ever dreamt. it's a rigged system. it is a rigged, rig system. don't worry, folks, the cameras will never spin around and show the crowd behind me. the show my face and the two behind me. they don't show the thousands behind me. they never do. they never never do. so dishonest. there they are.
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there they are, my group. women for trump. they've been following me, these ladies, for a long time. how are we doing? are we doing well? great people. women for trump. and now it's up to the american people to deliver the justice that we deserve at the ballot box tomorrow. at the ballot box. we're going to win. i think it's a great way of showing what we have to show in light of what's going on with justice in this country. i really do. i think it's a great way. you show it tomorrow. you show it tomorrow my contract with the american voter begins with a plan to end government corruption and to take our country back from the special interests. folks, i was on the other side for a long time. it's a very good place to be.
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but i love the country. i really love this country. i've really got ton love the people of this country because i have been everywhere. we have the greatest people on earth, but i love this country. and i couldn't watch it when they made the iran deal. they give them $150 billion to a terrorist state. a state that was ready to collapse until we made them rich and powerful. we gave them a path to nuclear weapons. they were ready to collapse. we gave them, remember, $400 billion, right? we gave them $400 million. then we found out that was wrong. it wasn't $400 million. it was $1.7 billion in cash. in cash. you know what $1.7 billion in cash is? you could take that whole side of the arena and you wouldn't have enough room. how stupid are we to allow this to happen? our leaders are incompetent.
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president obama is campaigning today with hillary clinton because she can't campaign. she can't campaign. so obama is taking air force one, which costs a fortune. you know, he's very much into the environment. and you don't take a massive old engine 747, very much into the environment, very much into the ozone layer, and yet he'll fly that 747 all over the place to campaign for crooked hillary. and i don't think it's going to work. and she's not getting any crowds, so she gets beyonce and jay z. i like them. i like them. and you know what they do? i get bigger crowds than they do. it's true. i get far bigger crowds. look at this place. i mean, look at the crowds we
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had in michigan. by the way, michigan is in play. you know, it hasn't been in play for republicans for 30-some years. michigan is in play because they're tired of watching their car factories be taken out. they're tired of losing their jobs to mexico. ford right now moved all of its small car production to mexico. they're building the biggest plants in the world in mexico. and michigan's going to vote for trump because i've been complaining about it for five years to michigan. tomorrow's going to be a very historic day. it really is. i think it's going to be a brexit plus, plus, plus. does that make sense? plus, plus, plus. it's going to be amazing. going to be amazing. i want the entire corrupt washington establishment to hear the words, we're all about to sing, this is a phrase, i told you, i didn't like it.
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i thought it was hokie but it's not hokie. it's called drain the swamp. we're going to go to washington. we're going to drain the swamp. can't believe it. i told this story, i hated that expression. i said, no way i'm going to say that. no way. that's so hokie. i said it and the place went crazy. i said it to another place, it wasn't crazier. then i said it with more confidence because, you know, confidence is -- and it went wild. now i love the expression. i think it was genius. drain the swamp. drain the swamp. [ crowd chanting "drain the swamp ] >> is there anyplace better to be than a trump rally? are we having fun?
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and i don't have a guitar and i don't have a piano. all we have is great concepts for our country which is the most important thing. frankly, when people get on stage, and they're entertainers, and they entertain in order to get people to fill up a room for hillary clinton. by the way, they use the dirtiest language the other night. many of the people left. you know, they're political people. they heard words they've never heard before. they left. so the place was half empty -- actually, it never got full, even with them. then it was pretty much empty midway through. and then most of the people just left. when hillary got up, there was practically -- she might as well just started with a few people. it would have been easier. hears those words -- i won't even address the words because if i do, crooked media will say, did you hear what donald trump said today? but, honestly -- yeah.
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those words were disgusting. if i ever said those words that jay z said or that beyonce said the other night, you know what would happen to me he? the reinstitution of the electric chair. it would be -- how about if i got the answers to the debate or if i got the questions? supposeding instead of hillary getting the questions to the debate, which is cheating, she's a cheat, she is a cheat, she never reported it. she's a cheat. so, supposing instead of her -- supposing somebody gave donald trump the questions to the debate, headlines all over the world. he must withdraw from the race. you don't even hear anything about crooked hillary. she got the questions. to me that's such a big deal. my people say, oh, don't mention that. i say, to me it's a big deal. it's a big deal.
