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tv   Campaign 2016 CBS News Coverage of Election Night  CBS  November 8, 2016 7:00pm-2:00am EST

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captioning sponsored by cbs >> pelley: we're at the cbs news decision desk, and early indications are this is shaping up as a tight race for president. we could be in for a long night. polls have closed in six states, including two of the battlegrounds that will decide the georgia, and it is too soon to project a winner in either state, but in virginia, hillary clinton has an edge over donald trump based on the exit polls. >> pelley: sample precincts from the early count is how we're determining that on the can exit polls. trump has the edge in georgia. it the peach state has been low-hanging fruit for republicans in every election since 1996.
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we project clinton will get vermont's three electoral vote. >> pelley: trump with eight in the bluegrass state of kentucky. >> reporter: and he get 11 more in his running mate's home state of indiana. >> pelley: we're just getting started. it's election night on cbs. >> we want to defend our most cherished values. >> this is a movement like no one has ever seen before. >> i want this election to be about something, not just >> we will make america great again. >> let's make history together! >> get out and vote, vote, vote! >> america's best days are still ahead of us. >> we are going to drain the swamp of corruption. >> let's go out and prove love trump hate. >> pelley: good evening.
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o'donnell at cbs news election headquarters in new york. with us tonight are john dickerson and charlie rose. gayle king and bob schieffer. and elaine quijano. the nastiest presidential campaign in our lifetimes has finally come to an end. more than four out of five voters told us they were disgusted by it. >> reporter: that's right, and tonight voters are deciding whether the 45th president of the united states will be the first woman to hold the that is 69-year-old democrat hillary clinton, the former secretary of state, new york senator, and first lady. or 70-year-old donald trump, the new york businessman and former reality tv star, making his first run for oafs. office. i think everybody knows who the candidates are. they have both had historically high disapproval ratings, above 50%. >> pelley: voters are also deciding which party will control congress. will the republicans hold on to both the house and the senate? the democrats need a net dpain
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senate bark or just four see the if clinton wins the presidency and vice president tim kaine becomes the 50-50 thai breaker. >> reporter: in the presidential election, it's all about the electoral votes. each state gets as many of those as it has senators and representatives in congress. d.c. gets three votes for a total of 538. and to win the presidency, you need a majority, that's 270 electoral votes. let's look at where we are. trump has 19 clinton has three. >> pelley: john dickerson, as we're getting into this evening, what are you looking for? what are we seeing in the early exit poll information? >> reporter: well, what i'm looking for, scott, is one of three scenarios: is this going to look like a campaign if you just had a generic republican and generic democrat following the patterns of american politics? that seems crazy after this campaign where we had two candidates who were so particular. then the other thing they say is it's all about turnout on
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one scenario is donald trump brings out the silent majority. and the other scenario is where hillary clinton brings out the sleeping giant what, they call the latino vote, if she brings out her voters. those are the two other scenarios, other than the one that goes right down the middle. >> reporter: there is so much anxiety in this election. everyone keeps saying who is going to win tonight? what is going to happen? and while the polls have not closed in many state they have closed in some state, and as we just noticed virginia is edge clinton. explain, john, what based on what we know now? >> reporter: if it's edge we're giving the edge to the candidate but it means the numbers could be reversed if the numbers don't statistically work out, so if there's a little padding. if there's a lean, it's beyond that, which means they have a little bit more of a lead. and if you get even beyond lean, well, that's when you get into the territory where we might make a projection. >> pelley: and we should let the folks at home know those projections are based on the
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precincts all across the country. voters have been telling us how they vote voted and why they vod that way. we have been compiling that information. and the folks at the decision desk behind us take all that information. and then the actual votes being counted and that allows us to make these projections on which way states are leaning or whenever one of the candidates we project has won one of those states. and no matter what we're doing, no matter what we're talking about, the very of second that we project a winner in a we will interrupt what we're doing and you will be the first to know. >> when you talk about the anxiety, norah, i think that that's such an interesting thing. john, you said it best earlier. you said it's like being at the doctor's office waiting for the results. charlie and i were talking about later being in the delivery room waiting to hear if it's-- >> a boy or a girl. >> a boy or a girl. and when i went to my polling place today, people may be disgusted, as we were talking about, but they showed up to vote. people at the precinct said they
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stickser and they've had the biggest turnout than the last four elections. people maybe disgusted. they might be tired. they may be anxious. i met a trump voter and a clinton voter, one said i nude tums one said i need a glass of wine. but they are turning out to vote. >> scott, it can change during the night because all of the regions that we know, like north carolina, in new york, the east is different than the strrk the piedmont, urban versus rural. all of that reports at different times. and as we learn more about what region supports which it affects the state results. >> pelley: elaine quijano, one of the largest voting blocs tonight will be millennials, and that will be a big change for america. >> that's right. 31% of eligible voters are millennials, which is equal to the number of baby boomers, but, of course, eligible voters and actual voters are two different things. so we're going to be watching to see what it is they do, particularly when it comes to third-party candidates going into this night. millennials, many of them said they would be about 10%-- about
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a third-party candidate, either gary johnson or jill stein. of course, when we have tight races like this, john dickerson, you know well, that could make all the difference. >> reporter: let's talk about what we know right now. we're talking about in particular, virginia and georgia, and if at this hour with the polls closed in virginia, the clinton campaign would be very, very nervous if they weren't doing well in virginia, right? we heard she has the edge. >> i think we have all kind-- the handicappers from the beginning have thought this was going to go to hillary that if she's going to win, she needs to get virginia. i think it will be extremely difficult for donald trump to get to the presidency without virginia. he's going to have to win some place where we didn't think he was going to win. i think the important thing right now is there's no surprises. things seem to be going about the way we thought they were going to go. >> reporter: all right, bob, stand by. we want to go to major garrett, who has been covering the trump
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victory party, they're calling it, tonight. major, good evening. >> reporter: good evening, scott, and norah. the mindset of the trump campaign, visible on donnality trump's own twitter feed. the fascinating thing about covering this campaign, yes, you can talk to senior advisers, but trump often speaks the truth right out loud on twitter and he identified moments ago the% of the state of florida. there is deep and abiding anxiety within trump tower about what they're seeing in florida because they know-- and have said over and over-- there is no trump path to the pde votes, and they are deeply concerned about the latino turnout for hillary clinton, plus a softening of suburban, college-educated women for donald trump. and in that reason, trump has urged florida supporters to get to the polls. and it's a two-tiered system in florida. 67 counties, 10 of them on the central time zone, and some of those counties don't close until 9:00 p.m. eastern. so that strategic urging from trump has real value in those
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romney in 2012, cleared more than 190,000 votes over barack obama. trump needs to find every vote he can in florida. hence, the urging of supporters to get there before the polls close. scott and norah. >> pelley: major garrett for us tonight. major, thank you very much. let's go over to nancy cordes, who is at the jacob javitz center here in new york city on the west side, where the hillary clinton campaign intends to have its party tonight. nancy. >> reporter: and, scott, they're not popping the champagne corks just yet, but they probably t how good it might taste, and that's because all of the data that they're seeing-- and this is a data-driven campaign-- matches up with what they expected. good news for the clinton campaign because they have so many paths to those 270 electoral votes. they are especially heartened by that turnout in key democratic counties in florida that major was just talking about. they can win without winning florida, but donald trump cannot. anecdotally, what they're hearing from their army of volunteers across the country is
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enthusiasm out there, and that tracks with what we've been seeing in our polling in the closing days as clinton took the edge in enthusiasm among supporters from donald trump who had, had that edge all throughout this campaign. other things that are encouraging to the clinton campaign tonight-- they're not seeing that secret trump voter that the trump campaign had been insisting was out there, that wasn't talking to pollsters, but was going to mobilize on election day. they're not seeing a huge drop-off in the african american there is a drop-off, but it's not as large as some had feared. and they are seeing that big spike in latino voting, which clinton's running mate, tim kaine, today described as a powerful new voting bloc in america that is finding its voice in this election, scott. >> pelley: nancy cordes at the clinton campaign party tonight. nancy, thank you. >> reporter: yeah, and this is the first time we've had-- since 1944, that we've had two major party candidates from the state of new york.
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so it's amazing to have these two candidates just blocks away from each other. >> reporter: less than two miles, norah, so people could run back and forth if they wanted to. >> reporter: assuming anybody without understand to. >> maybe a concession they can get together at the end of the night. >> that's right, getting together. you can see together at the bottom of our screen is the electoral vote tally. you can see there clinton has three electoral votes, trump 19 votes. of course, very early in the evening but we want to keep that e everybody knows at the moment's notice how this race is going. we want to bring in kellyanne conway, who is trump's campaign manager joins us now from trump tower. kellyanne, you have been out on the campaign trail. you're getting in reports now. what can you tell us about the state of this race? >> i can tell you that it's still a jump ball in many places, norah, and we're really happy. i mean, for a campaign that has a fraction of the personnel, a fraction of the money, as they do at team clinton, we're proud
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late-in-the-game resources in some of these places. we see north carolina and florida as a jump ball right now. we're feeling really good about iowa and ohio. and we're looking at flipping a blue state like michigan or perhaps pennsylvania. we like the late-breaking polls in new hampshire and colorado as well. so we see a couple of different routes. we see six or seven different routes to 270. we're just going to be patient as the returns come in. we know people are standing in line to vote and i don't want talk too much about exit polls that may dampen them one way or another. >> pelley: your campaign filed suit in nevada earlier today about the election. what can you tell bus that? >> i understand the judge is not entertaining that suit at the moment. we had received information that perhaps the polls were kept open later to allow folks to vote. and so if it's active litigation i shouldn't comment on it further, but what i read, i have read the judge is not entertaining that lawsuit at the moment. >> pelley: what's wrong with
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vote? >> well, we're all for allowing voters to vote. we're all for rule of law. that's really what our campaign is about. we're not the ones under active f.b.i. investigations or being said by the f.b.i. director we have been reckless and careless about handling classified information. of course we're for the rule of law. we believe people who want to vote ought to be able to do that if they're in line on time. and if all other procedures have been met. >> reporter: kellyanne, you described florida as a jump ball, but that's also a must-win stat i've spoken with the clinton campaign as i have spoken with your campaign throughout the day. the clinton campaign says they believe they have banked such a big early vote with new hispanic voters who have never vote before, that even if donald trump had numbers at the polls there's no way he could win that state. how do you reply? >> i think that's a little bit of spin. if that were true you'll see florida called early. what we see is a very strong day of vote in florida today,
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we've improved the margins over governor romney's margins in 2012. we have people deployed in these counties who are talking to us about the returns and we're getting data inputs into our war room on a constant basis, norah, and we like the fact that mr. trump seems to have grown the turnout and grown the voter share in some of these key counties across florida. the other thing i would say is we already know republicans are behind in early votes. that's why we-- we count on a big day of vote in places like id carolina. and then when you look at state that don't have a tradition of early voting like michigan, pennsylvania, and new hampshire, that's part of why we went back to those states late in the game because most of those voters will-- except for those who voted absentee-- will cast their ballots today on election day. >> reporter: all right, kellyanne conway, thank you so much. >> thank you for having me. >> reporter: john dickerson, i know you are polling and look at the numbers, tell us about the
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>> reporter: she's talking about multiple pacts but there really aren't multiple path policy really, bale hillary clinton starts way lead, because of the way states traditionally vote. historically more democratic state in hillary clinton's column, and so what kellyanne conway is saying there are a bunch of different states, but she still has to win florida, north carolina, ohio, and then a couple of other big ones. at this hour, what they need to be saying s, we're going to flip michigan. we're going to take one away from democrats who haven'tt one away in pennsylvania, another state democrats have won since then." the description she's giving of the different pathways is still quite diffuse at this late hour. >> do they really have six different paths as she says. >> six different paths if one of the baths assumes winning every battleground state. the key question is what are the realistic paths that they have? and we've known because of the historical voting patterns the way she's states vote, donald
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further behind if tradition holds in the way these states vote. >> pelley: and charlie rose is standing by right now with our political panel for some insight into all of this. charlie. >> reporter: thank you, scott. we do, indeed, have a political apparently. next to me is the "wall street journal's" peggy noon an, and mark leaf wits. let me begin with the idea of close race. surprising. it could change during the evening as we learn more, and we have more polls that have been >> right. >> but surprisingly close is the word. >> well, close," "tight." you're wondering if it's close and we have no idea what's going to happen, and trends which existed a week ago in which mrs. clinton of doing well will continue. to me, we're just starting out this evening. i'm looking at who shows up at the polls. it looks anecdotally like a lot of people did. we will see. we won't know until the evening. bottom line does the obama
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and really come out? does mr. trump's promise of a broad working class sort of coalition with a lot of democrats in it turn out to be true? what is the mix of hispanics, white, educated. white not-so-educated folk turn out to be? from there we will know a lot, and it will take a while to figure it out. >> right now, it's looking like it did with the polls. >> exactly. that's what it looks like. >> the results we getath this point very early still suggest an electorate that looks like it did in 2012, maybe larger, and it suggests we're not going to see huge deviation from the last sweep of master polls or state-level polls. there still might be surprises precisely because things are close, things are tight, but we shouldn't, i think, at this stage, expect some sort of wild variation. if you've been obsessively clicking on polling forecasters,
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like. >> i don't think it's a surprise at all that we have a close race. i think people are, obviously, going to be very cautious at this hour of the evening. you have to be very definitive for vermont or kentucky, in either direction, to make a real call. as jamel said, i think the number leading up seem to be predictive. i also think maybe the most important numbers of all, which are hispanic voters in florida, seem to be the operative number. and fing that holds through the evening that will be interesting. >> reporter: the question is he voting forking? or against something. >> either way, a vote is a vete. if a bunch of people turn out because they hate donald trump, they're still turning out and cast ballots. as far as latino voters go, if they are turning out in the rates anecdotes suggest in florida, that's a great sign for secretary clinton. >> reporter: what state are you looking at, mark? >> north carolina. just because you're from there. ( laughter ) no it's been close, closer than
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hillary clinton feels she has a good chance to win there. the african american vote seems down, but we'll see. >> reporter: we'll be with you all evening. back to you, norah. >> reporter: very interesting, indeed. expm category up, two battleground states close at the bottom of the hour, ohio and north carolina, two states that trump's own campaign says they must win. cbs news of the 2016 election
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election night on cbs, and we will bring you any developments the moment that they happen. in the meantime, we've been talking to voters all across the country, as they left the polls today. we've been compiling that can exit poll information, and anthony mason is sorting through that. anthony.
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highest unfavorable ratings we've seen since we started polling back in 1984. and you'll see that again in our exit poll today. 54% with an unfavorable view of hillary clinton, 61% unfavorable towards donald trump. and that has affected the way people voted. 20% of hillary clinton's voters saying their vote for her was essentially a vote against him. 28% of trump voters saying they voted for him to vote against r. only about 10% of voters said their vote was against the other candidate. the scandals also significant impact today. 62% said they were bothered by the clinton e-mail scandal. 71% bothered by donald trump's treatment of women. so negativity weighing heavily on voters' minds in our exit poll. >> pelley: anthony mason, thank you very much. bob, this will be the first time in american history that we
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unfavorable rating above 50%. it's never happened before. >> reporter: and that's why i think people are so anxious about all of this. i mean, it's not just that we're choosing a president i want to, but i think a lot of people, what's on their mind is, whoever we elect, what happens after that? will that person, some person who is unpopular, who is considered untrustworthy by many, will that person be able to bring people together and get this country going again? and, you know, it's figure out how that's going to happen. >> reporter: but not only are they anxious. the latest exit poll shows 72% of clinton voters say they're scared of a frump presidency. 59% of trump voters say they're scared of a clinton presidency. how do you get past that when people have such high negatives? >> reporter: exactly, which candidate are you lesscared of. >> pelley: as norah was saying, this is the "high-anxiety" election today. >> and the demands on the new leadership will be incredible because of that. >> reporter: part of this
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candidates. the way our politics work now, the way you raise money, the way you get people out to vote is to stoke theseangers. pew has done a poll and looked at people and found people involved in politics are much more likely now to think of their opponent as the enemy, not just a nice person who has bad ideas but is in fact the enemy. that was before this race. >> reporter: all right, thanks to all of you. we'll have much more ahead.
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>> reporter: for some of you your local election returns are coming right up. we'll see you again at the bottom of the hour. the rest, please stay with us. you're reginald roundtree. and i'm dion lim with your "special 10news election coverage". polls close in the florida panhandle in just over half an hour.
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start getting election results-- from here in the sunshine state. but we are already getting results in the presidential race from those states on the east coast where voting has ended... here is the most up-to-date look at what we have so far... 10news political reporter mark rivera is watching the results-- with our team of political analysts. he joins us live from our streaming center.
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headquarters. we'll be here throughout the evening...with the latest numbers from florida and the country. and as mark mentioned...we'll be
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long at our website. get notified about any speeches-- and check out
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>> this election is about what we stand for. >> we are about change. she is about keeping it the way it is. >> pelley: polls are now battleground states that will decide the presidency tonight. we have no decision yet on any of them. in the very early going, trump has 24 electoral votes, clinton three. both still a very long way from the magic number of 270. >> reporter: now it is 7:30, so polls have just closed in ohio and north carolina. of course, two big battleground states. cbs news estimates that clinton
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>> reporter: yes. >> reporter: and in ohio, we rate that contest a toss-up right now. that is a state that trump feels good about. and west virginia, trump picks up another win. he's adding west virginia's five electoral votes to his total. also, we meant to update you, virginia, remember, closed at the top of the 7:00 hour. we're giving the edge at this hour to hillary clinton, and in virginia air, slight edge to donald trump. john. >> reporter: sf remember that the clinton math, as they see it, as if those traditionally democratic states vote for hillary clinton, and that would include pennsylvania and michigan, so, you know, we want to-- we want to make sure that people know those states are still up for grabs, but if pennsylvania and michigan go as they have for democrats before and she wins virginia and north carolina, it's looking increasingly likely that she's on her way to that magical 270
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barack obama with the african american vote? >> yes, undoubtedly, but we'll have to see what the shape of the vote is in north carolina. the two things to watch for are, of course, the african american vote-- 22% of the electorate there. but also the suburban women, white women that she has been able to do better with than barack obama did with in 2012. >> reporter: but isn't there a big millennial population there? >> reporter: listen, listen, to what she's doing with the black vote right now in north carolina. she's winning it 89-7. >> reporter: y >> reporter: if you have to win a black vote, i think she's well on the way to winning it. she absolutely has to do that. >> reporter: exactly. >> reporter: john, isn't that a big college state in there are a lot of colleges in north carolina. isn't there a big millennial population there? >> reporter: sure, the key point in all of these groups when we talk about them is not just the margin by which they are winning but are they turning out. she can be doing very well with any individual group but the question is, are enough turning out, and that's particularly a
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vote. >> reporter: and right now she's doing in north carolina exactly what she's doing in virginia-- she's winning white women with college degrees. she's doing the same thing in virginia. the same trends in north carolina, we're seeing in virginia. >> pelley: but she's not carrying white women overall. in fact, one of the things that jumps out of the exit polling data is trump is carrying white women in georgia, virginia, ohio, and north carolina. >> reporter: one of the things we've seen in this race is the thing to keep the eye on is the between voters who have a college degree and those who don't. and donald trump is winning with those without a college degree, but it's hillary clinton who has an edge for those with a college degree. but that's different by state. so we have to watch state by state. in the polls she has been down by a pretty good number with college-educated white women in florida. it's not a rule that applies takeover state. >> reporter: you know, it's interesting, too, that hillary clinton chose to make her last
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end of the night. >> yes. i don't think we should miss the point here about how significant this is, this race is. whoever wins tonight will be making history. hillary clinton, i've seen women-- many people will be surprised, scott, to hear women are not supporting hillary clinton, given what-- given what we've heard from donald trump. but i saw interviews with many women of all ages saying, "look, i'm just so sick of washington. i'm really kind of sick of her. i just want something different. and maybe i may not agree what he said. he said some inappropriate things, but he would be a challenge," and they are so desperately craving a change in washington, d.c. >> pelley: one of the things exit polling told us is a very large number of voters think change is the most important issue for them. >> reporter: the most important. let's go over to elaine quijano who is at the social media desk. elaine. >> reporter: well, norah, you have been talking about north carolina, and we're going to talk about that in just a moment. but first i want to share with you a tweet from indiana governor mike pence.
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running mate, thanking indiana, as he said in this tweet, for making our state first on the board to vote to make america great again @realdonald trump. what we've also seen, though, in north carolina, specifically out of durham county, there is a hashtag now on twit they're is trending right now, #stay in line. there were reports of issues with electronic voting and we have some social media posts to show you of the line in durham county. what we know comes campaign embed sean galitz who says the north carolina state boferred elections just approved extending hours in eight locations because of reports with issues of-- reports of issues, rather, with this electronic voting. now, those eight precincts are out of 57 precincts in durham county. so some of this video that we're seeing here reflecting what we're seeing. even hillary clinton, i'm just being told, has tweeted and is tweeting about this situation stale going on.
