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tv   On the Record With Brit Hume  FOX News  October 11, 2016 11:00pm-12:01am PDT

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for the adults and they will be signing books reagan library, nixon library, tomorrow night. >> thanks, sean. >> that's all the time we have for this evening. thanks for being with us. back here tomorrow night. " with who's also a good golfer is up now. >> good evening, welcome back. i'm brit hume. this is "on the record." donald trump at war with his own party considers himself unshackled. hillary clinton campaigns with al gore. new wikileaks suggests cozy relationship with the press. this hour the national polling average shows hillary clinton with a 6 point lead in a two-way race and just under a 5 point lead in a four way. she's a favorite by more than 5 to 1. meanwhile, there is a new fox news electoral map out tonight. ed henry reports.
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>> reporter: brit, no republican has won without carrying florida. that's why this race is suggested to be swinging in the democrats direction. look at the map tonight. florida had been a tossup state. we are now putting it in the lean democrat column. important because it's the biggest battleground state of them all. a mother lode you see there of 29 electoral votes. we're seeing a shift in the polling in the wake of that controversial trump tape but also the clinton camp is doing a better job on the ground registering new voters. now check out nevada, out west. all eyes turn there when chris wallace will moderate the third and final debate. we're moving it from tossup to lean democrat. the polls moving in clinton's way as well. harry reid is a formidable machine to get out the vote. there are questions looming about trump's ground game. in a close race nevada's six electoral votes could be critical. as we digest these new numbers
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this does not seem like such a tight battle. we have trump at 187 electoral votes. 44 electoral votes up for grabs. that doesn't get him to 270, the magic number. clinton at 270 at 307. ohio listed as a tossup. the buckeye state was trending. now it's back to a dead heat. ohio is very close the next time we update the scorecard to see where that's heading. brit? there is one new poll that while continuing to show a significant lead for clinton, nonetheless suggested donald trump gained some ground from the debate on sunday night. as you can see there it's a 9 point lead there nationally down from an 11 point lead. that's not a lot but that's something. to discuss the polls and the new map i'm joined now by larry sabato. larry, your thoughts about our map. does it roughly square with what you've been seeing or what?
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>> yes. it's very, very close to what the crystal ball, our website at the university of virginia has had. we don't allow tossups, brit. we make ourselves make a choice which is difficult sometimes, and we actually have arizona, which you have as a tossup in trump's column and we have ohio and north carolina in clinton's column. so we have clinton up to 341 electoral votes. you know, can some of them switch before november? of course. as you mentioned, the high point for clinton probably was the weekend after the sex talk tape was released, then i think basically trump reaffirmed his support among the republican base. they returned to him. he's back well over 80% with republicans despite what paul ryan did and if that continues, then it will enable him to keep this within a certain number of
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points, 5, 6, 7, something like that. >> well, we've got we've talked about often mitt romney got 93% of the republican vote on election day four years ago. trump had sunk, i think, down into the low 70s over the weekend when things were really in a trough for him. it does look, as you say, as if he's recovered some. in which states do you think there may be some movement back toward him? >> well, the first place we would look once we get new polling data would be ohio because just a couple weeks ago we had ohio along with iowa, two key swing states leaning to trump. ohio's close enough so that that could go back and forth quite easily. i agree with what ed said about florida and north carolina. once you look at how the democrats are banking votes, banking early votes in a year when incredibly 40% of americans probably will be voting in advance, sometimes well in advance of november 8th, it
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really matters. and the clinton campaign just has a far better ground game, get out the vote program than the trump people do. >> yeah. it has appeared that trump is going to rely almost entirely on the republican national committee which has done its best to build a formidable get out the vote operation but it's not all clear that that operation is devoted to early voting. >> yeah. also he does -- trump does have big rallies. i mean, he has an enormous number of people show up, but people who have been there have told me that sometimes they don't organize them very well to go out and canvass neighborhoods and to compensate for the fact that trump has not invested the money in a gotv get out the vote program the way the clinton people have. >> i had a phone conversation with mr. trump not too many weeks ago in which i -- you know, i suggested that, you know, you need -- you do need a big -- a ground game to win a general election and he said, well, i do rallies. and then he explained to me how
