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tv   Special Report With Bret Baier  FOX News  November 4, 2016 3:00pm-4:01pm PDT

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tomorrow, 5:00 p.m. eastern, we will be here live. special edition of "the five." see you then. "special report" next. fox news alert. i'm bret baier in washington. with four days to go before election day, hillary clinton's lead over donald trump has dwindled. that's the headline. from new fox polls releasing right now. clinton's 3 point at vantage from last week has as you can see here falling to 2 points. that's within the margin of error. in the head to head, clinton facing trump, it's now down to one. the states, red states republican, blue states democrat. the gray states are key battlegrounds. right now, 201 to 164. in the electoral vote. you need 270 to win the
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presidency. as of tonight, if the election were held tonight with the real clear politics average of polls in each state, giving the leader of that state tonight, the win, donald trump would win in arizona. he would win in nevada. he would win in iowa. he would win in ohio. he would win a close one in new hampshire. he would also win in north carolina and in georgia. hillary clinton as of tonight would win in colorado. she would win wisconsin and michigan. she would pull off a squeaker in pennsylvania. she would also win in virginia. you see florida here. tonight the real clear politics average of polls in florida has hillary clinton up 1.2%. if you give florida to the democrats, hillary clinton is the next president 298 to 240. if the trend continues and republicans pick up momentum and donald trump picks up momentum in florida and you change
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florida to donald trump's straight, look at the numbers. 269 to 269. no one gets to the 270 needed to be president. this race heads to the u.s. house of representatives. to be decided who will be the next president of the united states. thepopulation, big electoral states. trump is in pennsylvania to change minds. clinton will end her day in ohio where she's hoping to shore up participation rates which in some quarters appear to be lacking. we have team coverage. jennifer griffin is in cleveland where clinton will attend a rally with jay-z. we start off with carl cameron covering the trump campaign in hershey, pennsylvania, where the nominee will appear at the top of the hour. good evening. >> reporter: hi. four days left and today the labor department reported that unemployment ticked down last
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month. the republican nominee donald trump called that phony. at a country club in new hampshire, a swing state with a large block of independent voters, donald trump decried the jobs report. at 4.9%, it's the lowest the month before a presidential election in 40 years. 161,000 new jobs were created. but 425,000 people stopped looking for work. >> they're not looking for work because they can't get a job. they take them off the rolls. these numbers are an absolute disaster. we have a one-way highway right into mexico and these other places. they take our jobs. they take our money. they take our cash. you know what we get out of it? drugs and unemployment. >> reporter: new hampshire has an opioid epidemic. the unemployment rate was 2.9%. most polls have shown the race tied within the margin of error
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for weeks. >> we have had incredible polls. you have seen the new poll that came out. we are three points up nationwide. going like a rocket. many, many polls. i won't even go all the polls. >> reporter: the latest fox news polls show the candidates equally unpopular. leaving the more unpopular than popular. when it comes to who has the better temperament, 58% say clinton does. 57% say trump does not. at an airport rally, he ramped up his attack. >> find out going through a pervert's file, anthony wiener. anybody in new york knows all about anthony wiener. they have e-mails there that are beyond classified. it's all coming down. >> this race is so tight that
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everyone's on guard for dirty tricks and more bombshells. typically over the weekend, they don't have enough time to turn voters around. but this race is so close, it's possible that that does happen. >> carl, as of tonight, we did the electoral map just before tossing to you. there are a ton of states within the margin of error. there was one caveat to our map tonight that eventually tied at 269, 269. that is maine where tonight in the second congressional district of maine, donald trump would win with an average of .5% lead over hillary clinton in maine. that would give him 271 to 267. he visited maine before. >> reporter: he has worked in maine. hillary clinton has been there not at all. donald trump has been to maine twice since october 1. trump is spending more money there. there aren't a lot of states where trump is outspending her. in the second district of maine
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he is. about $384,000 to her. her about $210,000 or so. that's a big margin. that would be a stunner if it actually came down to a photo finish on the electoral college decided by the second congressional district of maine, it would be the perfect topper to what's already been a historically strange race. >> it would be actually one electoral vote each. it's absolutely amazing. you are right, it would be two for the state and one for each congressional district. that could be amazing. we will see. thank you, carl. hillary clinton is dealing with perceived gaps in enthusiasm and trustworthiness according to the latest polls, including fox new's poll out tonight. however, new numbers from florida suggest a record latino vote. as the election seems to be tightening, most experts believe turnout will be the key for her hopes of winning the presidency. jennifer griffin is in cleveland tonight. >> reporter: good evening.
