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tv   Special Report With Bret Baier  FOX News  January 1, 2016 3:00pm-4:01pm PST

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that's it for this special edition of "the factor" we thank you for watching, i'm bill o'reilly, always remember that the spin stops right here. we are definitely looking out for you. a grim start to the new year. terror attacks and threats breed fear in a world already on edge this is "special report." >> good evening, i'm ed henry in for brett baier, happy new year from our family to yours. we begin 2016 with a subject very familiar, terror across the globe, attacks or fears of attacks are making headlines. in israel, a gunman opened fire outside a popular bar in tel aviv killing two. in afghanistan, one person was killed when the taliban sent a suicide bomber to target westerners at a popular restaurant. right here at home, federal authorities say the would-be terrorists who plan to target a
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rochester new york bar on new year's eve sought to prove he was worthy of joining isis and in germany, munich police are thanking residents for staying calm after authorities received concrete tips that an attack in the premidnight hours was imminent. tonight national security correspondent jennifer griffin starts us off with an update on terror concerns all across the globe. >> new year's celebrations went ahead despite jitters and terror warnings in capitals around the world. a tip before midnight forced german authorities to close two train stations in munich, surging 500 police to secure the stations and evacuate people. 5-7 ice isis attackers alleged blow themselves up. >> last night we received a concrete tip via the federal authorities in munich that there was a plan for an attack for a suicide attack to hit the munich main train station.
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a relatively concrete time was also given, namely midnight. >> a day later german authorities said the threat had passed, leaving more questions than answers about the terror threat. on twitter the munich police thanked the public quote good morning to people who spent the night out in #munich and thanks for staying calm and understanding concerning our measures. >> at the moment we're in a situation in which we received names. we can't say if they are in munich or in fact in germany. >> the concrete tip came from french intelligence. >> the level of threat is high and will continue to be high in the new year. it will not decrease in the near future. >> belgium called off its new year's festivities for fear of an attack. tokyo issued a special security alert. here in the u.s., authorities in rochester, new york, arrested a 25-year-old man, said to have contacted isis in syria. and told to carry out an attack at home. >> we have no additional information that there is a
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credible threat or another threat lingering, threats to our community, protecting the public is always my first priority. >> the justice department says emmanuel luchman hoped to attack a local restaurant on new year's eve. he bought supplies at walmart. >> he's a panhandler and a lot of the businesses have asked him to leave. >> in france today, an attacker plowed his car into four soldiers guarding a mosque. but the motive remains unclear. france is still on high alert following the terror attack in november. ed? >> thank you, jennifer griffin. happy new year. in kabul, one person was killed and 11 wounded when the taliban sent a suicide bomber to target westerners on new year's day. the explosion went off in a central residential area of the city, the taliban spokesman said the bomber targeted a restaurant belonging to foreigners. a tragic start to the new year in israel as well. after a man opened fire outside a popular bar in the city of tel aviv.