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big his rallies were, something i kind of knew because i had seen a lot of them and we've certainly seen these extraordinary photographs when they've shown the size of the crowds. they've been huge. i guess the question is whether you use those rallies to have people on hand to sign these people up and get them to canvass, get them to do all the things that a ground game requires. there's been some sign that they're doing that, but i guess we'll find out soon enough, won't we? >> we sure will. 28 days to go, and i don't know about you, but i'm trying to count them quickly. we're all exhausted in the political community. >> yeah, this has been a long year. in my particular case, taking over all of a sudden just a few weeks ago to do this for the balance of the election, it's been arduous. larry, always good to see you. thanks for coming on. >> thank you so much, brit. this morning donald trump seemingly set aside his fight with hillary clinton and instead took aim at his own party. in a series of angry tweets
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trump lashed out at republicans who have distanced themselves from their nominee. carl cameron is in panama beach city, florida, where he has a rally. >> hi, brit. he's been very adroit at using twitter and social media on days when he's not going to have day side campaign events and today was a lot of them. he made a heck of a lot of noise. one of his earlier tweets today was, and i'm quoting here, our very weak, ineffective leader, paul ryan, had a bad conference call where his members went wild at his disloyalty. this was the conference call in which paul ryan said he would no longer talk about, wouldn't campaign but would maintain his endorsement for donald trump. we've talked to a number of people who were on that conference call and, indeed, there were people who were angry. particularly from battleground states, many members, republicans all on the call, appeared that trump's numbers were eroding. that's what the concern was.
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later in the day he said it's so -- tweeting again. it's so nice that the shackles have been taken off me and i can now fight for america the way i want to. meaning he doesn't have to accommodate the demands of any other candidates to be politically correct. and finally he says, disloyal rs are far more difficult than crooked hillary. they come at you from all sides. they don't know how to win, i will teach them. well, that's a reference, of course, to whether it's paul ryan, other candidates on the ballot, some of the governors who either rescinded their endorsements or come out hard against him in the last couple of days. the republican party is quite fractured over this, but it's important to recognize, too, that from the very first day trump was even just exploring the candidacy an awful lot of establishment republicans had differences with him as much as 2 1/2 years ago. today donald trump unveiled a new commercial attacking hillary clinton. it starts out saying that she was a failed secretary of state
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and shows video from a variety of hot spots, particularly in the mid east, around the world, and then it makes a turn and it shows video of hillary clinton with stumbling around, wobbly with her pneumonia recently as well as her wearing the dark sunglasses that she wore when she testified before the benghazi committee having had a concussion back in 2013. and he says that she doesn't have the fortitude, doesn't have the stamina to be president. so campaigning the way he wants to, he's making a paid tv commercial hillary's health an issue. something he's talked about a great deal, now he's spending money. >> carl, steve bannon who is officially the campaign manager but who was not that as far as we knew last year is saying in a story that was published this evening in the daily beast that he, in fact -- he, in fact, was the campaign manager all along, that he's been that since 2015. you've been following that
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campaign. does this appear to you to be the case? >> right. well, steve bannon when he was the boss of breitbart and really an icon of the alt right movement and pushing hard on conservative news was saying things to advise donald trump back then. now as the ceo of the campaign, much, much different. he's far more quiet. we heard a lot from him when he was working for breitbart. he's a lot harder to reach as the ceo of the trump campaign. it's really worth noting, brit, that a lot of the campaign problems that trump has experienced comes from the constantly revolving management he's had prior to bannon and of course kellyanne conway, his campaign manager. prior to that one of the problems they're still dealing with is every time a senior official was dismissed, someone else would come in and be able to follow through on the things that the person who just got bounced were doing. so it's like if they're radioactive, maybe their work is. that has inhibited their
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organization. that has inhibited their messaging. now it's been steady for a while and trump's much more competitive than he was when there was sort of a revolving door of advisors and managers and the campaign was much more undisciplined. now that he's sort of campaigning as he wants, it's going to be free for all, but he does still have the same team now for the last three months which is something he didn't have for the entirety of the previous eight, nine, 11, 12 months. >> okay, carl. thanks very much. the clinton campaign has rolled out a blast from the past to help with millennials, apparently. al gore, the 2000 democratic presidential nominee has hit the trail for the first time in this election cycle. jennifer griffin is in miami. hi, jennifer. >> reporter: hi, brit. it took global warming to get a warming between these two political foes. it was absolutely surreal as they walked out onto the stage together here in the building behind me here in miami.