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we are here in cleveland, ohio. this will be a jay-z concert later tonight. hillary clinton trying to get out the vote among young african-american millennial voters. if they don't vote for her, think of the alternative she is saying. >> this is one of those make or break moments of the united states. it is in your hands. and when your kids and your grandkids ask what you did in 2016, when everything was on the line, i hope you will be able to say, i voted for a better, stronger, fairer america. >> reporter: president obama's pleas got interrupted today. he asked the crowd to focus on the alternative. >> everybody, everybody, hey! hey! listen up. hey! i told you to be focused and you are not focused right now. listen to what i'm saying. hold up. hold up. hold up. hold up!
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everybody sit down and be quiet for a second. >> reporter: with eroding poll numbers in key battleground states, the clinton team added the trip to detroit. michigan hasn't voted for a republican since 1988. expert the message to sound like last night's when clinton enlisted musician pharrell williams to campaign with her and bernie sanders in north carolina. >> go out and vote and show everybody that you are actually really the majority. >> reporter: a week after the fbi director re-opened the investigation into the clinton's use of a private e-mail server. >> any response to the fbi? will you be back out on the campaign trail? >> reporter: the target of that investigation, human abedin, brokeler exi leher exile to app fund-raiser. the effei's renewed investigation on clinton's poll numbers are an unknown variable this late on the campaign trail. a new fox news poll indicates
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among independents, new fbi review would make it less likely to vote for her. clinton has cut into trump's lead since the last fox poll. the state department today released more e-mails as part of the court order to do so. among those e-mails, most of them of which were duplicates, there were two that had been retroactively upgraded to confidential, the lowest form of classification. one of those caught our attention. it was an e-mail that was sent to chelsea and had to do with global warming, climate change negotiations. it was one of two, again, classified e-mails in the new batch released t ed tonight by state department. >> jennifer, thank you. the latest from wikileaks. we are learning more about how concerned some of bill and
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hillary clinton's top aides were about the former president's fast and loose attitude over freebies in the growing revelations about the perspective president's e-mail history. ed henry has those stories tonight. >> reporter: wikileaks has dumped 47,000 e-mails that have been damaging to the clinton foundation. now there are questions about whether hillary clinton's internet guru is keeping quiet about more than just her server. on the day hillary clinton's former i.t. chief signalled he would be taking the fifth before the select benghazi committee, liberal activist joked she would buy advil and tums for john podesta. but issued a warning, there could be more damaging information lurking. a reference to an attorney on clinton's first 2008 presidential campaign, where he got his start in politics.
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a new wikileaks e-mail shows there was another ominous warning issued by colin powell. when the e-mail scandal broke in march 2015, and clinton aides signals they were going to claim she had the same setup as powell who as secretary of state did use personal e-mail but did not have his own server, powell brushed back clinton adviser cheryl mills. i haven't been asked nor said a word about hrc and won't unless you start it. when clinton campaign aides did drag powell into the story this past summer, he lashed out that they were trying to pin it all on him. he endorsed clinton over donald trump anyway. today, there was new trouble for bill clinton with another leaked e-mail showing when his foundation tried to set up new conflict of interest rules in 2011 an associate, doug band, let podesta know the former president, quote, may have some real serious conflicts if we start to make too many rules. it may be time to update some procedures but we cannot ignore the nexus of wjc's life.