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monitor those reports on social media out of durham county, north carolina, and update you with the latest. scott and norah. >> pelley: one of the states that donald trump nearly has to win is ohio. that's another one of our battleground states. it's a toss-up state, and that is where we find dean reynolds tonight. dean. >> reporter: scott, history says that he has to win ohio. no republican has won the presidency without this state. in the evening with attorney general mike dewine of ohio, and we asked him-- he's a republican-- where would he be looking tonight? what area would he be looking for an early indication of how things are going? and he said mahonning county in northeast ohio. that includes youngstown. that's home to a lot of displaced blue collar workers. and he wonders how deeply the
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into that voting bloc and whether or not the clinton campaign can offset that erosion of traditionally democratic voters by gathering support of, at least nominally, republican voters in the suburban areas around cleveland, columbus, and cincinnati, republicans for whom trump may be a bridge too far. now, the early voting, which registered voters in the state, reached 1.8 million. that's about 11,000 more than voted early in 2012. and those are the first votes that are going to be tabulated tonight. we're going to be hearing those numbers first, and then the other parts of the state later. the mahoning thing, though, is
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years ago, because then we could see certain levels-- certain targets that obama, president obama had to hit if he was going to defeat romney, and he hit them. and we knew early on in ohio who was going to win the state. that may be taking place tonight. we can't really say for sure. you've seen the exit polls. trump is winning among men. mrs. clinton is winning among women. trump is winning among whites. i would say, though, port man, the incumbent senator here, the republican senator, has won easily. possibly he could have coattail effect for trump that would help trump carry the state. but, again, he has to win ohio, or he's not going to win the presidency. >> pelley: dean reynolds for us tonight. dean, thank you very much. i was in ohio talking to voters, and there was so much anxiety sort of an identity crisis among
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woman who had worked for republican campaigns, but she told me she just couldn't vote for donald trump. on the other hand, i went to a steel workers aeption union hall. the only portrait of a president on the wall is f.d.r.. >> reporter: i saw that. >> pelley: there's a hillary clinton sign on the door and the steel workers are telling me they're going to vote republican for the first time in their lives. >> reporter: scott what, i remember about that report is there was a husband and wife who hardly were speaking to each debate together. they had to separate into different rooms. >> reporter: but in ohio, even the governor didn't endorse donald trump. john kasich said i'm writing in for someone else, john mccain. >> reporter: and then was in open conflict with their party's nominee, as basically was the republican party of ohio. so it is the-- it is the sort of ground zero for the conflict in the republican party that we saw in many different places. >> reporter: yet, the clinton campaign spent a lot of time there, brought out the heavy
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beyonce and jay z, also beloved in the country. >> reporter: or in the world. >> when it comes to queen bee she is globally loved. and i thought you had a point on "cbs this morning"" that's very good if beyonce and jay z were running and they had a voting booth on the stage, maybe that would have worked, but does that enthusiasm translate to votes for clinton and did it? >> reporter: in ohio tgoes beyond celebrities. >> reporter: yes. >> reporter: and it goes beyond names. it's about jobs. >> and we're learning some interesting things from exit polls is and we asked specifically voters in ohio, "what about trade with other countries? and 46% said trade takes away jobs here in the u.s. and that's why we see this split among the exit polls in the union vote. why it's a toss-up at this hour. what does that tell you, though? that ohio is where it is at this hour? >> reporter: well, what it tells me, and to scott's point about union households and the
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are going for donald trump, 44% for hillary clinton. to scott's point. what it tells us is that ohio has been changing since they were voting for f.d.r. it's a state in which the working class in ohio has been trending towards the republican party. there's not a huge african american constituency at about 14% in ohio. so the coalition for clinton there is different than in a state like virginia where she can put together a little something different. >> reporter: did the republicans come home in ohio? we know educated women did the last several weeks come back to donald trump? >> reporter: i think if he's going to do well, the republicans must come home to him, and also, though, he's getting these democrats and we'll see how it breaks out across the state. there was great worry in the ohio republican party, and this is where there was the split, that those suburban white women around columbus and around cincinnati were not going to vote for donald trump. >> reporter: ohio has always been, for the most part, in the pathway for donald trump's road to the presidency.
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presidency. they knew it was going to be a tough state for a long time. >> donald trump is getting 88% of the republican vote in ohio. they're doing well for him. we found in the polling the states where donald trump did well are a state where he got a big share of the republican vote. we found in the battleground trackener pennsylvania before this election day came upon us, he was only getting 78% of the republican vote. that's why he was many points behind hillary clinton. so to your question, charlie, it looks like the republicans are coming home for him. the same number of republicans voting for him hillary clinton. >> so are you all saying beyonce didn't make a difference in ohio? >> she may have had made a difference-- >> it's going to break hearts all around. >> we're certainly saying we love eliminate. >> we certainly do. >> pelley: anthony mason is keeping track of the exit polling information. he's been looking at what voters in georgia have been telling us today. anthony. >> reporter: yes, scott, the last democrat to win georgia was bill clinton back in 1992. african american turnout and
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eight years ago, when barack obama first ran, the african americans made up 30% of the vote in georgia. as you see, this time around, it's roughly the same. hillary clinton is winning nine out of 10 black votes in georgia today. but donald trump is taking seven out of 10 white votes. so a sharp divide by race, but also by gender. let's look at men and women. you can see, donald trump is winning men 57% to 38%. women are going for hillary clinton but, again, african american turnout key in georgia to the democrats' hopes. not clear that they're getting it, which is why trump has the edge in georgia right now. gayle. >> thank you very much, anthony. continuing with the exit polls tsays 82% of trump voters wanted change. 90% of clinton voters said experience is most important. what does that say to you, bob schieffer? >> well, i think it just shows
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i mean, that's right. trump voters wanted change. and they saw him-- maybe they didn't think he could make the change, but at least he could thumb his nose at the establishment. >> i do think there were some voters who wanted change but did not think donald trump of the right vessel. >> yes. >> one interesting finding from the exit polls we have here. on the question of honest and trustworthy. that was a huge question for hillary clinton throughout this campaign. and there was a long stretch where donald trump was seen as the more candidate. in the exit poll tonight, when asked that question, 37% said hillary clinton is honest and trustworthy throork% said donald trump was. she has, at least according to the exit polls at this moment, flipped of what the case for much of this campaign. >> yeah, but when you look at how voters feel about donald trump and hillary clinton, they're not flattering. when they talk about the attributes for donald trump, words like, "stubborn, arrogant, sexist." when you ask about hillary
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and flip-flops." none of those are qualities that you think,"that's who i want in a leader," on either candidate. >> but now that people do seem to think she's more trustworthy than trump. well, i guess progress is where you find it. >> pelley: we'll be coming back with more campaign 2016 in just a moment. approaching medicare eligibility? don't put off checking out your options until sixty-five. now is a good time to get the ball rolling. consider an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. like any of these types of plans, it could help you with out-of-pocket medical costs. call now and request your free decision guide
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>> reporter: and welcome back to cbs news election night coverage. here's the electoral map. it's early still in the night, and as you can see, hillary clinton with three electoral votes, donald trump with 24 electoral votes. we've got some 13 battleground states that we're closely tonight. and if you've been watching our coverage, you know there are already some bread crumbs along the way about how this night may go. we've already spoken with the trump campaign tonight. now we want to speak with the clinton campaign and bryan fallon, who is the press secretary. bryan, good evening. >> reporter: great to be with you. thanks for having me. >> reporter: absolutely. first, tell us how the campaign is feeling at this hour. >> well, we really feel, based on what we're seeing so far
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this is a issue where coming into the election, i feel a lot of people thought that it was an open question whether hillary clinton could galvanize support from the obama coalition that helped power president obama to victory in 2008 and 2012, and what we're seeing in the early voting and today hillary clinton has not just reassembled the coalition but expanding on it. in a state like florida you saw early voting figures from latinos double, to more than 1 million latinos voting early in florida. i think that will help us break 2012 turnout levels in terms of miami-dade county, which is a huge powerhouse county for democrats. we can't win florida without running up the votes in miami-dade. you are seeing early vote in clark county, a huge democratic stronghold area. and even in a state like north carolina, which we think is going to be tight and probably going to be late to be called, where initially this was talk of a drop-off in african american
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of early voting in north carolina, but we actually offset it with a surge, 83% increase in latino participation in early voting in north carolina. so i think that's going to be one of the emerging storylines tonight. >> pelley: bryan, another emerging storyline from our exit poll information is that donald trump is leading hillary clinton among white women in ohio, north carolina, georgia, and virginia. does that surprise you? >> this is a demographic that he early point in the race. they think, overall, the story with respect to white voters may be the huge break and split that you see in terms of college-educated white voters. this is over-represented in places like the counties outside philadelphia. that may swing the state of pennsylvania to us, which will essentially block the path for donald trump. if hillary clinton wins those voters, it will mark an improvement again, another area where she outperforms 2008 or
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democratic coalition beyond the base of support that powered president obama to those historic victories in 2008 and 2012. >> reporter: and, bryan, just quickly, the state of michigan, any concern there? >> michigan, we've been pleased with what we've been seeing so far. in fact, i think the day after this election, one of the mistake thagz the trump campaign will look back on is their failure to contest a state like mir began earlier on. we never took it for granted, even though it was late to the battleground map in the minds o some. we actually had 35 offices open there. we had a full staff in place there. we were always built to win a very close race and that's what i think is going to happen tonight. >> reporter: bryan fallon, thank you so much for joining us from the javits center, which the clinton campaign chose in part because it has a glass ceiling, and they are hoping there will be a crack in the glass ceiling tonight. that was a strategic choice by them. >> obviously, paying a lot of
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mentioned earlier, this has been their message for a while that the latino vote is turning out in florida and that will give them the edge. but it sounded like on michigan, there's still something to watch there. >> yes. >> there was less of an easy, quick response of how it's going so perfectly well for them in michigan. while winning florida would be a huge deal for hillary clinton, there is still that backdoor about michigan that democrats are sending me e-mails about, about saying it's tight in michigan, worried in michigan. >> pelley: well, donald trump has to win some traditionally goes democratic in order for him to win the election. >> that's right. or run the table on the battleground states. i mean, so the more democratic, traditional democratic states he can take the more breathing room he has in a state like florida and ohio. although he still-- he's still got to win those two, probably. >> all right. >> pelley: we're back with more. you're watching election night
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>> pelley: we're back now with more campaign 2016 election-night coverage. bob schieffer, what are you seeing in these early hours? >> reporter: i still think the most important thing is finding out how many latinos. this hispanic vote, i'm going to go out on a limb here and say that most hispanics are not going to vote for donald so i think-- >> shoos a short limb. that's a short limb. >> what we're seeing in florida, we're seeing in north carolina, i want to know more about how many hispanics did turn out. >> what's important about that, the clinton spokesman just said, the latinos are part of a creating a new clinton coalition, adding to the obama coalition in 2012. >> right now, what the exit polls are telling us is 18% of the vote is latino in florida, that's up one point.
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trump is getting 31%. >> we're getting close to the top of the 8:00 hour. polls close in 16 states and we have a close eye on the roundtree. and i'm dion lim with your "special 10news election coverage". we are waiting on the polls close in the florida panhandle. that's when we'll start getting election results-- from here in the florida. here are the latest numbers in the race for president nationwide.... a huge part of today's election will be the millennial vote-- many of them first- time voters. and 10news reporter courtney robinson is spending the evening watching the returns with some of those millennials. courtney?
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headquarters. we'll be here throughout the evening...with the latest numbers from florida and the country. and as mark mentioned...we'll be streaming all night
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get notified about any speeches-- and check out "county by county" results-- with alerts on our free 10 news app. and on wtsp- dot-com. for breaking news and 24/7 live local radar, is always
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>> pelley: welcome back to cbs news coverage of election night campaign 2016. it is now 8:00 in the east. polls are c states including three more of those battle grounds that will decide the presidency. florida, pennsylvania and new hampshire. in the race to 270 electoral votes and victory, donald trump has 51. hillary clinton 30. >> let's take closer look at those battleground states that just closed. starting with florida. the sunshine state means the presidential hopes right now it
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pennsylvania, the keystone state is another possible key to victory, a toss up there, too. and new hampshire, that is a toss up, too, polls are closed now in seven battleground states and we can't project a winner in any of them. candidates however did pick up more electoral. trump is a winner in south carolina, oklahoma and tennessee. and clinton gets massachusetts, maryland, delaware and the district of columbia. scott, i was thinking we ought to dig in right, florida has just closed there's some interesting numbers that we're learning out of the exit polls, too, john. we've been talking about the hispanic votes it look like 64% of hispanics towards clinton, 30% towards trump he is unde underpurchasing what romney did. >> dickerson: romney got 39% and there's 1% more of the latino
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now, that's only one piece of the if you elain florida. >> pelley: florida is a must-win state for donald trump but not for hillary clinton. let's have a look at the board, shall we? bring audience up to date on exactly where everything is. as you can see there, we're estimating that at this point hillary clinton has 44 electoral votes. donald trump 51. and the states that you see in red are the states that we have trump, states in blue are the states that we have shown -- that we have estimated victory for hillary clinton. the states that are in white, these critical states that are in white. are states where the polls have closed but the vote totals are so close that we're not able to make an estimate in those races, the moment we can make an estimate in any of those races we will do so and drop whatever
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breaking news. >> one of the other states that closed at the top of the hour at 8:00, pennsylvania 89 state that the democrats have felt comfortable about, but certainly many in the state of pennsylvania that donald trump could turn. he's made a big play for the state of pennsylvania. we've been talking about white college educated women, clinton turned out 58% that's 20 points higher than obama got. he got 38% of the white college women. does that sugges shifted big in pennsylvania? >> you heard him talking about the suburban counties around philadelphia, two keys for hillary clinton in pennsylvania, turn up the african american vote in the cities in pittsburgh and philadelphia. and do well with white college educated women in the counties, they felt nervousness about donald trump on that central question whether he had judgment and temperament the people that hillary clinton constantly tried
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and more controversial comments in front of those vote turnovers keep them from drifting back to the republican ranks. >> pelley: how do we know what we know? we have for decades on election day sent reporters all all across the country to talk to voters as they left the polls and asked them how they voted and why they voted the way that they did. anthony mason is collecting all of that information for us tonight. anthony? >> reporter: we'll look at the hispanic vote in florida but to start 27 million eligible hispanic voters in th now that's a record, 12% of the electorate in florida, though, it's higher. 18% and hillary clinton is leading among hispanic voters in florida. she's taking 6% of the hispanic vote to 33% for donald trump. but there's an interesting split among hispanics there, cubans, traditionally republican are going for donald trump. by a 53-41% margin. other hispanics, though, they are now a larger voting bloc than the cubans are dominated by
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doing really well. with that group. gayle? >> thank you very much. you went out on limb most hispanic voters, you are safe on the limb. very sturdy limb. they also say this, 59% of the florida voters who we talked to say immigrant in the united states, 27% say immigrants hurt the united states. what do you have to say about that, john? >> there is a single policy that donald trump brought into this campaign, it was immigration, beginning of his election kick-off when he wrote that escalatedder he talked about, he was constantly talking about immigration this is a very important policy point for his base. but tonight it's all about the battle. bases. while on the one hand the bases turned out by donald trump and his talk of strong immigration controls on the other hand the new coalition that hillary clinton may be creating was in part perhaps driven by a strong reaction to donald trump.
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where he talked about -- >> forgive me we're just going to make a quick call here cbs news projecting that hillary clinton is the winner in illinois. state that she grew up in. talked about. where she learned her midwest values, she's reminded us on the campaign but not a big surpris surprise -- that would be very bad sign if she did not win. >> you were talking about the hispanic vote. >> many people you think the escalator, very unusual type of campaign. talked about building a wall that was first time that the jaw-dropping moment referred to mexicans as rapist, many people have not foregot enthose comments from day one. >> the irony, of course, is that the very first people that he insulted may have the last word tonight. charlie rose is with our political panel they have been
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case voters. >> thank you very much. continue to talk about hispanics, talk to less see, ruth marcus and less see sanchez and frank hunts. what do you think is going on in hispanic community and how large will the turn out be how influential in this election? >> if the white communities are angry hispanics are insulted. they were instilled by the language and the tone and every time he would say mexicans pay for the he talked about immigration policy telling them they weren't welcome. and every time they said that the hispanics will love me, they don't. i'm looking across the country, it's not just on border states. spank donald trump in particular cannot win when you are only getting 25-30% of hispanic vote. you cannot put together majority and they are the fastest growing
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the greatest switch away from the g.o.p. over the last ten years. >> i say one other thing to that which is, i would use the word incensed. because i think that -- >> driven to the polls. >> you know, you might sit home just -- >> if you are incensed you will get in the car. >> it's not just i suspect, not just hispanic community you saw this four years ago was asian voters. it would be typically republican voters, may see that again, you know,w, even greater numbers. when one ethnic minority and bunch of immigrants, insult even more than hispanic. >> the question tonight is, this is going to be the largest rejection of a g.o.p. nominee basically recent history. republicans have earned about 31% of the hispanic support for the last ten presidential elections, questions is he going to perform bae low that.
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territory of 21%. one thing i would caution, is that big -- what he has managed to do unite a dormant hispanic community that doesn't vote. >> the clinton camp saying new coalition that includes hispanics is larger coalition that even obama had. >> i would say, barack obama made the same declaration, then republicans won control. the same declaration in 2012, g.o.p. won governorships in 2014. these things are temporary. make no mistake, charlie, republicans and democrats are looking at these numbers saying that this group is moving so fast, growing so fast, is going to be a nightmare for the g.o.p. going forward, unless they adopt a new message and new policies. >> and the g.o.p. knew that. four years ago we had the same up a they diagnosed their problems they set out -- >> got to reach out.
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going to do now. >> back to the desk, nora? >> charlie, thank you so much. cbs news projects that rhode island goes for rob hillary clinton. one of the big stories, control of the u.s. senate. julianna goldman has been following those. >> norah, we are ready to make the first call for a democratic pick up in the senate, in illinois it looks like congresswoman tommy duck beat senator mark curt. that is one of the first calls again the first call that we are able to make for democratic pick up in the senate. rep remember, democrats need five seats to take control of the senate, four is hillary clinton wins. because tim kaine would be vice president and he would be the tie breaking 51st vote. >> all right. that had one more woman to the united states senate.
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lost both of her legs in the army, contentious, now, according to cbs news heading to the united states senate. >> first republican loses his seat tonight -- >> considered the most vulnerable of all the republicans on the ballot. >> john dickerson you were just telling us about a warning sign for the trump campaign that you were noticing in the exit poll data that we have coming in. >> one of the key questions whetr white votedders was going to pay off. ronald reagan won with 54% of white voters. mitt romney got 59% and lost. the difference, the share of white voters that were more of them in ronald reagan's day. the exit polls suggest that only 0% of the electorate is white voters. in it was 72%. donald trump is working with a smaller group. within that noncollege white voters in 2012 they were 36% of the electorate now they are 34%
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huge numbers but in close race if your base is not turning out the premise of the donald trump campaign was not just that he would match writ romney, but grow then. >> one republican senator lindsey graham said his own party is in demographic death spiral. we've seen the share of the white electorate is getting smaller. >> america is changing so is politics. >> yes. we have a projection in the state of mississippi. goes to donald trump. he is the winner in that state. victory there. and large win for him there. all right, democrats are hoping to take back the senate we'll look more at those key senate races and more states closing hats the top of 8:30. we're back here on cbs news
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>> pelley: back with cbs news election night coverage. legs look at the state of the race is righted now at this moment this is the electoral college map. the colored states you see now are the ones where the polls have closed. the blue states signify victories for hillary clinton. the red states victories for donald trump. right now at this early stage the electoral college totals are
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and of course, 270 needed to win. now you ask, what about those white states here. this is the whole ball game, folks. many of these states are going to be deciding who the president is, they are so close right now we can't make a projection about the winner. anthony shall von toe is running the decision desk back of our experts who are watching the exit polling information and all of the actual vote data coming in. anthony, let's look at florida quickly. donald trump must win it. there's no question about that. fell us what's happening there right now, why is this so close? >> well, that's right, scott. that is critical to his path. and i'll tell you the story in florida right now is the story we're seeing in number of battleground states. that is, that even though hillary clinton is doing well, down in the areas where democrats typically do well
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getting decent turn out there, getting the percent of votes that she needs in around miami, but, donald trump is outperforming mitt romney in typical republicans in lot of these other republican leaning counties. one by one, that's adding up his totals, we see him outperforming typical republicans that's keeping this race close. >> pelley: red for republicans, blue for democrats. 60% of the precincts reported ands there was lot of early vote here, scott, that's a lot of what is counting fast. we thought in the early vote looked like it would be even. and behold, it is. it's very even. including what was cast before today. >> pelley: let's look at another state extremely important to both candidates that's north carolina. >> north carolina is similar story. in around raleigh-durham, place
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clinton is, she's turned another a lot of her base so far. but all these red places that you see lit up including down here in the western part of the state, with strong turn out with donald trump outperforming what republicans typically do, just about matching hillary clinton's margins. she's got a little bit of an edge but certainly not enough to say where this race is headed for sure right now. >> pelley: anthony, our director of elections. thank you very much. folks, tom estimate on a winner of one of these states, we will drop whatever we're doing and you will be the first to know. has been its north to get out to vote. to get their voters to the polls. nancy cordes who is election night watch party tonight in new york city has more on that.
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working on building out for nearly two years. they have given up, they are volunteers made 23 million voter to voter constant since saturday morning. that means more -- that means people calling other voters on the phone. they have gone to their entire gone back, if you live in battleground state but -- talking about florida, where it is so close. imagine if the trump campaign had money to invest in similar size get out to vote operation. might be leading by point or two there right now. instead in broward county, this is county that went for president obama in 2012 by 35 points.
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6:00 p.m. miami-dade, record by the -- >> pelley: nancy cordes at the clinton watch party. thank you as nancy was saying, the trump campaign has not invested nearly as much in the get out to vote campaign today. and we have our major garrett at the trump watch party tonight. >> the most important decision donald trump made as he sought the presidency of states to subcontract, get out to vote operation through republican national committee. in talking to senior trump advisors in the week leading up, what worries you most? that we're going to be close, we're going to look at the election results and wish we had our own get out to vote operation. and we don't, which means in certain respects, in certain precincts, certain states we don't know as much as we need to know. and, scott, i can tell think was
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trump was absolutely adamant he wasn't going to invest in it, didn't believe it it, didn't think it was important as what he saw in the adoring crowds, thousands he said he kept encountering on the campaign trail. what he may learn tonight in the very closely contested states, like florida, no trump get out to vote operation. north carolina, a small one but in the nearly large enough. other states that will loom large in the evening, pennsylvania, virginia, those are day of voting states. not lot of ear either one, trump campaign not well positioned to get out to vote and identify the key constituencies that they need. across the board, scott, the greatly pant from trump and those who support them come tomorrow if he loses may be we should have invested where we didn't. >> pelley: major garrett, thank you very much. >> really interesting to see those two differences between the two candidates. just show everybody right now what's happening in the state of florida. we've talked how this is such a
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calling it toss up for a reason. 88% of the vote in. we'll have more additional states closing at the top of the hour when we come back. ? we asked people to write down the things they love to do most on these balloons. travel with my daughter. roller derby. ? now give up half of 'em. do i have to? this is a tough financial choice we could face when we retire. g even just 1% more of our annual income... we could keep doing all the things we love.