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not a lot of contact between the two as they walked out. remember, al gore did not endorse hillary clinton until recently. he didn't attend the democratic national convention. they each spoke for exactly 23 minutes each. it was a carefully orchestrated campaign appearance, negotiated we're told by her campaign chairman, john podesta, who really cares quite a bit about climate change and knows they have an enthusiasm gap among millennials. >> about a decade ago al made a movie called "an inconvenient truth." now maybe some of you have seen it, but if you haven't, i hope you'll watch it tonight. now it doesn't have a lot of special effects, but it does have a lot of drama. and here's the main message. climate change is real. >> reporter: al gore for his part talked about rising tides and the threat for florida's
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coast line, but his real message was a reminder that a vote for a third party candidate could lead to unintended consequences as it did for gore in 2000 when he lost by 537 votes. then green party candidate ralph nader received more than 97,000. >> your vote really, really, really counts, a lot. you -- you can consider me as an exhibit a of that truth. >> reporter: bill clinton, meanwhile, was campaigning far away in another part of florida. his infidelities in the past gore blamed for him not wing the 2000 election. today is bill and hillary's 41st wedding anniversary. also in evidence today, clinton didn't stop calling her
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opponent, donald trump, a climate change denier. she reached down ballot in an effort to shift the senate. >> it is an unacceptable response for marco rubio when asked about climate change to say, i'm not a scientist. well, why doesn't he ask a scientist, and maybe then he'd understand why it's so important that he, representing florida, be committed to climate change, that's why i hope you'll elect patrick murphy. >> reporter: another fun fact, brit. today the gymnasium where we were today at miami-dade college is -- it was exactly the same room where jeb bush launched his failed presidency bid not too long ago. so a lot of history in that room today, brit. >> wow. thanks, jennifer. as carl reported, donald trump started his morning on a tweet storm and declared the shackles are off. here to analyze that is our nightly political panel, john
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and susan. congressional correspond department at "the washington examiner." susan, the shackles are said to be off. my question is, were they ever really on? >> well, a little bit. don't forget, for the past few weeks he's been complemented for the most part staying on message, delivering talking points that looked like they were at least coordinated with the gop establishment. and it helped. you saw the gap close in the polls and you saw him doing pretty well, more talk about maybe he could win. and inevitably there are these incidents that happen and things that get leaked, stuff from his past. here we are again. and i think what you saw happen today really was trump will always, you know, punch back twice as hard as they say. no matter who's attacking him. this has been characteristic of his whole campaign. doesn't matter if it's the democrats or the republicans, he's going to hit back hard. that's what he's doing by going after paul ryan, anyone down ballot.
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what matters to him is winning his movement, his 40%, not the party. it's about him and the people who follow him. >> from what i can see, john, this thrills his core supporters, but surely he knows that he's going to need to reach beyond his core support in order to win the election. do you think he thinks that attacking paul ryan and other republicans is going to win more votes for him that he doesn't already have? >> he has to know this can't help him at all. there are two explanations for this. one, his personality when he feels sleighted he's going to hit back. two, if you look at the polls, he's on track to lose. he wants to have a rationale and excuse for why he lost. he's going to blame congressional republicans. what's interesting is paul ryan didn't unendorse trump. this is about him saving the house majority. this is the only thing from hillary clinton getting her wish list. if democrats get the house, if they nuke the filibuster, single payer canadian style medicine. now they're trying to go for the
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kill shot. they want complete control and ryan is saying, i'm not endorsing. i'm letting people do what you think is okay for your district. >> you think it would have been better for ryan to simply campaign with trump and not say much about him and not say anything about the fact that he was doing that? >> that's right. you wonder what kind of coordination was going on behind the scenes. just when he announced there was going to be a wisconsin appearance with trump, he mentioned it in the bottom of a paragraph -- almost like he department want people to know trump was coming to a rally in his home state. immediately after that he's uninvited. then there's a conference call and it's leaked out pretty readily by the staff. >> surely he must have nobody that that conference call's contents were going to leak. >> i'll tell you how this works. we'll let the viewers work in. we asked them to tell us if they can get a background on this. in my case, i talk to people who were on the call to find out and to the staff to see. occasionally they'll tell us what happened, sometimes they won't. they do this universally, not just for talks like this but for
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other things going on during the year. it's not such a conspiracy that in this one instance they -- >> capitol hill is the leakiest place in the united states, okay? >> this is how it works. this is how these things get out. they could have said, no, we're not going to tell you. that wouldn't have worked because with all the members on the call the reporters were going to find out by talking to the individual members. so, you know, it made sense for them to let us know on background. >> did he have to say -- did he have to say that at all, john? did he have to say, i'm not going to campaign with him anymore? could he have said nothing and gone about his business? >> i think the media would have eventually noticed. i think he had to put out some statement. the concern here for ryan is he wants people to do whatever people think is the best to save the majority. i don't know what that question is. analytically, i think they're in a no win situation. you need to reach out to swing voters who are suggested by the latest tape. a big concern is what else is out there. what other tapes are out there that we don't know about?