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that nexus based on band's words including bill clinton getting personal gifts, speech income and consulting contracts from foundation donors. if hillary clinton is elected, there are donors around the world who may look to collect on favors, after pouring big money into the foundation. a december 2012 memo that emerged today shows how much one on one meetings with the former president cost in the form of a donation to the foundation's endowment. software executive alex cart paid $100,000. a health care executive paid $140,000. >> reporter: that was facetime. then there's real time. 6 million came into the foundation in 2012, plus $4 million the year before. good money for a phone call. >> thank you. with just four days to go, there are increasing concerns tonight about whether the voting system in secure in general and
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specifically from russian interference. good evening. >> reporter: the cyber threat to tuesday's election at least in terms of changing the vote count is probably very slim. that's because the voting system in the united states is decentralized. elections are done state by state. even electronic voting machines are not connected to the internet. that said, there's little doubt among security experts that russia under president putin has been trying to disrupt our election process. the secretary of homeland security predicted today the system is ready. >> i have a lot of confidence in the integrity of our ballot counting process. i have confidence in the security and cyber security around the process run by state and local election officials. >> reporter: but denial of service attacks are potentially very harmful given the huge mistrust between the political
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parties in this country. more harmful still if the election is close. >> if they attack the place that's supposed to report out the results, if they attack the media sites that are collecting this information, what we have is chaos. then we have a cascading series of problems like trust. >> reporter: the department of homeland security is now working with 48 states that have requested cyber security help, doing risk assessment and scanning for malware and can be done remotely. the present release of john podesta e-mails are targeting curiously enough just one party. some have speculated that stems from putin's blaming clinton for demonstrations that followed russia's 2011 parliamentary elections. wikileaks founder said that russia is not behind the ongoing podesta e-mail leaks. all adding to intrigue about who is doing the hacking and who may threaten more. >> doug, thank you.
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tonight's issues that matter segment deals with what you told us is one of the top two issues of this presidential campaign, terrorism. where we are 15 years after the 9/11 attacks. >> reporter: brian and melissa are juggling work and raising two young children, like so many voters, terrorism is an issue that matters. for them it's personal. >> i am a native new yorker who lost my fiance on 9/11. sg >> i lost my parents. >> reporter: living in virginia, not far from where flight $77 crash, they fear their children will see the world through terrorism. >> i'm more sensitive to it than others, especially with our children now growing up. i see that there's just more of a chance for something else to happen. >> reporter: melissa hasn't
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heard anything from the candidates that gives her peace of mind. >> i don't think either one is equipped to deal with something that -- something like 9/11 possibly where -- now we're talking about individualized attacks. >> we are going to stop radical islamic terrorism in this country. she won't even mention the words and neither will president obama. >> we need to keep our eye on isis. that's why i want to have an intelligence surge that protects us here at home. >> reporter: a clinton administration promises to take out isis in iraq and syria, harness a global coalition to defeat international terror networks and support first responders on the front lines here at home. >> we want to stop these things, prevent them before they occur. >> reporter: washington's interim police chief says his officers are training for scenarios like this summer's terrorist attack -- >> i'm in orlando. i did the shooting. >> reporter: at the pulse nightclub where 49 were killed and last december's assault in san bernardino leaving 14 dead. the shooters were inspired by al qaeda and isis. >> we have a tactical village.
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it's almost a warehouse where we can actually set up a school. we can set up a nightclub. we have an actor go in and they essentially are acting as a lone wolf shooter. >> reporter: a trump administration promises to crush isis through aggressive coalition military operations. rebuild u.s. forces with improved intelligence and sicyb capability. trump also draws a distinction on refugees. >> when i'm elected president, we will suspend the syrian refugee program. and we will keep radical islamic terrorists the hell out of our country. >> i am not going to let anyone into this country who is not vetted, who we do not have confidence in. but i am not going to slam the door on women and children. >> reporter: during the first nine months of 2016, the justice department reported 49 new international terrorism prosecutions, an increase of 10% over 2015.
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while both candidates pledge to disrupt online recruiting, neither offer specifics. >> isil right now is the most prominent terrorist group on the world stage. >> reporter: speaking with fox news, the homeland security secretary says the next administration will wrestle with a digital jihad. >> when you look at their recruitment efforts on social media on the internet, it's slick. it is impressive. it has a western flavor to it. >> reporter: clinton says trump makes a mistake whenever he alienates the muslim community. >> calling for a total and complete shutdown of muslims entering the united states. >> reporter: the officers rely on strong community partnerships to disrupt terrorism and crime. >> it's peculiar behavior by the lone wolf actor. and i think that the community has been very good about recognizing some of those things. >> reporter: in september, the dumpster bomber in new york city was taken down in new jersey after a 36-hour manhunt.
