tv ABC News Your Voice Your Vote Election Night 2016 ABC November 8, 2016 7:00pm-11:00pm EST
just blocks apart in new york city, and just hours from now, you will see the next president at one of those podiums. a night of history starts right now. the time has finally come. they've made their case. >> we will make america great again. >> we're going to prove to the world we are stronger together. >> so, who will be your next president? right now, live from times square, the crossroads of america, with our country at the crossroads, this is abc election night 2016. now reporting, from abc news election headquarters, george stephanopoulos. >> good evening, and welcome to election night 2016. what a crazy campaign this has been. bitter, ugly, always unpredictable. the debates, the rallies, the
ads and attacks, they're all done now. the decision in your hands. our whole team is here all through the night. and the first states are in. so, let's get right to it. the polls have now closed in six states, with 60 electoral votes, and abc news can project that donald trump has won the state of kentucky. that was a state won by bill clinton twice in 1992 and 1996. republican ever since then. donald trump, the winner tonight. up in vermont, three electoral votes, hillary clinton wins those. of course, that is the home state of bernie sanders, her rival in the primaries. solid blue state. hillary clinton gets that tonight. and in the state of indiana, right in the middle of the country, donald trump wins that, as well. that was won by barack hussein obama in 2008. it's gone republican ever other time since 1964. and, of course, donald trump's running mate, mike pence, is from the state of indiana, so, right there, we see 19 electoral votes for donald trump, three for hillary clinton so far. those first three states, we can
call. polls have closed in the state of georgia, that went to bill clinton in 1992, we do not have enough votes in to protect that yet. it's been a solid republican state ever since 1992, not enough votes in there yet. state of south carolina, also solid red, went democrat only once in the last generation to jimmy carter in 1976, not enough votes there yet, either. and we also have been paying special attention tonight to 12 battleground states, those are the states that the candidates spent the most time in, spent the most money in. those are the states that are going to determine this election. one of the key ones, polls just closed in the state of virginia. they voted for barack obama in the last two elections, of course, hillary clinton's running mate, tim kaine, from the state of virginia. that is a key part of her strategy, but we do not have enough votes in to project that, so, we have some votes in, three states called so far, as i said, our entire team is here. "world news tonight" anchor david muir, we don't have a lot of results. we do have exit polls. >> exit polls.
we are seeing incredibly fascinating signs about the makeup of this country and some of the key issues as they headed to the polls today. first, look at the issue of race in this country. and in particular, the racial makeup of the voters. 70% of the voters who turned out today, white. 30%, nonwhite. that number is up from 28% four years ago, and thats that tripled since 1976. on the question of honesty, so much attention paid to hillary clinton, the e-mails, that private server. when they were asked, which candidate is most honest and trustworthy, 37% saying hillary clinton, 32% saying donald trump is the most honest and trustworthy. this is a key question, as we know, which is most qualified to be president, which candidate, hillary clinton, 53% at this point, donald trump, 37%. this is preliminary data. and on the final question, and george, we asked donald trump about temperament, he said, i have the best temperament to be commander in chief, to be president, voters were asked this question. who has the best temperament, 56% saying hillary clinton, at this point, 34% saying donald
trump. >> temperament and qualificat n qualifications. also joined by my "this week" colleague, martha raddatz is here. you spent a lot of time on the road in your car, going out and meeting voters and you really did hear this distaste for both candidates. >> absolutely distaste for both candidates. and different parts. pennsylvania, i was just back from pennsylvania, in rural pennsylvania, big trump country, hillary clinton in those cities, but the voters would tell me, i'm not really voting for that person, i'm voting against the other. and that was everywhere i went. undecided voters, even those solidly for one of the candidates, it was a vote against the other. >> not a ton of enthusiasm. our chief political analyst here, matthew dowd. what are you watching for? >> i'm watching the demographics. if these hold, it looks like a presidential year. donald trump wanted it to look like a midterm year. i remember a tied race in 2000, 18% of the vote was nonwhite in 2000 and it was a tie.
this year, it looks like 30% is. to me, that's the history getting made tonight, besides potential history at the end. the history is this country has changed over the last 20 years. >> and jon karl, you've been doing a deep dive in all the states. i want to put up the 12 states we are watching, the battleground states. there they are right there. which two are you paying most attention to? >> i'm paying attention to the ones that the candidates paid the most attention to, north carolina, one of the big battleground states that was visited and spent heavily in, and florida. no state had more candidate visits and more money spent than the state of florida. and here's the thing, george. with both of those states, donald trump simply has to win. with north carolina, it is very difficult to see how he gets elected president if he loses, with florida, it is virtually impossible to see how he's elected. if i can tell you one more item here, if you are looking at florida, if you want to look at one place on this entire map, look at hillsborough county.
>> that is the bell weather county right there. we're at an odd place tonight light here in times square. we consider it the crossroads of america. i'm also joined by my "gma" colleagues who are at both head quarters right there. robin roberts is with the clinton campaign, that's at the javits center, that's the clinton headquarters tonight. ten blocks away from here, amy robach at the trump campaign at the new york hilton. ten blocks up from here. and robin, what's the mood there right now? >> oh, it's growing. the crowd, you can see, the coming in. there's a bigger crowd, george, outside, it took us about an hour and a half to gain access here. usually a short distance from our studios. we saw police presence virtually at every block. the crowd is beginning to grow, and there is a large projector that is showing the results as they come in. and the projector is hanging from a glass ceiling. and people have noticed the glass ceiling here and wondering if hillary clinton will be able to indeed shatter that glass
ceiling, becoming the first woman to be president. but you've been to these things, george. it's starting to pick up. it's a little early yet, but you can feel the energy building. >> no accident they picked that hall with the glass ceiling. cecilia vega, you have been with the clinton campaign from the very, very beginning. and one of the things they've been telling us, it seemed like they were getting momentum coming into election day. as they really look back at the convention and the debaments as the turning points. >> those are the two moments in this campaign. basically gave them their biggest bumps in some of the polls. of course, that first, the convention, the khan moment, the gold star family that ended up going at it with donald trump, telling him to read the constitution. and michelle obama's line, they go low, we go high, that became a campaign point for hillary clinton, she mentioned it almost every day. and of course, that first debate, where they just went at it. hillary clinton turning that issue into alicia machado, took that out on the campaign trail. and you saw her shift in her campaigning, turning it to an issue of women.
one that she started running on and has not stopped since, george. >> how about the lowest point? >> i got one word for you. e-mails. and it did not let up. she startled her campaign on the issue of e-mails at a low point, and she almost ended it on one, the craziest day we had on the campaign trail is that day that james comey announced again that they were investigating her e-mails, of course, we know what happened with that, nothing came of that investigation, but that was definitely one of the low points. they were gloating about how well they were doing in the polls when that happened and that took the air out of that. >> and david muir, she had such a hard time figuring out who talk about the e-mails. the first time she apologized was in an interview with you. >> you had a sense, going in, that she knew she had to address the e-mail question, george. we asked her that september day, she said, i'm sorry, and we talked about the book that she wrote right before the campaign and in that book, she talks about how important it is that a candidate acknowledges that they make mistakes. that a politician was able to call it a mistake. i said, would you call it a mistake? she said, absolutely she would.
we sat down with her in the middle of the investigation, i said, can you believe we're still talking about your e-mails? she knew it really dogged her. tim kaine came to her defense and she welcomed him in that way on particular, that issue, because she was so exhausted talking about herself. >> no question about it. let me go to amy robach at the new york hilton. not at the trump tower, amy, but you are at the trump rally. >> yes, this is the biggest venue closest to the trump tower, and that is why we are here at the hilton. a few of the thousand expected guests have started to arrive. probably one of the most exciting things we've seen is only rosa, taking selfies with some of those guests who have begun to come here, but something interesting, those guests walk through the door office this ballroom, they can each pick up one of those "make america get again" caps, those red caps. if you take a look behind me, i'd like you to look, there is one of those hats right behind me in a glass enclosed case.
there are two of them on either side of the stage. they say the reason why is because it has become the iconic symbol of the trump campaign. george? >> it certainly has. and tom llamas, you've been with the trump campaign from the start. you and i were both there in trump tower june 2015, i can tell you from my part, i had no -- there was no way i thought donald trump would be here today as the nominee of the republican party. i'm not sure donald trump thought so, either. >> george, never doubt how high donald trump thinks of himself. but i do think you're right. this was an incredible campaign. and in the beginning, there really was no campaign. it was donald trump a microphone and a twitter account. and he did so many things that were unconventional, and that's why no one believed he could get to this point. he savaged his opponents with insults. he shunned spending money on ads or a ground game. he did whatever he wanted. he showed off his airplane. there was so much going there and of course, he would make up his own facts. but it was his message and that energy. 70 years old with that booming
voice from queens, he would go into those arenas and said, we're going to build a wall and mexico's going to pay for it. nafta's killing your jobs, we're going to bombing the hell out of isis and millions of people bought in. >> and for the longest time, it looked like one of his iconic sentences, i could shoot someone on fifth avenue and not lose a vote, for a long time, that helped. >> think about how much he bounced back from. even bounced back from that horrific "access hollywood" moment, to where we're watching battleground states right now. he disparaged hispanics, african-american, every single voting block at one point or another, he had problems with. and yet he still at this point in a very close race. we can't ever deny that he truly is in many ways a comeback kid. and the reason why, he never stopped fighting. he never gave up. like him or hate him, he kept in this race the entire time. >> five rallies right through midnight last night. tom, we'll be coming back to you. want to go to times square right now. michael strahan there, as well, right down there with the people. got a nice setup down there.
tell us about it. >> very nice, george. and thank you. you got robin at the javits center, amy at the hilton. we're right here in the heart of new york city, right here in times square. and you see i'm standing on this map here. this is an interactive map. some red states, some blue states. these states light up when they're called, when the call is given for trump or for clinton. it is a booth behind me built in partnership with facebook, we're going to connect with our audience. hundreds of our audience members, people out there, going to talk about the things they are concerned about the most. things they are looking out for in this election. and wee ha have a great crowd h. a lot of trump supporters, a lot of clinton supporters, they are excited. a lot of young voters, too, here, george. see some pace university students here. so, i'm going to stay out here in times square with the people, and we're going to have a conversation about this election. >> looking forward to that, michael. we have our first tweet of the night. this is from mike pence. hi says, "thank you, indiana,
making our state the first on board to vote to make america great again." that comes from the republican vice presidential candidate, mike pence. i want to welcome back charlie gibson. great to see you. and you started covering campaigns for abc news, i think, back in 1976 -- >> it was 1876. >> one thing i'm pretty sure of, none of us has ever seen a campaign quite like this one. >> are you asking me if i've seen anything like this? no. >> and? >> that's it. i can go home. no, you know, what's dismaying, george, and i think all of us who are here, all are here because we love politics, we love this process of electing a president. it is a -- it is a moment of majesty. and i haven't seen much majesty in this campaign. david made mention of hillary clinton's book, and, chapter about when you should apologize, i think donald trump missed that
chapter somewhere along the line. and -- the toxic nature of this campaign is truly dismaying to somebody who loves politics. you know, you were all immersed in the, who is going to win which senate race, but -- being retired, i look at it sort of from 10,000 feet. and at a greater distance, and this campaign truly, truly dismays me, for the country. not just for what's happened over the last couple of months, but what's going to happen in the coming months, because the divisions are so great, and whether or not, whoever wins tonight, can govern, given the kind of toxicity that exists, really worries me. >> i want to bring that question to coe key robekie roberts. people really thought washington was broken, especially donald trump voters. it's going to be a big challenge to try to make something work there, as well. >> right. his drain the swamp was all about washington. and there's a tremendous
anti-government mood in the electorate. we are seeing that as the voters come out of the polls. they are angry or dissatisfied with the government. and they've got good reason to be. the congress has not been able to function. and they've promised a lot of things they can't do. and so, i think it's going to be -- it's going to be very, very hard to pull this together, but there's some -- something of a polyanna about this, because like charlie, like all of us here, we really do love this process, and love the politics and the country. and i think that -- i think that sometimes after even a bitter election like this, people do come together. they say, okay, this is our president, and it is exciting and let's do something. >> and terry moran, you spend most of your time in london as our chief foreign correspondent. i think a lot of people all around the world look at this election with eyes wide open. >> they were shocked, and there's no question that it's done damage to the united states
image around the world. you have don't have to look any further than iran. when the ayatollahs wanted to find the west anti-american propaganda they could this year, they showed the presidential debates to the people of iran. and then they just said, look at how degenerate and broken that system is. and for our allies around the world, friends and allies, this was a shocker, you know? they heard one of the major party candidates question the commitment of the united states to nato. that's a bell that will be hard to unring for people around the world. and even beyond that, for people around the world, for all the problems that america has, the american democracy is still seen as kind of a beacon of stabil y stability, of decency, of order, and it's damaged that. >> byron pitts, eight years ago, charlie announced barack hussein obama would be the first african-american president in the united states, a lot of people thought that maybe we're heading towards a post-racial america. clearly not the case. >> you know, throughout
america's history, there has always been a backlash to progress. 1863, emancipation proclamation, sa slavery is gone, great. 1865, the klan is born. 1877, jim crow begins. so, i think many people felt that certainly the election of barack hussein obam barack obama, people could celebrate, but what happens next? there have been countless moments, black american could raise his head when jackie robinson broke the color barrier. but, george, something happens when you raise your head, you have to look both ways because someone will be looking to knock your head off. i think black america is what's casually optimistic when obama won, but history tells us, be careful what happens after progress. >> byron pitts. we have to take a quick break.
another look at the board right now. 19 electoral votes for donald trump, three for hillary clinton. we're going to be right back with pierre thomas on the impact of fbi director james comey on this election. and we have nate silver from five thirty eight here, as well, with his final forecast. back live in times square after this.
...tailored to you. wait it out. equipped with apple carplay compatibility. ♪ now during season's best, get this low mileage lease on this cadillac xt5 from around $429 per month, or purchase with 0% apr financing. and we are back now with election night 2016. we just heard cecile ia vega talking about the e-mail issue, how much that hurt the clinton campaign. that brings up james comey. i want to talk to pierre thomas about that. boy, pierre, james comey getting it from all sides, for coming out in july and giving that commentary after his finding that he wouldn't, would not bring charges against hillary clinton. more criticism when he came out, ten days ago, said he was looking at it again and sunday, the same thing. how much, what kind of damage
has this done to him, and take us inside his head on what he took these actions. >> george, political theater is coming to washington. both of these candidates have sharply criticized comey, about what he decided to do. now, what this means is that the fbi director found himself right where he didn't want to be, in the middle of an election, and it's going to be a prickly relationship, because they're going to have to work with him, but the bottom line is, he said that having a presidential candidate, hillary clinton, in the midst of a criminal investigation required transparency. he felt he had to do what he had to do, but one of his closest aides told me, there were no good decisions he could make, only bad ones. he made the best he could make, but bottom line, imagine that moment in the situation room for either trump or clinton, both having criticized comey and he's going to have to work with them. he's got a ten-year term that does not end until 2023. he doesn't plan on going anywhere. but he serves at the pleasure of the president.