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police at this hour searching for the attacker. correspondent john huddy in jerusalem is following the investigation. >> a new year and a new round of violence this time in tel aviv where police say the man in this surveillance video pulled a machine gun out of his backpack and opened fire at a bar. the suspect reportedly a 29-year-old israeli arab appeared to be shopping inside a market before the attack. at one point he even scoops up some nuts, puts them in plastic bag and pours them back out. he walks to the store's entrance, calmly places his backpack on a shopping cart and pulls out the weapon. people duck for cover in a cafe when the shooting begins, two people were killed. several others injured. the gunman remains at large. >> i fall and i wait like boom, but the boom was i don't know. but when i was pray to my mother for everyone. >> police have not officially called this a terrorist attack. but the israeli media quotingen
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named police sources is reporting it was. if so it would be the latest attack after months of violence in israel and the west bank. since september there have been almost daily attacks by palestinians on israelis. so called lone wolf attackers, people not affiliated with any extremist group or organization. it's unclear if that's the case in the latest attack. what is clear is that 2016 may be off to a violent start in israel. >> there are reports that the suspect's father, who used to be a volunteer with the israeli police, recognized his son on tv and realized his weapon was missing and alerted authorities. ed? >> john ludy tonight in our middle east news room. president obama is starting 2016 with a familiar refrain from last year. executive action. he literally said today, one of his new year's resolutions is moving forward on new gun control measures. the president plans to meet with his attorney general on monday to repeat a strategy that worked well for him in 2015 --
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bypassing congress. correspondent kevin corke has details from honolulu. >> we know we can't stop every act of violence. but what if we tried to stop even one. what if congress did something, anything to protect our kids from gun violence? >> frustrated by a lack of cooperation from congress, president obama is once again prepared to go it alone. using executive action to push ahead with new gun control measures. the president using his first weekly address of the year to preview an agenda item that his team has been working on for some time. >> a few months ago i directed my team at the white house to look into any new actionsky take to help reduce gun violence. on monday i'll meet with our attorney general, loretta lynch to discuss the options. >> the options include expanding background check requirements for buyers who frch guns from high-volume dealers. following a year in which the country suffered through repeated mass shootings from charleston to chattanooga. roseberg to san bernardino, the
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president's measures can be inacted without congressional approval. and it's a tactic he's used before, instructing white house attorneys to scour the law, looking for ways to allow the president to implement subtle but substantial changes to existing rules it happened with immigration and the epa. guns are the next target and later the white house may use a similar plan to lawfully empty the prison at guantanamo bay, cuba. >> president obama is going at it alone this has been his movement. it's become a huge issue and it will remain a major issue going forward. >> especially on the 2016 campaign trail. where candidates like former florida governor jeb bush who is expected to attend a gun show in the sunshine state tomorrow could use the issue to draw a distinction between what some see as an overreach by the president and a right guaranteed by the second amendment. this as the national rifle association's institute for legislative action launched an ad attacking gun control advocates, including democratic
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front-runner, hillary clinton. >> and of course, we have been reporting here at fox for sometime. we expected the white house to unveil its executive action on guns in early january and now given the fact that the president and the attorney general will meet early next week, it's very likely now, that the public will get its first view of the plan next week as well. >> thank you, safe trip home. >> one of pro-am's first acts as president was to sign an executive order promising he would close the prison at guantanamo bay in a year. seven years later gitmo remains open. he blames congress. a new report suggests the president is not just getting pushback from lawmakers, correspondent kristen fisher has details. >> there are 107 prisoners still detained at guantanamo bay, according to a senior u.s. official all of them are hard-core terrorists. president obama is pushing forward with his plan to close gitmo before he leaves office. >> my expectation is by early
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next year, we should reduce that population below 100. and we will continue, continue to steadily chip away at the mblt numbers in guantanamo. >> but the commander-in-chief continues to face stiff resistance from the pentagon. the white house is still waiting for the new chairman of the joint chiefs of staff to sign off on several detainee transfer requests. >> it tells me that the new chairman is obeying the law and which is very important and his constitutional oath. he should not override that for political considerations. >> a new "reuters" report details a pattern of pentagon officials throwing up bureaucratic obstacles to slow the transfer of gitmo prisoners. administration officials accuse them of citing privacy concerns of prisoners and refusing to release their medical records to foreign governments willing do take them. but the pentagon denies any intentional effort to slow the transfer. we take matters of transferring
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detainees very seriously and continue to engage with our interagency partners. >> that means there's a great deal of dissension going on. they are working the problem. they are getting enormous pressure from the white house. >> former secretary of defense chuck hagel claims he was fired for moving too slow in approving detainee transfers and now according to "reuters" ash carter was scolded by the commander-in-chief in september for the same reason. the white house will neither confirm nor deny the report except to say we are all committed to the same goal. safely and responsibly closing the detention facility. according to the director of national intelligence, about 30% of the prisoners already released are either confirmed or suspected of returning to the fight. ed? >> kristen fisher in washington, thank you. up next, we go in-depth to answer a key question. is donald trump electable in a general election? >> first here's what some affiliates are covering tonight.