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if this tape dropped in early october do we think the democrats, hillary clinton's campaign, haven't saved worse things for later on in the campaign? >> john, susan, don't go away. the 2016 election has left the future of the supreme court in the balance. we'll take a look at what the supreme court could mean. supreme court could mean. leaked e-mails show a cozy bp engineers use robotic ultrasound technology, so they can detect and repair corrosion before it ever becomes a problem. because safety is never being satisfied. and always working to be better.
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and another bush goes down at the hands of donald trump. billy bush is reportedly out at
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nbc. the 44-year-old member of the bush family was suspended from his gig on the "today" show after the washington post published that lewd 2005 video of bush who was then a host on "access hollywood" and donald trump. now several media outlets are saying bush is negotiating his full exit from the show. when that tape was first released bush profusely apologized for his role in it. some of the most pressing issues in the 2016 elects is the fate of the supreme court. fox news chief legal correspondent shannon breem has the story. >> reporter: among the newly released e-mails wikileak attributes to the clinton campaign is an october 2015 campaign among staffers about how the candidate planned to address guns. in the exchange clinton press secretary brian fallon referenced plans to brief reporters on, quote, specific
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proposals. universal background checks and impoetsing manufacturer liability. clinton referenced it sunday night it is a mischaracterization and it's a myth. background checks do take place at gun shows and just about everywhere else with the rare exception between private transactions between individuals who are not firearms dealers and live in the same state. the issue of gun control is in the spotlight because of an open seat on the supreme court following the unexpected death of the court's staunchest defender of individual gun rights, justice antonin scalia. steven briar publicly meant that the second amendment was meant for state militias. >> that's what i thought they were talking about, which is not the right of an individual to keep a gun next to his bed. >> reporter: conservative court watchers expect merit garland to back clinton's efforts to
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restrict individual gun ownership should he ultimately be confirmed prompting election ads like this one. >> in two separate cases garland has demonstrated his strong hostility to gun owner rights and he even sided with the federal government to keep information on anyone who purchases a gun. >> reporter: it's notable when clinton was asked sunday night what she would prioritize in selecting a supreme court justice she said this. >> i respect the second amendment, but i believe there should be comprehensive background checks and we should close the gun show loophole and close the online loophole. >> reporter: the clinton team has made it clear that she has her eye set on a combination of executive action and legislation to tighten gun control. she's praised other countries to take back guns that are currently legally owned. >> getting back to justice briar. it was a little striking to hear him say that on a tv broadcast. his position on this issue is
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not news, is it? >> no. one of the biggest cases dealing with d.c.'s very strict gun laws, he wrote a defense. striking that he would talk about it in the days leading up to an election and the fact that this very well could become an issue before the court again. >> thank you. and a new batch of clinton e-mails shows a "new york times" reporter may have given some tips to the clinton campaign. stay tuned.
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today wikileaks published another 1100 e-mails from hillary clinton's campaign chief john podesta. they spent the day digging through those e-mails. >> thank you, brit. the e-mails cast a new light on some of the reporting of our colleagues here in washington, d.c., who are following the campaign and there's a series of exchanges from john harwood from cnbc where he's laudatory about chris ton's appearance and performance. he at one point said she had a very strong performance. >> he's writing this to john podesta? >> that's right. very strong performance. there's another e-mail where he says her interview with nbc's andrea mitchell was much more relaxed than a previous interview with cnn.