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sunshine state, the state of florida. it is a toss up 48 to 48. we'll have more when we return on cbs election night. and i'm dion lim with your "special 10news election coverage". polls are closed in florida now...and we're starting to get results from some races we're watching. and we can tell you: the race for senate has been decided. the associated press is reporting rubio has won re- election. here are the numbers we have..... 10 news reporter eric glasser is live in miami-- with the rubio party.. eric has he come out to speak yet?
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murphy is expected to concede any minute now. here's a live look at his watch party in palm beach.. certainly a somber mood there this evening. 10 news is your election headquarters. we'll be here throughout the evening...with the latest numbers
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america runs on dunkin'. >> pelley: back now with election night coverage on cbs. polls are closed in 26 states and the district of columbia. as america elects a president. no projected winners yet in any of the 13 battleground states that will tell the tale tonight. but in the race to 20 electoral votes and the presidency, clinton has 68, trump 66. we still have a very long way to go. >> we do. we're going to get to some of those individual states in just a moment. battleground states beginning interesting numbers. first, in the state of florida,
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rubio has won his senate seat there in that state. i think it's fair to say of the 16 republicans that challenged donald trump for the nomination, rubio may the only one having victory speech tonight. he wasn't going to run for the senate when he lost decided to get back. >> wonder if his career was over, political career was over. >> said he talked so much about his dislike for the senate. >> the republican leaders said we're in danger of need to hold on to a seat in florida you need to go back and run in that seat. he is now along with senator portman in ohio one of the two republicans who was able to get out from under donald trump, even democrats tried, they were able to succeed we don't know what the outcome in florida is at the presidential level, marco rubio did better because we're able to make a projection. >> pelley: let's have a look at the battleground states. these are the 13 states that could go either way and will
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as you see that graphic there, georgia, virginia, north carolina, ohio, new hampshire, pennsylvania and florida. the polls have closed in all of those states. and they are all so close but we are unable to make an estimate of who is ahead or who is projected to win in those states. the states that you see below there, those polls will be closing later as we go on into the evening. >> scott, we were closely at the state of florida. a must-win for donald trump. we've now got 91% of the expected vote in and the margin is razor thin, isn't it? >> pelley: 8 million votes past they are separated by 0,000. >> wow. what is going on in florida? >> i don't know. >> here is one thing that is
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now it's only 61%. so, that kind of a drop between 2012 and 2016 you would think would hurt donald trump. but he's neck and neck here tonight. he's pick can up some of the alternative is that hillary clinton not turning out the vote in the way barack obama did we're just going to have to keep waiting. >> she's not turning out. >> this is eerily like 2000 we'll start hearing about hanging chads here in a minute? votes between al gore and president bush. >> john, didn't donald trump and hillary clinton spend lot of time in florida, both of them? >> that's the cost of doing business in politics when you have to pay attention to florida. and ohio and north carolina. they are battleground states for a reason. they spent a lot of time there. what is interesting is to major's point, the ground game in florida -- the republican
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we have to have people on the ground working the doors, knocking on doors, getting people to vote. set up a system how did that system work with the trump campaign that may be one of the after stories. >> what do we know about the book that has not been reported in florida, where is it coming from? >> i'll let john look at that right now. i can tell think, the interesting break down between men and women, virtually split. women are going for clinton 51 to 44 for trump men clinton 44, trump to 49. a small gender gap there in the state of florida. and independents, almost breaking even, clinton 44, trump 4r5%. the clinton campaign has been saying miami-dade would be key to their victory. they would be able to turn out the hispanic vote and the african american vote in large numbersish part by early vote and also on election day. if they don't do that means trump can win that state as of right now with 90% the vote in
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>> pelley: trump must win florida in order to have reasonable path to the presidency. it's not essential for hillary clinton, though, she can put together other ways to get there. >> that's right. especially if she -- virginia is edging towards hillary clinton, again, if she wins traditional democratic states plus virginia and north carolina then she's very much on her way to getting that magical 270. >> pelley: if anybody was going into this wondering whether there was going to be a blow out we now have the answer. something go t a race. >> very close race. show you the state of ohio we talked lot about that state. only about third of the vote is enat this hour. but at this hour hillary clinton is leading 50-45%. as you can see, very close margin there. i don't think we can make any assumptions right now because so little of the vote is in. this is state that donald trump is expecting to do well in. some of the early signs suggest that he has the edge in that state but there's the vote
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>> can i just say that we have -- 'that virginia we have as leading not just edge but leading warmly towards hillary clinton. >> north carolina still at edge? >> yes. >> we see now of course the state of virginia which just has half of the votes in as john just mentioned. and hillary with about four-point lead that's why cbs news we are estimating that hillary clinton has the e virginia also now charlie you just mentioned in the state of north carolina, i think we should just back up we went through the boards about what that means. >> what does edge mean, what does lead mean, what does all of this mean? >> help the audience, please. >> need a little bit more. >> like an edge, a lean then a -- >> right. >> then turn yourself around that's what it's all about.
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call the hokey poke '. >> anyway, in virginia if it's edge means quite close if there's statistical anomaly could reverse itself for that candidate. if it is leaning that means that reversal is less likely. then if it goes past lean then something we might be in neighborhood of making projection. >> right now she has the edge in virginia do you think tim kaine played a role in that who is from virginia, governor, senator, mayor. >> the moment she planes in virginia. tim kaine another -- >> these leading not -- campaign manager for the clinton campaign was for the successful 2013, giannis antetokounmpo race. he knows highway to root, that plus the vice presidential pick. those all may have contributed. >> plus, tim kaine is popular in politician in virginia. you would have expected a lot better showing than this at this early point. >> yes.
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bakesly people vote for the top of the ticket. and vice presidents may not get you as much as you might want. >> north carolina and virginia are very similar in terms of profile 124. >> they are. they are similar but, barack obama one virginia twice. he traded. >> but not in 2012. >> north carolina is sort of more on the nice edge than virginia. >> pelley: bob you were saying? >> she is leaning in both states for basically the same reason. she's attracting the same voters in north carolina that she's >> pelley: those are whom? >> educated, white women. she's getting the educated vote, she's getting minorities. it's pretty much backing up the same way in both states. i think that's significant. >> the suburbs around washington, d.c. large -- latino, asian voters in virginia as well. the growth in the state is the newer kinds ever voters who are more like hillary clinton.
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state because it is partially representative of the larger story we're talking about with america which is that the state changes, traditionally republic, large share of the white vote who is a state that is more mixed. that's the story in virginia and the nation. >> for more about what this all means at this hour, charlie rose is with the political panel. charlie? >> here we have bob and christie that schake you look at this so far. where we think that they may be leaning where there's -- may be more definitive, what do you see? >> i see republican party tried again right tush out strategy. a lot of -- after romney loss, that's not possible any more. you need to accommodate multi-cultural america with new outreach. that didn't happen in this election.
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the question is, can it work this time again. and we're seeing mixed messages. >> cannot work in the future so there for we have realignment, voter groups? >> i would agree with that. i don't think they can go back to the pretrump message. there are blue collar workers who have said, we're here. >> to michael's point the real question for the republican party now is what comes next. and it seems in lot of these different races you see senators running well ahead of donald trump in states like ohio and states like florida. and they're going to be returned to the senate and going to have to decide whether they're going to make a change in the policy approach, agenda approach in the past whether they're going to try to reach out to some of the groups where hillary clinton has lagged barack. she's lagging behind in young voters in ohio and florida. questions are you going to try to reach out to them. that will probably require elevating newer, younger faces like rubio himself. >> get derailed because of donald trump?
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because ever donald trump. this was a process, republican party was leaning in the direction of reforming its agenda for awhile. trump short circuited that conversation. they're going to have to find a way to live with the coalition include some of his voters reaches out to others. >> let's remember they did that whole forensic report after the last election. they didn't even take their own advice. so, yes, they are going to have to do a lot of rebuilding even if donald trump wins, the party will have lot of rebuilding to reach out to voters who are obviously very angry at the rt a republican command" and to reach out hispanic voters and college educated women, for instance, who are voting for hillary clinton. >> the coalition. >> very large numbers. >> the split within democrat can party as well. >> yes, they are. and there are splits on college educated voters and splits a economic issues, democratic party will have to do some rebuilding but not to the degree the republican party.
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to make to do real outreach or whether she's preclude fred doing that from her own base, the sanders base of the democratic party. that will be determined early in her presidency with issues she picks. >> she signaled that she wants to do that. >> biggest problems republicans face that nobody really trusts them to lead any more. they're going to have to reassert themselves in a certain way, i think that just relying on the same old pre-trial message not the way. >> back to you, scott. >> pelley: charlie, thank you we're going to be back in just a moment. we're going to have a closer look at this race in florida, more than eight million votes counted that's nearly all of them. and it is neck and neck.
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>> polls in more than half of the country are closed at this hour. and this race is super tight in the state of florida. it is a toss up too close to call as donald trump and hillary clinton neck and neck with more than 90% of the vote in. one call that we do have, have
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for marco rubio, who has won the senate seat there. mark strassmann is there in miami at rubio headquarters, mark? >> norah, senator rubio is just taken the stage to claim victory here. defeated two-term congressman patrick murphy. he said that this election is going better than last time he came owl on stage in miami when he was stumped in florida primary by donald trump. many but not all the people in 24 room of course will be tonight -- of trump. this race still has many bitter feelings among rubio supporters, this race in florida so close now, trump seems to be ahead by 100,000 or so votes. they are starting to run out, too. remember that florida had 6.5 million folks who voted early that's record for the state most of any state that had early returns. stow, even though hillary clinton left south florida the most popular part of the state
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margin, trump has managed to pick up votes in more conservative sections of the state, in north florida and central florida the all-around i-4 corridor. at this point the two cliches we've heard about florida are both true. one is that trump cannot win the white house unless he wins florida. two, this race was going to be close and in fact it has been. >> all right, mark, thank you so much. scott pelley over at the decision desk. >> pelley: thanks, we're back here with anthonyal von toe our election of election ocean our numbers guy he's working with the experts taking in the information from the exit polls. it is anthony who helps us make these estimates about who's ahead who may be winning. as we were just hearing, anthony, floor, entire ball game for donald trump.
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how much of the vote has been counseled so far? >> well, about 75% of what we expect the vote to be. but as vote comes in our expectations can actually move up. what we've seen now is the bulk of that absentee vote has been compound. i'll tell you, hillary clinton is actually doing well for democrat down here you mentioned broward county she's performing about where democrat typically does well. these counties here in south florida, solidly here is the thing, scott. everywhere else in the state she is just underperforming typical democrat donald trump does just a little bit better than typical republicans do. up here through the orlando area, through central florida and certainly up around near jacksonville look at these counties he's doing better than mitt romney. that's adding up to keep him even with clinton. >> pelley: have look what this cities. they are said of more than eight
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they are separated by 100,000. >> exactly. >> pelley: donald trump slightly ahead. >> in the vote count. our models we've got it even that's because what we do we account for the number of registered voters who haven't yet had ballots counted. if you do that, then you look at slightly more even race because not everything is in -- some of these counties but i'll tell think is about as close as it gets. >> pelley: anthony our director of elections, thank you m florida a little bit better than republicans normally do. john dickerson. >> well, scott, let's see, i was just looking at the vote that donald trump is doing with white college educated women. we've talked a lot about them, a group that's very strong for hillary clinton. donald trump is winning with white college educated women 58-39 in florida. that's better -- >> pelley: give us that again? >> donald trump is up with white college educated women in
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anywhere else. >> pelley: would not have expected that. >> how do you explain that, john? >> he had -- well, the -- old every electorate in florida lot of college educated voter are typical republican voters. mitt romney won them 57-42. barack obama at 42 of white college educated women in florida is ahead of where hillary clinton is now hat 39 with white college educated women in florida. so that's one area that hillary that vote out in other places but apparently not enough in florida which is what makes it close even though there are other parts of the state that she's turning out lots of -- and share of the white vote is smaller in florida. >> is there any other place we know where trump is winning college educated women? >> not that -- other than red state in turns of battleground i haven't found it yet. >> it is really interesting -- i'm looking at the same numbers, same time you are. we're talking about 50 and 60%
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educated females, white college educated males. sort of across the board. that may be why he's so close. >> just for context here, hillary clinton nationally is winning white women with college graduate degree 51-43. so by 8 points nationally for income but down by 20 in florida. >> 91% of the vote counted in florida so far. >> that's right. coming up, polls close in two candidates state of new york. we'll talk about that. we've also got arizona, colorado, michigan, new mexico, wisconsin and state of texas. >> big state of texas. >> the night is young. coming up after that. i didn't really know anything about my family history. went to ancestry, i put in the names of my grandparents first. i got a leaf right away. a leaf is a hint that is connected to each person
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meet i can't posts from the candidates just short time aguon from senator tim kaine, hillary clinton's running mate. tweeted old photo of himself with his daughter. that tweet reads, thinking about my daughter right now. no little girl will ever again have to wonder whether she, too, can be president. that has been retweeted over 1500 times. just 20 minutes. meantime, donald trump, junior, has tweeted final push, eric and i doing dozens of radio interviews we can win this
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make america great again #electionday. retweeted 6,000 times. more after that. and i'm dion lim with your "special 10news election coverage". the numbers are coming in fast and furious right now ... with several local races already called. in the u.s. house -- district 13...from pinellas county -- incumbent republican david jolly lost his job to democrat and formerov charlie crist. here are the numbers... 10 news reporter tammie fields is covering the crist campaign in st. pete beach. she joins us from the don cesar hotel.... and we can now
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passed. 10investigates
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and we can tell you: the race for senate has been decided. the associated press is reporting
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rubio has won re- election. here's a look at the numbers. 10 news is your election headquarters. we'll be here throughout the evening...with the latest numbers from florida and the country. we'll be streaming all night long on our facebook page.. get notified about any speeches-- and check out "county by county" results-- with alerts on our free 10 news app. and on wtsp- dot-com. for breaking news and 24/7 live local radar, is always
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publix. where shopping is a pleasure. >> pelley: back now with election night on cbs. it is 9:00 in the eerks 6:0 president, and a long time before we are going to know who won tonight. polls just closed in 14 mar states including four key battleground states -- arizona, colorado, wisconsin and michigan, all four tossups right now, still no winner in any of the 13 battleground states that will decide this election tonight. in the race to 270 electoral
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trump has 123, hillary clinton has 97. it is still early. >> reporter: and look at what is almost a river of red flowing through the united states. up and down the united states, in the state of new york, home state to both these candidates. cbs news projects hillary clinton is the winner. in the state of texas, cbs news projecon a decisive mampleght there is a large hispanic population but he won that state. in kansas, cbs news projects donald trump is the winner. in the state of nebraska, another state goes to donald trump with a large margin there. and in south dakota, cbs news projects that donald trump will win that state when all the votes are counted. and north dakota, cbs news
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counted. and in wyoming, donald trump is the projected winner there. >> this is pretty much what we expected. >> yeah. >> pelley: but the big headline of the hour is florida. almost all votes, 91% of the votes have been counted in florida. more than 8 million votes have been counted and, at this moment, donald trump is ahead of hillary clinton. they are separated by only 140,000 votes. stl >> can we talk for a second about why he's doing so well with working educated women in florida. when you look at all the things trump had said, his issues with women, the access hollywood tape, the comments he made about alisha machado, the accusation of sexual assault starting with megyn kelly in the very first debate, how do we explain this is possible? >> republicans who like him are
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things. we talked to voters in the trump camp, they were the ones who said this is locker room talk. that's part of it why they forgive him. why do they forgive him? they don't like hillary clinton and they think is country needs to be turned around and think he can do it. another thing about florida and the other states that are battleground states, this is a debate between the cities and rural areas, and when donald trump is doing well in florida, he's doing well in 40 o counties, in the rural area, doing better than mitt romney did and hillary clinton is doing well in the cities. but that's the comeback. in the states you will see a sea of red, all the counties small population donald trump is doing well and then deep blue cities. >> it's an older population, too. >> yes, and that's the difference between college educated women in florida versus college educated women. we might look in iowa where the
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>> what's the definition of older? ( laughter ) careful. >> you will have to bring that up with someone other than me. >> 80. over 80. i like that. >> pelley: let's have a look at the battleground tracking here. this shows you the states that have polls that have been closed. so the polls have closed in all of the battleground states except for iowa and they're at the bottom, and, folks, you would normally be looking for checkmarks on either side of the state name showing whether we have projected the race for hillary clinton or donald trump, and you don't see it, and that is because all of these battleground races at this moment are so close that cbs news cannot yet make an estimate. but let's have a look at the electoral vote now where it stands, snapshot in time at this
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electoral votes, donald trump with 123. but remember there are 270 that are needed to win. there are some big democratic states where the polls are still open. california, most notable among them. so it is going to be a long, close race tonight. >> anthony mason has all of the exit poll data. anthony. >> reporter: well, we wanted to break out the battle in the battlegr would be a substantial divide between the city and the rural areas, and there is, as you can see in our exit poll. hillary clinton winning basically three out of four voters in the city. donald trump winning nearly that margin in the rural areas. but as you can see, the real battle is there are in the suburbsy it's dead even -- suburbs where it's dead even. hillary clinton finding strength among suburban women winning them 56 to 40%. this is a group that went for
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so great strength there. but there was no early voting in pennsylvania and the late deciders are going to donald trump by a 52 to 39% margin, and that's why things are still close in pennsylvania. gayle? >> that seems to be the theme of the evening. thank you very much, anthony. too close in pennsylvania, too close in florida. another interesting thing from the exit poll, college degrees. hillary clinton has 55% of those voters. donald trump has 41%. no college degrees, donald trump population. hillary clinton has 46. last night, john, the clinton campaign ended very strong with president obama, michelle obama, bruce springsteen and jon bon jovi in fissley on the steps of independence hall. >> voting is a bigger deal in pennsylvania more than any of the states where you have the
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bill clinton carried his own home state in two elections, but there is a little rock in a hard place for the clinton family as donald trump is the projected winner in the state of arkansas. >> is this a surprise? no, it's expected she would win there. >> pelley: but she was first lady of arkansas for quite a long time. >> yeah. now was the former senator from new york state. she lost the two states she spent most of her life in. the map you pointed out all night, 129 electoral votes for donald trump, 9 # for hillary clinton. there is the river of red right down the united states. >> it looks like a river, too, right down the middle. >> but i'm really fascinated by what's going on in these battleground states we've talked about all night. john, you were excellent at pointing out what would be the story lines tonight whether donald trump or hillary clinton
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it's 9:00. this is tight. florida's tight and virginia still tight. >> it's very, very close, very tight. it's looking more like a map you would expect if you had a generic republican and democrat. there is not a wild success by -- or they're both having success at the same time. , so yeah, it's getting tighter as we go on. >> let me ask it this way, if you are inside trump tower tonilo what are you nervous about? >> pelley: you're holding your breath. >> you're nervous nothing is getting better. if you're happy, it's a tossup life. but remember you have to win more places. the probability of winning all these that are very close or winning more that are very close than hillary clinton wins is still tough. >> there have been no surprises tonight. i mean, i think that's very important to understand. the states we thought were going to go democratic have gone
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republican. all of the battleground states are very close. i guess if there is a surprise, it is that florida has not been called yet. it's very close. i still would like to know what's going on down in georgia. i think most people thought that would go republican, although some of us called it a battleground state. but i think you're right, john and norah, they've got to start winning something w supposed to win if they're going to win tonight. that is their path to victory. so far, everything is going just about like we thought it was going to go. >> did we think it would be this close? did we think these battleground states would be tossups at this time of the evening? >> it takes a while for us to call them. they seem to be tighter as the night goes on. usually, you start to call one of these battleground states around 9:00-ish in the past two elections, that's usually what
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there yet. we knew it was going to be close because to have the way the polls have looked. now we're going to -- you know, another state we'll talk about in a little while is michigan, and that's another one of these great question marks because that's where donald trump made a last-ditch effort. >> and that's a traditionally blue state and he spent a lot of time there. >> that's right. >> pelley: charlie rose is standing by with our political panel. >> i'm with frank luntz and michael gerson of "the picking up on the conversation, why is it so close in the battleground states? is that the nature of the battleground states? >> tens of millions of dollars in advertising. get out the vote efforts like you haven't seen, phone calls, direct mails, emails, texts. these people have been watching politics 24-7 for the last four or five months, everyone is engaged and involved and voting which is why it takes so long to count because turnout is so
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close in these battleground states? >> so far, i am. i'm thinking one to have the problems trump had is he talked in a way about certain policies, like policies appealing to the working class and it had some real power, but the way he talked about those issues and his approach is we've limited or seemed to people to be talking to the white working class as opposed to the latino working class, the black working he started out with policy and then limited -- >> ronald reagan used to say latinos had a natural home in the republican party. >> he believed it, i believe it. i think trump benefited from extreme partisanship in america. this made it closer. we've also seen a real reaction
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world. it's something going on having to do with populism and the reaction. >> populism is the idea. there is also the question of the election being about personality rather than ideas. >> i don't think issues matter and, in fact, i'm looking at the statistics from the exit polling. in terms of qualified, 53% said hillary clinton, she's been a united states senator, secretary of state, first lady and only 53% thought she was qualified. donald trump is just 37%. which is the biggest spread of any of them, 56% hillary clinton, only 34% donald trump. they did not vote on issues. they voted on candidate persona and that's where hillary clinton had the advantage. >> i think it was, in part, an issue election. i think donald trump had real insights on issues and policies that might have a profound impact changing the republican party, be but he showed at the same time, as ehe spoke, and
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tweets, it was reasonable for you as a voter to doubt his temperament, to doubt sometimes his stability, to doubt his character. that was his problem. there were issues, but he didn't do them well. >> this wasn't doubting. this was actually hatred. >> in the aftermath of this election, america will need a healer with real skills to bring together the country. neither of these countries has shown that. >> thank you so much. back to scott. scott? >> pelley: charlie, thank you very much. john dickerson. >> you know, they're talking about what the next candidate has to do. i was talking to some senate republicans who were already before we started to get results in tonight were talking about what hillary clinton would have to do to reach out if she were to win. it was a bit of a conversation to have because the vote hadn't taken place, they were already assume ago bad night for donald trump, but they were already laying the markers she had to
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of a elizabeth warren type democrat, very liberal. so i guess the point is for whoever wins, the traps are laid for them and the score will already be start being kept based on what they say in their victory speeches in terms of this question of whether a whole new round of partisan battle begins. you know, no honeymoon, ones they win the partisan battles will pick up. >> are we to believe, john, temperament doesn't matter? covered that hillary clinton said in the middle of the debate he's not fit to be president. i never heard an opponent take on another opponent that way. you may disagree wish shoes or policies, but i never heard? one say you are not fit for this job. >> that was his achilles heel and to the extent voters felt that way and put that front of mine, worries about the candidate, that's when it wasn't going well. they started to go better when
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agent in washington and they want washington changed. >> looking at the battleground state, we have yet to call a battleground state. 9:15. florida separated the two candidates by just about 20,000 votes at this hour. we'll have the latest from there when we're back.