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fox 2 in st. louis, with the lifting of the county-wide state of emergency as floodwaters begin to recede and two interstates have reopened. the merrimack river is expected to fall below flood stage levels tomorrow. and fox 4 in anchorage where a spokesman for the family of the man who died when his plane struck two build this is week says the crash was a suicide. authorities say doug demerest was not authorized to fly the aircraft. a live look at los angeles from fox 11, tinseltown mourns the loss of two greats, trapper john from tv's "m-a-s-h" has died and natalie cole lass passed away. cole's greatest success came in 1991, she rerecorded her father's classic hits, with him even appearing on the "unforgettable" track. natalie cole was 65. tonight's look on "special
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report." we leave you now with "unforgettable." ♪ ♪ ♪
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moderate to severe crohn's disease is tough, but i've managed. except that managing my symptoms was all i was doing. and when i finally told my doctor, he said humira is for adults like me who have tried other medications but still experience the symptoms of moderate to severe crohn's disease. and that in clinical studies, the majority of patients on humira saw significant symptom relief. and many achieved remission. humira can lower your ability to fight infections, including tuberculosis. serious, sometimes fatal infections and cancers, including lymphoma, have happened; as have blood, liver, and nervous system problems, serious allergic reactions, and new or worsening heart failure.
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before treatment, get tested for tb. tell your doctor if you've been to areas where certain fungal infections are common, and if you've had tb, hepatitis b, are prone to infections, or have flu-like symptoms or sores. don't start humira if you have an infection. ask your gastroenterologist about humira. with humira, remission is possible. you hear the music, going in-depth in america's election headquarters, most of the candidates laying low, resting up before the final sprint to iowa. gop front-runner donald trump joined the new year's eve festivities here on fox. talk about his chances in a general election against hillary clinton. >> i think i'll be her worst nightmare, but we're going to find out. look, she won't do the job, we're going to do the job and we're going to do some really special things, so i look forward to it if it's hillary clinton that's in the race, i
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look forward to going against her. >> thanks to his rising poll numbers, the question we used to hear most frequently about trump, can he win the nomination? has given way to a new one. is he electable in a general election. chief washington correspondent james rosen reports that the answer may need to account for forces beyond the ones we usually consider. >> we are going to make america great again and i love you all. >> as donald trump rallies what he calls america's silent majority, many analysts argue that which has worked so well for the real estate mogul and reality tv star up to now, the unique bleth of populism, nativism, stand-up comedy and tough-talking bragging, will keep the gop front-run frer winning the oval office. >> i think that donald trump's downfall comes in the general election. at least now when we look at the snapshot of polling, he loses to hillary clinton as opposed to other gop candidates in the field. as a result of his attitude of no political correctness,
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insults of everyone that you can name. i me the general public doesn't necessarily buy that kind of donald trump behavior like maybe his gop primary voters do. >> our instinct in assessing electoral prospects is to grasp for numbers, metrics, polling data. the most glaring lesson of the year is the fact that donald trump is a singular figure, one who defies odds, metrics and the usual rules and predictions that are based on such data. >> nobody has done what i've done. probably nobody that's ever run for office has done what i've done. >> while trump is a novice at the business of campaigns and elections, americans and new yorkers in particular have known this man for decades as a master manipulator of mass media and messaging, he's been counted out countless times. told by the keepers of the met ricks at various points that he would never match his father's real estate career. never recover from his divorces and bankruptcies. never appeal to a mass audience on network television and repeatedly to this day, this singular figure, bold, cunning
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and to many repellent has always found a way to win. >> donald trump seems to have a separate set of rules. he sort of imposed them on the process. a lot of people find that not a pretty picture. trump would object to that, he would say i am pretty. carl, i'm the prettiest person in this interview, you're a loser. and his fan was cheer. >> in all this, trump resembles another legendary loudmouth. cassius clay, later muhammed ali. the boxer's press said the louisville lip could never win because he held his hands too low. evaded punches by snapping his head back. violations of the sweet science no one could get away with. >> ali had skills that were extraordinary. i think they were just god-given i don't think it was angie dundee who brought those skills out and i think donald trump doesn't have any handlers, he doesn't have pollsters, he doesn't have advisers. the fact that he's done all this on his own is a sign of his
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great skills and great ability to communicate. >> author does shown, a rm forepollster and aide to president clinton think the metrics of 2016 for those who value numbers more than the intangible factors created by singular figures necessarily favor the likely democratic nominee. >> could he win? yes, do the metrics suggest it? yes, and is it extraordinary that he's gotten as far as he has? absolutely i don't count him out in the election. >> one key difference between boxing and presidential politics, is that the former is a solitary pursuit. the latter one that involves not just a fighting candidate, but a vast organization of people in all 50 states. whether donald trump can assemble such an organization remains unseen. but in doing so, his singular personality will again prove key to his success. in washington, james rosen, fox news. >> thanks, james. still ahead, likes, favorites and retweets are nice, how far will they go to securing votes in 2016?