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it appears to be a crossing of lines in terms of the communications with a campaign. >> what else did you learn about relationships between journalists and the clib tons? >> well, there's another e-mail from donna brazile who wears a couple of different hats. she's now interim chair at the dnc and commentator for cnn. in an e-mail -- >> what role was she in at this point? >> my -- my memory is correct, she would have been in the cnn kmen ta commentator's role. >> she didn't have a role? >> not to my knowledge. the e-mail is entitled, sometimes i get the questions. every once in a while. >> what was that in reference to? >> that was in reference to the body of the e-mail where she writes to jenn palmieri who is head of communications. there is a question that i think may be a little problematic. >> she's talking about kes that are forthcoming town hall on
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cnn. >> correct. >> she's at cnn and hears about this and puts the word out about the subject. >> she passes the e-mail along to the clinton campaign. if you look at the transcript from the town hall, it's not exactly verbatim but it's very, very close. i think at the very least you could say they tipped them off in advance to the topic and the framework they would be facing in that town hall. >> wow. anything else? >> well, there's also another e-mail from 2015, a well respected "new york times" reporter, i want to make sure i say the name correctly here, mark leiebowich. >> he was tough on the institutions and the media. >> let's pull up the quotes. he's pushing out quotes to the clinton campaign allowing them to veto what will be used. it says, i wanted the option to use all, that's a reference to the quotes, and you could veto what you didn't want, that's why i selected the five or six that i sent to you. i mean, you know from your decades of experience, it's unheard of to give the subject
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of your story veto over what the quotes are. >> yes, that is. that is unusual. i suspect, you know, sometimes you check a story with someone you -- >> check the language but not a veto. >> not a veto or a quote. that's a little unusual. thank you very much. >> you're welcome. >> what to make of this seening chummine chumminess. joining me is tucker carlson. you had a chance to look at these things. what do you make of them? >> they're shocking. i would say a couple of things. i sent out reporters to get comments from the various news organizations involved. in a majority of cases we got a no comment. now think about that. what would be the justification for news organization whose whole mission is predicated on openness, open flow of information, honesty to say no comment. we don't have to, we're not going to. the reason they're not responding, i think, is because this is let's call it plainly, this is corruption. this is collusion between the
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principals and the people who are supposed to be watching over them, the press, doing so on our behalf, readers and viewers. we imagine that they are working on our behalf to get answers on our behalf from people in whom we've vested power and money, government. now we're finding that they are in fact colluding. in some cases as with john harwood, he was giving campaign advice to the chairman of hillary clinton's campaign, john podesta. ben carson, you should watch out for him. >> there was a warning, wasn't there? >> that's exactly right. >> warned him about ben carson being a potentially strong candidate? >> yes. in another case he basically expressed revulsion at donald trump and said in effect i am glad i was so tough on him. he was one of the moderators. it was controversial because he seemed to be singling out trump. his response is i'm a reporter, we're supposed to be asking tough questions. here he is gloating saying i'm
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glad i treated him that way. really? journalism is predicated on trust just as the financial markets are predicated on trust. insider trading is illegal. it hurts all of us and it makes our society unstable. if you can't believe what you see in the news or read in a paper, you'll believe anything. >> it's not unusual for journal lists to develop friendly relationships with the people we cover, particularly with the aides of the people we cover. >> yes. >> you see them all the time, you've known them for many years, tell jokes with them, maybe have a beer with them. >> yes. >> but i don't think it's common to write little reviews of a candidate's performance and e-mail the review. >> you're absolutely right. i ran into mike mcqueary who was bill clinton's press secretary. you might be friendly with people. what you don't do is identify
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with them. you're on the opposite side. you're in a contentious relationship by its definition. they're the politicians, the aides, you're the press. >> arm's length at least. >> it has to be. the problem is they're all in the same soup culturally. it turns out that your average "new york times" reporter has more in common with presidential candidate than he has with the average voter. >> i remember you'd be sitting up in the senate gallery and you'd see a ferocious debate. then you'd see them walking out of the chamber with their arms around each other. i thought that was a nice thing but i said to one reporter one time. i said, look at them. no matter what you think, those guys down there, men and women on that floor, they're a lot closer to each other than they are to us. >> in some sense it's true that they have a shared interest. but the back drop of all of this
