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tv   Canadian Broadcasting Corporation Federal Election Coverage  CSPAN  October 19, 2015 6:30pm-2:01am EDT

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when he learned that this individual who had a long criminal history was in the country illegally, he asked immigration custom enforcement for a federal immigration detainer -- quote -- "so that if someone came up with a bail, we would then turn him over to immigration custom enforcement and we wouldn't release him back into the community." end of quote. now, what happened? i.c.e. -- immigration custom enforcement -- never issued the detainment. chaichairman cummings noted that immigration authority would issue detainers pretty quickly, but not anymore. so he comments -- and i have a long quote here -- "it just
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shows that they've relaxed their policy, so there are more criminal illegal aisle yen alier community right now. those are the ones i'm concerned with. i'm concerned with the individuals that have committed crimes. they are here illegally, to begin with, and they've committed crimes while they're here. to me," the sheriff says, "it makes no sense to allow thes tho remain in our communities." i agree. it makes no sense that people who do not belong here and commit crimes are allowed to return to our communities and cause further harm. so, getting back to the bill we're voting on tomorrow, the stop sanctuaries policies and protect americans act addresses
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the problems of sanctuary jurisdiction in a very commonsense and balanced way. there seems to be consensus that sanctuary jurisdictions should be held accountable. so we do that with the power of the purse. so now i'm beginning to explain tower bill. this bill limits the availability of certain federal grants to cities and states that have sanctuary policies. we limit funding through the straight criminal assistance program. this is a grant program run by the department of justice that is designed to reimburse part of the cost incurred by local jurisdictions who detain undocumented criminal aliens. sanctuary cities receive these
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funds despite their refusal to detain suspects who are wanted by immigration authorities. in this year alone, california receives a total of $44 million in these state criminal assistance program funds, even though the state has a sanctuary law. new york city, a sanctuary city, received $11.6 million in taxpayer funding. to fund sanctuary cities with state criminal assistance program money effectively subsidizes their jurisdictions for their lack of cooperation. as fore former assistant secrety morton stated in a letter to cook county, a well-known sanctuary jurisdiction, "it is
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fundamentally inconsistent for cook county to request federal reimbursement for the costs of detaining aliens who commit or are charged with crimes while at the same time thwarting immigration custom enforcement's efforts to remove those very same aliens from the united states." end of quote. this bill before us tomorrow morning when we vote responds to this hypocrisy by making sanctuary jurisdictions ineligible for the state criminal assistance program. another grant program limited to sanctuary jurisdiction is the community-oriented policing services -- or that's known around this town and locally as the cops program. these grant dollars help fund
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community-oriented policing programs for local law enforcement agencies. our bill makes sanctuary jurisdictions ineligible for these taxpayer dollars if they have a policy or a practice in place despite the lack of any statute, ordinance, or policy directive from their unit of local government. finally, the bill limits taxpayer dollars through the community development block grant for sanctuary jurisdicti jurisdictions when a county, city, or state has the effect -- in effect a statute that clearly defies information sharks as -- information sharing, as required by federal law, or as a statute that prohibits any government official from complying with a detainer request issued by the
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department of homeland security. now, those are the funding parts of our bill. in acknowledgment of the bill's fairness in targeting certain grants, the national sheriffs association writes -- quote -- "the grant penalties you would impose also acknowledge that our public safety entities should not be punished for actions of a state or local subdivision over which they may not have control. i appreciate the careful consideration you clearly gave that issue" -- end of quote. now, the second part of our bill deals with lawsuits that local law enforcement people might be faced with. so the second thing our bill does is provide protection for law enforcement officers who do want to cooperate and who do
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want to comply with detainer requests from the federal government. it would address the liability issue created by recent court decisions by providing liability protection to local law enforcement who honor immigration and customs enforcement detainers. the federal law enforcement officers association explains in a letter of support for the bill -- and i have another long quote from that letter -- "unfortunately, at least four courts have ruled that local law enforcement officers may be sued for violating the fourth amendment if they comply with an immigration detainee, even if the detainer was lawfully issued and the de-ten would have been -- and the detention would have been legal if carried out by the
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department of homeland security." this means that our local counterparts are exposed to potential civil liability, and it disables their ability to detain dangerous criminals scheduled for release. the stop sanctuary policies and protect americans act solves this problem by explicitly stating that local law enforcement officers have legal authority to comply with immigration detainers." that's the end of the quote from the federal law enforcement officers ar association in the letter in support of our bill. while preventing restrictive liability to law enforcement, the bill also ensures the protection of civil liberties and the rights of individuals. federal law enforcement officers association noted that -- quote -- "the bill protects civil
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liberties, ensuring that someone who has had their constitutional rights violated may sue." end of quote. finally, the bill addresses criminals attempting to reenter the united states and habitual offenders of our immigration laws. the bill creates a mandatory minimum sentence of five years for any alien who is an aggravated felon and who has been twice convicted of illegal reentry. thanks to many people, including tv's bill o'reilly, for keeping this issue constantly before the people of this country, this part of the bill -- then named by bill o'reilly commonly referred to as case law -- has become so important to many americans, and you can imagine
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to the families of the ones that were killed by these murderers, the pictures i had up here. you understand the importance to those families. this case law is necessary to take those off our streets who are dangerous to our communities and have no respect for our law. this bill has broad support by law enforcement groups. it also has the support of groups that want enforcement of our immigration laws, and it has the support of the remembrance project, a group devoted to honoring and remembering americans who have been killed by undocumented immigrants. i ask for unanimous consent that letters of support that i have that i present to the united states senate be added to the record. the presiding officer: without objection. mr. grassley: and for my clerks i'm just about done. -- and for my colleagues, i'm just about done.
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some on the other side of the aisle are criticizing us for politicizing these recent attacks by criminal ora aliens d releases by sanctuary jurisdictions. we are being accused of attacking immigrants. however, i just want to note that the democrats take into shame in politicizing the recent gun violence and promoting legislation that would not have stopped some of the shootings from newtown, connecticut, to roseburg, oregon. so this is not a partisan issue. this bill protects law-abiding people and improves our public safety. had it been enacted before july 1, individuals like kate steinle may well be with us. i would think we should all be able to agree that people who are in the country illegally and
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committing crimes should not be released back into the community. there has to be accountability and a commitment to uphold the rule of law. so, for too long we've sat by while sanctuary jurisdictions released dangerous criminals into the community to harm our citizens. so it is finally time that we put an end to it, and tomorrow we have that opportunity. it's time we worked towards protecting our communities rather than continuing to put them in danger. i hope all of my colleagues will support this bill and vote to proceed to it tomorrow. i yield the floor.
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a senator: mr. president, i ask that the senate be in a period of morning business with senators allowed to speak for ten minutes each. the presiding officer: without objection. a senator: i ask that the senate proceed to s. res. 289 submitted earlier today. the presiding officer: the clerk will report. the clerk: senate resolution 289, designating the weect beginning october 18, 123015, as national chemistry week. the presiding officer: is there objection to proceeding to the measure? without objection. a senator: i ask that the resolution be agreed to, the preamble be agreed to, and the motions to reconsider be laid on the table, with no intervening
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action or debate. the presiding officer: without objection. mr. flake: i understand that there are two bills at the desk due for a second reading. the presiding officer: the clerk will read the title for the second time. the clerk: s. 2169, and imil to permanently authorize the land and water conservation fund. s. 2169, a bill to amend title 54 united states code to extend the land and water conservation fund. the presiding officer: in order to place the bill on -- mr. flake: i would object to further proceedings en bloc. the presiding officer: objection having been herksd the bills will be placed on the calendar. mr. flake: i understand there are three bills on the desk. the clerk: s. 2189, a bhil to provide priorities for federal obligations in any event the debt limit is reached. s. 2182, a bill to cut cap and balance the federal budget.
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s. 2138, a bill to reauthorize and reform the export-import bank of the united states and for other purposes. mr. flake: i now for a second reading and object to my own request, all en bloc. the presiding officer: objection have been been heard, the bills will be read ford a second time on the next legislative day. mr. flake: i ask unanimous consent that when the senate completes its business today it adjourn until 10 a.m. tuesday, october 20. following the pledge the morning hour deemed expired, the journal of proceedings be approved to date and the time for the two leaders be reserved for their use later in the day. following leader remarks the senate proceed to executive session under the previous order. further, following the disposition of the nomination, the senate proceed to legislative session and resume consideration of the motion to proceed to s. 2146. finally, that the senate recess from 12:30 p.m. until 2:15 p.m. to allow for the weekly
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conference meetings. the presiding officer: without objection. mr. flake: if there is no further business to come before the senate, i ask that it stand adjourned under the previous order. the presiding officer: the the presiding officer: the
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>> right now we bring you live coverage of the election night coverage and we conclude analysis and journalists explaining the makeup of the next canadian government. [inaudible] >> when that happens it actually gets hand-counted in those polling stations by the deputy returning officer and from that, they actually phone the results into election canada where the results go into the computers. we actually have them right here we have people sweating, trying to figure out what is going on. how they figure it out is looking at historical results and also looking at the most recent data, trying to get an idea of what is likely to happen.
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>> you have that right and we are always monitoring these decisions very carefully. david is with us with this time during this night in various locations. they will lose quite a few others, quite a few others will find themselves with new jobs. what exactly do they get when they come into ottawa? we have a peek at the page. >> there are a bunch of people getting brand-new jobs. have you ever wondered? let's start at the top. the prime minister will make
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$334,000 a year, the leader of the opposition, $249,500 and the other party leadership, $224,200. if they get at least that. but what about in new kids? the salary starts at $167,000 per year and that is exactly half of what the prime minister gets. the thing is that most of them will do better than none. last parliamentary session only 45% and then we have the add-ons. mps are the key position. they also get a bonus of sorts, anywhere from $5900 to an extra $80,000. and that is not the end of it. a book allowance come, up to three copies of any given title. to establish a new subscription, members of a lonely, parking on the hill, and a follow-up letter.
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for all of the new mps, that is good news, but be warned that there are some films that come with the deal. many deal with conflicts of interest. ministers, parliamentary secretaries, they must distance themselves from their personal investments. sometimes putting them in a blind trust which means putting it to someone else to manage and tinkering with the investment from time to time. the trustee doesn't share the details of the politician and the politician doesn't try to influence the trustees. it is a way to make sure that there is no honey business with insider information. all of them outlined on one of the handley handy tablets that mps look at. >> there we go, giving us the stands in many ways for the new mps. it sounds like a lot of money in some cases, but really, what are
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we talking about? people directing the future of the country. a few minutes ago we saw insiders that are down there as well and we are going to bring them in for a couple of minutes as well. and this is a critical part of the election coverage and we have david hurley and jimmy watts and others. and based on their own internal polling, instead i want to ask you what canadians are used to and so will be happening where the leaders are and who will be
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in the room at them in the next few minutes when they close and they start seeing results coming in. >> his work is done in many ways. >> it really is quite serene. >> is that the real tension? >> it depends on what you think you know is going to happen. if you think you are going to win, the moon is extremely celebratory and normally the leader has their own bunker to watch with her family or a very
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close friend and advisor. and when things are going well it's hard for the leader to not go their way into that larger group and they can certainly and the campaign in narrative terms for the public. >> is the old story about having two speeches on close nights, is that true? >> you sure do. the question that comes when you decide to give back. and we have a lot of campaign strategists and leaders, the leaders go with their family and then you spend the rest of the day trying not to start drinking because if you do, disaster is going to ensue even if you think
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you're going to win you always wonder if that is the way that it's going to turn out. until you see those numbers start to rack up, you are never really sure and i can tell you that when you're waiting for them, they are using this and they seem to come in in slow motion. >> yes, they come in slow motion for a while and then they start to tumble fast and we are going to be able to witness that over these next 32 seats in atlantic canada and the date bolstered seats that comes on. the insiders will be with us throughout the evening. we will be back with jamie and david and kathleen as the evening progresses. let's bring rosie back into the conversation. >> by first-time at the big desk. first time covering federal elections. how many have you covered again? [laughter] >> 14. >> okay, 14 in total. >> we thought that we would look
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back, because i had a hard time remembering how many. all of the elections that have been covered in the past. >> there is not much difference, he goes out. this is a kind of election night that many have been waiting for. the conservatives are going to form this government. buy now for the next 30 minutes we are all yours. they painted this country will and the liberals are painting a it red and they are doing so big-time. >> is is the court order, the prime minister's court order. the paintings represent all the prime ministers of our time. >> keep in mind that this is the first one from anywhere in the country. do not leap to conclusions based on the first poll. >> based on his driving skills, i'm guessing we should have the results by wednesday at the
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latest. >> i think that he does a great job there. >> well, you have to do to. >> yes, it is all my idea. [laughter] >> it sure was not mine. [laughter] >> and its great memory is. i have to tell you. making the point earlier about being careful about the results. a number of instances, 84 was the reverse. by taking 25 seats of the 32 in canada. and it signals what would happen in many ways through the rest of the country. will that happen the night? welcome i guess we will have to wait and find out and see. but that is part of the excitement on nights like this.
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so before we get to atlantic canada, about a half-hour later, when you you're going to see the results counted in new brunswick and prince edward island. we will have 32 seats to talk about. it is their spotlight moment and we are just getting started, we are only moments away from the first votes being counted. ♪ ♪ >> we have the results and the reaction from across the
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country. now with the polls about to close in newfoundland and labrador, coverage continues. ♪ ♪ and this is "canada votes" on cbc. >> here we are, at the broadcast center, you are looking down into the atrium where the headquarters is located. this is going to be an exciting evening and we are looking forward to telling you the story of the nation as it unfolds after your votes on this day. so stephen harper. he stands on the precipice of a historic mandate. the first prime minister to achieve that since 19 away. is tom about to make history as the first leader to take his
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party,. [inaudible] welcome, everyone where we have set up the election headquarters the polling stations for all seven areas are closed. voting is going on across the rest of the country the last polls close three hours ago in british columbia and yukon. right now we are anticipating the first glimpse. we will break it down and keep in mind the early results are going to be very small. do not jump to any conclusions
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based upon those early results, poll by poll. it's exciting because you're watching it play out. the last time around you hadn't liberals, four of them in newfoundland and two mp and one conservative. there were changes in those numbers, and we will see, the first results are expected any moment and we will flash them on the screen let's bring in david cochrane who has more for us at the ottawa bureau. and he is from newfoundland and knows the story as well as anyone. >> well, if they want to get rid of even stephen harper, this
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province is expected to go heavily read tonight this region is trying to unseat ryan cleary. mr. allen, one of the things that i heard about this is to go to the vote. >> we have had a great turnout. early through this campaign. the liberal party has a very well organized machine to get the vote out such as today, we have been preparing for our own election and so this has been a great time to firsthand get the
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vote out and all indications are that it's going to be a great evening. >> in july the internal poll showed 16 points behind. >> yes, absolutely. if you could call this debate that you have from that time on he hit it out of the park. and he really started to get his stride and his confidence and that went right through the whole team and everybody felt that. >> the john allen decision desk, back to you, we are going to wrap it up. >> thank you.
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we are going to hear a word or two from the region, depending on what happened in that particular area. okay, as soon as everyone reports we are going to report. susan joins us again covering justin trudeau just a little while ago. >> that's right, a lot of anecdotes out of there. they were telling me about how much stephen harper was disliked currently and he says when the tide goes out, it takes everything with it. in atlantic canada we were just there with the team. they were in halifax and st. john's new brunswick's. they are looking to make gains
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there. and for many this election is about resuscitating the liberal brand. people or feverish to be able to rally around the leaders that have momentum unlike the previous elections. we have there's been a lot of excitement in atlantic canada and it's extremely important. >> thank you, susan. let's take a look. which one is that? it is coastal they, which would be a port of liberals. scott sends has been elected many times before and it's assumed that he would be well
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tonight he has a huge lead early out. more than 300 votes on the first pull. and that could be the advanced poll. there were a lot of and 5% of the voters voted during the advanced poll. but 3.6 million and just how that figure would come out, they were allowed to start before they close today so they were ready to unload those results right away and scott simms, it's not going to come as a shock to
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anyone. and it is still early but a huge lead for scott simms right out of the gate in newfoundland. and this is going to give you a sense of the vote in newfoundland in 2011. the last time was four years ago, the province was liberal red. we are going to talk about what is happening tonight. and this gives you a sense of what happens. one was conservative blue and the couple were not. we are getting ready to give you the second one as it stands right now. it is bona vista buren and
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trinity and it's very preliminary. less than 50 votes have been counted. all of a sudden they are going to come in very fast. here is judy foote sitting with 35 votes, and once again we're not going to make any determinations based on what we see on that. >> some of them had the lowest voter turnout at about 5%, who knows why, as these day, the numbers leaders being now, it's going to be a small portion of what we see. and i think what is interesting
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is that looking at we can see what the vote share is. and he used to be a weatherman but he has become a really great name. he has 80% at the moment. then there was a by election and she is a well-known politician as well. yvonne jones. and you can see that person's neighborhood. so it's hard to tell and that
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would certainly hold to the pattern where the liberals have done well largely on the strength that danny williams has told them which is not to vote conservative. such a contrast with a conservative provincial government. >> every time you think that danny williams has disappeared, he pops back up again as he did in the interview with david cochrane a couple weeks ago. tonight we are seeing the early effects on the first two polls. >> you could've lived in the same house for the last 30 years and you could've had difficulties with this election. and so it could give you this in
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terms of redistribution. no more so than in newfoundland. in some cases where it has gone west to east and so on. and suddenly you are voting in a different name. so it's not necessarily the patterns. >> it wasn't just that danny williams came out for the second time but he came out and went out after stephen harper. he went so far as to almost call the conservative a racist. so it was a well-timed strategy by danny williams and he knows the power of what he has to say. he also know that stephen harper has a lot to say to and frankly
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it is not a place that has been friendly to him. the time that they have not invested there is part of it. >> okay, we have more results when you look at everything right now, everything is coming up red from labrador to the avalon peninsula. can you tell us these latest ones with the leading liberals at them moment? >> we want to talk about avalon. as you can see it is liberal.
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as you can see scott andrews is in second place. there was a sexual harassment claim where he has been tapped to run as a nonaffiliated candidate. but many people think that he will win this tonight and we also want to take a look at another called long reach mountain. [inaudible] and again, yes ,-com,-com ma it is one of 255. if you and i both know that even a lead like that early on can
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mean something especially if it jibes with the history and everything drives. but we are certainly waiting for the seats in st. john's. and a personal friend of justin trudeau. and that is really where they have been. >> yes, and then he is up against ron, ron cleary. five leading liberals, all five of them that have reported so far show liberals in the league. rex murphy, of course, is from newfoundland.
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he never hid that fact. he is going to weigh in with some thought about this and in terms of what we are witnessing tonight. >> yes, there is a repeat. i do admit that it has some force. but i would remind all the people watching the election chat crosby, when his son was knocked out by the tories, that is equivalent to having been a curse on the word of conservative in newfoundland and i would agree with all of the other contributors as well. the real one to watch is ryan cleary. for two reasons. he himself is a very interesting
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individual and he's a very close friend of justin trudeau. so his rising fortunes in this last two weeks have made him a true contender with ron cleary. and there is certainly a regular cleary battle. >> not just on all of these different regions, but also on how the story plays out and how canadians are talking about what they feel is needed with the new government or the next government. to keep in mind there have barely been a thousand votes counted. and while the liberals might be
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very happy with what they're looking at, it's very early and you saw some of those graphics showing few votes counted and it's going to start to speed up. let's go to the other end of the country. chris brown says that there have been reports of problems so what is happening since you have been monitoring? >> right now we are at the creekside community center, people across canada may remember this because it's where the athletes did in the 2010 olympics. normally some cannot go into the stations, but we can peer inside because this is a big last-in area. see you can see that they are not very large lineups at this moment. people can come in and there's lots of people from canada to ask that question. twelve or so different polling stations within this voting
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place and things are calm. there have not been that many problems at this station. we have heard some instances of people showing up with problems with their identification. one individual had a drivers license but had a different address that had been pasted across. she had to go back and get proper idea. but it's fair to say in the areas that we have been monitoring that there haven't been too many problems. >> chris brown, keeping an eye on the polling stations for the next little while. >> that is all that they have
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seen so far. so the tabulating is a little slow, but the polls have only been closed for 15 minutes and we expect that to be 15 or 20 minutes. so we expect things to speed up in the next little while. so let's keep the monitoring of the polling situation in different parts of the country. so let's see, we have chelsea with us, do you have any issues? >> no issues at all. take a look at this. >> what is the goal here tonight.
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>> congratulations, this has been quite a turnout. >> it has been a steady turnout, and of course they are not finished yet. >> thank you, we will be back checking in throughout the evening. so let's keep going. the numbers are starting to go. >> let's take a look at the share of the votes.
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and it's really about the nonaffiliated candidates running under his own banner. so let's check it out. yvonne jones is in the lead but when you break down the numbers she has 89% of the vote and that is a remarkable thing. and so it's not a perfect surprise, because she won the by election. and then we have notre dame. scott simms has been an mp on the island and there's
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tremendous presence. and the conservative second in this case was 15% of the votes and you can see. many expect that that is the way going to continue. and there's also check areas. like 70% of the votes last time. and there have been liberals who have been feeling so confident about their chances.
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>> we have seen different trends across the country. obviously justin trudeau, sweeping the country, we have to be careful making those distinctions. and 70% you have to be cautioned by the fact that you have those from the last time around and we have to be making up this difference. and we are coming up in about five minutes time.
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>> traditionally liberal red as red as the dirt. since justin trudeau is prime minister. we have the liberals are going after that and they are worried. they are also worried about nova scotia in the four seats that they have there. and the conservatives are very worried about that and it's a strong sentiment against the conservatives here and there's a lot of on unemployment and a lot
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of seniors on fixed incomes and there's been cutbacks and that has not gone over well here. but in the tight race of course the conservatives show that it's very difficult to pick up going forward. >> they did not have a seat at that time. and so watching new brunswick, what can you tell us. >> earlier we talked about this from the conservative perspective.
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and we have some francophone writings right now, there is a cabinet minister and i think we should look carefully at the three big cities. >> we are only a minute or two away from the polls closing in the other atlantic provinces. david cochrane was talking about this as well he is leaving and
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so that is one to watch tonight, whether he held on to that league, that would be a take away. still 70% that has been counted so far in newfoundland has gone to the liberals. but those main st. john's votes, and let's look at a map right now. it is all already in terms of leads for the liberals. and he has the league right now. it is a 60 vote lead and it's
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early. and the other is starting to pile up on that little number and so that is the story right now. twenty-five more seats, about to report it. >> one of the longest campaigns in canadian history. now it comes down to this. ..
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here in downtown toronto. this is our lunchtime headquarters and we are spanning country with her coverage in the polls are closed. polling has wrapped up in the maritime. the huge wave begins two hours from now when the polls close, 263 of them from québec and into its territories. right now they look east for the picture is about to come clear and 25 more runs so let's have a peek first of all in terms of what we have seen. you can see the scoreboard right
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there in your screen. six liberals leading, two of them elected in newfoundland. one still to be heard from in that st. johns east which went to the ndp in the last go-round but a spectacular start to a local park where the votes counted 72% of the votes counted so far are for the liberal party of canada which is a huge increase, about double the percentage they had last time around. the st. johns east where jack harris the ndp popular ndp member is running for re-election. that would change that dynamic on percentages somewhat. obviously if he does well in terms of the vote getting. here's her party standings. liberals elected in three and leading in three so far in the poland but 25 other seats both come and. those are critical seats. obviously for the liberal party if they are going to try and
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show that this is the beginning of a momentum the beginning of the tide to sweep across the country. have got to caution that. canada does not suggest what happens there will happened elsewhere but it will be a heck of a start for the liberals winning a dozen seats and canada diana swain is watching from newfoundland and is going to give us an update on the polls there. >> newfoundland and labrador we have seen in at least three of them have enough to say the three have been elected sovereign a campaign so let's start with trinity. it was interesting that they have the lowest voter turnout in the advance poll and people seem to show up in today and enough has been counted that we can say that judy foote has been elected for the liberals. another one want to show you where the results are pretty much in the bag already essential notre dame scott simms. he returns to ottawa in the sea.