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>> well, if they are watching cbs news inside trump tower they probably made a small cheer as we are watching this contest tonight. not only is florida too close to call at this, how but we had the state of virginia as leaning clinton. what's going on, john? >> it's getting closer for trump. remember when we talked about the difference between edge and lean, the idea was always that it could roll back the other way and, so, now, virginia, which was leaning down, leaning to hillary clinton is back in the tossup category. while things are tight in florida, they're also now tight in virginia. >> pelley: do we know why? we don't know why. that's why scott pelley has
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the decision desk -- >> scott, you better have an answer. >> pelley: i do not but anthony, what's going on in virginia? >> i'll tell you why, the western part of the state is going for trump more heavily than we would have expected even for republicans. >> pelley: coal mining area, farming area. >> all this here, exactly. coal country all out west of then here in the d.c. suburbs, the places so critical to hillary clinton, she is doing well but just not well enough. maybe two or three points tracking right now behind where she needs to be. so you look up here in places like prince william, all of this taken together is tracking a little behind where she needs to be. >> pelley: we want to remind the audience blue is hillary clinton, red is donald trump. donald trump doing very well in the rural areas, hillary clinton
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>> there is definitely the rural-urban split. each of these campaigns will have vote targets, who reliably vote democrat or republican. in a partisan race like this, if that's off even a little bit, it makes the state a little tighter. this is a pattern we're seeing in so many states, scott. >> pelley: in florida, hillary clinton and donald trump both holding their breath and turning blue over florida right now. there's been a record voter turnout there. >> yes, there has, and same pattern. part of the state, hillary clinton doing well but just not well enough. but here's the real story -- you go out here in and around the orlando area -- everybody talks about the i-4 corridor as a swing area, but what donald trump is doing here is not just swinging it, it's he's adding up relatively small numbers of votes in all of these relatively smaller counties, and that is offsetting whatever hillary clinton can get in the democratic counties, so it's
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exurban areas where he's overperforming and doing well in the panhandle. >> pelley: 93% of the vote has been counted in florida. trump must win florida to win the presidency and, so far, he's doing it. >> well, he is, but, let me tell you, when we see percent in, sometimes precincts report and you will hear people say, oh, there are so many precincts reporting but with so many absentee votes in florida they don't come in as precincts so you see sometimes more votes than precincts and that's what's going on here. >> pelley: anthony, thanks so much. we'll remain on battleground
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whoa. what's going on here? oh hey allison. i'm val, the orange money retirement squirrel from voya. val from voya? yeah, val from voya. quick question, what are voya retirement squirrels doing in my house? we're putting away acorns. you know, to show the importance of saving for the future. so you're sort of like a spokes person? no, i'm more like a metaphor. you're a spokes-metaphor. yeah. ok.
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>> t >> the battle for the battleground continues at this hour. cbs news has yet to call any of the 13 battleground states. why? it's too tight. look at the state of florida. more than 90% of the vote and it is super tight there. even donald trump holding a slight edge as the vote is still being counted. the democrats were feeling optimistic when i spoke with them about three hours ago. they said they thought they could turn out enough hispanic and black voters. we'll see what's going on there. >> when eric trump was sitting here this morning, he said they were going to win florida. maybe he knew something we didn't.
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inside these states to see what it might mean tonight and who will be the and i'm dion lim with your "special 10news election coverage". it's still a tight race for president...with the two candidates running neck and neck nationwide. let's get right to the latest numbers in the presidential race. as you can see xxxxxx leads xxxxxxxxx. and here's how the vote in florida is looking.... a huge part of today's election will be the millennial vote-- today's election will be the millennial vote-- many of them first- time voters. and 10news reporter courtney robinson is spending the evening watching the returns with some of those millennials. let's check back
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10 news is your election
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we'll be here throughout the evening...with the latest numbers from florida and the country. we'll be streaming all night long on our facebook page.. get notified about any speeches-- and check out "county by county" results-- with alerts on our free 10 news app.
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>> i want to ask a question of senator cruz also running for president. >> -- cannot hear either one of you when you speak over each other. >> pelley: election night on cbs. it is still wrestlemania tonight as we have been unable to project any of the 13 battleground states that will decide this election. let's go to our map that shows where the election stands right now. we have our -- there's the map that knows you right where
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states are those states we have projected for hillary clinton. the states in white, ladies and gentlemen, are places where the polls have closed but the count is so close, we are unable to project which candidate is the winner in those states. hillary clinton with 97 electoral votes, donald trump with $129. >> scott, we have something really interesting going on right now that we should talk ou these states one by one and i want to tell everybody, but a state like michigan that in the last election that we called at 9:00, it's now 9:30 and we're not able to call that state. so a number of states we have not called at this point. we'll first start off with pennsylvania, the current cbs news estimate, that is a tossup. we have just 16% of the vote in, but this is vote on actual
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florida, 94% of the vote and donald trump ahead by 2 percentage points. the democrats were boastful earlier. i'm getting radio silence on what's going on in that state. >> pelley: he has to win florida and right now he is. >> he is. and ohio. look at this, another state donald trump felt confident in, performing well, 53% of the vote in there. let me get through these. michigan, just colorado first, forgive me, a tossup in colorado. and michigan, a tossup as well. john. >> we have two different kinds of states. the result belt states are all linked and why are they linked, because we've talked earlier tonight one to have the key themes is the difference in college education or not college education. if you look at the states, they all group together in terms of having a large non-college educated electorate -- ohio,
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very close to each other and, so, the electorates are the same and donald trump is doing well with that electorate. what's interesting is florida is a different kind of state, so he is doing two different kinds of things here. he's holding his own in two different kinds of states, and what's key here is that, if he does well in pennsylvania, then there's a chance he could do well in michigan and ohio and then iowa. >> trump's here was he would do well ith was a vote for him. >> because of the large share of the electorate non-college educated, blue-collar workers disappointed with washington. >> upset with jobs and trade. and also a cultural piece here, when you hear make america great again, they -- >> what does that mean? because when you talk to many people in this country, they say when was it not great? what does that mean, make america great again? >> there is a gradation of what that means. for some, it means a world in
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which middle class jobs are stronger, but for other people, it means a world in which there is not so much of a minority presence in america, and culturally where the kind of liberal morays are not a part of my everyday experience and so it gets very messy. >> pelley: and he's talking to steelworkers in america who've lost jobs because of cheap steel mill in lore rein, ohio, closed last spring, lost 600 workers. >> both cultural and economic. michigan has not voted for a republican since 1988. let's go to anthony mason who has exit polls about what people think in that state. anthony? >> i was george h.w. bush, the last republican to win the state of michigan mi in 1988. here are two reasons why donald trump is competitive in michigan
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college degree. john was just talking about them. he's winning them 61 to 31%, a two-to-one margin, but what's significant is he's outperforming mitt romney who won this group with 55% four years ago. he's also winning men by a margin of 52 to 40%. now, donald trump is winning men around the country, but men in michigan went for barack obama four years ago, narrowly but he won them on the way to winning the state. but these two changes are a big competitive in michigan right now. gayle? >> it's very interesting, anthony. it's not just the non-educated voters he's resonating with. look at these numbers, white college educated voters, 50% for donald trump, 43% going for hillary clinton in michigan. what does that tell us, john, about what's likely to happen or going on in michigan that moment? >> it's a gender thing in. other states hillary clinton is winning white college educated
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she's only winning them by six points. but look how well donald trump is doing with white men with a college degree, almost 20 points away for donald trump with that group. so he's doing better culturalfully michigan than in a state like pennsylvania where mitt romney won white college educated women by 11 points, hillary clinton is up by 22 with white college educated women. that's really interesting because we're assuming pennsylvania and michigan are alike and in tha not alike. >> when he first started going to michigan we were sitting thinking why is he going to michigan? that's traditionally a blue state. donald trump, why is he spending time there? >> well, because -- yeah, i see it. >> pelley: and we're not the only ones watching the results of the election as they stand so farm. wall street is watching and the dow futures are down 400 points at this point. the market hates uncertainty, and if there's anything we can
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>> yeah, michigan is one of those blue states that we talked about that donald trump wanted to pick up. he placed a $25 million ad buy in the final week of the campaign, michigan was one of those states. michigan is also a state that has a large african-american community, 15% in detroit, hillary clinton performed well among that group but there was a question whether she was able to get black voters to the polls election day. but noteworthy tonight, mi p mi, one of the battleground states that trended blue in the past, last time voted republican was in '88 and now is a tossup. >> let me squeeze in a word here. we knew at the beginning of this evening, we have known for two months this was a deeply divided nation. what we have found out so far tonight is we were right about that. maybe we didn't understand how
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>> pelley: i want to eremind everybody that we are watching these battleground states closely every second and the moment cbs news can make an estimate of who's ahead or winning, we'll stop whatever we're doing and we'll tell you about that. and now we have one. norah. >> we do have a call in the state of connecticut. hillary clinton has won in that state. she is the winner. not a big surprise there. not a huge electoral cache votes. >> pelley: not a big surprise there. now hillary clinton has 104 electoral votes to donald trump's 129. still very early yet, but the tail of the evening is going to be told in these 13 battleground states. now, nancy cordes is following all of this for us from clinton election night headquarters in new york city. nancy? >> reporter: scott, i just got off the phone with a top clinton campaign official and asked him what the campaign makes of the
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were just discussing how close the race appears to be right now. he says, took, we have been saying for six months that this race would be close and that is what we are now seeing. he pointed out not all of the votes in broward county, the second most popular county of the state, are in yet. that is a big democratic stronghold, but he also pointed out that their electoral strategy does not rely on winning florida. yes, they would love to win it but still continue to passing 270 involves nevada, colorado, pennsylvania, michigan and virginia. you're also discussing donald trump seems to have made up ground in virginia. i asked him what's going on there. he pointed out fairfax county, the most populous county in northern virginia has only reported about 50% of its vote so far. he says this happens every four years. fairfax county reports late, democrats start to freak out, feel they're losing the state
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that's what's going to happen in virginia. how confident in we have been told by the clinton campaign, both hillary and bill clinton, have been working with their speech writers on a speech making some final edits and the writers have left the room and are inputting the final edits. yesterday we were told the writers prepared two different victory speech, and the fact they settled on one means they believe at this point she is going to win. >> pelley: nancy cordes, thank you very much. >> nancy, if you can still hear me, any reporting from the clinton campaign about what they think is going on in florida? >> they say it's a nail biter. they weren't willing to make a prediction about whether she would win or not. incredibly close. same situation in
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states. they say if they pull off votes, it will be great, but they're not relying on the states the way that the trump campaign is. >> nancy cordes, clinton campaign headquarters right now. we should point out, too, scott, you first brought this up, the dow now down 500 points. at the same time we had a cbs news projection at this hour in the state of louisiana, donald trump is the winner. >> pelley: no big surprise there, of course. that's not expected it to go republican all along. but let's have a look at our map status of the race right now as it stands, hillary clinton with 104 electoral 3otes, 137 for donald trump, 270 needed to win. the red states, we have projected for donald trump. the blue states, we have projected for hillary clinton. the states in white are those states that the polls have now closed but they are too close to
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major garrett is at trump campaign headquarters for us tonight. major? >> reporter: scott and norah, earlier this evening there was a definite despondensy within trump tower looking at the exit poll data on reports from battleground states. that has turned to cautious optimism. one thing i heard repeatedly from senior trump advisors is the exit poll data doesn't look good but we'll overperform the exit poll data predicted we would overperform public polls. how much? maybe 1 or 2%. the numbers reflect the overperformance of what was noted in the exit polls and public polling in the battleground states before votes started being counted. susan welsh the director in florida for the trump campaign, her quote, we feel pretty good
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florida but are waiting to see what happens in broward county to tip the scales in florida. but florida is an absolute must for donald trump. there is no path without florida. they would like to see more encouraging trend lines in north carolina, virginia, encouraged by pennsylvania and michigan but have yet to see the breakout state where they can achieve the clear path to 270. everything is very close. they are not nearly as discouraged as earlier this evening, but they are stilllo battleground state that goes for trump and build momentum as they try to reach the 270 mark. >> pelley: major garrett, thank you very much. 13 battleground states that will decide the election tonight, states that could go either way, and right now all of them could go either way.
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>> pelley: it's election night on cbs and what an election night it is. let us show you where the race stands right now at this moment. this is our map of the electoral college vote. we have hillary clinton with 104, donald trump with 137. the red states for trump, the blue for clinton, the white states are what we are watching right now. those are states where the polls
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close in those states, we cannot project who might be the winner. john dickerson. >> well, if i'm a clinton supporter and i'm looking at virginia and a state that once leaned for hillary clinton and is now a tossup, i'm paying a lot of attention to fair facs county as nancy cordes reported, 80% of the rote is in. hillary clinton is down just 10,000 votes. fairfax county brings in -- barack obama got 260,000 votes there. >> pelley: suburbs of >> just outside washington, d.c., a very strong democratic county. if i'm a democrat who want hillary clinton to be elected i'm watching the votes coming in in fairfax county, hoping it performance as it did for barack obama hoping it will close the deficit in virginia. >> in perspective of 2012, where were we in terms of calling states? >> in 2012, although hawaii wasn't as much of a battleground was as now, was called now as
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by 10:00, north carolina, which was a very much a battleground, very tight, called by 10:00 in 2012. >> bottom line to follow on your line, if you are a clinton supporter, you're popping an anti-anxiety pill now. charlie rose is over with the panel now. >> thank you, norah. remember, the first thing we said at 7:00, it's a tight race and we're seeing that in the states that are contested and very different. on the one hand you have virginia, north carolina and florida. and then then you have a couple out west. let's talk about the rust belt. why are they so tight? >> it's interesting. i was in ohio a couple of weeks ago, southeastern, eastern ohio, there is a scott-irish spine that runs up and down appalachia and they've seen less of a comeback after the recession and has cultural resentment toward
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and priorities for far too long and i really detected when i was talking to voters there just an enormous amount of rebelliousness, a feeling they needed to send a message to washington and to the country, i think you're seeing that happen tonight. >> i want to talk more about the cultural resentment. remember, trump began his campaign attacking hispanic immigrants and various other racial and ethnic minorities and some of the should identify as being racial and it's significant trump has closed the gap and done so well with white voters across the country. >> racial because they believe as they gain in terms of voter strength and economic strength that they already losing? >> right, a zero-sum view of american life. >> it is zero sum but i think the other message trump was saying is it's not your fault this is this way.
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et cetera, and that was the message. >> donald trump has run a very negative campaign, not as much as farce attack his opponent only, but very pessimistic that america is suffering and make america great again, it's backward in. a sense, that was directed perfectly to the states he needs the rest in the night, ohio, michigan and pennsylvania and certainly pennsylvania. but it does seem like has helped him. >> it's power of nostalgia, the same when the rust belt felt stronger, more jobs, more stable situations. in 2012, ohio went for barack obama. now it's essentially even in terms of the exit poll. >> and to what degree are college educated voters okay with trump's campaign of
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>> he seems he may be overperforming a little, but seems hillary clinton might be slightly underperforming with hispanics. >> and the night is young. in some cases we've heard of only 20, 25% of the vote. back to norah. >> 13 battleground states we are watching very closely. four years ago, we called two of them. we have yet to call any of them tonight. we're going to go state by state, in-depth and explain why this race is so close at this hour. you are watching cbs news
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>> well, this is getting awfully exciting, guys. north carolina, a state we had seen earlier give an edge to hillary clinton, we've moved back up into the tossup category. >> cheacialtion those are your people, >> and i'm not sure what's happening. john? >> we have the african-american vote, 21% of the electorate, 23% in 2012, that might be one answer. in mecklenburg county, that is a deeply blue area from clinton people and i'm focused on fairfax and mecklenburg. >> also new information about what's happening in the state of
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record-breaking turnout and news of the local races. nor as cbs news election night continues. and i'm dion lim with your "special 10news election coverage". the race for president is still neck and neck here in the sunshine state. and here's how the vote in florida is looking.... 10news political reporter mark rivera is watching the results-- with our team of political analysts. he joins us live from our streaming center.
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we'll be here throughout the evening...with the latest numbers from florida and the country. we'll be streaming all night long on our facebook page.. get notified about any speeches-- and check out "county by county" results-- with alerts on our free 10 news app. and on wtsp- dot-com. for breaking news and 24/7 live local radar, is always
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.>> pelley: this race is close. we can't project a winner yet in a single one of them. can anthony salvanto, our director of elections, let's have a look here at some of these states that are just too close to call. we just moved north carolina into the toss-up category. >> right. it had been leaning clinton for a while, but what's happening, scott, is we are seeing votes coming in now all here around the coast. counties where donald trump is-- and this is a story we've been
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over-performing what we thought he might do, over-performinperfn republican areas. hillary clinton is down just a little bit in some of these blue counties. they represent places that are going democratic, doing not well enough, but if donald trump can offset whatever margin she's going to make down here around raleigh-durham, that's why we've got it at least back to toss-up right now. >> pelley: before we leave you, let's have a look at florida. >> yeah, let's what's going on. >> pelley: donald trump has to win it. >> he probably has to win it. we're seeing record turnout, as you mentioned, but what happens is when we look at these counties and say how much of the vote is in? well, votes keep coming in because turnout is so high, in our models we're waiting to see 100% in, but the bar keeps getting higher and higher because more and more votes keep coming in. because nthat case we have to wait and see what the final
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>> pelley: anthony salvanto, thank you very much. norah o'donnell has the breakdown of each of these 13 state tonight. >> that's right, scott. thank you so much, let's just say what it is right now-- it is a white-knuckles kind of night. you're either opening a second bottle of wine or brewing a new pot of coffee because we have a long way to go tonight. let's go through all of these states, starting with florida. take a look at the sunshine state. it is still a toss-up. we have moha vote in, donald trump ahead by about two percentage points there. just so you know, anthony was telling us earlier that they're expecting a record turnout in this state. let's look at ohio. also just about 70 promise of the vote in. donald trump leading there. north carolina, donald trump leading in that state. in the state of virginia, you
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there. clinton's team waiting for fairfax, that northern virginia, to come in. pennsylvania, another battleground state. look at that. anotheranother toss-up. 48-48. let's take a look at the keystone state of pennsylvania. first we'll go to georgia. bob, you were asking about georgia. donald trump giving him the edge in the state of georgia. let's take a look at new hampshire. and michigan. just about a quarter of the vote in there. cbs news estimating that as a toss-up. and arizona, the state, of course, that has just closed 0-0 at this point, part early vote, the hispanic vote will be key there. let's wait and see. and then wisconsin, cbs news also calling that battleground a
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remember, colorado is a 100% mail-in vote. be interesting to see how that particular state turns out. let's just pull back for a second, john, since we've just gone true all of those boards, what it means. >> well, i'm just looking here in florida. to anthony's point about turnout, in the big counties of broward and palm and miami-dade, you're seeing 30,000, 40,000, 50,000 more votes for hillary clinton. butso votes for donald trump. in palm beach, which he's familiar with, 13,000 more votes for donald trump. so both sides are going up. and that's why it's so close. >> pelley: let's have a look at the electoral college map quickly to show you where the race stands right now. hillary clinton 104 electoral votes, donald trump 140. 270 are needed to win. in other words, donald trump is well over halfway there.
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example, the biggest of all, still, we haven't heard from them because the polls haven't closed, but at this snapshot in time, donald trump more than halfway there. the red states we have estimated for trump. the blue states we've estimated for hillary clinton. the white states are states where the polls have closed but they're too close to call. >> donald trump said from the very beginning he was going to do it his way. he was going to run an unprecedented campaign, and clearly his message is resinating, depending on your point of view-- back to your point, people i know are calling on sweet black baby jesus right about now. it really depends on where you ?and this election. and so far, people-- he said he wanted to do it. he said he wanted to make a change, and people have liked the message that he is giving people tonight. >> elaine quijano you're hearing from the trump family, i understand. they're posting on social media. >> let's go ahead and show that you, first. i want to return to the issue of florida. but let's gh ahead and take a
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himself tweeted just a short time ago at 9:45. he said watching the returns at 9:45 p.m. you can see in that picture there, of course, his family. you see his running mate there, governor mike pence. but i want to go back to florida for a moment because we have talked at the outset of the millennial vote and the affinity for third-party candidates. now we have a little bit of data because you recall going into it,y said about 13% or so of you know, they would go for another candidate. well, now in florida, with 95% of the vote in, we know that those who chose gary johnson and jill stein combine for over 265,000 votes. >> wow. >> wow. >> when you consider that donald trump and hillary clinton separated by just 134,177, perhaps the third-party candidates are a factor. >> that's really interesting. >> also happening in north carolina where the share of the
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18-29 is up to 19%, that's three points higher than in 2012. here you have gary johnson getting 7% of that vote. hillary clinton only getting 58% of the vote, is down from barack obama, getting 67%. >> gary johnson being the third-party candidate. >> climb change and issues like that very appealing to millennials. >> pelley: bob schieffer has a point. >> i was listening to norah run through the states. we call thesing states in the beginning. we had 56ed favorites. we thought colorado would be a battleground state, but we thought hillary clinton-- in fact, some of the clinton people told me it was already theirs. last week they were talking about. >> yeah. >> it's now a toss-up. pennsylvania. i think most people thought that was leaning towards hillary clinton. that i was maybe the safest, big battleground state for her. it's a toss-up.
