tv Election Night in America CNN November 8, 2016 8:00pm-9:01pm PST
will close in five western states including california with this whopping 55 electoral votes in california, we're getting ready to make some major projections. let's get ready for that right now. cnn projects hillary clinton will carry the state of california with its 55 electoral votes. a huge win in california for hillary clinton. she will also carry hawaii with its four electoral votes. hillary clinton wins in hawaii. donald trump, he also has a win. donald trump will win in idaho with its four electoral votes. another win for donald trump in idaho. all right. let's take a look at the electoral college map now with these oregon and washington state by the way. too early to call, oregon and washington state. now let's take a look at the electoral college map. hillary clinton has gone ahead with 190 electoral votes to donald trump's 171 electoral
votes. 270 needed to win the white house. hillary clinton is now ahead in the all-important electoral college map count. are they breathing a little bit easier over there at clinton headquarters? >> i don't think so, to be completely honest. at some point, in this night, as we watch the returns come in from states such as wisconsin and michigan, the clinton headquarters was very confident that they had -- that was their firewall, remember? wisconsin wasn't even a part of the conversation. it was michigan, it was pennsylvania, and virginia, and new hampshire, when these return comes in, okay they have virginia but pennsylvania's still up in the air. new hampshire seems to be leaning towards trump and michigan seems to be leaning towards trump. i don't think so at all. we've been talking now for six months about what is donald trump's path to the presidency. at some point we're going to approach the period where it's a question of does she have a path to the presidency, if -- if she
can't win pennsylvania, new hampshire, and michigan, much less wisconsin, brooklyn, we have a problem. >> she's got to win those states. >> on that note i'm just looking at a note from a clinton aide saying they are breathing a slight sigh of relief because of colorado and virginia. they do have to hold the upper midwest, wisconsin and michigan, which as you said, who knew particularly wisconsin was going to be this tight. >> the republicans didn't even think they were going to win. >> totally. absolutely. as i said, donald trump had been going there much to the chagrin of others, and one more thing i just want to say, as far as the clinton path, win pennsylvania and either new hampshire, or nevada. one other thing. look at this picture. this is something that is quite poi pointiant. it says this team has so much to be proud of, whatever happens, thank you for everything. and this picture of hillary clinton embracing this young
girl, you know, if she pull this is out, this is a picture that says, i did it for you. if she doesn't, it's a picture that says, i'm so sorry, i tried and it's so poignant they sent this out two hours ago and it can be read two very different ways. >> one of the things we saw in the exit polls was women were not voting for hillary clinton in the numbers polls suggested they would. she was not getting the gender gap that so many anticipated. let's talk about the response of world markets because those are some other individuals having some truth right no some trouble right now. you so tokyo, shanghai are down. the last i saw, it was more than 600 points the dow futures were down. again, because of, a, the instability of the american election. everyone thought based on pollsters and prognosticators they knew how this was going to end up, and b, because of donald
trump himself who is a wild card and has been talking tough on trade. there's reason why wall street supported hillary clinton much more strongly than they supported donald trump. and we're going to see he's talking about renegotiating trade deals with china, with mexico, and -- and others. there's a lot more uncertainty in the world right now. >> lots of uncertainty. the world was watching. i think most of the world thought hillary clinton had it locked up. not so fast. right now let's get another key race alert right now. all right. it's all about michigan and wisconsin right now. let's update you in michigan. almost half of the vote is now in employ donald trump sti in. donald trump has the lead. donald trump's lead in michigan, 30,400 plus, 48.1% to 46.8% for hillary clinton. 16 electoral votes. very important electoral votes at stake. in michigan and wisconsin, 58% of the vote is in.
trump has a lead there, almost 60,000-vote lead, 49.1% to 45.7%. ten electoral votes in wisconsin. both of these campaigns desperately anxious to win both of these states. john who would have thought at this late hour we'd be talking about wisconsin and michigan. >> and i'm looking at wayne county again, where detroit is. you see secretary clinton's lead here, that's 136, plus three, so 139. i'm going to look at the numbers to make sure i get them right. mitt romney, barack obama. democrats are saying can we pull this one out tonight. it was 381,000. so we've got 40% still to count. 381,667. that was the margin. we're going to talk about this in philadelphia, democrats need to run it up. 381,000. we've got 40% of the precinct still to count.