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another we can tell you judy hutchens has also been elected tonight. but this one is in play. st. johns, we have these numbers and up one and 187 so hard to say what it tells us but for the moment seamus o. reagan is in the lead over ryan cleary. we have just started getting numbers from that other one that we been waiting for which is jack harris again very early one of 188 polls counted. he won with a huge margin last time about 70%. many people would expect based on that and based on his personal popularity his name brand in newfoundland that he shouldn't be in trouble. having said that there are some liberals in the last few days feeling what they think is the end of a great campaign and looking at seats like this. that's why we'll be looking at them as well to see what's happening but for the moment three people already elected at
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all for the liberals in newfoundland. >> 15,000 votes counted in newfoundland already in almost three-quarters have gone to liberal so far. jack harris could alter that number obviously if he maintains the percentage lead that he has and st. johns east. rosie jump in him is because obviously jack harris is a key member of the liberal caucus. in terms of representation on the program he's always there with that quote. that would be if they are in trouble with jack harris that would be a devastating signal. >> sure, early days still but yeah he's one of the more senior members of the team. he's one of people that has political experience and clouds when they came in 2011 and they had all those new people that they didn't expect to when they had to rely on people like jack harris to give them some political capacity some mobility and he picked up that banner easily. he was the critic of defense and
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foreign issues and those happily. he regularly brings kids who are doing good semi-tour up parliament hill. he would always come by the show and want to watch politics. obviously any one of that stature is going to hurt the ndp more. they need to hang onto those people that have the experience. but i think it's early. i'm not going to count them yet. >> now and nor should any of us counted yet. in fact why would we count them? we can see on the board the of the other numbers are starting to trickle in now drum the other parts of atlantic canada. we have at least one and windy i think you can tell us where it is. >> yeah, the numbers are just starting to pour in peter in the first results we have tonight are for the writing of sydney, victoria.
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this has been held for a long time by mark i king. he was determined to hold on it. it's early results but it looks like he is a fairly strong lead. when the big issues in this writing was there was a lot of a lot of veterans and this is where one of those veteran officers would shut down so the harper conservatives were not popular in this election campaign even though they were fairly popular in the last campaign in 2011. the veterans is heard and unemployment is heard and the whole feeling of rough times in and time for a change and marks a two it's a good first line for the liberals. he. >> i just want to give the viewer some guidance on the kind of numbers we are seeing and in that writing we saw a big number a lead of 500 votes on the first poll reporting dumping almost
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1000 votes in. it likely means that was an advance poll. this is the way things worked in the elections. canada was warning of this over the weekend. in that particular writing 17% of voters and that's a lot of votes. so many canadians voted in advance of the poles, 3.6 million that they were going to change the rules a little bit and allow advanced polls before the regular polls closed. people would be locked in a room not lead out until the polls closed officially but they could do the counting and when they came out those numbers could be entered immediately. we have seen a couple couple of writing cynical and wear a big number was drawn from the first poll. we are assuming that meant it was an advance poll and the same thing we are thinking in terms of that seat that the liberals are leaving and at this moment
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but that was likely an advance poll. the other polls reporting not yet in atlantic canada with one of 25 seats will have to talk about as the evening wears on. still a couple of hours away from the big swap seats from québec to alberta. let's go to nova scotia where tom murphy is joining us from cumberland colchester. a fabulous story here because you have somebody running for the liberals are used to run for the tories and was an independent for stephen harper and that's still the case. quite a story tom. >> indeed it's been a wild campaign. we are just happy to be here let me say right off the top we were supposed to leave but we had structural problems at the legions of a move the party to caesar's. they even had to cancel the sunday night nanny so you'd know but have a look here at the dance floor with where they were kicking up their heels later tonight. bill casey is as you say the
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former conservative who held this seat for many elections and voted against the harper budget in 2007 and won the seat as an independent as well and was thought to have been her redemption that -- his mighty redemption that he retired from politics as you well now and he got the call to come back to liberals and tonight it's been a revenge for him you know may be appealing up make you mr. harper pay a little bit so what better place to come to get comments about 11 we campaign. i'm sorry to interrupt this campaign but i have to ask this lady how are you feeling after it's all over? >> bill casey is going to win. >> you are pretty confident about that. >> for the liberals, right across canada. >> you are pretty confident of that. describe the mood in this room.
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how do you feel? >> i think. >> were you a conservative before? did you come over with bill casey? >> yes, definitely. >> that's the kind of medicine the room and not exactly the attache panel. we are getting good feedback and comments. we are having a good time talking politics tonight. >> that's great. let us know when the hootenanny may start later on tonight. coming back to our live coverage. tom murphy joining us. you can see the board is starting to change a little bit as the first results from the first conservative lead of the evening and i believe it's in new brunswick. >> early results. we were talking about if the conservatives are to do well in atlantic canada they are most likely to be doing well or at least hanging on to some of the seats in the province and they are in the league right now and one of those seats. there are four writings in new
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brunswick where last time around the conservatives have more than 50% of the popular vote. in fact the last time around the mvp ended up going in second place liberal vote collapsing. one of them is toby. mike allen has retired there. richard rockman is a former pastor and so it's interesting that conservatives will be happy to see their candidate even though early just one poll reporting but in the leave their great we are going to take a look now at riverview. this is a writing that when conservative last time around. robert brogden won but if you look at the history of has a long history sending liberals to the house of commons and jeanette taylor is in the lead there. talking to her earlier today and she was talking and i've heard this from a lot of candidates around the country, forget about the long campaign. they have been knocking on doors earlier in the here and in her
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case it was the fifth of january. she counted 42,000 doors. she has been to a lot of doorsteps and she's hoping it will pay off. >> thanks. 30,000 votes counted in atlantic canada and more than 70% have gone liberal so far. but as tom reminded us in his waiver might be due there's a track record. they didn't do well last time around but they do seem to be doing well tonight. conservatives feel about that? let's go back to calgary to get a sense of that. >> that's right. i'm here with the conservative campaign manager so thank you very much for joining us. i do want to ask you a lot of people are noticing this room is a lot smaller than it was in 2011. you are expecting fewer supporters tonight. is that indicative of something bigger, less supportive the polls? >> we are pretty confident.
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it's a tighter election and it was in 2011. a lot of close races in pretty much every part of the country. still two hours left with pulling open in most places. i think tens of thousands of people are making their way to the polls. >> what kinds of results or steven harper prepared to hear tonight? >> as those of the vote in those who haven't voted yet we are ready for anything. i'm honestly hoping to focus on keeping taxes low and keep the budget balanced. >> when you say ready for anything what does that mean in a circumstance? what is he prepared to do? >> i think it means every time we go to, politicians or canadians go to the polls is in the hands of the canadians and we are confident that we run a solid campaign focused on the economy but we respect whatever case. >> you guys were one of -- the
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want to call this the longest campaign in canadian history and you also had a lot more money. how do you think is one of think such a tight race? >> this race has been tied from the beginning so it's no surprise because of such a competitive election. the reason is longer cyclically because it fell wasn't appropriate and they should be switching to pay for the campaigns they should be, the party. i say all the parties communicate with more people to travel to parts of the country they wouldn't have otherwise gone to the campaign and we have been talking about the economy and lower taxes and balance budgets for those 1111 weeks away about waiver for a map. >> thank you very much for your time. >> and thank you. tough position to be put in sometimes four party officials to come out to talk to reporters and they have got to react to the kind of results that are starting in the expectations the polls have suggested that guides
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your no talking to strategists. i want to talk to insiders about that but first i want to go to ian. there are more results coming in from new brunswick. at lease one potential surprise. >> let's take a look at the next two writings we have seen results from in new brunswick and new brunswick southwest is another writing where the conservatives consider this to be rock solid territory for them more than 50% of the popular vote in that writing. john williams and former columnist for the national post in second place in the liberals in first place there. in that the ndp result. let's see how the parties doing. this was a long time writing for the ndp in new brunswick. they just piled on the votes from election to election for the ndp. jason goad in smart enough to take advantage of that name. right now they are in second
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place. losing him from the ndp caucus would be a blow. >> it would be. they must be starting to wonder at the ndp and certainly the conservatives in terms of the way the atlantic numbers are unfolding. there are 32 in atlantic canada so lots more still to come but here's one figure that you want to keep in mind. this is the vote changed. this often can tell a story. there have been 40,000 votes counted so far so this is where we stand right now. you have got the liberals opt 40 percentage points. there are at 70% is the conceit of the votes counted at this point in the evening. where they take them from? is almost half-and-half in the conservatives in the ndp is pretty little more in the conservatives just over 23% in just over 17% from the ndp. so not a good night in atlantic canada and at this point for either the conservatives or the
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ndp and a huge night for the liberals who have more than doubled their vote counts so far in atlantic canada. but still we have got another 17 cities to hear from in atlantic canada get before we can make any huge determinations on the big picture they are but is there for sure. let me bring the insiders back in jamie kaplan and david because i have eyes been fascinated on election night watching the people who the parties in doubt because in some cases it can be a really difficult situation to have to put a good tone to what might be a difficult story and guide jour no came out. how difficult is that? >> we were sitting in the hotel room to go out and talk to catherine so he was the one that was sent out to do that. always a tough thing to do and
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people are being very cautious. you are being cautious and atlantic canada we are waiting that you see the liberals doubling their support. you see the conservatives losing fat. the good news that there there are some any seats at stake yet but if that trend was to hold us that would make for challenging night for the candidates. >> for the next couple of hours we'll be discussing the 30 seats in atlantic canada to get the spotlight on them. you have to remind yourself roughly the same number the same number of seats is another were to protest traditionally been conservative so they can cancel each other out but it the moment has a story to tell. david and kathleen, kathleen you have got your handout. >> i was just going to mention in terms of guy jorneau is one
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thing for david and jb and myself to come out with what we call her game face on the big night's election nice but it's another thing for all the candidates across the country no matter what stripe they are to put their name and. it takes a lot of courage and they need to be regarded thankfully for the public service. in terms of what our parties are looking for the early moments of the atlantic results coming and i think it's going to be significant in the advanced polls coming into we are hearing there are several thousand polls so looking for that. it certainly looks like in my opinion it would take the liberals 28 seats in the atlantic region. we will see if that comes true. >> david a quick word from you. david is looking like a the swallow the mouse so far this evening but what's your thought at this point? >> coming to the election there
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was some discrepancy between the poles that route there are some showed a closer race than others. some showed momentum heading into this we didn't know how far the momentum would carry so i think the atlantic results are constructed in that respect and i think if you see the liberals north of 28, they get 27, 20, 29 parts of atlantic canada the momentum we were saying in the last week of the campaign did carry forward and i think you will end up with a liberal majority government across the country. if the liberal numbers and a 25% range are probably looking at where the closer poll had it at a liberal minority government and of the liberals come in at 22 or less in atlantic canada than the posts -- polls were mostly wrong and we were looking at different result than expected. >> to three different possibilities there and we will wait to see what happens but that's a good guide perhaps. david kathleen and jamie will be back. we want to go wendy as we have
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more results coming in and first of all there is seamus over again's headquarters in st. johns. the results keep coming and they are that are good for zero reagan -- o'regan. they are cheering in st. johns so as seamus o'regan has a healthy lead of 1100 votes almost double is an ep opposition so we will see how that continues to unfold. let's check in now with wendy looking at prince edward island. for seats at stake there and here's the early look that has been reported both turning liberal red at the moment. >> not a huge surprise but it's
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interesting that has been up as a tight race. they're all me for seats with every single seat count in the selection tonight. let's take a look at a couple of writings. this is egmont. gail shea is here. she's very well respected. she's the only tory elected last time in the election. valor -- very well respected but will her popularity away the unpopularity of stephen harper's conservatives there? very early results and is hard to tail but this is the fight to watch. winning the seat is a priority for the liberals. lawrence macauley and cardigan again early results he was solicitor general. he stands a good chance of being back in parliament so we are seeing early results but we are seeing we know the harper conservatives are not the conservatives of edward island.
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a lot of unemployment here. a lot of seniors on fixed income and that isn't very popular so an early glimpse a small liberal bandwagon building. it may be spreading to prince edward island as well but that once it is up for grabs with the conservatives. >> is a bit of the panel's liberal seats elected in 21 of the 32 seats. just one pot. the ndp just one. one of those liberal places in central nova. peter mackay and before him father elmer mackay writing for most of the last 50 years. the mackay's have had control of that writing. at the moment it's very early on a couple of hundred votes have been counted so far but at the moment the liberal believes the conservative 3-1 in terms of the vote counted once again early just a couple of polls reporting. let's have a look.
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we will bring rosie back in here and that's nova scotia obviously. mary read across nova scotia including parts of the halifax area that have reported so far which is more than just a little bit interesting for the liberals and for the ndp. >> early polls reporting. we caution everyone but remember for writings in halifax and three of them held by the ndp. let's give you some early results and we will start with code. this is currently and mp since 1997 as trailing the liberal. three of the 198 polls reporting so this is not a lawyer. he has won six elections in this riding so we have keep an eye on where things are heading. i will bring it to the halifax west. jeff reagan the liberal incumbent. look at the numbers here. we are talking very small numbers, small number polls reporting but jeffrey is a liberal incumbent and is held
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that since 2000 i will take you to halifax which is interesting are many reasons partly because this is the riding held by alexa mcdonough the ndp since 1897 that one only 211 polls reporting again early results but andy fillmore the liberal leaning over her megan leslie one of the deputy leaders of the ndp. so all to keep an eye on and these are the writings remember that the ndp needs to hold obviously for all sorts of reasons but they're also the kind of writings that the liberals were going into and trying to pick up. we saw in halifax as recently as just a few days ago knowing that this broad appeal that they were making to progressives in this country and i'm sure we will talk about how they were doing that was to tap into these various kinds of writings. >> those are some pretty well-known ndp names. >> megan leslie i think it's fair to say is the future of the ndp.
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she is young and she is urban and progressive. she cares about the environment and climate change. she has become one of their most vocal and prominent critics of a she has imported a party but she's also important to the future the parties that they need her to stick around and matter what happens tonight. >> right now the ndp has half a percentage total of votes that may have the last time around. still was supposed to to be counted especially in that writing. i think was the 100 votes counted. want to get up to date on the new brunswick story is a look at the liberals marching across atlantic canada. these are pretty impressive numbers at this point in the county in atlantic canada. >> how long do we have until maritime? two hours? >> yes, lot of time. >> at this time as i could shiny butterfly. you jump on arriving writing the changes before your very eyes. in a while you will get tired of hearing from all of us on
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atlantic canada. let's look at some of these writing starting with maddow wacasa. dare i say early on that we were talking earlier the former cabinet minister with the harper government in second place with only one poll reporting. this is one of those writings they want to take a look at. let's move on to st. john. this is an interesting one because the city of st. john has elected a conservative ndp since the 1950s every time that four and it's interesting one poll out of 178 seats the liberal in the lead and rod westin has run a lot of campaigns. he's going to wait and see how this one turns out an earlier i was talking about the longtime mp for the ndp. this one has been going back and forth. three polls reporting now. not hugely better small lead opening up for the liberals.
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>> i want to bring to the shiny butterfly stage time to go to it and draw -- andrew chantelle and bruce. it's absolutely correct about being careful about what's said about atlantic canada but these are pretty amazing numbers we are looking at here. and you heard what david hurley key liberal strategist going over some sense but the numbers will be going out in atlantic canada. we look at the numbers would be see? >> i'm guessing there are two parties that are praying atlantic canada isn't them but i will also note for almost two years of polling in that region has shown an overwhelming liberal leaning. this is what i expected to see out of atlantic canada. so far not surprised. it was issa given that there
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would be a serious challenge even for the ndp in the area. they want in that region and its size going to make it difficult and a centrl figure across atlantic canada. so far in nasaprize and i'm not ready to draw conclusions. >> that's fair enough. i just want to let you know the second survey on the board now is for the royal and new brunswick which was another conservative writing that the liberals conceded was going to be hard for them to get. this is early going and we will see what happens. andrew. >> and chantal said it was widely expected that the liberals would do extremely well in atlantic canada. in this early going you would say there's an exceeding expectation. i think something like 70% of
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the popular vote overall. if you look at some of these writings that they are leading in they're not leaving end of the royal. if they were leading in funny row they would be lights out. they are leading in what i think is a very watch closely st. johns rob today. >> bruce we will get get to in a second that i wanted to diane with an update on the seamus o'regan story. >> when they can say with certainty is that the liberals are phenomenally popular in newfoundland and tonight again for the liberals. there have been enough votes counted now it looks like seamus o'regan has won the writing at st. johns and mt. pearl picking up query. we are watching another one and the only one left is st. john beach. we have jack harris in the lead at the moment but by 127 votes
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which is not a lot. we are talking about 2.5%. when we look at the share of the vote in newfoundland overall these are the numbers a the numbers a party which are not. they have 70% of the votes counted so far in the ndp and conservative roughly neck-and-neck at 14 to 12% not making much of a dent in as imagined jack harris is in the lead over nick weiland who is a local lawyer. you may recognize his name because it one point in the campaign he called on tom mulcair to apologize back in the 90s referring to newfoundlanders as -- mulcair apologized and mike weiland would accept the apology moved on. we no seamus o'regan does have a political background. he was an analyst for premier brian tobin back in the day before he moved on to his broadcasting career and now he's moving on to ottawa.
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>> there you go. there is the headquarters of seamus o'regan and st. johns and we are waiting to see when he arrives to speak to the crowd and perhaps have a chat with her david cochran as well. i cut you off? >> bush is going to say they will be happy to look at the crowd, a young crowd and that's one of the things they been trying to do is to try to get young people into the frame to say this is what the party represents now and someone like seamus would be a visual symbol of that young new face of the liberal party. >> more than 100,000 votes counted across atlantic canada now meant the liberals have 66% of those votes and the conservatives only 15%. bruce, i have to bust in their buts when you are looking at all
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this would be seeing? >> peter is going to look at how the results compared to what the polling data was telling us and i looked at the average polling indicators for atlantic canada earlier today and i think it was 53% for the liberals. so 66 or 67% is obviously better result now. it remains to be seen where those results will go as they get a few a few more writing supported in ever ported yet but if we have to read the early signs no question that these results are better for the liberals and the polling data indicated and we are also seeing evidence that really well-known incumbents are struggling to withstand the tide towards liberals we are seeing in this region anyway and that's it's got to be making some incumbent conservative cabinet measures that other people in the country feel quite never as about their prospects. >> keep in mind we mentioned a little earlier when -- started in atlantic canada 25 to 32
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seats when conservative or mall bernie. these numbers if they hold or perhaps increase which they are starting to do here 27-1 and a share upwards of 70% that is quite a signal. mulburney one on two cleanup in almost every region of the country. we will see what happens to justin trudeau. >> we have surprised that liberals are doing well and that region and the only thing to take from this so far because we have enough votes we can say this is certainly the largest pulled not necessarily even the distributive with a large sample we have seen from the region and the fact that it's running that much ahead suggests to me that liberals are motivated at least so far and maybe the other party voters weren't. >> we heard david early a moment ago breaking down what he expects and how he would characterize different stages of
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that atlantic canada boat. we are now at the 27th number. accounting is now than it and there are still more seats to hear from. he was suggesting that this was an indicator towards a liberal minority or majority government. that's david hurley a liberal strategist. i'm not going to challenge his assumptions but we'll put them them in a particular context. let's give you a sense once again by going to our special little 3-d virtual house of commons and go inside the house of commons now to have a look at just how things are shaping up in terms of the share of the vote. you are mentioning how many votes the liberals are getting. look at those numbers. 66% of the votes counted so far and more than 100,000 are heading in the liberal column. 15.4% for the ndp and 15.2 for the conservatives and then the
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rest just a few votes scattered amongst the greens, the independents and others who are running in atlantic canada. those are staggering numbers for the liberals at this point in the evening. the conservatives are down 22%. the liberals more than double their vote. they were just under 30% in 2014. so that's the story. 28 leading our elected liberals, to conservatives and one ndp. let's go to seamus o'regan headquarters. the candidate is still yet to arrive at david cochran is there to tell us the story and a happy bunch of people you have there with you. >> a very different mood in 2015 than in 2011. the former liberal, ndp way of taking on the 20 of taking out upon 11 to liberal wave will be seamus o'regan in other was. >> this is exciting for our
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province and exciting for our country. we are thrilled that seamus o'regan is going to be the member of parliament and st. johns. [applause] and we are happy for our country. it looks very positive that we were going to have a good turnout and good results for friend justin trudeau. >> i want to get reactions from these people. two young liberals who probably walked the length of newfoundland in the campaign and adam what's your reaction to seamus o'regan winning? >> we have put in so much work and i can believe that the day is calm, the real salts have come. >> what about you? >> we been campaigning since february so to see a produce roots. >> as a result of a lot of hard work in july's seamus o'regan had his polls 16 behind grade query and st. johns east. jack harris won in 2008 with
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fidel castro and raul castro numbers. who would have thought it when the campaign was called? [applause] >> david cochran reporting from halifax and he now has a crowd applauding every one of the standouts. there has been a lot of talk in the last 10 or 15 minutes trying to figure out how to interpret these numbers in terms of what it may mean the big picture on the great night for the liberal shaping up. 29 leading elected liberals to her the conservatives won for the ndp. that's now hearing from all 32 in atlantic canada. not finalized yet. many of these races have not been completely determined. only a handful have an sec they keep changing and it just keeps getting better for the liberals in terms of elected. only nine of them we have seen
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enough votes to be confident to say they have won those writings. we want to talk a little more about the context of what this means in a pathway to victory for justin trudeau. >> i have an idea and her idea took over. >> we have known his name since the day he was born. the first child of the charismatic prime minister. most of his life spent in the spotlight but as liberal leader justin trudeau has his own political style. a natural campaigner who loves to work a crowd. he has exceeded expectations these past 11 weeks silencing the skeptics gaining momentum. >> stephen harper is not afraid of me my friend come he's afraid of you. spudeck to win voters must believe he is a real alternative to steven harper.
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justin trudeau is rocksteady and not a rock star. >> we have our ottawa bureau chief with us now and help us and guide us on this topic of where this could possibly go for the liberals if they are going to have a pathway to victory. it's going to be good news and has to be important for glanna canada. >> let's look at their support right now and 2011. if you look at it there is a series of isolated dots in a few cities. there are lonely outpost that liberals support in urban canada. if they're going to have a good night if what we are hearing in atlantic canada is the shuffling of the those in the stampede that might be happening here is what we are going to see. we are going to see liberal
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support that little red radiating south of vancouver. also it into the suburbs are going to see a red.for the first time perhaps in the city of calgary since 1968. along with growth for the liberals. winnipeg center winnipeg south saint bonafay and peered right now there's the blue belt in the 905. i will become a -- tonight and in montréal you will see support radiate north and also spread south. you will see them break to in québec in places like shepherd perhaps in the region around the national passage. >> it would be quite a story if that's the way it unfolds. what do you make of these numbers? chantelle has cautioned us about atlantic canada.