>> pierre thomas, thank you. let me bring that to nate silver of fivethirtyeight. you do the forecasts of the polls, whatever is coming in on our abc projections, as well. before we get to that, i want to ask you about the comey effect. he came out with the letter ten days ago, looking at the e-mails again, you heard the democrats scream, and they think it really hurt hillary clinton's chances, and their chances of getting control of the senate. >> yeah, so, we had it hurting clinton by about three points on net in the polls. she regained a point in the next few days. but there were so many close senate campaigns, within a point or two that if one of them, say evan bayh, who is down in early returns, would lose by a point or so, they might be able to point a few fingers potentially. >> and nate, tell us where you have your final forecast as we're coming into the evening. >> so, we wound up with clinton having a 71% chance of winning, so, better than two in three and we'll update that as the night goes along, as abc news calls states. so far, obviously, no game changer with trump winning
kentucky or clinton winning vermont. the people i follow think the returns look good so far for clinton in florida, of course, which is a must-win state for trump. >> okay, nate silver, thank you so much. we have a group of strategists here, republican and democratic. stephanie cutter, let me begin with you. you worked on president obama's campaigns in his white house, as well. how are you feeling coming into the evening? >> i feel pretty good, listening to nate saying 72% of hillary winning. but i think what we see from the early returning is that her ground game has really delivered. especially in florida, where the makeup of that electorate is becoming all that much more diverse. so, i think it's looking good for her there, and if she blocks trump there, she's won the presidency. >> and alex castellanos, you started off this campaign not a big fan of donald trump, came onboard as the months went by. and in some ways, that is the story of the republican party over the course of this election. >> yeah, this -- we've seen it in both parties, frankly. the outsiders versus the insiders, and in the democratic
party, it was bernie sanders, trying to overthrow the democratic establishment, and they lost, but in our party, the outsider won, and that has -- it's been difficult to bring the party together in all that. we shouldn't forget that on occasion, these elections are not just about the candidates, they're about government, and both parties think the government is failing them and want change and it will be interesting to see tonight if they get that change. >> a lot of republicans never came onboard for donald trump, one of kristol. we learned today that george w. bush and his wife did not vote for donald trump. there was a big group of conservatives, including you, safing the republican party simply cannot get on board. >> we'll see what the implications of those. i see that senator pat toomey of pennsylvania waited to vote fl very late in the day and did announce that he did vote for donald trump. he withheld his endorsement or support until the very end, which confirms the point you
made to alex. most republicans came onboard, and i'm not for trump, but i'll say this. if we have a reasonably close race, if trump does almost as well as mitt romney did in 2012, better than john mccain in 2008, he will be a big force. if trump loses tonight, it's not the end of trump. may be the e of the beginning of the trump phenomenon, but the implications will ripple through the republican party. >> it may not be the end of trump, but the question for the republican party is, how do they grab onto those growing voter groups in the country? >> you're right. i have a feeling tonight, as we're looking at the exit polls, we're going to be looking at the cleavages in the electoral along race lines, generational lines, college lines. and republicans tried to draw for votes in shrinking groups of voters. >> okay, thank you all. be coming back to you, as well. got to take another quick break. when we come back, the polls close in north carolina and ohio, two big battleground
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this is abc news live coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> and we are back now. 7:30 in the east and polls have just closed in three more states. 38 electoral votes in the three states. let's look at the board right now. donald trump has 24 electoral votes to three for hillary clinton, because he's just won the state of west virginia. solid republican state, voted republican in the last four elections. of course, donald trump made a direct pitch to the coal miners in that state. very turned off to democrats. that is a win for donald trump. we're closely following these battleground states. polls have closed in two battleground states, including the state of north carolina. hillary clinton closed out the campaign last night in the state of north carolina. we do not have enough votes in to project that right now.
of course, mitt romney won that in 2012. barack obama won it in 2008. and this, jon karl, this is really hard-fought state. robb robbie mook saying, they're not even sure it's going to be decided tonight, and barack obama went in there heavy in the last several days. >> went over there huge to try to boost the turnout among young voters and especially african-american voters. the state that we are watching, florida, george, a lot of returns are coming in. look at this. we have 40% of the vote already in, and -- florida. it's been going back and forth. so much early vote. that's why we're seeing so much come in. and neck and neck. it's been going back and forth between clinton and trump. some of the key counties, i mentioned hillsborough county, we don't have anything there yet. miami-dade county, a county that is two-thirds hispanic. obama won it by 25 points back in, four years ago and it's almost exactly the same margin
that clinton is winning right now. >> and that's really interesting. the clinton campaign told us that was right on the bubble. they would have to win that by 24%, 25% to have a chance of winning the state. just about right there right now. >> absolutely. and, i mean, it's going back and forth, every minute or so, it goes back and forth. >> i know you are going to keep an eye on that. the polls have closed in the state of ohio. such a key state for so many different election cycles. no republican has ever won the white house without winning the state of ohio. not enough votes in to project what's happening there yet. this is one of donald trump's best states through the campaign. and david muir, you've been going through the exit polls, what are we learning from them? >> the working class, blue collar workers left behind in the rust belt, in ohio. look at the two questions. first, voters in ohio were asked, and this is preliminary data. your job situation versus four years ago. 38% said the job situation is better today. 35%, about the same, only 27% said it's worse today, but look at this issue that donald trump really doubled down on. trade. he really went after hillary
clinton on this, and bill clinton, his time on this and the trade deals struck under the first clinton administration. takes away jobs, 47%, concerned about trade deals, only 32% in ohio say it actually creates more jobs. so, these are issues key to trump's success in ohio. >> and ron claiborne in ohio for us. ron, i want to go to you. this has been such a competitive state for donald trump, despite the fact that the republican governor of ohio, john cakasich is against him. >> that's right, george. donald trump's effort had a lot going against him. john kasich very pointedly did not endorse donald trump. the senate candidate, rob portman, the gop senate candidate, endorsed him and after those remarks, recorded on the bus that came out, about a month ago, portman withdrew his endorsement of trump. also, the get out the vote effort here by the trump campaign considered weak. a schism in the gop party here and yet donald trump expected to
do very well here. the last polls we saw in the recent days showing him slightly ahead of hillary clinton. >> martha raddatz, you were there this weekend. >> ohio, just like pennsylvania. it is that divided america. there are parts of ohio that none of us would recognize as america. there is absolute blight. there are people who are desperate. and those are people who have turned to donald trump. and what they hear from him, i can ask voters, say, do you believe that he'll make a change, do you believe hillary clinton could make a change, and they'll say, i don't really believe either of them, but donald trump gave them some sort of hope. they didn't believe he could really make change, but it gave them hope. he said what they wanted to hear. >> and matthew dowd, one of the signs how much america is changing, right now, ohio is a state that democrats can win the presidency without winning ohio. >> i think we're going to see over the course of the night a few switches, we have to win this state in order to win the presidency, i think that's going to switch back and forth. the other piece of data i think is really important is how much
barack obama mattered in this election. if you take a look, one, he campaigned in the last ten days feverishly and helped build turnout. you look at his approval rating, one of the few things that's risen. people felt better about the president. when you look at his approval rating and how it breaks. if you approve of barack hussein obama, you voted for hillary clinton. if you didn't approve of barack obama, you voted for donald trump. >> the polls have closed in the state of virginia, one of those battleground states. let's look at it right now. we do not have enough votes in to project what's happened there just yet, but as you see, donald trump has a pretty good lead. of course, hillary clinton came into this campaign considering that one of her safer states, with a pretty healthy lead in the polls. we'll be following that all night. right now, i want to go to kellyann conway, joining us this evening. you're at trump tower, maybe at the hilton. tell me how you are feeling right now? >> we're feeling great, george. we like the fact in some of the states, it looks like a jump bam.
we're trying to protect our core four and get to 270. as you know, we've had a really aggressive campaign to try to flip a blue state or two, and in doing so, we look at michigan, pennsylvania is always what i call a reach state, like your reach college when you apply, but it's one that really, to martha's earlier point, really is attracted to donald trump's question about trade and job creation and illegal immigration. and then, of course, we're looking at a big day of vote turnout in places like north carolina, florida, nevada, where the democrats generally do a very good job earlier on, and we like to make up those gains today. and you look at michigan, pennsylvania, new hampshire, three states that don't have a very robust early vote, absentee voting would be the key in those states and so that's why we've been deploying governor pence and mr. trump back to those states where they'll be basically 100% day-of voting. >> secretary clinton's team said they were working on a victory
speech and a concession speech. are you working on two, as well? >> i was with mr. trump until we arrived to trump tower at 4:30 this morning, and he's feeling really great. he's feeling buoyant. very pleased about the movement he's created, the fact that he has given voice to a lot of the forgotten men and women that martha was talking about, in ohio for example. i feel really good about the campaign going into tonight, too. we're competitive with a candidate, hillary clinton, who is very well known, who has the advantage of a very popular president, a former president who is also popular. happens to be her husband. a lot of celebrities campaigning for her. and we didn't always have, you know, republican elected officials. we're going to win a couple of the states tonight without the republican governors or senators voting for us. >> i want to ask you about that. we know that former president george h.w. bush voted for hillary clinton. george w. bush said he left his ballot blank, did not vote for
donald trump. john mccain and mitt romney both did not vote for donald trump. how much did that hurt you? >> it doesn't help. and it's very personally disappointing, though i respect all four of the people you just mentioned, and respect their right to vote the way they'd like. i just would, what i would say to that is that we were all there for them, certainly, but secondly, you know, in growing a party, you have to count on being able to keep the party also it is together, to be able to grow it. and the irony for donald trump is, he's been able to grow this party in places and among voter groups without having the full support of some of the erectlec officials. we've worked hand and glove with chairman rins preibus and the rnc. they've been nothing but fantastic to us here at the trump campaign. but at the same time, we don't have all the senators, governors, former presidents. the irony, george, is tonight, we are poised to win states that neither romney nor mccain won and winning those states without rock n romney or mccain support. donald trump's taken the party
away from dangerously close to being the party of the elites and to the party of the working man and working women. that's a huge accomplishment. >> mr. trump talked a lot about before tonight, the possibility of some problems at voting sites. are you seeing any big ones? >> we're hearing reports of some, but nothing that's tangible enough to me to raise flags. but we do have folks giving reports anecdotally. we have positive information from the polling places today. very long lines of people in their full trump regalia, famous now head hats. so, people excited, i think you are going to see record turnout in some places. that's a great sign for the health of democracy. but we will assess that, as it comes due. if it comes due. we're really focused right now on people who are still voting in some of these states after work, looking at the data inpunts we have here in our data and digital war room to try to see if we can piece together
270. >> i know you have a lot more work to do. thank you for joining us. i want to go to pierre thomas right now. keeping an eye on ballot security. hearing of any major problems? >> no major problems so far. things are going pretty well. nothing to speak of, george. >> okay, pierre thomas, thank you. i want to go back now to robin roberts. you're there with a member of the clinton campaign. >> yes, i am. i'm here with christina shockey. so, how has the campaign been responding to materially results we're seeing? >> we feel great tonight. as you can see, thousands of people are starting to pour into javits center to what we hope is going to be a celebration tonight. we felt great coming into today, because of the impressive early vote, in florida and north carolina. we really saw the hillary coalition come out and vote for her early. and from the early results, we're feeling very excited right now. >> and the number of people that have come out all across the country, the long lines, the wrapping around buildings and such. >> yeah, you know, it's really
exciting for us to see millions of americans are getting out there today. we're seeing democracy in ak. we're really grateful, by the enthusiastic supporters for hillary clinton. we're really seeing hillary's coalition come together tonight. african-americans, latinos, millennials, asia-pacific islanders, suburban moms are coming out to support her. we think this is going to be a historic night. >> i don't have to tell you that hillary clinton's unfavorable ratings have been an issue, and that is one of the reasons why you were brought in. what has been the biggest challenge there? >> we've had a lot of headwinds in this campaign. hillary's certainly be at the forefront of a lot of issues for many years and she takes a lot of incoming attacks. she has for decades. but she keeps in there and keeps fighting. we had some headwinds during the campaign, but she worked her heart out and i think people responded to her positive message for this country. >> the crowd is growing and they are watching the results from the big screen that is hanging
from the glass ceiling, and people have commented about the glass ceiling here. >> we think it's going to be a meaningful night. we are trying to make our capacity bigger here tonight, robin, is because so many of the people that we invited asked to bring their daughters. we had moms and dads say that they thought this was going to be a really meaningful night for this country, they wanted to bring their daughters to be here to hear hillary clinton speak. you know, i think hillary is somebody who has fought on behalf of children and families her entire life. she's a children's advocate, running for president of the united states. we think heshe's going to make history tonight and be an incredible president for america. >> a large crowd here and even larger crowd waiting outside to get in, george. >> okay, robin, thank you so much. be coming back to you in a little bit. i want to put the results from virginia up again. show the raw vote coming in for virginia. right now, showing a relatively large, rather large lead for donald trump right this, jon karl. go inside the numbers, show us
what's coming in and try to assess what it means. >> that would be shocking, because this is a state the clinton team has felt they've had a lead for a long time and the trump team actually pulled resources out of virginia, but if you drill down, you see that trump lead isn't all that it appears. first of all, virginia is a state that the further south you go, the stronger republican vote you're going to have. the key vote and the most populous part of the state is up north. fairfax county. this is a county that went 21 points for barack obama and you see there's not much vote coming in. less than 1,000 votes in there. that's going to be overwhelmingly clinton vote. and then, arlington county, right in here, nothing. nothing's come in. that's an area that obama won by 40 points four years ago. there's a bell weather county, louden county, which kind of crosses different parts of the state, and if you look at that, in that state, in that county, loudoun, clinton has the lead.
>> and matthew dowd, a real sign of a rapidly changing america right there. virginia used to be part of the solid republican south. it's been won by barack obama twice. as they get an influx of a lot of new populations. >> well, i think it's a reflection of this urban/rural split. george bush, worked on his campaign in 2000 and 2004, we never considered west virginia close to a swing state. that changed automatically in 2008, and now it's almost -- almost no longer a swing state, it's moving so rapidly blue in the course of this. it's a problematic situation for the republican party that because of these demographics, a lot of these states now are following the demographics. >> how do the republicans get virginia and states like it back? >> we have to win voters who live in denser areas. large pieces of the state are rural, but when folks are living in the sub burrurbsuburbs, urba republicans need to win places
back like virginia there. >> and stephanie rawlings-blake, you represent a city heavy african-american population, but one of the concerns, for the longest time, african-american voters were not coming out in the same numbers they were coming out for barack obama. >> i think secretary clinton really leaned on the first lady in this race, and i think you're going to see the african-american vote really come out. i think it's unreasonable to expect the vote to come out the same way it did in 2008, 2012, but i think that we're really going to show up, because we understand how important this race is. i was there at the congressional black caucus, when president obama looked into the crowd and said, if you care about me, and if you care about my legacy, then you need to support hillary clinton, and i think a lot of us heard that very loudly. >> cokie roberts, you spent a lot of time studying first ladies, michelle obama, in some ways, the star of this campaign. >> she was the prime surrogate to get voters out, and not just
african-american voters, young people. young people. really responded to her. and she just -- she took it on the trail in a way that was so meaningful. and her, of course, her popularity ratings are so high that, when donald trump just once went after her, he pulled back, the only time he really pulled back fast. and hillary clinton, of course, took up her chant from the convention of, when they go low, we go high, and took it out on the trail, but the other thing michelle obama did that was so effective was, every place she went, she'd say to the voters, just two more votes in this precinct would have turned it around, and she had all of that data that she used along with her inspirational talks, to really get the voters energized. >> and cecilia vega, hillary clinton said she wasn't voting for bill clinton's third term, wasn't running for barack obama's third tearm, but you di see both obamas come out and president obama said, we have
work that needs to get finished. >> the biggest rally of this entire campaign was just last night in philadelphia on independence mall. the obamas there, the clintons there. george, this election has very been about for hillary clinton preserves president obama's legacy, and she's using that as a way to get votes, especially with what kristina called the clinton coalition. african-american voters. latino voters. voters of color. the one group that she did not mention, which i thought was really interesting is white men. hillary clinton has had a huge problem with that from the very beginning. but george, i want to go back to michelle obama for one second. one of the most invigorating rallies that i covered covering this for the last year and a half was a michelle obama rally in north carolina, with hillary clinton. when they walked out, arm and arm in a college arena, that place went wild. and hillary clinton has tried to capitalize on that ever since that they go low, we go high moment at the convention. she, michelle obama, was hands down her most important
wait it out. equipped with apple carplay compatibility. ♪ now during season's best, get this low mileage lease on this cadillac xt5 from around $429 per month, or purchase with 0% apr financing. we are back now with election night 2016 right here in times square. and right outside, michael strahan with some clinton supporters? >> thank you, george. i'm out here with a group of students from pace university. and how many of you are first-time voters? as you can see, a lot of young voters out here. and i have mariah right here. she's 20 years old. first-time voter. she's from tennessee, and you usually are on the conservative side, but you voted for, everyone here voted for hillary. what made you vote for hillary? >> i just think that i couldn't support trump, because of his
views towards women, i think he's sexist, i don't agree with the idea of it being okay for someone to brag about sexual assaulting women. i didn't like the whole muslim ban thing. i didn't like the idea of someone calling mexicans rapists and drug dealers. so, there are a lot of things -- >> a lot of things. >> a lot of things he said that i didn't agree with. and a lot of things don't line up with what used to be the republican, like, family morals, so, i couldn't support him. >> all right, well, definitely understand that. and congratulations on being a first-time voter. your voice will be heard and we're going to go back to you, george. >> thank you, michael. want to go down to north carolina. linsey davis in raleigh, north carolina. and linsey, the polls closed there at 7:30. what do you hear there? important senate race there on the ballot and the governor is up. >> you're right, george. in theory, the polls were
supposed to close at 7:30, but because of some problems that occurred in durham county, what they're describing as computer glitches that essentially shut down voting for a period of time, they have extended voting at a few locations in durham county. as you mentioned, some calling this the tight trifecta, because you not only have a tight race for the senate, for governor, but also for president. according to the most recent polls here for president, north carolina, you have a tie between hillary clinton and donald trump. and this is the epitome of a swing state -- right? because in 2012, north carolina voted for mitt romney, in 2008, president obama. a huge help for president 0 bam that in 200 8, extremely large black turnout. hillary clinton will need a repeat of that in order to win north carolina again. but based on early voting here, the black voter turnout is nine points down this year, compared to where it was in 2012, of course, the year that president
obama lost. also, just to look at that senate race, this is being called one of the core four, obviously, democrats need four seats in order to win control of a majority in the senate. and democrats are looking very closely, thinking that they could get a win here. and then you have the race for governor here, where the incumbent republican, people are suggesting that there may be a referendum on his bathroom bill, which some estimate has cost the state billions of dollars in lost revenue, george. >> a lot of controversy in that state. linsey davis, thank you. let's keep north carolina up there, see the results as they are coming in. that's florida. let's bring up north carolina. jon, i want you to dig inside what you are learning for the counties. >> it is going back and forth. if you look at what's happening here, the big democratic stronghold in north carolina, of course, is the raleigh-durham area. one of the big strongholds. this is an area that barack obama won by a double-digit margin, not any vote has come in yet from raleigh durham.
