tv NBC News Decision 2014 Election Special NBC November 4, 2014 10:00pm-11:01pm EST
from nbc news, decision 2014, election night. here's brian williams. >> midterm election night 2014. 10:00 p.m. on the east coast. put it this way, if you're looking for a story line, our pollsters said at the beginning of this evening they have never quite seen anything like this, as large a collection of races this tight, and we may not have answers on some of the big themes, the big questions of this evening. let's go quickly to the results. we do know and some of the big races we are waiting on. at the top of the list, iowa senate, one of our big races to watch, simply too early to call,
but note the distinction between that and this. polls closed in virginia at 7:00 p.m. democrats thought this was going to be gift wrapped and done. it is not. the race for virginia governor too close to call. more on that after this. too close to call as well north carolina senate. senator hagan trying to get back to the u.s. senate. colorado senate, closely watched as senator udall wants to repeat as incumbent. too close. kansas senate, another of the big ones at this hour, too close to call. will kansas send an independent to the united states senate? georgia senate, too early to call tonight. in louisiana, you might as well set your clock for december. this is headed for a runoff. no one has gathered 50%. the democratic incoumbenincumbe landrieu, will have to wait. a projected winner in montana
for senate, this is a gop pickup. they had to flip six tonight or at some point before the next congress to gain control. this was an early result. mitch mcconnell, the gop leader in the senate, re-elected in kentucky after what amounted to a bit of a scare, a bit of a run but he turned it around at the end. new hampshire senate, jeanne shaheen victorious, she's going back. scott brown ran and failed in massachusetts. he moves to new hampshire, ran and failed there. she is going back. tom cotton, gop pickup in arkansas. mark pryor, the incumbent, son of senator david pryor. a lot of political scions on the board tonight. here is your senate at this hour. republicans who needed six to gain control are up a net of four. our family gathers here in the studio and across the country. andrea mitchell, chuck todd.
chuck, you get the first question. let's go back to the commonwealth of virginia. polls closed three hours ago. a lot of democrats worth their salt were telling you this is going to be wrapped up, it's done, we' back in. >> and republicans, they had a decision to make, national republicans at the end. they had a little extra money, were they going with scott brown in new hampshire or eddie gillespie against mark warner. they made the decision to go all in with scott brown. new hampshire a history in these political wave years, basically swinging back and forth wherever the nation goes. i think now they're probably looking at these numbers and going maybe we went the wrong way. the numbers, what is out, it still looks like mark warner probably survives, but the irony to him, he's a man that sort of came onto the stage by being a guy that wins in rural virginia. he's getting crushed in rural virginia, like a lot of democrats are in rural america in general. he's going to win on the power of northern virginia if he does eke this out. there's always one monkey wrench. this is our monkey wrench of the night. >> as they say in television,
you have control of the board. >> i do. >> show me how the republican plot line going into tonight has either held true or been shaken a little bit. >> what i would say is that everybody is holding serve. it's a good republican night, but it's not a wave. why is it not a wave? well, jeanne shaheen is still there. kay hagan, our models dicate that she could end up eking out. of course the raw vote has tillis ahead. but when you look here, the republicans need four more. if you assume that democrats hold serve here in north carolina, they still feel good about where things are. if you assume that northern virginia vote comes over there, now you're looking at republicans trying to find four more of six that are remaining here. well, colorado, they're leading there. go ahead and give them that. iowa, the polls have shown they're leading there. give them that. so now they have got to find two more over here. louisiana we already decided is a runoff. this kansas race has been flipping back and forth all night. we're not 100% sure.