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>> i think we have to look at expectations and i think these are beyond expectations of the liberals and again we have to look at the popular vote. a significant increase in the popular vote. people are heading to the polls and groves -- in droves. it's also a think reminiscent of what we saw when justin sparta ran in 1968 as well. he has seen support from pockets of atlantic canada that they have not seen support from in a long time. >> and 93 we started to see the same thing develop when he formed his first of three majority governments. people that the conservatives might hold on to like the conservatives who will win the cup with two seats that might. nevertheless it was a signal
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that first signal came from atlantic canada. tickets are marker will any think about what the liberals faced going into this election campaign really a lot of people that they face an existential threat. they were on their way down. ndp was dissenting in if you would a vast liberal organizers in the their heart of hearts what would have been a good result on a night like tonight they would have said -- over the ndp for two election strategy holding the conservatives to a minority. if they do better than that this will exceed their wildest dreams. >> thanks very much. let's take another look at the change in the vote that we witnessed so far in atlantic canada. once again it has told the story very well. here it is, you have the liberals at roughly two-thirds of the votes counted so far just under 65%. conservatives down 21.1%.
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the ndp down as well 14 points at 15.4%. so you had a real shift in votes and atlantic canada and the big winner of that shift being the liberals taking votes 3-2 from the conservatives and the ndp. a night for them which is one i'm sure in their wildest dreams i never expected. elected in 31 seats. that means the jack harris even st. johns must be now falling towards the liberal side although now it's all 32. so the liberals are leading in elections every single seat in atlantic canada. it's early yet. only 11 of those being declared elected but look at that map. solid red right across the atlantic.
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solid red across nova scotia, solid red there are and how a fax. rosie is watching that. >> let's just blow peoples minds a little bit further. the liberals had a caucus of 34 when we left. so they almost have their whole caucus back and we were only in atlantic canada. that's the direction we are headed so they are differently going to have a good night. they only need to pick up a couple more. let me show you what's going on in halifax. early results and we will start with dartmouth cole harbor and here you see they are leading by 200 votes again early results three of 202 reporting. robert is the former ndp leader. in a province is trailing here. he won by almost 500 votes are not even 500 votes in the last election so this is what's happening there. let me show you the next one. how a fax again we are seeing megan leslie struggling.
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early results, six of 211 polls reporting but an urban planner in halifax is leading megan leslie wayne and we talked about the importance of leslie and the ndp caucus. should not be this type for megan leslie. i think that's fair to say at to say the stage and to say the stage and i will show you one more here and this one as well. it should not be unfolding this way. even if you look at the early results stauffer in the end has been there since 19977. in win by huge election but here he is trailing the liberal darryl sampson. this tells us things -- the same story we are seeing atlantic canada. even if the ndp holds onto the seats within halifax the race tightens and that's not a good sign for the ndp. he should not be fisa bears are going to maintain him and definitely not. >> 32 out of 32. if that's the way continues to play out as you said it's early.
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jack harris is a very back-and-forth in st. johns east and we will keep our eye on that but you are looking at parliament of canada were there wouldn't be a single opposition member in the fordlandia provinces. >> you would have some senators though. mike duffy would be conservative senator and honestly that is a part of the story we would have to talk about. if you don't have anyone else except liberals in atlantic canada then you have to start wondering about the importance of senators to give some balance in some weight to the legislative process going forward and you would see representation from some other senators in that area that would represent other parties. that would start a conversation about what the senate is really about which provides that regional balance that you might see there.
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that would be astounding. if you hadn't any opposition party representing the whole swath of the country. >> there has been smooth so far in what we are looking at. 32 out of 32. keep in mind jack harris writing is less than 100 votes separating him from the liberal candidate. look at this map of atlantic canada right now. all my years i have never seen a complete region of the country like this in one color. somewhat similar to québec in trudeau when he won 75 of 75 and all alberta writings when conservative peering out for provinces, 32 out of 32 in new brunswick in the days of frank mckenna the 5050th provincial seats when he was running for premier which made it kind of difficult in question
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period. i think they try to work out a deal where certain members of their party had a challenging role but nevertheless when you are all one party that can be pretty tricky. let's go to liberal headquarters in montréal where justin trudeau will be speaking later tonight. i guess they must be pretty excited about what they have seen so far. >> you know peter at the start of evening i spoke to liberal who said they are feeling good but there is no liberal in the country that doesn't be like an ample supply to drop on their head. there are feeling a lot better about it now. they were planning and plotting and working on this atlantic canada for sure. you are there on saturday in halifax come in new brunswick and the liberals went four times to new brunswick in the course of this campaign and the crowds were big. there were a lot of people there saying we don't know but something feels like it's happening here. halifax saturday morning early it was so hot in that room. i was standing on the podium and
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the senior man an elderly man was standing and he fainted the heat was so intense in that room and there were so much excitement. that was the way it was all across atlantic canada for that last sweep that last campaign. you were talking about trudeau. it was interesting this week when i was with the trudeau tour there wasn't one place right in here in attic note about trudeau. ajax ontario woman came up to me and said trudeau kissed me once and another woman brought out a picture of the christmas card in the 70s and 80s when the four boys were on that card with trudeau. across the country i was seeing there was certainly amongst die-hard liberals the legacy of justin's father. here at headquarters don't except for journalists but they are all waiting to come to this
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room and certainly feeling pretty good about the atlantic results. >> susan thanks very much. liberal headquarters where justin trudeau will talk later on that evening. we want to you know who we want to bring in now for a little brevity in the program as we make -- wait for more results coming in from atlantic canada? one of atlantic canada's favor sons mark risch. he joins us from montréal at ndp headquarters tonight. he must be getting something ready for tomorrow nights program. >> hello golden. how long has this election than? it feels like i should be talking -- do i know how to pick a party. i can hear you over the shouting peter it's a quiet here. traditionally we voted against stephen baker and against
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trudeau the elder and harper but when they elect a new pope white smoke bill is out of the vatican. right now there's white smoke coming out of the tower. i think a change is going to come. >> listen rick before you go i want to show you something that you did here while we were doing summer her souls. i want to show viewers this and talk quickly about it. watch this. >> we are in the atrium so it's all right here in a trim. is this the lobby of the pv -- cdc is it because real estate people are showing people around and that's why we are down here? >> there are still floors available. >> he comes up here every now and then saying how are you doing peter you look tired. can you explain exactly what's
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going on here? >> you're actually looking at the house of commons but it's not the house of commons. >> you can zoom right in their, right? you can actually sit down under the desk. >> it brings into light as it's never been so vivid as now. can you tell how excited i am? we do every possible scenario. >> green majority. but would that sound like? >> a shocker tonight for canadians. elizabeth made the next prime minister with the majority government. >> i hope that's playing in an airport in vancouver as she walks by. [laughter] >> mr. kritsch i cannot let you go. you have had a chance to talk to all these guys and do stuff with them and skits for your 22 minute program but you talk to them often when they are in opposition and you talk to them sometimes when they are in power.
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two things change at all in terms of getting them on the show? >> remember her priest to come up when he was in opposition after editing somebody else to come up and go hey do you need me? i could do something humorous. one time he had to go to his office and he was the only one working on the weekend. on camera we are not going to use this ever. he just looks that all the time wondering around and then second he becomes president hey that he remember the time -- the other day was on trudeau and we will see what happens. i will try to talk to him tonight and i feel like i may be delayed. it will be fun. >> are sure will. thank you. >> always a pleasure. >> marc rich in montréal. we are going out to cumberland colchester with the new mp, now liberal bill casey with tom
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murphy. >> peter and 80s new mp and he came to the crowd a moment ago and said set up my still ahead? he wanted to know. they are pretty excited bunch as you can expect greater little scared. there'll be a few drinks consumed in celebration. bill casey. congratulations tonight. the crowd is cheering you on. what does it feel like tonight for you to win this seat? >> i will never get used to this exercise. i have four or five more elections in may. >> that's saying something at 70 but listen i don't know if anyone has ever run and won a progressive conservatives and in independent and out of liberalness country. >> i don't think so but i don't know but it's an interesting concept. i don't recommend it. >> you may not do it again.
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what is the message he tried to send their tonight? >> the message could be anything you want. it could be we want the environment looked after, we want the economy looked after. we want atlantic canada -- i was part of a campaign by early when i was watching the results it just struck me atlantic canada is sending stephen harper a message and that is we want change. >> you can't make this political drama up because you ran against a undefeated date -- scott armstrong who when they were conservative used to run your campaign. what has that been like between between you two on a personal level? >> it's even more complicated than that because a person iran into my first election was dennis james and he is my campaign manager and a selection my campaign managers my former opponent and my opponent is my former campaign manager. >> you might runs quicker.
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is that what's happening here? >> i like to make friends. he offered to help with the transition just a minute ago and i now work with them as best i can. it's not an easy thing for either one of us but i felt was something that had to be done. i watch the rest of our democratic process and i watch the worst of our parliamentary process process and i felt that i had to have a voice. i had to speak my mind because i knew better than most what was happening because i've been there. i know how this is supposed to work and it doesn't work that way anymore. >> cumberland colchester is behind you once again. congratulations again. peter back to you. >> thank you tom murphy and colchester bill casey for the liberals. the liberals leading elected so far and conservative tack on the board as richard reich in new brunswick. he's the only conservative
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showing in atlantic canada great now but a very tight race there. 56 votes separating the two candidates. we are lucky to be joined in the atrium by steve lewis former u.n. ambassador for canada former ontario leader and someone who i have been like enough to work with over the years and covering political stories. it took the ndp an awful long time and right now they don't have any. >> would appear that the liberals are marginally ahead. what has happened here? >> i think obviously the anti-harper but has gravitated en masse to the liberals in it went to canada. the sense of antagonism to the prime minister was remarkably intense in my experience across the country from east to west. i think it's manifest now and probably will be fairly consistent through the evening
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of the liberals being seen as the alternative. >> and the ndp are going to take a beating on this. >> we may well. people are still voting and feeling apprehensive about chatting about it but i think that we have come at the ndp has a very powerful ground campaign and a number of key writings. that may change the mathematics but it's obvious from atlantic canada that there's a trend underway and it would be foolish to suggest otherwise. >> when you look at the kind of candidates in the pr in trouble in atlantic canada. as you were saying earlier they are the future. races have been fully decided that megan leslie. >> megan and jack harris these were terrific members of parliament and in many ways for us to heart and soul of the party in atlantic canada. i'm hoping that in these close races they will ultimately merge it into the night but it should be so close and so tough is unsettling i grant that.
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>> what is his campaign to you about our country? >> well it made me feel better about the country because we have put up i think obviously deeply prejudiced but an awful lot over the last decade that has undermined the basic values of this country and i think what we are going to see tonight is a rejection of what happened over the last decade. however it manifests itself whoever becomes the government it will clearly be a rejection of the conservatives and that's terribly important in terms of the people of canada expressing their views. and i don't know what will happen in québec. that will be fascinating to see. but we feel tom mulcair feels he will be able to hold a goodly number of seats in québec and he is that a principle in good campaign. i think the ndp has come out of this very well because people feel mulcair is a guy with integrity and taxable person who
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fought a good fight who ran into a couple of other things which cost of votes and seats puts it well. but i like the country rejecting the conservatives, forgive my partisan chip that i think it was important that canadians deliver a message which was unequivocal. goodbye mr. harper. >> you think the potential exists when you look at those results so far tonight that the ndp got part -- caught in a squeeze and they will just -- have just as as hard a time picking up seats? >> in overtime tommy douglas finishes an election that was not successful, i lay me down and bleed a while it arise to fight again. that's the dna of the ndp. whatever the outcome tonight it will not suppress our ardor for the next campaign. >> more of you that quote over time. stephen baker uses it as well.
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>> that's right. >> some of us were there. [laughter] >> some of us chose to forget its. >> stephen thank you so much for joining us tonight. wendy with the latest from nova scotia. >> we heard 32 out of 32 bit as we take a look at the map that's a clean sweep for the liberal sense for this evening is declared so it's not just casey that's going to be celebrating a hootenanny and nova scotia tonight. let's take a look at. the other writing cease to be held by the conservatives starting with central nova. he and his staff had a family -- for four decades. read daily worry -- fred deloitte couldn't keep it going. and great news for the liberals. this was expected to be very
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close. it wasn't. the liberals not here since 93 and one more. the conservatives had four writings, force you to nova scotia. this is the fourth one. west nova bounce back and forth for decades really between the liberals and the conservatives and the liberal here has one. actually if you look at the voters support the liberals are in many of the writings nova scotia added by 60 or 70% vote totals so it's a very clean message being sent and steven harper has lost a lot of love since he made the comment on unemployment and a clear message is being sent a four writings and nova scotia have gone to the liberals. >> wendy thank you. one conservative and that keeps
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popping around. in new brunswick that is the one on the board with concerts at the moment that the jack harrison after months of very close. less than 100 votes behind liberal and st. johns east. now attack -- slipped back in his 32 and 32. one of those writings that wendy mentioned a central nova. the reason we are showing you this used to be the domain of peter mackay and before him his father omar mckay. it's mckay country but tonight after mckay decided to step down a few months ago you have liberals putting central nova with more than 60% of the vote. joining us from central nova peter mackay. you have to look at these numbers and obviously wonder what happened here.
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>> peter for sure we see a change. they are used to high tides in atlantic canada. this is not what we had hoped for at all but i will be a long night. in 1972 you overcall the stanfill conservatives did very well in atlantic canada but went on to lose the election by a narrow two seats. i'm not sure how this is going to pan out in the rest of the country but clearly there was a very strong resonance with this change. change for what reason, people can give all sorts of commentary but that certainly was resonance across atlantic canada people were looking for something different. >> as your father would attest to an 84 when the conservatives swept across atlantic canada that sweeping across the rest of the country too so it does cut both ways. you never know how it may unfold this evening.
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>> you are right. >> in 1997 the liberals held every seat here in atlantic or nova scotia and lost every seat on election night and 97 so what we are seeing here may or may not translate into impacting the rest of the country. we are going to remain hopeful and i will invoke an expression from somebody near to you and that is we never ever give out. unless there's an ebb and flow in politics that you have followed that i have followed for a long time and we are very proud of the work we did here and part of the contributions that we have made to public life if politics is personal and nova scotia as elsewhere it's a big change in people's lives. a lot of incumbents and a lot of new elected mps will experience what i got to experience and that was the wonderful sense of participating in democracy being part of your
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community representing it in the house of commons and that's helping for our country. >> one last question. i know you are connected to a lot of people in that party. your party is the conservative party from coast to coast to coast and you must have been talking to them in these last few days. what you think it's going to be different in the rest of the country than what we just witnessed in atlantic canada? >> well there's a bit of contrary and in atlantic canadians and i don't believe that same sense in -- sentiment that does rove reaction that was perhaps more prevalent than in other parts of the country. we will see as we move into québec and ontario and we will know very soon but i remain hopeful. you have to remain optimistic in this game. it's important to always see the best in people and see the best in your country but also in your party. there was a long campaign america on session. i think that impacted in some
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ways and there were certainly a lot of fatigue as we reach the finish line for not just candidates for the many people to who participate in this process. again i say for emphasis that was a very healthy thing for our democracy. as was bringing the conservative movement together. that to me is something i'm very proud of. it produced a competitive democracy. i don't think anyone can disagree with that and the conservative party is resilient. we had a party that started the country and we will be around to govern again. >> peter mccabe, good to talk to you again. thanks very much. >> thank you very much peter good evening. >> let's look at the situation in atlantic canada once again conservatives back on the board meeting. thank you ian. they're hopping back and forth with the conservatives and the liberals switching leaves.
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it's very close in both polls. we will see how it ends up. it's only a two vote lead for the conservatives in that writing right now. let's look at the overall numbers in atlantic canada and in terms of the chains that we witnessed so far tonight because it always tells a story. peter mackay hoping this isn't a trend that starts to splash across the country and not convince it that might not happen. things do seem to be happening across many parts of atlantic canada obviously tonight. 19 new seats for liberals for a total of 31 and elected 19 and 24 of their overall total of 31 that are elected so they are close to being able to say they are definitely going to win a lot of seats in atlantic canada tonight. the conservatives down 13 as well.
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the ndp are down six so it is a disastrous night for the ndp so far. all of the seats aren't settled for the ndp. jack harris writing is still up for grabs and i believe the megan leslie writing it is not the sidekick either. >> do you want to see it because there are staggering numbers happening in halifax. i think we are going to start with halifax in the lead is pulling away. we are going to start with dartmouth. if we have that ready. do we? >> it's coming up. >> let me tell you what it will show you. look at the margins here. darin fischer has won this writing by more than almost 6000 votes. the last time robert chisholm won the riding by 500.
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they are winning big in these writings and taking from people that you would expect them to take terry they're not talking about mps that were elected surprisingly in 2011. we are talking about established writings and establish people inside of these writings. let me show you what's going on here. the liberal candidate here has defeated peter's software. that's astounding because peter stauffer has been mp since 1997. he is well loved, well-respected has been a prominent voice in the ndp on everything from veterans to other issues. it's a fixture in parliament hill and has now gone to the liberals by huge margin. let me show you the next one here in the halifax area and here again this isn't over here. we are seeing andy fillmore the liberal candidate polling
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decisively away from megan leslie by more than 700 votes. only 50 of 211 polls reporting that we are getting to a point where we were called out for liberals and again not a place you would expect necessarily the liberals to pick up. this is me and dp since 1997. these are not one-off things happening here and you have to start wondering if this is not as you have been discussing a move to try and make sure you are getting rid of the government. >> it's looking very much like the anti-harper pulls it moved over. the ndp is terrible news. they are icons within our caucus. spin it their fixtures within the caucus. >> peter stauffer the feeling was if anyone's going to hold on it would be peter stauffer. >> u.s. regulate elected the parliamentarian of the mclean's awards because he's such a good performer in the
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house and friendly at times so for them to lease these kinds of people is bad news. however the next test for the liberal party is the province of québec obviously and ontario. we have to see what's going to happen. >> there's an ingesting figure on her words. 33. why are the liberals leading in 30 seats? québec has just started reporting because it's on a timezone. it's on the atlantic canada timezone and there it is. it's very early. they only have 50 or 60 votes counted so far but the liberal is leading an incident and the pc. so it's another example of an ep
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in trouble. the story all atlantic canada seeds in the liberal column some of them too close to call for sure. conservatives in the running in a couple seats and the ndp still in the running in one of glenn's seat that is still yet to be determine which way it will end up. having said that this is a liberal sweep of atlantic canada that's taking place and the question is whether or not it will continue through the rest of the country. let's go back down to our voters studio and anne marie has been monitoring things were voters in helping guide them to the results in each of their writings or any particular writing that they may want to see. >> thank you peter. taking a look on line at the conversations people are having as the results start to come in one of them at one point was hashtag lbc pitches a shutout.
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didn't work out that way but we thought that was funny. joining me now is a trans expert with google canada. he can take that data and find trends. what were people doing most today eric? >> it's interesting the mechanics of voting how to vote where do i vote and what time to the polls close but also moving into the evening. who is going to win the election in these kinds of questions? >> we saw people when you take a look at what we have been googling at home what did the trends they be you? >> when we look at this election compared to 2008 in 2011 we made a huge surge in searches for two words. 6-when you have seen more voting this election campaign than 2011 or 2008. perhaps we are seeing some of
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that work at play tonight. tell me about the leaders. how did that play out? >> at the community campaign actually back in july steven harper was -- all the other leaders with 504% on google search. that was the case for august but in the last three weeks we have seen just an eclipse steven harper and is now pulling garramore searches for justin trudeau. >> you saw the numbers took a peek around thanksgiving? >> this month it seemed to take off. >> finally it's a long campaign. you compile all the data. when you find about the issues that ended up being important issues for people in canada? >> rock cross the board there were -- across-the-board we saw the refugee crisis that was top trending issue and the macabre issue whether you were in rural
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or urban canada and regardless of east or west. svinicki were gathering the information. aaron thank you so much in her mind or if you're watching at home if you are still voting you want to give us your directions to the results are seeing hashtag canada votes and will be following it here in the studio. >> and murray thanks very much a quick update on the story that rosie and i were discussing a few minutes ago and that is the status of megan leslie and the incumbent key member has lost. we have now seen enough votes registered in halifax and in fact the liberals with 50% more the vote in that writing have defeated. andy fillmore's liberal candidate who has defeated megan leslie. that will not be good news within me and dp ranks. very popular member not only they floor of the house of commons where she's an active participant when john mulcair
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was not in the house of commons and outside of the house of commons where she is popular among all parties in various social events because she's a great singer. joining me now and we are glad to have him with us. goldberg. and this campaign started you wanted to ensure that your issues involving indigenous canadians were discussed at the forefront of the campaign. did that ever happen? >> they are candidate and canadian issues. when you start talking about poverty and overcrowded housing and education 40,000 children in foster care these are canadian issues and if we can start addressing those issues it brings down the high social cost the socioeconomic gap that was in the gap. >> some of those issues on a broader scale weren't that discuss.
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>> not enough focus on some of the major debates there wasn't a lot of attention focused on that. a couple weeks ago they called our own form in edmonton and invited leaders to focus focus on the issues we needed to address collectively. >> how many of them came? >> mr. mulcair came and the -- pretty came so we had a robust dialogue and it brought more intention. they will be forming the next government or you are going to be prime minister candidate makes sense to get these issues into your head and your legislative regimes to close the gap. we want to make sure the dialogue was there. >> specific to your your membership or pursuing the fact that some of these issues are faced by all canadians but your membership particular issues themselves that any party have a platform that you are willing to look at and say you know what, this is good? this i'm willing to endorse. >> to the main parties got
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robust responses to her closing the gap. i issued opposing closing the gap and all parties speaking there were neat investors and education. looking at the revitalization's revitalization's -- to table the form of documents. we had responses from liberals and they had robust responses. they are similar in their responses so they address some of those concerns. we always say it's a start but more must be done. >> who do you see giving you the potential to have more happen? >> i will work with whoever is elected tonight that it will be reaching out to the prime minister tomorrow morning to matter who it is. they have to have a really positive relationship together between the next prime minister and cabinet. i will continue to do that no matter who gets elected. as a measurement for the liberals had a response for the
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closing the gap document in and ndp had a response do we are pleased. they did focus but again we have to hold their feet to the fire. we have the written responses in writing. we have verbal responses as well so i will work with whoever gets elected. a couple of les glick points. there was much discussion before the campaign started that if indigenous canadians voted as a bloc they could have a real impact on this vote. was there any organized attempt to make that happen? >> not to vote as a bloc but to mobilize the vote. basically our priorities matter. our concerns matter and their votes matter. so close. >> how did you make out on that? >> some mps close their communities down and are busting a people to the polling stations stations. there's an excitement and energy that hasn't been there before
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that we can make a difference in basically maintaining the status quo is not acceptable. we need a positive change to close at and that's what i'm hearing from guarantees. >> so you had your own get out the vote operation going. >> we wanted to mobilize the vote. her member we can get the votes in 1960 and i think we had to harness that political power to make sure that any future prime minister listens to our concerns and priorities in is good for canada when the gap closes. >> it's funny because a lot of canadians assume that everybody has the right to vote in this country. first nations people 10 years before that women and shortly after the turn-of-the-century. there have been a lot of changes over time but 1960 nation's first getting the opportunity to vote not that long ago. 60 years ago. >> that's right and we are getting the concept of dual
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citizenship. as in the edit didn't -- indigenous we are created algonquin and it doesn't make us any less indigenous. we can move to sovereignty a nation all those things but it's all making a difference. it's another tool center box of tools to make change. >> gary will guard thanks very much. >> thanks for the opportunity. >> i want to bring in andrew chantel ambriz. i should update the baseball score. that's what a lot of people are concerned about. i want to get this right. 3-14 toronto? hello? >> that is right to. >> 3-1 toronto. 1-sir kansas city and 3-14 toronto so life is good. life is good for the jays and life is good for liberals at the moment.