it's big, populated. i would expect as we see more coming from there, you are going to see clinton pull ahead. you see one county here to keep an eye on that's not come in is watauga. this county's voted for the winner in every single presidential election since 1996, but again, no vote coming in. so, although you have a quarter of the vote coming in, very even, going back and forth. there's a lot of hillary clinton vote that's not been counted yet. >> exit polls coming in? >> they asked, when you made their decision, a rlot of talk about director comey's announcement, whether it would make a difference. look at north carolina. 59% said they made their decision much earlier. 18% say in the month of october. just 5% say in the last few days or the last week. and we've seen similar results from some of the other battlegrounds. and the qualities in north carolina that matter most. 35% said can bring change. 22% good judgment. 21%, right experience.
as you know, donald trump was campaigning on change in washington. >> and martha raddatz, north carolina, another one of the states that's changing very rapidly. >> there's a fascinating figure here. the toddler population of this country, 3, 4-year-olds, younger, is now majority nonwhite. 70% of the electorate is down two points from 2012, so, that trend is going to continue, as those toddlers grow up. >> and it is accelerating. martha, thank you. we have to take another quick break. when we come back, polls about to close in 16 more states, including one of the biggest, one of the most critical of the night, that is the battleground state of florida. we'll be right back.
good evening i'm jim gardner. the the polls where to close in pennsylvania, and new jersey, and delaware, and, we look live, from chopper six, hd, at new hanover township and you can see there are plenty of long lines at the polls in the delaware valley. we are hearing the wait times at some polling stations are two hours or longer, right now. if you are on line by 8:00 o'clock you can vote. "action news" is watching several key races, tonight, both stayed wide and that the thely. a honk them the race for president, between hillary clinton and donald trump, race for is that the between pat toomey and katie mcginty and race to pennsylvania's eighth district house seat between brian fitzpatrick and steve santarsiero. abc news continues election night coverage here on channel six.
we invite to you join "action news" coverage as well, which begins in a moment, on six abc.com, and for now, i'm jim gardner. >> so, who will be your next president? right now, live from times square, the crossroads of america, with our country at the crossroads, this is abc election night 2016. now reporting, from abc news election headquarters, george stephanopoulos. >> and welcome back to election night 2016. 8:00 p.m. here in the east. and the polls have just closed in 16 states, plus the district of columbia. let's look at where things stand right now. you see there, 68 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 37 for donald trump. the magic number is 270. here are the states that have closed. we can say now that hillary clinton has won the big state of
illinois. chef was born in the state of illinois. that is her home state. she's the winner there. democrat has won by double digits in the past six presidential elections. hillary clinton wins the state of illinois. hillary clinton also wins the state of new jersey. that is a state that's not voted republican since 1988 for george h.w. bush. one of the states where donald trump has a home, but that one's gone to hillary clinton. hillary clinton also winning the true blue state of massachusetts. it has voted democrat in the last seven elections. last voted republican in 1984. of course, also the home of senator elizabeth warren, one of hillary clinton's allies, perhaps donald trump's most determined foe on twitter. hillary clinton wins the state of massachusetts. and the state of maryland. and its ten electoral votes. hillary clinton wins that, as well. major stephanie rawlings-blake, you have a new senator, as well.
>> i do. i'm very excited. he got such a wonderful reputation in the house, and he is going to do an amazing job. and as this is all coming together, you know, i'm very excited about what this clinton coalition is going to be. i'm excited about the numbers that we're hearing and i'm very optimistic. >> more numbers are coming in. the state of rhode island, four electoral votes, again, one of those solid blue states, the last republican to win rhode island, ronald reagan in 1984. another one, state of delaware, its three electoral votes, the northeast filling in blue right now. last voted republican in 1988 for george h.w. bush. district of columbia, no surprise there, that goes to hillary clinton right there and its three electoral votes, and now one for donald trump, the state of mississippi and its six electoral votes. jimmy carter, the last democrat to win that in 1976. donald trump campaigned in mississippi, he ones that state. and the state of oklahoma, seven electoral votes. voted republican in every
presidential election since 1968. and matthew dowd, before we move on right here, what you are starting to see here is the way tradition has gone in so many of the last elections, democrats have won so many of the solid blue states for the six out of the last seven elections, appears to be continuing tonight. >> if you look at the map as it fills in, it's very much similar to a map we saw in 2012 and very similar to, for a few exceptions, to 2008. so, you see, we've seen it in the demographics, we've seen it among race, and the geography, that's settled out in the country, vast swaths are red and then there's coasts that become blue. >> let's put up the map again one more time. see where the scoreboard stands right now. 68 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 37 for donald trump so far. a lot of states coming in right now that we don't have enough votes to project, including the state of connecticut. it last went republican in 1988 for george h.w. bush.
of course, that was his home state. hillary clinton and donald trump both won their primaries in april. we cannot call that one yet. tennessee, the state of tennessee, not enough data in yet on the state of tennessee and its 11 electoral votes. haven't voted democrat since 1996, even al gore, when he ran in 2000, could not win his home state for the democrats. we don't have enough data, this is a little bit of a surprise, the vote just coming in slow, but the state of alabama, and its nine electoral votes, not enough day to project there yet. not enough day to project in the state of maine, either, its four electoral votes. and jon karl, there's a little twist in maine, one of two states where they split the votes. >> that's right. so, the second congressional district of maine is way up north, they say the people up there speak with canadian acc t accents, but they vote like they're from alabama. it's part of the state that the trump team has put a lot of effort in. one of their paths to 270 electoral votes gets them to exactly 270, and they have to
take that maine congressional district. >> okay, state of missouri right now, ten electoral votes, state has gone blue only twice in the past decade, '92 and '96. not enough information in to project on that one. important senate race being held there, as well. so, we're going to spend time looking at missouri later. but these are the states we're paying most attention to tonight, these battleground states, these 12 battleground states, and the biggest one of them all, the polls have closed now in the state of florida. and that is the big one. jonathan karl, 29 electoral votes, not only are the polls closed, so much of the vote is coming in. let's look at what exactly we're seeing in that vote right now. >> well, if you take a deep dive into florida, it's been going back and forth. right now, clinton with a slight lead. but if you take a look at the counties, again, it all comes down to some of the bell weather counties. down here, miami-dade is overwhelmingly hispanic and overwhelmingly democratic. if you look at miami-dade,
hillary clinton has a big lead there, 30-point lead, a bigger lead than barack obama had in 2012. and still a significant amount of vote to be counted in miami-dade. that's going to be overwhelmingly hillary clinton. if you go up here to the panhandle, george, this is -- excuse me. if you go up to the panhandle, this is a part of florida that is overwhelmingly republican, and we see very little vote has been counted up there. so, there will be some more donald trump vote. one other county to mention is devalue count deval county, part of the state that mitt romney won by three points. right now, we have a slight lead for donald trump. the trend seems to be moving towards hillary clinton. >> there's no more important state early on in this evening. david muir, what do you have in the exit polls? >> the clinton campaign wants florida to lights out for the night. jon, you were talking about miami-da
miami-da miami-dade. if you dive in at the racial makeup of the voters so far in florida. hispanic/latino making up 18%. that's just ticking up one percentage point from four years ago. and if you break it down, when you make up your decision, many of them, 61% said much earlier than the most recent weeks. but look at this. this could be interesting, as the night plays out. when asked if trump's treatment of bothers you after the audio released from that bus, 68% of florida voters saying so far that that bothered them a lot as they headed into the polls. >> martha raddatz, you spent a lot of time on the road and a lot of the voters said it wasn't making that much of a difference to them. >> a little bit of truth in both of that. they said it made a difference, but not as much as you would expect it. and it changed over the months that i went. first, they were very concerned about it, then they weren't as concerned about it. so, they went either way. didn't seem like as big a deal as we're hearing about tonight. and i think it was very different in different states. again, if you go to the rural areas, they knew everything
about it. they knew every little change. >> let's go back to paula faris, at the university of miami. what is happening there right now? what are you feeling? >> well, i got to tell you, there's a lot of excitement from the students behind me. as have been mentioning, all about florida and trump's campaign knows that. it's virtually impossible for him to win the presidency would winning here at the sunshine state, that's why he spent more time and money here than anywhere else. in fact, both candidates have spent more time here in florida over the last month than a anywhere else. the story here, george, has been the early vote. 6.4 million floridians voted early here. we went to five polling stations, and they were virtually ghosttowns. to put that into context, that's more than the total vote here in florida back in 2000. one key demographic that david muir was just referencing was that hispanic vote. and the early hispanic vote in 2012 was 522,000. fast forward here, 980,000, 36% of hispanic early vote didn't
even vote in the last election cycle. i have to tell you, the students here, george, are so engaged, most of these students are from out of state. they know the gravity of this vote. they registered here in florida, because they know their vote is going to count. one of the students said, quote, i'm so nervous, i might pass out. but george, they want to say one thing to you. >> hi, george! >> you have a lot of fans here on the campus of the university of miami, george. >> that is good to hear. i will take that. thanks very much. let's stick in on this. i want to bring tom and cecilia here. what we are seeing with the focus on the latino vote and the early vote is the difference in the ground games between the clinton organization and the trump organization. >> yeah, they both call this a must-win state. and hillary clinton has spent a lot of time in florida, in fact, one of the things we've seen over her -- out of her campaign in the last few months is this coalition of big name celebrity surrogates. and she had this huge rally down there with jennifer lopez and latino stars, and really, she's trying to galvanize the latino
community down in florida. donald trump say, he spends half of his time in florida, that's his second home. hillary clinton is trying to get in on that ground. >> tom llamas, he did very well in the primaries. >> he won 66 of the 67 counties. the only county he lost, miami-dade. i can't tell you enough how important florida is for donald trump. it's part of their core four. it's where he had the most visits since he locked up the nomination. look at the ad spending. the clinton team, $92 million to $41 million for donald trump. now, kellyanne conway said there is one path to the nomination without florida, but many people you are chasing windmills at that point. >> another big announcement out of the state of florida. marco rubio, he was running for president earlier in the year, decided to go back into the senate race, he will come back as the senator. he has won that race, 51% to 46%, right now over patrick murphy. and jon karl, seeing a real gap here between marco rubio and donald trump. >> yeah in miami-dade, it's over
ten points. statewide, five to six points depending as it goes back and forth. rubio outperforming donald trump. it's a little sweet revenge. rube yoep's presidential campaign died in florida, when he got destroyed by donald trump. he said he was never going to run for senate again. he finally decided to change his mind to run and he had to answer for every everything he said about trump during the primaries. he never lifted his endorsement, george, but he made it clear he still does not like donald trump. >> he did vote for -- >> he did vote for donald trump. >> and he endorsed him. secret ballot. we'll see. >> we remember marco rubio from the debate. >> but you know, george, he said, during the primaries that donald trump couldn't be trusted with the nuclear codes. during the course of this election, he said, yes, he still believes that, but he still has my endorsement. >> i want to bring the republican strategists in. marco rubio, a case study in the kind of pretzels you can get tied up into when you are a republican elected official dealing with donald trump.
called him a con artist, just said he could not be trusted with the nuclear codes. yet, in the end, he comes around and votes for him. >> yes, he does. and that was the tight rope a lot of republicans had to walk, but if marco rubio is running five to ten points ahead of donald trump, i'm demanding a recount. that's -- those are not good signs early for donald trump in florida. you know, trump has been appealing to a different voter than rubio. rubio's about the future. donald trump is appealing to the republican party's budweiser voter, older, whiter, less educated, rubio is very different candidate. and you can see a different republican party than maybe younger, more optimistic, doing better in florida tonight. >> and bill, you saw the real split here between former republican officials and current office holders. the former president says, i'm not voting for donald trump. mols of the elected officials came around, finally, maybe holding their nose, to say, i'm
going to vote for him. >> there's a lot of pressure for them if they're on the ballot in particular. and that but true of rubio and toom toomey. the secret ballot is a good thing. in the general election, jimmy carter, gerald ford was on the ballot. he was the democratic candidate for senate in new york. he respected gerald ford. i don't think he had a high view of carter. i asked pat, did you really vote for carter over ford? and he gave me a long lecture on the history of the secret ballot. and how important a thing that is in the anglo-american tradition. i wonder about paul ryan, marco rubio. >> tom llamas, you wanted in on this? >> we have news coming in for the first time tonight, we are hearing frustration from donald trump, in an interview tonight over the radio, on lindsey graham not voting for him. he said, i think it's terrible. on george w. bush not voting for him, he said, well, i think it's
sad. donald trump can't be surprised. he put lindsay gram's ceey grah phone number out there. george w. bush, he savaged him on the war in iraq and destroyed his brother, constantly made fun of his brother and family. for the first time, george, we are hearing the frustration of what's happening tonight. >> got to take another quick break. when we come back, nate silver's forecast is change pg. we'll have that, plus more states. okay google, show me korean restaurants in boulder. google assistant: i found a few places. vo: the new pixel, phone by google. exclusively on verizon. the only next gen network that lets you get the most out of it. how is this possible? vo: because verizon lte advanced delivers 50% faster peak speeds in 450 cities, coast to coast. buy a pixel and get up to $400 back. and get 20 gigs of data with no surprise overages, and 4 lines for only $40 each.
