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tv   Cavuto Coast to Coast  FOX Business  November 5, 2015 12:00pm-2:01pm EST

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joe says -- thanks to everyone to watch and thanks for those who wrote in. the market trying to get back to the level mark this hour. i'm out of time, i've used up mr. varnees time, i think well. i hope. >> yes, you did. ashley: despite the strange accent. neil cavuto, take it away. neil: now you're taking my time. ashley: 15 seconds. neil: i appreciate it. good job. we've got the latest going on in new hampshire. they're all going to rush to file this deadline over the next few days to get on the ballot of new hampshire. this is the scene in concord, new hampshire where carly fiorina is waiting to file the necessary paperwork. separate dustup whether bernie sanders will be able to file in new hampshire. number of state officials say last time we checked, the guy is a socialist and votes as an independent, so he's not really a democrat, how can we have on
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the democratic primary. he's trailing hillary clinton, but that may be a different soap opera that bernie sanders may not get on the new hampshire ballot. most people think cooler heads will prevail and he will be on the issue. is he a democrat, independent, socialist and how do you get him on the ballot if he doesn't go by being a democrat? we'll see. it's still early. want to keep you up to date on the latest with facebook, it is up another 5%. at intra-day all-time high, on unexpected surge in revenues and earnings. better than thought. here's what's rattling some investors because it might be making a bigger economic statement what's going on to costco. same-store sales were down, the reason why that raises eyebrows is if penny pinching consumers are not going there or are not interested in shopping there, they must be hurting and might not be inclined to do much shopping this holiday season, right? that is the fear, that is the
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fear. and it is weighing on some in the markets. of course, if you're online and on facebook, you don't really care. all right, in the meantime, back to the race about four days ahead of the big fox business debate on the republican side. you've been seeing a bunching of characters and leaders mostly having to do with outside the box type of candidates, and adding for the take of argument, the likes of ted cruz and marco rubio who when pooled with the likes of ben carson and donald trump account for three out of four republican voters' sentiment. the reason i included the two senators is they're kind of outside the conventional view of an establishment candidate. if you argue that most republicans seem to be veering in that direction, toward candidates who are not your traditional establishment types, doesn't a jeb bush know it, a chris christie know it, a
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john kasich know it. bush 41 campaign adviser mark serrano, what do you think of that? >> the timing is extraordinary. 88 days from iowa. the fox poll shows the coalesing around the top candidates, and you know cruz and rubio are definitely a part of that grouping. coalition supporting around these guys is forming around them so what i think happens now, it will happen at the debate by the way is where are the guys going to go next? like with real estate, location is everything, trump, carson and cruz are going to continue to try to go after the outsider mantle. rubio is a more mixed bag. you know, particularly with his support for amnesty a few years ago, a stain on his record as a conservative. where does rubio go from here? rubio is the vulture circling around the other candidates who represent 29-30% of the polling who end up dropping out over the next 88 days.
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neil: but don't the others, the contrarian types, don't they all have to tumble for him to have a chance? >> no, i think he goes after bush supporters, after christie supporters. neil: i'm talking about the guys who are above him. carsons and the trumps, not quite the same with cruz. don't they all have to fail to clear, no matter what he does against the establishment guys to clear a path for him. none of them seem to be giving up ground, particularly carson and trump. >> one would have to drop out between now and iowa and new hampshire. south carolina. i really think that rubio is going to position himself for establishment voters. it's the best place for him to go, whereas carson, trump and cruz, i think they have to go after rubio supporters right now, and we'll see that happen in the debates. they'll particularly criticize him on immigration, and you've seen trump already doing that viscerally over the last several days. neil: mark, thank you very much. i didn't know you were a notre
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dame guy. explains your brains. >> thanks. >> people say you need the traditional candidate to make it to the white house. that's what they say worked against dwight eisenhower in 1952, he was a general and we had ulysees grant, few and far between, he and andrew jackson could pull that off. the argument was that dwight eisenhower would not be able to pull it off. now they're saying the same about let's say a trump or ben carson, that they're outside that proverbial petri dish. my next guest says the eisenhower example could ring true again and comparisboth of the gentlemen to general eisenhower in that way? >> it's clear that that's what republican voters are after. donors are looking for the safe candidate. the jeb bush, the moderate with the track record, but voters are looking for somebody who can shake things up.
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neil: they are in the beginning, diana, right? it's a spring and summer fling and then the closer you get to the event, you settle, and i don't mean this disparagingly of establishment types, you settle on guys you know. >> exactly. a little like flirting. you flirt with a lot of people, when it comes to marrying somebody, when it comes to getting into the voting booth, maybe you pick somebody safer. neil: that was my dating strategy in high school. i tell girls i'm built for comfort, reliable, it never worked. but i understand in politics it does, right? >> right now as we heard now, it's the outsiders who are ahead, and it's people who are running against washington who are ahead. neil: so you think that will last a while. i want to pound this theme, you are very smart and good at the history of this, i remind people, everyone says this can't last. it's lasted a while already, beaten the length of staying on top of the polls for donald
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trump, very quickly for ben carson. so it could last, right? >> exactly, a good field operation in iowa and new hampshire. he's taken advantage of this. so he really is somebody to be reckoned with, but it's the voter dislike of washington of traditional politics. it's the 13% approval record that congress has. so these are all things that work in favor of outsideers and bernie sanders, he's not running on his record of decades in the senate. he's running as an outsider. >> i had herman cain on with me yesterday, and he was telling me the difference between the brief fling that voters had with him four years ago, and now is that they're sick and tired of being sick and tired. i love that play on that theme, they're angrier and more annoyed than ever. >> they really are, yes. of the four outsider candidates, rubio has the
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lowest number of unfavorables, the lowest number of people who dislike him if you look at the recent polls. neil: he's a sitting senator. albeit disenchanted one, son of cuban immigrants, that is interesting, because he's not exactly anti-establishment. he sits in the united states senate, for god's sake. >> he's a first term senator, running against washington. he has very low unfavorables. he's likely to go far indeed. neil: all right, diana, very good reads on this. meanwhile, other polls showing that she's outside candidates aren't exactly flaky when it comes to the general electorate. donald trump would beat hillary clinton if the race were held right now, and some of the other guys would as well. but it's particularly trump that it's amazing to watch here because despite this grenade throwing sort of reputation he has, a lot of voters seem to be open to giving him a shot.