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and it's going that way. but then michigan. i think most people thought that was in the democratic column, leaning that way, even though it was a battleground. so we are seeing things now, and it seems to be a trend here, where we see him leading in some places -- or at least toss-ups, where we didn't think-- >> how do you explain, that bob? >> well, i don't know. more people seem to have voted for him than voted saw. we said it was going to be tight. that was one thung we said. but is what we're seeing now different than what we expected from the can exit polling that we had? >> well, it's interesting. we just have some new numbers out of virginia, anthony mason can share those with us, that i think will shed some light on what is going on in the dominion state. anthony. >> reporter: yeah, norah,y we want to look for three potential trouble spots for democrats in virginia. first is among white women with college degrees.
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with, but as you can see, donald trump is running just about even with her among highly educated white women. the second group, young voters. now, clinton is winning young voters-- very strongly, 51% to 38%. but barack obama got 61% of young voters four years ago. so she's underperforming by 10 point here. and finally, voarpts in virginia view hillary clinton almost as negatively as donald trump on the issue of honesty and trustworthiness, as you can see right so three problems, three areas of trouble for clinton and the democrats in virginia, which is surprisingly a toss-up right now. gayle. >> all right, anthony. following up with what you're saying about virginia, the independent voters there, 49% voted for donald trump, 41% voted for hillary clinton. independents, it seems cmake a real difference here, john. >> they can. i was just looking here at the-- we were talking earlier about in virginia, fairfax county coming
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votes. she's now up by almost 17,000. that's how, again, the democrats looking for hope. they're finding it in there. >> let's check in on the state of missouri because cbs news projects that donald trump has won the state of missouri. we'll be also watching the state of missouri as there is a key senate race there as well. senator roy blunt facing a tough challenge in that state. we'll have an update on his race trump the projected winner there. >> pelley: now with 150 electoral votes on his way to 270. those being the votes needed to win the presidency. hillary clinton still at 104. >> and that was pretty much expected. >> pelley: yes, missouri. very little of the rest of this has been expected, certainly in the 13 toss-up states. >> let's talk about, too, what's
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closed in almost all of the battleground states. well, in fact, they have closed in all of the battleground states. we've been here for a few hours, so i've lost track of time but it is 10:00. >> iowa just closed. >> nevada. two fascinate ago iowa is a state that barack obama carried twice. it's one of those states where it's got an older population even than florida. it has a highly blue collar noncollege educated clinton people thought iowa gone. in nevada, the clinton campaign and democrats were basically saying nevada was really going to be in their column. that donald trump couldn't match on election day what they had been able to accumulate in the early vote. well, that may be another thing that gets undone by what we're seeing tonight. >> pelley: john dickerson, thank you very much. we're going to take a brief break here. we are going to come back with all the very latest results from these key battleground states,
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some of our correspondents who are in those states for us. election night continues here on cbs. your insurance company won't replace the full value of your totaled new car. the guy says, "you picked the wrong insurance plan." with new car replacement?, we'll replace the full value of your car plus depreciation. liberty mutual insurance. i have asthma... of many pieces in my life. so when my asthma symptoms kept coming back on my long-term control medicine. i talked to my doctor and found a missing piece in my asthma treatment with breo. once-daily breo prevents asthma symptoms. breo is for adults with asthma not well controlled on a long-term asthma control medicine, like an inhaled corticosteroid.
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cbs. we have an important update for you on ohio.
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likely republican category. anthony salvanto, our director of elections, tell me about ohio. >> well, scott, it's not a projection yet, but let me show you why this is trending toward donald trump. we always talk about cleveland and how hillary clinton had to get big turnout there. she's doing okay, but i would point you to these counties around cleveland, places like lake county. democrats often do well in the suburbs around cleveland, too. hillary clinton is not. donald trump is out-performing. again, i've used that word 100 times tonight. but he's republicans typically do in these counties here along the lake. and if that holds then he could very well take ohio. >> pelley: tell us about the rest of the upper midwest. >> yeah, it's so important, scott. we talked coming into this night that if this would be what they call the blue wall, hillary clinton's base where these states reliably vote democratic. but they're full of the kind of blue-collar workers and voters that usually-- usually go democratic, but donald trump has been targeting them.
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michigan, in wisconsin, all of those are still in play, and as long as that hold, it tells you the story that hillary clinton is under-performing what she needs to do. >> pelley: anthony salvanto, our director of elections, thank you very much. in the closing days of the election, donald trump spent extra time in wisconsin and michigan, and, norah, it looks like tonight that's paying off. >> that's right. and as anthony said, hillary clinton underperforming in a number of these battleground states that she hadec we've got reporting from inside these battleground states. jan crawford is in north carolina, jericka duncan is in pennsylvania. first, we'll go to jan crawford, jan. >> reporter: well, remember, i mean, north carolina is the state that typically goes republican in presidential races. back in 2008, of course, president obama won this state. but by the narrowest of margins and in 2012 mitt romney won by two point.
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states that the clinton campaign thought they could possibly win. and they made a big push here. i mean, hillary clinton came here for her last stop of her campaign, that midnight rally last night featuring lady gaga, and jon bon voafy attracting thousands of people. today he continued to do radio interviews here in this state trying to get her message out. but to win this state, she needed to carry the african american vote, and there were troubling signs there. voting, that was up across the board, the totals, about 12%, since 2012. but the african american early vote was down 9%. so we actually saw people-- we drove around to a lot of the precincts today, and we actually saw people standing in line, african americans, at polling places, and there weren't that many lines, on the phone, making calls, saying, "why aren't you voting? come out and vote." people saying they just weren't going to vote.
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on the flip side, trump needed to turn out those rural whites, people who may not have voted for romney, they didn't particularly care for him, people who may not have come out in 2008. he needed to turn them out, and some of the early numbers suggested they came out as well. the battle for the 15 electoral votes up for grabs in this state. >> from north carolina now to pennsylvania which is also in the toss-up category. jericka duncan is in philadelphia. jericka. >> reporter: there was a lot of concern here about potential voter fraud, which is something that donald trump made an issue. so you had the district attorney putting extra resources in to that voter fraud task force, but at the end of the day, there were no reports of any intimidation or voter fraud. as for voter turnout, i can tell you, the nonpartisan watchdog group commit of 70 was saying turnout seemed to be higher than the last presidential election.
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primarily in african american communities, felt good. they said that just based on the lines that they had seen, the amount of people that were out early this morning, that they felt hillary clinton definitely had this state on lock, and we know that the last time a republican actually took this state was in 1988. so you're talking about a state that is primarily democratic, but, of course, it is up in the air. it is now of not over yet. so it remains to be seen into what actually happens tonight. we also want to note that the absentee ballots, that was actually down about 20%. so there will be a lot of questions asked, a lot of analyzing. but at the end of the day, it's not over just yet. >> pelley: jericka, thank you very much. we are making an adjustment in our estimate in florida. we are moving florida now to lean edge-- edge, i beg your
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edge, an edge to donald trump, the republican. john, why are we making that change and what does it mean? >> well, it means hillary clinton may have turned out her vote and a lot of latinos are turning out, but donald trump is turning out his vote, too, again, in the rural areas, when you look at the map, all of that red, he's doing a little bit in each place. hillary clinton is doing it in big places around the cities. one thing i think we can conclude basically here is at the beginning of the night there was a big question-- did donald trump's vision of the elect railt, his-- which was contrast to many, many republicans, which is that he could do well by appealing to the electorate on his terms. that's been ratified. he did well by appealing on his terms. he may or may not be president, but in terms of that theory of the case, he has done well enough tonight to prove that he is-- he was right about that. >> i want to talk more about florida, but very quickly, in the state of new mexico, cbs news projects hillary clinton has won in that state.
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now goes for hillary clinton. and it's five electoral votes. we're going to take a quick break. but when we come back more on the state of florida. why it is edge republican. what it now means for donald trump and for hillary clinton as they try to put together an electoral vote pathway to victory. we'll explain. we'll be right back. icine, it was an idea. a wild "what-if." so scientists went to work. they examined 87 different protein structures and worked for 12 long years. there were thousands of patient volunteers and the hope of millions. and so after it became a medicine, someone who couldn't be cured, could be. me.
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>> we've got news to report, ladies and gentlemen. in arizona, senator john mccain has been declared the winner in that state. john mccain was seeking his sixth term in the united states senate. 80 years old. the former republican nominee for president has won a vic there. >> he also made it clear he would not be voting for donald trump. i think the final straw for him was after that "access hollywood" tape he said neither he nor his wife would be voting for donald trump and he had stood by him. >> at one point donald trump said he liked people who weren't captured and prisoners of war. >> at this hour, we have a number of battleground states still yet to call. i think i said earlier it's a white-knuckle race. charlie rose and the political
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reginald roundtree. and i'm dion lim with your "special 10news election coverage". we don't have a winner in the race for president...but we do know who won the florida senate race. senator marco rubio wins reelection..ea democrat patrick murphy. 10 news reporter eric glasser is live in miami-- with the rubio party.. eric has he come out to speak yet? 10 news is your election headquarters.
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election headquarters. we'll be here throughout the evening...with the latest numbers from florida and the country. we'll be streaming all night long on our facebook page.. get notified about any speeches-- and check out "county by county" results-- with alerts on our free 10 news app. and on wtsp- dot-com. for breaking news and 24/7 live local radar, is always
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news projects hillary clinton has won the old dominion. this was a state that was lean edge, it wase it was electoral votes now in hillary clinton's column. 13 electoral votes. >> why did it jump around so much? because-- and this will happen in other states over the night and people should know about this-- there are those place where's the democrats do well, those cities which have a lot of votes in them. if it takes a while for those votes to get cast, hillary clinton can be behind and then come back. so that's what happened in fairfax county. the vote came in from fairfax county, it went to hillary
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of washington, d.c., and that appears to be what put her over the top. >> pelley: this is the very first of the battleground states that we have been able to estimate a winner in. let's have a look at the battleground map now. hillary clinton goes up to 122 electoral votes to donald trump's 150. as you know, 270 needed to win the presidency. still much too close to call in florida, and cbs n a new projection for the state of ohio. and we'll have that up for you here in just a moment. and there is the state of ohio, cbs news is projecting that once all the votes are counted, donald trump will win ohio. now, this keeps his hopes alive. ohio was a very important state for him to win. he needs to win ohio. he needs to win florida.
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to make an estimate. but donald trump is leading in the vote. and there's the electoral vote count right now. hillary clinton 122, donald trump 168. john, what does ohio mean? >> well, ohio was one of those states-- they're falling into the traditional patterns. ohio was a state that donald trump had a chance to do well in because there was a big portion of the electorate that was noncge there's a low portion of the electorate that was minority. that is a state, if people were to to put it on a list ohio might be one to go in the trump category. it did. virginia air, more diverse electorate, also a larger share of college-educated voters, that has gone to hillary clinton. those are ones that have sorted in a way that we would have expected before tonight, which is a change since so much has happened tonight which is unexpected. >> it's also a state where hillary clinton pulled out all
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it shows you that celebrity endorsement don't necessarily mean victory on election day. >> that's for sure. unless you're a celebrity yourself in donald trump's case, and that seems to have helped him in the state of ohio. >> this is going to be a very close election because if donald trump goes on to win florida, that will mean he has won two of the big battleground states. hillary clinton can still win if she wins pennsylvania. but this one's going right down tohe >> in fact, i spoke with a top clinton campaign official when i asked about what's going on in the state of florida, because they had boasted to me earlier in the night that they felt very strong because they had banked a lot of early vote and at this point we have it edging to republican. this top official telling me it's very tight in florida but we can afford to lose it as long as we get pennsylvania, new hampshire, and nevada. >> and michigan becomes even more important now. >> great point.
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decision desk, to tell us a little bit about why we made these estimates. trump for ohio, and hillary clinton in virginia. >> all right, scott, let's start with ohio. right now, hillary clinton was heavily counting o counting on n american vote. it looks like it didn't work in her favor. how did trump win and walk away with this state. >> because it wasn't enough, demarco. i'm going to point you to a story of a couple of counties. down here around canton, through the campaign we have been talking about the blue collar voters that might go for donald trump, that might respond to his message. it's clear they did. there are counties here around canton, mahoning county, stark county, where he has out-performed what republicans typically do, and actually, exceeded what is typical, even in the best of times for a republican. maybe they break even there. but he's up 56-40, 53-42 in those places. that's a big reason he wins ohio. >> before we move on to the
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>> well, he was up marginally in our polling coming into this. but he had to get this pattern in order to actually pull it off. and he did. so in that sense, our preelection poll looks like it was pretty much right. >> before we talk about virginia, let's go to florida, still too close to call, why. >> yeah, yeah, florida is an interesting case because we're still counting how many ballots it there are, not just who is up. so as we've been saying all night, we've been looking through all these counties around orlando, tampa, places republicansu he's doing exceptionally well. and the last thing i'll point you to, demarco, i want to take you to virginia, can which we also projected for hillary clinton, and here, here, she's gotten enough turnout around these d.c. suburbs, even though all the votes aren't counted there yet, that's her area, and so when all the votes come in, we can expect that she'd be able to carry the state. but this is much, much closer than the preelection polling ever expected. >> are you surprised we haven't called north carolina yet.
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>> long night. >> maybe. >> let's send it back to scott and norah. >> demarco, thank you so much. there's lots to talk about, how the rest of this night will go. charlie rose is with the political panel. >> i'm with three women, peggy noonan, michelle morris, and ruth marcus. we want to talk about women, and there is a number of divisions that we can speak to. one college educated, versus not college educated, young-old, african american-white, and rural-urban. how is the women's vote influencing this election? >> well, look, we may be in the middle of witnessing an epic upset here. so we're just not sure what's going on. but mr. trump is doing-- performing better than he had seemed to in exit polls and in other polls. part of that, obviously, would suggest that, "a," there actually was something of a hidden trump vote. and, "b," some of them would
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so we'll figure that out as the days go by. that having been said, mr. trump would not be close now but i think very much in the lead now if his attitude towards and language towards women, minorities, et cetera, had not been so alienating. he put a lot of them off. i'm sure it cut down on the number of people who are vote ago. >> you're almost saying if he hadn't been d.n.a. that with respect to women and latinos he would be much closer t president. >> yes, actually. i actually once wrote a column saying, sane trump would win in a landslide." >> a different candidate all together. >> there are two things we know. if he weren't behaving as donald trump behaved he would have a much better chance of being president. but, also, if only men still had the right to vote he would almost certainly be president because we still see a significant gender gap here. a couple of important points. women are 53% of the electorate. this looks like this time
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years ago. but hillary clinton is performing better against donald trump than barack obama did against mitt romney with women. i might pout my glasses for some of this. she it down eight points against trump with men. she is up 14 points with women overall. with white men, she is down 30 points, okay. she's down with white women, but she's ly points. that is less than-- that is better than barack obama's performance with white women versus mitt romney. so i think here's my point. if you're not a donald trump fan and he wins, blame the men. don't blame the women. >> but the story here might be rural women. >> reporter: rural women. >> and rural women who lack college educations. when i was visiting ohio not long ago, they said people focus on hillary clinton trying to
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perhaps they should look at the cracked windshield voters, who can't afford to fix the windshield, put food on the table, can't afford to send their kids to college and she may have had a harder time reaching out to those voters. >> that was in all the focus groups what you just described, how they felt about her. >> there's also a question about the young women, and how we still haven't seen precisely those numbers whether they were as energized, as say, their mothers. >> not withstanding electing a woman would be historic. is it fair to say the three of you when you came here this evening did not believe donald trump might win this election and now you all three think it's possible. >> he had a very narrow path at the beginning of the evening. but it seems like that path is not as narrow as it was. speaking in the room, i think all of us feel that changed in the past hour. >> past hour, past hour and a half, we started to see wait a second. expectation in addition the polls are not being boash out by
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screen right now. >> reporter: thank you, all. >> not nasty women. >> not nasty women. >> reporter: back to scott and norah. >> fascinating discussion, really interesting. >> pelley: one of the interesting things, norah, is that since the nomination of the two candidates, donald trump has never led in the cbs news poll, never been ahead since he and hillary clinton were nominated. and yet, tonight, he's keeping up quite well. get ahead, this is it. ( laughter ) if there's a time to pull ahead -- >> it's all pretty academic. >> let's roll out the old cliche it's only poll that matters is the one on election day. >> finishing strong indeed. we have a lot of data still ahead to share with you, including the hispanic vote and what is happening in the west. we are also getting closer to a call in florida before we get to
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anthony. >> reporter: as we said earlier in the evening, norah, the hispanic vote makes up about 12% of eligible voters but in three key battleground states in the southwest, nevada, colorado, arizona, it's higher than that. let's see how much higher today. as you can see, coming in, arizona it's about 16% right now. colorado 13%. nevada 18%. interestingly, this is actually a little bit lower than four years ago. let's look at nevada, where hillary clinton has a significant advantage among but let's go back four years and see what barack obama did. he won hispanics with 71% of the vote. so she's significantly underperforming obama among hispanics in nevada. that's discouraging for the democrats. gayle. >> all right, thank you very much, anthony. you know, to follow up, charlie, on your panel with the women who made it very clear they are not nasty women. we're now thinking about pathtelevise victory. what does that look like?
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evening, norah, kellyanne conway said she had six different pathways to victory. what are the the pathways to victories we can focus on. >> those pathways still remain somewhat the same. the clinton campaign believes that if they were to lose the state of pennsylvania-- excuse me, of florida, that they could still win with pennsylvania, new hampshire, and nevada. in fact, a lot of their models did not include ohio. >> the question-- there are two questions. one is how are they going to split up the battleground states. th o pierce the so-called blue wall, those traditionally democratic states. michigan is one of them. wisconsin is another one. and pennsylvania is a third. so does hillary clinton hold on to those? the limited number of pathways that donald trump had was based on the idea that a number of states would follow their historical path. >> gl john, i'm sorry to interrupt but cbs news is projecting that when all of the votes are counted, hillary clinton will have won the state of colorado.
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we have been watching very closely tonight. cbs news now believes that hillary clinton will be the winner in colorado. that gives her colorado and virginia. donald trump we have projected the winner in ohio. >> this was a state, bob, that we talked about earlier, colorado, where the clinton campaign believed because it is 100% mail-in vote, that organization, that ground game would put them over the top. >> yeah, this is one of those the beginning we called it ainga battleground, but most of the polling suggested in the beginning that she was going to win colorado. this is very important now. with florida still out there, with ohio still out there. this was a very important win for her. >> let me do a what. if. can we say if donald trump wins florida, pennsylvania, and michigan, is he much closer?
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carolina. >> if he wins michigan and wisconsin, that changes the original-- >> or michigan and pennsylvania. >> the thing about colorado that's important and interesting here is that it is connected to virginia in the minds of a lot of democrats. >> right. >> pelley: let's have a quick look at the tally where we stand right now. hillary clinton 131, donald trump 168. on the way to 270. electoral votes needed to win. we'll this very tight race.
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>> pelley: welcome back to election night on cbs, and what an election this is. it's already having ramifications for the american economy. have a look at this. the dow futures are now off points. that's about 3.5%. investors are reacting to this. this is the election as it stands right now. let's have a look at the electoral vote. hillary clinton 131, donald trump 168. 270 needed to win. now, look at this. this is the popular vote. these are the raw total of numbers of people who have
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is ahead of hillary clinton by a little bit over two million votes. >> investors don't like the uncertainty of what we're looking at right now. >> pelley: investors hate uncertainty, and if this night is anything, it is uncertain. >> unless you're in team donald trump. they're feeling that-- they're looking at us thinking this is what we predicted all along, guys. >> i think they're probably looking at this, the rise of donald trump, the fact that he's made this so close, they belie he brings more uncertainty because he's less familiar to them in terms of a leader. >> he's also called out the wall street corporate interests that are in control of washington, and he represents more uncertainty if he were to be president by design. >> oh, to be a fly on the wall at trump tower or at the hotel where hillary clinton and her team are tonight to find out what they are thinking at this hour. nancy cordes has been talking to
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campaign. nancy what, you have learned? >> reporter: well, norah, is iifyou ask the clinton campaign now, or any time in the past few months, what their most likely pact is to 270, they would always say they have multiple paths but the most likely one is this, these five states-- virginia, colorado, pennsylvania, michigan, and nevada. in fact, a couple of weeks ago, they probably wouldn't even have included michigan on that list because they considered it a but it will be a lot closer. so far they've been projected to win by cbs news two of the five. so they are watching those other three increasing, because now florida and ohio have been taken off the table. it's one of their only paths to 270. are they confident? yes. they feel that virginia and colorado were always so strong for them, that they actually stopped airing ads in those two faits for about four months.
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end, but hillary clinton went back there twice. the president went there as well. they're feeling pretty good about their path, but it's certainly not the cakewalk that they hoped it would be. >> nancy cordes, thank you. major garrett has been covering the trump campaign. major, they've got to be feeling good inside the republican nominee's campaign headquarters. >> reporter: they're feeling much, much better. they now see one or two, maybe three paths to 270 electoral votes, norah. the florida director for the trump campaign has told them count on florida. we're going to winlo manafort, former campaign manager for donald trump, still attached to this campaign, though not officially. he believes trump is going to win north carolina. i was just texting with the former pennsylvania governor, republican tom corbett. he is not a trump person at all but he's looking at pennsylvania. he said because trump is winning in eerie county and running just a little behind hillary clinton
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another trump official i talked to is working with their field staff in pennsylvania, they feel very encouraged about that. in the end this may come down to michigan, new hampshire, nevada, and the states i just mentioned. norah and scott. >> all right, make, thank you. pennsylvania at this hour still a toss-up. when we come back, we'll talk more about the battle for the battlegrounds. plus poll closings in the west coast, including the biggest electoral prize of them all, the state of california. i'd like to send 50 pizzas to france. oh hey! i'm just keeping the seat warm. but not for the president. for you! you can be president of whatever you want. like president of your own salon... i look good. or your kid's little league team...foul ball! or president of whatever this is! get the domains, websites, and 24/7 personal support to be awesome online.