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i want to go straight to nate silver from fivethirtyeight, our forecasting guru. nate, your forecast is changing right now? >> a little bit. we have clinton up to 78%. she was at 72% at the start of the night. as more blue states come in, predictably to her side. >> she goes up even though the states were expected to go her way? >> yeah, i mean, you know, what we're seeing is we have some semblance of a normal election night in america. you're not seeing new jersey go red or something like that. obviously, the first major swing state that's called will shift those numbers a whole bunch. and we're on the edge of four, five or six, maybe not on the edge, but monitoring four, five, six states right now. no major domino has fallen, but still, the script is going a little bit more how the clinton campaign would want it. >> we don't have any swing states we can call, but two other states can come in. the state of south carolina has gone republican, of course, we were saying it is a solid republican state. the only democrat to win was jimmy carter in 1976. and tennessee hasn't voted for a democrat since 1996. that goes to donald trump, as well. let me bring in one of donald
trump's biggest supporters, former major rudy giuliani. i like what "washington post" reporter sent out a bulletin, and you just left trump's apartment, said trump is watching everything, though i'm telling him not to. >> i meant during the campaign, more than tonight. i used to always tell him during the campaign, don't watch television, the way george w. never watched television. but he loved watching it. >> how is he doing right now? >> i never -- oh, he's fine. he's in great shape. he -- he's -- he's happy, obviously, he doesn't -- he doesn't know how all these numbers are going to turn out anymore than we do, but he's pretty happy with the information we've gotten back about where we perform, where we thought we were going to perform, so -- i hate the word cautiously optimistic, but
that's probably the best description i can give. i wish i could think of a better one. >> you say he's been happy. he's been lashing out tonight, including lindsey graham. he still seems to have some anger there. >> i haven't heard that, i mean, i can't imagine what lindsey has to do with tonight, but in any event, this is a question of, we got to find out what the voters are going to do and nobody ever knows until they actually vote. i remember in '04, kerry was going to win up until 9:00 at night and then all of a sudden, boom, it switched. >> no question. we all remember that change. do you think donald trump is at peace with whatever the voters decide tonight? >> oh, yeah. this is a very mature, very accomplished man. i think, obviously, whoever wins is going to be extremely happy and feel very satisfied with what they did and whoever loses is going to be really
disappointed, because as you know, george, this is a tremendous effort, you give your whole life to it, and you also feel tremendous sort of loyalty to the people who worked so hard for you. so, this is not something that is easy to lose, it's something wonderful to win. i expect that he's going to win it, but i certainly am not a prophet and i've seen these things switch in a second one way or the other. >> if he wins, there's been some talk of him serving as attorney general. are you interested? >> right now, i'm interested in getting through tonight. and i'm superstitious. i'm superstitious about that stuff. i never -- when i was running, i never talked to anybody about what they might do, should i get elected, even though i was a front-runner for awhile. i certainly thought about it in my head, i sort of thought about sometimes you'd have these
little dreams of who your secretary of state or your attorney general or secretary of defense would be or head of the cia, but i never talked to anybody about it, i never would let anybody talk to me about it. >> major iuligiuliani, thank yor joining us tonight. >> thank you very much, george. always a pleasure. >> jon, we're tabout to take another break. >> a few minutes ago, there was a 30-vote lead out of 8 million votes cast. florida is looking tight. trump has just moved ahead ever so slightly, but this is looking incredibly close. one thing you have to say for donald trump, they are still counting votes in the panhandle, there are still votes to come in in miami-dade county. this is going to be a contest at the end that i think is going to go right down to the wire. >> matthew dowd, you worked on the george w. bush campaign in 2000, little deja vu. >> ah, i hope we're not faced with 547 votes in this, but it looks very close. >> okay. we are just minutes away from
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when poles closed in pennsylvania, you you can, vote, and this is what you are looking at. and this situation is being repeated, in numerous locations, in southeastern, pennsylvania and across, the commonwealth, of pennsylvania. so good evening, i'm jim gardener and we are trying to bring you up to date now on the situation, on vote 2016. let us, let you look at the vote now for president of the united states. in the commonwealth, no, this is the that the vote, donald trump leading by, 3 percent, three points now with 6 percent of the vote, counted. this is the national vote. vernon odom, is covering, the toomey/mcginty race tonight, vernon odom with the toomey campaign in breinigsville pennsylvania, what is the situation like there. >> reporter: jim, situation here is that the toomey camp says that it is still, too close to call, and the senator
arrived here at the hotel about 45ago, and this after voting, in his home area of 20 minutes from this hotel, he did come out after voting and announce finally after all these months of questions that he did in fact vote for donald trump. he said he changed his seat in washington and voted for trump because he thinks that there need to be a check against hillary clinton. he believes will win the election tonight. many people had asked about this for months and dogged him all on the campaign trail. he waited until millions of pennsylvanians had already voted, finally to make his announce. about voting for donald trump. he has been trying to thread the needle between staying away from trump and not saying who he would vote for but finally he broke the silence and mystery tonight and the one is quite advised here. live from the lehigh county vernon odom, jim. >> thanks, vernon. we will go live to sarah
bloomquist in center city philadelphia. sarah you are at mcginty for senator campaign headquarters. >> reporter: jim, that is right katie mcginty expected to be in the ballroom later this evening but for now we know she's in a suite here at a hotel with her husband and three daughters, watching the election returns, tonight, mcginty voted this morning in wayne, pennsylvania and at a church there in the five three-year old as you might know is a former aid to governor tom wolf and environmental advisor to bill clinton never elect to publish office. if elected tonight she becomes the first, female elect to the u.s. is that the, there the state of pennsylvania. from the start she pressed her opponent, pat tomb toy say whether he supported donald trump. you heard from vernon late tonight we have learned that toomey did vote for trump, voting at close to 7:00 o'clock tonight. there is a lot of eye rolling about that here at mcginty campaign. her communications director using the word, cowardly, says
senator toomey waited so late in the day to vote and then, even later he later found out that he did in fact support donald trump. a bitter fight in this race, if not the the most expensive ever, in the senate race ever in the u.s. history and contentious right until the even. live from center city i'm sarah bloomquist channel six "action news", jim. >> thanks, sarah. of course there are key states that we are keeping a very close look at, perhaps the most important state right now is in addition to pennsylvania, is the state of florida. florida is as close as you can imagine, about 15,000 votes, now separating donald trump from hillary clinton, clinton was ahead, 50 to 47 as recently as 20 minutes ago, but it has turned here, with 61 percent of the vote in. donald trump needs to win some
states, look florida, north carolina, and pennsylvania, to and we will be following that. e manhattan. go to robin roberts in a minute. let's look at the map, the scoreboard right now. see where the electoral votes stand. and there you see it right there, very close so far. 68 for hillary clinton, 66 for donald trump. the magic number, 270. we can now say that donald trump has won the state of alabama. nine electoral votes. last time they voted for a democrat, 1976. that was the only time since 1964. it guess to donald trump. and the polls have closed in one more state. another home state of hillary clinton, the state of arkansas, of course, her husband was governor there for many years. six electoral votes, not enough vote in yet to project a winner
right there. and of course, we are following these battleground states, these 12 battleground states that are so important in this election, and the polls have also closed in the state of pennsylvania. one of the key ones. the keystone state, a real corn cornerstone of hillary clinton's strategy. one of her closing rallies there, president obama, the first lady. this is so key. donald trump's campaign hoping this could be one of the states in hillary clinton's blue firewall that they could flip. and deborah roberts, you're in johnstown, pennsylvania, where there is a core of trump support. >> that's exactly right, george. in fact, folks are hoping that they will see some seismic activity here from johnstown tonight. i have to tell you, though, that even though this is, and pennsylvania has traditionally, in the last few weeks, tilted democratic, they are hoping to see a big shift. we're at a watch party for a state legislator, a republican, who is hoping to become the first republican in 30 years to
occupy what is traditionally been a democratic seat. they are also hoping to see this in the presidential race. this is trump territory. it's a former steel mill town, people have seen a lot of unemployment, drug problems. they feel like donald trump speaks to them. he was here about a week and a half ago, and boy did they turn out for him, george. tonight, a lot of the folks are saying they are solid by behind him. some democrats have told us that they voted for donald trump. i spoke with one woman who said she reluctantly voted for him. people said they weren't thrilled about this candidate, but they feel that he understands their problems, their pain and their suffering, better than hillary clinton. and they're hoping that this area might somehow ship this state a little bit more and maybe tip it over to the trump column. could be a long night. a lot of folks here excited and we'll see what happens. >> we will. deborah roberts in johnstown, pennsylvania. of course, hillary clinton, david muir, pinning her hopes on philadelphia and those all-important philadelphia
suburbs. >> the counties counties arou a philadelphia. so interesting to hear the president say, i hope the moms and dads out there will think about their daughters, the respect for their daughters, a direct appeal to the moment in the campaign when we heard that audio from that bus. we know this number so far. in the philadelphia suburbs, obama won them by seven points. hillary clinton is winning them by 27 points. if you look at what the voters said about trump and what he said about women on that audio tape and some of the other behavior towards women, look at this. 71% of pennsylvania voters said it bothered them a lot. only 28% said not at all. so, it would ail peer in the counties around philadelphia, the strategy is working. >> martha, you spent a lot of time in those counties, as well. the clinton campaign pitching directly at women. >> i have to say, johnstown, where deborah roberts is, that's the only place i asked a voter what they thought of having a female president and a man told me, there is no way a woman
could do that job. back in the philadelphia suburbs, they like hillary clinton. but they don't like her as much as they used to. i mean, the e-mail thing, we were talking about it before, that actually has some resonance in those areas. but again, they like donald trump even less. >> and tom llamas, the philadelphia suburbs, the only place we saw a speech from melania trump. >> that is right. he hoped -- outside of philadelphia, in the suburbs. he hoped that melania could win over female voters, waudz tbeca trump campaign was worried about all the comments, all the women that came forward in the last few weeks accusing donald trump of sexual harassment, melania was supposed to be is secret weapon. she gave the one speech, we didn't see her again. during your interview, he announced to her she was going to be speaking, it was news to her. we were in pennsylvania yesterday, in scranton, in a dark gymnasium. you could see the steam ridsing
from the lights and the sea of red hats and the crowd was so hangry. they were on fire. and donald trump felt off that, he said one of the most vicious lines about hillary clinton. he said, that is the face of failure. that is the face of a failed foreign policy. >> i want to get to new hampshire in a second. we have a senate race to call and congressman todd young in the state of indiana has defeated evan bayh in that state. evan bayh, a former two-term senator. former two-term governor. this is a real blow to the democrats hopes to take the senate. >> it is. getting senator bayh back into office was a key part of taking the majority. this loss means that pathway is tougher. there's still a shot, but it is getting tougher. >> but you know, this also makes missouri a race to watch, because blunt is the evan bayh of missouri. >> and he's the republican in missouri. >> and he's a republican, so, they can balance each other out.
>> and running against a real, a person that's -- jason kander, made his name in the last several months. >> todd young, the challenger, ran a classic -- the democrats recruited evan bayh, chuck schumer did it personally, and they thought this was great, get a two-term governor and two-term senator back. they recruited a de facto incumbent and allowed the republican to run the challenger race for a republican seat. and young was behind and gained 15 points in the last two weeks. >> evan bayh got hit for staying in a hotel room instead of his parent wh apartment -- >> if only that worked on the presidential level. >> it will not. >> and look, evan bayh had a 35-point lead at one point, george. this was a great recruit for democrats, or so they thought. but you know, as you said, two terms, congress, two tomorrerms senate. by the way, we have other big news --
>> abc news can project that republicans are going to retain control of the house, right there. democrats are not going to be able to pick up enough seats to get control of the house. >> not a big surprise. but this means that paul ryan will be the man, we think, i mean, the challenge now is, paul ryan is speaker of the house. he supported donald trump, but refused to campaign with him. a lot of anger on the part of people who supported trump. and he will face a challenge to his speakership. he has control of the congress. republicans have control. but there will be a lot of republicans who, in the house, who are saying that paul ryan should pay a price for not more fully supporting trump. >> cokie and charlie, you covered the house. this is going to be a real challenge for paul ryan and who the next president is. >> absolutely. paul ryan has been saying over the last couple of days, oh, this is a lot of hype, i'm fine for speaker, everybody's for me, i've been out in all their districts campaigning for them. and that does count for a lot, as you well know, charlie, but he's got a whole caucus that is
very much opposed to him, and he's got to placate them at the same time that he'll be under pressure if there's a democratic president, to work with her. and so, it's going to be a lot of tugging on him to come. >> and then he's got to factor in, as well, charlie gibson, does he want to be president of the united states, and speaker is not the place to do it from. >> is there a question about whether he runs for president? i can answer that one with one word, too. but he has a devilish problem. and basically, he tried to finesse the trump problem, as to whether he would support donald trump or not, by simply going out and saying, i care about my members, i'm going to go out and do everything i can for them. he really worried about his on constituency in the house. but it's a devilishly difficult group to manage. as john boehner learned when he was speaker of the house. so, ryan's problems aren't going to go away. >> even if he retains control, if he has a smaller majority right there, and tom llamas, its will be one challenge to work with hillary clinton, another challenge to work with donald
trump. there is no question that donald trump was irritated throughout this campaign by paul ryan. >> george, it was the strangest political relationship. almost like love affair in junior high, like, did they break up, are they back together? two weeks ago, i interviewed donald trump and i asked him what he thought about paul ryan, he said one of the reasons he wasn't supporting him is because he thought paul ryan wanted to run for president. republicans were so upset over that. reince priebus, from wisconsin, paul ryan's state, tried to hard to mend that relationship, and just in the closing days, the trump campaign deciding to pull out of wisconsin. they didn't go there in the final days. and i can't remember, and jon karl can help me out there, did they ever appear together in public? >> they never appeared on stage together. not once. this is -- and it's an unbelievable relationship, because trump was, you know, had ryan at his convention, ryan was -- >> the chair of the convention. >> the chair of the convention, and they didn't appear together. >> even when they met in washington, you saw the shot of them going in. they never showed each other
together. >> but i tell you, ryan will face a serious challenge to his -- >> george, one of the things that we're seeing tonight, three big check marks to be checked tonight in the politics in washington. the republicans just made a big check mark. they retained the house of representatives. they are starting to look like, they just won a seat in indiana that nobody expected them to win in the course of this, that's beginning to see where it goes. so, the idea that the republican party was gone, there was an anchor on it, they retain most of the governorships, they now retain the house and we're waiting to hear on the president and the senate. so, this is a country still governed by two political parties. >> and mary bruce is in wisconsin, the home of the speaker of the house, paul ryan. mary, what's happening there? >> you know, george, paul ryan is a bit superstitious when it comes to election days. he has a ritual, he goes hunting. he did that today. he's hoping the good luck will carry over, and he's going to need it. regardless of what happens tonight with the presidential election, paul ryan's future is at stake here. his political future is on the
line. if donald trump does not win, if hillary clinton does, paul ryan could face huge, tremendous challenges regardless. he is going to be the most powerful republican standing in the house, if hillary clinton does, in fact, win. he could be an instant 2020 contender, and that means he's going to have to find some kind of way to show the republicans in congress can get something done, why dealing with the push-back that he could be getting from members of his own party who could point a finger at him if donald trump loses tonight. >> you'll be covering the house for us. i want to go back to the battleground board. and one of the key states right there is the state of new hampshire, polls have closed in the state of new hampshire, as well. don't have enough votes to project a winner right there, but jon karl, this is a small state. only four electoral votes, but on this electoral map in this year, it packs a powerful punch. >> absolutely. another one of those states that's on donald trump's path to getting exactly 270 electoral votes. he spent a lot of time there. new hampshire is really, in many
ways, the state that gave us donald trump republican nominee. remember, he lost iowa, came in second, and then he came in and had that huge victory in new hampshire, which propelled him into south carolina and onto the nomination. he's been largely behind in the public polls in new hampshire, almost throughout the course of this campaign, since the convention. this is a tough state for them. >> the republican debate in new hampshire, such a key moment in that campaign. that was the debate where marco rubio took it on the chin from chris christie. he was rising in this race for -- before that happened. >> he punched himself in the chin. >> he was repeating his argument against president obama. >> how many times was it? >> three times. three times. as a moderator, you let him do it and let the voters notice it themselves. governor chris christie noticed it, he was across the stage. as he was repeating himself, i look over at christie, he looks at me, i'm ready on this one.
i'm not in the game with you. >> there he goes again. robot. >> he brought up governor christie's name. so, we went to the governor next. >> that was pivotal. >> the other -- the other reason new hampshire so important. i want to bring this to cecilia vega, as well. if hillary clinton can hold onto the state of new hampshire, then donald trump is almost certainly going to have to flip one of those other big blue states right across the stop of the midwest. >> absolutely. and you've seen her concentrate on new hampshire a lot recently, in fact, she had a rally there not too long ago, with massachusetts senator elizabeth warren. this is bernie sanders' backyard. you go back to that primary, the hard-fought primary she lost in that state and now she's trying to turn it to her camp. she is, this is one of the states where we saw her reach out to millennial voters, where she really struggled with that. interesting to see how this works out for her tonight. the clinton camp is watching this state closely. >> more senate news, coming from the state of illinois. and this is a pickup for the democrats. congresswoman tammy duckworth, a veteran, who is -- defeated
senator mark kirk, he was seeking a second term. you see it right there. tammy duckworth, that is a pickup for the democrats. they need four, if hillary clinton wins the white house to control the senate, five if she doesn't. that is the first pickup there for the senate democrats, and stephanie, that was one that was long expected. >> long expected. she has been running very strong there for some time, against mark kirk, incumbent senator. and recently, they've had some explosions over racial comments he's made. so, she really tied up the race in the past couple of weeks. the probability of her wins was only going up. >> the democrats plus-one right now. and while we're here, let's go back to florida. that state, so important, how much do we have in right now? >> well, it is close. 48% clinton, 49% trump. trump has been gaining here. 91% of the precincts reporting, but zoom in here a little bit. if you want to see one story to
tell you about trump's strength right now in florida, it's the county of valucia county. this is a county that romney won, but barely. he had 111,000 votes. i'm on brevard, i'm sorry. there it is. you have 140,000 votes until volusia county. 30,000 more votes docked than mitt romney in 2012. florida, we have 10% of the state to count. this is, i think, going to be very close. look back at miami-dade county, again, this is the big overwhelmingly democratic largely hispanic county, and we have 91% reporting, so, we'll have -- >> and what is the vote, with 91% in there, what is the vote gap? >> the vote gap is almost 30 points. she's doing better in miami-dade than barack obama did, and in
fact, if you look at our exit polls, she is outperforming brk w barack obama among hispanic votes. 29% ahead. obama won by 21%. so, she's significantly -- doing significantly better. >> have to take another quick break. more results coming in. we'll be right back. >> back live in times square after this. ♪
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back now, election night 2016. let's take a look at where things stand. put up the scoreboard of the electoral votes won by each of the candidates right now. 68 for hillary clinton, 66 for donald trump. couldn't be closer right now. let's take a look at those battleground states, the 12 battleground states we are following closely. let's pull up one of the key ones, state of ohio. jon karl what are we seeing? >> this is a battleground that trump had been winning in virtually every public poll coming into this election. but if you look at this right now, there's only about a third of the state that's been voted, but hillary clinton has a narrow lead and there are signs of trouble for donald trump. take for instance, delaware county. delaware county, which is right above columbus. this is a county that mitt romney won by more than 20 points. if you look at it right now, donald trump has barely a one-point lead in delaware county. >> as you said, a third of the
vote in. matthew dowd, this is key, as well. as donald trump continues to do, hang in there in florida, maybe gets the win in florida, if h hillary clinton wins in ohio, that cancels it out. >> donald trump, i mean, what's fascinating to me is, she's running up in their margins in all the places that she needed to in florida, and other places and he's running up his margins in all the places he needed to. so, that's why we're seeing such a competitive race. >> alex, you've done a lot of races in florida. >> a lot of races. if you look at the northern counties, nonurban areas, there seems to be a bit of a trump wave. those counties are dramatically overperforming for trump. if that's true in other places like ohio and north carolina, we ought to keep an eye on some of the rural counties, because they may help balance the scales. >> trump overperforming up in the north, clinton overperforming down in the south. >> so, what happens in the i-4 corridor? my home county, orange county. it's a county that dbarack obam.