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democratic strategist christy setzer on that. what do you make of that? >> i think there's a disconnect between the party's base who obviously loves an outsider like donald trump, like ben carson, and to some extent like carly fiorina, and the party's establishment and leader who say no, no, no, we need somebody safer like the jeb bush or like the marco rubio, why? why e they saying that? because they're looking not just at the republican base but looking also at indes and democrats who don't want an outsider, they want somebody with washington experience. neil: you always remind me polls are fleeting, snapshots and typically are one snap. when the general electorate is polled on this. >> yes. neil: donald trump gets the nod. that is the far cry from when he first entered the race. either it is general anger on both par aepennts or a fleeting thing, what do you think? .
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>> i think it's a fleeting thing. there are polls that show hillary clinton with a much stronger lead against trump, even an 8 or 10-point lead. neil: we're seeing he's not just the party phenomena, he could be a general election phenomena? >> seeing a couple things. one there is the segment particularly in the republican base that likes the idea he's an outsider. the other thing they're seeing is they're perceiving insults as, quote, strength. now i think that if you had to pin him down on policy issues to the extent he has been pinned down, he hasn't done very well, created a lot of backlash and other times he'll tell you, we don't need to get into policy positions but he's going to be great on it. that sets it for a different dynamic in the general election when he is going to be pinned down if he does become the nominee. to some extent it's the fact he hasn't been vetted as many
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times as we've seen him in debates. neil: we'll see what happens, we have another big debate, i'm told, in a few days. thank you very much, good seeing you again. >> good seeing you. neil: i don't know if you are following what's going on on wall and broad. facebook is off to the races, costco is not. we have a dow that's mildly positive and i mean mildly positive, barely up about a percentage point. nasdaq up about 8%, but the vanguard group founder jack bogle believes in you can't beat the market, you can't beat the averages, invest in the averages in the s&p 500 or the dow. he says you know, you kind of run out of wiggle room here and oxygen. we'll still have gains but won't be anything like the gains we've been experiences. forget 7%, lucky if it's half that over the next decade. jim lecamp on what he makes of that.
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jim, that's the moses of finance saying hey, i don't have miracles for you, and don't expect any, what do you think? . >> i see where he's coming from. stocks are five times book values, 17 times earnings, you wonder how much upside there is with as little growth as we have going not only in the u.s. economy but around the world. it's really disingenuous to say you shouldn't have all your money in the stock market, there are a lot of people that should have all their money in the stock market. you've seen the polls about people and belief that they're not going to have social security moving forward, interest rates are ultralow, i think it's disingenuous. neil: i agree with you on that, jim. we've had heady gains, the dow, s&p more than doubling over the last few years, albeit from ridiculous lows, stocked punched the hell out of themselves. now saying expect that to repeat for the next year, up to 10 years, which might be
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questionable, is unrealistic. you say what? >> i think it is unrealistic. doesn't matter who you talk to whether it's goldman sachs or ubs or the major brokerage firms they've lowered expectations moving forward over the next ten years, there's several reasons for it. one of the reasons is we have global debt that's exploded since the financial crisis. and historically when you have a global debt explosion or if it's a single country explosion, growth slows down, when you looked at stock market, 17 times earnings, where is the growth going to come from? i want to point out something, you mentioned two names at the beginning of this segment. one of them is doing really well, one not so much. and this stock market, while it has been an all-index stock market over the last five years might be moving into a bifurcated market where can you make really good money out of the best companies -- >> that back bogle's view --
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that gets back to bogle's view very few are successful at picking stocks, rely on the aggregates or investments in the index, and by that definition, it's long in the tooth. what do you think? . >> i think he's right by that definition, that is his view, not necessarily my view. these things go in and out of style where you have the indexes outperforming everything else for a long period of time and active management that outperforms for a long period of time. i do agree in general the averages are going to see more muted returns over ten years unless we get some real kickstart from fiscal policy, and i don't see that happening. neil: not in the present environment. good seeing you, jim la camp. just to remind you, what bogle is saying if you park money in an average that represents s&p 500 or the dow, you're not going to go crazy rich here, but again, there are those that
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look at a particular sector of the market. say you were to invest in online securities and stocks. facebook would be a good example. you would be doing okay, by that definition. traditional stocks, retailers feeling the pinch of late. one man's opinion, powerful man as this issue of a bifurcated market comes up. which is a very big word for saying two different markets. one good, one bad. free, basic cable, that's what i do. one of the people i'll be talking with next week maria bartiromo and sandra smith and trish regan at the fox business debate. carly fiorina, the only woman in the race, poll numbers are down but she is galvanizing figure. filing paperwork to file in the state of new hampshire. she's in the middle of the pack in that statement as some told me including scott brown, the former senator of massachusetts, that's a state
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you could save up to $509 call today at see car insurance in a whole new light. liberty mutual insurance. . >> new developments in the crash of the russian plane last saturday in the sinai peninsula. authorities are moving closer to a conclusion that this plane may have been brought down by a terrorist bomb but have not been able to draw that conclusion conclusively. indications coming from intelligence sources and u.s. intelligence sources saying that they have preliminary evidence suggesting a bomb brought down the russian plane. the evidence includes intercepted communications play a role in drawing this conclusion, but the reason they're not going all in on
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this, making it a formal judgment is there is forensic evidence at the crash site looked at and analyzed, so while they do, that they're not drawing a 100% conclusion just yet. it's tentative. the prime minister of the united kingdom david cameron confirmed he did call vladimir putin to talk about this. he's also meeting with the egyptian president, the egyptian president's first official visit to the uk. they are saying something similar, they do not know for certain it was a terrorist bomb as the know have continues in egypt but the reason that they're moving in the direction mayor moving is because the intelligence and the information is concerning them pointing to the fact it may have been a terrorist, may have been a bomb. we're further along than we were yesterday in the investigation but not 100% confirmation of what happened to the plane.