we've got a lot of votes to come in and they could come from inner city detroit. 381,000 plus. she's way short where we are right now. so the question is, can she get here as we get there, as we pull this back out. we're up to 49% of the vote now. is it doable? yes. other democratic areas we're still looking for votes here. we'll see one way to go but this is going to come down to turn out right here in wayne county, michigan, and i just -- >> let's screen that to see where the outstanding vote is. and this is 75% or less of the vote has already been counted. >> you pull back to the state, so you're looking at places so if you're republican, you're looking and you're saying there are a republican votes and that's what they're thinking in the trump campaign, even if they come in with the last 40%, and it's overwhelming in the trump campaign they're saying we've got a lot of votes but again you're at 63% and 4,000 plus, so
he's going to get some more here, at least hundreds more, maybe 1,000 more. donald trump's going to get more. if the margin holds up. there's no guarantee, the precinct in or out, but if you notice a pattern through these counties, donald trump's getting 61% of the vote in, you pull this back out, and there are a lot of republican votes still to come in if the counties keep trending the way they are right now. no guarantee, but when you start to get this far up in the state, so this really comes -- this comes down, this state and perhaps the presidency, comes down to wayne county, michigan at the moment, where we are at 58% of the vote and hillary clinton is well shy out of detroit to help them offset gains elsewhere. and again, wolf, we're consistently seeing, she's under performing in the democratic base areas. all right we have another major projection. cnn now projects that donald
trump will carry the state of north carolina with its 15 electoral votes. another important win for donald trump in the state of north carolina. 93% of the vote is in. you see he's up by more than 220,000 votes. donald trump carries north carolina, so let's take a look at the electoral map where it stands with its win. for donald trump in north carolina, hillary clinton is ahead much lightly with 190 electoral votes to donald trump's 186. 270, that's the number you need to win the white house. you see the blue states of the states are hillary clinton, the red states for donald trump. all those yellow states by the way, too early to call. we don't -- we are not able to make projections in those states. this is a huge win for donald trump in north carolina. >> it's big it's donald trump people, were competing hard. it's a state donald trump put his heart and soul into. president obama won it in 2008. he lost it to mitt romney in
2012, and just to give you an idea of how this night is going compared to how clinton campaign thought it was going to g we were reporting jeff zeleny, one of our clinton campaign reporters said robby mook, was said it was going to be down to the wire. it's 11:09 and we just called it. thats that says to me their projections were off and their voter data file was wrong and people came out to vote and vote for donald trump that they didn't think were going to. >> that's right and when we begin to see the exit polls about the demographics and how these votes turned out the way they did, we'll see what really made this happen, but just in my experience being in north carolina, she -- hillary clinton had trouble with millennial. we saw the voting that showed that she was having trouble with the african-american vote, and clearly as we are seeing in other states, even those that are traditionally blue, never
mind the purple north carolina, he has really boosted the white vote, particularly among white working class voters. north carolina, went for -- it's really a swing state, went for president obama in 2008, for mitt romney in 2012. donald trump is keeping it red. >> one thing we're going to also need to look at as we all come and analyze the night, or after it passes, is the effect of the third-party candidates, gary johnson, libertarian, jill stein, evan mcmullin, what role -- what votes would have gone to hillary clinton or clinton but instead went to them. that was always one of the wild cards that pollsters were talking about. there were so many undecided voters and third-party voters. turns out that might have had a better effect than we thought in addition to the trump effect. >> let's go to john king. let's get back to michigan and wisconsin. these two states potentially
could make the difference who's going to be the next president of the united states. >> and at the moment, they're leaning in favor of donald trump. we've got some more votes to count. 60% of wisconsin, 49% to 46%. that's three point lead, that's a healthy lead. the question is what's left and getting a little bit redundant because we're waiting for this to come in so here's -- this is what the clinton war room tells you -- they say they're concerned not panicked because they think there are a lot more votes. we're up to 60%. yes, she's winning dane county overwhelmingly so. the question is you can a keep that margin when the other 40% comes in and actual lethly they probably need to lift it up. where else are you looking for democratic votes? you're up to n94. you're looking in the democratic areas so as we talked about wayne county michigan we're going to talk about milwaukee county, wisconsin. it's at 87%, wolf.
we'll have our people call and see which precinct are out. but if you get a big boost in the final votes here, you're starting to look at a situation there are still as we go through some of these rural areas donald trump is winning and winning healthy -- i know they're small, but if you're winning by that margin 61% of the vote, you can add a couple hundred thousand to your count. you move over here you're going to add a couple hundred thousand to your count. if you're going through these and you're looking, you're saying we keep focusing on are there enough votes for hillary clinton. in wisconsin there are a lot of votes. we're only at 60% in wisconsin, and those for republican areas. i'm going to show what you is happening to the map. this is number eight for me in a presidential race and you look at a state like this that has been lock-solid blue. even mitt romney, with his running mate, paul ryan, couldn't run it four years ago, but look at all this blue. that's four years ago and look at all that red.