ditto here with georgia. it could mean we don't know senate control until we know alaska. alaska's polls of course haven't closed yet and it could take days to get the vote counted there. >> all right, chuck, we will come back to you. we have some governor calls to make at this hour, including a lot of these. again, plot lines that aren't completed. let's go to florida. a barn burner in the american south tonight. rick scott, the incumbent, charlie crist, former governor, has been a member of all three parties, democrat, republican, independent. crist trying to get back in the governor's mansion. this one is going to be close. we're not expecting this for another couple of hours. illinois governor pat quinn, the incumbent, too close to ball. pennsylvania governor, gain for the democrats. you're looking at the governor-elect tom wolf. no relation, though he may prove to have the right stuff. wisconsin governor, too close at this hour. scott walker trying to get
re-elected. a lot of money in that race. kansas governor sam brownback, big story chronicled many places the kansas experiment. what's going on politically in kansas, story for another time. colorado governor, hickenlooper, a lot of publicity in his effort to get re-elected. a lot of people would not have predicted this would be too close to call at this hour. and paul lepage, the incumbent governor of maine, actually was helped, as chuck pointed out earlier tonight, with his stance on ebola. the one big election tonight where ebola, because of the nurse from -- who was quarantined in newark, new jersey, ebola has been an issue in the maine governor's race. it has helped so far the incumbent, though. that is too close to call. terry branstad is repeating as iowa governor. governor sandoval in nevada is repeating as governor. andrea mitchell, this brings us
to you. dual question. both hard to handle. what does any of this tonight so far tell us about 2016, and what have we learned about the clinton factor in the election of 2014? >> first of all, what it tells us about this campaign, this election, is that president obama was a drag. look at kentucky. president obama two-thirds of the voters in kentucky had a negative view, did not like president obama. that was an enormous headwind for alison grimes. we were wondering why she refused to say she voted for president obama, that's why. even though people don't like congress and mitch mcconnell, the incumbent republican leader and potentially if the republicans take over the next majority leader, even though 52% of the people on the exit poll said that they didn't like him and they don't like congress, he was able to overcome that because obama was such a drag on grimes. so obama is a really negative factor and this is also the case in colorado and other places that we're seeing. the fact that jeanne shaheen was
able to win in new hampshire. she had bill clinton and hillary clinton campaigning. she did not want obama campaigning for her. she told me in fact when i asked her on television, on live television why don't have president obama there and she said he's too busy with isis and ebola. he needs to be commander in chief. i'd rather have bill and hillary clinton there. they campaigned there constantly and may have made the difference against scott brown. >> what happened to the clinton factor in arkansas? >> arkansas is still home. they getaily updates, the death notices, the marriage notices from the papers there. they have people in arkansas who call them. he has an apartment there at his presidential library. he campaigned constantly for a dynasty senator, mark pryor, son of david pryor who was a former governor and senator. and he lost to tom cotton. and that and also asa hutchinson who led the impeachment winning there. so that is a big loss. it's the end of the clinton era
in arkansas. >> we talkedbout the obama factor tonight. late this afternoon the president gave a radio interview out of nowhere, and he talked about kind of the lineup of the states against him and states that were friendly republican where the democrats faced a tough fight. we believe we'll hear from the president tomorrow. chris jansing standing by at the white house tonight. chris, what else have you learned from the obama white house tonight? >> let's look at this in the context of this being the last election where the outcome will have a direct impact on his presidency. the white house knows the clock is ticking to get something done, so they have been planning a post-election strategy, and the president kind of signalled today that that strategy may be based on losing the senate. okay, the first part of this bipartisan outreach that they're planning, they have invited congressional leaders to the white house on friday to see where they might find some places to work together and they think there are places. they also think that republicans if they do control both houses of congress, it's in their
interest to show they can get things done. so some of the things they're talking about is corporate tax reform. that would fund some infrastructure changes, some infrastructure projects. early childhood education. a lot of republicans at the state level have supported that. the president would love to see something broader there. he's going to ask for supplemental funding for ebola. one of the things the white house was watching tonight were the votes in five states on a higher minimum wage. could there be something there where there won't be agreement is immigration. so, brian, also look for some of those executive actions on things like immigration. >> all right, and it's been pointed out iav careful on that to not antagonize, depending on what the gop/democratic split is going to be. chris jansing on the north lawn of the white house on this midterm election night 2014. greg orman is trying to be an independent senator from the state of kansas. the kansas senate race, kansas governor race have been a favorite of political junkies