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neil: scary stuff. thank you, connell. former presidential envoy to iraq, to president bush paul bremer. ambassador, this is sounds like lockerbie 2.0, if indeed they were able to sneak onto the plane a bomb despite, i would imagine, tight security, it's a whole new playing field, isn't it? >> there are a lot of similarities with lockerbie. lockerbie was a pan am plane that went down in very high winds in december 1988, and we were uncertain whether the plane had come apart. it took six days after the crash for the forensics on the ground done by the scottish police to confirm it was a bomb. a bomb as it did in 103 tell tale signs in the explosion makes little pits in the interior of some part of the
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plane, and the forensic experts can tell you not only that it was a bomb, they can tell you what kind of explosive it was. should i add that in the case of pan am 103, though we knew six days later it was a terrorist attack it took three years until we could have arrest warrants issued for the libyans who conducted the attack. this may take sometime. neil: and we didn't have the backdrop as we do now with so many terrorist incidents back then. it was long before the first world trade center bombing, along before the "u.s.s. cole," along before 9/11. we prejudge these things to be terrorist attacks. having said that, if this is another lockerbie-type incident, ambassador, and no one on the plane involved, but a bomb that made its way to the plane, obviously, something, something secreted through or didn't pick up detection, way too early to tell. what do you make of that part of it?
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>> that's correct. you already jumped to one conclusion that the person who put the bomb on the plane wasn't on the plane. neil: that's true, di. >> we've seen in 20 years a huge increase in suicide bombers. >> that wasn't the case in lockerbie, right? >> it was not the case in lockerbie. there was a subsequent case of a syrian who actually loaded the bomb into his fiancee's suitcase on an el al plane out of london. they caught him because the intelligence was good. my point is i think we need to pay attention to what the british and american intelligence sources are saying because they probably are on the track and may have information they don't want to disclose yet, but the forensics will yield a very clear sense when they get at it. neil: all right, ambassador bremer, thank you very much. i want to get you back to talk about the latest stuff on bush senior on him. i'd love to pick your brain on
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that. good seeing. >> you nice to see you, neil. neil: all right, is the federal reserve doing god's work? and if the fed is doing god's work? does that mean the fed shouldn't think about raising interest rates or should? only god knows and the congressman who has a thought or two. opportunities aren't always obvious. sometimes they just drop in. cme group can help you navigate risks and capture opportunities.
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call now to request your free decision guide. this easy-to-understand guide will answer some of your questions and help you find the aarp medicare supplement plan that's right for you. >> god's plan is that things rise in the spring. if you want to be good with the almighty, you may want to delay until may. neil: congressman brad sherman on that. janet yellen goes ahead and raises interest rates, she has problems not only with you, but, apparently, with god. [laughter] >> i have been supporting the idea until the second quarter of
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2016. i had made a similar comment to janet in july. if they have not increased rate so far -- neil: they will. if they do, what is your fear? >> my fear is that you only have one shot. you slow down the economy too much. then what you do to try to take your foot off the brake and push the gas. do not have any gas left in this thing. all you can do is zigzag back. we have a week employment situation. this economy can grow and needs to grow faster without a real risk of inflation. neil: many agreed with what you just said here it what is the big deal.
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>> the big deal is psychological as much as it is the actual effect. they are in the business to make these quarter-point decisions. they are obviously very important to investors. a quarter-point matters. neil: you are right. up and down one and done. it does say something about the nature of the recovery. debate including our own next week. we would be in a heap of trouble. >> i think that it is a weak recovery. what i do not understand is my republican colleagues who say that the economy is performing
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slowly, but they want to raise rates. that seems to be more ideological than practical. neil: they think that cutting taxes will go a long way. >> our committee does not do what taxes. we deal with rates. we were there with janet yellen. i can tell you it is unlikely that the president and congress will agree. neil: you are right on that. we had raised to zero. the only other arsenal or weapon you think you could use it maybe putting more money in americans pockets via tax money. >> or spending increases, for that matter. we are still running a huge deficit. nobody is running a greater deficit.
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neil: a two-year budget deal. what do you think? >> first of all, keeping it low does not cost the federal government anything and does not increase the long-term debt of the united states, whereas, as you point out, spending more money or cutting taxes increases the debt of the united states. neil: you are right to argue. thank you, congressman. >> i want to make the record clear. i do not think that god has an opinion on monetary policy. but if she did, she would agree that we should delay. neil: touché. very good having you.
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lately, what is getting attention, at least two of them have gotten very, very personal. their comments very vital. ♪ at ally bank no branches equals great rates. it's a fact. kind of like mute buttons equal danger. ...that sound good? not being on this phone call sounds good. it's not muted. was that you jason? it was geoffrey! it was jason. it could've been brenda. if you're an adult with type 2 diabetes and your a1c is not at goal with certain diabetes pills or daily insulin, your doctor may be talking about adding medication to help lower your a1c. ask your doctor if adding once-a-week tanzeum is right for you. once-a-week tanzeum is an injectable prescription medicine that may improve blood sugar in adults with type 2 diabetes, along with diet and exercise. once-a-week tanzeum works by helping your body release its own natural insulin when it's needed.
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neil: all right. we talk talked about the
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candidates and how they differ on their issues. going by rope. all about major candidates exposing their inner selves. their inner demons. some of their inner problems. take a look. >> i had some personal experience in this. the most heartbreaking thing in the world to have to go through. >> a drug addict and he could not get help if he is dead. >> my husband and i buried a child due to addiction. neil: the damage that it does. on personal intervention at the time. carly fiorina talking about her daughter. the christies are going by rope. i am sorry. charlie gasparino and elizabeth
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macdonald. charlie: not sort of scripted. talking about your issues. your private issues. drug addiction has touched everyone. it is an issue. my one critique of this is when it becomes scripted. here is where they are missing the voter. the american voter right now, particularly the republican voter, is worried about the future. worried about jobs. worried about the economy. believe that the economy has been ran by the committed aggressive, which he is, president obama. they want somebody who is tough. that, i think, underscores the appeal to donald trump. i will come near and i will fix it. you do not see much in voting
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from donald. liz: i think people want a leader. they want to vote someone that has legislative authority. people do want to be able to identify with the humanity of the struggles here. really, it comes down -- this is not about character or trustworthiness. this is about, from the candidates part, to reach out and get the voters to identify with them. people right now want a leader. they want someone who leads this country and be strong. i get it. there is a humanity there. we have to go one step beyond that. neil: here is what i think. again say a lot of republican candidates. getting all angry. doing it on the front porch. they do not seem to be for much.