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what is the attache panel think about what we are looking at? all 33 writings in canada one in québec. >> we are certainly focusing on how well the bulls are doing and i can't recall sweeping canada. i think it's a equally significant how poorly the tories are doing. they have gone from 15 seats to zero but a friend of mine said have a look at the third place. last time they were 33 writings and this time they are running third in 11 writings. is around 17 to 18%. that's down not only from 30% the last time around but i was just looking out the numbers for 1993 when the tories were reduced his two seats across the country. they had the progressive conservatives. 20% that year in new brunswick and 24% nova scotia. it 32% in newfoundland.
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>> hold on chantel umbra's. we are going to -- because seamus o'regan is ready to talk to david cochran. this is the comments for the new liberal member of parliament in st. johns. david take it away. >> david seamus cleary gives celebratory remarks. shame is congratulations. you were 16 points behind in july and august according to your own polls. how did you turn it around? >> hard work. honestly the old prescriptions work and i point out every single day i walked 15 kilometers talking and listening to people. i knew i had to do that. people want to see you work for it and i diligently did that day
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in and day out. i'm happy with the results. >> when you look at the numbers across canada nick wayland is in a dogfight with jack harris. the vast majority of seats have gone red and atlantic canada. what is. what does that say to you about how their rest of the night is going to go? >> there's no question about it that people demonstrated to family and friends that they wanted real change and to coalesce around the thanksgiving week and i think we have a strong platform. i'm very proud of it. i'm proud to represent an prattsburgh ramonic and at the end of the day that's what people went on. this is a policy driven campaign but also a campaign of optimism. i couldn't be prouder. >> have you had a conversation with justin trudeau? >> i have had zero discussions with him. believe me right now at this
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moment you have one st. johns south. >> seamus o'regan thank you very much. the liberal mp elect for south st. johns. he's going back to the mainland as a member parliament. >> david cochran and seamus o'regan for the liberals. i was being very careful about saying no conversations and i'm sure he has had no conversations that everybody assumes he will be the new iraq cabinet minister. chantelle ambriz a quick hit from you before we get ready to tell more results. >> remember four years ago the signals that the wave was renewed with the ndp leading.
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not looking so good this year that the liberals leading. this is one seat where the liberals believe they have a chance of taking the seat and early results are good for them. there is also in this great liberal night and it planted canada may be some clue as to what might happen in ontario. there are liberal governments in nova scotia and new brunswick. there's usually a theory that if the provincial government is one whatever does it will reflect on the federal party. that didn't happen to liberals tonight in the big question mark is does that mean in ontario whatever people think of the liberals it won't matter because you usually in the past ontario was lou -- was blue and it was
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read provincially. if it's an omen is not a given for the conservatives. >> we have been talking about the conservatives that lacks in atlantic canada at the ndp is having a bad night in atlantic canada down 12 points over their performance last time. that's why good mps like meg and leslie are being defeated and it's got to be a worrying set of numbers for ndp candidates elsewhere. the second is i was reminded of the fact that conservatives lost a lot of front bench talent. ..
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today you as canadians can do something that millions in the world can't. the future of the country for my grandchildren. >> i'm hoping the moving forward we can make the environment.
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what wrote it should take him a path that should have gone. you stand at a crossroads. people of many roots connected by the majesty and potential of our home. it brings universes of trees stretching ever onward uninterrupted.
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your home. how will we govern this nation and share this and calculable wealth. what is in this next date for this great km by? you heard passionate debate. what do you want candidate to be? >> i don't want to be a victim of circumstance. >> just do your job.
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basically it's your democracy. this is your country. and. and now all of the arguments and appeals have fallen silent, yours is the only voice the matters. the great engine of democracy has fired up powered by your simple but all important act of marking that little piece of paper. >> and here we are back at our election headquarters in downtown toronto that essay about voting, the importance of this day and the definition of the country that you are actually making tonight in your decisions coast to coast to coast, ballots across the country are still open,, and a huge part of the country, at least for another 28 minutes or so from québec right
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through to alberta,alberta, parts of the north end up at the next top of the clock in british columbia. still some voting going on and some decisions being made by canadians. right now the decisions that have been made a pretty impressive. especially obviously if you are a liberal. every single writing and atlantic canada painted red at this point 28 of the 32 writings have been decided. there are still a couple that are too close to call, one on the same atlantic canada time zone is reporting so far which is why it comes to 33, but it, too is liberal. conservatives taking big hits. rosie barton is with us. >> us. >> before three of them held by the mvp, now all have gone read.
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urban planner for the downtown area these handily megan leslie, one of the deputy leaders of the mvp, one of the most vocal and frankly personable mps up on parliament hill, well liked by many, and a strong parliamentarian. a big loss tonight. the next one where they have gone down, another big surprise. this issurprise. this is not one where they would have had any concerns going into the election. peter has held this since 1997, 16 elections. for him to lose tonight is an indication of something much bigger that is happening at least in this part of the country, aa decision not necessarily for a candidate the perhaps against the movement, and that movement would be conservative in this case. finally, this is where the
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mvp had more concerns. they knew that it would be a tight race and they have lost the former leader. liberals pick that one up again, and the only other has been held by jeffrey can in halifax west. another urban area where we expect liberals to do well and pick up seats, did not seats, did not expect them to pick up this many seats in this part of the country. >> and in some places by as why the margin, not even close. let's look at the phone and i will give you a sense between the liberals and the other parties. this is what we look at. liberals have doubled there vote basically in atlantic canada. chantel am bruce andrew have mentioned a
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couple of times that they were polling high in atlantic canada throughout the campaign from start to finish. occasionally at 60 percent, but tonight they deliver those kinds of numbers and not just polls. the conservatives and mvp down. down 12 which signals not necessarily a lack of faith but the fact that canadians and atlantic canada made a decision that if they wanted to oust the conservatives they were going to have to coalesce between either the liberals or mvp and in this case it seems that they have clearly chosen the mvp. elsewhere in the country, thatcountry, that is what we are still wondering about. overall 33 liberals weeding or elected. so far reporting. new brunswick, supposed to be the one area if anywhere
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where the conservatives would have a good showing. it is all red, to. >> historic support that the conservatives have had is the only reason why our decision, not willing to call two writings elected yet. liberal candidates are leaning. let's look at fundy royal, one of the writings, i writings, i talked to conservatives and they felt that this was a sure thing. you can look at that lead and say it is small, but it has been steady and increasing. i was so unprepared that i had to quickly google search her. she has a store. if she hangsif she hangs on she has a special occasion to celebrate later on tonight. the other new brunswick writing that is not declared elected at this point is toby. i have an unfair advantage. forty-five years ago i went on a school trip.
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i can nail the pronunciation on that one. tj harvey is in the lead. it just gets bigger and bigger. a quick shot. i mentioned it before. the only writing that the liberals held last time around. ended up with more than 70 percent of the vote. you will remember his predecessor, his dad, close confidant of pierre trudeau, cabinet minister in the government and dominic has been a solid and fierce supporter of justin. >> he may well be joining us in the next few minutes from his writing. as you say, huge numbers for him command because of his association, a lot of people are assuming that he will be the pick for cabinet minister from new brunswick. if there cabinet minister and new brunswick is not
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only losing that, he finished 3rd in that writing tonight behind both the liberals and the mvp. >> interesting. we were saying that there were liberals who said we might sweep newfoundland. really? especially when you talk about someone like jack harris. they had taken all of newfoundland and labrador. that is the one that belonged to jack harris. coming into tonight let's look at how things are breaking down. impossible for anyone to call this one. the better part of half an hour, but they are separated by one and a half percent or more specifically 455 votes.
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but he has been in front, as i say, for at least 30 minutes. local lawyer born in st. john's, got his education elsewhere, worked elsewhere, came back to newfoundland in 2009 and has been involved with the liberal party, has never run for office before, must himself be a little stunned as so many are at the support that the liberals have gotten across all of atlantic canada. in newfoundland they have 17% of the vote. the other. the other parties back in the ten, 12, 15 range. even in the neighboring writing, we saw shamus oh reagan won by a significant margin knocking off and mvp incumbent. really hanging on right now. >> he has to start making a move. as he showed in the graphic, roughly 150 of 180 or so polls have reported so far. he ishe is running out of space, running out of runway yesterday i was talking to someone, very knowledgeable.
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i am starting to hear rumbles.rumbles. no, that is impossible. could not happen. he will be fine. >> part of that is because jack harris, not only that he has been an mp, but that he was a provincial member of the cabinet, well-known, leader of the party at one point. a long political history. you have that dual force of the party brand and the personal brand. going back he is a lawyer who represented a number of people. he is well-known, well-liked , the defense critic for the mvp. seeing mvp. seeing a name like that struggle and the night like tonight i think starts to tell us an interesting story about what is happening. >> thank you very much. lucky enough to reach out tonight to new brunswick and get the newly reelected liberal mp who joins us from
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new brunswick. there he is right now. congratulations on your win tonight. >> thank you very much. >> will you explain what has happened? every single writing in atlantic canada has turned up read. a couple undecided, but only a couple. will you explain what has happened, why liberals are being so successful tonight. >> probably two reasons. our leader is immensely popular. he has always had an ability to reach atlantic canadian on a very emotional level. he spent a lot of time here, well-known here. we have had good candidates nominated for a number of months.
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we have been working on the ground, building local teams of volunteers, knocking on doors in every writing in the region for a long time, but more than that, the platform that he offers, the change that he offers, investing in job creation, helping young people find work, working constructively with provincial governments that are in very difficult financial circumstances, i think that resonates across atlantic canada and the results are surprising. but it is a pretty good night. >> do you read much into what has happened in atlantic, canada? you know that can be a dangerous assumption. you being a part of this national campaign, what do you sense the signals to the rest of the?
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>> well, we will no in the next few hours. we still have a lot of work ahead of us. canadians responded positively to the message, positive message of real change, his ability to tell the truth about the government's financial situation, and when people wanted to change the harper government in atlantic, canada, dynamic new generation later with knew ideas he was positive, and i am hopeful, hopeful, peter, that that extends to provinces west from where we are tonight, but we will see. i think also, you covered more elections that i can imagine. everyone has different regional dynamics.
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it is different in some cases than western canada. atlantic canadacanada. atlantic canada has its own dynamic. we will see the commonality. it is a good indication that people are looking for change. >> before i losei lose you, because of your background and your association with -- you both grew up together, both sons of major figures in the liberal party, tell me something that we probably do not know. >> it is dangerous to tell stories about your boss. that is a trick question. i will tell you one thing that i do not think -- i we will tell you one thing that i do not think canadians have seen, perhaps, as those of us that worked with him every week. he is an enormously disciplined, hard-working person.
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our caucus and candidates across the country were inspired by the level of his focus. he stayed focus on canadians , did not get distracted by some of the nested negative attacks. that is a pretty important quality. >> we appreciate your time once again. congratulations on your win. we have a party going,a party going, so we better let you join it. thank you so much. >> thank you. now, onenow, one of the interesting things about this campaign that happens in every campaign they could simply be canadian suit chosen for whatever reason.
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a lot of attention pointed toward first-time voters. we are lucky enough to have in ourhour voter studio annemarie meadowlake who joins us once again to talk to a number of first-time voters about their experience on this day and what it meant to them. >> thank you. you guys are all voters now. congratulations. twenty-four years old. >> right to hear from you, and it is especially important because the community they come from, that is northwestern toronto , new name the same boundaries humble river black creek which is historically low voter turnout. less than 50 percent. you are trying to change that percentage.
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>> well, national trends across canada that young people are not voting, low income families are not voting. finch is a unique cross-section. it is uniquely impacted by national trends which is one of the reasons i wanted to focus on it in addition to the fact that they are incredible leaders in the community that we could partner with and make an impact with. >> and part of the way you are doing that is this army of volunteers that you brought with you. what are people saying? >> the main thing is people don't have faith that government services are there to make their lives better. they want to believe the hard work will mean that their kids have better opportunities than they had an people in this community have good reason to believe that is not the case. housing, transit services, and other needs.
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getting voters out again voters like you. congratulations. if you want to follow along, #canada votes. >> back to you. >> thank you. first of all, across the street not far, the baseball game is going on. seven to two blue jays led by a three run home run. but it is only the 3rd inning, and like the liberals in atlantic canada, do not count your chickens too soon because right now liberals own every seat in atlantic canada and one so far in québec, but there are a lot to come. ten times more at play across the country. so far you cannot take away
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from the fact that it has been an incredible showing so far for the liberal party, and this is one way of showing that. 59.8%, 60% of the vote counted 60 percent of the vote counted so far in atlantic, canada, has gone liberal. conservatives at 18, mvp at 17th and other parties accumulating the rest. more than 80% of atlantic canadians are voting against the current government, 60 percent voting for the liberals, stunning numbers. 38.5 percent overall is the figure that is kind of the bottom figure for what a majority government would need. that is the national vote count, the lowest number where we have seen a majority government announced before. so we are keeping that in mind as we watch the votes counted across the country. it is not automatic that you form a majority government and is not even automatic that you could when.
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in 1979 joe clark one with 36 percent of the vote minority government. period got 40 percent in lost. these numbers can play any number of different ways depending upon your support. we will hit the streets of toronto because the final voters are heading to the polling booths in toronto downtown right now to try and make their vote count in the next nine minutes before the polls close just as they are closing from québec right through to alberta, alberta, and david is standing by somewhere in downtown toronto. >> we are watching a lot of people heading out to the polls trying to squeeze in the last few minutes. i know that you have your fancy 3 d graphics. i just took in my daughter's
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sidewalk chalk. drawing on the street and get nothing fornot increase for graffiti. we are talking about writing redistribution. smack dab in the middle and now toronto center on one side, university rosedale on the other. this redistribution can have profound effects for the way in which people end up getting elected.elected. take a look at what has happened throughout the country. there are 30 new writings up for grabs, a total of 338 seats in the house of commons. ontario have the biggest with an additional 15. alberta and british columbia each got six. québec has three more. >> that means more seats throughout the country and more seats in specific areas things have been redistributed, boundaries are different and the people voting will be different. down here from a balcony.
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that could mean something about the blue jays game. i am sure about that. >> do me a favor. they are yelling from the apartment building, peter. >> josh donaldson home run. what do you think i am listening to? david, please, don't back yourself onto the street again. the careful. >> i'm sorry, peter. >> take care of yourself. the blue jays have a big lead, nine to two. here we are getting close. just a few minutes away from the polls closing and a huge chunka huge chunk of canada. 263 seats that will start reporting in a matter of minutes. when they do we will quickly determined just how this nightmare unfold.
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obviouslyobviously you look at that and see if it keeps going like this it won't take long to declare who will form the next government and quickly determine also whether it will be a minority or majority. it is not going to keep going like this. no party will sweep every single seat as you move across the country. although i did when 58 out of 58 seats in new brunswick in a provincial election once. a lot of different races. extremely interesting because you have three or four parties at play. he mvpthe mvp having swept back into the orange crush, orange wave of 2011. liberals will be back in the game in québec. conservativesconservatives of areas that they could do well. what is happening?
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they won 11 seats at of more than 100. can they do better than that , much better than that and do like they have doneto have done in atlantic canada where they pull a huge percentage of the vote. and you have been watching all of these things, watching downtown greater toronto area. >> it is largely the same thing. the liberal. the liberal party takes back any of the seats they lost in 2011, traditional seats. the mvp picked them up the last time. if they can pull them back it is a good sign that they
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have restructured and will make gains because they do not have a lot of their. in toronto, same kind of thing.thing. pick up the seats that would be traditionally considered liberal in the urban center, downtown, arecenter, downtown, are they taking them away from the mvp? and in the beltway, the same story, who is that fight between? the conservative and liberal parties? able to pull back immigrant communities that have been traditionally supportive. and we need to look for conservative strength obviously. >> obviously. we will definitely be doing that. we talked a lot about strategic voting and over the years we talked about murdoch mysteries. why do i mention these?
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set at the turn of the last century and here is what they were discussing. they did this especially for us. you want to watch it. strategic voting. watch this. >> who are you voting for? >> i don't vote. >> you don't vote? >> i hate lighting up. >> voting is the core of our democracy: thing that ensures our freedom. >> if i'm free, then i'm free to not vote. who would you vote for if you are voting? >> gordon. >> y? >> because i know you are voting for laurier. >> what about you? >> i always will labor. >> that is a wasteda wasted vote. >> every election labored is a little bit better. >> objection. our whole objection. our whole a mentoring to have our whole parliamentary process relies on parties. >> if the liberals and conservatives were to split the seats a third-party would mean, how would that
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anymore? >> it will be a disaster is what it will be. nobe. no single party will ever get enough. as legislation. >> i just guess i will have to learn to cooperate. [laughter] >> that's a good one. >> you have got to love it. now, we are coming up to the big closing of polls right now. >> it has been one of the longest campaigns in canadian history. now, it comes down to this. live from election headquarters, peter man's bridge in the bbc news team, the results, analysis, and reaction from across the country.
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now, with the polls about the close in québec, ontario, manitoba, alberta, and the northwest territory, special coverage of election night 2015 continues. this is canada votes on bbc. >> from our election night headquarters in downtown toronto we are in fact in the barbara atrium of the cvc broadcasting center. look down, look way down, and that is where we are. that is our election night set, and what a story that is unfolding. i am peter man's bridge. the story is a massive red wave in the atlantic provinces, i provinces, a clean sweep so far with liberals leading or elected in all 32 writings plus the one in québec.
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will that momentum continue? is this race about to get tighter? or will it turn altogether? we are about to find out because millions and millions of votes will now be counted in 262 of this country's 338 privates. those riding stretch all the way, as you just saw, from all the way, as you just saw, from québec to alberta and include two of the territories. we may soon know which leader has led his party to victory. whether it is a minority or majority federal government. welcome. we are looking forward to telling you this story over the next couple of hours. it is really just the next couple of minutes that will make the decision i whether or not we are heading to one particular party or another in terms of government. we should find that out within the next 30 to 4530 to 45 minutes based upon the early returns coming out of that huge swath of writings.
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writings. let's have a look at these pictures that have just come in. the happiest man in canada at the moment. they were watching the results. let the camera snake in to give us a sense of what is happening inside the suite at the queen elizabeth hotel ii am assuming that is where he is because that is where the parties will be either celebrating are saying what happened. we did so well in atlantic canada. yes, that is margaret trudeau, former wife of the late period who was prime minister from 1968 to 1984 with one exception in 1979 when1979 when he was defeated in the federal election that year by joe clark. a family watching the results coming in montréal.
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the 1st results coming out of this part of the province and it is here where we see the conservatives getting back on the board. >> obviously they are doing well in the atlantic region, but if they are going to form a government they need to pick up seats in québec. we have very early results coming in. the seat was held by the conservatives very early results. it looks like a tight race, and this is a story we will be watching tonight. a knew fellow and is holding it so far, but very early which tells you in this it is a three-way race. a series of three-way races. and that is what we are going to be watching, writings like this where there is a large vote because the liberals are strong but outside of montréal in the suburbs and cities, they voted for the mvp last time now they might
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see him as the one who can bring down stephen harper who is the most unpopular prime minister ever in québec which is saying something. so far so good for the conservatives. they only have five seats in québec and are hoping to keep that and build. >> as you say, very early returns. likely that may have been the advanced poll that was released right away after all, they have only been closed for a moment or two. wewe are watching writings in the west. skip -- saskatchewan alberta polls closed with the early results. >> to places that the conservatives did so well last time around, and each of those provinces let's take a look, the 1st of three.
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he has been a conservative mp for quite a while. it is interesting. a pretty big lead. way too early to see a trend, but we may see one soon because that is a surprisingly big lead you look at how few polls have reported. eagle creek and other firmly established conservative and also a pre- firm lead. being so quick and so many votes that that may well be an advanced poll. the speaker, he knocked off back in 2004. one of2,004. one of the last two mvp mps to be elected in saskatchewan, extraordinary that that party would not have an elected mp for so long. they are hoping that that will change.
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we will find out in the next few minutes. >> numbers starting to tumble and quickly. one for the mvp, charlie angus, and the one mvp on the most recent board that we are looking at an atlantic canada. 121 seats, a huge prize for whatever party can do the best in ontario as stephen harper found last time basing his majority. >> it is interesting because i am following about 70 of those seats. we are already seeing the same sort of story playing out that we saw in atlanta, canada. the caution that it is early, but interesting.
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we are out in the ottawa area. francis in front, the liberals have high hopes for this even though it was a conservative mp who held it before. what is interesting, a lot of farmers from this region for on the lawn of parliament help. upset about the prospects of what the transpacific partnership might mean. trying to speak to the rest of conservative side it will keep an eye on that. he has been in pieces 95, one of the longest-serving on the help. a huge surprise if something changed,changed, but the larger story, all of the writings i am starting to follow, i have about eight coming in from ontario, only
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one is the mvp. i see two. both of those are mvp incumbents he seats. incumbency seats. it is not as though they are showing strengths. >> forty-nine liberals legally elected. they only had 34 seats in the last parliament dissolved. back already at 50. rosie is back with us. you are watching toronto, all those seats. >> fifty-three seats, 3553 seats, 35 held by the conservatives. erin mills with results just starting to come in. held by conservative bob decker. right now trailing to eke refco lead, pakistani
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canadian woman in the legal profession, but early numbers. only eight votes, eight votes, 10211 polls reporting. the next one that we have got skull -- scarborough rouge park with the league going to liberal media over the conservative. these are the kind of writings that the conservatives need to either hold or gain if they want to form government. i will show you one more in montréal. this, of course, the writing of tomball care, the small numbers. the liberalsthe liberals have a bit of a lead. obviously anytime you have a leader you want to keep a close watch on it which is some of the very early results. >> that is kind of stunning in a sense, not the lineup of numbers, but three polls reporting, 30 votes and three polls. >> maybe it was just a bad night for those three areas. >> maybe they were three advanced polls.
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>> over 20,000 votes counted in ontario and québec. in the scheme of things that is not a lot of votes counted, but when you keep in mind that when the polls reported throughout the campaigns you look at them. most of them on regional breakdowns don't come anywhere remotely close to 10,000 people being polled. we have seen even in the case here for many of these that we are looking at, there are not a lot of votes counted yet, but they add up and we are looking at a very interesting evening for liberals, so interesting that we now have confidence to tell you this right now. based upon early returns we can tell you that the next prime minister of canada will be justin trudeau.
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we are forecasting at this moment now a liberal government based upon the returns we have seen. we are not making a determination here is yet as to whether that will be a minority government, but we had david making the determination on exactly how that works. so people looked at the numbers, the patterns are coming in, the specific writings, and we are now confident in making the call that the liberals will form the next government in canada. justin trudeau becomes the 23rd prime minister of canada. still early. votes are still being made in british columbia, still casting ballots and will not be closing the polls for
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another 20 minutes, but at this point we have seen enough to say that the liberals will form the government and are still not sure majority of minority. liberal party headquarters in montréal. he must be pretty happy. >> well, the noise level just went up several decibels. they will be washing over very shortly. you could here them cheering. upstairs and around watching the results. prediction that he will be the next prime minister of canada, and from the last weekend we were seeing that kind of enthusiasm building momentum in the last days of his campaign.