this year. we're going to go out to kansas. kelly o'donnell gets the assignment and it's a great one of covering this barn burner senate race in kansas tonight. hey, kelly, good evening. >> reporter: good evening, brian. what has made this so compelling is that greg orman, a self-made businessman sort of came out of nowhere to challenge a three-term incumbent in pat roberts. he became vulnerable because many in kansas felt he lost touch here. he owns property but doesn't live in it. rarely came back to the state. those were real openings for greg orman who said both parties have gotten a lot wrong. orman has told me he voted for obama in '08 but mitt romney in '12. he's donated to both parties. he has offered clues but not answers about the kind of senator he would be in terms of which party he would work with, saying the majority party he'll try to join alongside, but leaving a real door open. tonight here we've seen that there are democrats who were
supporting him, some moderate republicans and certainly the republican party has come in strong to try to save pat robber, who told me that he hopes voters will perhaps forgive some of the mistakes he's made for the overall republican senate that's at stake tonight. brian. >> kelly o'donnell in kansas. let's go to georgia. we have a robust political situation in the south tonight. also a big story about political scions that we can get to at some point. we were talking about a pryor. we've got a carter and a nunn. kristen welker is in atlanta for us tonight. kristen, good evening. >> reporter: hey, brian, good evening. that's right, both of these candidates are first-time candidates. they both come from big political families here in georgia. i can tell you that the republican, david perdue had a pretty strong lead all night long, nearly twep20 points, but we're still waiting for some big counties to come in. so the mood here at michelle
nunn's headquarters very fest e festive. her campaign manager said we're still waiting for a lot of votes to be counted. georgia is significant because if democrats were to win, it's a potential pickup for them and would make it a lot harder for republicans to win control of the senate. of course one candidate needs to get 50% plus one to avoid a runoff. brian. >> kristen welker in atlanta. so many races, so little time. kristen, thanks. we're going to take a break. when we come back, we're going to talk to rand paul, see what the temperature is in the republican party tonight, and we're going to talk to a favorite former congressman of ours, joe scarborough standing by to join us. that and more when we come back. [prof. burke] it's easy to buy insurance and forget about it. but the more you learn about your coverage, the more gaps you might find. like how you thought you were covered for this. [boy] check it out,mom! [prof. burke]when you're really only covered for this. or how you figured you were covered for this.
have more at the gillespie camp. >> there's a lot of positive energy from here in virginia. they're getting more hopeful now you that their candidate, gillespie will come out on top and take warner's seat in the commonwealth. we're watching it. we can tell you, gillespie is in the building. in the maryland governor's race, larry hogan, the republican, is leading anthony brown, the lieutenant governor. a lot of votes sti
they're hungry for new leadership. they want a reason to be hopeful. above all, they want some reassurance that people who run the government are actually on their side. >> that is mitch mcconnell, who tonight has been returned to the u.s. senate by the people of kentucky. unclear, of course, the republicans what percentage of the senate they will occupy. will he be re-elected as their leader. we are happy to be joined by the other senator from kentucky, the other republican senator, and that is rand paul. senator, thank you very much for being with us tonight. is anything you've seen so far tonight a mandate, you think, for the gop? >> well, you know, in kentucky in particular i think this
election was basically a repudiation of the president but also of hillary clinton. the democrat here ran. she wouldn't admit that she voted for president obama. she was very specific, i'm a clinton democrat. the clintons, both of them came often to kentucky. they came often to arkansas. i think what you're seeing is not much difference between clinton democrats and obama democrats, but really the cache of the clintons isn't what people think it is. >> the striking thing about what we just heard from senator mcconnell to some people watching, he was interpreting the message tonight as a call for new leadership. the case could be made about new leadership on the gop side of the u.s. senate. do you see all of your colleagues willing to line up once again behind a mitch mcconnell-led gop caucus in the senate? >> yeah, i do. the thing is that senator mcconnell has never been the leader of the majority, so if weaver a majority, you're going to see whether or not senator
mcconnell can lead us to pass legislation. and i frankly think he can, because i've only been in the senate a short period of time, but i'm convinced the only way you pass legislation, unless you have 60 senators, is that you have to let the minority party have amendments, you have to let them have votes, and you have to let them participate. harry reid's philosophy has been no republican amendments and he only votes on things that he completely controls and, therefore, we've not gotten anything done. i think senator mcconnell will let the democrats participate if we're in the majority and i think you'll see bill after bill after bill presented to the president. >> senator, your father ron paul tonight tweeted, and it's getting a lot of attention, quote, republican control of the senate equal sign expanded neocon wars in syria and iraq, boots on the ground are coming. i realize he is him and you are you and you don't speak for your dad and vice versa, but what this does speak to is the issue you notably raised in an