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maybe, i do not think that this is a cynical play for that. the christy thing came up at a town hall meeting in response to a question. it may be a gambit on their part to say that we are a little bit more than that. charlie: i will say this. look at those three candidates that are struggling, carly fiorina had a great debate, but she lost some momentum. though part of this is marketing. trying to separate yourself from the pack. i will say this. again, people appreciated ronald reagan for coming in, having simple ideas, solving some problems, you could trust him, you could back them up. listen, everybody has problems. we trusted him to take care of us.
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you really want someone to take care of you. neil: we all want to relate to a president that we can have a beer with. liz: it is true. we are all human. we do not live up to our own standards. i think it is an issue. you have john k-6 saying i would help my daughter or son if he is gay. they are so out of the mainstream. that even stance towards gay people. not to come out with these sides -- charlie: i am telling you, the republican electorate wants a leader. wants a tough guy. want somebody that wants to stand up for the american way.
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liz: i will have to wait on that. liz: are you blocking? >> all of those candidates are at the kiddie table. neil: when we come back, facebook is on fire. cosco, not too much. not too long ago, cosco was on fire, facebook not so much. what's going on? ♪ the future belongs to the fast. and to help you accelerate, we've created a new company... one totally focused on what's next for your business. the true partnership where people,technology and ideas push everyone forward. accelerating innovation.
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neil: back here with the business alert on cavuto coast to coast. take a look at some of the movers. you see facebook has been showing the stock. watching it very closely. a strong earnings report. very strong last night. a lifetime high for facebook. up 34% so far this year. the hundred billion dollars.
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passes ge and amazon. that is how big facebook is. the daily average number of users now topping 1 billion for the first time. facebook is huge. we know that. the other stock that we are watching is cosco. cosco, sales numbers came out and they were not great year and all of them are down 1%. a bigger drop than expected he had the stock is dropping today. cosco is expose more than companies like. more exposed to gasoline fluctuations. in the market that we are in right now, cosco is a company that is affected by that. here is a quick look at sony and disney. a new agreement between the two. internet streaming agreement for the playstation.
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both stocks are down today. something you may hear about later in the day. neil, back to you. neil: you heard about this debate next week and wisconsin. the guy that turns it around the most because he is under the most criticism and arrest is jeb bush. what he has to do to turn things around and why he is in this desperate strike. how would you describe it right now? >> i think that it definitely is not good right now. he raise a lot of money up front. i think that that has come to hurt him. it is about 15-one. antiestablishment has gripped the republican party. this will not resonate well with the partiers. neil: i was talking about this a little earlier. i know the history as such as it does save.
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it has been lasting quite a while. you include all of the top candidates. that represents more than half of the vote gravitating towards those that are not your typical politician. >> i think that it is different in a lot of ways. i think it is an obstacle that jeb bush could have overcome would he have shown a little more charisma, a little more fight you'd we are seeing a campaign that sometimes strikes bitter tones. he just seems dejected. a party out of pity right now. that is not a good aim. neil: now you are caving to your millennial's. something has gone awry. i do not know what it is. a very successful record. it almost seems like it is lost on voters who want something more.
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when it comes to your generation , what is it? young people are told gravitating towards carson, which struck me as odd. it does not seem to be, yet, applying to jeb bush. >> i think that the bush name is hurting him in many ways with my generation. we do not really like the idea of political dynasties. also, just the fact -- neil: a lot of people like hillary clinton. >> i think that they are settling for her. i think that they would much prefer a fresh new candidate. you look at this and i think trump has been able to bash jeb bush down. rubio did it. he has not been able to pop back up. he has been quiet and taking it.
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we're not seeing the drive-in fight that we need in a leader. neil: governor bush. apparently, hit it out of the park. very passionate. very in your face. i did not know how he will fare in milwaukee next week at the next debate, but do you think he has to do more than that? >> i think that he needs to show more personality. more charisma. a little bit more grit. that is what we respond to. neil: thank you. we have this global call to clean up the environment. the latest with this new government. yes. sign us up. now, also interested in addressing climate change. the little detail on all of this is that rich countries are picking up the bill for poor countries doing about it the
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call now, request your free decision guide and start gathering the information you need to help you keep rolling with confidence. go long™. ♪ neil: all right. i want to pass this along. we can confirm now that then carson is going to be getting a secret service detail. heat his campaign and donald trump's campaign have been requesting it. i think trumps already has begun. whether he is paying for that or taxpayers, i do not know. we do know that then carson is going to get security detail. i guess they base this on the number of threads real ore and . not taking any chances. pretty early in the process.
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senator barack obama. one of the earliest candidates to get secret service protection back in 2007. we have the climate change back and forth. looking at any nation on earth that opposes what they argue was a man-made problem, good luck finding one. the liberal government saying sign us up we want to help deal with this and pay for this. even the conservative australian government. a predecessor notwithstanding. we have to do something. the poor nations that are demanding richer nations pay for this are getting their way. they really are. >> they are going to win out. using an age-old tactic called guilt. look, you guys have benefited from using carbon fuels for 150 years. now you are rich because of it.
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they are saying now you want to prevent us from doing it. that is ridiculous. i happen to agree with them on that. neil: it goes into a big old bucket. i do not think that will be cleaning up the environment. still some bureaucrats pocket you'd. >> it will go into some swiss bank accounts. neil: sitting on a $20 billion fortune. where did that come from? >> you find out. it -- even if it is spent, it will keep these countries poor. it will not help them come out of poverty. what they need right now is freedom. capitalism. that is how you become rich. >> needing money to help them with this. cleaner alternatives to what you are doing.
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cleaning out the brazilian rain forest. we are still clearing it out. >> these economies will stagnate. it will go into the pockets of bureaucrats. a few solar panel projects here and there. we will get some windmills in a few places. can you imagine the environmentalists, what they would do? they would flip out. there is no wind with these guys. neil: thank you very much, my friend. we are getting more details coming in. what may have been behind this russian aircraft. a bomb may have been snuck onboard. we do not know by anyone that was on that plane. no one on that plane. way back in 1988. let it blow up.