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but first, researchers are raising a red flag tonight over a new super bug that's spreading across the globe and cannot be treated, with even the strongest antibiotics, we'll tell you about it, next. ications, does your mouth often feel dry? a dry mouth can be a side effect of many medications. but it can also lead to tooth decay and bad breath. that's why there's biotene, available as an oral rinse, toothpaste, spray or gel. biotene can provide soothing relief and it helps keep your mouth healthy too. remember, while your medication is doing you good, a dry mouth isn't. biotene, for people who suffer from a dry mouth. to prove to you that aleve is the better choice this is claira. for her she's agreed to that's today? we'll be with her all day to see how it goes. after the deliveries, i was ok. now the ciabatta is done and the pain is starting again. more pills? seriously? seriously.
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all these stops to take more pills can be a pain. can i get my aleve back? for my pain, i want my aleve. get all day minor arthritis pain relief with an easy open cap.
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incredible story that luxury hotel in dubai is still smoldering a day after a mazive blaze on new year's eve traveled up the 63-story tower. authorities are still working to determine the cause. 14 people were hurt. it sounds like a hollywood movie, a superbug resistant to even the strongest antibiotics that's spreading from country to country. infecting patients, leading doctors scrambling for a cure. unfortunately correspondent
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garrett tenny reports the plot line is all too real. >> when you get an infection, your doctor will often prescribe an antibiotic. but what if the medicine didn't work? what if there wasn't any medicine strong enough to treat it. what happened during the worldwide flu pandemic in 1918, when more than 50 million people died of influenza. medicine has come a long way since then, but leading researchers are warning there's a new superbug that's quickly spreading across the globe and they say it's almost too late to stop it. >> what's happening is the problem seems to be getting worse. resistance has been identified against probably all antibiotics in use today. >> what makes this superbug known as the mcr 1 gene so concerning is not only is it nearly invincible to our current antibiotics, but the superbug passes that immunity along when it's transferred to bacteria such as e. coli, salmonella and knew moania leaving infected patients, with very few if any alternative treatments. >> it's like going back to the
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preantibiotic era. when people died from a simple cut. >> researchers discovered the superbug in southern china and say it's already spread to at least four continents. and while mcr 1 hasn't been found in the u.s. they believe it's only a matter of time before it spreads worldwide. the food and drug administration explains that the growth of superbugs is largely due to the widespread use of antibiotics in livestock. which over time allows bacteria to build up immunities to the drugs. in a statement the fda says it is essential that we use anti-bacterial drugs prudently to preserve their utility and do what we can to slow the rate of resistance development. while officials are keeping a close eye on the spread of mcr 1, the cdc says cases of a slightly less resistant, but still potentially deadly superbug named the phantom menace are increasing in the u.s. a former ohio congressman who helped write a landmark
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business regulately law has died. mike oxley spent 25 years in congress, devoting most of his time to issues involving corporate oversight and insurance protection. he helped start the roll call for the congressional baseball games. he was 71 years old. new york's attorney general is turning up the heat on fantasy sports websites, fan duel and draft kings. the a.g. filed a lawsuit to force them to give back all the money made on the states. 600,000 new yorkers. the parents company of fox news is an investor in draft kings. up next, hillary clinton's campaign is raking in the cash. as a number of classified emails from her private server continue to rise, a full report next. kind of like playing the boss equals the boss wins. wow!