i'm showing donald trump losing it by 24 points. doing worse in some of the counties. bear in mind, what's interesting about orange is that you have a real big influx of folks coming from puerto rico. these are folks who are u.s. citizens, they can vote. the latino population in florida is not just about the cuban vote in miami-dade. it's becoming more diverse. this is a big reason why this central florida maybe be tougher for donald trump this time around. >> and bill, the cuban vote is also changing in florida. >> right, it is, the younger generation. the younger generation is different from alex's generation, which is different from alex's parents generation. you mentioned that trump's overperforming in the north and hillary clinton in the south, the electorate is overperforming. just looking at the raw numbers here, we're going to have a massive turnout in the competitive battleground states. for all the talk about how unfavorably viewed they both were, going to be a low turnout election -- we must have the most americans voting ever.
>> you spent a lot of nights sweating out florida results. what are you looking at right now? >> looks like we're going to be sweating it out again. i think it's going to be very close. there's still a good sizable vote out in the miami-dade area, which could bring her over the top. i also think in the i-4 corridor, it's increase in latino votes, but this is an area where, in the suburbs, we can see the white college educated women come out in large droves for her, too. that's part of the story in florida that we haven't seen yet. >> want to go back to robin roberts, there with brian fallon from the clinton campaign. >> you've been very patient, standing here with us. watching intently, listening intently what are you hearing and how are you feeling about florida right now? >> well, a state like florida is important, but it's important to keep it in perspective. there is a large portion of the vote still out in southern florida. looking at miami-dade and brow ward, where you are seeing a record set a couple hours before
the polls closed. we're outperforming president obama in many key counties in florida. if we do win florida, the story of it will be the surge you've seen in the latino vote. to the point just made on the panel, we had a very targeted strategy, recognizing that the latino vote is not a monolith. we've talked to the puerto rican community, the cuban community, and the mexican community, when you look at a state like nevada. we have taken a strategic approach. that could make the difference. but while florida is important in terms of if donald trump loses it, very hard to see how he could get to 270, it's not going to be decisive for him just if he ones florida. he's going to have to run the table. not just win florida, win ohio, win north carolina and then paul off a michigan or a pennsylvania, and right now, the latter two states, michigan and pennsylvania, we feel very good about. >> you want to talk about, quickly about the stage here. >> the stage is symbolic, too. it's cut out in the shape of the whole united states map. and there's a reason for that.
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and we continue to look at, lines of pennsylvanians waiting to vote, in new hanover, township, all of waiting to vote, in new at 8:00 o'clock. it is now 8:58 and you can see these poles will be opened for a long time to come. the these folks don't seem terribly frustrated or angry they are still on line, a festive atmosphere or patient one but this is the situation in new hanover township. good evening i'm jim gardner. we will bring you up to date with some numbers, and some circumstances, in the race for president and some other races as well. let's take a look at the numbers for, the pennsylvania portion of the presidential race, just 2 percent, not even
2 percent of the vote counted, hillary clinton way out in front of donald trump at the moment, and let's look at some of the numbers for mcginty/toomey. very similar to the numbers we just showed you for clinton and trump, not advisingly because of there is probably not too much ticket split nothing that first 2 percent of the vote so right thousand early but mcginty leading there. this is the race for attorney general, in pennsylvania, josh shapiro, the democrat, leading john rafferty. almost by that same margin, again, 2 percent of the vote now this. i want to show you a quick picture of live clinton headquarters in the javits center, no real activity at this point. it is still early. let's go to trump headquarters 17 blocks away at midtown hilton hotel, that is the situation right now, everybody is waiting, it is, anxious night, and both campaigns, and
their voters around the country. that is the situation right thousand, i'm jim gardner. live. here again, george live. stephanopoulos. >> it's 9:00 p.m. here on the east coast. the polls have just closed in 14 more states. let's put up the scoreboard, look at where things stand. donald trump with 127 electoral votes, hillary clinton with 97. we're paying so much attention to battleground states. and let's look at florida, there you see it. just about 100,000 votes separate donald trump and hillary clinton. and rebecca jarvis, you've seen an interesting development? >> with the polls so close, we're actually seeing a selloff
in the -- [ inaudible ] >> rebecca's microphone went off. you're seeing a selloff in the mexican peso. >> yes, about 1% -- >> we'll come back to you. and jon karl, the votes are so close right now. >> it's unbelievably tight. trump has well over 100,000 votes. but i think hillary clinton will bounce back. miami-dade county, 93% of votes in. but in broward county, went overwhelmingly for barack obama in 2012 and 2008, only 16% of
p precincts reporting. >> and north carolina, just about 4,000 votes separate them. another one of the changing states. >> well, the halfway point between raleigh durham, is apex. in 2000, it was 90% white. today, a town of 42,000. the hispanic population is up 40%, the black population, up 80%, asian pacific up 60%. so, this is no longer jesse helms' north carolina. and donald trump had three offices in north carolina, hillary clinton had 33. >> and texas, 38 electoral votes, one of the biggest prizes
on the board. and donald trump, the projected winner. matthew dowd, democrats hope the state is changing, but not quite yet. >> yes, there was a huge increase in latino vote, but it seems to have trended back. i think what you're going to see is a less of a margin a typical republican gets, but it's still a red state. >> another republican state, kansas, six electoral votes. republican dominated the state, it goes again to the republican, donald trump. state of nebraska, five electoral votes. donald trump, only projected to win four. >> well, it splits its vote.
the second district, it's a place that the clinton team is very hopeful to pick up. >> they paid some attention to omaha. >> and not just omaha, states they never paid attention to before. arizona, who would have ever thought we would be talking about arizona. texas, they had hopes there. they were even looking at utah. this map has changed for them. they have their sights set high. we will see. >> a lot of red there right now. south dakota, three electoral votes there. that will go republican as well. only voted for democrats in four presidential elections, the last time in 1964. north dakota, their three electoral votes go to donald trump as well. and wyoming, three electoral votes, that goes to donald trump as well. and let's put up the map.
right up the middle of the country, straight down the middle, you have a line of red. right there for donald trump, across the south also. a few states for hillary clinton, and one in blue, the state of new york, 29 electoral votes. goes to hillary clinton, voted democrat in every election since 1984. tom llamas, at the beginning, donald trump kept talking about winning his home state. >> he said he was going to win new york, he said he felt the people of new york would go for donald trump. the only campaigning he did was around trump tower and manhattan. we just got word mike pence is on his way, and we bet they're watching florida, florida, florida, right now. >> and a lot of states we can't project, louisiana, eight
electoral votes, new mexico, five electoral votes, the democrats hoping for a win there. part of their solid blue wall. before 2008, it was a swing state. the democrats had been counting on it. and donald trump had a real feud there with the republican governor. minnesota, ten electoral votes, not enough data coming in yet to project that one. that was a state that donald trump made a late play for. one of the things we saw, tom, they thought he was going to go to wisconsin, trump saw polls, and went elsewhere. >> they put together a last-mineral last-minute rally in minneapolis. it was one of their biggest ones, during a vikings game. >> that's a solid blue state, going democrat every single election since 1976.
>> false hopes, it's a tough state for republican. >> it is a tough state for republica republicans. but let's go to the battlegrounds. florida. >> florida, florida, florida. i mentioned in the beginning, the state that's been the bellwether has been hillsboro county. take a look. hillsboro county, hillary clinton has a big lead. that doesn't mean it's going to continue to be a bellwether, but it's always been one. overall in florida, the count is incredibly tight. it's still donald trump with a slight lead, but as i mentioned, a lot of democratic votes still to be counted. >> polls just closed in other battleground states. michigan, 16 electoral votes, voted for bush in 1988.
that's one of your home states, matthew dowd. michigan has also been one of the states, like pennsylvania, republicans towards the end think, this is one we can get. >> they looked at the limited nature of the map for donald trump, the places where he could win the election, he needed to flip a blue state. they went for wisconsin, pennsylvania, then settled on michigan. then the clinton folks got nervous about it. hillary went there, sent a whole bunch of surrogates there in the last days. it's a state that's divided. detroit will vote overwhelmingly for hillary clinton, and the rest of the state will vote for donald trump. >> david kerley is there. what are you seeing? >> exactly what matthew is talking about. the trump campaign believes it's all about turnout. they were hoping to get people out in the rural areas, and that is one way he may be able to
crack this blue wall. and the campaign was hoping the african-american vote would be lower. it was only 2% lower according to the exit polls. and 2 out of 10 voters were white educated women, and clinton is winning them by ten points. not a lot of votes counted here, but hillary clinton has the lead at this hour. david muir, jobs are always such a big issue in the upper midwest. >> yes, and that's something that donald trump tried to capitalize on. voters were asked what do you think about your job situation, 39%, better, 26%, about the same, 25% worse. and the president and hillary clinton were there the last 24 hours, they wanted to do the early voting states first. what we couldn't find out, were they truly worried about michigan in the final days? and perhaps trump's campaign
will wish they had a better ground game there all along. > we have another call, we can say abc news can project that donald trump will win the state of arkansas. it's been a republican state, and it's going to go to donald trump, six electoral votes. let's go back to the battlegrounds in the upper midwest. wisconsin, ten electoral votes. tough state for donald trump in the primaries. he lost that state to ted cruz, we don't have enough votes to call that right now. and bill kristol, this is a state where the conservatives never warmed to donald trump. strong talk radio voices there,
just didn't like him. >> it's the mormons in utah, and the midwesterners in wisconsin that resisted donald trump the most. and paul ryan's state, he will be under great pressure from within his conference. but if the republicans hold the house, don't win the presidency, and maybe lose the senate, paul ryan is the one guy that came through. people like me criticized him for being too nice to trump, bei being too accommodating, if he preserves the majority, he could be the most valuable republican of the night. and connecticut, hillary clinton winning the seven electoral votes. 104 for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. and another battleground state, colorado, 9 electoral votes in the west.
the whole state votes by mail. voted democrat in 2008 and 2012. and matthew dowd, colorado, strategists look at virginia and colorado as a pair. the states tend to go the same way. >> i think we're going to see them going in the same way. virginia is close, colorado will be close. another state where the divisions within the state, denver and boulder, are different from the rest of the state. and just like places like florida, michigan, these geographic pots of votes each side is getting and turning out. >> another battleground state, the state of arizona, with its 11 electoral votes. clinton team went there late, michelle obama, spent some money there, even though it's been a solid red state. >> yes, a democrat hasn't won in 20 years. but colorado, same thing, they
were hoping the latino vote would come out. colorado, a state they thought they had locked in early on, and went back towards the end and started pouring more ad money in there. arizona, they think they had this locked in. >> they don't need arizona, but that would be big news there. they would love the state of florida. going to stay on the state of florida, because it's so close. what are you seeing, jon? >> florida still remains unbelievably tight. can i give you one on colorado since i'm right here? this is jefferson county, colorado. a key swing county, western denver suburbs. she's outperforming barack obama, so that's a good sign. but florida, we're still 48%/49%, trump still with the
lead. but let's check the counties outside of miami. broward county, overwhelmingly democratic county, 48% reporting, still over half to be counted. >> so, we're going to have this race, the panhandle versus broward county, getting in the last several votes. >> i think it's going to come down to a few thousand votes. we saw that in a lot of the polls, florida is one of the pivot states, all the polls, some had donald trump or hillary clinton ahead, but they were all within a point. and it looks like florida will be within a point. >> another quick break, we'll be right back.
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welcome back to abc news coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> we're back in times square. let's look at where the map stands. 104 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. the magic number, 270. let's check in with amy robach, at trump headquarters tonight. >> that's right. we're seeing a very different scene than about 30 minutes ago. a lot of cheers, a lot of energy as the results start to come in. anytime someone starts talking about florida, you hear the crowd erupt with usa, usa. smiles, laughing, something i wasn't seeing an hour ago.
people are becoming a lot more hopeful than earlier in the evening. >> and matthew dowd, he's in the game. donald trump is in the game if he can put out that state of florida. >> yes, he's definitely in the game. if she won florida, slam dunk, there's really no path for him. florida is the pillar of the game he needs to keep running. florida, north carolina, then across the country. but florida is the first one. >> but not hillary clinton. not pivotal for her. >> show the states he's got to win. >> it's basically 12 battleground states. looking at the one going into today, hillary clinton had a lead. she's already got over 270. what trump has to do, win all the ones we had as toss-ups, florida, north carolina, ohio,
then a traditionally blue state, like nevada. >> and as we watch florida and north carolina, two states so close between hillary clinton and donald trump, if he manages to win the two states, then he has to find some of the northwestern blue states to pick off. >> if he's not going to win in nevada and new hampshire, he has to get one of the biggies. one of them, the state of michigan. it's a state that democrats feel good about, but were the most nervous, you could say about any of the industrial, midwest states. >> and david, one of the signs why donald trump is hanging in in florida? >> well, the clinton campaign
looking at women voters in florida, zeroing in on the exit polls. clinton getting 51% of the women voters with trump's 44%. in florida, of all the battlegrounds, is where she's performing at this level, surpassing this level in every other battleground. >> and stephanie, there was a sign of nervousness in the democratic camp in michigan. take us through the states they're worried about in the midwest? >> in michigan, they do think it's going to be much closer than 2012. they think white, college educated white women will bring them over the top. looks like the african-american vote is down a little bit in michigan, and the rural vote is significantly higher than it was in 2012.
so, it's going to be very tight. in ohio, much of their early vote was very good in ohio, outperforming where president obama was. some bellwethers are not in yet. much of is areas outside of cleveland and cincinnati. and in pennsylvania, they feel very good about pennsylvania. from all signs, traditional republican counties outside of philadelphia are going for her in very strong ways. that's a strong sign for what happens across the state. >> and florida may be telling us about the future of other states. hillary doing well in the i-4 corridor, that may mean she'll do well in florida. and trump may do well in michigan. >> and ten battleground states
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the rest of the that the picture i'm not the so sure, pennsylvania is as important as we thought it would be, with what is going on in florida and north carolina, and the state of virginia, where donald trump is leading, at this point in time. the let's show you the that the popular vote, donald trump is beating hillary clinton right thousand with just 19 percent of the vote counted but that number reflects some of the trump success that he seems to be having, in some key states, including a couple of tire wall states, states that hillary clinton was confident of winning, and that she thought would be her tire wall, against a donald trump advance. let's go to rick williams, who is at trump headquarters in new york city, and rick, i know you have been listening to us, i hope you are aware i'm sure you are aware of all of these states where donald trump is to go well. my question are the folks there aware of his success, or
at least partial success in places like north carolina, florida and the state of virginia. >> reporter: definitely, jim, and this place, this ballroom, in midtown manhattan standing room only. the hundreds of trump supporters have now filed into this ballroom, a vast departure of what we saw some six hours ago when it was just media. i said in my last report at times it sounded like new years eve. if trump is able to pick off a state of virginia it might become hardy grass people might start throwing beads for all we know. that is enthusiasm and excitement in this ballroom tonight. in many ways this election is like a sporting event. where as, you ask many of his supporters they will tell you they came in as the decided under dogs in this race, but they are trying for an upset, and, just look at the size of the crowd. it keeps growing, growing.