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but it's not a big deal for the dishonest media. they don't want to report it. but just think about it. supposing it was us. at the core of my contract, is my plan to bring back our jobs. bring them back to america. and, by the way, you have a great governor. support your governor. he's a great guy. where is he? he's here someplace. he's a great guy and he's in a tough fight and he's going to win that fight, but he's a great guy. hopefully you'll support your governor. north carolina has lost nearly half of its manufacturing jobs since nafta. a deal signed by bill clinton and his lovely wife, hillary. now, think of it. think of the numbers of jobs. here's the one that gets me the most. two things get me the most.
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two things that just don't seem real because we're going to take care of our veterans, right, big league, because our veterans are great. but two statistics i can't believe. 22 suicides a day for our veterans. think of it. you wouldn't think that's possible because they're treated so badly. they wait on line for six, seven, eight days for a simple procedure that could solve their problem or for a prescription, but two numbers, it just doesn't make sense. 22 suicides a day for our veterans. doesn't make sense. here's another one. america has lost 70,000 factories. i thought they meant 700 or 7,000, maybe. it's 70,000 factories since china entered the world trade organization. another bill and hillary clinton-backed disaster. think of it, though, think of what 70,000 factories is. so those are the two numbers
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that sdoent don't seem to be real. sad, sad numbers. especially the vets, to be honest with you. we're living through the greatest jobs theft in the history of our world. there's been nothing happen to a country like has been happening to the united states. our jobs are fleeing. our companies are being taken and leaving and leaving. a trump administration will stop the jobs from leaving america and we will stop the jobs from leaving north carolina. believe me. if a company wants to fire their workers and leave, as an example, north carolina, and move to another country, and then ship their products back into the united states through what will be a very strong border, by the way, we will make them pay a 35% tax on every product that they ship back here. and here's what's going to
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happen. they're not going to leave. they're not going to leave. now, your politicians, some of them don't understand it. and the ones -- >> we wanted to dip in and listen to donald trump on this election ever in raleigh, north carolina. we talked so much about north carolina, how it really could come down to that state as one of the key battle grounds. hearing a familiar chorus, drain the swamp, hearing how this could be brexit, plus, plus, plus, staying on message, talking about those rising premiums under obamacare next year. that's the flavor of donald trump. that is part of his closing argument to you, the voter, ahead of election day. i should tell you hillary clinton and her campaign plane just landed in grand rapids, michigan, so we'll be looking for her momentarily as we zigzag along with these campaigns. i'm brooke baldwin as you join our coverage from the nation's capital. let's bring in the panel and have a big conversation over all of this.
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cnn's senior political reporter nia-malika henderson, and david chal yan, bob cusack, editor-in-chief at "the hill" and kichlt rstin powers. david, as we look at the different states where these candidates are in this 11th hour, hillary clinton, pennsylvania, michigan, north carolina. midnight rally where donald trump was. trump today, florida, north carolina, pennsylvania, new hampshire, michigan. michigan hasn't gone democratic since 1988. why is he making an 11th-hour push there. >> they're both there. the president is there today. bill clinton has been there twice in the last week. this is hillary clinton's second visit in the last four, five days. nobody anticipated michigan would get this much attention at the end. it's because both campaigns see the race tightening there. it makes sense when you think
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back to the beginning of the general election season, when donald trump first became the nominee, everybody sort of immediately looked to that upper midwest rust belt region as a place where his trade message, his economic message, his change message, and his voter profile, those would all sort of converge together as real opportunity. but, of course, the whole whob and challenge for donald trump with the electoral map is he needs both. he needs to be able to sweep the toss-up states and he needs to dig into some of that blue-leaning territory. as you said, it hasn't been republican since 1988. so, they couldn't just make one decision. we're going to park donald trump for six months in the upper midwest and do the industrial blue-leaning states. they had to play both places. i wonder looking back now, maybe he should have attended to that soil a bit more there now that they see that opportunity. that's why we're seeing them at the end. data is pointing to michigan in
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play. >> i'm thinking north, south, florida, how the hispanic voter could turn out to be the story of this election process. from just looking back to 2008 to how many folks have shown up to 2016. it's up 103%, which is huge. the african-american vote not quite what it was but the hispanic vote larger. that do you make of those numbers, bob, in florida specifically and how could trump have a path if most of them turn out for her? >> i think that it's -- you know, it's going to be very difficult for trump if a lot of them show up for hillary clinton. i think you have to look at the african-american vote, independents. polls have been all over the place on independents. i think he'll win independents by double digits. that speech was about anti-washington, anti-corruption and gave red meat for the base. that's his strategy. that's his closing strategy. it's not a bad one. as david said, he's got to win these close races and pick up an upset like a michigan. if he wins michigan, you're looking at a president trump.