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>> we will obviously be back and forth with you and hearing later on tonight what justin has to say about all of this when he comes down speaks let's go over it once more. the next prime minister of canada, the 23rd prime minister when he takes office. that is usually ten days to two weeks between the election and swearing in of a new government which is what has happened so far and one of the reasons we are confident in the call we are making. keep in mind, this is way overweighted on the atlantic side, but almost 30,000 votes counted. the liberals are closing in just below the 60 percent figure, almost 40 percent higher than they were four years ago. they were below 20 percent in 2011.
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thethe conservatives are down 20 points. they are under 20 percent. now, big areas of conservative votes yet to be counted, that number is bound to come up, but we are confident that it will not come up anywhere near enough to threaten the forecast of a liberal government. the mvpthe mvp down at 18 percent. a lot of ndp vote still to be counted, especially in british columbia. here is another fact keep in mind. heavily weighted, 60 percent number. so many are at stake. the liberals are polling at 40% in both those provinces with 3938 percent in that range in both those two provinces with the votes counted so far, very strong
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figure for the liberals in both ontario and québec. you have some facts and figures and writings for us. >> let's take you through some of the places were liberals are leading, and some may not be places they would have expected to. this will be a familiar face to people who watch power in politics. the parliamentary secretary to the prime minister currently trailing. only one of 231 polls reporting, but there have been some feelings that he was vulnerable headed into the election. we will see whether that holds true. this one telling largely the same story, there are places with the liberal party is making inroads at the expense of the conservative party. again, the lead is only two votes, but another one to keep an eye on because those areas are places that the
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conservative wish to make gains. it would be so well-known because it is the writing of former finance minister jim flaherty. chavez was someone that the liberal party felt was a strong candidate, and let me show you the trouble. it is, of course, the writing of tomball care. three of 194 polls reporting initially one that writing in a by election seen as a breakthrough for the ndp, and we will keep a close eye on that. >> those numbers are so small. it is always worth mentioning them. no conclusions. although the conclusions on the big board show overall right now the liberals leading our elected and 64 seats, conservatives 29, and ndp eight.
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on the board with there 1st lead of the evening. let's have a look at our 3 d virtual house of commons because this helps tell the story that is happening, trying to get a sense of how far liberals can push this to get to a majority. they would havethey would have to get 170 seats. keep in mind, they had low 30s in the last parliament collapsed. 135+ seats to pick up tonight to get to a majority threshold which seems like an awfully long way to go. already i have put in 64 seats where they are either elected, the dark red, or leading some of the pink red white seats are just empty seats at the moment, those are the ones that they need to color red to get to 170. we are forecasting a liberal government and keeping open the option of whether or not that will be a minority or
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majority dependent upon the votes that you have cast across the country tonight. i gave you those two for ontario and québec where 60% of the country's seats are located. 40% of the vote counted so far is going liberal. 35 percent of the voting québec is going liberal, both strong numbers for the liberal party. but it is still early, still in the counting, a lot of the seats obviously have not been determined in terms of who has actually been elected in the because the vote count is still too low in many areas for us to make that forecast on individual seats. let's bring in the panel. the forecast for the liberal government, not sure if it is minority or majority has yet. >> i am loath to call it a
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forecast to the government if it is only a minority. there are two ways to look at this.this. one is to look at what is happening in québec. the numbers, they need to get something like 40 seats in québec. twenty or 30 or 40 seats. the other other is to look at some of the writings in ontario, and you can rank them by how large the majority was. it is clearit is clear that they will lose the writings of they won narrowly in toronto, don valley east-west writings. if they start losing as i think they probably will, that is telling you liberal minority. if they start losing into rural ontario, places like peter brock or the, that will tell you the liberals are on their way to majority
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it will be interesting to see whether they pick up those writings that they were targeting in calgary which will be assigned. >> they clearly seem to be doing well in ontario. the numbers and québec are a little more careful. it may well be the decision to go all the way to the west coast. look at what you are seeing happen. >> early numbers. the nii see, five conservatives leading which would indicate those early boxes that they opened were really strong which would seem to indicate that they will probably hold on to what they have, and we are waiting for so many writings that it is impossible to see how this plays out. the early showing is really low. they are leading in only one and you would not expect that. you would want to see
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numbers that are different from most. the m -- ndp must be thinking that they are either on the verge of crushing night or these numbers must change because the only party that the state cannot in these early numbers and québec is the liberal party. >> all right. look at the ontario numbers, 50,000 votes, over 41% going to the liberals, the kind of number that they liberals, the kind of number that they need to make a big push in ontario to pick up a lot of seats. >> looking at the conservative member it is holding up relatively well suggesting that their share of the vote is behind the liberals in ontario, but not behind by that much.
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what i think that we can see, though, is a pretty severe collapse of the ndp vote. if i look at québec and the numbers they got last election and think about the lead they had in québec for many months, this is a real disappointment for the ndp and much of the benefit has gone. there has been a collapse of the vote, not as severe, but itsevere, but it has gone to liberals as well. the conservatives like relatively competitive. >> absolutely. i hear absolutely. i hear you. for point lead over the conservatives. you are right. down to 15 percent. going to calgary because the mayor of calgary joining us tonight from calgary. good of yougood of you to join us. when you look at what is unfolding so far what is it
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telling you? >> what we are seeing command thank you for having me on, a repudiationa repudiation of a lot of what we have seen over the last several months of the campaign. it is safe to say that no one is proud of the last three months, not a politician in any stripe is happy about where we are. >> what do you mean by that? >> this morning i woke up and like a lot of canadians i thought, this is so long. i woke up and felt fantastic, a chance to vote comeau what we live in as a democracy, chance to be in this great country, and a lot of canadians woke up getting ready to both feel the same way and our job is to close the page on this divisiveness, difficult rancor that we have had to figure out how to build this country together regardless of who wins tonight. >> canadians became quickly convinced that they had the wrong idea of what happens
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in alberta when they saw the provincial election result just a few months ago. are you expecting surprises in alberta tonight? >> it is hard to say. people saysay. people say that there are three seats in calgary, maybe three in edmonton command i will leave that for the prognosticators and at issue panels. people are voting not against something but for something. for me that has to do with things like who will invest in transit, work on housing, going to help us build the infrastructure we need. people have been talking to us, but we want to figure out what kind of country we want. >> we appreciate you taking the time to come and join us tonight. >> thank you very much. >> you got that right.
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all right. let's go to diane watching the ontario numbers. approaching triple digit, 99 overall. they hit the 100. be conservative singing in and 62, a long way back, but they are at 62, ndp 12. these are leadingthese are leading and elected, not just elected. diana come ontario story outside of toronto. >> the story can be summarized in part by looking at how things are breaking down not just through liberal strength but the fact that it is coming at the expense about the conservatives and the ndp command we have examples to show you where it is. let's take a look, the 30 new writings. neil ellis out in front. this is one of the examples, rodeo in front. let's show you another example.
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thunder bay rainy river. he has had this for a while and yet again we are seeing it is a liberal in front. the same caution we have been making all night, three of 195 polls reporting.195 polls reporting. an example we have seen with the liberals are out in front in what was an ndp -- ndp season. the liberals season. the liberals are out in front of what had been a conservative seat. been in the front since they counted the 1st box of votes. what it tells us is it is not this liberal strength. the seats that they had coming in, and there are only four outside of the city of toronto. we are seeing them lead in all kinds of areas that we had not seen before, whether knew, mvp, conservative. >> i wish to check in with
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rosie barton next-door. 115 liberals, 116 now. the only ones have now. the only ones have been elected tonight based upon what we have seen our liberals and are leading and 67. although 117 total for liberals, 31 elected. lots of races still to play, most of them obviously in this huge swath from québec to roberta. >> right now 16 writings reporting in toronto. but they largely tell the story of a liberal lead, and i we will show you one in davenport. this one now coming at the expense -- this is stunning to me, one of 192192 polls reporting, but andrew cashes the incumbent, the ndp mp. he is right now in 3rd with a liberal candidate
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leading by 19 votes. we will take it with a grain of salt. parkdale high park is another place where they are trailing at the expense of the liberals. right now trailing by 45 votes. he is a constitutional lawyer. finally, here is another one , the former chief of police for toronto, bill toronto, bill blair, controversial figure but someone who was viewed as a star candidate and courted, currently leading over incumbent dan harrison. >> those are quite the figures. thank you very much. one of 23. conservatives dropping down a little bit. ndp at 13. we have forecast a liberal government. we are keeping open the option of determining
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whether that will be a minoritya minority or majority. we wish to see more results before we make that determination. they are marching toward a number of obviously extreme confidence of them. almost 100 seats ahead of where they were. british columbia, the columbia, the polls are about to close in dc now. ..
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downtown toronto. the jays are do well and the liberals are doing well. this story is coming to you from our election night headquarters, from the atrium of the cbc broadcasting center? downtown toronto. there's the time of on the long. 10:00 eastern. 7:00 in british columbia where, as we said, the polls are just closing -- supposedly just closed. i'll tell you about that in a moment. canada been hit bay red wave. the liberal party completed a stunning turn-around, going from third place and 34 seats in the
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last parliament to power, justin trudeau will be the next prime minister. prime minister trudeau, you have heard that before. ey don't know whether he will lead a majority or -- he will be arriving there to speak to supporters and also to the nation in his first speech as prime minister elect. to the votes about to be counted in british columbia and yukon too make the duffs between minority or majority. well, let's start off by going right out to vancouver where the polls were just supposedly closed. just moments ago. but that one, chris brown, looks like it's still open. >> the door is just shut. you're looking at the fennel canadians to vote.
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people want know what the results have been. they know when they came to vote this election was already decided in terms of it was going to be a liberal government. most people came in and had make and were going to do it. a few people kind of laughed and said, guess we're now voting for a majority or a minority, and that will be the contribution, i guess, if you will, that british columbia makes. we're expecting a very tight three-way race this evening here in vancouver and bc. >> thank you very much. chris brown in vancouver, watching the polling station and the opportunity for some to keep voting because they were in the lines. lead see what us happening in quebec. this was a story for the liberals. if they were going to keep making progress, they have to do
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well in quebec, and wendy gives us our first sense how that's looking. red is liberal. they're doing well in a lot -- in and around montreal and outside of montreal and north of -- well north of montreal. the west island of montreal was kind of their power base. but look what happened through other parts of the province of quebec, which was the area of the orange crush, where they made the big breakthrough in 2011. wendy, tell us the story? >> that map really does tell the story that the liberal government, the big part of the start, came to pass here. they are now at about -- well, more, actually, than one-third of the seats in quebec. they were not expecting to do that. we saw around montreal the ndp hanging in, but andrew said if they got more than 40 seats they'd form a majority, and at the beginning of the campaign we
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didn't think it was possible but the first orange wave began here in the laos -- the last elects. now it's a red wave. this writing is so close the prince edward island it's in it's own time zone, and the first liberal to be elected in quebec in this campaign. they were not expecting to win this, this used to be a very heavy frankophile, let's look at the writing -- kind of symbolic that here they are, the liberals back on the map. they always do well in montreal. no so much outside the liberals. jan christian made a lot of appears with trudeau. looks like it helped. from going to just doing better -- they had seven seats in the last election -- they had
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to not only win their montreal seats but the belt around montreal. a lot of commuters, on the south shore of montreal so the promise to spend money on infrastructure, for bridges and ports and to spend money creating jobs was very popular here, and the liberals are leading. so this is quite sunning, actually. the liberals thought it would take them two elections to rebuild their base in quebec so it's stunning for them, and another way it's just -- the conservatives are hanging on to most seats in the last election but obviously the ndp are not. this is a sad evening for them. they were hoping this would be their government. >> it's interesting the way the liberals are lead something some of the quebec writings, they're coming up the middle. the conservatives and the ndp and the bloc are getting a
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significant amount of votes. liberals are getting a little more. they're in the low 30s in. the other three parties in the low 20s in. so they're benefiting from the fact in some cases it's a four-way race. >> this has been seen almost as a referendum on stephen harper with people knewing how to defeat him. no one knew how the votes would flip but the benefit has gone to the liberals. they decided in various reasons he was the best person to defeat stephen harper or maybe the loved him. >> a lot of attention focused on the leaders if let's look at how the party leaders door tonight. the major party leaders. stephen harper has an early lead in calgary, off to a significant lead of a little more than 100 votes in calgary heritage. we good from there to -- we're still waiting for some
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significant number of votes so we can say something beyond the fact that after three polls, tom is trailing but look at the number of votes. it's bare my more than 100 total show. third writing would be -- that where justin trudeau is running. he has a big lead. the next prime minister of canada. the 23rd. the first prime minister since 1925 to come from third place to first place in an election. if you're wondering well, who was that in 1925? it was the conservatives who had the movement from third to first place. didn't last long. but nevertheless, tonight, for justin trudeau, big night for him, across the country. rosy? what are you looking out now, which urban area? >> i'm looking at montreal. we're seeing the same pattern we have been seeing places where the liberal party lost to ndp in
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2011 and are potentially going to make some pickups. this is a good example of that part of of the story. this is won by the -- oh, no, we're doing something completely different. this is just british columbia. so completely across the other side of the country. but -- currently trailing the liberal candidate, in delta. those are the first results from my area of vancouver, out in bc. we wanted to bring you those early on. now we'll get back to where i was talking about. pablo rod rodriguez, who has been an organizer of the liberal party and helped them rebuild is leading by 95 votes. look at that, peter; the bloc candidate nit second. the incumbent in third right now. early results again, but gives you a sense of where things are
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headed. that a traditional liberal writing. this is the ndp trailing by 250 votes here. this is of course the former writing of liberal and marlene jennings, so another write that in the ndp clawed back from the liberals the last election, liberals leading in that one. one more similar story here. this is del al, the ndp trailing by a number of votes. but, again, you can see the conservative candidate is actually ahead of the ndp. what we will be watching here -- these are just early results and what will become part of the story is were this wins by the ndp in 2011 one-offs or something more? and if they were not something more, what does that tell us about what happened in 2011 and where do we -- how do we analyze that and where did that actually
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come from, something to do with jack layton, something to do with what was going on in that province? all things we have to think about. >> it appears in many part offed the country had something to do with the decision that canadians were making about they don't want harper and it would either be the liberals and the ndp, and over the course of the campaign they picked the liberalled. >> you see the momentum heading in one direction. >> the numbers show the liberals leading, elected in 15 seats to conservatives in 4, the ndp in 25. polls just closing in british columbia. we'll start to see the b.c. numbers. you need 170 for a majority. the liberals are getting close to that area. when the b.c. results start coming in, might make a difference but many of these, dozens and dozens, are not determined yet, just leading. they're not elected. but it is a huge lead for the
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liberalledment they are going to win tonight, whether it's a minority or majority, as yet, we don't know. let look at the house of commons. this helps tell the story of the evening. the liberals are up 119 seats on the evening. the conservatives are down 62. the ndp are down 61. a huge chunk of those obviously in the province of quebec, and that is benefiting the liberals. they've doubled the seat total so far but none elected yet. just leading. but in terms of the seat change difference on the evening, those are staggering numbers, and they back up the suggestion that the liberals are having just a huge night in terms of sweeping various parts of the country. we spent a couple of hours looking at atlanta, canada, and knowing very well the liberals were doing extremely well there, wondering, would that signal
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what might happen in the rest of the country. clearly seems to have done exactly that. let go to the insiders and jamie, cat kathleen and david. david gave us asn what to expect, and seems they have been borne out already and we still have quite a few seats to hear from, yet still 50 to hear from. so let hear from jamie, kathleen, and david in terms of what you witnessed tonight. tough night for two of them. not a tough night for the man in the middle. david? >> it's clearly going to be a majority liberal government. all the writings that the liberals would have needed to win, all the stretch writings that would have been required to win if we're going to pull more than 170 seats are coming along, we're doing very well in quebec.
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people-losing in bond. we're winning in the oakvilles and the burlingtons. on the outskirts of the city of toronto we're winning the ndp wrote aings, in downtown toronto so i think we have very, very high hopes for british columbia, for a really historic liberal result in british colombia. so i'm confident we're over the majority number and it's an unbelievably historic night for the liberal party, written off for dead four years ago. >> not just by their critics. by some liberals as well. >> wrote articles that polls sited it was more likely the liberal party would never seriously contest another election and that it would win this one. that was before the justin trudeau arrived on the scene and changed everything. >> he certainly seems to have changed things tonight. this is not your father's trudeau. >> a very different guy. a very different campaigner, in some ways if this holds up and
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he continues to rack up these numbers he's going to redefine what rudy-main ya means given what we saw in 1968 -- trudeau-mania, these are staggering numbers. we saw them delivered in alberta, the last tomorrow i looked -- >> i'm sorry, but coming where he came from there's no question this is a more impressive result than 1968. >> all right. that will give us something for the at-issue panel to talk about. thank you, david. cath kathleen, you're up next. i'm sure this is a tough night for you. give me a sense of not only what you're feeling but what this means for the ndp. >> for sure, tough night for me and my friends and people like megan leslie who is trending on twitter right now. a popular mp. to lose someone like her of her caliber is disappointing. looking ahead, the results of the night still looking for
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hopefully some good news out of places like essex and ontario and the southwest, possibly ottawa, and some of our 2011 caucus in quebec, where russo holds a seat, and alexander. but there is some good news. atlantic result wes have seen so far tonight, peter, we left the last parliament with only five women in the atlantic region as mps and now there's seven. so that's good news. i hope that trend continues as we move across canada. >> well, i mean, your point to some of the positives. look at that number. i know there's b.c. still to come. you guys were around 100. there's 24 losing elected right now. has to be a crushing blow for your party. >> we have to wait to see what happens, but as you just said, the poles are just closing there. obviously this is disappoint are
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to new democrats and disappointing for people who -- for some of our strong incumbent mps, jack harris, megan leslie, peter stauffer, ethical mps who have done such great work and were an example of how to get things done. >> all right. jamie, conservatives going to lose. out of power after ten years. they're going to come in somewhere around 100 seats. probably a bit more than that after we hear from b.c. your thoughts on the night. >> i think david is exactly right, peter. the liberals winning where the new democrats needed to win. the liberals are winning where the conservatives needed to win. so we can be all-and say we're waiting for british columbia, but when i look at the number at the bottom of the screen and where we're sitting,ey know how the night is going to end. a very tough fight for the government, a tough night for
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the democrats and a wonderful night for the liberals, and for them it never gets better. this is the apex. >> is this a night we're used to watching leaders resign on nights like this, given most recent provincial elections in 2006. is that the decision that is being weighed right now, one assumes, by stephen harp center. >> i'm sure it's being talked about. i have no idea what he will decide, and certainly after being prime minister for ten years, he is entitled to some time to thoughtfully reflect on that, but i'd be surprised if he hasn't thought about it before tonight, and certainly talking about it with his close advisers right now. >> insiders, stay with us. we'll be back to you in a little bit. jamie, david, kathleen. let's go montreal. anna watching the ndp has a senior strategist in the ndp campaign, brad levine, with her hannah? >> i'm joined by brad levine,
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senior strategist, i whatnot to talk about you have lost some very seven people, including peter stauffer, your deputy leader, megan leslie. what do you account for these big losses? >> well, certainly mr. mull carey is making the case for change to canadians, and in some of these writings where we have outstanding members of parliament, like peter stauffer, megan leslie, robin chism. it's unfortunately the change went to the liberals. that unfortunate because they were such wonderful members of parliament and the next parliament will be less so because of their absence. >> now, we have seen that at the top race for a leader tom mulcare. what do you account for that? >> i think it's the early polls. he is going to win his seat and we'll be winning a lot more. i've been noticing a lot of the seats that have been coming in on the counter, we're still waiting for a lot of our targets.
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obviously british columbia writings in saskatchewan. >> where do you seen games, most in british columbia? >> for sure. vancouver island will be strong, the interior, prince george', cam loops, a lot of pickup. edmonton for sure, sass sass sass sass saskatoon. it's still early. >> are you disappointed about what has happened out east so far? >> no. listen, this was a change olex. mr. mulcare pressed the case for change in this campaign so we'll see how parliament -- >> where do things change for the ndp. >> we have to see whether or not the parliament is a major fit parliament. let not forget medicare, social
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housing, old age security, all of these things, the pension plans, all came about with the ndp playing a balance of power. so that's still something that is very much in play at this hour. >> re saw mr. mulcare go in with some momentum and then it stopped. i heard some campaign people working some supporters saying, darn -- >> there's no question. a lot of issues at play. a number of different discussions. good for democracy, but there's no question that the nicab -- a point of principle for measure mulcare, one thing that defines him as a public official in his 35 years. and new democrats are proud that this is a party and a leader who stood on principle, did the right thing, the right thing at the time, the right thing tonight, and i it's unfortunate it's cost us a bit of support but it's a tremendous amount of contribution that the new democrats will be making in the next parliament. >> thank you for your time. >> thank you. >> peter. >> thank you very much.
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there's your totals now. 173 liberals leading or elected, 170 is what is needed for a majority government, but as levine pointed out, a lot these results so far, especially the west, are based on just one or two polls. so we want to see a lot more before we're confident enough to suggest how those writings will turn out. and you can see that 174 number popping up and down, going up, coming down. 170 is needed for a majority. we won't call a majority until we're convinced they in fact will make that mark. conservatives, 95. the ndp, 24, and you can see the numbers changing as we talk. the bloc at nine. a lot of familiar faces are losing their seats, cabinet ministers, let's have a look. run through some of them. mark hole land, the minister of immigration who had a tough run during the campaign, and including getting beaten up by
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rosy in the middle of the refugee and migrant crisis tetch moment, holland is leading chris alexander in the writing. these two have been back and forth against each other over a couple of elects, holland used to be the mp for ajack. alexander defeated him. this time around holland hoping to reverse the trend. another one, court any albernie. you're kidding me, right? 73 to 2. 12 voted counted. definitely a trend there. but at the moment john duncan is trailing, in courten yay. here's some real robbs in wood brim. julian is behind by 700, almost 800 votes, and julian, the
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conservative cabinet minister running in second place in his writings, and moving on, we look at delta, where carry lynn findley -- a tight race, 170 votes separating her from the liberal who is running against her in delta. so, one more. these are all cabinet ministers here. book nolt. the liberal is leading here, howard hampton, former provincial ndp leader is running, and richter is running third. the natural resources minister so not a good night for him. lots of looking at egglington.
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15 poll out of 20 . so the not even ten percent of the polls reported. joe oliver, the minister of finance, trailing by only five votes of this is close. it's expected to be close. we'll see how this works out. marco mendocino is the liberal in that writing. it's been a tough race. the ndp not a factor at all. andrew thompson, the former ndp minister of finance in saskatchewan what is running in that toronto writing, not doing well with talk earlier about why we're not calling this a majority as yet, and that always comes down to so many writings that are too close do call. this is a handful of some of them. there are 27 in total where there's less than a 50-vote lead. 18 of those writings are liberal leads. so that is why we're being cautious. here's six of them. gives you seems of how tight some of these writings are. two, three, four, five, votes separating first and second
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place. so, we're being cautious. we're being careful. we're not going to call a majority unless we actually see it in hard numbers. more writings. richmond hill. cath gary, sky view, all where the liberals are leading but not my many, eight, nine, ten votes. until those become clear and we see more than what we're seeing so far, from them, we are not going to call either of those writings, obviously, or the big number. 1679 -- 179 right now. looks impressive where the liberals are leading. just came down by one. so we obviously want to see more. diana swain is watching ontario outside of the city of toronto, and there's our map which once again gives us a sense of how it goes color-coded. conservatives doing well in rural ontario and the south, but the liberals picking up seats in different areas as well as downtown toronto.