the electricity is ramping up, enthusiasm, the energy, and they are, expecting a victory this florida, and if they get one in virginia as we mentioned and that is part of the hillary clinton's blue fortress so to speak this crowd will really explode. of course they are all waiting to see the donald at some point this evening as we have been saying throughout the night he is watching results coming from the trump tower three or four blocks away with friend and family but at some point he is expected to come and talk to his supporters, whether or not he will be here as part of the victory celebration, or to give a concession speech, who knows, but, this crowd here is prime for some type of victory tonight. jim, back to you you. >> thanks, rick. >> lets look at pat toomey/katie challenger race. the numbers here veritive rent there what is going on nationally for the democrats right now, in pennsylvania, katie mcginty is ahead of pat toomey two to one but here
only 10 percent of the vote is in. don't know where it is coming from. it looks like most of that vote fridays southeastern pennsylvania but it is just 10 g way to go there. >> i think we will see very much same thing as we look for, look to the race for attorney general, josh shapiro the democrat, out in front of the john rafferty 69 percent to 31 percent. let's go to new jersey and the third congressional district, in the garden state, republican tom mcarthur the incumbent, easily right now with 34 percent of the vote in over democrat, the challenger fredrick lavergne and this is fourth district in new jersey, republican chris smith, easily beating lornea a phillips-on, chris smith has pneumonia around for a while, he is going for his 19th term or can toll hill. the it looks like he will headache it as well.
that is story, i'm jim gardner, we will be back shortly. and we're back now, 9:30 p.m. in the east. election 2016. let's look at where things stand right now. 104 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. it takes 270 to win. and let's go right to jon karl for the latest on florida. >> it's as tight as it's been. donald trump still has a lead, a significant lead. but again, as i mentioned before, the miami area, specifically the county just above miami, broward county, this is an overwhelmingly democratic county. more than a third of the vote is
still outstanding. hillary clinton can still harvest enough votes there. >> how much vote is in so far? >> the overall vote, about 90%. let's take a look, overall. 94% of the vote in florida is in. >> and you have it a little bit more than 100,000-vote lead for donald trump. and north carolina, let's see where that stands. there it is right there, 49% for donald trump. about a 60,000-vote lead in north carolina for donald trump. >> multiple states are going to go down to the wire, we may not even be decided by this evening. it's going to be a close race. >> one state that hillary clinton is counting on, the state of new hampshire.
let's pull that up. there you see, donald trump ahead there. about 78,000 to about 76,000 in the state of new hampshire. >> and new hampshire is a state that is critical to one of donald trump's path, and, george, incredibly close. >> and another one that's close, the state of michigan. blue state of michigan, as we said, a lot of attention there. donald trump ahead, about 30,000 votes over hillary clinton. and cecilia vega, this has to be unnerving the clinton camp a little bit. >> they were a little uncertain about michigan going in. they thought they had it in the bag, then got nervous and went back. hillary clinton, former president clinton, president obama was there. this is a state they want to win, they're not 100% sure about
it. and the issue of trade has come up, especially in the primaries with bernie sanders and her issue on tpp, and her flip-flop, as he would say, on that. it's been used to illustrate what her opponents would say, inconsistencies, hillary clinton's willingness to change what she says. >> and another state coming in for donald trump, louisiana, eight electoral votes coming in for donald trump. and you're seeing the map fill in red across the south. and down the middle of the country. tom llamas, what are you hearing from the trump camp? >> right now, the campaign is buoyant, feeling happy. there is a tweet, eric trump tweeted out a picture of trump with governor mike pence in their headquarters, they're saying they're excited and like
what they're seeing. we'll see where it goes from here. >> but right now, this could be, as you were saying, moatthew, a very, very long night. >> we're seeing donald trump overperform in a lot of places that people had questions about. but he's in many places, setting records in rural areas. >> alex? >> the missing trump voter that we've all been wondering about, they've shown up. in rural america, voting in intense levels. that may mean he can hang on in north carolina, and maybe in michigan. if he can do that and keep arizona, that would get trump to 275. >> martha? >> and i saw enthusiasm for trump in the rural areas. they were concerned in ohio and pennsylvania that they could get the vote out. talked to some gop chairman
there, saying we're very worried because there's no organization there, but in the last couple of days, they saw that ramp up. i traveled around, trump signs all over the place. they were doing it themselves, people would put signs in front of their houses. and in those areas, the economy is very, very important. it's the number one issue, for example, in ohio. and that's where trump is leading, among those who are worried about the economy. >> and this is the exit poll in michigan, look at this. donald trump, 54%, to hillary clinton, 39%. this could illustrate the success he's having in rural
america tonight. >> and here's why they're smiling. if you look at the key states, new hampshire, michigan, north carolina, and florida, right now, they're still counting votes. but right now, in florida, he still has that slight lead. in north carolina, he has the lead, very close. in new hampshire, looks like he has a chance to do something in new hampshire. and michigan, only 18% of the votes counted, but he's off to an early lead. but one note of caution to the folks at trump headquarters. florida, back to the ever-important county of broward county. 75% of precincts reporting. more than 200,000 potential democratic votes still to be counted there. >> and hillary clinton has been there four times in the last few days.
florida, they've invested in ads and visits. one of the most traveled-to states since early voting began. trying to lock in the early vote, build up a firewall against donald trump. try to lock in the voters. we talked about the i-4 corridor, and the demographic has shifted there. cubans, puerto ricans, living there. >> and there's this real split between rural and city areas. >> yes, a middle school mock election in new bethlehem, pennsylvania, trump gets 86% of the vote from the kids. and i say, can you work with the
hillary supporters to make the country together? and they said no, we have to split the country. and i said, we tried that, it didn't really work. on june 23rd, i stayed up all night in london, covering the brexit thing. at first, they looked like they lost it, then more results come in. i have a sense of deja vu happening here. >> byron pitts? >> i'm fascinated by the change in america, in 1967, a commission came out that said, there are two americas, one black, one white. now it seems we've gone in a different direction. many minorities feel like
america is better for them. there are more black people in college, life expecexpectancy h increased, but for rural working class white america, seems like they're unhappy. >> they've been stuck for a long time. and one way to put it, the difference between starbucks and budweiser america. >> yes, the 22 states you can look at hillary clinton carrying, 16 of hers are in the top half of starbucks. donald trump's, 18 of his 25 are in the bottom half, low starbucks. that's why this is the last election that republicans can try to win with the old white guy strategy.
it nearly blew up the car this election. so, the challenge for republican, we need to be a party that appeals to more americans than just that. how do we appeal to the i-4 corridor, the younger, educated voters. >> mary? >> i think it's going to be hard to appeal to those voters when you don't have any understanding of urban america. when you, the only thing you can say about american cities is that they're basically cesspools, almost 90% of the population lives in cities and metro areas. it's no mistake, this is going to be a city versus rural vote. >> and jon, let's also look at another battleground state, virginia. one that hillary clinton is counting on. what are we seeing here?
>> this one looks tight, too. 79% reporting, and donald trump still has the lead in virginia. i should caution once again, we see the democratic counties coming in slower. maybe one of the most important, fairfax county. just north of d.c. 80% reporting, clinton has a 33-point lead. but virginia is closer than i would have thought. >> i want to bring in donna brazile. the chair of the democratic national committee. how worried are you with the close states? >> we're still confident that will are lots of votes that still haven't been counted. lots of votes in traditional democratic areas, and i'm still
confident. i've talked to the team back at the headquarters in brooklyn. we know based on what we've heard early in the day, with the kind of lines we saw, not just in durham and north carolina, the lines that we knew existed in detroit, the lines in pennsylvania, at the end of the night, i'm confident, maybe it's too early to count all of the votes, but as soon as they're all counted, we'll see the democrats will overcome some of the shortages we're witnessing right now. >> i had some people telling me they're sensing some weakness in flint and detroit. >> earlier today, some of the voters we rely on, they tend not to vote before 4:30 p.m., 5:00 p.m. i was on several radio stations encouraging people to stay in line. detroit, flint, earlier today, it was slow, steady. but then they started to come in
after 4:00 p.m., 5:00 p.m. this afternoon. the last message i had an hour ago was to remind people to stay in line. they have the right to vote, if they stay in line. >> and you remember well, the days of the recount in florida. are we headed that direction again? >> i hope not. but if that happens, we're prepared in florida and any other state for that outcome. but right now, i want to see what happens in broward and west palm beach. i'm optimistic, even if we can't overcome that big hurdle, we still believe there are enough votes out there, before we start popping the champagne. >> and donald trump has been bringing it up over the last several days, what was revealed in the wikileaks, any regrets about giving out questions to the clinton campaign?
>> as you know, i've never had access to questions. as a strategist, i work with topics, trend lines, but the event they claim the debate questions, as you well know, it was a forum. i have enough time to make my case, but right now, i'm focused like everybody else on the campaign. making sure every voter in line stays in line, and we believe there are still votes to come in all across the country for hillary clinton. we're expecting a big night tonight. >> and paula faris in miami, we talked about the possibility of a recount. walk us through what procedures are in place. >> i don't mean to give everybody in the studio immediate indigestion, it is time to talk about a mandatory
recount. if the differential is 0.5%, it will be ordered by the secretary of state, and will be completed by next thursday by 3:00 p.m. these are the rules in place, 50,000 votes. and right now, they're still coming in from democratic-heavy broward county. 50,000 votes, automatic trigger for a mandatory recount. >> and you're seeing something in virginia? >> well, jon has been talking about the northern virginia vote. you get so caught up in the numbers. the tightening, it's just an amazingly close situation. virginia is now an example of it. >> it's a state that the trump campaign has essentially written off weeks ago. this became much less of a
battleground. the assumption was that hillary clinton had a big advantage. >> they had stopped advertising there. >> and let's not forget were tim kaine is from. he's the senator of the state. i would love to hear from someone in the clinton campaign about this. >> tim kaine has never lost a race in virginia. coming up, ten states still heading to the polls. we'll be back with you live when we come back.
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and we're back now, election night 2016, coming up on 10:00 p.m. in the east. let's look at where things stand in the electoral college. 104 for hillary clinton, 137 for donald trump. you need 270 win. and jon karl, so many close battleground states right now. >> florida, north carolina,virginia, michigan, surprisingly close, and new hampshire. let's look at where all of them
stand. in florida, donald trump still has a lead. north carolina, donald trump has a lead. in virginia, donald trump has a lead. a lot of democratic votes still to be counted in northern virginia. but virginia will be incredibly close. whether or not he wins, it will be cleoser than anybody thought. in michigan, a state with only 21% in, but donald trump, ahead. >> and matthew, these states are all so close. coming into the race tonight, it looked like hillary clinton, a convergence of national polls had her at about a 4% lead. >> i had her at about 5%. but what we're seeing, a divergence between the national numbers, and the possibility that hillary clinton could win the national vote by a large
percentage, four or five points, and possibly by a few thousand votes. we have no idea what will happen in the electoral college. >> if donald trump wins in three or four states, he becomes president. florida, north carolina, virginia, or florida,north carolina, and michigan, he's there. >> if he wins one of the states up in the north, michigan, pennsylvania, he has a real possibility right there. cokie, incredible. >> it's very different from what we were seeing going into it, and from what we were seeing earlier this evening. and a complete reversal in terms of the electoral college going for her, and maybe the popular vote going for him. that was an earlier theory. and what it is is, the rural votes getting out. it's the non-college educated people getting out. people that feel like the new
america has left them out and left them behind, economically and culturally. and they're ready to show their distaste for the current country. >> charlie? >> what's dismaying about this, to me, looking at this from a distance, the disparities in so many groups. such a difference between urban and rural, men and women. such a difference between college educated and not. between whites and blacks. it's dismaying, the polarity of these groups. >> and asking the question, what candidate is qualified to be president, honest, trustworthy, has the temperament, 5% say
both. same with the qualifications. 5% say both. 2% say both are honest and trustworthy. they're not willing to give an inch to the other side. >> tom llamas? >> charlie's point of the two americas theory. i want to tell a story from michigan. exit polls say 50% say trade kills jobs. and i was at a rally, a guy going crazy for trump. he said i'm an auto worker, the union bosses are going for hillary clinton, the guys on the floor are going for donald trump. >> and rebecca jarvis? >> trump has pulled ahead in the polls, we've seen a selloff in the peso and stocks, as he's
8:00 o'clock when the polls closed. once you are on line you can stay on line, until you vote as long as you are on line before 8:00 o'clock. hello, i'm jim gardner. we are in the middle of what could be an extraordinary night, in the political life of the united states of america. donald trump has a long way to go here from the standpoint that none of the races where he is ahead, of hillary clinton have been called to my knowledge, but he seems to be leading in some of the key states that can get him, to 270, and there is a sense that this could be just an extraordinary night in the history of this country. you are looking now at numbers the president numbers, presidency numbers from pennsylvania, where hillary clinton with 26 percent of the vote counted has a commanding lead overdone old trump and rest of the pennsylvania races, seem to be following in
almost lock step. katie mcginty with a substantial lead over pat toomey, also with that 26 percent of the vote counted. this is a live picture of toomey headquarters in breinigsville, pennsylvania, and as you can see nobody is toasting, nobody seems to be celebrating because right now their numbers are not encouraging. but over at sheraton philadelphia downtown center city, this is an interesting situation because people here of to feel real good about what is going on with katie mcginty but you they are probably in shock with what is going on with hillary clinton, at least, to this point. we're not going to go beyond that. josh shapiro beating john rafferty, it would seem that shapiro has a good chance to become the next attorney general in the state of
welcome back to abc news coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> and it is 10:00 p.m. here on the east coast in times square. let's take a look at where things stand right now in this very close race for president. there you see it. hillary clinton has 104 electoral votes. donald trump, 140. you need 270. polls have just closed in four more states with 21 e telectora votes, and donald trump has won the state of montana. republicans carried that state in all but one election, 1992. since 1964. but it is going to donald trump, the republican this time around. and three electoral votes. polls have closed in the state of iowa, one of our battleground states. not enough vote in to say yet what's going to happen there with the six electoral votes.