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hillary clinton starts the new year with some big money in the bank. her newest fundraising numbers are impressive. but there are also storm clouds for the democratic front-runner, rich he hadson reports that her email controversy continues to plague. a court-ordered new year's eve deadline, the state department falls short. federal judge required the state to release to the public 82% of the government-related emails on former secretary hillary clinton's personal account. officials are thousands short. say they'll release more next week. they did post more than 3,000 emails, 275 are now marked
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classified. for a total of nearly 1300 classified emails on a private server in clinton's home. >> going through these emails every time there's a dump will remind us she was using a private email server that calls into question her judgment as a potential commander-in-chief. >> clinton has maintained none were marked classified when she sent or received them. among them a a note from former clinton aide, claiming former billionaire george soros regretted his support for then rival barack obama in the 2008 democratic primary. another from 2011 regarding a report that a new york hasidic paper photoshopped her out of a picture. clinton laments perhaps no woman should be in such a position of power. >> sidney blumenthal, a long-time clinton confidante. the obama administration prohibited from working for clinton at state.
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conduct confidential government business, clinton enjoys a commanding lead over her democratic challengers, one former maryland governor, martin o'malley has failed to secure his name on the ohio primary ballot. clinton remained a fundraising force. her campaign says she took in more than 55 million dollars in the fourth quarter of 2015 and $112 million in all of of last year. >> thank you, rich. social media has become a huge part of daily life for millions of americans. >> for all the 2016 candidates, a way to connect and interact with real people for real cheap. but how much will those connections and likes usually translate into votes? correspondent peter doocy reports now, what you might call viral voters. >> the path to the white house goes through your pocket. because social media feeds on your phone or on your computer are where presidential hopefuls are trying to pick up traction, like instagram with 15-second
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ads that cost almost nothing to distribute, but can direct the dialogue for days. >> donald trump commands the most attention on twitter, too. mostly with posts critical of rivals. sometimes with content considered controversial. but everyone tries to make a splash there. like when hillary clinton and jeb bush confronted each other this summer. and just about everybody running has used some form of social media to chat. >> with potential supporters. sometimes it's tough to tell who is actually doing the typing at the other end. but sometimes it's pretty obvious. >> the third question most popular question from google is is rand paul still running for president and i don't know, i wouldn't be doing this dumb-ass live-streaming if i weren't. >> here's the important thing about clips like that experts say the real impact on social media doesn't happen when a a user see it is for themselves, but instead when a user reads how people they know in real life are reacting to it. >> i think what your friend
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says, your friend's recommendation tends to carry more weight than a politician's? >> for better or worse, the quick and cheap medium backfires easily. carly fiorina learned that today when a tweet about rooting for iowa over her alma mater in the rose bowl was panned by some as pandering. still, experts see a lot more benefits from social media, it lets candidates spread out. instead of spending so much time in early states. >> it's helpful, certainly. but it's not the only way to reach people. >> ultimately, only one thing matters. >> trump has garnered incredible media attention simply by tweeting. the question that everybody needs to ask themselves is, are those tweets going to translate into actual votes? >> so long-time political consultants are puzzled. nobody knows if the candidate with the most viral posts on facebook or twitter will get the most votes, but folks don't have to wait long to find out.