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>> what we don't see the swash of red that we saw in atlantic canada, after 2011 the liberals had four seats outside of toronto so that gives you context. and the seat change is starting to tell a story. as you were talking about earlier, if this was about people voting they didn't want a conservative government anymore and worry that maybe they were splitting the vote, deciding people needed to vote one way to make sure it happened, we're seeing it that has come at the expense of the ndp. so we want to talk about the seat change if we can in ontario. we're seeing that the liberals are leading in a wide number of seats. not just in the city. not just in a kitchen or a london, but also in some of the rural areas where the liberal party wouldn't necessarily or historically expect to do well. you can see that they are up 62 seats. conservatives down 49. the ndp down 13 at the moment. the other ones all still in play. let's give you an example where
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we're seeing the ndp vote collapse. let's look at hamilton east stony creek. it's bob batina in the lead. he i well-known, reporter for years and the mayor of hamilton, leading marzden who held the seat for a better part of ten years. ottawa center, this one will have a lot of people talking. paul dewer is very well known within the ndp caucus, very well-known mp. his mother was the mayor of ottawa. katherine mckenna is an interesting story. she has been campaigning hard, some say she has been campaigning for over a year. in fact she and her team knocked on 100,000 doors, which is really remarkable from a campaign perspective at all. but for the moment looks like it's working. always the caution. it's close, but this one we're about to somehow -- show you,
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not close. this is interesting. the new democrats glen tiba won this in 2011. then he tend down to run for the ontario liberals. there was a bit of a backlash but the lid recalls won the seat. so that part hoff thester we're seeing and as i'm keeping an eye on those scrolling writings we're going through, you keep sealing liberal, liberal, pop up at the front of the screen. some races are tight. some traditional areas where the ndp is in charge, but the liberals showing here is dramatically different than what was happening four years ago. >> look at that number on the screen. liberals leading or elected in 181 seats. >> just remind miami what they started with again? 34. >> 34. now, we keep saying this -- a lot of these have not been final
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ized in fact. a lot of parties. conservatives are still in single digit receipts. and same with the ndp. but nevertheless this is the broad sweep of the look of things as it stands right now. it's going to change before the evening ends. but it's not going to change in any dramatic fashion. in terms of first, second and third. ...
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even in places where liberals did not expect to make any progress. let me bring you through a few of them.them. and they are coming largely at the expense of the mvp. and i we will show you one more the tells the same story that diana is telling outside of toronto in the same when we are seeing systematically inside toronto, first-time smith,
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lawyer for the liberal party is leading by 465 votes over the ndp incumbent. ndp incumbent greg scott.
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his wife was a sitting mp you have mp at the time as well. she chose to resign that seat. she decided to go back and obtain a seat once again in the house of commons. she was not successful, and just in the last few minutes she gave this concession speech. here is a look. >> but i ask you to join me as i congratulate her on running a good campaign and is running a very strong national campaign. and locally, i would like to let adam know that i will support him and progressive change and so should we all.
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>> all right. ciao losing tonight to adam vaughan. so, where, where ciao will now play in terms of the local or national landscape, we are not sure, but she has been a dominant figure in the country, and in the city for some time. tonight giving a gracious speech, concession speech. yes. >> i was just going to say, that was supposed to be a tight race, and it is not that at all. 56 percent of the vote, got 22 percent of the vote, she came back after not winning in the toronto race and wants to get back into the game with the thought that perhaps the mvp would perform government and this would be her way back in. she has come as you know, widely loved as a formidable parliamentarian herself and was not even close in that race.
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>> once again, suffering from the same problem. that is one way to go. a bit of blowback for having left, tried for mayor, losing, come back, whatever, $50 million up. so there were those issues as well. want to update you on our monitoring of how the leaders are doing in different parts of the country and let's have a look, 1st of all, had what happened with the new prime minister has been reelected in pompano with an easy win for justin trudeau. there have been rumblings couple of weeks ago by some poll that came out of montréal that was suggesting that justin trudeau was in serious trouble. perhaps it wasperhaps it was true at the time. who knows. it was not true on election night as he wins handily. let's takehandily. let's take a look at the big picture because this is
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important. by the end of the night tonight we will be looking at this big picture map which tends to overstate. but this does give you a sense of the kind of country we are creating tonight in terms of liberals, new democrats, conservatives. in some ways the old kind of atlantic canada, ontario, québec heavily liberal parts of the interior, british columbia, parts of manitoba, heavily conservative. is that theis that the old split, east versus west? is that we will be looking at? the overwhelming majority of seats are going to the
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conservatives, flipside of what we saw. last time i looked it was 30 to two to one or something like that,that, 29, two, one for the conservatives, heavily dominant in alberta. so this will be an interesting story to follow as the evening goes, and i am going to want to hear, talk to the panel a little bit because we are seeing a country being painted in a certain way tonight with the new government hundred and 70 seats. when you look at that map, that is kind of like the canada. >> welcome to the 1980s. >> 1980s. >> welcome to the 1980s. >> it looks a lot like that. the liberals are leading and
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declare a winner and are now at 165 before you even get to the manitoba border. very near to majority. in fact, in fact, in fact, hold on for a moment because now based upon not only our calculations and the decisions off the desk comeau we are now prepared to take the following call based on the information that we have seen the analysis of the numbers, what is looked clear for some time now the approval. a majority government tonight. liberals obtaining the majority status, reacting in montréal as we have seen. right now triple digits, 183 they needed 170 for a
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majority government. a lot of the still to be determined. well be on the 170 mark. we are joined from liberal party headquarters. prime minister trudeau will be speaking in the next hour or so. >> a little hard to hear you. imagine what is happening upstairs. watching some of this. the resignation. it continues tonight. people cannot believe it. they saw the kind of poll results going into it. i have actually exceeded. the one thing i can say, what brought them here, a
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positive campaign where they want to change but positive change, the rejected the negativity, andcommand i can tell you every time he 70 will take back the country from stephen harper and give it to canadians there were reactions in the rallies this weekend. they are just getting started in montréal, they brought. the next prime minister of canada. the 1st sons of a former prime minister in this country. that prime minister has never happened before, family legacy in this country, and we are expecting, but not for some time. >> thank you and make sure you give us a holler. prime minister elect. that issue panel.
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first of all, you are making a point. those of you who do not remember where that came from, election night february of 1980, and this is what it sounded like after being tossed out of power the year before came back and won reelection in 1980. his 1st words to liberal supporters. >> i understand he was waiting until prime minister made his statement. he has a majority government, born-again leader coming toward me right now smiling, happy. >> hello, fellow canadians. well, welcome to the 1980s.
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>> there you go, great opening line, not only just remembering the line, what you are talking about is in many ways why that now? >> it is similar in that respect. in a lot of ways there is no precedent for this election. nothing impressive for what the liberals have done. no one has done anything like that. there have only been for majority governments since 1935 that have been defeated and thrown out of office and 93, 84, 57 command 34. in three of those you had a terrible economy. sick of a bad economy.
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when you don't have anything like that in the economy, they have managed to make people sick of them. >> sick of them are him? >> that is going to be one of the questions conservatives want to ask themselves. a 30 percent popular vote. the last a polls were showing a gap of about seven points between liberals and conservatives and right now it's 14 points. >> if you are watching, that is elizabeth leading for the green party and her vancouver island writing. >> a word, crushing night for the mvp, could finish,
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but to give you an idea of the magnitude of what the liberals are doing tonight, the last time i looked, the writing of three-way battle with the liberals leading, and i live and can fairly report the last time he was a liberal writing was when he represented it and actually it is from the liberals. step one atstep one at the time of the major-league failure in 1990. if these numbers hold, and i suspect that they will come of this would be the 1st time at the liberals have a majority. so it is more.
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for the sovereignty party, but also the mvp will find it hard on the basis of the seats that it will keep tonight to compete against the liberal and québec. >> ii take your point on how they have embraced the federalist parties. when you look at these numbers, the liberals are big benefactors by coming up the middle. they are getting less than 35 percent of the vote. >> and then the key thing, tenten to a dozen, but that in the end works out to a
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diversified majority, and the conservatives, that may be the one problem where the conservatives actually increase their seats, which helps with the splits, but is also a major defeat for the sovereignty movement and its brand-new leader who puts his face on every poster. he could not have had a better leader, and they look like there coming up short of official party status. >> i want to bring percent of the conversation in terms of the new prime minister. when he started in federal politics, apolitics, a lot of people accused him of simply cashing in on his father's name and that he would make progress simply because he was the son. that happened when he ran and leader of the party, but in this campaign you have
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never heard that. you did not win this campaign because he was a son. he ran the teefive he won -- he won the campaign because of what he spoke for an his desire. >> ironically, i believe there was no way for him to win this election unless she had been pushed down into 3rd place before the election,election, the people had a chance to evaluate him and his effort to improve and take a look at the other two possible outcomes and decide whether they wanted it. the 1st challenge is to get ahead of the mvp. no question, fair to say that he ran a campaign fora campaign for the ages. this may have been the best that i have seen in my lifetime, and he is responsible for that. he hethat. he picks the people who ran the campaign, performed phenomenally himself. some of the more interesting numbers we were watching measuring attributes like works of art, tries to improve in addition to smart and ready to bpn where he
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came from well behind to tie them in the final days, but he was way ahead of them on works hard, tries to improve, listens to get advice, that kind of thing. so his image has been transformed by the effort that he and his team put into this campaign. at the same time, you were talking with andromeda go about people sick of the conservatives are mr. harper no question that is negatives continue to rise to the campaign, and you can see a reflection of that in the conservative advertising,advertising, don't make this about me, which is obviously too late in the game to raise that, but i think beyond that, they were sick of his style, voters were sick of his style, and on our program we talked about this a lot of the last few years, hyper partisan style. we are looking at some of the races now with mr. calandra, the close race , some of those people who are at the vanguard of that style of politics are
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in trouble, and to me it says something about the reaction of voters to the tone of politics that mr. harper stood for, and i would be surprised if we are not looking at two leadership conventions, one for the conservatives and one for the mvp. >> we may get the 1st signal of that will be here the speeches from the various leaders later tonight. okay. thank you. i wish to quickly before we talked our next guest give you a sense of the way that the vote is broken down and has been counted so far on this night of the liberal majority government. you thought that they would be saying that two months ago. a liberal majority government, big numbers. one hundred for conservatives, 33 mvp, huge drop them. more than doubling totals from the last time, but within two of official party status.
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here is your vote change board. liberals up 23%, over 43% of the votes cast so far tonight that have cast so far tonight that have gone to liberals. they were under 20 last time round and people were saying the party was finished. finished. conservatives down eight points sitting now at around 31 percent which has been a constant for them throughout this campaign for the last 11 weeks they have always been in 29, 30, 31 range, never budged, and there they are again tonight. the mvp -- ndp looking in the early 30s and the campaign started. where they were left after the 2011 campaign, but tonight they are down 12 and a half points, well under 20 pe, back to where they used to be in 32011 days. 4.2 percent, and others filling out the rest.
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with me for a few moments, dmitri, former key figure in the conservative party, one of those people who was extremely close to harper for a long time had a falling out with the party, a falling out with stephen harper last year. gone for most of last year, but still close to a lot of people in the conservative party. one assumes you would be talking to them. knowing what you know, what is she thinking and doing tonight? at the same time i have a feeling that tonight he and his family, his wife who has been by his side for all
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four election campaigns have now grown and are becoming adults, it's probably in a better headspace that he has ever been before, leading his party as prime minister and leader with 100 plus seats, not a repeat of the 1993 election where the conservatives went from governing to down to seats. >> but he is leaving his party after a loss to the sun appear to go through throughout his career was kind of the archvillain to stephen harper. wanted to harper. wanted to destroy not just the liberal party but end the era of trudeau. >> ii am sure that is losing to justin trudeau is not something that makes them happy, and i am sure he is disappointed. i also think he has had a great run, been there for a decade. i may have had a falling out with him, but credit is due
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on certain things, free trade, reuniting the conservative movement. >> will it stay reunited after what we witnessed? >> i absolutely believe that it will because you do not have the same scenario. >> the conservative party or what they thought was the conservative party clearly voted for liberals tonight. so upset with his leadership that they abandoned that. >> restarted the collection campaign. we will have more than 67 to 68 percent which is difficult to beat. he has ran a perfect campaign. the conservative spokesman at some point said he can win by putting his pants on. i think prime minister elect justin trudeau capitalized on this mood for change and we see the result that has now shifted completely to the liberals. you have these polls. he capitalized on the mood for change and is probably
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the clearest communicator. >> why did the conservative party want that kind of tied basically without one-man campaign? it was not based upon a crashing economy. ran a campaign that is solely based on one guy. >> hindsight is always 2020. today we have a liberal majority government. it was probably a strategic air but at the end of the day the ballot has been cast, and we have a new prime minister. >> in the old days you would have had something to do with the campaign, the group that made the decisions.
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>> i do not think that it was a mistake, to be honest with you, given the advantage that the conservative party had polenta they outspent their opponents, it was a tactical advantage and in the early days of the campaign must people were not paying attention. for the 1st two or three weeks of the election campaign the conservative campaign was unable to get its message out. and that poses a serious challenge. >> when do you think the stephen harper realized that he was going to lose. >> sometimes you never realize your going to lose. i remember in 2004 -- >> people must of been coming. early on, what we are doing is not working, it is not working and we will lose unless we change. >> what we saw, the most experienced campaign team amongst all three, this had
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the experience of four national election campaigns in 11 years, but, but i have a feeling it was not necessarily the most unified. that demonstrates that the liberal team in the liberal strategy team was more unified than the conservative. >> what are you saying? >> to me from the outside it did not look like the senior team wants a decision was made in terms of us direction to go that everyone was going in that direction. >> to this australian guy have anything to do with his campaign as far as you have heard? >> very little. he gave some advice on polling and focus groups and messaging but quite frankly very little. >> we have made that decision. >> ultimately the campaign manager decided that was what was going to win yet another government.
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absolutely. the buck stops on the leader's desk. you are absolutely right. in 2011 when he won his majority and 2006 and 2008 he obviously deserves the credit and ultimately the buck stops on the leader's desk which is why we will see the 1st tent of stephen -- 1st hint of the stephen harper stepping down as prime minister given that his opponent has one, but i give a feeling that he will be hinting that he will not be leaving the conservative party as leader of the opposition. >> apparently telling reporters as we speak that we will no the future of stephen harper tonight. >> i do not know if he will step down as mp. paul martin after he lost stayed on as what i can tell you with certainty knowing the prime minister is that he will not be leaving the conservative party. >> thank you for this. a difficult night in
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different ways for you seeing this kind of split but nevertheless you have a long-term relationship with stephen harper through the good days. today is not a good day. >> the end of the chapter. >> end of a chapter. thank you very much. let's go to calgary. catherine cohen's in cohen is in calgary tonight and getting ready. a pretty somber crowd waiting to hear from stephen harper. >> the crowd is growing, but lots. conservative staffers hugging each other, some remorse in the room. speaking to some conservative reporters, they are still trying to understand why this happened, but the one thing that you keep hearing is obviously there was a desire for change. i spoke with conservative campaign share to get a bit of a sense from him of what exactly went wrong, he to
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talk about the desire for change. he did not say anything that went wrong ultimately fell on the shoulders of the campaign. i asked him what we could expect here, what his future was and he suggested it was something we might line tonight. obviously we will be listening carefully when he takes to the stage behind me at some point this evening. >> what can you tell us about that crowd that is there? obviously relatively somber, must be a difficult mood. who are they? of these longtime supporters? >> i have spoken to numerous members of the crowd, one young man told me he had been volunteering since 2006, therefore the entire time that they were in power older folks, longtime conservatives are expressing
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worry tonight. they very much perhaps based upon the results we have seen, they thought that what the conservatives were saying did not apply, but the people who do believe he is not ready whether people in this room tonight. spending, how they will deal with security issues. they are concerned at the same time ii think a lot of people that see this coming. ..
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>> >> i said that because when the liberals across the 170 mark there was huge applause than 180 mark then though liberal majority had huge applause. he just into the room he is making his way around. this is what makes the right team standout among others. the canadian population is massive upheaval that live here were born in india. i have a campaign worker
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here with me on the ground knocking on doors you had your hands dirty what have been people bed telling you? with the liberal majority what are you hearing on the ground? >> amazing support we were getting what we were knocking on doors and making pope calls with all the individuals in the community but for the leader and justin as well. >> how much of a difference does that make? he has run before it has lost. >> we get 300 volunteers on board. these are youth volunteers high-school students, university students they came day in and day out to knock on doors and make calls.
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>> how does that compare to previous years? >> not only did it about the campaign but because of the youth involved in the people to help out. >> eight you so much. people are happy to see a liberal majority. [cheers and applause] >> that is a day camp -- carried it to pay the lawyers have a crowd behind them. very impressive. >> where do we go next? diana. >> they realize their hopes
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and dreams as we look at the map it looks not so well because the big swath of blue buses were then taken back everything than the liberals have done well. and has held with the big center but literally coming out of nowhere politically but then he came on to the scene with a huge impression people were remarking on his ability for what he had to say he is aboriginal working at the university of manitoba.
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if he loses it is another big name big face that will go down in defeat. this is settled and you'll see that stephen is a m&a within the conservative cause -- caucus has lost his seat and he goes back a ways he first won against glen murray who left the mayor's job they thought it was such us save liberal seat but then he surprised them and wanted is of liberals see tonight he is an emergency hospital doctor. >> and we would talk about manitoba once a week and add
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a certain point we will talk about cabinet material based on his experience the business experience it is just a matter of which portfolio that he gets. >> what is interesting with justin trudeau is all the prominent cabinet positions to be the only liberal from manitoba there are a number to choose from but tonight he is the mp. >> also next door we're
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watching all three. >> focusing on alberta how the liberals are doing if you want to call is successful and not whether you measure the level of performance against history without long-awaited breakthrough in the city of calgary since 1968. looking at the map of alberta have it is still very blue last time around all with for the conservatives the labatt calgary but don't put that in permanent team get because they are still very much in play. with get the calgary confederation this is one that has been identified as a potential breakthrough for
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the liberal. , one of those that knocked on a lot of doors in breaking with the provincial party over that scandal that many people thought was in his favor but the key statistic at this point that the liberals are in the lead with those polls that have been counted. i divided say liberal break through former l.a. for the liberal party. if you see it is pretty solid and edmonton center the former deputy prime minister nicknamed playfully landslide in the -- annie.
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and now 350 votes lead at this point but three liberals are the eating if that were to hold that would be a significant increase. >> you said 1968 the year of trudeau. that is a marker that liberals the back with some degree of pope -- hope and they did that once in the '90s to have freer for seats in alberta but they're all very close but that does not seem to have happened.
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let's go back at the house of commons because we like to look at how this would play out. the liberals are still beating but it is not finalized yet. and the deep yellow almost orange are the candidates. 187 liberals than black and one green. not that many elections ago with the conservatives' first of power they took 29
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seats than they used to 37. and is seeing a big breakthrough in quebec now they are back down from 2008 so they have taken a big step back with percentage of the vote this is a terrible night for the mvp they are hurt badly by their loss in quebec but also by boosting some significant players that became national household names but tom has spawned the prime minister to congratulate him. those zero calls will start to be made back and forth from the different leaders
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and their aides and advisers will start at this point who will speak first and who will concede first or speech last. normally it is the winner. we will see how that plays out. >> would get the outcome for earlier in the evening where he was trailing but he isn't any more about one quarter of the polls are reporting so far and tom has a lead over 500 votes over the liberal at the moment that hasn't been declared over yet. difficult might for mulcair there is already does a discussion he may decide to step down after being in
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this situation. from the beginning of a campaign looking so good for the mvp barry leading in the polls even though it was clear was a three-way race mulcair was criticized looking like he was running the front runner campaign by the end he was the birthplace and lost two-thirds of his seat and a significant percentage of the vote that he counted. watching mulcair more than any of us had worked at the national assembly you have anything to add? >> i honestly don't know how he stays at this stage. we go through the various mistakes that may have been made but i won't.
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[laughter] i don't know how you go from your biggest success under a different leader, a very tough. third-party was only 30 seats away where the liberals were and i'm not sure how you do that. >> we will stop you there because we have a guest with susan in montreal and for many people this man was the architect he is standing by with susan. >> you are right. the principal advisor to justin trudeau the man behind the successful campaign. to what to contribute this success? to read there are a lot of people. 85,000 canadians volunteered to make this happen. we have taken the team
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approach from the number one leader has done a phenomenal job. we are very proud. host: how did you knock down he's not ready? >> the conservative spend $25 million law and attack ads nellie will have a momentary effect but if the charge they're making is a true of you can demonstrate that it isn't they will respond. >> he said was that people underestimated him. did that happen in the early stages and now this is what has borne out? >> people have been and underestimating mr. trudeau since before the campaign and it will probably continue. i think he has done a truly remarkable job. what he has accomplished
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tonight has never been accomplished before but he has stayed focused on what really matters. that people are not getting ahead. and not withstanding all the issues and as you know, when to become convinced of what he wanted to talk about over 70 days, the diversity diversity, the middle-class drink, a plan of 350,000 children lifted out of poverty. >> you said we will spend on infrastructure to have deficits over the next three years.
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>> with a saying in and politics but i think mr. trudeau almost three years ago this break with the leadership campaign he spent those and kitchens in basements about what they wanted so it is trustee guided by a spurt of experts but at the end of the day for what canadians wanted with houses of conversations with people. >> when i got off the plane did you know, it would be this big?
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>> have pretty close to repair it ended at. and that is the great thing about nights like this with all the speculation to forecast what happened and i you have to go back to talk about his speech but you have an embarrassment of riches determine the cabinet and what will the leader have to do? >> the first thing tomorrow is talk to a key group of people about the transition plan. right now we would like to take a of a couple of hours to enjoy this because this
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doesn't happen very often. >> going up to talk about this speech we will hear from him shortly. >>. >> the liberals will form a majority government 189 liberals leading with the of pause before the storm of speeches will start we will hear from harper we will hear that he will concede defeat to justin trudeau and announce he will step aside as leader of the consent - - conservative party to
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appoint an interim leader and to give us speech with two-thirds of the seats although even he is trailing as is his party so they baby speaking as well. >> nobody called the. [laughter] this is an amazing story. i could not have hoped for more. to rebuild the party starting 2011 and then it is
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important for somebody to take over then justin trudeau wanted to do is so why prepare the way to step aside and he took on with every liberal leader's office i am so impressed how he has run the campaign. i don't think i have never seen the campaign ever as well executed to of a strong clear vision. yes there were bumps in the road the day go fishing campaign.
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>> did you ever think that it was even possible to consider a majority government? >> if you listen to my speeches. [laughter] you would have heard me say it doesn't matter if you are first or second or third. this is what was ludicrous there now at 32. that isn't what it is. there was resilience and that liberal idea to create a better feeling of the party. they have some work to do to get itself together but trudeau took us to level
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that they would say this is exactly where we will be but i am delighted it is a majority government at helping to many would have let that. >>. >> also been made though lottery last night. >> and as a winner tonight renovate . >> gave very exciting night. as you watched the red wave come across the country? >> we have been working very hard. and to put the platform
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together the need to stand up to build stronger cities is now in front of us. and i am so proud of what trudeau has accomplished but my biggest. >> what is the more controversial aspect of your campaign? if you said you heard the things on the door? >> but how we work to improve a bill the only reason people said they're not voting for me.