that's small-town america, bluelar ameriblue collar america. donald trump is winning. we haven't called pennsylvania, it's relatively close. there are people in the trump would be room who think they can still pull out pennsylvania. number one, we're up to 94% in philadelphia. now again we are still have to count and see what comes left that. number could jump quite substantially, but she needed 150,000 even though she's at 420,000 votes right there, that's a pretty healthy lead out of philadelphia, but donald trump is keeping it closish in the suburban areas but erie county, blue collar erie county, look at that. that's supposed to be -- if you're a democrat accident that's supposed to be blue. this is scranton, pennsylvania. joe biden's hometown. president obama got 63%. with joe biden on the ticket, the scrappy kid from scranton, 50%. donald trump's -- >> and 100% of the vote is in and donald trump is getting 47%
in this part of the state. give props to the guy across the room, jeffrey. he talked about the margins would be smaller than normal and you start coming into these areas and looking, 51%, lehigh county, go back four years ago. >> let's screen pennsylvania now even where the outstanding vote remains. >> even that point or two in the blue collar county, because of this, because the rest of this state is so republican, in the places that are democratic, the democrats have to run it up and she's not running it up. let's go back and look. let's just put it at 80 -- we're around 80%. you're looking at the places that have not reached 81% of the vote counted. and so -- let me just move it over a little bit. a lot of them are republican. now we're still looking -- there's some votes here some, votes here, and we're -- some were -- even though philadelphia's above 90%, you'll get more votes. but again these small are places -- you're not going to come in with a ton of votes but
you're going to come in with -- at 59%. you've got a 2,000-vote cushion so it's reasonable to assume if the margins continue that the trump campaign, they're sitting in their war room saying we're going to pull a lot more votes and we don't think her cushion in philadelphia and scranton and alan to allentown are enough. as we focus on what is the emergency in the clinlton campaign, which is michigan and wisconsin, let's keep an eye on pennsylvania as the late votes come in. this is michigan and what's left and again, most of the outstanding vote in michigan is in areas that at the moment is coming in republican. >> he's ahead by 58,000 votes with 52% of the vote in. >> 58,000 votes. so when we come in here, this is only 58%, which sounds like a lot, but this is your biggest area. we're going to wait and see. the clinton campaign says our people are telling us we have some votes here. you start to get skeptical when you get around 60%.
i've seen this happen. you've seen states. we just went through it in virginia. you can see a state that looking like it's going one way and a big basket of votes come n. david axelrod said we've been saying for weeks it's donald trump that has to draw to an inside straight. as we get into the 11:00 hour, it is hillary clinton that has to draw paragraphs to an inside straight flush because she has to turnaround michigan and wisconsin and she has to hold on pennsylvania as the vote count goes there and i just want to come back out so we can see the entire state in the state of wisconsin. again, 62%, it's a two point race, 2.4 race. we'll keep looking. still some votes to count in dane county. back to wolf for another projection. we've got another major projection. and cnn projects hillary clinton will carry the state of oregon, with it seven electoral votes. in nebraska, earlier we projected donald trump would get three of the five electoral
votes in nebraska. they divide up their electoral votes, according to the congressional votes. now we're going to give him four of the five results. let's take a look at the electoral college map. hillary clinton still ahead with 197 electoral votes to donald trump's 187 electoral votes. 270 needed to win the white house. all those yellow states still too early to call in those states. no projections yet. hillary clinton wins oregon. donald trump gets another electoral vote in nobody neebra >> and so far he's wracking up all the states he needs. he's won ohio, and north carolina. i don't know what's going to happen but he was leading florida last time i saw there. the path for hillary clinton to wins still -- it's still there, but it's problematic. if i can bring up my screen here just to show, she still needs pennsylvania, she still needs new hampshire, and she still
needs michigan. but even with those states we are still have -- the question of wisconsin. and what's going to happen with wisconsin, they're now subtracting votes that were given to her automatically in all of the electoral college projections. nobody anticipated, including as we were just talking about, republicans, including the trump campaign. they were going to have a rally, i think it was saturday or sunday in wisconsin and they pulled out because they thought they were down five or six points. we are still don't know what's going to happen but they are exceeding their own expectations. >> and she never stepped foot in the state of wisconsin since winning the democratic nomination. that's how confident they were in state of wisconsin. i'm just looking at an e-mail from a hillary clinton aide in sitting on wisconsin all of madison, which is very, very liberal. they say all of milwaukee, which is showing in michigan they stay thi -- they still think they have a
chance, those numbers are still very much in play. we're talking about wisconsin and michigan. the other interesting point is those are two states that hillary clinton did not win in the democratic primaries. so it appears that not only is donald trump's support strong, but her democratic base didn't entirely come home. >> if the exit polls have been updated, the democrats were losing half of union households. we've been talking because we've been trusting the polls about what's going to happen to the republican party and the blood letting and the in fighting and who is going to lead the republican party and all that. again completely wrong, it's the democratic party that's going to have this fight. >> take a look, michigan right now, donald trump's lead has just dropped right now. what is it about 25,000 votes, that he's ahead of hillary clinton right now. so, it's narrowing a bit. >> she could still -- >> she could still absolutely