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because the iowa caucus is one month from today. ed? >> thanks. we're going to party like it's $1.99. today's average price of gasoline. the first time prices have dipped below $2 on average since 2009. aaa expects prices to remain low this year as well. the national average staying well below $3 per gallon. happy new year indeed. days after he was charged with sexual assault on a 2004 allegation, we're hearing from bill cosby himself for the first time. he posted a very brief message on twitter quote, friends and fans, thank you. cosby's attorney has said the charge is unjustified and predicted her client will be exonerated. he's free on $1 million bail. president obama wants to bypass congress on a big issue. the panel weighs in next.
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my new year's resolution is
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to move forward on our unfinished business as much as i can. and i'll be more frequently asking for your help. that's what this american project is all about. that's especially true for one piece of unfinished business. our epidemic of gun violence. >> let's bring in our panel. jason riley, columnist with the "wall street journal." karen tumtty. and syndicated columnist charles krauthammer. >> this is sort of an old habit for the president, executive action, jam it down congress's throat. he's not going back. >> essentially the president wants to disarm law-abiding residents in the name of making the country safer. it's a an surd strategy, he uses these tragedies to push gun regulations that would not have prevented the tragedy in the first place, the recent shootings, like san bernardino.
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the guns were purchased legally. he continues down this road. plus, ed, san bernardino was a terror attack. inspired by isis. the response to san bernardino is to defeat isis, not push for more gun control. >> i want to get to karen. jason as a conservative why not go with the low-hanging fruit and do some of the gun control measures that are smaller, that are not sweeping and that have wiped support in the country? >> there was some evidence that gun control controlled the supply of guns out there, i would be with you. but we have no such evidence. i think he's doing this because it plays well with his base, it's a good fundraising opportunity for the democratic party. it has nothing to do with its effectiveness in reducing gun violence. >> for the president, conservatives get upset whether it's immigration or guns, but this strategy has worked for this president. >> it has, and the one measure that we've heard about, which is expanded background checks, is something that 90% of the public supports. but jason is right about the
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dynamics on gun control. our newspaper, the "washington post," did a poll right after san bernardino, and found that 53% of the public opposes an assault weapons ban. which was the highest level of opposition we had ever seen in the polls. >> we're going to get to other executive actions like didn't mo in a minute. i want to bring you in on the pressure on republican leaders. here's the president again talking about executive action on guns to kick off the year. he's signaled more executive action on immigration. we'll get to gitmo in a minute. we've heard from republican leaders before. we're going to stop him. we're going to stop this. they got control of both chambers of congress. is the pressure on paul ryan as a new speaker to finally do something? because mitch mcconnell didn't. john boehner didn't. >> you've got to ask yourself what are the tools that congress has if you came into office as ryan did, late in the year when the only way to take away the purse strings is to defeat or
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withdrawal continuing resolution, i.e. the funding of the whole government. so you fund everything or you fund nothing. then you really have no choice. what i'm hoping, i'm sure what ryan is going to try to do is to go back to the way that the constitution suggests we ought to have the power of the purse string. exercise, which is one appropriation bill after another. if you want to stop a specific measure, you do it in a circumscribed way over that measure. if that happens, then i think there will be a lot of things that can potentially be stopped. >> the next president, should he or she choose to, can overturn the executive orders with a stroke of a pen. >> you've got to win the white house. >> that's true. >> i think what this does, it takes each one of these issues on which he is acting and elevates it in the presidential campaign. >> i just think this executive action route underlies the weakness of the president as a