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>> what about paul ryan, most powerful republican in congress, didn't say donald trump trump name when he voted for him. he did charlie sykes saying he's running again for speaker. didn't say trump's name in this radio interview but said he is sticking with trump because he wants to avoid in-fighting. he's so concerned about down-ballot. he said he honestly doesn't know if trump will win tomorrow. is he lowering the expectation on purpose or is he speaking the truth? >> i think an honest analysis of where we stand right now suggests a hillary clinton win. the fact he's been trying to distance himself from trump, then it would make sense he would just given honest analysis. he did mention his name when he -- when he was with mike pence the other day. >> he did. he did. >> we have to give him credit for that. generally he's tried to keep him at arm's length. honstly, even if donald trump loses, this distancing could
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still harm paul ryan after the fact. there are so many people in his caucus who do support trump, so many voters who support trump, republican voters, who are going to be angry and blame the republicans who didn't get fully behind him for the loss. >> what about looking ahead to dae -- i'm zigzagging all over the place like the candidates. the folks who live in that house are en route eventually to philadelphia. mega rally. the clintons, the obamas. how unprecedented is it to have a sitting president be so integral in a current campaign? >> it's certainly unprecedented if you think about the last cycles. nobody wanted to be near george w. bush in 2008 because his approval ratings were in the 30s. al gore wanted to go his own way in 2000. he didn't want the sort of baggage of the clinton campaign, even though clinton had very high approval ratings at that point. this is something we haven't really seen.
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my goodness, barack obama and michelle obama have put everything out there. i mean, they have been campaigning so hard -- >> we've never seen anything like this. >> we've never seen this. of course, we saw obama in ann arbor, university of michigan, rallying those students there, millenials. he said, he voted. he voted for hillary clinton. and he kind of revived his speech from the convention saying, you've got to carry hillary clinton in the way that you carried me. so, you know, they are all in on hillary clinton. this is their candidate. and i talked to some folks in cleveland in the way they're using michelle obama vouching for hillary clinton to bring in african-american women voters who might have -- particularly younger african-american women who have been skeptical in some ways of hillary clinton because of the crime bill. so using michelle obama, vouching for hillary clinton as a tool to bring in african-american women. so, it's been really strategic. and i think helpful to have them out there. >> and i just think, brooke,
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that picture they're going to have tonight of bill and hillary clinton together with barack and michelle obama, it strikes me at the end of the campaign you see the full ticket, the vice president, but that is the ticket. the obamas have been hillary clinton's running mate this entire campaign. >> so, with that tableau and with the beyonces and the king james and the stevie wonder and you can go constantly down the line all these celebrities stumping for hillary clinton, she's only still a couple points ahead from some of these, you know, national poll of polls i'm seeing. i can just hear kellyanne con y conway's voice. >> david can correct me if i'm wrong, but we're taking averages, we're talking three to six points, right? that's not bad. >> it's actually pretty good in a national -- >> in a very polarized electora electorate, its not that surprising.
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six points would be a very decisive, huge win, bordering on a landslide. i think she's doing pretty well. you have these people coming out who are really about -- they're not converting people to vote for hillary clinton. they're getting people out to vote. but i think the trump campaign says, well, you know, look how well she's doing because -- look at all these people she has coming out for her and she's not doing as well as she is. a, it's not true she's not doing well. b, why don't they have people coming out for them? why don't they have all the stars -- >> scat baio, ted nugent. >> right. they don't have the stars of the republican party, the marco rubio -- >> donald trump is a draw in a way hillary clinton is not. he is able to bring tens of thousands of people- >> people wait hours. >> you see that crowd there in raleigh, north carolina. i mean, that is wake county.