pull out a victory and still end up being the next president of the united states, but with the fact that the performance of democrats as of right now in these rust belt states has been challenged shall we say, i think it's fair to say the bernie sanders/emmy sanders/elizabeth warren wing of the democratic party is going to be emboldened and stronger and democrats are going to be saying what went wrong, even if hillary clinton wins tonight, which seems less probable by the hour, even if she wins there's going to be a real argument democrats have ignored working -- white working class voters for too long. >> which as you said was exactly the argument that bernie sanders made. >> exactly. >> successfully, the reason why he gave hillary clinton such a run for her money during the entirely democratic primary season and why there was a declarian call early on by those people in the democratic base for an elizabeth warren to get into the race. >> michael moore, the progressive film maker, was on my show about a weeking --
-week ago. he was terrified. he said i don't believe any of these rust belt polls. i don't think they know how to poll the rust belt. remember what happened in the primaries and what happened in the presumaries is hillary clinton was projected to win in michigan primary, and bernie sanders won. >> can i just add one other element in here -- and you've touched on it about the rnc it's republican national committee working during the non-election years after the big, big loss in 2012, to build up their operations in a lot of these states, michigan and wisconsin were two of those states. wisconsin probably not surprisingly -- >> his lead has been cut down to 14,000. >> take a look at that. >> it's still very much of a race. >> she needs to win michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. it's still possible, it's just much closer than anyone thought it was going to be. >> but what i was -- and my point in there was that there's ground game that republicans
in, donald trump has a little bit better of a lead, 66,000 votes ahead of hillary clinton. 49.1% to 45.8%, ten electoral votes in wisconsin. in new hampshire, 64% of the vote is in, trump has the lead of 9,300 votes over hillary clinton, 48.2% to 46.2%. four electoral votes in new hampshire, and he's leading in iowa, some. mo donald trump is ahead by 32,600 votes over hillary clinton in iowa. six electoral votes for key states right now, john, and those states are going to be decisive. >> and she has closed the gap in michigan, wolf. we've been saying what are we waiting for. the question is we're still only at 57% of the vote in michigan. you look there we're within a one-point race of each other and you start looking and you say where are they. you go out here to kalamazoo,
96%, some votes came in that boosted her up a little bit. here's the big one still over here in the detroit area, and this is why this is so important. we're up to 72% now but she's starting to stretch the lead here and what we are told from the clinton campaign war room and democratic labor activists on the ground say most of these votes in here and they expect they're going to be overwhelmingly for hillary clinton. does that mean it's enough? we'll wait until they come in to do the math. she has closed significantly in the state of michigan. now we're going to go back to wisconsin. 65% of the vote, you're in the trump campaign headquarters. i want to come down to milwaukee county, 17% roughly, the state population, we're at 87% county wide. again what we're being told, from the clinton war room, so this -- consider the source, but what they're telling us is there are only 18 precinct from milwaukee proper have reported. there are 300-plus in the city of milwaukee. they're saying their core base
democratic vote has not been reported yet. if it comes in and the turnout is good in big numbers it's enough to make up some of this gap. that's milwaukee county. statewide, they are saying they believe it is still mathemati l mathematically possible. i don't know i trust their numbers. i'll let them spin their own numbers but if you look, that's conceivable. but they need to perform at near-perfect levels with the remaining votes to make that up. >> let's go to nevada. i want to check in on nevada. >> nevada is shaded blue at the moment. we're at 51% of the vote -- 50% of the vote. 52 if you round this up to 43. this is where this matters the most. this is where the democrats believe they have a very successful voting operation. 53 to 41. i want to go back in time for comparison, 56 to 42, so that -- we'll wait and see when the rest of it comes in. this is very early -- >> very early in clark county. >> you're getting the early voting in so we'll see how the
count goes up in here. it's pretty simple what has to happen here. democrats have to run it up huge here. donald trump has to run it up huge out here. we've got a ways in nevada to go. right now, the country and the world, the focus on michigan and wisconsin, we'll see what happens as we get closer to these. if she can come back in michigan where she is now, then the small are states, iowa was blue earlier. donald trump's now leading in iowa. that have been blue in the early count. donald trump has pulled ahead in iowa. i was in touch with a democrat, they're pretty confident, they believe donald trump is going to win iowa, as he won ohio. those are the two -- these are two obama states donald trump looks like he's poised to flip. we could come down to nevada and we're still counting in new hampshire, 64%, this is going to
be key. this is a big democratic area. if -- if -- the if is secretary clinton performs at or near where president obama did because we've seen so many examples of place where is she has not n places there are considerable democrats -- >> let's go to pennsylvania. >> i want to check one more quickly along the coast here. we have nothing. >> closer to boston. >> and so as watch this right now, in trump war room you're happy with what you see but we're not done in new hampshire. where to? >> pennsylvania. 80% of the vote is n. 48.9 to donald trump's 46 poi.7%. for hillary clinton, 81% of the vote counted. >> it has closed of late. there was a little time earlier tonight. i go back and forth. there was a time where it flipped red and went back blue within a matter of seconds.