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is that the press keeps them honest. we're here on behalf of our readers and viewers. if we forget that and we start to believe that really we're on the same side of the people we cover, hollywood, anyone with power. we should be a back stop against their over reach. >> you think this is a consequence of a bias that we've all recognized that occurs with these journal lists and they don't recognize they have these biases and they slide into these peculiar relationships? >> i think it always has been. it's a cultural affinity. everyone in the political class is from the same background as people in the press. they went to the same schools, cultural assumptions. used to be the press was comprised of working class people and it was a trade. they didn't have that much in common with the people running the country. that was good. maybe we should get back to
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that. >> that's when people complained about the elites in the press corps. >> thanks, brit. republicans hope to keep control of the house and senate. it might not have been only a few days ago. we'll dive into the races coming up. what would the late, great william f. buckley think
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there is a certain kind of talented person whose range of gifts and skills evokes feelings of both awe and envy. such a person is my fox news correspondent james rosen. his latest book is called "a torch kept lit, great lives of the 20th century." it is a collection of writings by william f. buckley himself, a man of many gifts much like james himself who is here. >> brit, thank you. >> this book is a collection. what exactly is the nature of its contents. >> "a torch kept lit" collects
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50 of bill buckley's best eulogies that he delivered at services or kept public. there he is a section on people from the community of arts and letters. "a torch kept lit" is where you're going to see milton friedman next to jerry garcia. >> william f. buckley whose face you see on the screen there is founder of "national review" magazine and the father of the moderate conservative movement starting in 1960 as it evolved through the reagan years up through this year. one of the -- and if anyone doubts the range of william f. buckley's interests, consider that among those, milton friedman, the great economist, many presidents, buckley was also an elvis fan. buckley, who once said, the greatest genius that ever lived was bach.
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he was also an elvis fan. i'd like you to read this in buckley's voice. >> well, i'll be honored to do it. bill buckley was an elvis man. he wrote a novel about elvis. he wrote at graceland, quote, there are the gold records he won from the industry, authentic memorabilia of a voice and manner and style that dumfounded, enthralled and repelled the largest single musical audience ever got together by a single musical artist. he told me that himself in 2000. i cherish that. >> i bet you did. >> tell me about other things people should look for because it's tu it's full of stuff. >> this has people of the 20th century that he knew or corresponded with, people like princess di, ronald regan, mlk, john lennon, johnny carson.
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that's one of the eulogies we have in the book. i'll give a little taste of that in buckley's voice if i'm allowed. he once confided to a critic that i was the only guest he had ever been frightened of. i don't know what the circumstances of that odd situation were and the critic didn't pause to ask and johnny department elaborate as far as i know. >> but he was a frequent guest on "the "tonight show"" and buckley could easily co-exist beside rich little on the "tonight show." >> speaking of impersonators, you do him pretty well. anyone else from the volume you'd like to give us a sample of in buckley's voice? >> sure. he wrote an entire book about his friendship with ronald regan. reading "national review" made him into a conservative from a liberal. in his eulogy for ronald regan which was written before reagan had died but when he was in decline. buckley wrote, i have speculated
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on what i continue to believe was the conclusive factor in the matter of american security against any threat of soviet aggression. it was the character of the occupant of the white house, the character of ronald regan. >> now just so people will have an idea of just how close you have come to buckley, we have a little buckley. let's listen to him. >> we will explore the question of the future of the gop and of the conservative movement. there is as little point i think in reciting the background of ronald regan as there would be in reciting the background of jimmy carter. i suppose it is reasonable to say they are the two best known politicians in the country after senator kennedy and richard nixon. >> let's stop calling names. >> i'll sock you in the god damn face and you'll stay plastered. >> a republican and a conservative, terms which he had not found or at least not yet found to be mutually exclusive.