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that's a place where if you're hillary clinton you really need to do well. i'm sure they're looking at those crowds wondering what kind of energy is down there. >> you have seen the numbers in florida, right? this e-mail just crossed that more people have voted in the state of florida early voting and absentee than all of 20 00 in the state of florida. what does that tell you? >> well, listen, two weeks ago in race was basically over before the fbi announcement and after the third debate, hillary clinton won the debates. those numbers in florida are getting democrats nervous because something about the polls has got to be wrong. you can't have this amount of hispanics and minorities voting for hillary clinton and yet we have this neck and neck race. overall democrats are feeling cautiously optimistic, but they're going to be very -- they're going to be fretting tomorrow. >> do we know yet because i'm thinking ahead to tomorrow, and i think this is the first time ever you've had both candidates in the same city, both in manhattan very close to one another, their respective
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parties. do we know, will they be campaigning tomorrow? will there be any final stunts? >> i don't think do know. i think we anticipate both of them will vote tomorrow. they'll be voting in new york. but we have not heard about the rest of their campaign activity. >> i bet one of the things you'll see, because this is what happened in 2012, is maybe barack obama will be calling in to black radio stations. i bet there will be some sort of last-minute push for the vote. >> mitt romney did a fly-around on the last day, on election day n 2012. i wouldn't be surprised if one of them decided to get on a plane and make a stop somewhere. >> thank you all so much. actually, stick around. we know president obama, hillary clinton are speaking a short time from now. do not forget, tomorrow is the big day. the super bowl of politics. it is election day in america. we have every race, every result for you. stay with cnn until that very last vote is counted. you're watching cnn special live coverage.
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at planters we know how to throw a remarkable holiday party. just serve classy snacks and be a gracious host, no matter who shows up. do you like nuts?
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we asked people to write down the things they love to do most on these balloons.
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travel with my daughter. roller derby. ♪ now give up half of 'em. do i have to? this is a tough financial choice we could face when we retire. but, if we start saving even just 1% more of our annual income... we could keep doing all the things we love. prudential. bring your challenges. big day? ah, the usual. moved some new cars. hauled a bunch of steel. kept the supermarket shelves stocked. made sure everyone got their latest gadgets. what's up for the next shift? ah, nothing much. just keeping the lights on.
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(laugh) nice. doing the big things that move an economy. see you tomorrow, mac. see you tomorrow, sam. just another day at norfolk southern. welcome back. you're watching cnn special live coverage from washington. i'm brooke baldwin. here she is. we just saw her opponent in north carolina.
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now hillary clinton descending the plane there in grand rapids, michigan, ahead of her event in allendale in the next hour. she is then headed back to the battleground state of pennsylvania for a second time today. as far as polls are concerned, they show her ahead there by five points among likely voters. here is what she just said in pittsburgh. >> elections have consequences. for everything we care about. and that's why we've got to have each and every one of you put down your stake in our future. if the lines are long tomorrow, please wait. >> let's go to cnn senior washington correspondent, jeff zeleny, live in philadelphia, ahead of where they'll be this evening. if you have the democrat, you
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have the obamas, you have the clintons and you have the boss. jeff? >> reporter: brooke, this is going to be quite an extraordinary scene here on independence mall. i'm just outside there. and this really is going to cap this -- what's really been an unprecedented history-setting fall. a couple reasons, appropriate we're here in philadelphia for this. but we've never soon a sitting president or a first lady, of course, be so involved in another presidential campaign. tonight when president obama is on stage with hillary clinton and another former president as well, this really puts everything into historical perspective here. boy, the obamas are trying to pull her across that finish line. he's aggressively campaigning in michigan and new hampshire. she's campaigning in pennsylvania and michigan as well. so interesting this race is ending here, in these blue states, in the rust belt states
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here. what i'm struck by walking around philadelphia, the site of the democratic convention and so much history, how this completes a circle for the obamas and clintons here that started about eight years ago and there have been a lot of ups and downs since. we'll find out what happens tomorrow. that's certainly one of the final chapters in their relationship, brooke. >> we just had the discussion it will create quite the tableau. the president of the united states will continue his unprecedent the push for hillary clinton. he'll speak in new hampshire shortly. he already head liped a rally in michigan and he waxed nostalgic. >> some people who aren't quite as famous but i want to take a minute to thank because i'm feeling a little sentimental. this is going to be my last -- probably my last day of campaigning for a while. but not just here in michigan. all across america, i want to