voted for president bush in 2004. close in both 2000 and 2004. barack obama won it twice. tough state for hillary clinton. we don't have enough votes in there to project yet. the state of utah, not usually a battleground. usually solid red. but you've got hillary clinton, donald trump, gary johnson, of course, evan mcmullin, hometown favorite there, running, as well. a mormon in a very heavily mormon state. not enough votes to call that yet, but we are keeping an eye on the very, very close battleground states right now, including nevada. another battleground state. six electoral votes. not enough to project yet. a lot of early vote in that state. last voted republican in 2004 for george w. bush. not enough to project, though. cecilia, want to bring you in on this, because we did see a heavy latino vote and early vote in nevada. democrats had been encouraged by that. >> one of the most encouraging signs for the clinton campaign this weekend coming into election day. a market, a latino market in las vegas, where people waited for
hours to vote to cast a vote. we saw a really strong ground game from the clinton campaign in states like nevada and one number that jumps out at me as we headed into election day, the clinton campaign says early voting started, knocked on and made phone calls, they contacted 45 million people. this is a well oiled very well paid for machine that they've got going into this election day and they're banking on that right now. especially in states like nevada. >> banking on the latino surge in florida, but boy -- >> i don't know, george. look at this. it's still very close. donald trump with 130,000-plus vote lead and i've been talking a lot about broward county, just north of miami. look what's happening there. 98% of the vote is in. and donald trump still has a big lead in the state of florida. it looks to me like he is trending towards winning the state of florida. >> tom llamas, what are they saying in the trump war room? >> one of the trump metrics is
to measure twitter. the trump campaign is sending out more and more photos of thumb's up, donald trump smiling inside that room. i have one text, this is a wild night. and the mood is energetic and upbeat. >> amy robach, you're at the new york hilton, where trump campaign hoping to celebrate tonight. >> that's right. and there are a lot of people already celebrating here, a lot of shouting, a lot of chanting. and we've heard from inside that trump war room, one senior top aide telling us that the mood in that room could be summed up with one word. fireworks. another one, intense. and we have tweets showing inside, actually, trump's d.c. brand new hotel, popping champagne already. people are in the mood to celebrate. and certainly at trump headquarters, we are waiting for him to make his way to the hilton. we don't know when that's going to be, but a dramatic shift in mood here in the past hour. and we are all watching very
closely, as these returns come in. >> robin roberts, what are we seeing at the javits center? >> well, just as amy said, a drastic shift in the mood here at the javits center. though people are trying to stay upbeat -- and you can hear every time -- they just saw that she's the projected winner in new mexico, and so they are very happy about that. but earlier, george, they were playing music, it was a very upbeat scene. and then, when the race started getting tighter and going in the way of donald trump, they stopped the music, they put the results up on the big screen, they kept changing from different networks and it was so quiet, as people were intently listening to the commentary, as well. so, you could hear the cheers, because of new mexico, but they're trying to remain optimistic, but in all honesty, there has been quite a shift here in the last hour or so, george. >> okay, robin roberts. we are not ready to project the state of new mexico yet. but jon, let's look at the other
battlegrounds. what do we see in the state of v.a. sla? >> looks like hillary clinton has pulled ahead. the northern counties near washington, especially fairfax, that vote is coming in. hillary clinton is pulling ahead in virginia. but i think the state that we're going to be watching, if trump takes florida, the state that it will all come down to, i believe, is the state of michigan. >> michigan. >> because, matthew dowd, if krm donald trump holds onto florida, he's leading in north carolina, leading in ohio. we don't have enough vote in iowa. that's what they call the core four. all he really needs is one more of the big blue states from the democrats. >> yeah, and jon's right. i think as we move forward, as we, this comes in, if this sticks with the way the numbers are, as we know, these always are a few thousand votes, it becomes the great state of michigan, could ultimately decide the presidency. >> stephanie cutter, nervousness in the democratic camp? i guess that answers the question. >> in this camp. i think you're right. i mean, michigan, we knew it was
going to be closer. there's -- it's -- there's -- even though we believe florida is leaning in trump's direction, there's still some vote out. and there's big democratic counties that have yet to report in michigan. and i think this is just going to be later than anybody thought. i think she's still favored to win. >> david muir, what do you have in michigan? >> take a look at this. tom llamas was talking about this earlier. when you ask about trade, donald trump pounded this issue during his visits to michigan. 50% of the voters in michigan said the trade deals takes away jobs here in america. only 31% said the trade deals create more jobs. and look at this. when you break it down, with other countries, take away jobs, if you feel like your frightened about these trade deals, that the jobs disappear because of them, the breakdown is very clear. you went with donald trump, 57% to -- >> jon, i want to go to you in a second. we have another call to make.
abc news can project that donald trump has won the state of missouri. gone blue only twice in the last four decades. both times for bill clinton in 1992 and 1996. donald trump, republican, wins the state of missouri. right now, filling in the red across that map. martha raddatz? >> i just want to say, we keep talking about this divide in america. the divide is about opportunity. and you look at places like michigan, you look at places like ohio, you look at places like pennsylvania. real incomes for americans with a four-year college degree have increased by 22%, real incomes for americans without have fallen by 10%, 68% of americans age 25 and older do not have a four-year college degree. and it's not so much enthusiasm in these area that's bringing out all the trump voters, it is anger. it is frustration. it's feeling that they are really left out. >> and we just saw a state go to donald trump, now a state has
gone to hillary clinton. we heard the javits center applaud when they thought new mexico was coming in. we can project that now, as well. new mexico, and its five electoral votes for hillary clinton. so, there you see the map right now, 150 to 109. jon, let's go back to michigan. becoming more and more important by the hour. >> this is a state that barack obama won by nine points. right now, only a quarter of the vote is in, and trump is up five points. here is what's happening. look at three key counties in michigan. first, marquette county up north in the upper peninsula. look at this. trump is beating hillary clinton in marquette county. you know what happened in that county in 2012? barack obama won by 14 points. so, donald trump is outperfo outperforming mitt romney. if you go back and you look at eaton county, just outside of lanci lansing, trump has a big lead. only 35% reporting.
obama won that county by 14 points. and then, finally, historically we know, we talk a lot about macomb county. only 1% is in. but this is the county that gave us the reagan democrats. the very early counting there, donald trump with a lead in macomb. >> michigan, very, very close right now. a lot of vote yet to come in in the state of michigan. let's pull up the state of north carolina right now. that is another one of the core four for donald trump. and in the state of north carolina, what are you seeing? >> state of north carolina, again, trump expanding his lead. this has been close all night. but trump is expanding his lead in north carolina. 83% in. he's got a 3 percentage point lead. >> matthew dowd? >> it's an amazing unfolding of the map, as we watch this tonight. i mean, i had thought, as the national polls were moving, all this was going in the direction, but what we're seeing is a diver jens. between sort of the national popular vote and the votes in these states that are divided on a very rural versus urban and
rural and suburban -- one thing i noticed in the numbers is donald trump is overperforming what anybody thought he was going to get in the suburban areas of these states. >> tom llamas, what are you hearing from the trump camp? >> we have this from kellyann ckellyanne conway. she said, come into the war room. she says he is energized an optimist optimistic. we're talking about the core four for the trump campaign. ohio, florida, north carolina, iowa, they have a lot of reasons to be happy. >> they are watching the numbers come in. byron pitts. >> across the street, there's a new play called "a bronx tale." one of the famous lines from the play is, it's better to be feared than loved. and so it seems at this point, tonight, fear is winning out, the dark picture of america seems to be carrying the hour at this point. >> talk about the divide in this country. the story line that is sort of emerging here, this difference between urban america and rural
america. and take a look at this. i just pulled this up. the u.s. economy. is the condition of the economy not good or poor? 57% in urban america say it's not good or poor, but in rural america, 72% say the economy needs to be fixed. look at this, nationwide, direction of the country. in urban america, 53% believe we're on the wrong track, but that, look at that number in rural america. 71% believe this country is on the wrong path. >> terry moran? >> whoever wins here, what is happening in the united states is part of a pattern across the world, and it goes beyond brexit. it's essentially ordinary people around the world saying that the way elites have arranged the globalized world, through immigration and trade, ain't working for them and their families. and when they get a chance to punch the elite in the face, they have. >> we're see, they are sending a message to washington, to the elite institutions across the board. cecilia vega? >> we haven't heard from anyone in the clinton campaign, and this is the opposite of what we normally deal with on debate
nights when they feel like they've won something, they are out there screaming from the roof toops is going, i haven't heard from anybody yet, now, it's the clinton team that is quiet tonight. they do think that -- they're still waiting on michigan. that knew that was going to be a late one, and they always said was that florida was not theirs. they didn't necessarily need to win it. >> but florida was their hope, that's why they went in for the kill in the last several days. >> yes, their spin is that they didn't necessarily need it, but you saw them invest extremely heavily in that state. if they do not win florida tonight, there will be some tears because of that one inside brooklyn. >> that's where they spent the most money, jon karl. >> she went there more to florida, more than any other state. trump spent the most money, went there more than any state. really did come down to florida. and looking now, 95% reporting, he's still got that significant lead, well over 100,000 votes. you know, the other state i'm watching is new hampshire. another state that four years ago, mitt romney actually had a
home in new hampshire, partly from new hampshire, just like he was partly from michigan, and he lost handedly to barack obama. and look at this. almost half the vote is in, and donald trump has a three percentage point lead. >> if he wins new hampshire and michigan and the core four -- >> look at the possibilities. if you look, again, we have 12 battleground states, virginia, say that goes to clinton, she's up there. pennsylvania, wisconsin. she takes all those states, we've thought all along she's going to win, she seems to have a pretty clear path to 270. but now because of what's happened, if you put florida in trump's camp, if you put north carolina in trump's camp, if you put ohio in trump's camp, and arizona, 254. he now actually has a couple of paths to get to 270. >> all it takes is michigan right there. >> all it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new hampshire and nevada.
>> and can i just point out -- >> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that resonates about the arguments both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin, those
states are all correlated, meaning if you have problems with white working class voters, if you don't turn out african-americans, you lose those states or win by a razor thin margin. she is in profound trouble right now in the electoral college. >> you were pointing out for awhile that donald trump had a better chance in the electoral college than he did in winning the national vote. i want you to address another question that a lot of people are going to be asking right now. we did see a convergence of the high quality national polls over the course of the last week, at around a three to four-point lead for hillary clinton and we'll see what comes in, what comes in at the end. and some people had always been talking about the possibility of a systematic bias in the polls, they were going to be missing trump voters. is that what's happening? >> well, first of all, our model at least always showed the potential for a split. where i think clinton might still be the favorite to win the popular votes, she will wrack up huge margins in california and new york. she's not performing that well
in the midwest. that could prove to be her downfall in the electoral college. but also, polls at the end, sometimes it's not the last poll that's the most accurate, because pollsters don't want to be out of line. and therefore, it's a next to last poll sometimes that was the honest opinion of the pollster and those showed a very competitive race. >> and as we were just repeating one more time, as we were coming into the day, your projection above 70% for hillary clinton, where is it right now? >> i mean, i would look at betting markets which say that donald trump is a narrow favorite to win the electoral college. >> okay, nate silver, thank you. we saw both campaigns closely watching these results come in. millions still heading to the polls out west. voters in the final six states still casting their ballots. we'll be right back. >> back live in times square after this. first there's sharp blades.
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abc news live coverage of election night 2016 is sponsored by hulu. >> and it is election night 2016, we are right here in times square. what a dramatic night. what a close election. want to go to the battleground states. jon karl, been talking about the possibility, just heard nate silver, looking at the betting markets, starting to predict a donald trump victory. they had not been doing that for several weeks and months. let's look at the paths that could get him there. >> i see two paths for a donald trump victory, if he wins the state of florida. and that is trending in that direction. so, if you put florida in his column and you assume he wins ohio where he is up, iowa, arizona, north carolina, places where he is up. here's what he can do. the first thing he can do is win
nevada and new hampshire. and that gets him to exactly 270, but again, george, it assumes he wins the second congressional district in maine, which tells you why they were spending so much time there. >> we should say, though, but at 269, donald trump is probably still president. >> 269-269, it goes to the house of representatives, the republicans control the house. it is voted by state delegations, almost certain they would choose a republican president, donald trump, you have to have run. if you come back, if he doesn't take new hampshire and nevada, he can take the state of michigan. if he takes michigan, 276. both of these paths are difficult, because there isn't that much vote yet in michigan. michigan is a state where he has not led a single public poll, he's up right now in the raw vote. a little over a quarter. the other problem is that nevada, nevada's been a state, again, where the public polls were all trailing, all going against trump coming into this election. >> what did the polls miss?
>> oh, they missed the surge of the vote, of his vote, of the margins that he was going to get among noncollege educated whites, because as we've looked through the numbers, hillary clinton's getting overwhelming numbers with nonwhites. nonwhite turnout unlike we've ever seen. 70% of the vote was white. so, what's -- and she got college educated white women, what's happened is, noncollege white men buy a huge margin went to donald trump. >> and we have to take a quick break. before we go, a big state for donald trump, donald trump has won the state of ohio. donald trump wins the state of ohio. one of his core four. you saw it right there. a big victory there for donald trump. there you see it. key state, no republican has ever won the white house without winning ohio. donald trump has won it. we'll be right back. i'd like to send 50 pizzas to france.
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hello again, i'm jim gardner. hillary clinton is having her issues in a lot of very important states. but pennsylvania is not one of them. she is doing very well at this point in pennsylvania with 42% of the vote now counted. she is she has 53% of that vote to donald trump's 44% of the vote. let's look at the national numbers. the popular vote. and sometimes the popular vote isn't the most important thing that's going on. but in this case trump being ahead 49-47 is suggestive of the fact that he is doing very well in some very key states. florida being one of them. north carolina. although he lost his momentum in
virginia and hillary clinton has reassumed the lead in the state of virginia. that's good news for her as she looks for a way to hang on and try to figure out how to be a comeback kid here tonight and compete here. it is an extraordinary national election. let's go to monica malpass live at clinton headquarters. monica, there's a smile on your face. but that may may not be true for most of the people there right now. >> reporter: well, jim, it really is a case of what happened when time magazine profiled hillary clinton if 2008. the cover story was love her, hate her. that still exists in 2016. will the former secretary of state and former senator be able to overcome that kind of mistrust and any misogynistic and anti-woman.
the crowd is not blind. they see the results, but still with fingers crossed. back to you, jim. >> thank you, monica. let's go to rick williams at trump headquarters. rick. >> reporter: jim, that's right. still a lot of cautious optimism in midtown, manhattan. especially since the crowd learned that donald trump won the state of ohio. a state that he needed on his path to 270 electoral votes. we have been talking about donald trump tweeting throughout the day. we tweeted this picture earlier today from his campaign headquarters at trump tower. take a look at this. this is trump and his family and mike pence watching the results. and donald trump doesn't seem like a happy man right now. but does he ever smile? it might be a smile on his face by the end of the night. but, of course, we are here and we will have much more from this ballroom throughout the evening. jim, back to you. >> rick williams reporting live from trump headquarters. let's look at the mcginty,
toomey race. very much the same proportion or close to it as the national race in pennsylvania. katie mcginty with a substantial lead over pat toomey in the race for senator from pennsylvania. ryan cast tell low, the sixth congressional district in pennsylvania. castello is the incumbent, looks like an easy time with mike parrish. go to the seventh congressional district. pat mean, a familiar face in congress and delaware county. no problem tonight. steve santarsiero, a race we have seen play itself out on television in the form of paid advertising by both brian fitzpatrick and steve santarsiero. it seems like almost every time we watch television we have seen ads from both of these gentlemen and right now they are virtually tied. that is our situation right now.
a suspenseful night in the delaware and we are back, election 2016. 10:30 here in the east coast. you see it right there, donald trump, we called it just before the break. donald trump projected the win the state of ohio and its 18 electoral votes there, and david muir, you see a big gender gap in that state. >> this is really fascinating in ohio, which of course, was a must-win for donald trump, and he's now pulled that off tonight. no republican wins the white house without ohio. the breakdown. 53% women voters, 47% men. but look when we break it out. who did they vote for? look at the men. 54% went with donald trump, 39% with clinton. that's 15 points right there. the gap there. and then look at women. she carries women, but only by nine points. and one more thing i wanted to show you is when you do the education breakdown, the voters without college degrees, 55% to
45%, with a college degree, which gets back to this dits cushion we've been having about economic opportunity in this country, not matching those with college degrees and trying to level the playing field. >> and cokie, we've seen the gender gap a little bit less there. >> in ohio, yes. but, you know, what we're seeing is, we've been talking all season about this change of the college educated vote and especially college educated white women and they are going for clinton, it appears, from all of the exit polls. the difference is that they're not enough of them and so, what you've got is many more noncollege educated people turning, first of all, there are many more of them, but secondly, many more of them turning out to vote. and it is, as we've said, this sense of opportunity that is world wide because of technology. and so, what you're seeing is, people being left behind by the technological revolution in a way that's very similar to the industrial revolution, where
think are really, their lives are so disrupted that they don't recognize them, either in terms of their day-to-day economic life or their neighbors. their neighbors are different people from what they used to be, their kids might be doing something, might be involved in a gay relationship that they never expected, all kinds of things have changed in their lives and this is the way of saying, we want it to stop. >> and these are people who stuck with this guy, through the most incredible campaign in our history, i think it's safe to say. whatever happens tonight, donald trump has astonished the country. >> you heard the noise right there, that means we have another state to call, and it is the state of virginia, virginia, 13 electoral votes, going to go to virginia. voted for obama in the last two elections. such a key state for hillary clinton, her running mate, tim kaine, from virginia. you would call it, jon karl, a must-win state. >> absolute must-win. especially now. and one that, although hillary
clinton has won, it was a lot closer than anybody thought it would be. >> that's right. 48%, 47% coming in right there. but right now, she seems to be holding onto the states so far that she needs, but it goes back to that state in the midwest, state of michigan. let's look. >> and i'll tell you, it's very close, it's tightened a little bit. trump still has a lead with about a third of the vote in. and i'm trying to look at the key counties in michigan, it's been awhile since it's been a true battleground. as close as you can get to a bell weather county, i don't know what bell weather means anymore after this election, it is so scrambled, but it's kent county. that's lansing. and this is a -- >> grand rapids. kent county is grand rapids. >> i'm sorry, i'm talking about eaton. i meant eaton. eaton county is lansing, and this is a county that has gone in the past, has gone back and forth. if you look at it, three-point victory for obama, and look at this. trump with 40% in, has a huge lead, a 24-point lead over
trump, but you mentioned grand rapids. let's go out to grand rapids, a solidly republican part of the state. if you go to kent county, as i said, in grand rapids, trump has a huge lead there, but only 9% of the vote is in. that means, to me, that there's a lot more republican vote to come in from grand rapids and kent county. but there's also a lot of vote, george, still to come in in detroit. wayne county, only -- i'll circle it, so you can see down here, a third of the vote in, that is overwhelming democratic. i don't know. i could see trump moving ahead in michigan. i could see him losing michigan. >> either way, cecilia vega, president obama went to detroit in the final days, hillary clinton went back in the final days. they didn't pay a lot of attention to it from the convention and late october, early november. didn't spend any money there. and they kept saying that they thought that donald trump didn't invest early enough in the state of michigan. >> yeah, you're right. initially, i with us going to say this became a general
election state for them, but it really became, like a last couple of weeks state for them that they really started to pay attention. george, i just want to say, over the last half hour, i've been sitting here and i keep thinking back to the primaries, and the 17 republicans duking it out, and i'm talking to sources in the clinton campaign throughout all of it and they thought they were getting ready to run against marco rubio or jeb bush and they never thought that it would be -- they have always said the race would be tight, but i think when it came down to it, the thought of hillary clinton running against donald trump, they thought they had this in the bag. and look at where they are right now. you've got to bet that they are really nervous inside brooklyn seeing this map right now. >> george, let me raise just one other thing we haven't talked about tonight, which is, again, looking at this as a distance, as i know do, being retired. never in my lifetime, george, and i don't think in yours, have we had two such unpopular candidates. >> have not. >> never. >> so, we're talking about why people voted for donald trump or
why they voted for hillary clinton, we haven't talked tonight about why people voted against hillary clinton, and against donald trump. and a dismaying percentage of the vote, in both cases, were because they didn't like the other guy, or they didn't like her. and that, again, speaks a sadness about this election. i mean, something extraordinary is going on, and you can't take anything away from trump and how strongly he's running. but i wonder how much of that is an anti-hillary vote and how much is really a pro-trump vote. >> i think you see a lot of anti the other side. people i spoke to, it is about character and temperament. a lot of people didn't trust donald trump's temperament, but they didn't trust hillary clinton's character. people knew a lot about this race, it's incredible to go around the country and hear everybody talking about it. everybody engaged in this race. i wouldn't say there's a lot of depth on the issues, but the messaging worked.