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based on his notebook, he was prepared to die for radical islam. >> until it happens to you or someone close to you, i don't think people fully comprehend the threat we're facing. i would like to say to my kids that we can -- we're doing our best to prevent another 9/11 from happening. >> reporter: asked who they trust, the new fox news poll shows voters are divided. that's a consistent trend throughout the election cycle. >> thank you. sunday at 8:00 eastern, we conclude our issues that matter series with the number one issue, according to you. the economy. dan swing espringer has the rep. the verdicts are in in the bri bridgegate controversy. philadelphia, the city's striking transit workers are being asked to suspend their walk-out and work on election day if a deal is not reached before then. this is day four of the strike.
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philadelphia commuters are hitting clogged roads, jumping on bikes and organizing carpools. fox 5 in new york where authorities say a new york city police sergeant has been fatally shot and another wounded in an exchange of gunfire in the bronz bronx. the gunman was killed. in new york, a suspect in custody after a stabbing at rutgers university in new jersey. new york covering that. the university sent out an alert just before 3:00 p.m. saying there had been a stabbing at the business school. telling people to avoid the area and take shelter. this is a live look at chicago from fox 32. the story there tonight, a massive parade for the world series champion chicago cubs. five million fans lined downtown parade routes and jammed into grant park as you see there. along lake michigan. the cubs won their first world
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series championship since 1908. they defeated the cleveland indians wednesday in an mazing game seven of that series. that's tonight's live look outside the beltway from "special report." we'll be right back. (vo) maybe it was here, when you hit 300,000 miles. or here, when you walked away without a scratch. maybe it was the day your baby came home. or maybe the day you realized your baby was not a baby anymore. every subaru is built to earn your trust. because we know what you're trusting us with. subaru. kelley blue book's most trusted brand. and best overall brand. love. it's what makes a subaru, a subaru.
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bp engineers use underwater robots, so they can keep watch over operations below the sea, even from thousands of feet above. because safety is never being satisfied. and always working to be better. want a great way to help our children thrive? then be sure to vote yes on proposition 55. prop 55 doesn't raise taxes on anyone. instead, it simply maintains the current tax rate on the wealthiest californians to prevent education cuts that would hurt our kids. no wonder prop 55 is endorsed by the california pta, teachers and educators. because all of us want to help our children thrive. it's time to vote yes on proposition 55.
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two former allies of new jersey governor chris christie have been convicted in a plot to use traffic jams for political retaliation. christie has not been charged. david lee miller has the verdicts in the bridgegate trial. >> reporter: both former high ranking aides to chris christie were convicted in federal court of multiple charges, including fraud and conspiracy. in a plot to shut down traffic
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lanes on the george washington bridge to retaliate against a local mayor who refused to endorse the governor for re-election. during the trial, the prosecution and witnesses claim christie knew about the plot to create massive traffic jams. christie had denied having any role in the shutdown. the so-called bridgegate scandal tainted his reputation, hindering his presidential run and possibly costing him selection as donald trump's running mate. following the verdict, christie released a statement that said in part -- the u.s. attorney was asked why christie was not charged. >> we indicted only the people we believed we had evidence beyond a reasonable doubt, which is the constitutional standard. evidence beyond a reasonable doubt to convict in this courthouse. >> reporter: during the trial, a former christie ally, who pled guilty for his role in the plot, testified for the prosecution. other evidence included e-mails
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from the defendants, including one written by kelly that said, time for some traffic problems in fort lee. >> i said in my opening and summation, i felt she was a scapegoat. >> reporter: facing 86 years, both defendants say we will fight their convictions. >> i am innocent of these charges. i am very, very looking forward to this appeal. >> reporter: in the wake of the convictions, hillary clinton's campaign chief says christie should resign as head of trump's transition team. this weekend christie is scheduled to campaign for trump in new hampshire and pennsylvania. >> thank you. north carolina's governor's race could go either way, depending on the turnout there. generated by interest in the presidential race. right now, real clear politics has roy cooper ahead of pat mccrory about 2 percentage points. we look at what this contest is
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all about mccrory wa elected, but his bid for a second term turned into a referendum on socially conservative legislation. >> he has been associated with the most visible and the most controversial issues rather than the legislature where all of this got passed. those issues include voter i.d. those include the hb-2 bathroom bill. >> reporter: he signed house bill 2 into law in march. it blocked a charlotte ordinance that would have allowed transgender people to use public rest rooms corresponding to their gender identity. the new law rallied social conservatives but alienated many fiscal conservatives and moderates. it prompted an economic boycott of the state. >> when we lost the nba all-star game, the ncaa and the acc championships, it hurt north carolina's economy and our national reputation. >> reporter: roy cooper the
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state's democratic attorney general has seized on the negative consequences of hb-2, putting the governor on the defensive. >> does the desire to be politically correct outweigh our children's privacy and safety? not on my watch. >> reporter: mccrory has taken heat over the vote er i.d. law which was struck down this year. >> the governor continues to use taxpayer money to pay for attorneys to continue to appeal this. of course, he lost. it's shameful for the governor to keep pushing this legislation. it's wrong for our state. >> reporter: some conservatives criticize cooper for not doing his job as attorney general and refusing to defend the state voter i.d. law in court. >> if you don't think there's potential for voter fraud, you are digging your head in the sand. as you know in the history of the united states in chicago in west virginia, in texas, voter fraud occurs.