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neil: there are so many polls, i think that fox does some of them when we look at the various candidates. who would you rather have a beer with. who would you rather have pizza with. who would you rather have pizza and beer with. you get my point. sometimes getting into personal qualities. one that is very popular these days is who do you trust the most. coming out on top. ben carson. does that translate into votes? i have no idea. what it could be meaning i had of the big debate next week. hey, blake.
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>> this is certainly a metric that a lot of us look at. whether or not the voters think these candidates are trustworthy. ben carson comes out on top time and time again. the spread here is also huge. it is something worth noting. carson, well, this is the bottom four. let's go to the top floor. carson comes out. 60% of the voters find him honest and trustworthy. that spread is 34 points. a 34-point difference. you can see compared to the three others. he triples at the next period to the next now. the bottom four. you can see carson is a little bit different. their spread is minus four, minus 16, minus 18, minus 26. that could be part of the reason
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we see carson. honest and trustworthy with carson. how it breaks down against party lines. 82% of republicans find him honest and trustworthy. skip down to the bottom. 59% of independents find him honest and trustworthy. look there in the middle. democrats. even more so than not find him honest and trustworthy. ten or so candidates. carson was the only one when asked the other side of the aisle voters that said yes, honest and trustworthy. neil: hillary clinton, that would worry me. looking for female votes, that would worry me. trustworthy. how likable that guy is. sometimes they are interwoven
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here and sabrina schaeffer on that. what she makes of this then carson phenomenon. >> i think that the poll is fascinating, neil. the thing that comes across with ben carson is that the is authentic. i think that is what all these women are continuing to find good most voters, men or women, do not vote on somebody because of their policy or tax plan. there is something that they can relate to. ben carson has that. he is soft-spoken. seems like a real person. outside of the washington establishment. that is very attractive. neil: candidates get on this whole war on women motive. they look at the global security issues. imagine this issue is important to them, but, to you as a woman, does it speak of dismissing all
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the other qualities you look for or what? >> there are two things here. absolutely not. it is the way that you communicate. if you talk in dollar and cents, and i think this is a big problem for jeb bush, and a lot of voters will tonight out. we have done a lot of research. a lot of women really respond to that of emotional message. whether you're talking about workplace regulations, keeping the lights on on energy policy, take-home pay and tax plan, all of that is about how do you communicate more effectively, more efficiently with women did i think then carson may be aiming at the target a little better. neil: how democrats find carson to be very trustworthy. eric, what do you think?
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>> i think that it is a year out from the actual election. i think that it also shows we got used to the idea that republicans were not looking for a career politician. maybe they may be interested in career politicians. very appealing to a lot of women. the primary deciders of health care for their families and loved ones. the more we learn about then carson, people do not know enough about his positions. neil: people feel that that is not the case of hillary clinton. that is not a great position to be starting from. >> no. doctors are the most trusted professions. he is walking in with a lot of
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trust. to my colleagues point, that bedside manner, compassion, it has been rather successful for ben carson. neil: his likability is tied at the hip with trustworthiness. his appetite of candidate that republicans should be looking at? i was doing some debates ahead of no walkie. most people polled thought al gore did better than george bush and the three debates that they had. found bush to be far more likable. i am wondering whether we understated the importance of that. what you think of that and where the rough publications -- republicans should make that more of a front burner issue. >> his likability just going on tv shows?
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someone they can relate to. someone that they feel they can sit down and talk to. that is likability for a lot of voters. you can come down and talk to them at their level. not because voters are stupid, but because they are not even worse than this all day long. they need to feel like they have a connection to their leader. >> far, far underrated, actually. before we hear a word anybody says, we want to know is this person on my site did then the more rational side of the brain starts to dive in and start processing information. why do people want to get their news from you, neil, because you are likable. that is part of it. the two key components of that. >> understated and under
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appreciated here it it does make a difference. most of the people that we have a leg did. we will see. thank you. very, very much. white house saying it is not ruling out a possibility of terror in this downing of a russian jet over the weekend over the sinai permits a lot -- sinai peninsula. way to soon to say. it is even more scary. security is extremely tight. someone got through and did something extremely scary. what to make of that? >> i am sorry, i was supposed to be on fox business. neil: you are. you are.
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i am talking about this latest development, peter. a bonding on the plane, possibly. it was not gone there. what do you think? >> i am sorry. i had some crosstalk owing on. obviously, we have to learn something from this. a lot of investigating that needs to be done. i hate to use a word wake up call because we use it too often, but hopefully from this terrible tragedy, we will learn something. it will affect aviation security. i would not whirl out the fact that it could also be al qaeda. it has been targeting commercial lead the nation for a long time. the most capable bomb maker. he is in yemen. they also set up a bomb making group in syria. isis certainly has motivation. al qaeda certainly has
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motivation. >> others have told me given the security history of russian passenger jets it is not a surprise. we will talk with someone about whether that is a threat in countries like ours. time to wave the secret something. something they cannot pick up. that is a whole new area. >> the most dangerous weapon is a human being. they can certainly circumvent something around all of these machines imported on the aircraft. there is a lot of technology out there that these bomb makers are working on. the underwear bomb came very close to bringing down that plane over detroit. there are other things that may not have been done. corruption on a conspiracy and other things. they came in being is the most capable weapon system ever invented.
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neil: sorry for the confusion. you handled it like a pro. this idea that, well, for one thing, sneaking onto a plane and go undetected. it never ceases. congressman john mica, he has been warning about this for some time. why this obsession with airplanes? if they pulled this off, undetected, in a region in the world where you think they would detect it, i know the security lapses there, what about here in the vulnerabilities here? >> as you know, i have expressed concern in the past about tsa failures. unfortunately, just a hearing that we had this week and the most recent reports by the general accounting office and
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also by the inspector general, these are some of the most shocking reports we have had to date about multiple failures. not about what i am saying, but what they have found to be the case. almost every level of our aviation security. if they can get away with this, and we do not know what yet happened over egypt, you know that the u.s. is still a target. we have so many areas of weakness. a call for dramatic reform. neil: i thought long before 9/11 that they were making sure that bags or packages matched those that were on that plane. it turns out that someone secret it on a bomb or explosive device it was not on that plane,
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revelation coming to life for people here in washington. then, something flipped. we are not doing what we said we would be doing. >> well, these reports detail that first of all, the equipment. it was not properly deployed. for example, only 160 airports out of 450. they have employed 700 machines to. the equipment was not maintained. the people were not trained to operate the detection equipment here and a level of failure. it leaves us very vulnerable. we have a new tsa administrator. we will give him every opportunity. this is a call to order and a call to reform. spending billions of dollars on people who pose no risk. a huge hr agency that oversees
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46,000 screeners. the value rate disclosed by the media. also some of these reports greater now with fewer screenings. neil: we welcome back. we appreciate it. i told you little bit earlier about the department of homeland security authorizing secret service protection for ben carson. offering protection for donald trump. former secretary of state. there has been some concerns for secretary johnson you would have to sign off on this. budgetary pressures within these polls. alerting us that they have approved that protection. four doctor carson and donald trump. extending it to others as they emerge as well?