donald trump's message got out there, among the voters. he said she's corrupt. he said the e-mails over and over and over again. he said benghazi, and those sort of things really stuck with the voters. >> the other thing, i think you're seeing is, is a reflection of the political environment, the environment we're in as a country as a whole. what you're watching is unfolding. a bunch of voters don't think donald trump has the temperament. don't think he's ready to be commander in chief. but they're voting for him, because they're tired of status quo and in the end, it looks like she formalized representing the status quo and he represe representing blowing it up and people inspite of their questions whether he was qualified to be president went for blowing it up. >> nuclear codes. what about the nuclear codes, if you don't think he has the temperate. you know, he wouldn't do that, would he? i'm going to vote for him anyway. >> it's kind of astonishing that he's this close right now, when you've got a majority of americans, solid majority said he's not qualified for the job.
>> the analogy i've heard used is that he's the experimental treatment to what ails america. he may comes with side effects, he may not be tested in the same way as other leaders might but if you have been sick long enough, maybe you're willing to take a chance on that treatment. >> i think that's right. we've discussed this, george, over the months. in a change election, being the candidate of change is the better thing to be and you have to make yourself acceptable. a lot of us thought he probably hadn't succeeded in doing that and people think secretary clinton is more qualified, et cetera, but it seems like donald trump was able to reassure people just enough, not to be scary enough that he, if you want change, we're voting for trump. if he makes it across the finish line, just comes just short, just shows how powerful the unhappiness of the status quo is, and i think hillary clinton, and again, we said this over the months, not just second guessing, she never really explained the change she was going to bring about. entirely a disqualification of donald trump that she attempted and may have not succeeded. >> there's another name here
that hasn't been mentioned. james comey. when he came out and announced he was reopening the investigation into the e-mails, not fully reopening, but looking at what was on anthony weiner's comput computer, hillary clinton was on her way, they certainly thought and i think most of us thought was on her way towards a pretty decisive win. that was the ultimate october surprise. comey came back a couple of days ago, said basically, never mind, there's nothing more to investigate, but i think, if this goes donald trump, you're going to hear democrats -- >> we have another projection right now, it is a projection for hillary clinton. the state of colorado. voted democratic in 2008, 2012. that is going to hillary clinton right there. so, one of the things we're seeing, virginia and colorado, as we said matthew dowd, going in tandem, voting like new mexico, also coming in for hillary clinton. building up her bare minimum,
question is, can she hold the firewall? >> that's the real question. we're going to go to michigan, i think wisconsin is still undecided. the numbers in wisconsin, maybe john can give us an update on that. i think wisconsin is not yet decided. new hampshire's not yet decided. and so, we still have -- and obviously florida's not been called, north carolina's not been called. those are leaning right now in donald trump's direction. this is going to be a long time. >> okay, i want to -- jon, pull up wisconsin. let me go to clayton sandell in denver, you hear those cheers behind you, clayton. >> yeah, there's a lot of excited people here but i think there is also releech, you know, you heard cecilia say earlier, the clinton camp thought they had colorado wrapped up very early. they pulled all of their ads over the summer. but in recent weeks, the race tightened here considerably. one poll had them tied at one point and that prompted a flurry of activity. many visits by clinton sure galts, donald trump himself over the weekend. and it highlights just how
purple a state colorado still s is. in the last ten presidential elections here, republicans have won all the contests, except for three. bill clinton in '92 and, of course, barack obama twice. but with a hillary clinton win here, that now makings it three for three for democrats here in colorado. that's never happened here before, george. >> clayton, thank you. pull up the scoreboard right now. 131 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 168 for donald trump. takes 270. nine battleground states left on the board. jon karl, look at wisconsin. >> wisconsin is quite a story. 48%, half of the vote in, and donald trump with a two-point lead over hillary clinton. you know, i've got to drill down and see where the outstanding vote is, but with almost half the vote in to see donald trump leading in the state of wisconsin is -- >> and this is a state he didn't win in the primaries. >> this is a win he got trounced in the primaries, because the entire republican establishment in the state was against him. paul ryan was against him.
scott walker was against him. the conservative talk radio, a guy named charlie sikes, one of the big influencer for republicans, led a jihad against donald tru donald trump on the radio. and then, look. i don't know if he's going to win wisconsin, but it is unbelievable at this point, he looks to be in the hunt. >> tom llamas. >> take you inside the trump war room right now. it is so filled, you can't even walk in. there are so many people around there. chris christie is right next to donald trump. you know, covering trump is a lot like playing roulette. you never know what's going to happen. and in roulette, the trend is your friend. and one lesson i learned from cov covering donald trump, once he starts winning, he doesn't lose. i think we are at a very critical moment. he's just won ohio. my republican sources say he's going to win florida, as well. this could be a very interesting night. >> he wins ohio, he wins florida, he needs north carolina and he's going to look up north to the state of michigan.
we have another call to make right now in the senate. and this is the north carolina senate race and we can say that the republican incumbent, senator richard burr is going to win that race in the state of north carolina. key race to help the republicans retain control of the senate. now they have made up for the seat they lost in illinois. and this is going to be very close, bill kristol, but that was a big one for the republican party. >> yeah, looks like the senate could maybe go to a 50/50 split. i think most of us thought that hillary clinton was likely to be the next president and it would be a democratically controlled senate, because tim kaine would be the tie breaker. >> okay, and gary langer, our pollster, is he hooked up now? do we have gary on the microphone right now? i want to pick up with a couple of the points i wanted to get with nate silver, as well. first of all, this idea that we are conditioned to watch all the public polls, we saw hillary clinton have a fairly solid but
small lead in the final days, but first pick up on the point that onkarl was making. what kind of an impact did we see from this announcement about ten days ago from james comey? >> well, george, what we have here is really a cry, i think, among the disadvantaged voters in this country. those that don't have a college education, who have seen their real incomes falling, as we've been discussing, they're not turning out in greater numbers than we expected, but they are voting overwhelmingly for donald trump. that is that expression of discontent with the status quo in terms of a system that hasn't been working for these americans. now, we did see this in the pre-election polling. we had a small lead nationally for clinton, four points in the final estimate. we'll see how that comes out. but state by state, in these tossup states, you're seeing this overwhelming trump vote among these noncollege whites. >> on the two states we were just talking about, wisconsin and michigan, and we talked about this before, not a single
public poll, there might have been one tie in michigan between the conventions and election day. same thing in wisconsin. >> yeah, i didn't follow the state polls in those two states. we can dig back in and look how they did. state polling is sometimes squirrely. it takes a lot of effort to do pre-election polls well. but the -- i think the most important thing to keep in mind is, what the voters are telling us here. and this notion here that for many americans, for particularly noncollege educated white americans, the system is not working. they've been falling behind, growing increasingly frustrated. not since the great recession, but for decades. and this expression of frustration turns into this anti- -- >> yeah, but you have a good metaphor there, as well. you can look at some of the economic statistics and pick out statistics, unemployment is down. there's been economic growth for the last several quarters. you can see consumer confidence. a fairly healthy economy, yet a
lot of people feel there is no economic opportunity. >> that's right. it's less about the economy than it is about the opportunity for prosperity. really, the promise of the american dream. if you don't have a college degree, we talked about this earlier, your real income against inflation over the last 35 years has declined. the reason most people in this country feel like they're doing less well is because it's true. and we're seeing the result tonight. >> okay, gary, thank you very much. let's go back to michigan. jon karl? >> michigan, still projecting 41% in, donald trump still up by three percent in the state of michigan. >> david kerley, what is the feeling there in detroit? >> oh, george. let me tell you. this is the state democratic party we're at in detroit, and it has completely changed. people have been on the podium saying, keep your fingers crossed, we're not out of it yet, but the mood has changed here entirely. don't forget, this is a state that hasn't gone republican since 1988.
it's been a solid blue state for so long. but as gary langer was just pointing out, what we're seeing in michigan is that a lot more rural voters did turn out here. 27% of the vote in michigan, according to the exit polls, was rural. it was only 19% just the last election. so, a lot of folks have turned out. now, there are still a lot of votes in detroit, about 60%, 64% of the vote, still to come in from wayne county. but this is what the clinton campaign was worried about. how good was the trump turnout? and what we're seeing is, in the rural areas, it's very good. will detroit make up the difference? >> this night could not be more dramatic or close. all eyes on michigan, florida, the battleground states. voters still casting their ballots out west. we'll be right back. >> abc news live coverage of election night 2016 is sponsored by hulu.
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coming up on 11:00 p.m. in the east, and this dramatic election night, it's been an unusual campaign and tonight, everything so close and donald trump doing so well so far. let's look right there. he's got 168 electoral votes to hillary clinton's 131. you need 270 to win. we've been keeping an eye on battleground states all night. started out at 12, now we're down to nine and jon karl, let's go through the wins that remain, starting with that big win, 29 electoral votes, the state of florida. >> state of florida, 95% reporting, george. donald trump still holding a pretty commanding lead. we move up the coast a little bit, north carolina, donald trump with a solid five-point lead, 91% reporting. keep going up, pennsylvania, this was a long shot from the start for trump, he's losing, but, again, it's pretty close. only a three-point margin in pennsylvania. new hampshire, one that he had been losing in most of the public polling, look at this. he's got a three-point lead with
more than half of the vote in. go to michigan. donald trump still leading, it's narrowed a little bit. about 45% in. wisconsin. donald trump with over half the vote in, still has a pretty serious lead in the state of wisconsin. >> three big opportunities there. >> just shocking. >> three big opportunities there for donald trump. let's go back to the possibilities. say for the sake of argument, you give him the statements where he has the lead right now. north carolina and florida, the states that he has to win. those are the states that he has to win. but then he's got his choice among michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania looking like clinton for now, but he's got his choice, michigan, wisconsin and new hampshire still out there. >> i'm going to leave iowa in the middle. hillary clinton is looking pretty strong in iowa, which is a state we thought donald trump, one we thought he was going to win. you look at the other stafts, 243 if he stakes ohio, north carolina, florida. if he takes, and also arizona, because az, if he hangs onto
that, he should take arizona. if he takes michigan, 270 electoral votes. put michigan back. if he takes pennsylvania, 274. put it back. if he takes wisconsin, not quite there. he needs something else. he would need to pull in iowa, that would get him to 270. >> so, we've seen really a reversal of what we've seen all throughout this election campaign in hillary clinton had multiple maps, now donald trump has and she has a narrower path. i want to take that to sean spicer. sean, what are you seeing, what are you feeling? >> it's just pure excitement here at trump tower. mr. trump, governor pence and the entire team are just watching these results come in. the excitement is unbelievable, as we saw north carolina, ohio, we're keeping our eye on florida, but it looks good and it's just, you know, again, you see michigan and wisconsin, all closing in and as -- i know jonathan karl was just talking about, i'm not sure which one of
all of them it will take, but it's definitely the race that we thought. i know we've kind of had that candidate with a message and a ground game that we've been touting for awhile. it's producing the result we thought it would. >> what did you see that others didn't? >> well, i think that we saw a shift in the electorate a few weeks ago. to mr. trump. and again, i think this was the perfect storm. you heard republicans out there talking about clinton inc, the obama care increases, and the trump message of change. all kind of coming at that perfect storm in these last couple weeks. and then when the fbi scandal happened, and they revived the concerns that most voters had with trust and honesty, it really kind of became that perfect storm of that message of change that donald trump and mike pence have been talking about. >> what are you seeing out of michigan right now? >> well, again, i think that we've seen a shift in at the last couple of weeks. we had us going into this race, just barely ahead, and the counties that we're tracking, the results that are coming in
are pretty muff on par. i think it's going to be close but we're going to pull it out. >> and wisconsin? >> wisconsin's going to be a tight race. and so, we'll keep an eye on that, but senator johnson's fighting hard. and i think we've got some areas that, you know, if you look at some of those key counties that obama won 51%, 52%, you're now seeing a role reversal, where donald trump is up 51%, 52% on those. we're not giving up on wisconsin. it's going to be tough. but it's amazing to see some of these counties come in. and i think we feel pretty good about where iowa is going to end up, as well. >> you and your boss, chairman of the republican party, took a lot of heat for the way you've backed donald trump. i was wondering how mr. preibus is feeling now? >> i think there are smiles all around trump tower tonight. i think we touted, you know this, and jon karl knows this, but we've been talking about the data operation that the rnc put together, the ground game that we have, the amount of time and money that chairman reince priebus has invested in both and i think we have a candidate
that's talking about change and a movement, and those things combined, we've been talking about for awhile and i think it's finally that combination hit it at the sweet spot and going to spell for a really good night for us tonight. >> sean spicer, thank you. all eyes on the big battleground states. florida, north carolina, wisconsin, michigan. polls about to close in more states. we'll have all the latest results when we come back.
history will be made tonight, but at this very moment at 11:00 that decision still hangs in the balance. will hillary clinton or donald trump become the next president of the united states? turnout has been so strong that many people were standing in line for hours waiting to exercise their franchise. some even after the polls closed. and amid all that enthusiasm it
remains at this moment too close to call. it is tuesday night and the big story on action news tonight is election night 2016. and we are awaiting a winner. things are really getting shook up around here. we will return to abc news national coverage after we update you on the local races. but first, here is the latest nationaltaly. right now with 54% of the vote counted the popular vote, donald trump has 49% of the vote. hillary clinton has 46% of the vote. but, of course, it is the electoral map that really matters. the candidate's path to 270. that's what we're looking at right now on the action news big board. currently hillary clinton has 131 electoral votes. donald trump has 197 electoral votes. hillary clinton's chances are still alive. but those chances breathing is
labored. brian taff will join us shortly with a state by state breakdown of how all this is adding up. action news anchor monica malpass and rick williams in new york at the clinton and trump watch parties on this historic night. monica, describe the mood at clinton headquarters. >> reporter: very subdued crowd. they cheer obviously when one of the supporters of hillary clinton, one of her surrogates comes to the stage. but presidential politics as, you know, jim, is not a fight for the faint of heart. goes back and forth. they just had andrew cuomo here invoking the memory of his father to enthuse the crowd. the father of the service member who died in the service of the united states, bringing a big roar to the crowd. he was criticized by donald trump as you know. hillary clinton was in for the fight of her life.