interview a couple of days ago about the gop brand. if you had a say, what would the gop brand be regardless of net gain or pickup after this point tonight going into the next congress if they asked you and if you ran it? >> i think the key to our brand is we need to be a more welcoming party. i tell people we want people with tattoos and without tattoos, with earrings, without earrings. working class, rich, middle class. we need to be more open and more diverse, black, white, brown and we haven't been. i've never said republicans had bad policies, i said republicans, the perception of who we are isn't good and we need to have a better attitude and present a better face to people. >> senator rand paul, make no mistake it is a good time for the republican party in the state of kentucky tonight. thank you very much for taking time out at the mitch mcconnell
victory celebration to join us. appreciate your time. chuck todd, i just saw you gesturing off camera like a point you have to make. >> well, listen to this, president obama just called tom cotton, the senator-elect from arkansas, to congratulate him. this is part of this new strategy. i had heard that they were thinking about ways they would invite this new class of senators, republicans to the white house, try to sort things out. i think you're seeing this first attempt at sort of a recalibration of this white house responding to what's likely going to be a republican sweep. >> we have a call. it's colorado senate. gardner, net pickup of one more for the gop. this is a big moment because it will be said for a long time that a long-time scion of the democratic party, mark udall, and the people around him
misplayed an incumbent campaign for re-election by going hard to get the pejorative is pandering for one issue and that is women issues. the senate has gone down by one democrat. republicans needed to flip six to get control. they're up five. forgive me. congressman, former congressman joe scarborough -- >> former constituent. >> former constituent, better known as the joe of "morning joe." thank you for joining us. >> it's great to be here. >> we realize we're off your clock. sum up what you've seen so far tonight. we haven't had a chance to talk to you yet this evening. >> you always call me congressman. >> i do. i'm a formal guy. >> you could not have done that if 20 years ago tonight i hadn't been elected to congress. now think about this. in the 20 years since republicans took over congress for the first time in a generation, they have controlled the u.s. house 16 of 20 years. you count up the years that democratic presidents have won popular votes in the presidency, 16 of 20 years. a complete flip. who's controlled the senate over
those 20 years? republicans for 10 years, democrats for 10 years. it's unbelievable. since politics has become such a blood sport over the past 20 years, we've seen a 50-50 nation and we're seeing it again tonight. that utah race, you can't talk about how big that is. >> hold that thought. it's all because you left congress. hold that thought, we'll get a break in. joe scarborough is not going anywhere. we'll be back with our coverage on what is already a very busy midterm election night from new york right after this. in a race, it's about getting to the finish line. in life, it's how you get there that matters most. like when i found out i had a blood clot in my leg. my doctor said that it could travel to my lungs and become an even bigger problem. so he talked to me about xarelto®. >>xarelto® is the first oral prescription blood thinner proven to treat and help prevent dvt and pe that doesn't require regular blood monitoring or changes to your diet. for a prior dvt i took warfarin, which required routine blood testing
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the associated press lead of the news wires as we affectionately used to call them right now, republicans are closing in on control of the u.s. senate. here is our new-fangled doughnut graphic showing just that. remember they needed to flip six, they are up five. this is the story line that continues to emerge tonight. we thought it was going to be a
>> announcer: this is a news 4 decision 2014 update. good evening. i'm jim vance. i'm doreen gentzler. that virginia senate race is still too close to call. look at the numbers. now the numbers have just changed. it looks like it is dead even with the incumbent senator mark warner and ed gillespie in a tie. we're covering both campaigns. let's begin with julie carey. >> the virginia democrats have had something to celebrate tonight. the election of don beyer and jerry connolly to congress. but this room of democratic supporters is on pins and needles watching that ever-tightening virginia senate race where republican ed gillespie has been leading democrat mark warner much of the
night and much to the surprise of people in this room. but the cheers have gone up lately as they've seen the fairfax numbers start coming in and those are closing that gap. >> this is david culver in springfield, virginia. we're at the ed gillespie campaign watch party. a lot of positive energy filling this auditorium. the folks here growing more hopeful as they see the early returns come in and how close of a race this is at this point. they're hopeful, of course, that their candidate gillespie will take mark warner's senate seat in the commonwealth. they're cheering on every single republican projected to win as they watch it on the screens behind me. for now, back to you. >> in the race for governor in maryland, anthony brown is losing at the moment to the republican candidate larry hogan. it's only 44% of the vote in. we're not sure whether the big areas, such as baltimore city, has been counted yet. but so far, it looks like larry hogan is ahead.