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we need to do everything we can to make sure it doesn't happen. if you don't look for it, you are not going to find it. >> reporter: mccrory's handling of hurricane matthew and the flooding may have helped gobolsr his support. but at tension to getting out the democratic vote gives cooper a boost. now in this election season, there's been a lot of talk about what impact the presidential candidates will have down ballot. at the same time, trump and clinton are actively campaigning in this battleground state with the realization that hb-2 and its impact on the governor's race could have an up ballot affect on them as well. >> jonathan, thank you. another down day on wall street. the dow lost 42. the s&p dropped 3.5. the nasdaq fell 12. for the week, the dow lost 1.5 percentage points. the s&p was down two.
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the nasdaq fell two and three-quarters. why we fight series looks at the rules of engagement. american troops must follow in the war on terror. changes to make things right. all customers who have been impacted will be fully refunded. we're taking action and renewing our commitment to you. only new alka-seltzer plus justfree of artificial dyes and preservatives liquid gels delivers the powerful cold symptom relief you need without the unnecessary additives you don't. store manager: clean up, aisle 4. alka-seltzer plus liquid gels.
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u.s. officials say three american service members died today in a shooting in jordan. we're told the troops were in vehicles approaching the gate of a jordanian military facility when they came under small arms fired. one was killed initially. two others died at a hospital. every member of our fighting force needs to know what is and what isn't allowed on the battlefield. these questions can get tricky when you fight an enemy that makes every place a battlefield. in tonight's how we fight report, a look at the rules of engagement our military fights under. are they too restrictive, making the mission more difficult and dangerous?
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are they a necessary part of fighting this war? february 2010. coalition troops begin massing on the outskirts of a taliban stro stronghold. a major, a green beret officer, linked up with a detachment of u.s. marines. >> i had by that time had gotten very close with the platoon leader. >> that was a captain. >> you could tell he was a good leader. >> this will be the biggest operation of the afghan surge. >> the most intense experience i have had. >> while clearing an area after a fire fight, some marines attempted to open a sliding metal door. >> a huge explosion. you could hear people screaming. >> three marines were injured and two were killed. >> they set off a device when they moved open the door. i could see the life leaving lance corporal johnson.