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>> pelley: it's election night on cbs. welcome back. let's have a quick look now at florida. one of the states that is running the closest race tonight, a must. win for donald trump. we are estimating that donald trump has the edge john dickerson, what's going on? >> well, you know, what looks like is going on. it looks like hillary clinton has won-- she's got more votes in the swing areas. that's supposed to be crucial to florida. she's turned out her vote in the southeastern part of the state in broward, palm, and miami-dade, but donald trump in the rest of the state is turning his vote out, too. so it's a battle of the turnout, and he appears to be well ahead. >> pelley: we are watching these battleground states for you minute by minute, and we
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election night when cbs news campaign 2016 continues in just a moment. election coverage". i'm reginald roundtree. and i'm dion lim. donald trump wins the state of florida. the associated press called it just moments ago. let's get right to the latest numbers in the presidential race. donald trump wins the state of florida. the associated press called it moments ago. let's get the latest numbers. so many people call this one a nailbiter. you can see the popular vote at 49%. a festive mood as everyone keeps a close eye on the numbers at the trump party.
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from hillary clinton. >> medical marijuana has scored a major victory tonight also. mike is at a a victory party in orlando with the latest. >> reporter: there was history made in orlando where people are thrilled with this boat which is the singular highest vote for medical marijuana in the nation. among the people who are thrilled is a man who had back injuries and at one time was on other drugs and spent five years on medical marijuana.
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>> i i am elated. i am excited. i am relieved that this is an option for my family. >> reporter: although the measure passed it will go in effect immediately. it will take at least until next september before medical marijuana is officially legal in the state of florida. >> we are keeping some close eye on some local -- some local mothers are saying medical marijuana will make a difference in their children's life. >> supporters gathering in tampa tonight including a mother we have talked to many times over the years. who could forget this? brandon, suffers from an extreme form of epilepsy. outspoken on the issue for many years she says her tears were
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>> at the end of the day someone else will be able to get this medicine quicker than my son did. they won't have to watch him or her suffer like i do every day. >> the amendment would broaden access to medical marijuana to people with a wide range of conditions. the department of health will have to draft rul r how it will be sold. grab your smart phone we are using election night to try something new on 10news. you can interact with coverage using your phone computer a tablet. head to or look for the vote now section on our app. >> we want to know what you think about medical marijuana. are you surprised that medical marijuana passed in florida? again, we want to know what you think. all that you have to do it is
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10news at 11:00 starts right now. what a night a night and it is not over with yet. too close to call. good evening. >> so many predictions, some people said the race would go on nailbiter, call it what you want, a race to the finish. >> here is a a look at how it is shaping up right now. you see the numbers right there. a couple of key swing states have not yet been called. we are also waiting on results from the all important west coast. here is a look at the headquarters for both
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>> if the race has not been controversial enough floridians voted and passive medical marijuana admin been. that passed by 71%. florida becomes a 26th state along with the district of columbia to legalize marijuana for medicinal purposes. >> it starwi premise that medical decisions be made between doctors and patients in the doctor's office. not by politicians. >> marco rubio wins a second term in the senate. she will -- he won tonight with 52% of the vote. >> this one actually caught people by surprise. charlie crist beat out incumbent david jolly for house
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>> pack to the all-important presidential we left that are still coming in. several battleground states have yet to be called. >> right now we are breaking down the boats that have been counted. standing by right now is our political reporter. we begin in florida tonight. >> reporter: we have seen incredible things tonight. we have been doing live coverage all day. big turn out in florida and take a look at this. you see 9 million peoplee trump is leading in florida. he is actually won it, he was ahead by 135,000 votes, the latest numbers show 9 million people cast their ballots in florida. that is nearly 74% of voters. around the country we are watching key states. as it is now florida has gone to trump. right now what we are looking
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trump as well, hillary clinton got virginia but what we are looking at tonight, right now, michigan, wisconsin, and nevada. hillary clinton is down with about 47% of the precincts reporting in michigan. if donald trump can win any of those three states he will be the next pres. if hillary clinton wins michigan, wisconsin, or nevada, actually she has to win all three of these. she will be the next president of the united states. it comes down to treat the -- it comes down to these three states. back to you. >> if you cast your ballot today you are not done yet. >> grab your cell phone, we are giving you a chance to interact
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the first thing you need to do is go to, your question is, are you surprised that medical marijuana passed in florida? you can vote now and throughout the next few minutes. you will see the results in real-time on your phone or tablet. tonight, tens of thousands of floridians voted to legalize medical ma driving force to get the amendment to pass. mike joins us live at the victory party. mike, i am sure they were ecstatic. >> reporter: that is right, i have got to say the party is over, at least at the hotel. it has probably move to some private house or some other facility right now. but they were ecstatic with that victory, which came very early this evening. what happened was it became the
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marijuana in the country. the folks were thrilled with the results. what they said and as they said all along is that marijuana has always been medicine and it will be medicine now for ever in the state of florida. >> the people of florida should be able to receive the benefits of medical marijuana. that is not a controversial proposition. that is what we saw tonight with this vote. this is the largest vote in favor of medical marijuana in the history of the u.s. >> reporter: the issue passed overwhelmingly. it will take at least nine months from january 1 to go into effect. it could even be next october
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if you are wondering how the entire state voted on this issue we have got the information for you. my colleague has been looking at those numbers all my long. >> reporter: it clears at 60%, here is the county by county. the deeper the green the more support for marijuana. pinellas, the strongest support anywhere around. 75% 75% of people voted for legalizing marijuana there. all around the gulf coast we had 70% 70% support all up and down. in the heartland you see these lighter colors, highland county, just over 60% there. these counties of course have so few voters because they are so lightly dense in terms of population. we are also watching amendment 1. that initiative that would
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request of the big energy companies. that the amendment failed tonight. it needed 60% but did not get it. it only got 51%. we are also watching amendment 3, that was for tax breaks for certain disabled first responders. that passed with an overwhelming vote. amendment five, prevents tax income seniors also passed. that is now in the state constitution. not a lot of close races tonight in florida but the next set of statewide races is only two years away. >> for many of you this is not your first time voting but you can see here most of these students it was their first chance to cast a ballot in the election. courtney robinson has i've
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as we mentioned marco rubio was reelected. >> he celebrated in his hometown of miami. that is where we find eric live tonight. >> reporter: they are striking the set here in miami, as they say. the supporters for marco rubio and the junior senator have already left the building. it has been a big night for marco rubio. we predicted it would be. within 15 minutes of the polls closing several news outlets had to create marco rubio the winner. he took to the stage to a huge a huge round of applause is surrounded by his family. he thanked them, he thanked god, he also thanked his supporters. he started his speech with a little bit of humor saying, this would be the last time -- this
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to donald trump. he congratulated patrick murphy on money a good race and went on to call for healing, unity and compromise no matter who wins at the presidential election tonight. >> you can disagree with someone without hating them. you can disagree with them without delegitimizing their point of view. it means that there is no way for this nation to move forward if we leave anyone behind. >> reporter: compromise starts at home. he said his colleagues could show a better example to the rest of us . there is still time, he said, for us to get this right but we don't have forever. live at the rubio campaign, eric lazar, 10news.
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he won the district 13 seat. tammy fields joins us live from his celebration on the beach. take it away. >> reporter: we are live at the hotel and i have to tell you the celebration is over. i want you to take a look at the video. this is when he came out on the stage. there are more than 100 people gathered 100 people gathered here for his speech. charlie crist thanked david jolly saying, "he was my opponent, not my enemy." charlie crist is one of florida's well known politicians. serving as governor when his the elected in 2006, state senator, education commissioner
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petersburg hospital -- he graduated from st. petersburg high school where he was pres. he told his family and friends with his day job he wants to invest in education and make sure veterans are taken care of. listen. >> it feels great. it is wonderful. i am grateful. i am humbled and i can't think the people enough. this is home and they have been so kind to me and my so many years. i am more grateful than i can say. >> reporter: charlie crist says he is ready to go back to washington. i can also tell you he had a very emotional remark tonight that i would like to share with you. "i have run a lot of races and it has been tough but got is good." back to you.
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speech as he remembered the late congressman bill young. >> i paid on her and respect bill young today. not knowing how the night would turn out. i wanted to say thank you for everything he had taught me. thank you all very much.
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in the race for help district 14 kathy custer keeping her seat. she won 62% of the seat there. >> another major race we have kept an eye on is that the state the state attorney, after serving four terms, the republican lost to the democratinto warring by a slim margin. 10news is on top of all the election news. we will be here all night long getting you the numbers. we will have a local look at the local and city council races coming up. what do millennials think about the results? we sit down and talk with them and what it means for the future. >> we are breaking down how the bay area county voted.
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america's future so we brought in a group of students, a majority of them first time voters to watch the election results. it has been a really fun night. we have been through a wave of emotions. we started out anxious. right now we are still waiting to hear who will be the next president. it has been a surprising, i know you are a first-time voter. to see so many states go red? >> i voted for hillary clinton. i am from hillsboro. the people i was talking with who voted all told me hillary clinton was going to win. to see that many states go red is completely overwhelming. >> reporter: as a millennial it was important to have your
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>> it was definitely important to have my voice heard. just to go out there and really see if my voice actually meant something in the selection. >> reporter: you have said voting for clinton was my of a vote for the democratic party. behind you we have marissa, you voted for donald trump. was this a vote for donald trump or against clinton? >> it was my a republican party. i agreed with a lot of things trump said, i disagreed on a lot of stuff also. i would say it is more for the republican party. >> reporter: are you feeling optimistic? >> i am pretty surprised honestly. a lot of the people here wanted hillary clinton. when donald trump won florida i
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>> reporter: you can't really discount or assume how college students are going to vote. there were some -- there was so many different things on the ballot all night long including amendment 2. an exciting night and now surprise and still anxious. back to you. we know florida is crucial for the presidential election. let's get to a quick reminder of the way the state voted. breaking things down the president -- trump 49% and clinton just a missing at 48%. if we could take a look at the rest of the screen. darren is joining us live in studio right now. we know this was heavily swayed
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>> reporter: the bay area was all about donald trump. [technical difficulties] [please stand by] it is time for 10news weather. >> i am going to take over real fast and we will get that fixed for you. what a comfortable day we have had out there today. 2 at 61. that is going to change because we ha but that is going to change. we have a rain chance that will fall apart. maybe a 20% chance. a frontal boundary comes through tomorrow evening. we will end up starting to see cooler and dryer air come in. it won't be a major change that dew point will drop. -- but the dew point will drop.
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we have a beautiful sunrise by the way. they will thicken up in the afternoon. no issues with rain for tomorrow. pollen forecast, no big changes there. the festival kicks off on friday. that is in the thick of this next air mass coming in and it is fantast. just keep in mind the evening concerts, friday night, that is going to be a little bit on the cool side. you might want a a little bit of a sweater. there is the weekend forecast, 79 on sunday. 82 on saturday.
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thing saturday morning. the seven-day forecast is not show much rain out there. a small chance of a shower as we get into monday and tuesday. we will track that for you. veterans day on friday looks absolutely beautiful as well. just coming in cbs is now calling utah as being won by donald trump. >> as we said earlier, the interstate from a a quarter has been very crucial. >> he is a reminder of the way the state voted. >> reporter: as we mentioned, not even close. the bay area was all about donald trump. take a look at all the red on the screen. every town in this area voted for trump. the only one that voted for hillary clinton, no surprise, hillsborough county. pinellas was a bit of a surprise. the 2012 election pres.
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very similar to this current election except that hillary clinton has lost in pinellas county.
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this is a breakdown of the electoral votes. right now donald trump has after winning utah. hillary clinton is sitting at 197. the magic number is 270 votes. also, important, the balance of power in congress. we have been falling some of the key senate and house races and the latest on where they stand. >> reporter: it looks like the republicans will keep control
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things are much closer in the senate. i want you to take a look at the map. before we do that, before the elections of republicans held 54 seats. tonight, the democrats have picked up a seat already in illinois. that is democrat tammy duckworth. we are still waiting on results in other key states. pennsylvania, right now it looks like a democrat is going to get that win. that would be two seats that the democrats would get. new hampshire, the republican is hanging on there. also, nevada is up for grabs right now. it was a democratic a democratic state but it could go republican. at this point, even though the democrats have a couple of seats it does look like the republicans could maintain
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as the house. >> outrage among dozens of voters in ana maria island. they were told the registration was being challenged. james keith was among the voters forced to cast a provisional ballot because of the challenge to the residency. the commissioner confirms he challenged the registrations over concerns some of those on the list were not listed on the -- were not living on the island. >> the voters control the destiny. investors should not control the destiny of ana maria. that is a democracy. you have to live here. when we saw we had a bunch that were voting that did not live here it was time to do something. >> the supervisor says all ballots will be counted as soon ballots will be counted as soon as residency can be
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called pennsylvania four years ago at 940. >> now it's too close to estimate. >> we should reset the map here. >> there was so much talk about hidden secret trump voters who would say one thing publicly but then go in the voting booth and do something else. happened here, john. >> i don't know. we'll have to check. the places you would look for that is in the white college educated voters and the suburbs. they seem to be turning out in some places certainly in pense very heavily for hillary clinton. >> this is the clinton campaign. the watch party of the clinton campaign, clearly a great deal of concern there at this point in the evening. charlie rose is with our
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>> thank you scott, with me michael gerson and leslie sanchez and mark -- of the "new york times." the question is what's going on? what's happening and how will it end up. >> this is a populous way. we're not sure if it's high enough to elect donald trump yet but it's a real way. it involves reaction against globalism and multiculturalism and a culture that people think is condescending. >> there w it in brexit. >> it was frustrated and disappointed with the republican and democratic party. it's very similar. they wanted an outsider to come in and break up wash to get things moving again. what's interesting charlie is people in these states of michigan, pennsylvania, north carolina are deciding at the last minute they went for trump.
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call. >> norah is watching these data come in, norah. >> cbs news is projecting that in the state of iowa, donald trump has won. this is the state that barack obama had won in the past two elections. the demographics of the state did favor donald trump. >> yes. so barack obama's career started by winning the craw cussion cau. but dwrud won it's a state demographically very much in the donald trump cam. >> let's look at our electoral college camp. hillary clinton 197 and dropped with 228 and 270 is what you need to win. that story is going to be told over the next hour or two as we watch these very close races in these battle ground states.
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those states where the polls have closed. but they are too close for us to make an estimate. let's go back to charlie rose and our political panel. >> mark, pick up where we were. what's going on as you see it and how surprising. >> well it's surprising but it shouldn't be in a way because pression densprecedence is evere way. if you look at 48 hours ago there was a conventional wisdom after the second comey letter that you know maybe it would be a somewhat early north carolina, florida would break fairly early. they broke the early voting patterns with a he saw for hillary clinton. i don't know why anyone should be surprised the people the media and the polls were wrong again. this is an incredibly unpredictable eruption. donald trump obviously new something that the people didn't. >> here's an interesting point. he knees 42 electoral votes. she needs 73, and there are 83
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i mean he is within reach. michigan, wisconsin and pennsylvania. >> she needs both states. she needs two of those three states. obviously they are very big electoral votes. i mean his performance in the first part of the evening put her on the defensive and she has to hold. >> this is also a reflection of a lack of belief in institutions and now including polls. >> polling, get out t operation which didn't seem to do much in this election. it conterms the suspicions of a lot of conservatives in america about the opinions being wrong, about polling bag wrong. part of donald trump's appeal is the idea that there is a conspiracy of the establishment. and this look are looks like it. >> this is confirmation. >> i think they will take it as
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>> in very many ways and one thing that is cinc concinc conct trump won them within the last 30 days and within the last week in many of these battle ground states. >> thank you. let's go back to scott and norah. norah you were going back through some of the exit polling data and you came across something fascinate is. >> this is fascinating, one of the swing dprooms we've been watching in thi suburban women who went from bush to, i don' obama won them e last election. suburban women turned out for donald trump. in michigan he's winning them by ten points over clinton. in wisconsin, trump is winning suburban white women by seven points. in pennsylvania trump is winning suburban white women by two points. in ohio he is winning by ten
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women in his column in those particular states that also helps drive him in florida. so that is part of his coalition tonight. >> when you say that, it's a very big surprise considering donald trump's track roar that many people felt that he was insensitive and inappropriate. >> republicans dominate in the suburbs so that part makes sense. witbut bob schieffer some people are sprezzed he is doing so well among women. >> two surprise of the night if this proves to be the difference if this was suburban women because people thought it would go just the other way. we were very close here and we need to emphasize here, this could still go either way. but donald trump is now by my count 42 votes away from having the 270 he needs. >> and you can see that on the
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party here in new york city. nancy cordes is there. nancy, tell us about the mood. >> it's not the reason that you see so many shell shocked faces here is because these are very intense supporters. they are long time volunteers and they know exactly what was a loss in wisconsin would mean. it would almost certainly preclude hillary clinton from getting to the 270 electoral votes she needs. and so this is really a stunner. the last time just checked was april 2nd. seven months ago. so a site ric tight race was noe radar screen at all. the clinton campaign was thaty earlier in the night. they were quite quiet but i got through to a clinton aide who says they do believe they will pull out a victory in michigan and in wisconsin at the end. he pointed out that a lot of
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it's a college town a lot of young voters there and a lot of votes in detroit issue are still out, obviously the state's largest city with a large proportion of african and mexican voters. this is a real shock for the clinton campaign. even in michigan they were so confident that hillary clinton didn't go to visit there since her convention until a couple days ago. >> nancy cordes thank you. in the state of georgia, cbs is the winner. another battle ground state calls, although georgia has been a reliably republican state in past presidential elections. >> now donald trump is getting very close to the 270 that he needs to win the presidency. he is at 244. hillary clinton 197. ands as you know 270 again
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headquarters tonight. major. >> so scott and norah, over the last three or four days donald trump has worked at break neck pace. five, six rallies a day going to battle ground states drawing enormous crowds, crowds that sometimes would wait six or seven hours for him to show up. if there's one thing that people close to donald trump have told me through the this campaign it is this. that all the polling modeling for this election would be off, skewed in the wrong direction, not capturing the voters who are shin the trump -- rallies and the trump people were certain would show up to vote. anyone who stands in line for seven hours to not see a concert and not be fed is going to show up at a polling booth and cast a ballot. it is that underlying assumption that in more than one battle ground state has proven to be true. when we arrived in michigan over the weekend and there was a crowd of 10,000 people waiting for donald trump, they were
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relentlessly through his speech and i thought to myself a rally in sterling heights michigan organized in less than 24 with this kind of crowd he may have a chance in michigan. he may not win michigan but those were visible in rallies in wisconsin, pennsylvania, certainly in florida and north carolina. one last point. if there was one application of a previously successful republican presidential campaign that trump took on board it is that was that theory. drive up the republican vote in the reddish part of each and every battleground states. don't worry about the suburbs so much but go with the republican votes totals are richest, plentiful and drive that autopsy as best you can. rural areas of north carolina, florida, pennsylvania, wisconsin. that approach may in fact be vindicated in the not too distant future.
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perfectly major garrett. donald trump is now just 26 votes away from winning the presidency. let's look at those three blue states, that blue wall that donald trump homes to pierce tonight. first the state of wisconsin. the badger state. >> that's 10 electoral votes. >> that is 10 electoral votes and we have wisconsin now as edge republican. in the state there's wisconsin and as you can see the margin there, votes still being counted and we give that edge republican. pennsylvania. >> people are watching basically in will walk e county and deign county. watching them as they watch fairfax county and virginia and just democrats are hoping that in those two places, the democratic vote comes home. but right now it looks like
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>> pennsylvania, the keystone state. the clinton campaign had felt confident about the state of pennsylvania. 20 electoral votes. that is at this hour a toss up, the state of pins. pins-- pennsylvania. then the state of michigan which donald trump made a late play for, state of michigan 16 electoral votes and at this hour michigan is >> we started with 13 battle ground states this evening that could go either way. now there are only six and the remaining three include arizona which we still estimate as a toss up but donald trump does have a numerical lead there right now. there is nevada which we have estimated leans democratic. that could change but hillary
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now. and then finally new hampshire which we estimate is a toss up still. donald trump slightly ahead in the vote count there with 68% of the vote having been counted at this point. bob schieffer. >> well, i mean this could come down to new hampshire with its four electoral votes. but there are many ways now, not many but a number of ways now that donald trump could get to 270. and you know, you look at wisconsin ten votes, pennsylvania, 20 votes, michigan 16 votes. that would do it for him. >> john, is it possible at this point because it has never been true until now that donald trump has more paths to the whitehouse than hillary clinton does. >> it looks like it because again if arizona goes in the trump category as history would
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and win conson she has to hold on to wisconsin and pennsylvania. those are places he is putting pressure on her that hillary clinton has to hold. so if you were just to vantage by where the vote is now, it looks like he's got the edge in terms of the possible pathways to the end. >> and michigan would do it. >> michigan and wisconsin would do it. pennsylvania. >> either one of them. >> the crashed because there's been so many inquiries about moving to canada. it reminds me of brexit vote happened. i never lied to you bob schieffer. >> i have to check my sources. >> it reminds me of when the
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in this country that are very happy with this outcome. >> that should not be overlooked. he has a huge following and his message rest nated from the very beginning. >> just to go back to something that was being talked about earlier with charlie. this is not only, in the night goes donald trump's way, this is not only a victory for his theory of the country not only a victory for him and the people who support him but kind of a cultural victory we did it our way. and it looked paying off. and that's affirming at a kind of tear leve deeper level than . >> this is a vote against washington. that's what this is. >> we're going to go inside those numbers in wis conson now which is of course a toss up. anthony mason will have more from the exit polls in wisconsin, how it's going there and how that mote might end up by the end of the night.
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>> back now with election night on cbs. at this hour donald trump has opened a significant lead over hillary clinton. her pathways to the whitehouse have begun to dramatically narrow. anthony sal, show me how donald trump wins. >> well pennsylvania is still in play.