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we are back. as we keep saying, a lot we don't know, but some lines are emerging the more results we get in. we're back with our family at the table. just happens to be star shaped. joe scarborough is with us, our senior political analyst working a jump shift for him. joe, i heard this morning, i believe you were saying that people were making too much of the projected republican gains, that a lot of it was some pretty safe territory. how do you think the republicans have performed tonight versus expectations, as they say about mutual funds? >> well, as chuck has been
saying tonight, a win tonight is the republican party holding serve. this has been a fight for the most part in red state america. six years in, which historically is always disaster for the party that's in power. that said, i think even the republican party's toughest critics would say a win in colorado and a win in iowa may be hold serve, but, you know, you went up 40-0 and aced one of the last shots. pretty b win in colorado. if they follow in iowa, this is actually the republican party getting out of the deep south with some victories. >> if you're the head of the democratic party and you're trying to do a strength and damage assessment of what you've always considered that blue wall, that firewall, what kind of shape is it in tonight? >> if i'm running the democratic party and if i'm rung the republican party, what i'm going to be looking at over the next two weeks is one thing and that's vote turnout. why did florida go the way it
went? why did you have some democratic congressmen go down in that state? what worked in colorado? who was pulling -- who was pulling their base out? do we have the republican party doing in 2014 what ken melvin did in 2004 and what david axelrod and the democrats did so well in '08 and '12. that's really the question going into '16. >> chuck todd, house of representatives. go to it because it's going to be an undercovered story tonight. >> absolutely. this is where you see the republicans are having a really good night. we're projecting 246 seats. if they hit that number, 246 seats in the house of representatives, it will be the most republicans in the house of representatives since world war ii. if they get one more, and there's a chance they get to 247 or above, most republicans serving in the house of representatives since 1928. this -- what this does is it basically is a firewall for the next presidential -- let's say hillary clinton is the nominee and she has a resounding victory of some sort.
it is really hard to imagine how democrats could win the house even in some sort of hillary clinton landslide. so this really secures the house republican majority for the rest of this decade. not until 2022 i think at the earliest will you see democrats have a chance at winning the house. >> folks watching at home tonight, 435 house seats. we were told going in tonight maybe 50 were competitive. is it all because of gerrymandering and salamanders and lizards that are drawn in crazy shapes that these are now safe seats? >> a lot of it is. and really people ask what would be the one thing i would do to reform washington. it would be to try to figure out a way to get rid of the gerrymandering. once it went to computer modeli modeling, you were able to get all of the democrats out of your district if you were republican and vice versa. the turnover rate at the house of representatives i think somewhat lower than the turnover
rate in the old soef yviet bure >> we are asking what people hate about the media and we ask this before the ink is dry on the results. anything, anyone emerging tonight vis-a-vis 2016. >> rand paul and his interview with you talking about getting along, working issues, reaching out to people with tattoos and earrings and people who don't look like normal republicans. taking a swing -- >> blaming hillary clinton for alison grimes losing in kentucky. >> so many questions, so little time. tamron hall has been tracking what we've been calling all night a sour electorate, and i think, tamron, the raw numbers coming into you are kind of justifying the use of that term. >> absolutely, brian. you said so many questions, so little time, but there's one big question i think we definitely want to get to because we've asked it for years.
do you think the country is headed in the right direction or are we headed in the wrong direction. highlighting 2010, 61% of voters at that time said we were headed in the wrong direction. 2014, an uptick, 65% now say that. one thing is clear, as you've talked about with the panel, the growing dissatisfaction with congress and also the president. today only 44% of voters approve of the job the president is doing. that is down 10 points from 2012 and that brings us right back to where the number was, brian, in 2010, 44%. and it is not a pretty picture for congress either. in fact overall 78% disapprove of the job that's taking place on capitol hill with those lawmakers. and it is one thing everyone seems to agree on, and we mean everyone, brian. 75% when you look at democrats, 78% republicans, 83% of independents disapprove of congress.
back to you, brian. >> talk about the one thing all americans can agree on, tamron. thanks very much. every election night we like to check in on the gentleman who is my equivalent at our sister network telemundo, jose diaz-balart is standing by at their election headquarters. jose, what is your lead story as you look at the results that are in so far tonight? >> brian, good evening. it's good to see you. you know, one of the stories no doubt is colorado and the importance of the latino turnout. you know, in 2012 president obama received 87% of the colorado latino vote. it looks as though mark udall may have gotten 71% of the latino vote. why the drop? well, interesting. three senators, mark pryor, kay hagan and mary landrieu asked the president to delay his decision to have some executive orders mitigating immigration, deportation. the president decided even after he announced that he was going
to carry these out by the end of the summer to delay after the election. well, maybe that policy wasn't good politics, because clearly the latino turnout may have been affected by the president's decision to delay immigration executive authority until after the election, as he was asked by democratic senators. colorado, a big race. the latino population there is huge. the voting population there is huge. and that's the story we're looking at tonight, brian, among many others. >> jose, appreciate it, as we do always. good luck with your coverage later on tonight as we both go about covering the same story line. we have another update from the state of georgia. let's see if that's ready to put on the screen. this is the perdue/nunn race. michelle nunn on the right, daughter of former senator sam nunn, by the way.