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it blue othew another one 20 fe into the open. >> he talked about it that night. >> the only thing he was saying is that we're going to get this guy. that was it. >> the captain and the major dug for intel, meeting with tribal leaders. did you find the suspected taliban bomb maker? >> we captured a fighter. and weapons, we recovered radios. they use -- the taliban were using. quite a bit of material. >> at the time, you think this is the guy? >> absolutely. >> after he was detained, the suspected bomb maker refused to speak to investigators. because of strict rules of engagement, they were ordered to release him. >> it was construed as a law enforcement mindset. there's limited we could hold these guys. >> these are enemy combatants, taliban, bad dudes. we would pull them out. we wouldn't have any place to
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hold them. eventually, we would let them back. they would cause terror in the community again. >> right. in fact, you just really -- you realize quickly you make things worse. it's an inevitable outcome that people who are cooperating with coalition forces when identified will suffer terrible torture or be killed. >> shortly after releasing the detainee, he took matters into his own hands. did you kill the taliban bomb maker? >> yes. >> years later, he started talking about his attack on the bomb maker in a job interview with the cia. >> you willingly offered up the details at the cia? >> that's correct. >> that's where it all started? >> pretty much. >> he received a silver star for valor in afghanistan now found himself accused of murder and conspiracy. what followed was the army's version of a thorough police
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investigation. >> i told the army investigator, i don't know anything. i don't remember anything. i never begrudged investigators or even my commanders for doing an investigation. if they are concerned about my judgment or my behavior, then i would expect they would look into it. >> ultimately, after a review by a military tribunal, no charges were filed. he was removed from special forces. his silver star was taken away. and he was denied the position at the cia. what is it like going from war hero to accused war criminal? are you angry? >> no. it has been incredibly painful and very difficult. over the last years, everyone who served with me stood by me. so it's over.
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>> this was 1944 or '45, you know, he would have gotten a medal for it. it can't all be sugary sweet. we can't operate like the local police department here. it's like that's what they want. >> he is not alone in his view. many of the higher ups feel in general there's been too much micromanagement in the war on terror. >> these are people who really want to do the mission. >> leon panetta was president obama's second defense secretary. >> the more you try to impose restrictions as to how they are able to fulfill their mission, the more you guarantee failure of that mission. >> they are now far from the battle. the story of afghanistan, of course, is far from over. as of january this year, the taliban are back in control of the surrounding areas. >> the taliban has re-established a degree of
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momentum. that momentum was broken and actually reversed during the surge in afghanistan, which i was privileged to command for a bit over a year. >> david petraeus notes in recent years the obama administration has loosened some of the rules of engagement. >> i was pleased to see the relaxation of some of the restrictions on the use of our air power, advisers and special operatirations forces. i'm not sure it's enough. i have have concerned we may have drawn down too fast there. that we don't have enough capability. that we are still perhaps restricting some of this in ways that are unhelpful. >> men who fought in afghanistan wonder if those in charge really understand how things work on the ground. >> for myself and my peers is that we do not have that support. my part of the bargain is i act in good faith. i'm upholding the truth invested in me to take into account all
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of what i'm -- the mission, the rules and the context i'm trying to apply them in. do that to the best of my ability. their part of the bargain is that you don't come in after the fact with different information, with -- knowing the outcome and saying, we didn't like it. >> there isn't anything that's going to make it even. they did their job, always in good spirits, always focused. if somebody is fulfilling your decision, so you better make sure it's a [ bleep ] good order you give them. you better make sure it's the proper order and everything else. if it's not, you are the one that's going to have to live with that. ♪ >> tomorrow on a special saturday edition of "special report" the how we fight series continues. we examine the iran deal and how foreign policy affects our military.
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next up, the final weekend of this campaign. brand-new fox polls and the return of the casino. the panel joins me when we return. approve this message. i could stand in the middle of 5th avenue and shoot somebody and i wouldn't lose any voters, okay? and you can tell them to go f**á themselves. you know you could see there was blood coming out of her eyes,
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blood coming out of her wherever. you gotta see this, i don't know, i don't remember. he's going like 'i don't remember.'