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>> survey talking to candidates across the country to be respect fall again. >> thanks and congratulations. the winner here. >> thank you very much. we're back with bob. what of the things that has happened coming from third-place that is like what you did. >>. >> but a distant second. >> there is a transition period that is relatively short about 10 days or two weeks you need advice and counsel are you a part of
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that? >> i have no idea i will do whatever the leader once but it is important to hit the ground rate - - running. but unlike some of the other parties i though they had a whole transition team. >> and there are big this issues coming up like obama of with keystone with climate change and then perhaps they don't. >> i told the day at was elected that we were headed toward the structural
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deficit i know what that is like but it turned out not to be right. >> but he does have the benefit he has an instinct for this job and though leader of the liberal party and grew up with that. >> people are looking for a different style from their prime minister. >> you were the mvp and usc
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justin trudeau. to criticize as he was cashing in on his father's name but it has proven he is his own guy. but how is he different? >> a lot of ways to be different and similar. the main similarity that everybody needs to understand this man is extraordinarily disciplined using great shape and in fantastic physical condition. but he did not lose his focus. his father was extremely
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tough nobody should underestimate his ability to make difficult decisions all the way through a difficult decision to be made and he makes that. the greatest advantage justin has is a tremendous degree of compassion and are to but he does it impersonal ways. many other canadians can he is a thoughtful person his father was a little more removed. of little more austere. but also were there similar it would create teams.
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the look is cabinet. to get the people he had around him. who the hell those who is in his cabinet? that's what's different i am convinced we will see best. >> we have to move on. >> of little birdied told me they were going to europe as u.s. ambassador. >> that is the first i have heard of that. [laughter] >> was the bird a blue jay? >> it is a pleasure. >> rex's had altered all
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evening to plan now he has a ready we will hear what he has to say. >> and want to back up that move i think that is a good idea for all of us that what you have seen here and should be applauded for execution a great triumph by the liberal party they achieve the principal goal of the population but the addiction of harper and of the conservatives a term that has gone too long and needed to go. but also this is a side effect resaw the beginning in newfoundland but to night the ndp has suffered so much
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as the unexpected element of the campaign but as brief as that is we go back to you. >> you're putting is right on cue with mulcair the first concession speech of the evening from the national party. >> friends from the very outset this election has been about change and tonight canadians have turned the page and they reject the politics of division. [cheers and applause] and canadians continue to bring a message of hope and
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optimism sunday that characterizes our party. >> the people better counting on us as democrats those who do we could be relied on to call a national inquiry that murder indigenous women. [cheers and applause] to lead the way to eliminate violence against women. [cheers and applause] the former -- as a former auto worker who was worried for the future of his kids a grandmother who set up a hell the osama taupe for the next era of medicare but we will work for you each and every day and the new majority parliament. [speaking french]
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>> there are major differences in our party over the last 70 days there has been an emphasis on differences to allow them to make a choice in today canadians make that choice and we accept that choice with all humility. >> despite our many differences on policy and a policy should be conducted i think mr. harper for his service to our country i eight congratulated mr. trudeau for his achievement for his party. [applause] in this campaign he made ambitious commitments to canadians and they will have high expectations for the next parliament. [speaking french] [translator:] they will be serving canadians to build the future we will all like to
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see for our children and grandchildren that is what people expect of us we will stand up for your communities and five-year jobs and fight to protect the environment we will stand strong and climate change and protect land comair, water. [cheers and applause] and we will be resolute in our efforts to build a true nation to nation relationship with these priorities and many more that democrats will make real and lasting progress in this new parliament and with this election canadians have asked us all to work for them and we will not let them down.
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[cheers and applause] spee is speaking french. >>translator: of of life to thank the voters for renewing their confidence in me tonight and i were also like to think all the candidates who campaigned with courage under the ndp banner i couldn't be prouder of the work that was accomplished. >> with ted diversity and strength of the ndp team. >> as rebecca reminded us the work you have accomplished to build our party will carry us for years to come. we ran in this election with the most women and indigenous canid it's not in the history of the party but in the history of canada.
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[cheers and applause] this is something that makes me immensely proud. [speaking french] >>translator: to catherine i have been sharing my life over 40 years i want to extend my great banks for your love, a kindness, a constant support. thank you to our sons and their wives and our grandchildren. i could never thank you for your your support and love the not. >> into every community across this country, thank you for your steadfast hope and optimism. my friends, democrats have made historic contributions to build this country whether medicare or security
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and we will continue. [speaking french] >>translator: tonight be a show on those routes will develop there will always be there for those of quebec. [cheers and applause] [chanting] >> as a party with established roots in all quarters of this country and deeper roots here in quebec the next chapter begins in our effort to build a better canada. [cheers and applause]
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>> mulcair. [inaudible] supporters in montreal tonight no direct indication from him of his own personal plans of this bill has been a very difficult might be mvp sitting f-35 seats compared nearly three times that number after 2011 with 12 percent of the vote the crowd is subdued that is the shortest applause i have heard the following election night as they're moving on and moving out. here are the overall numbers from where tom mulcair was running. tom mulcair was reelected that was tight but indian
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senator cruz relatively comfortably the leader of the mvp just over two years joining in 2007 he was a provincial liberal the environment minister during his liberal days 9,430,006 in quebec he looked so good for so long moving up in the polls there was a struggle by the time the campaign started he was the front runner people criticize him because he was acting like a front runner but he stayed that way made it a three-way race for the first half than things started to happen going against his numbers. now we go back to montreal.
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that was a very straightforward speech with little reaction from the crowd. >> because there are not too many people down here at the headquarters. when the speech was over the fact he didn't talk about what happens to tell his leadership if i was talking to some hit -- insiders just before and they said tonight is not the night to make that decision it will be discussed down the road. the way to make sure he mentioned his wife kathryn but she was his main adviser by his side each and every day and did not miss one even you could see her sitting in the crowd to make sure he was smiling and going long enough with his
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answers the concede the disappointment in her face as well. whether he maintains that or continues to decide that down the road that will come in a few days and weeks ahead but not for this evening. >> thank you very much the way behind the speech tonight from tom mulcair. we have heard that stephen harper when he does speak tonight will be announcing he will be stepping down as leader of the conservative party to retain the seat in calgary asking the national executive to make concessions how to ruth for word with the new leader whether it is interim or straight to leadership. but stephen harper will make
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those comments during his speech. we're not sure who was up next we assume it is stephen harper then from justin trudeau. we will check in with a half to say with their comments. look at the map all the read that was not their last time. the liberals are based mainly on the island of montreal but when he has been watching this. >> looking at how well the liberals have done day did pick up in ontario but once again the big surprise is in the province of quebec there were not expecting to pick up anywhere near the number of seats that they did even from an endangered species to the leader.
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the liberals are up 47 seats but that is more than his bader they have not been this high since his bader was prime minister at 1980 coming at the expense of npd there were at 59 last time it is almost as if they switched spots. the conservatives are back up that 11 but that is just not enough. they pick up a lot of the seats but lookout happened. they did it with only one-third of the votes, 35 percent. we talked about a four way race the liberals have done extremely well with only one-third of the actual vote it could suggest the liberal efficiency machine of their
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boat to get out the vote. last time they had no machine they were destroyed after the scandal that was the entire decade of darkness after words. they don't have deep roots here and they cannot get out their vote so the big story to me is the liberals have been offsides not at the big table or supported the party in power since 1993. a lot of names have not heard of but they're back in the other big story is npd will be so disappointed. . .
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our policy is our reputation in the world. we have a lot of rebuilding to do and i want to be constructive part of that. >> you started out this campaign projecting the green party and
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right now looks at your party one yet again so what went wrong? >> it was an big blow to our campaign strategy when the english-language national broadcast leaders debate, when that was put at risk and of course stephen harper at hardy pulled out a was very clear that is what propelled us into doing particularly well in 2008. we had a great campaign strategy but it really was rather predicated on having access to regular coverage so we kept hearing every night about the three parties. parties are struggling to build that base but i'm excited about how well we have done and the great candidates we have across canada, thousands of volunteers in so many people in the debate this that i want to vote for you but this time i had to vote strategically which of course was hard to hear that they gave me next time you won't have to worry about that i will vote for him next time so we are looking forward to getting canada's
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reputation back in the world to bringing back our environment allows and we will push the liberals really hard. >> thank you very much elizabeth. peter back to you. >> thank you. elizabeth on vancouver island. okay we are told it's only a couple of minutes away from steven harper making a speech in calgary so we will of course join that as soon as he arrives in a hotel in calgary to give a speech. you watched a lot of leaders give speeches on nights where elections where leaders will lose in leaders one. what did you make of. >> i had a mixed reaction to it or they think very highly of tom mulcair and his wife. i think they are committed to public service and they work hard for what they were fighting for but the speech itself i thought was a bit of a mix.
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it almost sounded like a small victory speech as opposed to recognition that something it failed quite badly in the ndp campaign. and it did make me wonder okay he's probably got another announcements going to make about his future at some point because you could interpret part of what he was saying with this idea of us forming a government let's go back to being a party that champions specific causes but doesn't really try to form a government. that's how you can interpret some of those comments and when you think about where he was when he started his campaign he was ahead in the polls and he had support all the way through this campaign. that was a failure on his part, failure on the parties part. the party has to decide going forward whether it wants to go back to winning position or something else. >> two points, he reminded me of 2011. he sounded like he was going to go unusual the next morning.
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that can't be good, that can't last long and mr. mulcair had the best talents of the generation of new democrats against the liberals. i think they will find out the hardest thing to recover from. >> it's interesting to see in the recovery process if it doesn't go well whether the party fragments further as a result. andrew your thoughts. >> he did not have deep roots in that party. they basically hired him like a sports team would hire a pitcher at the trading deadline to take them to the top to a win and they didn't win. they started winning but 19% at the end, he was not thinking about it during a speech i'm sure the democrats were. >> perhaps they have decided tonight wasn't the night.
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was it the next day? >> we sit you down in a hotel room and have a talk. >> what it thinks peter that confused lots of people i guess was mulcair's member sword after the election of rachel utley. it was easy for democrats to say this is about the movement and the party were at large and in fact it was more of a test drive. we have heard questions about just as trudeau we really do want change. if albertans can't elect a democrat maybe we should put at it too but it was a test drive. they weren't sold on it and i don't think the economic policies convince canadians. >> as we look at the alberta votes rachel utley won how many months ago? >> 60% voting conservatives in alberta. 11% voting. >> we talk about people
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underestimating justin trudeau and the mvp is pretty clear that the liberals were going to drop off the map and become a two horse race and they would present themselves as the government in waiting and i think that accounts. >> they weren't the only ones about that. >> they thought it was going to come down to conservative race. stephen harper has entered the room and we are about to witness his remarks to his supporters. steven harper 56 your prime minister for the last almost 10 years and his wife maureen of course. shaking hands with supporters and those who have been at their side for all these years. nine years, eight months and eight days as prime minister. he will remain as prime minister for the next 10 days to two weeks until the swearing in of the new government.
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the sixth longest in canadian history. he passed sean chai shen in another couple of weeks actually 's time as prime minister. only five prime ministers have attempted to win for successive mandates. we started off by winning two minorities and then followed up with a majority. he is in select company with four successors and five that have attempted. only met donald m. -- had one successfully. steven harper would have tried. also lost at his attempt a fourth successive mandate. first elected in 1993 as a reform key candidate mp.
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elected in 2002 by the canadian alliance and elected in 2004 as mpm lost that election in one and 2006. let's see how he handles his speech and his comments for conservatives and canadians. >> thank you very much. [applause] [applause] [chanting] [chanting] [applause] >> thank you everyone. thanks for that tremendous welcome. i can tell you that for lorraine
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, rachel and me after 11 weeks it feels very good to be with you here in our home and our calgary. [applause] and a special welcome to all of those that are here tonight from the great writing of calgary heritage. [applause] in a moment friends i will have a little bit more to say about that but first i wish to address all canadians. [speaking french] >> translator: maureen and i decided to go into public life because we believe that hard-working canadians should keep more of their hard-earned money. >> hard-working canadians should have more of the money they have earned because we believe -- because we believe that government should manage the peoples people's money the way people manage their own. [applause] because friends we believe
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canada must advance our values defend our interests and stand by her friends. [applause] we have championed those values all of our public lives. although -- >> translator: in the last night and in half years i've had the incredible honor of serving as your prime minister. [applause] it has been a great experience to make canadians from coast to coast to coast during the last two and a half months of this campaign. [speaking french] >> translator: we put everything on the table. we gave everything we had to give and we have no regrets.
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[speaking french] good way? we remain citizens of the best country on earth. [applause] friends, our country is one of the most enduring democracies in the world today and today for the 42nd time in 148 years canadians have chosen the national parliament. tonight's results are certainly not the ones we had hoped for. the people are never wrong. [speaking french] >> translator: the people of canada have elected a liberal government, a result that wakes up without hesitation. i have spoken friends to mr. trudeau and offered him my congratulations, all of our congratulations on his successful campaign. [applause] and i have assured him of my
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full cooperation during the process of transitioning in the coming days. i also want to extend and i know we all want to extend all of our congratulations to mr. mulcair and mr. do sub on their campaigns. [applause] to all canadians of every stripe in every corner of our country victorious or not i salute you. your efforts help keep our democracy strong. to the constituents of calgary heritage, thank you. [applause] thank you for renewing your support for me once again. this is the seventh mandate you have given me and it remains a trooper of lives to serve the people of this vibrant city in the parliamentary of canada. [applause] friends there are so many people who deserve credit for the work that goes into a national campaign and at the top of that list the course are my family
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marine, ben and rachel. [applause] i love you more than you can imagine and i have depended on you a great deal not just these past 79 days for for a long time before that great i hope you always know that without yield. none of this would be possible but with you everything is. thank you. [applause] [speaking french] >> translator: i also want to thank mike candidate team across the country. >> although some erode international headquarters in calgary heritage and 337 electoral district associations across this country. our party is a grassroots organization and it's only because of our devoted staff and thousands upon thousands of loyal members and volunteers that our party has been able to
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spread its message. [speaking french] >> translator: and tonight we elected official opposition which is strong. [applause] for all of those that have over the past decade and a half built our party and contribute to our campaign you have our deepest gratitude and you should feel nothing but proud. know also this as well, to disappoint me you also feel it's my responsibility and mine alone. but know this for certain, when the next time comes this party will offer canadians a strong and clear alternative based on our conservative values. [applause] [speaking french]
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>> translator: we will offer the alternative is a party that has a solid basis including in québec. >> never forget three-year efforts are country stands caught tall today. our economy is growing and new jobs are being created. the budget is balanced in federal taxes are at their lowest in 50 years. [applause] we are poised to see the opportunities that come with free trade access to your pin the americans enacted asia-pacific. our men and women in uniform have the tools to do their jobs and support their fellow citizens. [applause] [speaking french] >> translator: canada is safer than ever.
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this is a canada we have been building since that time -- and this is the candidate to which for countless generations to come we will be dedicated. thank you again friends. all of you for all your support. for all you have done for our country. please say a little prayer for men and women in uniform. god bless all of you. [applause] >> steven harper made his remarks to conservative supporters. in calgary. he never gave his own personal decisions moving forward but i can tell you we have -- released at the same time that mr. harper moved into the calgary speaking area to give a speech tonight. a statement from john ross the
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present of the conservative party of canada and its very short hair. says i have spoken to stephen harper and he is instructed me to reach out to the newly elected parliament caucus to appoint an interim leader and a national council to implement the leadership selection process pursuant to conservative party of canada constitution. he will issue a detailed statement tomorrow morning so as steven harper exits the leadership of the conservative party of canada on those instructions to the party itself so we have got the 22nd prime minister canada being defeated tonight, convincingly by the prime minister elect justin trudeau who will be speaking next. we expect within the next five minutes or so from his spot in montréal. steven harper shaking hands and heading for the exit in calgary. a difficult night one assumes for him and his family. there is maureen harper.
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not spending much time in the auditorium. he is a fixture of various campaign nights and election nights like this in the past, so once again as we await comments from the new prime minister justin trudeau lets talk about the comments we just heard from steven harper. andrew do you want to start us off? >> a very gracious tone. chipper, almost cheerful like he a had a wit off of his shoulder and i'm sure the campaign was dragging. >> he was even talking in very open terms about his time as prime minister and almost sounded like he was ready for defeat. >> we talked before that was hard to see how you got to
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conservative victory from the beginning of the campaign. they had a 35% and less the vote purposely went the other way they were going to form a government so many of the departing cabinet members may have seen the writing on the wall. on the other hand it's entirely self-inflicted. they did run a very good campaign. they didn't have much in the form of platform etc. but they conditions were laid out in the year previous. a lot of it had to do with the approach to government that was all overly centralized in overly harsh overly autocratic and a lot of the message that justin trudeau was bringing was the opposite. it was much more upbeat a much more cheerful much less emphasis on controlling and fear etc. and it just does not have to happen. they were not condemned as we said before by the economy. >> he kept saying to the campaign and he was saying it by the end it was not about him but
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impact was about him. >> when you look at the popular vote he still wasn't reject it massively by the people who gave him a majority. it is only the dash that never wanted him onto home to elect him. otherwise he could have one. i'm not sure he would have been well served with a minority government. not only because of the opposition but because he had always brought his party forward in every election. this would have been the first line and it would have been difficult to run that government. listen to that speech and it seemed to me he had not prepared another speech for tonight. >> i think he is known for some time. there is probably more than a few days. he seemed i think this was the direction he was going in. bruce.
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>> i think he looked and sounded relieved but i look at him and i think like andrew was saying this didn't have to happen this badly for the conservative party. i can't recall a prime minister who seems less interested in the salesmanship are to politics than steven harper. yes he put hundreds of millions of dollars of public money into advertising trying to get voters softened up. yes he made sure that he handed out the lands of dollars in checks to families. they went for all of these things that should have given them a lift but ultimately the prime minister mr. harper's problem was he was happy to take 40% of vote and if you are never going to try to increase the share that you could get, if you are never going to reach down those people who say yes maybe the only thing i care about his is taxes or security but we found in our last -- number of people who said taxes and security were the top issue together was 10%.
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he failed to land that ballot question. he didn't seem remorseful about that. he said he took responsibility for the failure but it was a pretty quick acknowledgment. >> let me's throw something else on the table. the conservatives took a lot of heat and last for years from the people who did not like them and that's putting it mildly. they only represented 39% of the population and therefore more than 60% were against them. look at these numbers tonight. they are almost identical. the liberals are. >> that's our electoral system unfortunately. i don't think it was just the members come it was the style of government. you know you can't put this all on personality. the culture he created in the party with the healthy approach to politics and governing they took with him at the top no doubt but i think it's an opportunity for the party to
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re-examine itself and go back to basics. what happened under this leadership was they decided they were going to minimize their substandard differences with the party. they weren't going to unveil any big ambitious policies. they replace those big differences with a lot of partisanship and with a lot of microtargeting etc.. and to amp up that so i think they need to and do the opposite which people want mr civilized discourse but hopefully in the wake of that they can also start talking about ideas again about challenging the opposition and i should say the government now and putting forth positive alternatives rather than the rather than that colon dining each other. >> it's not just the numbers. elizabeth saw the reaction tonight. she didn't have a good night but you could tell she was happy because there are more policy connections between the mvp, the green party and liberals than there are for work between of those parties really of the
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conservatives and that is why justin trudeau won because it was so easy for so many new democrats. gerber library like one is probably filling up with people who voted for the party. they got the result that they wanted so 40% for justin trudeau is not the same thing that 40% was for stephen steven harper which was maximum. >> not on this side. >> let's see in four years. >> exactly. rosie d. want in on this? >> i agree with you that this was not a surprise for steven harper. i think this was said with them weeks ago by those around him that it was that it was getting worse and i think that's why we saw some of those desperate attempts towards the end to bring in the ford family for instance and by the way it didn't pay off. even that and it may be too soon to cast might forward.
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>> here's justin trudeau arriving at the queen elizabeth hotel with his wife sophie to a cheering crowd obviously, an ecstatic crowd of liberals many of whom no matter what they thought at the beginning of this campaign i'm sure those thoughts did not exclude -- include a majority government and justin trudeau would become the 23rd prime minister of canada. what will he have to say tonight and what is he going to tell this crowd? [applause] we are about to find out. what words he has not just for liberals but for canadians from across the country who voted for him and voted against him. he's the new prime minister. how is he going to unite canadians. in a difficult campaign and at
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times a vicious campaign for things were said about him or were not about his policies or about his politics or about him personally. [applause] [applause] >> and here you are the first words from the soon-to-be new prime minister of canada. 10 days into -- 10 days to two weeks before the final transaction. >> let's listen to this. [chanting]
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[chanting] >> thank you. thank you my friends. [applause] [applause] [speaking french] >> translator: friends, more than 100 years ago a great prime minister talked about -- he knew that politics can be a positive force and that is the message that canadians sent today.
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[applause] canadians chose change, real change. [applause] >> sunny ways my friends, sunny ways. this is what positive politics can do. this is what a positive hopeful vision and a platform and a team together can make happen. [applause] canadians from all across this great country sent a clear message tonight. it's time for a change in this country my friends, a real change. [applause]
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[speaking french] >> translator: there are so many people to be thank tonight. i will be spending lots of time in the coming days thinking them but i would like to begin today with my family. i would like to begin by thanking my family sophie ella grace and at the end. thank you for allowing me to serve. thank you sophie for your strength, for your compassion and for your deep generosity. [applause] [chanting]
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and to xavier and ella grace who are asleep now but who will be with us tomorrow morning, my children, i have to say we are embarking on a new adventure together and i can tell you now that there will be difficult moments as the children of a prime minister, but dad will be there for you. [applause] [speaking french] >> translator: i also want to thank all the people who have trusted me since 2008, the people of -- [applause] thank you, thank you once again for your support. thank you for your confidence.