it appears perdue will crack the 50% barrier. this while being a race to watch, still too early to call. but we want to look at, by the way, how the counties and voting districts shake out because the color map of this country blue versus red, we underrepresent, chuck, the vast, i think, purple population which we just -- we haven't gotten our arms around, but so interesting. urban, suburban to look at it tonight. >> no, and you really can do this by geography sometimes and particularly where this battleground was. it was taking place in rural america and that's someplace where the president is enormously unpopular. but we've still got kansas out. republicans are going to win the senate. republicans are going to win control of the senate. i think we should stop beating around the bush. you start looking at these numbers. we know we're going in georgia. north carolina is looking
awfully close. but now all they have to do when you start looking at the numbers, they have got to win just one of north carolina, iowa, alaska or louisiana. they're going to win more than one of those tonight, i'm pretty confident of that. and kansas right now, roberts is hanging on. they can afford to lose roberts and probably find two in here. so the republicans are going to win the senate. we'll formally figure out exactly what time we do the math, but let's not beat around the bush here. >> joe, if you were forced to resign from "morning joe," no one is saying that's a good idea and you were going -- oh, we have a call. i'll finish that question in just a moment. we have a call out of wisconsin. let's interrupt ourselves. governor, look at that, scott walker going back. the incumbent, a long and sweaty night for them, but scott walker, who has gotten a lot of national publicity for a governor of wisconsin, is continuing. and there again red/blue breakdown in the state of
wisconsin with the exception of two counties yet to report. if you were hired tomorrow to advise the president of the united states, joe, what's your advice? >> whoever is talking to him tonight is doing a very good job. the fact that he's already called tom cotton in arkansas is more than he did to a lot of senior democratic senators. i will tell you we've heard it, chuck's heard it, andrea's heard it, i heard it, i heard it the first four years of barack obama's presidency, there were democratic senators that said they had never been invited to the white house, they had never talked to him on the phone. the fact tonight that he's already picked up the phone and called a very conservative guy, a republican in arkansas, i think that's a very good sign. you also have kevin mccarthy, the majority whip, talking about, you know, trying to work more with democrats. you have the same thing, mitch mcconnell tonight. who knows, let us hope peace breaks out. >> a crisis of cooperation could start. starting here tonight. >> could i throw out one quick
name here. >> you can. >> harry reid. i don't think -- i won't be surprised if democrats keep harry reid. i think this is going to be an open question inside the senate democratic caucus. >> no less a character than ted kennedy learned in years past. if you're going to mount a campaign, you've got to make sure you're going to win it. joe scarborough, thank you. it's always a pleasure. our coverage will continue right after this. how much money do you have in your pocket right now? i have $40, $21. could something that small make an impact on something as big as your retirement? i don't think so. well if you start putting that towards your retirement every week and let it grow over time, for twenty to thirty years, that retirement challenge might not seem so big after all. ♪ to severe plaque psoriasis... the frustration... covering up. so i talked with my doctor. he prescribed enbrel.
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good evening once again. i'm jim vance. i'm doreen gentzler. let's go to the maryland governor's race. republican challenger larry hogan is ahead of the lieutenant governor anthony brown. chris lawrence is with the hogan camp. chris? >> reporter: doreen, they are extremely upbeat and excited here. they're looking at the numbers which show them winning in f frederick. but they're down in montgomery and pg. those numbers have to get up. back to you. the mayor's race in d.c., closer than in a long time. but not so much anymore. muriel bowser, democratic candidate ahead of david
catania, the incumbent. >> join us in a few minutes for welcome back. this is midterm election night 2014. at the top of the hour i quoted our pollsters who are legitimately the best in the business saying they had never seen quite this collection, this amalgum of close races, anything like this in their history.