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an incredible poll. you have probably seen the new poll came out. we are three points up nationwide and going like a rocket. many, many polls. i won't even go over all the polls. but we're leading in ohio and iowa. >> the choice could not be clearer. are we going to build a stronger, fairer, better america, or are we going to fear
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each other and the future? >> hillary clinton and donald trump today on the trail. we're closing in on election day. here is where they went. donald trump was in new hampshire, ohio and pennsylvania tonight. mike pence in michigan, north carolina and florida. donald trump junior in arizona. hillary clinton in pennsylvania, michigan, ohio. tim kaine in florida. president obama in north carolina for two stops. vice-president biden in wisconsin. bill clinton in colorado for two stops. bernie sanders in iowa city, iowa. here are the latest fox news polls. the four-way, clinton with a two point lead within the margin of error. it has shifted from one week ago. on the head to head, she is now up in our poll. that has changed from 49 to 44. among independents, hillary clinton trails donald trump, 33-41. she has picked up some numbers
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in this poll from last week with independents. then level of support, donald trump supporters strongly, 71%. there you see hillary clinton supporters 65%. with that, let's start there and bring in our panel. steve haze, lisa booth, tim farley, and charles krauthammer. tim, what do you make of the polls, the maps? >> momentum. if you go to the real clear politics average, you can throw it out. independents moved away from johnson maybe. i was looking at 1968 thinking about hubert humphrey. i know it's ancient history. they thought he would have won the race another week or two. you had similar division in the country. you had an unlikable richard
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nixon. had y you had the terrible vietnam war. an albatross over the president, lyndon johnson who decided not to run. all of those things together. richard nixon eeks out an unpopular victory. in this case, hillary clinton is nuts. burdened by that albatross over president obama. he is very popular. all coming down to it, i don't think that donald trump has enough time to win. i think that he has shown momentum, but i think hillary clinton based on what i'm seeing in the polls winds up getting the victory. very much like in 1968, it's just -- he will run out of time. >> yeah. obviously, i'm not going to break news. donald trump is surging right now. he is closing in on her. look at florida, ohio and iowa, all look very good for trump. north carolina republicans are over performing early voten margins from 2012. if you take a look at some of the more elusive states like pennsylvania and michigan, look at pennsylvania, there's a poll out today, harper polling that
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has them tied. he is doing better in the pittsburgh area. you look at michigan, detroit free press has him down by four. what's interesting about michigan is that he is over performing blue collar areas. and then he also is doing much better in higher income areas like oakland, higher educated, higher income, where he was down by around 20 points, now he is down by only four. if he over performs but then does as well as he is doing now in oakland and grabbnd rapids, there's a chance he pulls michigan off. >> which would be a huge win in a blue state traditionally. fox news poll 7 is the honest and trustworthy number. hillary clinton at 31, 66. donald trump at 38, 58. >> that's all a reflection of the comey recount. i mean, this is all the after affects of that bomb. a lot -- some of it is wikileaks. i don't think wikileaks had a
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dramatic affect. there's also the obamacare, the rise in the premiums affecting people with their wallets. it was the fact that the charges now revived. she's under indictment. or she could be. she's under investigation. criminal investigation. >> let's be very clear here. let's just be very clear here. >> that was a slip of the tongue. >> holy cow. >> that was not intended. that was not innuendo. that was simply a slip. i think that -- i made that clear. here she is. in the ad trump is saying she's under criminal investigation. that revived everything that had been buried and banished when he gave her this sort of semi-exoneration in july. that's what we're seeing. look, all you have do is to say that if nationally -- if everywhere he loses a point or two or three, which he certainly has and probably more,
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nationwide that shifts a bunch of states into different categories. that accounts for what we're seeing. i suspect the effect of that is now attenuated. this is not a growing influence on the campaign. it's probably spent. it's probably spent so that unless there is another revelation, another shocking wikileaks, it could stabilize it right where it is and we end up with your scenario, which is a clinton squeaker. >> we're not going to hear from director comey before the election. >> no. >> there might be a wikileaks. >> i think we're beyond wikileaks, actually. if you're planning -- if you're planning leaks in order to try to effect the outcome of an election, it's hard to break through if you do it over the weekend. i think it is sort of striking that we haven't seen any of the, you know, the deleted emails that people thought might be included in the wikileaks dumps. we never really saw the kinds of emails that i think many people an tis waited. on the fbi investigation, i
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think you're right, she obviously is hurt by this over the past week. it's been sort of the obsession of everybody. there is no doubt that what james comey said in looking again at these anthony weiner, huma abedin emails from that laptop constitutes a significant review. i do think it's the case that there is this ongoing investigation of the clinton foundation. now, this has been disputed in media reports back and forth. i have had people tell me that that investigation is active and ongoing. you've reported the same. we have seen other people report that too tom fine as it on cnn who is cnn analyst and former fbi official sourced to senior officials at the fbi in a report that he gave over the weekend that this is ongoing. he said three different times in the interview that this was an ongoing investigation. so i think all of that taken together suggests that this has been a story that has dominated the news cycle and left donald trump sort of not the focus of the news