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hard to say. unknown press and credible threats. we will keep you posted. also keeping you posted on facebook. in and out of all time highs. doing something that many others thought impossible to do. make money on this. virtual reality. you think it is stupid. then again, i am the same person knew about this new star wars was stupid. you let me know i'm out of touch. double will go >> the do's and don'ts for the big fbn debate. i will see you at five pacific. ♪
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neil: in your facebook. facebook shares on fire. in and out of all time highs. tilling can on what is behind that. a little bit of expected earnings report. >> and is off to the races. drones and providing internet to people that do not have it. revenue was still a pretty significantly. they're real big take-home number that everyone needs to take home today is 1 billion daily active users. facebook is saying look at how much game we have. everyone is using our platform. >> twitter does have quite a few. they cannot leverage off. >> they have so much information
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on each individual user. they can sell that information. what you are going to buy next based on where you live. how old you are. to do her friends are. my whole generation does not mind being spied on. >> that means you are the product. >> free product. >> i think a lot of people do not notice that they are doing it. if you sign up for gmail, google has all your data. your data is being sold to advertisers. that is exactly what facebook is able to do here, too. >> people just look the other way. it is so convenient. it is so easy to use. jo ling: increasingly more and more people are doing it on mobile devices. the reason why facebook stock is also spiking is because you have 78% of all ad revenue on mobile
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devices. neil: you are young. when you e-mail or communicate, do you go through facebook, do you go through e-mail directly, to go through any one of these sites to do it? jo ling: i will send them a message on messenger if it's easier. if it's easier out e-mail, then i will on e-mail. sometimes i pick up the phone. neil: this other stupid thing, virtual reality host. you were telling me this is a big deal. sure enough, you are proving right. it looks so stupid. it is taking off. come on. a deep-sea dive. neil: you look so happy in that photo.
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neil: what is facebook doing? $2 billion. the idea here, mark zuckerberg said, look, this will be a big place for us. we will make a lot of money. we will do well. he said twice, please do not bet everything on virtual reality yet. neil: the stupid looking glasses. jo ling: he sounds pretty excited about the new product. neil: i think the problem for a lot of people is stupid glasses. i cannot deal with it. if you have to put the stupid things on, my staff going against me, it will be a very long day when i wrap up this show. [laughter] it is just -- a lot of people look at that and say, are you
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kidding. >> it is becoming part of the entertainment experience. making films that will do well. it is certainly going to, maybe not a blockbuster, but people won't want to experience it. going out of business and losing revenue. >> i want to see a 3d movie. i know the classes do not look cool, but it is really fun. i think that you should get on the design team. only up. always up. >> when i was your age, i was a lot younger. do not forget that. when we come back, we make deals with them. when i heard the iranians are
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hacking us, the iranians, luxembourg, next. after this. ♪ at ally bank no branches equals great rates. it's a fact. kind of like shopping hungry equals overshopping.
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neil: every time cyberattack in the united states. you always hear china. it is russia, lot of times north korea. but this is at first time i've heard iran accused of doing such a thing. against some of our top officials private accounts. but morgan wright has been waiting for this. reminder that we underestimate the iranians to our peril. morgan, this is scary stuff here. what are they charged with doing or getting access too? i think it is top stuff, right?
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>> look, neil, anybody can build nuclear weapons which we know what they're doing, building nuclear reactors will have strong cyber capability. neil: wait a minute, morgan. they swore on stack of korans. >> north korea didn't hack sony either, yeah. to your point, actually use the same playbook as china. no, no, we don't hack. we've been hacked by other people. same thing from china. what they're doing, very much intelligence. collection project. neil, they're getting into these accounts. like when john brennan had aol account hacked. we talked about. secure and aol in the same sentence? don't put your stuff in there. getting their personal stuff hacked. why? because that's where the contacts are. iranians are looking for sympathizers and other contacts inside of iran. how are they getting to it? connecting dots between people in the state department, people in government and people in custody over in iran. neil: first when this started happening, morgan, you and i first started happening well, these are kind of countries
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would i think have the capability. in case of chinese they mimic what we do, get good doing it and away we go. >> right. neil: when it extends to the iranians that pretty much opens the door to anybody and everybody, not just institutions that are vulnerable but defense establishments and top cabinet officials. >> neil, we can trace some of this back when we talked about the flame virus and stuxnet firm. a russian firm, can percent ski, have offices in u.s., they have accessed to code. some things are becoming double-edged sword. they have been reversed engineered. they're learning from things we've done. they're using same techniques against us. they are breaking into accounts that have strong security with two factor authentication. they're doing sophisticated stuff. this is only tip of the spear. there are other things going on i gainer tee it we don't know
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about. neil: can't we hack back? we're good at this stuff too, presumably. >> college footballnal by, imagine a coach saying we're great on offense but we suck at defense. we have to do better job protecting our own critical infrastructure. there are things like active defense. one thing i together, cyber division we've gone out with all the questionnaire with presidential candidates, what do would you would you do? at what point does a byte and get a bullet or a bomb? you have to take make them pay a price. go after infrastructure. anytime you do x, we'll do y we'll hit back hard and you will remember it. neil: that is donald trump's analogy. if they're not listening to reason, let's be unreasonable. you think there might be something to that. thanks morgan, my friend. >> you bet, neil. neil: might be issue coming up
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in next week's debate in milwaukee. we'll be there as presidential candidates line up to face moderators again. we thought we would raise business. one of the things might be issue, protests on part of fast-food workers. they're not only protesting the debate, they're protesting speakers. they're protesting everything about it. they said these republican candidates are not for the common man. all right. we'll be there. it could make for a very interesting and rather heated outside environment. we'll keep you posted. meanwhile actor robert davi, hitting back at quentin tarantino who is not apologizing. doubling down and getting a lot of police and security enthusiasts nervous. ♪ jeb bush: we do not have to be the world's policeman.