here's one of the reasons why. a couple of these races we're about to show you, people thought these welcome back baked so long like that one where the polls closed 7:00 eastern time. eddie gillespie, as his friends know him, versus mark warner, the democratic incumbent senator in the commonwealth of virginia. huh-uh, too close to call. north carolina senate, kay hagan trying to get back in the u.s. senate. too close to call. iowa senate, too early to call. could be a hot time in the state of iowa tonight, as joni ernst tries to defeat bruce braley. and kansas senate, too close. the veteran pat roberts, who had bob dole at a lot of his events going up against greg orman, trying to go to the u.s. senate as an independent. let's bring in two guys, one is a former senior adviser to the president, the other has a pulitzer prize among his many laurels. david axelrod and eugene robinson. gentlemen, welcome. eugene, you've been a columnist
for a good many years, a journalist for longer than that. what's the column on what's happened so far? >> i think my lead story is republicans take the senate. i think we're going to see that happen. and i think my drop deck, my next -- >> i love when you use terms of art. >> my drop deck is cooperation could possibly break out. if you heard mitch mcconnell's speech, it was -- it was open, expansive, generous, and he explicitly said we're going to get things done. we're going to move forward on the things we agree on. and if that happens, that's got to be for the good. there are issues like corporate tax reform, pieces of immigration, plenty of issues on which the parties have the same position essentially, or they certainly could reach common ground. so maybe that's going to be the
templa template. >> david, for better or worse you are always called on to defend your former boss. let's go to the point joe scarborough made. president obama has said, look, i'm not lbj, i'm nothing close, we're different people, i'm not as elbow twisty and has schmoozy, but as joe said you've got a rookie republican senator-elect tonight. talk about political scions who has defeated a pryor in arkansas. the president picked up the phone and called him. could this be a sign of things to come? >> look, i think one of the things -- the attention will be on the president and i understand that, but there's a great deal of jaundice about politics generally, about washington generally. the republicans are feeling it. their numbers are terrible. mitch mcconnell and the republicans are heading into an election in 2016 where their map is just as hostile in terms of the territory in which they have to run as it was for the president in this election. and you've got a presidential election.
they understand they have to get some things done. i was encouraged by senator mcconnell's remarks. if i were the president i would test him and take him up on it very quickly and see what there is that they can do together. the country is clearly hungry for that. >> the country is clearly hungry. it's hard to manifest that. you're voting for a local and state election. if you want to send a message, touch to do with your vote. >> it is tough to do. this wasn't a wave election. you know, the republicans didn't sweep the board. so it wasn't a totally nationalized election. some of these races were local and some of them really hinged on local issues, local bad campaigns, you know, why is mark warner in such trouble in virginia. you know, i think you have to look at how that campaign was run. i mean it's a big surprise. that's one of the bigger surprises tonight. >> i think we're bordering on calling this a wave election. you have an historic number in the house of representatives. >> are you throwing down against him? >> no, no, no. i think we're close to it.
scott walker wins, rick scott wins in two swing states. if thom tillis pulls off the victory in north carolina, three of the four presidential battleground states, i think we're -- it's basically -- it feels like how democrats won in 2006. >> it's pretty close. >> it's not good news from the standpoint of the president of the democratic party, but i lived through real wave elections. in '94, for example, not one republican senator, governor or congressman lost in the entire country. this isn't what happened tonight. but there's plenty of jaundice, there's no doubt about it. >> i get to call time, gentlemen. thank you both. another break. at this time of night we ask what have we learned. we've got a really smart experienced guy to take that question when we come back. tom brokaw joins us right after this. for retirement. but when we start worrying about tomorrow, we miss out on what matters today. ♪
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it was we want to change the team. we want to find somebody who can get things done. will they fall out of love with republicans that they have elected to office? that all depends on how the republicans take control of the senate now and the congress. they're going to be looking at 2016. no one wants to go into the presidential election with the attitude that the country had going into this election. and to change all of that, they're going to have to get some things done. they're going to have to reach across the lines a little bit. portman and mcconnell and others are talking about it. now we have a chance for tax reform and so on. that means the democrats will have a place at the table as well. so i think we've got a long way to go and it's very hard at this point to conjecture about how they may behave. does mcconnell back away from repealing, for example, affordable care. will we not hear about benghazi again for a while and all the other issues that have been coming up where not so long ago a lot of republicans said impeach the president. do they want to go there. that's not the mess annual that the country has sent. >> cuts both ways.