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michigan, all of these states. wisconsin is still in play. all of these states with extra padding to go would get him up over the 270 he needs, scott. >> what path does hillary clinton still have. >> she's still got a chance in pennsylvania and all these states we haven't projected yet. then she would have to go and get nevada. >> that's steel not enough. >> that's still not enough. she's got to hang on to minnesota and new hampshire too. show stilshe still has a states that are at least toss ups but i'll tell you it's not a good sign because if she were doing well tonight, these stages would have been projected blue. they are reliably blue in other elections earlier. >> so donald trump is winning or at least holding hillary clinton off in states we would have called hours ago for the democrats in another election. >> exactly. in fact if you wanted, i can take you inside a couple of these states and i'll give you a hint as to why. do you want to stop.
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break right now. we'll be right back with all of the latest information. it's election night on cbs. i'm reginald roundtree. and i'm dion lim. let's get straight to the board... here's a look at how the popular vote for president is going.. tight race with donald trump in the lead. and here's a look at the electoral vote .. again trump has the lead, but it's still too early to call. but -- the markets are already reacting.. noah pransky joins us in the studio. reacting.. noah pransky joins us in the studio. we know florida, especially the i-4 we know florida,
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corridor... is crucial for the presidential election. here's a quick reminder of the way the state voted. and, we're breaking down who the bay area chose for president. 10 news reporter garin flowers joins us reporter garin flowers joins us live in studio and
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swayed in one direction? dion, it wasn't even close. the bay area was all about donald the bay area was all about donald trump for this election. if you take a look at the red on the screen, almost every county in our area voted trump. that includes polk, citrus, pasco, pinellas, manatee and sarasota. the only one that voted for hillary clinton, no surprise here, hillsborough county. clinton, no surprise here, hillsborough county. but, losing pinellas was a bit of a surprise. here's an interesting fact for you.for the 2008 and 2012 elections.presiden t barack obama won both pinellas and hillsborough, the rest were red. so, very similar to hillsborough, the rest were red. so, very similar to this current election.except hillary clinton lost in pinellas. many are celebrating the amendment 2's passing. including some local moms. they say medical marijuana makes a "life altering difference" in their children's lives. supporters gathered in tampa tonight... including a local
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over the years. "renee petro's son"-- brandon suffers from a rare, and extreme form of epilepsy. outspoken for years on the issue... fighting to get it passed, she says her tears-- were tears of joy for other floridians. # amendment 2 will broaden access to medical marijuana to people with a wider range of conditions. the night's not
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. >> welcome back to cbs news election night coverage. it is a white-knuckles kind of night. donald trump, and you can see doing very well tonight. most of the united states is a swath of red tonig particular state because we started off the night with 13 battleground states. now we're down to six. washington state, cbs news projects hillary clinton as the winner. that will add a number of electoral vote to her tally as washington state is some 12 electoral votes. >> that was expected, though, wasn't it, washington for her? >> yes. now the tally, donald trump 244
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let's look now at close states. in the state of nevada, we are calling that leaning hillary clinton. in wisconsin, cbs news estimates the edge goes to donald trump. in the state of arizona, cbs news is calling this a toss-up at this hour. in michigan, also a toss-up at this and new hampshire, a toss-up. we have in pennsylvania, let's not forget about the keystone state, also a toss-up. >> wisconsin, michigan, and pennsylvania, it's all the same story. the rural vote is coming in for donald trump. it's coming in, not a huge amount in each county, but the counties they all do add up, and the clinton people and democrats are hoping on their big countyezs. and that's true in wisconsin,
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in new hampshire, that's not the case. it's more financial spread out throughout the state. >> wisconsin and michigan were two states that voted -- last time they vote republicans was in the 80, even though several republicans tried to make those contests states in the past. the last time they went for republicans in want 80s. hillary clinton hasn't been to wisconsin during the general election at all. she may be regretting that tonight. >> wisconsin has been a very close state but has-- it's part of the democratic and, you know, now they're going-- when we do the lookback on tho campaign, democrats are going to say, you know, why didn't she spend more time there? you know, in michigan, barack obama didn't go back after july, and they must thought it would be equally as durable for them. >> pelley: and charlie rose is standing by now with our political panel. charlie. >> i'm here with peggy noonan, and jamelle bouie, and ben dominic. tell me what you think is happening here because it is
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having 270. >> all right. it's epic. it is surprising. it is, to my mind, what i think i'm seeing is a kind of uprising, a kind of revolt, a kind of push-back. against the elites, the establishments of both parties. there is a sense of-- there's protected people in america, and unprotected people, and the unprotected just pushed back in a way historic. >> reporter: more than political parties, more than elections, a movement, and the fact they are backing mr. trump when they don't necessarily back him personally. it says it's a movement. >> after the civil war there was reconstruction. and reconstruction, black americans and black americans attempted to build a new kind of south. what happened after reconstruction was angry recalcitrant whites pushed back. they retook their governments
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lasted up until the 20th century. we had a second reconstruction in the 1960s. and we had a backlash to that reconstruction. i think the extent to which crump has won, winning a campaign of racism and bigotry, turning out millions of white americans for that campaign, suggests we are living through a kind of second redemption, a push-back against the advance advancement. >> i think it's a p pac lash but i think it's about something that is much more longer running than race. i think it's a rejection of the elet's of both of our political parties. in the past-- no, i think that it's-- it's longer running than merely a reaction to the election of the first black american president. i think it's much more about a reaction to the fact that we had, under bush and obama, policies that did not benefit these people. that they did not see as benefiting themselves. and i think they're rejecting both of those party elites. i think that's why trump came along and was able to take over the republican party with a
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unrepublican. >> we're looking at unified white support for donald trump. unified. among college-educated whites, among working class whites. i don't think this is just a question of poor economic policy for working class whites. >> but clearly they're dissatisfied with the obama agenda, and it's something they don't view as satisfying their needs. barack obama expanded medicaid dramatically, and a lot of these white working class communities, under the idea it would both help them but give them a vested interest in re-electing the democratic party. th with kansas" problem. clearly that didn't work. >> reporter: peggy? >> i'm thinking what is it like in the white house tonight? the president of the united states will, if trends continue, if mr. trump is elected tonight, i think experience this as a rebuke, as america almost saying, "we thought you'd bring us together. you didn't. and now we've taken the surprising decision and really
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history." >> reporter: let us say very clearly here, this is as tight as it could be. donald trump is in the lead. he needs 26 more electoral vote to get to 270. he is not there. there are too many undecideds right now, nor is hillary clinton. take it back now to scott and norah. >> pelley: charlie, thank you. let's take a quick look at exactly where the race stands right now. let's have a look at the electoral college map. charlie just mentioned that donald trump has 244 shy of the 270 needed to win. hillary clinton, as you can see there, 209. the blue states we've estimated for clinton, the red states we have estimated for donald trump. the states in white are the ones that are still too close to call. >> we want to go now to wisconsin, because cbs news has a new estimate. we are saying that wisconsin is
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does that mean? >> that means he's getting even closer than he was. if he wins and pennsylvania and anything else, basically-- pennsylvania, wisconsin, or pennsylvania and michigan, pennsylvania and iowa, that would him to 270. yeah, i. >> if he wins wisconsin, and arizona behaves as it is supposed to, then it's at the end of his fintertips. he can do it with michigan, pennsylvania, new hampshire, maine, so it's-- his path-- those six paths that kellyanne conway was talking about earlier tonight, he has six paths. >> he already has gotten iowa. i miscalled that. >> pelley: what would hillary clinton have to do to win at this point? >> she would have to have her big population centers come in, in michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin, and then if she loses wisconsin, she'd have to win michigan, pennsylvania, new hampshire, and maine to hold him off. >> pelley: she would nearly
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>> yeah. >> pelley: but she has a shot. >> that's true. >> well, to the extent-- >> 61 away. she only needs 61. so-- >> and her shot is the urban vote coming in, and she does better than expected. >> yes. at the moment it looks like it's not-- i mean, it looks like it's going to be-- she has a better chance of doing that in michigan than wisconsin. i mean heft shot, of course, would be to hold all those states, wisconsin, michigan, and pennsylvania, but that does not look like it will happen. >> i don't think she without pennsylvania. let's take a look at pennsylvania because pennsylvania is biggest prize still left on the table with 20 electoral votes, and with just about qorp% of the vote, 84% of the vote in-- or more, i can't see that far-- based on my computer, 90% of the vote in, it is neck and neck, according to what i'm seeing. we're talking about a vote difference of just about 10,000. >> pelley: out of five million cast. >> out of five million cast.
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so this is-- if you're a clinton person watching this, the numbers are going in the wrong direction for you. now, there's still some out in bucks county, which is a county that can bring in some more votes. but you're not-- you want the numbers t to be going in the otr direction. >> one of the big surprises of the night is wisconsin. >> pelley: absolutely, and anthony mason is looking at the exit poll information that we've accumulated in wisconsin. anthony, what is it telling us? >> yes, scott, disappointing trends for democrats in hillary clinton is winning young people, 46% to 39%. but four years ago, obama got 60% of young people in wisconsin. as you can see, 11% of this has bled to third-party candidates, but a serious underperform asbestos here by hillary clinton among young voters and also among independent voters. barack obama won independents by two point in wisconsin four years ago, donald trump is winning them by five points today. and again, third-party
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so significant underperformance here for the democrats in these two places. >> pelley: you know, there might be another factor that we haven't talked about, and that is it's a little bit intangible, but it's extremely rare for the american people to grant one party three terms in the white house in a row. it's very, very rare. >> it's only happened once, since the 22nd amendment in 1947. >> and that was reagan-reagan-bush. >> george herbert walker bush. the other thing in history that for is traditionally presidential models when the approval rating of the president is above 50%, it helps the incumbent party. president obama's approval rating is at 51, i think is the average. it's not helping. it particularly isn't helping in michigan, where the african american vote is not turning out enough to beat the trump insurgency. >> the very thing that peggy raised in your panel, charlie, she said i wonder what the white house singling tonight?
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the phone calling radio stations in michigan, in pennsylvania, in florida, encouraging people to go out and vote. i remember sitting at the congressional black caucus dinner where he gave a very impassioned plea and said i would be insulted -- it would be an insult to my legacy. at one point, even, when he was on the campaign trail said, listen, you know, if you care about what we've done in this white house, think of this as a vote for this to continue. and it seems tonight that voters are sending a very different message. >> they are they're sick of the establishment. washington has done nothing for the last five or six years. >> do they like donald trump, bob? >> i think that's part of it. i think that's part of it. but i think mostly it's people are sick of nothing happening. >> it's also interesting that having the first woman president may not have been as powerful a factor in this circumstance as we might have imagined. >> is it a woman president,
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president to be hillary clinton? what do you think? because i think the country seemed to be ready fair woman president. you look at susan b. anthony's grave site today-- >> gray with that. yes, of course,. >> but back to-- but back to bob's point-- >> a moment to make history. >> when people were worried about donald trump's temperament and judgment, and i would talk to trump voters and say to them, "do you worry about his temperament and judgment?" and they said, "maybe but you know i don't care because i want the and if it's dismantled then we'll figure out things out. but the system's never worked for me so the nice ets and judgments never worked for me so let's try to disruption." >> i would like to see a businessman in the office to see what he can do. if his business is so successful, who knows what he can do for the country. >> pelley: at the rate of data is coming in at this point we
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in the next 30 minutes or so. you're looking at the battleground state, the states in blurk hillary clinton. the states in red, donald trump. in the remaining state, donald trump has numeric leads in just about all of them. very slender leadses, maybe 10,000, 20,000 votes out of millions cast, but he does have slender leads in just about all of those remaining states. major garrett watch party tonight. major. >> i'm sorry, scott, yes. one of the interesting things about this phenomenon that is playing out before the entire nation is the donald trump campaign and led always by donald trump, the single most important force within his campaign, him throughout, is that he can do this without the regular support of the republican establishment. he has been at odds with the speaker of the house, paul ryan.
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this will give ryan and trump some bit of business to take care of, if in fact these trend lines continue and donald trump becomes president-elect of the united states. he fought with other senators, lindsey graham, who was a rifleav him. george w. bush didn't vote for him. george h.w. bush, we are told, did not vote for him. this estrangement trump had was always believed to be a weakness. he always believed it was a core strength and a manifestation of what he most represented to those who supported him from the very beginning, that he was against the structure of power as it existed in washington, and more importantly, how those voters who felt left behind by that power structure viewed it. one last thing about trump and this orientation to his supporters. if i heard one thing said about donald trump repeatedly in the 16 months i've been on the road,
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and for lots of meshes who told pollsters for years and years and years they're frustrated about campaign finance or they think the system is someone corrupted by too much money, they decided to stop waiting for legislative remedies or a constitutional amendment. they just put someone or put their support behind someone who they believe, because of his wealth, and because of his understanding of the system having once been a donor but now an outsider of his own, couldn't bought and wouldll not anybody else's. >> pelley: major garrett really do a magnificent job covering the trump campaign from day one. we're going to take a break but before we do, there's some more votes coming in, and they are the votes of wall street. have a look at the dow. they are down at this moment 840 points. that's almost 4.6%. those are the dow futures as they stand right now.
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moment. we will break in with any late development coming right up.
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>> it is quite a night on this election night and we want to go straight to some of the battleground states. first, the keystone state of pennsylvania with more than 90%
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toss-up. it is a must-win state for hillary clinton. in the state of michigan, with 70% of the vote in, you can see, look at that, just about 20,000 votes separate the two candidates. as to-up. and in wisconsin, with about almost 80% of the vote in, also just about 100,000 votes, less than 100,000 votes separating those two john. >> it's just amazing to watch these-- i mean, in pennsylvania now, as i look at tit's about 2,000 votes that separates the two of them. >> pelley: out of five million cast. for those of you who sat at home thinking my vote doesn't count. wrong again. >> and so here we're watching this enormous country, all of this collective behavior, and it's coming down to, you know, a hand full of votes in these states to determine who the next
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was here at the table, and he said, "listen, i am the poster child of close elections. of he said he won his election by 312 votes. he said let that be a lesson, a warning to anybody who,s, "it doesn't make a difference if i go and vote." it's moments like this that show yes, it makes a big difference. >> the florida of 2000 is now pennsylvania. >> charlie rose is standing by with our election panel tonight. charlie. >> we're with michael gersen michelle noris and ruth marcus. as yogi berra said it's not over until it's over, we can't repeat that enough, but donald trump is leading in enough states to get him to 270. so i raise this question-- what if donald trump becomes president? >> well, people concerned about that need to remember that we have strong institutions in america, strong legislative branch, strong judicial branch, and a balance of power system where the president doesn't get
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power on the international stage, and this is someone who the russians wanted to have elected, may have actually helped to get elected. and someone that our alliance-- people in our alliance structure are very afraid about what's going to happen. he's going to have to reassure them. so there are going to be a lot, on the international side, a lot of immediate implications. >> reporter: michelle. >> you know, but there are checks and balances but if we have a republican in the white house and a republican te don't sort of have that modulating pressure, perhaps, on someone who is rewarded for being taught, who is rewarded per being piewj listic, who is elected by 25% of his supporters who said they cannot care for his judgment but they elected him anyway. can he bring people together and figure out how to deal with this deep, wide, roiling chasm that woo vein this country?
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about the resilience and strength of the other branches of government, but i'm really worried that he's not. why would we think that republicans in congress, who were not willing to denounce and reject donald trump when he said outrageous things about gold star families and mexican rapists and everything else, would be willing to reject him when he is inhabiting-- if he is-- the most powerful position in the land? yes, the courts exercise a check, but he is going to be able, if he is elected president, to nominate a reem and cement a conservative-leaning majority on the court. and he's awfully powerful in military affairs. >> reporter: thank you, ruth. there's so much more to come. we'll be right back after this
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. >> well, this is one kind of a night as we are waiting to announce the 45th president of the united states. a number of battleground states
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we'll have much more as cbs news coverage of election night continues. and take a look at the numbers. scott. >> pelley: well, let's have a look at the electoral vote map once again. hillary clinton 209 electoral votes, donald trump 24, well within striking distance of the 270 he needs to become the states. red states for trump, blue states for clinton. and the white states are those that are just too close to call. this is really hinging now, folks, on pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, arizona, minnesota. there are several pathways now for donald trump to win this election. many fewer for hillary clinton. john dickerson. >> a couple thousand votes still in pennsylvania.
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moving away from hillary clinton. michigan, the difference between-- in the vote there is about 24,000 votes there in michigan. >> in favor of-- >> in favor of donald trump. so where it's wisconsin, michigan, and pennsylvania. >> let's talk about pennsylvania in particular, you noted, it looks like it is moving away from hillary clinton. >> pennsylvania is close. it's wisconsin that's moving away. >> okay. >> and wisconsin, donald trump is up by about 80-some-odd thousand votes. and the problem for hillary clinton you still have milwaukee county out, that's a heavily democratic area, but the question is can enough votes come in there? the way this night is going, to make up that deficit? >> pelley: all of these polls that we were look at going into election night showed hillary clinton or donald trump up by
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the margin of error. it was always possible that this would go either way. >> yes, but what seemed unlikely is that it would all-- each one would tip trump all the way through. so that's why when we have the big discussion about whether the pollsters got it all wrong or not, that's one area where maybe something was missed, and we'll have to see. >> so right now, john, it can go either way, but as you look at the map, what do you think is the likely outcome? >> well-- >> i realize it way. >> but given the way the night has worked, given the places and ways in which crump is-- has been successful tonight and given what's left outstanding, wisconsin and pennsylvania look very jittery. i mean, and michigan, too. and so he's-- he's won a lot of the states that-- the flags have been tipping in his direction. so if that continues -- >> and there's arizona as well. >> arizona, which i don't think-- i think given the way the night is going, arizona will
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>> arizona and wisconsin could be 21. you only need five. >> isn't it ironic here starting the evening saying if donald trump wins, he's basically got to run the table of all those battleground states. now, hillary clinton has to run the table if she's going to win. >> with less room. >> she's 61 votes away. it's just-- everything this year is upside down. >> and, again, we've got-- while we're here waiting for the votes to come in, i mean this-- donald trump made an basically assuming all the smart people in politics were totally wrong and repeatedly he kept the gamble going down on his own, and this is an enormous thing that he has done. he bested 16 republicans in his primary. and he's run the table. running the table is not an easy thing to do. and that's waihee has debate so far. >> pelley: he was right, and we will have the rest of election night. we will be making an estimate about president of the united states probably in the next half hour.
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24,44, well within striking distance of the 270 he needs to win. what's outstanding. pennsylvania. cbs news has not been able to make an estimate there. it's still a toss-up. look at that vote count.
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votes in pennsylvania after five million were cast. michigan, having a look at that now. look how squeaky tight that is. donald trump just ahead of hillary clinton in michigan. arizona, still considered by cbs news to be a toss-up. donald trump slightly ahead. now let's have a look at nevada. nevada is leaning, in our estimate, toward hillary but not by a great deal. and new hampshire, donald trump and hillary clinton essentially tied there. it is a toss-up. this is a review of the 13 battleground states at the beginning of the night might have gone either way. the red states have gone for trump, the blue for hillary clinton. and those remaining states you see right there in all but one of them, donald trump has a lead
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>> hold on-- >> ufs just looking in pennsylvania, it looks like lebanon is out, and that's about-- mitt romney won that 63% to 35% in 2012. so in pennsylvania, where it's very close, you've got a county that looks like it's out, nothing's been reported yet. that should be a strong county for republicans. >> pelley: and by "out" you mean it hasn't been reported yet. >> yes, yes. >> all right, in nevada, we a call. cbs news projects hillary clinton will win the state of nevada when all of the votes are counted. this is a state that the clinton campaign felt strongly they would do well in, in part because of the early vote and the sizable hispanic population. but nevada has just six electoral votes. >> but that puts her within 55 of 270. >> are you good at math, bob schieffer. 55 and one more we can cross off
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battleground states. and we do think that perhaps in the next half hour we will be able to call who is the 45th president of the united states. we should check in with our correspondents who have been covering these two candidates for more than a year. let's check in first with major garrett who has been covering the trump campaign. major, it sounds look a celebratory mood there. >> yeah, they're feeling very, very good here at the trump campaign headquarters. you'll probably applause behind me as various projections come through. certainly, the trump inner circle feels better than they felt the entire night. they see numerous paths to 270 to make donald trump the next president-elect of the united states. i will tell you this-- in the last week to week and a half, everyone associated in the inner circle of donald trump's campaign told me the following, that if this breaks, if there is a collective sense that donald trump is the change agent, that the country says it wants, it will break late, and it will
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all of the narrow states. and it won't necessarily be detected by exit polls or polling data. it was that central hunch, i've called it the great hunch repeatedly on cbsn, that is beginning to be borne out by the votes of americans in all or nearly all of the battleground states. that there would be this psychological sense that it was worth taking the chance on donald trump as not only an agent of change, but someone who would bring a stronger sense terrorism, dealing with the global economy, meaning globalization, and disrupt the word i heard over and over on the campaign trail, disrupt the washington order. that appears to be what's going on. the sense that that collective psychology might take hold appears to be on the target. >> major garrett, thank you. it is late into the night. nancy cordes he's been at the clinton watch party. and, nancy what, is the mood like there? >> reporter: norah, it's like
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holding their breath. it's almost entirely silent here. no one thought that this race would be coming down to a state like wisconsin. and here's why. back in 2012, president obama won that state by seven points. in 2008, he won it by 14 points. michigan, another state that's too close to call right now, president obama won in 2012 by 10 points. and just for fun, i was looking back at some of the articles that have been in wisconsin newspapers in the past few sosee what they were saying about this race, and get a load of this headline from earlier today,"hillary clinton hoping to win wisconsin without setting foot in the state." the article says it was-- she's the first major party nominee not to visit the state during the general election since 1972. the fact that it is so close tells me two things. first of all, that trade was an even bigger issue in some of these midwestern states than the
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trump's signature issues. it also shows, frankly, that a lot of wisconsin democrats probably didn't believe that their own state was a battleground state. they may have grown complacent because the clinton campaign wasn't treating wisconsin like a battleground state. a lot of voters may have thought that they didn't need to, either. >> all right, nancy cordes. thank you. we should take a look at the toorm map right now, because donald trump leadses with 244 electoral vote. hillary electoral votes. that means that donald trump is just 26 vote away from the presidency. we've still got five states on the map. >> it could still go either way. i can just throw this on the table, regardless of how this turns out tonight, as you point out, bob, as we've all said, it could go either way, shouldn't he be congratulated or somebody just say what he's done is extraordinary.