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say thanks to the organizers of so many grassroots efforts. there are some organizers here who got their start on my first campaign. >> let's go to cnn's chris frates in durham, north carolina, where president obama is set to speak shortly. this is an end point for him n a sense. i know, chris, in new hampshire, a huge chunk he'll be talking to those independent voters. >> reporter: that's exactly right. i'm here at the university of new hampshire, brooke. lots of young voters here. that's not a coins deputy. i talked to a white house official who said look for president obama to talk about things young voters care about, student debt, climate change. and also will take a shot at some republicans who already suggested that even before hillary clinton's elected president, if she were elected, she would be and should be impeached. he's going to say, that's about
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republicans talking about gridlock that they don't want the kind of progress they've seen over the last eight years to continue. the clinton campaign also like this is contrast, of a sitting president going out there and campaigning for his former secretary of state, making the case he can do the job he's been doing for the last eight years while donald trump, on the other hand, doesn't have any former presidents endorsing his campaign. and the clinton campaign also hoping that barack obama can juice turnout here. remember, for places obama has been going, new hampshire, pennsylvania, michigan, no early voting happening there. they're looking for everybody to get out on tuesday. they hope barack obama can bring those young voters, the progressives, to the polls. in fact, the hillary clinton campaign had a hugely busy weekend. about 400,000 door knocks for a total of 1.1 million over the last few months. also, 185,000 phone calls, 2.2 million phone calls total. they're out there getting people to the polls, making sure they show up to vote tomorrow. as you and i talked about
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yesterday, they have that ghost of al gore, hoping they don't see a repeat of 16 years ago. al gore, had he won new hampshire, he would have been president. even though george w. bush won florida. that's in the minds of lots of clinton folks here. they want to make sure history doesn't repeat itself on tuesday, brooke. >> new hampshire and you could add michigan to that as well. chris frates, thank you, my friend, in new hampshire as these candidates make their final pitches, volunteers doing ballot work behind the scenes. randi kaye, what's happening there in orlando? >> reporter: oh, a whole lot happening here, brooke. absentee ballot counting is already under way. 17,000 ballots being counted today in orange county, in orlando here in florida. we'll also show you the latest technology to make sure that everything goes smoothly tomorrow. on election day. if you have medicare
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welcome back. we are live on our special set here in washington, d.c. you are watching cnn on a monday afternoon. who will be living in that house in just a couple of months? we're just about here, election day 2016. both hillary clinton and donald trump, they are blitzing these battleground states, making their closing statements for the white house. we have a team of correspondents across the country. randi kaye is in orlando. ryan young is in janesville,
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wisconsin. let's begin with brian todd in leesburg, virginia, a state that turned blue for both of obama's presidential campaigns. brian todd, take it away. >> reporter: brooke, it has turned blue over the last couple of election cycles but this is seen as a place the race is tightening and this county is seen by republicans as they might be able to turn the tide red in this election cycle. in loudon county is where they're counting on. we're at the fall pumpkin festival at leesburg animal park because this demonstrates the dynamic of the county, kids going down the slide, lining up for hay rides. donald trump especially made a late campaign stop here just after midnight last night. thousands of people lined up for how fares to see him. the trump campaign counting on loudon county as a county that may lean red.
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it went narrowly to president obama in 2012 as the state went narrowly to president obama. so the trump campaign looking to turn loudon county, on the western edges of northern virginia. northern virginia traditionally pretty democratic but they think this county might start to lean republican. so the trump campaign putting a lot of eggs in the basket in loudon county. here's an illustration of it, too. donald trump has had 11 campaign events in the campaign. they're hoping they can turn things in the trump campaign's favor in the state of virginia. >> thank you. let's head south to florida, randi kaye standing by in over lan dough. take me behind the scenes. >> reporter: they are breaking records in orlando, orange county. more than 50% of the registered voters have already voted. more than 400,000 people have already voted, earlier voting or through absentee ballots.
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they want to make sure they get it right. let's show you the latest technology they'll be using this year to make sure there isn't any voter fraud. timothy will show us here. people come in now and you register voters on this -- on these tablets now. >> absolutely. they come in, give us their voter or signature i.d., we scan that in. it comes up. it brings up the voter information there. >> reporter: so john q. voter could register and vote in how long a time? >> not register. we pull up their registration if they registered within the allotted time, 29 days. we go through a series of questions -- >> reporter: the idea is to move voters very quicker. >> it's not like the old-fashioned books where we had to look them up by the books. this is very fast. this is a direct connection to our office, too. so this is a live feed. if there's anything going on with this, if there's an error, we can call right to the office.