the white house has to decide how it behaves. we've got a big call right now and we're going over to chuck todd to tell us where this leaves the map. there you go. georgia senate, perdue the projected winner. this was a long, hot night in the georgia senate race. turning away michelle nunn, daughter of veteran senator from georgia sam nunn. chuck todd, what does this do to the map and the gop story line from tonight? >> well, here's what it does. they need two. here's what's left uncalled, virginia, north carolina, kansas, alaska, and north carolina. republicans are leading in north carolina, right now republicans are leading in kansas. if they just hold their two leads, they get their 51. the polls indicated they were leading in iowa. this is still going to be a runoff race, but boy the fact that mary landrieu finished second against two republicans, that's not looking good. you look at the size of this potential republican majority, they could get to 53 and if they pull off alaska, they could get to 54. right now mark warner is hanging
on. he just pulled into the lead there and some final votes there. 54 is a pretty big number. they did not expect -- you talk to any of the republican strategists and they thought their best night was 52 or 53. they get to 54, that insulates them a little bit for potentially 2016 which is a terrible map for them in holding the senate. >> we've been on the air just under an hour. some of this story line has changed live before our eyes. since we came on the air, and andrea mitchell, part of this is the story line the republicans had hoped for. as our last guests appropriately point out, we'll be at this in two years again, the map goes against them. >> they have got 23 seats in play at stake in two years and the democrats only have ten. so the democrats have very -- less to protect, less worry. it's an exact flip of what we're seeing tonight. this was a very hard map for the
democrats in red ruled states. what you've just seen in georgia and what may still take place in kansas and iowa, we don't know yet. the surprise, we saw it coming but the real surprise is in a purple state in colorado. that was a really big defeat for the democrats. >> let's put a period at the end of this sentence and put up our senate balance graphic. we started tonight not knowing how this would ending up. the republicans, remember, needed to flip six. we have them officially at five. it could be a long time before we fill in the gaps and know exactly the map, their path to turning mitch mcconnell into the presumed majority leader from minority leader. a note to our viewers as we prepare to get off the air and let you go to your late live local news on the east coast especially, we're going to keep at it here in the studio for the next hour on nbcnews.com. an hour-long examination on the
web where we get to talk further about all of this and we'll have the live calls continuing. so for our team here in new york and elsewhere, news 4 at 11:00 begins now with decision 2014. >> good evening, and thank you for joining us tonight. i'm jim vance. >> and i'm doreen gentzler. the big headline right now, the virginia senate race is still too close to call between senator mark warner and ed gillespie. >> this was not ---considered a tossup race. >> just before the polls closed, warner started tweeting to voters, encouraging them to make their voices heard, perhaps a sign that his campaign was concerned about the turnout.
here's where that race stands right now. it is dead even, with senator warner leading by just a few thousand votes, and 98% of the votes are in. most of the votes that still need to be counted are in northern virginia which is more heavily democratic. we're keeping an eye on those numbers as they come in. >> maryland, larry hogan with a lead right now over anthony brown. 53% of the precincts reporting now. and hogan is leading with 54% of the vote to brown's 45%. another race that was considered a safe one for democrats a few weeks ago. hogan closed the gap in the last couple weeks. new jersey governor chris christie campaigned for him several times. george w. bush endorsed him. >> in d.c., results have been
coming in much more slowly. only29% of the precincts are in. but democrat muriel bowser has a comfortable lead. she defeated gray in the primary. independent campaigns were mounted to challenge her, but right now it is bowser leading the race. right now the polls are just about to close out on the west coast. voters in california, idaho and hawaii all cast their ballots for governor. the big west coast senate race will be in alaska. those polls won't close until midnight our time. and in oregon, a pivotal vote to legalize marijuana. if it is approved that would create a regulated market similar to those in colorado and washington state. it is now just about 11:00.
we want to welcome those of you just tuning in to news 4 at 11:00. we have team coverage of decision 2014. our reporters are in prince gosh georges county, and in dulles airport in virginia, we begin with what turned out to be the shocker of the night. >> reporter: it has been a night of high ak sight for the supporters of senator mark warner. no one expected this tonight. they didn't have anything to cheer about here until just about a half hour ago. ed gillespie, his gop challenger had been leading most of the evening, as all the early votes came in, but at about 10:30 those numbers changed. mark warner took about a 3400 vote lead, and you could almost
see the sigh of relief. the cheer went up. and you finally saw mark warner's name posted on the signs back there. but there's still no word on whether mark warner is going to come speak to these supporters yet. this race is obviously still too close to call. we saw signs that this race had tightened, but his team did not expect one of virginia's most popular politicians to be involved in a race that goes down to the wire like this. he was helped earlier in the evening. fairfax county voting strongly for mark warner. and as we speak right now, he has a very small lead over ed gillespie, but nobody declaring victory yet. but as these numbers stay as we see them right now, this is another race that could be headed for a recount in virginia. >> julie, thank you.