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i will be first and foremost very proud to represent you in the house of commons. dear fellow citizens, you talked to me about the issues that were important to you. i heard you and that helps me to become a better member of parliament, to be a better leader and that will help me to be a better prime minister. thank you. [applause] >> i also want to specifically thank my good friend katie ellsberg and gerald butts. [applause] katie and jerry are two of the smartest toughest karting
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working people you will find anywhere. [applause] they share with me the conviction of politics doesn't have to be negative and personal to be successful. [applause] you can appeal to the better angels of our nature and you can win while doing it. [applause] tonight my very good friends we prove that. i hope it is an inspiration to like-minded people to step up and pitch in, to get involved in the public life of this country and to know that a positive optimistic hope old vision of public life isn't a naïve dream. it's a powerful force for
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change. [applause] and i also want to thank the incredible volunteers that made tonight happen. [applause] over 80,000 canadians got involved in the core of this campaign. they knocked on the neighbors doors. they made phonecalls, they send e-mails. hundreds of thousands more supported us actively with their friends on line. they convince their neighbors and their families and all of these people had one thing in common, they care deeply about their families, their communities and their country. they believe that better is possible and at that citizens
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can play a real part in making it happen. [applause] now this movement be built was fueled by these amazing volunteers and from the bottom of my heart i thank you. [applause] now i want to take a moment to speak about my colleagues across the aisle. tonight i received phonecalls from all of them including from mr. harper. steven harper has served this country for a decade and it's with anyone who has devoted their life to this country we thank him for his service. [applause]
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now over the course of this campaign i had the opportunity to have a couple of brief personal conversations with them about our families. it reminded me of an extraordinary and unique sector faces that are made by anybody to serve this country at the highest levels. i want to remind everyone as i said many times over the course of this campaign conservatives are not our enemies. they are our neighbors. [applause] leadership is about ringing people of all different perspectives together. [speaking french] >> translator: i also want to pay tribute to thomas mulcair
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who ran a vigorous campaign. [applause] he fought right up until the end and to the support of his of his party i understand your disappointment tonight. our party has had difficult times. our country needs and engaged citizens and our country will only be stronger as a result. thank you. [applause] >> now you are all going to hear a lot tonight and tomorrow about me and about our campaign. lots of people are going to have lots of opinions about why we were successful. well, for three years we had a
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very old-fashioned strategy. we met with and talked with as many canadians as we could. [applause] we won this election because we listen. we did the hard work of going across the country meeting with hundreds of people in the dead of winter in the arctic and with thousands of people and branson in the middle of this campaign. you fill this platform. you built this movement. [applause] you told us what you need to be successful. he you told us what kind of government you want and be built the plan to make it happen. in coffee shops and in town
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halls, in church basements you gathered. you spent time together with us and you told us about the kind of countries you want to build and leave to your children. [speaking french] >> translator: you told us about the challenges in your everyday lives. you told us that it was becoming more and more difficult to make ends meet and to pay your bills at the end of the month. you told us that you were concerned about your retirement. you told us that your communities needed investments. you told us that good jobs were becoming more and more rare. you are the inspiration behind our programs. you are the reason why we work so hard to reach this point, to
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reach the point where we are tonight. [applause] and you will always be at the heart of the government that we will form. [applause] >> over the past few years you told us what you are going through. he told us it was getting harder and harder to make ends meet let alone to get ahead. you told us you are worried about whether you will be able to afford a dignified retirement you told us that your communities need investment. you told us you need a fair shot at better jobs. you are the inspiration for her efforts. you are the reason why we work so hard to be here tonight and you will be at the heart of this new government. [applause]
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so my message to you tonight my fellow citizens is simple. have faith in yourself and in your country. know that we can make anything happen if we set our minds to it and work on it. [speaking french] >> translator: i'm not the one that made history tonight, you are. [applause] don't let anyone tell you anything different. i know that i'm on the stage tonight for one reason and one reason alone, because you put me here. >> you did. [applause] and don't let anyone tell you any differently.
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i know that i'm on stage tonight for one reason and one reason only, because you put me here. [applause] and you gave me clear marching orders. you want a government that works as hard as you do when that is focused every minute of every day on growing the economy, creating jobs and strengthening the middle class. [applause] one that is devoted to helping less fortunate canadian families worked their way into the middle class. [applause] you want a prime minister who knows canada is a country not in spite of our differences but because of them. [applause]
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apm who never seeks to divide canadians but takes every single opportunity to bring us together. [applause] you want a prime minister who knows that if canadians are to trust their government, their government needs to trust canadians. [applause] a pm who understands that openness and transparency means better smarter decisions. [applause] you want a prime minister that knows that a renewed relation to relationship with indigenous people with respect and honor.
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[applause] it must be the basis for how we work to close the gap and walk forward together. [applause] [speaking french] >> translator: to my fellow quebecers tonight together with we have chosen the path of engagement. we have chosen to reengage in a more unified and positive form of politics. we have chosen to reengage in leading a country that reflects our values and our visions. [applause] we have chosen to trust one another and invest together in our future.
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in the last three years i have spent a lot of time meeting with you and listening to what you had to say. you told me that you wanted a government that would be open and transparent, a government that trusts its citizens, a government that is there to serve all canadians. tonight that is the commitment i'm making to you. i will be the prime minister of all canadians. [applause] [applause] ..
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>> day. [chanting] will. >> canadians have spoken you want a government with a vision and an agenda for this country that is the ambitious and hopeful. i promise you tonight when i will be that government.
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[cheers and applause] i will make bad vision a reality. i will be that prime minister. [cheers and applause] in this election, 1,792 canadians with stepped-up to put their names on balance 338 were chosen buy you to be their voices and i pledge tonight i will listen to all of them. [cheers and applause] there are a thousand stories i could charity about this remarkable campaign but think about one in particular, last week by met
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a young mom in ontario who practices the muslim faith and made her way through the crowd and handed me her infant daughter in dash she leaned forward she said something i will never forget. she is voting for us because she wants to reassure that her little girl has the right to to make her own choices in life and with the government to protect those rights. [cheers and applause] tumor, i say this, you and your fellow citizens have chosen a new government, a new government that believes
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deeply in the diversity of our country. we know in our bones canada was built by people of all quarters of the world those who speak every language and practice every faith. [cheers and applause] [chanting] we believe in our hearts that this country's unique diversity is a blessing bestowed upon us by previous generations of canadians who stared down prejudice to fight discrimination in all forms. be no that are in the aboil inclusive society did not happen by accident and will
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not continue without effort to. [applause] i have always known this and canadians know that to. if not i have could have spoken earlier and given the very different speech. [laughter] and her fellow citizens are kind and generous and open minded and optimistic than they know in their hearts of parts of a canadian is a canadian is a canadian. [cheers and applause] [speaking french] >>translator: we beat fear with hope and
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cynicism with hard work we beat dash politics with a positive vision that brings canadians together. [cheers and applause] most of all, canadians should base satisfied that good enough is good am/fm better is not possible. but my friends, this is canada and in canada and it is always possible. [cheers and applause] thank you very much.
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>> there you have it justin trudeau and his wife and his definition of what real change means to him and what he wants to see happen to give credit where credit is due it wasn't him but the people who made the choice based upon what they said during the campaign. a lengthy speech, but clearly one that he wanted to make tonight for canadians coast to coast who are fascinated by this campaign, started apparently he was him third place said he just took off from the
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first week he did not look like the odd man on the stage that looks like he was part of the debate and from that day for rookie kicked up steam and certainly made the push to certain parts of the country he broke through in quebec and ontario and did well in parts of manitoba not so well and saskatchewan but he did have a seat in every province in the country. that is always a marker for any prime minister takes office after defeating another government where is his representation?
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all across the country also just a few in alberta. let's look at the virtual parliament the is a liberal majority government 184 liberals. still some seats to be decided is there are some close races and numbers changed a little bit. 101 conservatives. 42 npd and one for the green party. susan was in the room listening twitter thoughts? >> what struck me about his speech i cents across canada pent-up desire to usher in a
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new way to do things that the message from justin trudeau that things could happen in a different way provide talk to his advisers this week did you always have faith to not dig deeply into the negative part of the politics? he said of cater was determined they were not always sure this was his message from the get-go but he said i am not the person who made history here tonight. it is you he give back to the voters handed to the country. a very long and inspiring speech from our leader who now has many expectations everybody will be tugging at his leaves beginning tonight
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>> great work tonight. >> remember after the hope and change campaign in chicago to americans talking about that also say they don't have been automatically we have a special guest in a moment but to want to preface by telling a story of justin trudeau. talking about the harper interview on labor day weekend during the trudeau interview at the same time after was over we rejoin the cutaways, he went through a little speech to be underestimated his life to be under estimated from the election and estimates -- an estimated -- underestimated
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against the conservative senator and underestimated when he ran for a leadership of the party and he would be under estimated again during this campaign. he said he was always underestimated the he had confidence he could win and in every circumstance he did. with an italian that story because of the history of our country on a one-person who has ever defeated a trudeau and that is the next best joining us from england having defeated trudeau in 1979 but has the record. it is very early in the morning in london. view had a chance to watch justin trudeau did you ever thank you would see that day?
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you saw justin growing up the same time your daughter was growing up. that must be a strange feeling to watch. >> and has been a strange feeling since he ran for leadership and one but his performance has ben extraordinary and demonstrated who he was. and the father clearly has proven his sense of strength that least so far the prime minister elective done the same thing. one of the things they have in common is reflecting the generation labor elected to lead.
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probably best done a little more enthusiastic and the father i batted is striking he would talk about this sunny ways because it seems that the end of this campaign comes down to a choice of styles and is the style of pope with a period of time and there was a sense of division or a lack of momentum it will be a real challenge that idea of an inclusive is going forward but i think it is genuine. >> there is something that he said that reminded me of the eulogy about respect for your opponents.
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anybody to forget that he talked about that moment to be taken in the parliamentary restaurant led by his bother to say you always respect your opponent >> and in some ways to hear that, back. >> that is a challenge going forward. it always is. he reached out to everyone to achieve the support of everyone that were not normally support his party. he set himself the goal to govern for everyone even a majority environment and
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will have to insure he is true to that promise. some of us have been experienced with liberal governments harbor a suspicion they're not always as open as they seem. one of the challenges that trudeau faced and overcame that he earned confidence a person who'd trusted and respected others of a time when suspicions ansar higher than in previous times he will need help but he will have to be true to himself. >> could we appreciate your
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time getting up early watching history and told. >> i want to show you this cartoon trudeau doing the back flap with harper based on the results tonight. edison tomorrow chronicle herald. watching what has going on we are headed into a period of transition in terms of
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what happens as governments change. you have all seen some of that kind of action before of the third-party status to opposition things have to happen with the emotions this evening produces especially moving into government. can you give us an idea? >> the officials gave careful study to the liberal platform to come up with ideas out that could be implemented to be extensive of to restructure and the policies.
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but what got lost in the shuffle is many of the great things that they did was recruit a truly exceptional group of candidates with the influx of talent i fully expect they will put together one of the most talented cabinets we have seen. almost all governments do as they come in to have a smaller cabinet to have that gender balance end of the emotions tonight or transitions.
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>> we have very sophisticated public service and then he disappoints more people than he makes friends. and with some restrictions but there is an awful lot to do with its takeover the g-7 government and people are taking over this government and they are exhausted the law in this campaign in memory and now with no break at all. they have to start first thing tomorrow morning. >> will laborsaving is that
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transition depending of where the parties are. having to let go to restructure that is sad because not just the numbers on the screen so my heart goes out to them but the one thing i would mention i was hearing from friends popping champagne and even fireworks is celebration of the event of tonight. it cayenne take some amount of pride that democrats did told mr. harper to account and help to eliminate the disastrous record of the conservatives in government
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and the destruction and many services with the law as in this country. >> thanks for your patience tonight. it is a lot maybe we are better informed to hear your thoughts and analysis. looking at the big numbers then we will have some final thoughts.
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>> and what have we witnessed tonight? >> is not where we thought we would end up. they one week ago we started to feel magic on the ground and it is worth pointing out the changes will be phenomenal going for word. cabinet meetings. we will know when cabinet meetings are happening again i have never experienced that as a journalist we can ask questions of cabinet ministers as they come out. that is the play and.
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i will buy it for one day. [laughr] they say they have first ministers' meetings again. maybe it will have been. they think there will be a lot of shifting. >> as the night started to be at the expense of the npd we see that play out. but was staying the night started in newfoundland and told the story for the rest of the country the liberal strength at the expense of everything else. at the expense of the npd playing out in ontario and
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ottawa. and then living now in a very different way. but 184 for the liberals? yes they have political experience but it is not in the same sandbox. >> a very long campaign but justin trudeau was only halfway through he started to pick up open for 25 seats nobody believes them but that is what they ended up getting. it did not hurt trudeau although it did hurt tom mulcair.
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and choosing him the you said his speech was like obama and he also echoed hope over fear and he picked up that mantle. >> is a you start with andrew. [laughter] [laughter] >> this was trudeau's victory. but something that bruce said people construct politics along the story line to be tested a and
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pampered. >> in the event that has more then double but actually they got less votes and less share of the popular vote so this is what the four way split does. >> of course, this will change to representation. >> there was a book called the big shift that canada has undergone a shift that when it comes to compassion and tolerance we're still the country from before mr. harper.
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but there has been an important shift the he is the least partisan prime minister we have had the we have had years of mr. harper both were highly partisan i don't think trudeau thinks that way it will be interesting to see how well that works we have all been disappointed in the past going into a period of government and we will wait and see what happens this time around a great start and those numbers prevent a majority liberal government and the new 23rd prime minister of canada. terrific work in the field by our reporters.
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and thank you for watching. decision or day a decision you made about the future shape of this country. thanks for watching tonight. we have lots of stories tomorrow and we will follow-up now. >> this concludes the election night coverage. they rejected the liberal party led by trudeau doesn't want the majority government stephen harper conceited and is expected to step down from his position as leader of the conservative party we will continue our public affairs programming while cbc you moves on with other coverage
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talking to a the is to ruth hackers, led to very brilliant with the vulnerabilities the vague iphones to the last couple of years focused on cars to read attacking the net work inside the vehicle he put me in the jeep to launches attacks from the living room 10 miles so way they did it with david duke and the radio stars to blast kanye west i cannot turn it down or of the windshield wipers start going off. spraying fluid and obscuring my vision.
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bet with that computer on the dashboard a good demonstration of what they can do but then it that the transmission altogether but i was not expecting and i cannot accelerate on the highway. an 18 wheeler was a we are view mirror haunting i came close to panicky held it together but i was yelling into the speaker phone begging them to make it work again. finally did sylvia just had to restart even then i was paralyzed on the highway. i got to the off ramp to get
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the transmission and real engaged with they have proven their point it is a terrifying experience to have someone take control of this computer on wheels that we think is supposed to be at our command. host: how did they do that? >> therein is a lot of steps but the head unit it has an entertainment system it even had a bus service left unprotected so they could call into west from a sprint phone to attack it remotely
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over the internet and a second step of the attack but this time on the controller area network from steering to break san transmission in rental vipers. they spent months reverse engineering that protocol language so they could trigger those automated functions. they could set off that diagnostic test but they did that to meet that caused wheatear crashed into a
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ditch pretty much could do anything they were able to unlock the doors which to be used for theft also the transition into ashley transmission that they did to read that is the scariest >> how long have they been working on this? >> a started in george rowe they got a grant from the science-fiction weighing from the futuristic forward-looking baines the gaza and grants and an 2013 they had become too indiana were they demonstrated the first up to put me inside of the toyota ptsd and for this tape to show that they could
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use with their laptops plugged into the dashboard to do the same thing. that was an interesting preview. they said they ever not a real hackie disconnected to the car like a mechanic might do but they had reverse engineered all of these. but it was still scary to be behind the wheel but it took two more years to a dance that. is called magnitudes carrier. to even cause it to spread
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by rowley they could if spread to other chrysler vehicles attacking the system of two takeover of millions of cars or to disable or hijacked them to do their bidding. host: favor not even on the y five network? >> this is a cellular attacks not a wife by tax over the three key connection that was said to over feet it was miles they give dennis across the country and they did at some points to are the was in st. louis and chris could turn on the wish of wipers of his jeep from pittsburgh to a st. louis the only limitation is the us sprint
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network and extended year per china the to do it from there. host: why is it the sprint network showing this vulnerability? >> it is in this computer as a result of their research chrysler had a full recalled to fix the dollar ability. is a christ other problem that you have that 2014 chrysler vehicle you probably got one to update the software to be protected from the serious and
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potential attack. host: did chris interleaves any special equipment or just off iraq? >> the hardware was simple disfigures all they really used a windows machine or the apple back book that is available to anyone. i should be clear it isn't like anybody to do this they are brilliant charlie's ayers working for the nsa isn't like teenagers in the basement could replicate but it is worth noting it wasn't something they're doing full-time. chris works as a security consultant with charlie
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worked for twitter at the time it was a side project like a hobby but in three years they could develop a full remote exploit to takeover the jeep if i was driving. host: is that limited to the chrysler vehicles in its you connect? >> but i don't think it is a story about a deeper chrysler but the whole automotive industry they all have a lot of catching a to do. in 2010 a group of academic researchers from the university of california state diego performed their own remote takeover they didn't say which they were attacking the years later they said it was a chevy impala sold by general motors and they told them
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about this the whole collection of bugs to disable breeks at any speed or enable the front left wheel to make the car sped out of control this is a dangerous attack and it took gm almost five years to fully thicks that vulnerability. in fact, kreisler was relatively responsive compared to gm to half a decade left their vehicles exposed there is no reason to think just chrysler is vulnerable as more and more people start to connect to the internet there will be more of these and every
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feature is a potential book that could be used to take over the vehicle on the highway so it is the new era that the whole industry needs to become aware of. host: could they see you in realtime of the eroded where you were going? could they have steered to properly? to make a cannot control steering the only distorted to develop that so the transmission was the scariest thing to do read high-speed and had rented a program to show my location and that is scary in a different way because no telling with intelligence agencies to develop these to
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use them in that manner for surveillance rather than of sabotage. sometimes industry says the research evidence there was an attack on the wild that is mostly true but we don't know about the government hackers and jews for silent tracking. >> how connected are the cars today? >> it depends pretty much every automaker has the interconnected system in a partnership with some telecom carrier. gm was the first but there are so many others like ford and chrysler u-connect it just depends on which vehicle you have, which your
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, your or every make of car has potential and that will only become more and more standard. there will be a time in the near future when every vehicle has the internet connection and hopefully by then it will be properly isolated from the other components of the vehicle there is no reason the brakes should have a connection to the entertainment system. host: when your article came out what was the response? >> the pair of congressman release legislation to regulate the security if
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they cannot hours later and it seemed when it was an attempt to stay ahead of public awareness. it calls for a ratings system how connected is it or how isolated the systems have the systems are automated that could be hijacked. that bill is floating around in congress but within days chrysler announced this recall that just means they had to send out 1.4 million drivers for all their customers to publicize the fact they needed to plug in the u.s. be in within 24 hours the n.h. tsa put
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pressure and that is the most important reaction from its said that the automaker said there is accountability you will face of regulatory recall so the on star vehicles for five years that does not apply any more. this is a big wake-up call you will face consequences and scandal with regulatory pressure. host: what has been the response from the car makers ? >> they don't talk to me very much. what i hear is they are taking them very seriously
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secretly they have been for a few years but they're incredibly shy about talking about the problems that haven't even reached the stage they think they can get more positive period -- press talk about the fact that they can be packed in general they seem to believe to shed up and hope the problem goes away in which a real lot. not to say they're not doing important things behind the scenes i hear pretty much every automaker is developing the ability to send software over the air so the next time there is a vulnerability demonstrated they don't have to send out the u.s. peace drive that is not the correct way by the
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way if you send it through the mail then you teach them to fall for a trip where hackers can send that out so that is frowned upon as a method of catching the better way is over the air updates' bmw, tesla already does it using the same service to push out the automatic software updates so you just click okay and it automatically updates itself over the year. host: are these bugs in the system because of money?
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was of a cost? >> all software has bugs it alcan be hacked. i would never accuse an engineer to be lazy or a company to be cheap just because of this because apple and google and microsoft with the best tech companies in the world have an endless supply of bugs and their software but where resources need to be spent is testing for those bugs to higher penetration testers having a team that respond quickly to patch the software in a responsive way now waiting for regulators to tell you or to wait years for it to come to light.
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google has its own to the security researchers. and they give the companies three months maximum to fix the problem before they go public. so the five years that gm spent is not acceptable. the automaker's need to step up to the standard that is within weeks or days. host: you read - - referenced senator murky earlier calling for federal standards with regard to security? >> at least of federal grading system within increase of the transparency to make their own choices based on that. but to legislate cybersecurity is always
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difficult i applaud the fact it does seem of might be possible for washington to pressure the companies to get serious however the closer you get to tell them what to do the more likely it will be wrong because this is a dynamic game you cannot just say everybody needs a safety belt. it is designed to deal with that static problem that the cars crash into each other. that problem does not adapt where the cybersecurity problem if you fix a bug and
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the hacker response with the way to circumvent the patch that is a real adversary and a dynamic problem so to treat that can be legislated the same retreating cybersecurity vehicles that cannot be easily legislated would be a mistake. it needs to be thought about as a continuing cat and mouse game the other companies have been playing for years the automotive industry needs to realize it is already playing to build the so professional team of actors to do with it. host: i read in one of your articles that gm hire the first cybersecurity team. >> that's right. they have their own chief
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product officer it seems has been much more responsive and they really have shaped up a hacker over the summer found there were securing the connection between the smart phone in the vehicle it is designed the you can turn on the engine or a mock the vehicle at the hacker showed it could be hijacked with a device to plant on the vehicle to hijack the credentials so they could track a car in the market -- and of lockett and steal a car. gm learned about this and patched that boulder ability
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-- vulnerability within 48 hours is much easier to fix with the smart phone but it still shows they're taking it seriously and it is encouraging sign don't want to entirely chastise them is seems they are improving but it is just off fast or fit is as fast with the potential foldable features. >> potentially how many cars are on the road today and should people own a newer model car should they be afraid? the neck i don't know the total number of internet connected cars there in the hundreds of millions but i do not want to say people should avoid the internet
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connected vehicle. i get a lot of some comments that is a good thing i drive the old car it is a dangerous attitude. it is still a future threat or death that could result from in the wild hacker but the safety features built including the internet connected safety features true locate a crash is a present day problem i would never tell anyone to buy a less safe vehicle because it is not computerized.
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if there is any doubt that modern vehicles are great but we shouldn't have to give up connectivity to achieve safety. with computers and by phone from is the internet connected device always on and basically faced virtually no attacks 48 years of existence and that should be possible with a part. and what to tell people don't give up the features of the modern car. host: are there any additional issues when it comes to driverless cars?
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>> i asked about this what happens point from internet connected to the eponymous vehicle? they say everything gets worse. it goes into a turbo mode instead of just a few features now everything is automated when you control the computer or those features that you control everything and steer it entirely instead of self parking and now has a self striping you control the steering wheel just as much as the driver in the rubble car. -- a normal car. it is vastly more important and that is something the
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automaker's or the tech companies are aware of but the lead jeep backers were hired by tuber that is rumored to be building its own autonomous vehicle so hopefully means they're thinking about this problem what happens with the selfie driver card becomes a hacker car. >> you mentioned the car companies are not talking to you are there reticent to discuss the issue? >> i don't think it was something with the average american was aware of that the vehicle could be hacked
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a car was the 2 tons were from on wheels. one dash smart phone on wheels they believed by avoiding the subject they can prevent people from thinking about the cars in that way but is only a matter of time to be part of the mainstream awareness in those good things the company's are doing to secure vehicles. i have heard from the research to find out that this is possible it is something they're internally aware of than they have been working on. they are not sticking their heads in the sand but it just seems like it because
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they are afraid to talk about it in public. host: technology reporter from "wired" magazine starting quite the conversation. thanks for being on "the communicators".
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on behalf of our president and my colleagues it is my privilege to welcome you here today to this very intriguing event. as many of you know, a the trust is part of public
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policy institution dedicated to serving the public and read to a lot of work with state government and speaking today on the topic of immigration. it was created to explore the intersection of federal-state local policies and practices things to our panelists to a share their experiences on how this intersection actually affect their communities and with that i will turn over this program to focus on driver's licenses to our host, adam hunter. >> good afternoon.
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even when we don't see broad immigration reform enacted in the near term states are active to pass immigration related laws. according to the national conference of state legislatures when hundreds of new laws were passed in 2014 from law enforcement and health and education. it explores the dynamic of immigration federalism the approach of anon advocacy research project does not take a position but to explore across levels of government to assess the impact of these choices today we focus on the issue and is the subject of the most recent report extending driving privileges. under the federal real id
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