in pennsylvania, number one, again here we're up to 96% now, and she's up in that area. i told you want to get fo430, 4. you have to be over 400,000. you prefer to be closer to 450,000 so that's quote/unquote the right number. you get that out of philadelphia, then the question is how do you perform in the populous suburbs, 59% there, to 57%. she's doing it percentage wise. 90% is in there. let's move over to bucks county. this was 49, 48 is my memory -- one-point race four years ago. this is the blue collar of the suburbs. that is getting tough. the question then is do democrats make it up. this used to be the more affluent county. hillary clinton is doing well with 70% of the vote. we have a ways to go here. the reason this is so close, the reason this is so close in what
has been a rock-solid democratic state for so long, number one, erie county. that should be a democratic county. donald trump winning there. allegheny county, let's see this one is about where it's supposed to be if you're a democrat, 56 -- 57, 42, so hillary clinton did well there. she was wethere just the other day. this one's embarrassing to the vice president of the united states. he was there many times. you see 50 to 46. that's pretty stunning. it's not a huge vote center, the scranton area, but this is a traditional, big democratic area, wolf and in a state like this if you underperform in the places you know you have your votes that's what happens. this is at 81%. >> she's winning by about 75,000 votes. >> you look at these smaller counties, most of them are in. we have a ways to go here. so if you're the clinton
campaign, this was supposed to be locked up. you're thinking this is supposed to be a big five point lead. they are not. i want to check back to see if the percentage goes up and we're still at 57%. again this is a very close race at the moment, it looks a lot like virginia where she was able to come back. the question now is she's pulled into position where she's on the same lap of the track now. we'll see if she can close the rest of the gap. it's going to be in places like oakland county. most of the vote is in. this is an area -- that's a good sign -- if you're secretary clinton -- just one quick second. this is flint. j . if you remember during the primary, she went out here to campaign. only 37% of the vote counted here. she thinks she's going to be better in genesee county. >> let's say hillary clinton wins michigan, donald trump wins wisconsin. what's their respective road to
270. >> here's where we started the night, so you just said you want her winning michigan, and you want donald trump to win wisconsin. what happens, it takes her down from where she started. >> give her north carolina, too. yeah, north carolina. >> donald trump -- that one has to go to trump. >> give him north carolina. >> he gets north carolina, and he gets florida, then we're a tie with these states we're still looking at. theati the expectation is donald trump will win here and she will win here. we're not there yet but doesn't that look sweet. 269 to 264. >> give her new hampshire. >> now we're missing two votes. we're missing cop depression co district. >> and the secretary congressional district in maine. the one up here we were thinking leans donald trump. the one in nebraska, i haven't seen the latest projections on that one. but this is not the race that i think most people thought we
were going to have tonight. it's not the lace we harace we e moment, but eye perfectly reasonable calculation, as we brew a little bit more coffee, this is -- this is a remarkably competitive race. let's take a look at some of these states. the fun part about this counting the live votes is while you're having a conversation about one thing, often you get a change in the map, so let's look up here. 68% in the state of wisconsin, we're leading so we'll keep counting, michigan and new hampshire, as we have shall we say a cliff hanger. we have another major projection right now take a look at this. and cnn projects donald trump will carry the state of florida! with its 29 electoral votes, donald trump wins florida. a huge win for donald trump, that's his second home in florida. donald trump will carry those 29 electoral votes. he's ahead right now with 98% of the vote in, by more than 131,000 votes, a big win for
donald trump in florida. he predicted he would win florida. he has won florida. let's take a look at the electoral college map. you see donald trump has taken the lead. he has 216 elector at votes compared to hillary clinton's 197 electoral votes. 270 needed to win the white house, but it's a big, big win for donald trump in florida. jake, and dana, a lot of people didn't think donald trump would be able to do it. he did it in florida. >> a huge surprise, 29 electoral votes where his second home is at mir-a-lag o. when you were doing the math you were very close to having a 269 to 269 tie. that is entirely possible. you already almost did it, and -- >> they were at 269-269 t goes to the new house of representatives. >> and the other thing is you point out there are those two
states that give out electoral votes according to congressional districts and if donald trump picks up the second congressional district in maine, then that's 270, so all those trips to maine that he took, that he made, actually may end up being crucial and we should point out, this is not over for hillary clinton or for donald trump this is a cliff hanger. i haven't seen a race this close since al gore and george w. bush in 2000. it could come down to one state or one congressional district. >> speaking of 2000, we should take a moment and talk about florida. as you said it was something donald trump said he was going to win, said he needed to win, we predicted that he has won it, and it just shows that there are big questions as to who this electorate is. because looking at the early vote, part of the reason why
democrats were so bullish about florida, and part of the reason why republicans were so pessimistic was because of what tey sought was a big surge in the latino vote. so at the end of the day we'll see what that welatino vote was particularly newly bigger puerto ri ricoan areas in the i h four corridor and if that surge happened if it did, which way do they vote. >> and i think it's fair to say that this -- all these states are much closer than anybody anticipated. >> let's take a look at the vote in michigan right now because michigan and wisconsin, these two states are shaping up as critical. right now, 59% of the vote is in michigan, and donald trump still maintains a lead of almost 30,000 votes over hillary clinton. he's got 48%. she has 47%. still what 40% of the vote outstanding. 16 electoral votes at stake in michigan. and let's take a look at wisconsin right now. these are the two states that