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over the past week. >> all right. take a listen to president obama. you mentioned him, lisa, on the trail today. >> you don't have to worry about him. this is what i mean about folks not being focused. first of all, we live in a country that respects free speech. so, second of all, it looks like maybe he might have served in our military and we ought to respect that. third of all, he was elderly and we have got to respect our elders. and fourth of all, don't boo, vote. if we lose focus, we could have problems. >> he is clearly trying to motivate and get the vote out. >> specifically with the african-american vote because we're seeing the african-american vote is way down than it was in 2012 in big cities like detroit in
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places where she needs to drive up the margin to win some of these battleground states. north carolina, that is a big, big problem for hillary clinton. and let's also talk about where some of these surrogates are spending their time. they are spending a lot of time in states like pennsylvania and wisconsin and also spending a lot of money on ad tv as well. those are states where hillary clinton should probably have a little bit better locked up or a little bit more confidence in locking up those states. but to an earlier point as far as hillary clinton potentially putting out information about donald trump, it's too late. i mean, we're looking at the election day just a couple days away here on tuesday. i mean, it's too late for information to hit and get baked in voters' minds. that was the problem for hillary clinton with the fbi information it hit in a perfect amount of time for it to seep into voters' minds. we are seeing the ramifications in that in polls state after state and national level as well. >> quickly, you agree? >> oh, i agree the enthusiasm is down. i don't think that's going to kill her at the polls though. >> yeah. when we come back, winners and losers. ♪
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last time candidate casino, the election approaching, we're back with the panel. okay. steve, you have $100 in chips. the election is tuesday. where do you put them? >> i don't really know what to do because i always split up my best seven ways. >> some times. >> i have $65 on hillary clinton. 35 on donald trump. and i don't have any money on any of the extraneous things that i expect charles will bet on. >> okay. lisa, welcome to the table. >> i know. it's my first time to roll the dice. >> we just got chips. $100 in chips. >> all right. well $40 on clinton. just because she has been up throughout the general election and the electoral map just looks better for her. trump i have $35 on because is he surging. just at the right moment and some of these stating are starting to shake out $20 on wine it's been one of those election cycles and a dollars on advil in case
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that wine has a negative impact and have to work on wednesday. >> let's take a look at some of the viewers here. albert says 65 clinton will win. dan in main says my hope trump 100. my honest bet hillary 70, trump 30. real don lewis 100 on president trump and then from instagram j.p.t. mom 50 on trump, 50 on hillary. it's pretty much a crap shoot. all right, tim? >> i'm changing the colors new don't mind for the chips i have $20 on the blue for hillary and on the red $10 for trump go to one odds. $5 on the purple for the chance that either mike pence or tim kaine becomes president in the next year and i'm saving $65 for ammunition, food, and pepper supplies for the end of days. >> nice. all right, charles. we have gone a long way here at the table at candidate casino. you have been through wine, women, and song.
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opioids. >> i seem to have started the trend here. and yet it's been -- after losing my shirt in the casino all through the primaries, i put my money down 70 for hillary, 30 for trump. and it's been so long that i forgot the wine, women, and song. although what i would have done would have been opioids except that kids watch this show and i don't want to be a bad influence. whatever happens, leave off the drugs and just sleep for a few weeks. >> is it a long night or short night? >> agreed, short. >> i don't know. >> what do you mean you don't know? >> i don't know. >> it's not acceptable. >> all right. >> you have seen that from me. >> i think it will be a relatively short night. i think we will get some indications in these early states and be able to make some calls while people are still in their normal waking hours. >> obviously we have some big states coming in early, including north carolina and that will tell us a lot
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about hillary clinton's path. >> it won't be like game seven. >> won't be like them. thanks for inviting us into your home tonight. that's it for this "special report," fair, balanced and unafraid. good evening and welcome back. i'm brit hume and this is "on the record." new fox polls out tonight point to a still tightening race with just four days until election day. the real clear politics average of national polls shows hillary clinton with a 1.5 point lead in a two way race and 2.3 point lead in a four-way. the betting odds now show clinton leading trump by a margin of 3 to 1 in the odds. that new fox news poll meanwhile puts clinton up by two in a four-way race with her just up by 1 in two-way. just weeks ago she had a much more significant lead there so where is this new support for donald trump or opposition to hillary clinton coming from? to dig in to that we are joined by josh


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