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leader. he's unable to build a consensus or build coalitions, resorts to going it alone and in a representative democracy that can be very problematic and he's using it to push some of his biggest agenda items. >> let's talk about one of the agenda items, you've got the president at his year-end news conference. you got military experts saying hold on a second, listen. >> by early next year we should have reduced that population below 100. and we will continue, continue to steadily chip away at the numbers in guantanamo. >> they're going to release 17 in the month of january. >> if you figure that 30% of those will return, five or six of them, will return to be al qaeda or taliban or isil leaders in the future. that's not good for us. >> to jason's point about the
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president not building a coalition and acting alone you've had republicans like colin powell and john mccain say close down guantanamo. republicans haven't done it why shouldn't the president move on his own? >> i have all the respect in the world for john mccain and colin powell. but it's a terrible idea. the fact woo he know some of these guys who is going to end up killing americans, it's that we have reduced our ability to interrogate and get information. >> with drone strikes, one of the reasons we have interrogated them is we have nowhere for them to go. once you bring them to the united states, you put them on trial. they acquire all kinds of miranda rights. which is insane. in the middle of a war, there wasn't a german or japanese soldier whoever got his miranda
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rights. the beauty of guantanamo is that it has a status, the issue is indefinite tension, there's no way they were ever going to release khalid sheikh mohammed and there's no way we'll ever be able to successfully try him. you need guantanamo in the future. it's the fact that we needed intelligence and that's where would you send people. >> guantanamo, week one of his administration, is there any hope of a consensus? >> no. >> and i think also, more difficult politically. this is a moment in which his leadership on national security issues and specifically the fight against isis is coming under a lot of criticism. you do need something political leverage even to do executive
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orders. >> how the president mad about the isis strategy and how the public sees it, he wants better pr. he wants a strategy to clean up the pr. does that make sense? >> it makes no sense. >> i think isis is ascendant. it is recruiting. it does seem to be striking when it wants and where if wants and our strategy is not working. next up, the panel's fearless predictions for 2016, as well as their picks for what candidates should be writing on their resolutions lists and charles has one word for jeb bush, next. o get your fiber. try phillips' fiber good gummies plus energy support. it's a new fiber supplement that helps support regularity and includes b vitamins to help convert food to energy. mmmmm, these are good! nice work, phillips! the tasty side of fiber, from phillips'.
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this is a your where we are going to have a chance to turn america around. >> all our problems can be involved. all our wounds can be healed. we need to take our country back. >> 2016 is going to be the last year until we utterly destroy isis. >> he look forward to 2016 being a year that we can realize as a nation that there is more that union nates us than divides us. >> 2016 needs to be the year of a real change in washington. >> i hope we have a prosper prosperous, healthy. >> my resolution is to make america great again. >> i love the juxtaposition here. jeb bush says protion parroted and donald trump says make america great again. give me one prediction about 2016. >> my prediction is that the supreme court is going to strake down the race base of policies. they seemed very skeptical during oral arguments. and i think the days are numbered for race baits. >> you have been on the
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campaign trail what do you think of iowa? >> i think barring weather, i think the turnout for these republican iowa caucuses is going to be in donald trump's words, uge. and it's the trump factor. both people will be showing up to vote for him and will be showing up to stop him. >> there will be a lot of people turning out. charles, we are going to get to your suggested resolutions in a minute for some the candidates. what do you think, what would you predict about the republican party in the road ahead? >> i think there is a reasonable chance, perhaps a 50/50 that this revolves around trump if he either wins the nomination or if he he and his followers have a sense that they were denied the nomination. we will see a split in the republican party, either a third party candidacy or massive defection like democrats for nixon in 1972. >> so do you think -- >> -- please tell me brokered convention. >> if it is it would be open.