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we have to be the world's leader. who's going to take care of the christians that are being eliminated in the middle east? who's going to take care of israel and support them - our greatest ally in the middle east? the united states has the capability of doing this, and it's in our economic and national security interest that we do it. i will be that kind of president and i hope you want that kind of president for our country going forward. announcer: right to rise usa is responsible for the content of this message. ♪ ♪ (under loud music) this is the place. ♪ ♪ their beard salve is made from ♪ ♪ sustainable tea tree oil and kale... you, my friend, recognize when a trend has reached critical mass. yes, when others focus on one thing, you see what's coming next. you see opportunity. that's what a type e* does.
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>> much easier to feign outrage and start arguments with celebrities than to deal with the fact that the citizenry has lost trust in them. they want to slander me, imply that i'm saying things i didn't say. neil: two things. quentin tarantino can say whatever he wants but, that director responsible for the most violent movies, no, whether
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you like him or not, pretty violent, lecturing anyone on violence, or police on violence, just weird. and to robert davi, celebrated actor. robert, what did you make of that rant? >> well, first off, his initial speech that he gave during that movement last week, that started the whole firestorm, i think was misplaced and then the follow-up, from yesterday, was also something that, look, everyone is allowed for their free speech. we fight for that but there is a problem in our society today, that i have seen incrementally happening since the '60s. and this is like a call back to that era, neil, when we had the riots in the streets, cops were called pigs, and it was very interesting. philosopher called eric hover wrote a book people don't talk about anymore, wrote several things.
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he was a longshoreman philosopher. reagan gave him medal of freedom. he wrote a book about "the true believer" about mass movements. he coined term, extended ad dough le sense from the '60s riots. you have same people living off government, affluent, meaning some celebrities and some affluent people and some privileged people, have a grudge against certain segment of the society. they then start to fight back against that. the police, a tiny fraction much our law enforcement has issues, like any of the population. it comes from -- would have been better had quentin tarantino bonn to that movement, said, look it, let's stop the rhetoric and the hate. let's understand we're grieving for lives that may have been lost innocent because of something that happened, but this is not, this is not, i say the average law enforcement. they're there to protect us. we should work together.
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neil: i don't think it is as much the messenger as the message. you make the pitch, make that argument is one thing. quentin tarantino making pitch, with violently, critically aclaimed movies, i don't take nothing away, and talking about the violence you could argue acted out in streets across the country. he does not seem to be the guy to deliver it, all i say. >> i can't speak to that i respect him as filmmaker. there are violent films all over the case. because he is a pop cultural icon around the world he can use that power. neil: all the more reason to watch what you say? watch what you say. you're very important. >> exactly. i wrote an article on breitbart last week about that, because of his influence, please, at least apologize and watch what you say, i think he felt if he blinked a little bit about some who are rabid about that,
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"black lives matter" crowd, that sort of thing. i don't think he wants to dial back one iota. the next predictable stage, take it, turn around on those out to get you, blah, blah. i've seen this done on the right and the left. it is convenient tactic but insulting. i think insulting. >> yes, it is. again he got support from some of the community. my question, neil is, why haven't more of the community come out -- i called for two months ago, i wrote an article asking for a national day of solidarity for law enforcement. i asked the hollywood community to come out and in spite of what was going on, listen, we want to work with our communities but no one picks up on that. they will come out and do marchs for anti-protest that are, negative protest. we understand, lives matter. i'm not saying that. but it's very curious to me, that movements continue to happen and generated from this town, from hollywood, and the right, i blame the right as well.
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because when i asked for a national day of solidarity as you just said, nobody picked up on that. there is no movement to say, you know what? let's band together and pick a day where we're all across the country going to say thank you to law enforcement. that we stand with you, understanding that since ""serpico"," wee know there were corrupt police officers. there have been films about it. we understand that issue, since the '50s, where films have been anti-establishment and also against law enforcement. neil: robert, the fear if you do that sort of thing, lo and behold another incident will come up and then they look like fools. what do you tell them? >> well you tell them, you still have to do that, because the incident is the individual. it is not the collective. 99% of the police force is there to protect us. if 1% happens to have an incident, you have to understand that. that is going to happen in any part of the society. look. neil: they complain about guns.
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they complain about guns. yesterday a kid stabbed seven people with a knife. i remember in china a few years ago -- neil: you're right about that. >> i remember in china -- neil: wanting to collect knives. that is -- >> collect knives. in china, and in china several years ago, neil, there were like 30 people stabbed with knives, in a classroom situation. neil: you're right. you're right. >> no one, it is very perplexing what is happening in our society today and our government, and i think the administration, hasn't sent the right message to our youth and to the people. when martin luther king died, neil, in that box was the totality of the human struggle and it was pulled by two mules and a sea of people. and martin luther king's message was, we're either going to pull it apart or pull it together. and right now we have everyone pull it apart. and that is infuriating to me. that is why i had to come out to say to quentin tarantino, to me
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is modern day shakespeare in some of his dialogue, has responsibility to society, to the ruth, to kind of give a different message. neil: shakespearian moment, my friend. but you did not. robert, good seeing you again. >> great to see you, neil. neil: hard to top what he just said. i will leave it at that. stick around. no matter where they are. the microsoft cloud gives our team the power to instantly deliver critical information to people, whenever they need it. here at accuweather, we get up to 10 billion data requests every day. the cloud allows us to scale up so we can handle that volume. we can help keep people safe; and to us that feels really good. hand apparently, they also lovee what's up with these things, victor? we decided to give ourselves stickers for each feature we release. we read about 10,000 suggestions a week to create features that
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brief. we're looking at whole foods today. you know, has not had a drop in sales since 2009 or hadn't until it reported one. sales last quarter, stores open at least a year, down. they are down only .2 of 1%. not much but still a drop is a drop. the word from analysts going forward from here, some of them say, whole foods might have to cut prices to get customers to come back in. interesting as you see the stock down today. co-ceo john mackey said it will not be a race to the bottom on prices. we'll continue to watch that another we're watching move up, not down, is godaddy. strong numbers, best-selling for internet addresses, very strong, up 15%, the stock, sales numbers were better than the company told us they would be. look at valeant pharmaceuticals, nightmare continues. down another 15%. like down 40% in two weeks. we'll be right back.