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>> god, i love that. thank you, brit. >> you sound just like him. you really do. the book, ladies and gentlemen, is good stuff. the pieces are short enough that you can read two or three of them at one sitting. the writing of james's interduction to each of these is terrific stuff. great book to give away for christmas. i'm proud to own it. james, thank you very much for coming in. >> thank you, brit. tight senate races around the country could change the balance of the senate. right now republicans have control but in this election anything might happen.
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the outcome of the 2016 presidential race will almost a certainly filter down into the
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races that will determine control of the senate and the house. speaker of the house paul ryan will no longer campaign for donald trump and has told republicans this year to do what is best for them to a winning battle, but others face tough election fights as we've been noticing. battle. we have the senior writer for the weekly standard. the democrats need to pick up what? >> the republicans have 54. four or five depending on. >> so another four or five, which means that if a handful of republicans lose, it only takes a few, and there are 24 republicans up, right? only 10 democrats, so there's real opportunity for the democrats. >> well, for democrats, there's only one race that's really in danger, an open seat in nevada. harry reid is retiring. he's the minority leader. for the republicans it's more
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risky, you have a half-dozen seats in tossup or in danger. >> republicans in blue states. >> or in purplish states. so they are in danger in far more numbers than democrats. it's a likelihood democrats will pick up some seats. the question is how much, is it enough to turn it into a tied senate, where the tiebreaker will go to the white house or a very slim republican majority. >> which seats do you think are most vulnerable for the republicans. >> it's got to be the blue states. illinois is a tough year. it's going to be very tough for mark kirk to hold onto that seat. he is the incumbent republican. >> he bailed out on trump early on. >> early on separation. most polls are showing ron johnson up five and another
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showing him down 12, feingold is a former senator. >> he's the guy that johnson beat, right ? >> this is a rematch. >> well-known quantities. >> the average shows russ feingold a once incumbent, now challenger, as you can see on the screen there, folks, leading by 2.5, 3.5 points. >> is there real movement going on in this case? or is this just an outlier. that's the question in wisconsin. >> where else? >> kelly ayotte in new hampshire is interesting. they're both popular, and it's a state where donald trump won the republican primary. you had kelly ayotte walk back her endorsement of trump, despite the fact that he does have a lot of followers in the state. she said she had to do so because of her daughter. >> ayotte is up two in the real
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clear politics average. >> that's not a lot. >> are there recent individual polls that paint a different picture? >> part of the issue, too, is that the down-ticket question here. if clinton wins new hampshire on the earlier maps that we were looking at that had the state leaning towards -- >> looks like she's doing well there, yeah. >> and the same in florida where you have rubio winning by a few points. here's what they can have a split ticket. you have people voting for clinton as a president but maintaining the republican the senate. it's still in the danger zone that four and a half points. >> you've seen the break down is that donald trump is losing hispanic voters by maybe 20 points or more. marco rubio is winning hispanic
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time now for another round of viewer feedback from the twitter verse. first up is dr. reesener who said, quote, i think you look young aer than anyone has a rig to. and it's not often you see journalist who actually knew walter cronkite -- another tweet, you look incredible. my 8-year-old said you look around 50. it's true. thanks for that, leanne, but it seems not all viewers like this segment. appreciate your reporting but please stop reading mean tweets. it's poor manners to bring attention to yourself. and another, mean tweets is
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beneath you, but please use this one on the show. and my favorite, you are so calm and cool as you deliver the news. i bet you're not wearing any pants, are you? well, yes, i am. please keep the feedback coming. tweet me @brit hume. that's about it for tonight. "the o'reilly factor's" up next, and bill has the first one on one interview since the tapes with donald trump himself. and we leave you with p.j. o'rourke who wrote the democrats are the party of activism. republicans are the party that says government work and then get elected and prove it. by the way, if you used to dvr this program at 7:00 p.m., your
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dvr may have vanished, so be sure to reset it. o'reilly is straight ahead. welcome to "red eye." hello, everyone i'm tom shillue. let's check in with andy levey at the "red eye" tease deck. did hillary clinton break up one of the most beloved rock punk bands in pop history? sure, why not? and tim kaine is grilled on his knowledge of words and phrases like on, sleek, bay and bye, felicia. why some say he is the democratic tom shillue. and finally airline flight attendants talk about annoying drunk passengers. i guess that goes against the responsible


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