could be decisive. 70% of the vote is in, trump still maintain ace lead of almost 69,000 votes over hillary clinton, 49% to 45.8%, another ten electoral votes in wisconsin. let's go over to john king. wisconsin and michigan, let's talk about the best hillary clinton can do right now because in the electoral college we're talking about. >> in the electoral college you want to do the best she can do. 59% one-point race and we're waiting -- this is all going to come down to wayne county. there are some other votes but this is the biggest outstanding vote total right there. we're going to watch that. let's just check over here real quick up to 70% now. this is stay audio the clinton campaign keeps telling up, most of them are here, up to 87%. they're telling us in essentially the center city milwaukee, there are a lot of precinct yet to come. we'll see that math when it comes in. we're at 87% in the county. when that math comes in t has to
be over whelming to make up that. that's a big lead. so you want to do this for an electoral college perspective. let's come up here. let me refresh this map. this is where we started with projected hillary clinton at 268, but donald trump has won florida, donald trump has won north carolina, donald trump keeps ohio, and so where does that get donald trump right now? virginia, we're not done. we leaned democratic so just leave it there for now as we go through this. >> virginia very long we called for her earlier. >> virginia we called so let's assume for the sake of argument when we get there we'll see if these two stay where we think they're going to end up and we're having a night what we expect hasn't happened. >> that's true. >> the early returns suggest that's going to happen. let's see what happens. that has clinton at 274 and at 259. this has always been the challenge for donald trump. can you flip a big blue. >> flip wisconsin red, let's see what happens. >> i was going to go with michigan. if you do that, 269, donald
trump, 264 with the state of new hampshire. where he still leads. let's play it out both ways. if she wins it, 268-268 with two congressional districts we have to bring into play, exactly how we thought the night was going to go. if he wins it, 273, assuming he wins the state of -- that gives him wisconsin. michigan, 16, that one's ten. so if they split these, how they split them is hugely significant to the electoral college count because the six will make a big difference especially now that we have expect -- and these four. if you get ten here, four there, we're into interesting math. let's go back as we play these scenarios. what are we're curious about? we're up to 70% and we're still waiting on the same. we're waiting on milwaukee. let's move next door to michigan. we're up to 60% and this is in a close are state here, so wolf we
have michigan, wisconsin, new hampshire still counting and some others. we've got a ways to go. we have another projection right now. and cnn projects that hillary clinton will carry the state of washington. washington state and its 12 electoral votes will go to hillary clinton. she's ahead you see in the poll and the actual vote count in washington state. we project all 12 electoral votes will go to hillary clinton in washington state, let's take a look at the electoral college map where it stands with her win in washington state. donald trump still is ahead. he has 216 electoral votes. hillary clinton has 209 electoral. very close. 216-2 hundred 9. you need 270 to be elected president of the united states. you see those yellow states there, those are still the states we have not made projections. too early to call in those states, we're counting the numbers, watching the numbers very accident ve very, very closely. this is a real nail-biter in this race for the white house.
let's go to john king. we have about 12 states to go, john, where we have not yet been able to make projections. >> so what i do sometimes when you walk away is to try to have a little just looking ahead. this is maine's second congressional district, north of my little squiggly line. that's not exact, but see this is the house district here, a republican house district, maine splits its electoral votes by congressional district. that doesn't mean it goes republican for president but that's the way we thought it was going to go so we're looking -- we don't know yet. we've still got a lot of votes to count. >> 58% of the vote is in, and she is ahead 48.9% to 44%. >> statewide, but it's heavily democratic in the smaller southern portion of the state, more conservative up here. that doesn't mean it will go that way -- >> that's one electoral vote that's at stake in maine, where they divide up there electoral votes according to congressional districts. nebraska, there's one congressional district that's still up in the air in omaha,
nebraska right now. >> correct. these are usually the quirks. night, you're having a debate, about someone get one or less. they may be essential, no quirks tonight. this is essentially these two counties, omaha, which is democratic, which she's leading and just to the south nsarpee county where he's leading right now, and so this is -- we'll have to do the math and we have people on the decision desk who are drawing -- i drew a general line around the congressional district. we have people on the decision desk who are honing in on this very closely. if you just do the rough math of her leading here by -- that's -- a little shy of 9,000 votes, he's leading by more than that, so if you're looking at it right now, ballpark it looks like he's a little ahead in this district, but we're not there yet. the decision desk people will be going deep into that. this race is surpriseingly tigh where we could be looking at e
congressional states. we'll get to that depending on what happens here. let me clear the squiggly lines. we're up to 66% now in new hampshire. donald trump's lead haes been hold holding steady. a little shy of 12,000 votes. if you've been with us, right along the ocean, it's beautiful. portsmouth, it's a big democratic area, just to remind you, president obama ran it up really big here, so if she gets them, and that's become a recurring theemme, that's a democratic area. we have nothing out of nashua. this is another big area for president obama, 56% of the vote. when you look at the statewide vote total in new hampshire, let's come back to 2016, there are places where there is more than enough room. we also -- we got some hanover.