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neil: donald trump might be getting a little agitated ahead of next week's debate in milwaukee. he might want to pay attention to some kids in this ad. take a look. >> donald trump, screaming get out of my country. using offensive words. >> he is a few of our own. >> [bleep]. >> [bleep] racist. neil: all of those kids got a job at msnbc so touche. kidding. that is over the top.
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charlie gasparino, what do you think? >> disgusting ad. i don't know, you, you know -- neil: they're represent represel latino kids. >> they're telling kids to curse, use foul language. neil: you're not one. >> i never use foul language. neil: on that, right. >> listen, i'm just saying so over the top. you know what it will help donald in the long run. there is clearly debate in this country about immigration. many people like trump argue, take some of his hyperbole out, you can't have open borders in welfare state that resonates with be pub voters. neil: this is over the top. what do you think? >> i will agree with charlie on one thing, it is over the top. they should not use foul language. i don't know who created video. a little crazy. if you take out the foul language they have a point. >> why are you racist, why are you racist if you're for
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immigration reform. >> what are you talking about? >> you said they have a point. neil: explain your point that they have point. >> they brought up the bill of rights at end of the video. you're a patriot, and you believe in the bill of rights. why are you being against us in the country. born in the country. there is no illegal citizen after country. >> if you're defense, look at, look at their shirts. say people that are for, for the law, to abide by immigration law are racists. racism. >> no, they're equating immigration reform with racism. that is horrible thing. neil: that is a very good point. >> they are. neil: are you surprised, latino support for donald trump is lot higher. in nevada he comes in first with latinos. >> in republican primary. neil: fine. >> not nationally. neil: well, hello. >> by far. neil: all others criticized him damaging relations with latino community as a result that is clearly not the case.
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>> five people in the republican party supporting him latino. but -- >> five people? neil: no. nevada is big state. >> we're saying that is in the republican primary. >> there are more than five people of, more than five latinos that are republican. just going to florida. >> of the republican latinos, it is still very small number. neil: so hillary clinton does have latino support. one edge she had over barack obama when she ran eight years ago. but it is not overwhelming this go round. >> listens you have to ask yourself why the democratic party is pulling out all the stops equating anything donald trump says- neil: who put out that ad. >> it was non-profit. >> and they vote republican. >> they're not representative of the whole democratic party. i didn't support them. i'm democrat. >> they're going, they see that donald is resonating with the country. by the way -- neil: i agree. this will help him. don't you think. >> no. neil: that it is a little insulting and demeaning?
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>> insulting, demeaning, listen, no rational person on face of the earth good thing for someone to get impregnated in mexico and come here have a kid and feast on our welfare benefits. >> it is is not always the case. >> it is largely the case. >> a lot of people emigrated here illegally. had children living here 20 years, integrated into the economy undocumented had children. neil: well, i don't like to see kids cursing. >> i agree with you on that one. neil: i don't like to see you curse. >> i don't like to see liberals equate anybody with immigration reform with racist. that is what they're trying to do. neil: i wish we had more time. blessed we do not. we have more time to talk about donald trump appearing on "snl" this weekend. a veteran of that show what he might be in for and you as the viewer might be in for, after this.
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neil: so much for debate prep, if you're donald trump, a lot of things in your schedule, hosting "snl." that will be a ratings blockbuster, safe to say. promos are out. they're hysterical. joe piscopo, one of the great veterans and legends of that fine program. joe, you were telling me before the network or show started doing, political stuff. in those days in your days you would imitate. you would do reagan or john anderson. >> i would do ronald reagan. my first assignment was doing john anderson. neil: who? third party candidate, right. >> i would do anderson and jimmy carter the same day. i had four days to learn it. who are these people? neil: for donald trump -- that is media magic. >> you got to love the guy. neil: does it hurt him any way?
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>> watch poll numbers skyrocket. he will skyrocket after the show. neil: do they handle him with kid gloves or zinc him? >> when he was with jimmy fallon it was great. he is in the hands of great loren michaels it is great. how does he do the press conference other day, at his office, right? then he has to meet, signs 2,000 books. listen to this. if this guy is not qualified to be president. meets with lorne mike michaels. you have to right monday and tuesday. went up to new hampshire to register as president of the united states. neil: he seems to be very comfortable taking all this in stride. other candidates succumb to pressure, maybe snap. he does snap at candidates closing in on him. ben carson lately. one of the spots promossing "snl" appearance has a zinger. not so funny version of trump come out now? >> very good point. i think so. once you see on the show, i'm convinced there will be shots taken at donald. donald to donald.
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and so i want to see who does ben carson and jeb bush. neil: oh, my gosh. >> so much fun to watch. neil: you're an institution. very popular in new jersey. and i said this, now i heard you say you could win a new jersey governor race. >> me, myself? neil: yes, you. >> i think i could make some noise. as we get closer, see and understand my issuesly through the radio show and know exactly what to do to bring down taxes and protect in the state. neil: you're fast on your feet. i don't think that is appreciated enough. >> well -- neil: we don't appreciate candidates have to be fast on their feet. >> they really do. i love "the donald." conventional candidate, marco rubio is doing great. this kid marco rubio. all he has to do -- neil: do impressions. you can do impression. >> all you have to do. neil: look at the time. we'll have more. that's fine. [laughter]
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neil: a lot of people have been asking, neil, who will be at debate, which debate, what time? my buddy lou dobbs will announce that on his show tonight who gets to play in which debate. lou dobbs will break it here on the news for debates and business. trish regan. take it away. trish: we're all waiting. thanks so much, neil cavuto. donald trump, everyone, launching his first ad campaign since jumping into this race. i'm trish regan. welcome to "the intelligence report." donald trump unleashing 300,000-dollar campaign in first three primary states of iowa, new hampshire and south carolina. just not too long ago he said he didn't need to advertise. take a listen. >> i'm funding my own campaign. i'm spending my own money not as much as i thought because


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