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>> reporter: what's happening here is everybody from the polling places is picking them up. they're picking up their tablets to be brought out to the polling places. this area is on important, the i-4 corridor, the swingiest part of the swing state of florida. this is the area that they think determines the president. it's very purple. to the north of here it's a lot of republican support. to the south in broward, miami-dade, a lot of democratic support. so this is the spot they believe they will pick the president tomorrow, at least for the state of florida. back to you. >> got it. randi, thank you so much. let's head to wisconsin. let's go to speaker paul ryan's hometown, janesville, wisconsin, watching a senate race there. hi, ryan. >> reporter: hey, how you doing? you know, absolutely. this is about the small things, brooke. i've had several people walk up to me and say, can you believe the weather? look behind us. they believe that will have people out voting in numbers. early voting returns have already shown this state is
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breaking its own record of how many people have been turning out to the polls. you're talking close to 800,000 people have already cast their votes already. on top of that, this state, when you think about paul ryan, you think about scott walker, you think vote republican. this state hasn't voted for republican candidate since 1984. they are counting on that strength to carry them through. the senate race, russ fine gold is running against ron johnson who beat him several yooez years back. he was up by 15 points at one point and now that's in single digits. thousands of people are canvassing right now, knocking on doors to get out the last-minute vote. every place we've been to this weekend, whether that has been a campaign event for either candidate, everyone is talking about grabbing their friends, family, neighbors, taking them out to vote on tuesday because early voting, of course, closed last week. this is a big conversation here. i can tell you the ads on tv, every 30 seconds it seems like there's another ad just popping up in every single commercial break. it's pretty close here as well.
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>> thank you so much, ryan young in wisconsin. appreciate it. want to have a big conversation coming up. let me remind all of you, hillary clinton is about to speak to voters in the battleground state of michigan. we just saw her hop off the plane in grand rapids. then she heads to philadelphia where she will rally with her biggest name surrogates, including the president and first lady. joining me now, kayly, trump supporter and cnn political commentator. van jones, cnn political commentator and former special adviser to president obama. chris, democratic strategist for jon edwards and matt schlapp, former political director for george w. bush. happy election eve, all. van, let me begin with you. the fact we're about to hear from hillary clinton in michigan. we know president obama was talking to students in ann arbor. we know bill clinton has been there. why the emphasis on michigan? i thought this was part of the blue wall? why? >> because they are terrified!
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they're terrified. they are cracking the blue wall. it has to do with trade. trump took a big gamble in some ways he was willing to throw away the sun belt, really alienate the latinos because he thought it would give him a big advantage in the rust belt. i don't think he's going to pull it in but people have no fingernails and their beds are wet. >> you agree? terrified? >> no, we're not terrified. i think it's smart strategy. don't worry about your nails. they'll be fine. >> go ahead. >> you may want to have a couple cocktails ready just in case. listen, it's a day of state which makes it, i think, more complicated. >> yeah. >> and we haven't really had a lot of polling. and any time you get a poll that comes back within four, five, you're wondering, well, you know, it's trending the wrong direction. so, i think they're being smart to go there. you have to have, you know, a big turnout amongst the african-american community in detroit and other parts of the state. so, they're really energizing that. at the end of the day, i'm not worried about it.
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i think their demographics there outside the detroit area that give can concern, especially when you look at the challenges we're having in iowa, some challenges we're having in ohio. but i think it's smart strategy to do that same reason why he's gag to be in philadelphia. make sure your firewall not only holds but gets strengthened. >> we don't want any of this. we don't want any of that. but speaking of nerves and cocktails and bites nails. more people have voted absentee than all of the that crazy election in florida. number two, hispanic vote up 103% from 2008 to 2016. does that make you want to bite your nails given that many of these hispanics may not be voting for your guy? >> well, i'm a floridian. i love my state. i'm glad we have such high turnout. that's good. the latino numbers, you know, i
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think that we are so almost naive to just drop it all in the hillary bucket. i think there are a large swath of cuban voters that will vote trump. that being said i'm not suggesting trump is going to win the latino vote outright but i think something underdiscussed is the fact there are 1.2 million unaffiliated voters who turned out in florida. we know that in florida -- >> more republicans turn out in election day. >> absolutely. and also republicans voting early is up 2% from 2012. democrats are down 4%. i think he will pull out florida. i think it will be nail-biter but i think he will pull out florida. sorry, van. >> where do you wish he had perhaps spent more time? >> trump. >> yeah. >> i think when you keep going back to the same states, pennsylvania, florida, that big plane can only land so many places and you're hitting the same media markets. what i like about what he's done at the end is he's popped into states he hasn't spent a lot of time in. one visit to a state you haven't been in very much has a much greater impact than going back to those same old states.