hanover came in 100% of the vote. she's getting 85% of the vote. president obama got 75% of the vote. so if she performs how she had to perform up there, if she does that in these outstanding democratic areas we are still have a lot of small towns. let just go, but a lot of them are blue. you see all down here is empty. there's a lot of democrat on the map in new hampshire if it performs like it did four years ago and we've seen a problem for secretary clinton. we'll watch this one but you have a narrow trump lead but there's more than enough opportunity for clinton to get new hampshire and those four could become absolutely critical. every time i pull back to the national map i'm looking to see if one of these flips because that is the story of the night. this tug of war, this cliff hanger will be decided by whether or not one or both of these flips back to blue as we get closer in the count. let's get back to michigan. this is an inch worm here. we've gone from 57 to 60, in 35,
45 minutes. we're inching up very slowly. >> 30,000 votes. >> i'm going to go through from the smaller to the larger democratic area, we're up to 96% here. there's not much. there may be some for secretary clinton to make up but not a lot. let's come over here. we are sti we are sti we are still have some votes here, and the biggest deciding factor will be here, in wayne county. we're up to 77%, precinct reporting. what we are told by the clinton campaign is they believe, what's yet to report is the heart of the democratic base, the african-american base, the inner, center city detroit. we'll see when the votes come in. this is not atypical. wayne county, we've been through this many nights, you and i, wolf. wayne county is always -- in michigan, it's always late if not last. you look up here again, the rest of the suburbs are coming in, 87%. in the trump campaign they're going to be very happy with this
if it sticks, but we're up to nearly 40% of the voting in mccolmb county. when you go back in time, president obama carried this. and this is -- this is in the history books, it's where the birthplace of the reagan democrat. back in the '80s, all the pollsters investigated this area, for the union became democrat and supported ronald reagan. will there be trump democrats after this election that will be one of the conversations we're going to have. we're going to have that conversation any way, they are remarkably competitive and we're learning an important lesson tonight as we continue to watch. this 60% in michigan, still a narrow trump lead. 72% now in wisconsin, and a narrow trump lead. two rust belt states, wolf, keeping us up late, very competitive. we have another projection, right now an important projection. and cnn now projections that
donald trump will carry the state of georgia with its 16 electoral votes. 84% of the vote is in, you see donald trump has a lead of more than 228,000 votes. donald trump wins georgia. donald trump carries that important state so let's take a look at where the electoral college map stands right now. with the win in georgia garks donald trump is ahead. he moves closer to 270. he's got 232 electoral votes to hillary clinton's 209. 270, once again the magic number. donald trump carries georgia, an important win for him. you see all those red states, those are states donald trump has carried. the blue states are the states hillary clinton has carried. the yellow states, no projection yet, in those states. very, very close contest, and anderson over to you. >> wolf, thank you very much. we've talked about this being a historic night early on and it is certainly turning out to be that in a lot of different ways. david axelrod, what did everybody get wrong? i mean the polls were jut wrost wrong. >> just the numbers.
no, look. you look at the -- you look at the exit polls and whether they got the top line numbers right or not, what is clear is, there was a hunger for change among a lot of americans and those who felt strongly about those who were angered and disenchanted with government, overwhelmingly were supporting donald trump, notwithstanding the fact that two thirds of them said they didn't think he had the temperament or the qualifications for it. this was a -- this was a primal scream on the part of a lot of voters who are disenchanted with the status quo and hillary clinton -- you know, you -- i always say -- and we don't know how this is going to turnout, so i'm not trying to impute things here that i don't want to, but my operative phrase as a consultant is you're never as smart as you win, and you're never as dumb as you look when you lose. you look back at donald trump's
time, in terms of where he's campaigned and the hammering away at the message hillary clinton's 30 years, and it has found an audience, and that's what's made this race close and you look at these rural areas, in all of these states in county after county, he's outperforming mitt romney dramatically, and she's under >> in every interview, she talked about hidden trump voters. a lot of trump supporters were saying that. it seems like they were right all along. >> i've been talking to somebody who works on the trump campaign who is involved with their, you know, digital operation and their polling. and they say that in some places in rural america that they have 10% more turnout than they originally thought, that they were saying he was going to get more, but it's even more than that. when you look at the exit polls
and voters in this country, 39% were voting for change. you see half of the electorate in the state of michigan felt that trade takes away jobs. you say, as dana was saying earlier, that hillary clinton didn't even visit the state of wisconsin in the general, you put that all together and what we see is massive outpouring among voters who perhaps didn't vote before, who perhaps were hidden, and they came out tonight, particularly in rural areas of this country and said, okay, we want somebody who's different. >> the democrats thought with all the star power of their surrogates with the high popularity of president obama and president obama out there on the stump and michelle obama
didn't help. >> it reinforced who really represented the establishment in a year where you didn't want -- >> we talked about last night during the big star-studded event with all of them on the stage, jeffrey and kaley's interpretation were a lot different. >> he didn't need a piano and a guitar. it probably ended up benefitting him. my observation having watched the night unfold thus far is it is very little about party tonight. it's much more about class. it's much more about income. it's about what separates us beyond our party affiliation. i think david is on to something when we talks about the rural versus urban and suburban divide. >> it seemed democrats were counting on -- well, they had the unions, but a lot of rank
and file were going for donald trump. >> in michigan, a lot of those supporters were bernie sanders supporters and those folks went with trump. everyone though they did see some surges in states like florida, i mean, florida was up in terms of the latino vote and black vote, but it wasn't enough for her to win that state. >> here's something interesting to me in these exit polls but when voters were asked whether donald trump has the temperament to be president, it seems to me the hillary clinton message got through. 93% say she doesn't have the temperament. yet we see in state after state here voters coming out and voting for change.