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there are no brokers anymore. >> and do you see that -- >> -- they are all out of business. >> doomsday for republicans or can they be saved? >> yuan day in the near term it would be doomsday. >> you have got some suggested new years resolutions for some the candidates. >> i for donald trump to give treating for lentd. >> i don't think he is going to listen to that. >> something he could but he ought to think about. >> grecian formula to add in the gray. he needs a lot of gray for rubio. bush the won worder tease it up, pray. and, in fact, pray a lot and, in fact, i would use. so is 100 million he raised to buy indulgences. that's the last resort. >> jason can prayer work at this point for jeb bush? >> i don't know if it can work for jeb bush. i do think all the republican, however, need to realize that they need to nominate someone who can win
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more republican voters. win in swing states. he think that they also need to realize the sooner they decide on the candidate the better. what hillary clinton is counting on is a long, drawn out process, a candidate that's had to spend a lot of money and take a lot of punches before she faces them. >> we heard that in 2008 it was long and drawn out for barack obama and hillary clinton in the end i thought then senator obama emerged stronger from a tough primary. >> absolutely. as a result of that, he had organizations in states across the map, because he had had to go to those states to fight hillary clinton. >> he would doing a little fact checking because last year at this time i was filling in for bret baier and we ask for personal resolutions. and charles had this one. >> well, my resolution is to try to smile this year. i'm shocked to learn that people actually think that i'm grim and dower, severe and here is to 2016 grin and
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teeth. >> i think have you been showing teeth. our crack staff put together some photos and, throughout the year, they thought there was a mix. do you think that you meant it? do you think you smiled more this year. >> no. i missed the quote attachment i need to go a long way. i worked on it. i practice in the mirror. there is a long way to go. after all these years you fall out of practice. i actually did give a speech in which a woman came up to me at the end and said i'm glad i heard new person because in tv you are so morose and dower and she said i'm glad to know you have teeth. that's where that came from. >> do you have any more suggested resolutions for candidates? >> for? >> for some the candidates, ted cruz. >> the one that was remaining was for cruz. evidence doesn't exactly inspire mirth, so i think his serious one is to win iowa by 10. >> win by 10 and that would put some pressure on donald trump. >> that would set him up. and then trump will be tweeting a lot. >> jason?
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>> predictions for? >> for iowa. >> i see ted cruz winning iowa. and i would -- and i think marco rubio might pull it out in new hampshire. >> really? >> yes. >> put a lot of pressure on donald trump. evidence thinks he is going to win both. >> i think losing iowa will take some steam out of him and make it more difficult for him in new hampshire. >> i think charles smiles a lot and i'm expecting even more smiling in 2016. >> are you challenging me? >> i'm challenging to you smile more. you are going to succeed. you are doing it right now. that's it for the panel. >> practice. >> stay tuned for a little pay back for me my good friend steve hayes. ♪ ♪
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yes, we are twins. when i went on to ancestry, i just put in the name of my parents and my grandparents. i was getting all these leaves and i was going back generation after generation. you start to see documents and you see signatures of people that you've never met. i mean, you don't know these people, but you feel like you do. you get connected to them. i wish that i could get into a time machine and go back 100 years, 200 years and just meet these people. being on ancestry just made me feel like i belonged somewhere. discover your story. start searching for free now at ancestry.com.
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finally tonight, some of you may have seen our very own steve hayes last night on this program pulling a dirty trick and presenting
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me the fox fantasy football loser trophy. yes, it's true. my team was awful and the staff wrought along some stats to rub it in. not cool, bro. thankfully some of you had my back at twitter @ dog can i play in his league next year. i think that was a shot because he thinks i'm easy pickings. @ theresa ray. ed, you are a class act and steve hayes will soon be a hassen been. giggle mits i feel steve hayes is a joke and witter person. ed henry opposite. ed shined over the entire panel. cynthia had this to say. ed's fantasy football choices are no worse than steven's g.o.p. predictions. ouch. charles told me to say we invited steve hayes on and he refused. that's not really true. anyway, he is a good friend. thank you all for your support. i hope next year i can come as close as having a great as team as producers doug.
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that's another dirty trick they know like ron burgundy i will put whatever they put in that teleprompter. that's it for us in washington. i'm ed henry. bret baier is back on monday. "on the record" is next and. happy new year. ♪ >> how stupid are our leaders? >> it's time to declare the end of lowered expectations. are thesepid politicians? >> politicians do what is w politically expedient. >> i want to do what's right. >> politicians are all talk, no action. >> our founders political class. >> i can name lot of people in politics who have been there all their lives and you probably want want them to polish your shoes. >> the only way to reimagine our government is to reimagine who is leading it. >> i'm not a politician. i don't want to be a politician. >> we need a leader that wrote the art of the deal. >> time for citizen to stand up to t

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