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as a republican am i glad we're playing in blue and purplish states at the end? absolutely. am i glad that i see the other team going to those very same states? yeah, absolutely. she's playing for a close win. she's not playing for the arizona, making progress in texas win. this is going to be a cloud of dust as far as their concerned, and so i like what i see strategically from the trump campaign. >> what i would say is, you know, listen, if you want to be -- which of the candidates you want to be today, you definitely want to be hillary clinton. in terms of where the map is and where it's headed, you definitely want to be hillary clinton. now, in terms of the strategy for trump, he had no other option but to go to these different places because he srm do simply does not have the math to crack that wall. >> does it help him to be an underdog. >> there's a slight advantage to hillary clinton right now. the numbers suggest that but the enthuse aiasm is on trump's sid.
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the rallies are sometimes announced hours inform advance. >> rallies don't translate into votes. >> there's visible enthusiasm from the white pro-trump voters but there's an invisible surge with lahtinoslatinos. we want to be clear that the fact that in arizona he might win by two, that's incompetent sane. >> no, it's not. that state is trending. >> and he accelerated that trend by his position on immigration and lalso when you look at othe places, georgia, he might win by four in georgia. something is happening in your party where the purple is gaining -- >> i have a lot of respect for you but even in 2004 we had early indicators in arizona, in georgia, and louisiana, that's always that next ring of states that we worry about if you have a big african-american turnout, et cetera.
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so i think actually what we're seeing here is different from what we're saying. i think that, you know, she is worried about these blue states. i think on the early vote i could give you as many talking points and facts as to why actually what's happened in the early vote shows that this is going to be close and could be a trump win as i could hear about these other talking points. you look at the hispanic turnout in florida. it's not just a cuban turnout. it's also the puerto rican turnout. immigration is not their number one issue. the i-4 corridor is a place where republicans do very well. >> let's look at florida just the numbers. hillary clinton is up 88,000 in early votes. barack obama was up about 110,000 or so early votes around that time. >> yeah. >> he won the state by 72,000 votes. here is the big unknown. we have had a surge in some of the key battlegrounds amongst independents and the argument the trump people will say is the
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independents will track his way, but here is the reality. if you look at the polls, especially "the wall street journal" poll, independents are trending her way. if she pulls off -- and historically that's not the case. if she gets more independents, she's going to win these key states. she's going to win, for example, florida. >> she's not going -- >> it's nice but she's not going to get a majority of the independents. >> you don't know. >> i'm allowed -- >> so unknown. >> i don't think she's going to get a majority of independents. i think the folks even in the cnn poll who are undecided, you have to remember the number one dominant statistic in this campaign has been 70% of americans saying the country is on the wrong track. if you want to change washington and new york city, you vote trump. >> here is the big problem with that. they don't see trump as the solution. it's always been his problem. >> exactly. >> and hillary is such a great solution. >> if the bus is driving in the wrong direction, you don't ask a drunk guy to drive. >> van, hey. >> enough of these car crash, drunk driving metaphors.
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we're about to hear from several of the candidates later tonight, philadelphia. we just heard from donald trump in north carolina. she has a midnight rally in raleigh. we're moments away from hillary clinton in michigan, the second rally of the day for her. while her most powerful supporter, president obama, is about to take the stage at the university of new hampshire, we will have both of the events live on the election eve here. you're watching special coverage. i'm brooke baldwin. thank you for watching. thanks, guys.
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welcome to our viewers in the united states and around the world. i'm jake tapper in washington, d.c. please clap, this is american democracy in action. in a shade under 20 hours voting in several battleground states will close and then all the polls and controversies, calamities, october surprises, november surprises and all the many, many lies, they will all be history replaced by a new kind of history, either the first woman president or the first president never to have served in the