and i think that was a real motivator. >> if change is what you wanted as a voter, it's clear they were going for donald trump. >> he was a very, very bright incisive vehicle for their frustrations about the status quo. and our friends over here have been talking about this for sometime, and you can see the manifestation of it. we don't know how the story ends tonight, but this is clearly not the race people expected. >> i want to talk to jeffrey and kaley, but we have another key race alert. wolf? >> right now it's a cliff hanger. let's take a look at michigan right now. michigan is so critically important. 62% of the vote is in. donald trump still maintains a lead of nearly 32,000 votes over hillary clinton. 16 electoral votes in michigan. wisconsin, 73% of the vote is now in. donald trump has a bigger lead
there. he's up almost 90,000 votes over hillary clinton in wisconsin. ten electoral votes in wisconsin. in arizona, 61% of the vote is in. donald trump has a lead over 50-some thousand over hillary clinton. new hampshire, donald trump is ahead with its four electoral votes. there are more states we're looking at right now. iowa is in. 160,000 lead donald trump has over hillary clinton. pennsylvania, 48.6% to 47.8%. hillary clinton ahead in nevada.
almost 40,000 votes ahead of donald trump. in utah, 31% of the vote is in. donald trump has the lead of almost 100,000 votes over hillary clinton and evan mcmu mcmullin the independent third-party candidate. let's check in with briann brianna keilar. >> the scene here is so different than it was a few hours ago when people were happy and relaxed. i have been looking around the room and people who are stone faced. some of them have been crying. we have seen people leaving the venue, including some who have been sitting on the risers behind the podium where hillary clinton is supposed to speak. there are people who are just in shock. i've seen mouths open as folks here in the audience are watching the results come in.
many of them with their arms crossed and a hand to their mouth. they are just stunned as they watch what is going on here. it's just been a complete reversal from what we saw a few hours ago. what they are watching is various networks, as we're seeing these calls being made for different states, they've been monitoring a lot of them. their iphones seeing the projections for what is going to happen. and they are just stunned at the idea that they were completely sure they were coming to this event for what they thought would be an early night to celebrate hillary clinton becoming the first female president and now they're confronting the reality that they could be walking out of here either not knowing, but perhaps expecting donald trump is going to become president. you're seeing it here on these faces. they are just stunned. people who were talking and laughing before are standing there not talking to the folks
that they came with. >> it's not over with yet. let's see what happens in the votes. >> sure. >> i clearly understand the s sadness that's going on over there. jim acosta, you're at the new york hilton hotel. there's the ballroom behind you. that's where donald trump will be appearing at some point we assume. what's the mood over there? >> yeah. well, the mood is the exact opposite of what brianna keilar passed on. it is not over yet, but it is starting to feel like a victory party here at trump headquarters. we're seeing a sea of red hats. it's interesting. as these returns are coming in throughout the night, especially in the key battleground states, when that happened, the room exploded. wolf, i will tell you that they started all sorts of chants. usa, usa, president trump, president trump, drain the
swamp. one fairly disturbing chant broke out in this room and that was lock her up. they were starting to chant lock her up. that's a chant referring to hillary clinton and her e-mail investigation that the fbi basically said they wrapped up. it is a common thing we hear at political rallies, but covering this campaign for about a year now, going to these rallies and seeing the enthusiasm in these large numbers of crowds you see turning out to see donald trump, during the primaries we saw that translate into success. we may be seeing that here tonight at trump campaign headquarters. you talk to people inside the trump campaign. they're using words like we're dying. we're freaking out. they are just over the moon tonight with these results. i think they've surprised themselves. earlier today, i heard from an official, a top official, who said it will take a miracle for us to win. i got a text from somebody saying do you believe in miracles. >> jim acosta over at the new
york hilton where donald trump's headquarters are tonight. let's take a look at the electoral college map. donald trump is ahead. he has 232 electoral votes compared to hillary clinton's 209 votes. you need 270 to win the white house. there are yellow states that are outstanding right now. we'll see what happens in those state states. you saw the mood at those respective campaign headquarters, jake. it's a very different mood. >> yeah, her path is narrowing on the board. let's take another look at what's going on with dow futures. the market is now down with dow futures. it's down 4.32%. we should point out after brexit, which is an eve