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candidates. it's now election night. it's gone right down to the wire, and we still don't know, after midnight, we still don't know how this is going to turn out. if you were a supporter of donald trump, or he wasn't your candidate, what he's accomplished is extraordinary. extraordinary. >> pelley: it's a remarkable feat. few of the pollsters would have expected anything like this. >> i don't know any pollster that predicted this. >> pelley:ion of the washingt this, and yet he has essentially done, or is about to do, exactly what he said he would do. >> is this, scott, is this a victory for the republican party or is this a victory for some new party? is this the victory for the trump party? i mean, where does the republican party go? we talking about if trump lost, would the republican party survive? well, the republican party--
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the new york times today calling for a new party. >> sure, there will be some calling for a new party. there will be some who see a parade in front of which they now want to run and will try to join in. and there were those who tried to keep their distance from donald trump, who will now join in. and he will, if he becomes the president, if this roll he is on continues, he will need the help of other republicans. >> what about the democratic party? is the democratic party going to survive this? it's not like years lately. >> pelley: donald trump will be the leader of the republican party and he will remake it in his own image, if he chooses to. it will be interesting. >> it will certainly abe different republican party than we've known about in the past. starting with it will me longer be a party for free tray'd trade. >> he thinks of it as more than a party. he thinks of it as a movement. he compared himself to brexit. >> yes. >> pelley: as you might
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tonight, and our elaine quijano is keeping up with that. elaine. >> scott, one of the most popular hashtags is right now is #draintheswamp. deplorable josh tweets. i've never been more proud to be a deplorable. i i think all my fellow deplorables, #drain the swamp. #election night. another one, also from a trump supporter tweets, the silent majority stands with donald trump. #drain the democrats for trump. the establishment is panicking. #drain the swamp. lock them all up. at the same time, we have others tweeting under the hashtag america is over party. one of them reading, if you voted trump. you voted trump. if you voted third party. you voted trump. if you didn't vote, you voted trump. so, scott and norah, just a sampling of some of the reactions that we're seeing
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>> all right, elaine quijano. we are waiting on calls in a number of these states that are going to decide this election. john, what state are you looking at? >> remember when i was talking about lebanon county being out, meaning the votes had not been counted yet there in pennsylvania. it was once a 2,000-person race. donald trump was ahead by 2,000 votes. he's now ahead by 26,000 votes. lebanon has come in. >> pelley: he is beginning to pull away, john, as you say in and he is now leading in the remaining five states. he only needs two or three to win the presidency tonight. and we will be following that for you, and we will break in at any moment that we are able to make an estimate about one of these remaining states. but in the meantime, russia has come up again and again in this campaign. the clinton campaign accusing russia of hacking their
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and so we sent our elizabeth palmer to moscow to monitor the reaction to the election there. liz. >> reporter: good morning. well, the sun's just come up here in moscow. and russians are getting out of bed to discover that donald trump has a plausible path to the white house. that's going to go down very well here. people generally think of trump as a man that russia can cobusiness with. has praised president putin's leadership style. and so russians, who would like better relation wgz the world, they want an end to sanctions, hope this may lead to less aggression between russia and the u.s. now, the kremlin, you can probably see the kremlin towers behind me, president putin and his insiders probably up all night watching the results come
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and he has made it clear he will work with whoever wins the white house. but he may still be hoping that these results bring some kind of discord in the united states because basically, he still sees the owz as an opponent, and anything that weakens it, strengthens the kremlin. scott, norah. >> pelley: elizabeth palmer in moscow for us tonight. bob schieffer, did you ever think you'd hear that? >> well, i can tell you, i haven't had time to do yet, but i think moscow is going to be one of the few places this isn't going to be greeted with enthusiasm. i think it's going to create a lot of worry in the capitals of the world. i think the japanese are going to-- they're going to-- they're going to wonder what happens next? can they count on the united states? i think south korea is going to have problem about this. and all across western europe. this-- this is going to come as a surprise around the world.
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>> well, yeah, i wouldn't even know how to assess that. i guess they'll like it in syria, but we'll see where this goes. >> pelley: we don't want to venture very far from the electoral map. let us show you again. this is exactly where the race stands right now. donald trump very close to being the 45th president of the united states, with 244 electoral votes, 270 needed to win. hillary clinton at 215. there are five swing states still out, and donald trump is leading by tiny margins in all five. >> in pennsylvania, in particular, which has been the keystone state and a key part of her strategy in order to win the presidency, it appears now that he is opening up a bit of a lead in pennsylvania. john, can hillary clinton win without pennsylvania? >> no. i mean, not-- especially not the way michigan and wisconsin are
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where's she can get her vote just aren't-- there's nothat much left of her vote in those big areas. >> did she under perform obama in philadelphia? all the talk was if she ran up the vote tally essentially in philadelphia, which is why she had that huge rally there with jon bon jovi, with bruce springsteen, the president of the united states, the first lady, was to energize that because pennsylvania has no early vote. >> barack votes, she got 550,000, only 2,000 votes more than barack obama. and so she didn't-- she did better than -- she did better in some of those counties. so, yes, it looks like she did not do-- big increase on what he had done. >> pelley: the presidency in the balance. stay with us. we will be back in just a moment
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with 12 hour aleve. >> pelley: back now with election night on cbs. sunshine we've been away, nothing has changed. ( laughter ) >> but it will. >> pelley: let's have a look at the electoral vote now.
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distance. five swing states are still up for grabs, and donald trump is leading by slight margins in all five. john dickerson, as you go through the exit poll information and all the vote coming in, how did he do it? >> well, i'm still looking at that, scott. it's in different ways in different states. he-- you know, part of it is that-- if you look at a state like obama-- 13% of the electorate in 2012 was african american in pennsylvania. so now it's only 10%. so hillary clinton's vote didn't turn out a little. his vote did turn out. then you've got in florida, north carolina, you've got gary johnson, the libertarian candidate, got 7% of the vote, took some of the millennial vote, which was up in north carolina, but because johnson was taking it, hillary clinton, it looks like didn't grab as much of the millennial vote in
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me, with white college educated voters did not exist. donald trump beat her with that group by 20 point. whereas in a state like pennsylvania, she's up by 20 points with college-educated white women. it's a bit of-- some of it is idiosyncratic to the state, but basically in the rural areas he boosted his support-- >> i think there are two big factors. >> the hispanic vote? >> i think there are two big factors here. the first factor is seven outf 10 voters are angry, dissatisfied, sick of government. number one thing. number two, amongst nearly every age group, blacks, hispanics, independents, she under-performed barack obama. so the clinton campaign had talked about that she would build a new kind of coalition, different than the obama coalition. it is a different coalition. and she wasn't able to replicate the obama coalition of 2012. >> pelley: i was talking to african american voters in cleveland, and i said, "do you
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for obama?" and they were telling me no. "i hope we have a big turnout, but i don't feel the groundswell." >> which is why president obama made such a push to black voarpts in a personal appeal saying you have knot to get out and vote. >> charlie rose is with the political analysis. >> we're with lesley san chelz, and ruth marcus of the "washington post." this is more than a national election. >> aol certainly in the republican party, they feel this is an epic-- certainly historic global event, especially when you combine it with brexit, which was very much a big part of donald trump's argument. he's also talking about the fact-- and norah was talk this-- in the bug cities you saw the democratic machine turn out but we whatwe see now is an avalanche of rural voters, small cities, the suburbs, the exushes that turned out in a bag way for
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>> there's a saying that ideas don't run for president. people do. i think in this election, you had two very controversial people. and ultimately, you saw the motivating factor for hillary clinton's voters, among the barack obama's constituencies, the younger voters, minority communities, et cetera, not be as much of a motivating factosh as the motivation of trump supporters, both for him and against her. >> ruth. >> i know you don't want to hear this word, but i'm going to have to say it could be donald trump wins tonight and hillary clinton concedes, but if things are close in enough state, it's very possible we could enter the 2016 version of a recount, which is recounting provisional ballots. it probably is not going to happen but it definitely could. >> ben, i have to go to break. we'll be right back. more from cbs news election
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>> pelley: it's election night on cbs. let's go right to the board that shows us where the race is right now. this is the electoral vote. hillary clinton 215, donald trump 244. he is well within striking distance of becoming the 45th president of the united states. this is the popular vote.
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vote by about 1 million vote. we'll be back shortly with more election night on cbs. on cbs and we are back. we are watching five state that are going to tell us who the next president of the united states will be. arizona, michigan, new hampshire, pennsylvania, wisconsin, all too close to call. but cbs news estimates that arizona and wisconsin are both leaning toward donald trump. those two will not get him to 270. he'll need one of the other remaining states, but certainly, he has a much easier path now to the white house than hillary clinton. >> he does, indeed. and i think one of the first states to look at is pennsylvania because that's
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left on the map with 20 electoral votes. and you can see that the margin in that state has widened a bit in donald trump's favor. why is that, john? what counties are coming in? >> it's basically because, again, of that-- that lebanon county, which hadn't-- which wasn't counted at all, and now he's up there by 20,000 votes. that's part of it. and then you add in all those little counties, is strong there, and for hillary clinton. the only thing that's really it's only county that's not come in, is bucks county. and that's one where there are only 84% of the vote is in from there but she's only beating him by 2,000 vote. >> can she win without pennsylvania now? >> i don't believe so, no. no. no. well, again, bob, it depend if
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if she loses michigan and wisconsin, then-- >> suppose he gets wisconsin, arizona, and new hampshire? does that do it? >> who, hillary clinton? >> no. >> no, donald trump. >> donald trump only needs 26 votes. so-- >> therefore wisconsin is 10, arizona is 21, and new hampshire would be-- >> arizona is 11. >> that's 21, and he would need new hampshire on top of that. >> which is. >> four. so 25. it's still-- he'sti rack up a number of votes there, and that's why pennsylvania is so key because it's a big vote prize. it's a big vote prize of 20 electoral votes. but interestingly, as you know, we have shown you multiple times throughout the night our decision desk. we have a team of people over there that right now that are crunching every single number, and we are trying to be so careful. this because it this election is so close. we don't want to make a call without making sure all of the
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time. remember, people vote-- the vote comes in a little slower. and with it this close, we are being extremely meticulous about that. we take this responsibility very seriously he were at cbs news. and so we've got the best people working on it. you wouldn't believe the amount of numbers on these screens that they are crunching to making sure that the right call is made. >> but the counties that are outstanding, john, in pennsylvania, are they leaning more towards donald trump or hillary clinton? >> no, they're leaning-- well, the ones, again, as i say bucks coty seems as i twirl through here. most of the big blue counties that would be her vote, mongomry, delaware, philadelphia, they're 98% in. bucks is the only one in that mix that's not in. it's 84% but that's not a big vote getter for her. >> melania trump made one stop after the convention, after being accused of plagarizing michelle obama, was it chester county? is donald trump winning chester county? zeal that answer right after
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with 244. the red states for trump, blue states for clinton. the white states are those we have not been able to make an estimate because the race is too close to call. the polls have just closed in the last state, and that is in alaska. but while these states that you
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call, donald trump is leading new mercally by small margins in all five. >> this is something from the exit poll. 73% of voters say they made up their mind over a month ago which means the access hollywood tape made very little difference, neither did the f.b.i. hillary clinton email controversy. so seems the cake was already baked. if you were for hillary clinton or donald trump a month it's still that. there was so much speculation about the ups and downs of the campaigns, switching people's minds, that doesn't seem to be the case. >> everyone at home has their note pads doing the math to the different path to victory. let's go to the states to give everyone the latest tally in those states we've yet to call. we'll start first with the battlegrounds which we can show you there. one state not on this
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that in a moment. first, through these browns battlegrounds tonight. pennsylvania, 97% of the vote in the biggest electoral prize still left there. michigan, donald trump has a slight lead there. wisconsin, hillary clinton did not visit the state since the primary, donald trump did, spent money there, it benefited him. arizona, hillary clinton,he gold water girl originally hoped to make a play there but donald trump leaning in the state of arizona. new hampshire at this hour a tossup. those are the states still left on the map. the one state we've not talked about in a bit as we were all trying to do the math here is new hampshire. another one of these states that the clinton campaign had felt comfortable about, had assumed it was in the democratic column,
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tossup, according to cbs news. >> i remember a conversation with john and he said he talked to the trump people and said why are you going to minnesota? >> again, in the stories we look back on this campaign, the trump people had a different set of data. it was consumer-related data. it was not sort of the normal state of the art political polling, and a lot of the people in the republican circles who looked at the trump polling and it's not the same when you're selling a consumer product as when you're selling a candidate. well, it turns out that the trump people knew something with their special black box of assessing the world, they figured out who their voters were and they figured out how to get to them and it looks like they're getting to them. >> kellyanne conway was just here this morning when we were all here however many hours ago and she said one of the story lines of this campaign will be
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experts were involved in the trump campaign. their director of an littics, social media, people who never worked on a presidential campaign before, pollsters who didn't predict this would happen, that traditional class of consultants and pollsters made a lot of money on these contests winning and losing for their candidates. >> we still don't know anything about maine. >> there are four electoral votes up there and the polls just clo i let's don't forget old alaska up there. >> three electoral votes but those might matter. it might matter. one to have the themes of this campaign has been kind of outsider populist versus the elites. well, that's the message part but it's also grew the campaign in the way it was run, we're going to do it our different way, we're not listening to the specialists and experts, though
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but it was an outsider campaign. >> talking about the special and experts, you can't get more special and expert than the clinton machine. >> right. what does this say if comes down for hillary clinton and donald trump, what does this say went wrong in h her campaign if it doesn't turn out her way this evening? >> if we're taking just about the clinton campaign it's got to be the democrats were not excited about her and they did everything they could with the state-of-the-art, but another cliche of p ground game and structure is good for a field goal but you have to get within a field goal. >> and she has the backing of a president with high approval rates at this time. >> that's right and we haven't seen a connection between an incumbent and challenger like this, even bush and reagan didn't campaign the way these two did. >> i just think that outsider versus insider and those insiders who make a living
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heads saying they got this totally wrong. >> the political science books will get rewritten. >> if my math is right, there is now 67 votes still on the board, still in play here. she needs 55. he needs 26. that shows you how close it is. >> nobody campaigned harder for hillary clinton in many of these swing states in recent weeks than president obama and margaret brennan, is at the white house for us tonight,ma >> well, a crowd gathered here, scott, but the silence from the white house is deafening. president obama argued that the very fate of the republic, his words, hinged on this election, and he was on the stump for his successor more than any other president in modern history. donald trump, a man ehe called uniquely unfit for office, is going to deal obama's historic presidency a serious blow.
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protect his significant achievement obamacare which has been damaged in recent months, pledged to undertake immigration reform, roll out environmental protections and defend that landmark nuclear deal with iran which trump says he's going to tear up. supreme court nominee merrick garland doesn't look like he'll get confirmed, leaving us with a commit supreme court. trump said he'll renegotiate obama's free trade deal with will make it very difficult monday when president obama heads to europe to try to reassure allies that america will stand by their defense particularly considering that trump has made friendly overtures to russia. how is he going to explain this pledge to possibly start a trade deal with china? so this is going to be really difficult for the white house to explain away in the light of day. but president obama said before the polls closed that when the
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the greatest nation on earth. i think it's safe to say he didn't think he would wake up to this kind of result. >> pelley: margaret, sounds like and looks like there is a really large crowd around the white house. what's going on? >> reporter: well, scott, there has been a crowd gathering over the past few hours and it's gotten much, much larger just in the past 30 minutes or so, and you have seen more secret service move towards that front gate of the white house just trying to things under control or watch for any threats. you've got a mix here. you've got "black lives matter" chants, anti-donald trump chants, pro hillary chants, red, white and blue balloons, some singing the american anthem and other patriotic sounds earlier. so it's hard to, in many ways, pull through the gate exactly where sentiment is. it sounds just as confused as
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outcome. >> pelley: margaret, thanks very much. on january 20th, there is going to be a new resident in the most splen did of all public housing in america there on pennsylvania avenue. >> it will be interesting to see the world reaction to this result tonight, however it goes down. especially i think people will be surprised it's gone so down to the wire. secretary kerry was saying the other day parts of this election have been dowht embarrassing. >> i do think it's important to point out this hour, it is 1:10, and the reason we've not made a call is because this race is so close in so many of these states. >> and can still go either way. it can still go either way. and while donald trump has had a very good night, we're still looking very closely at a number of these counties that are coming in and we want to bring you all that data as it becomes available to us. >> it could go either way but
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trump than hillary clinton. >> yes, if you're donald trump and looking at pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, you're seeing states in which the numbers are growing in your favor in those states, and if you couple that with what has happened tonight, you know, the momentum of the moment is with him. so you would rather be donald trump in this scenario. >> and he's leading in the popular vote as well. >> yeah. now, as we talk about all these things, i want to remind you who are watching us right now at these states can be estimated in the favor of one candidate or the other, we will drop what we're doing, we will tell you instantly, you will be the first to know. having said that, charlie rose has some insightful panelists for us to listen to right now. charlie? >> michael gertz, peggy of the "wall street journal" and frank luntz. frank, what do you think? >> this is inconceivable five or
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first, all exit polling should be banned. the fact is the numbers were wrong all the way across the table on state after state after state, the 5:00 p.m. the second wave got it wrong. second, there is still a hidden trump vote. people who refuse to tell pollsters who they voted for will not acknowledge it and i think they will come out of the woodwork tonight. third, how do you address the anger? those are the people who want to tear up, blow up washington. they're going to have to figure out a way to work with them, with the house, the senate. this will be the most chaos we've seen in washington in a long, long time. >> your belief is trump has won? es, i've had a chance to look at the counties, i believe trump will be the next president. >> i think there are, keep this in mind, tens of millions of americans tonight who are experiencing this evening not only as a political event and an historical event, but as a spiritual event.
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they are rebuking a decade establishment that has richly earned a rebuke in 25 different ways. spoke to a friend of mine, major trump supporter this evening, i just spoke to him, i said, how did you react when you realized this was going to happen? he's a tough, hard-boiled guy, he said it was 9:00 p.m. and i burst into tears. he said, this is really going to be something, but he said, it's and leave it there. >> we often saw in this campaign when the focus was on donald trump, his numbers were down, when the focus was on hillary clinton, her numbers went down. my question at this hour of this election day, was this a victory for trump or a loss for hillary clinton? was it about trump or clinton? >> well, i think it's hard to argue that this isn't a victory
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his people came out in the right places and numbers and brought an extraordinary upset, one of the largest in american history. >> the largest political upset in american history if we goes on to win this? >> certainly. biggest since 1948. i have to add this is also a validation of a certain kind of politics, more cruel, more ruthless, more personal than any i've seen in my lifetime. he has a huge burden this election to do some form of outreach to say that this is a single country, and not use, you know, groups to attack in that way. i don't know if he's capable of that, but every president has that and this president more than others. >> if he wins it's not only the biggest political upset of our memory but is it also the most transformative election because
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>> i think that's fair. on foreign policy, this is a total change from the reagan foreign policy. >> it's a change from the bush foreign policy. i mean, it is a removal -- it's almost like kicking away from the past 15 years. and his supporters, i must say, you said -- trump said he would do this and it is a remarkable thing. his supporters, too, all along, said they were going to accomplish what they accomplished tonight. it is quite an >> but the problem is, i've talked to his supporters a lot in the last year, on your show, they want revenge. they don't want cooperation and compromise. >> what does revenge mean? they want to get even with the people in washington and wall street to did them down. >> what do you mean? ith the politician who is didn't listen, with tabis who sent jobs to foreign countries, get even with a society who they
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they think they've lost america and want it back. >> there is also a confidence in the trump government. the dow jones futures are going down and down with great concern of what it means. >> it does feel like brexit. it's a very similar turning of the establishment and then the financial establishment quaking and quivering. we'll see what follows that. >> he won't be able to populate his government with loyalists. he's need republicans to do this. people like senator corker secretary of state that would be reassuring, he could make moves like that. >> what's the possibility this election will be challenged and have months and month of -- >> well, we'll see what kind of a margin we're looking at at the end of the night. if this is close, close, close, looks to me like there may be movement in theiary of questioning certain state outcomes.
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that, i would think it appropriate that it be accepted, and i would kind of expect that, although mrs. clinton is not someone -- she's like trump in that neither of them would be quick to do a concession speech. so we'll see how that goes. >> this is not about them, this is about their voters and their voters are going to protest. we see it tonight in front of the white house. mark my words, tomorrow those protests will grow. >> let me turn it over to scott. as we try to find out are we way closer to a decision we go to scott at the decision desk. >> pelley: this is the decision desk and these are some of america's best political scientists and stat tigs and -- statisticians and vote counters and they are looking at the last few states that are going to make a difference and this is under the direction of anthony salvanto, our director of elections here at cbs. anthony, when we were here about an hour ago, the board looked just like this.
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why don't we know what the votes are in these states yet? >> similar story all across here, scott. it is down to figuring out just how many absentee ballots there are left around detroit and in wayne county, places where hillary clinton has been doing okay, but if she's going to catch donald trump who has a slight lead in the total vote, they will have to to be made up in there. he's doing better than republicans typically do in counties all around >> pelley: and in the remaining states in the upper midwest? >> yeah, it's a similar story in wisconsin where we're looking around milwaukee, we're hearing reports that there are still ballots outstanding, not everything has been counted in and around milwaukee, that is critical. as you see, hillary clinton is winning there. the only question is, are there more ballots there that can help her catch up. >> pelley: winning in milwaukee county but not the state of wisconsin overall.
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for the state if the rest of milwaukee comes in. we have been seeing 99% in, but this is a story we've told all night, which is the turnout is so high throughout so many of these states that not everyone knows exactly how many ballots are still outstanding. >> pelley: now, we've talked about an historic high turnout in florida. >> mm-hmm. >> pelley: have you also seen history-making turnouts in other states or do we know yet? >> yes, there has been high turnout but i tell yout donald trump in that the turnout has been higher in more rural areas, in more ex-urban areas where his voters have been strong. it's not so much a pattern where people are swinging as it is relative to the turnout hillary clinton got in her strongholds. >> pelley: you're seeing a massive turnout of his voters and that's why the math looks like it does right now? >> yep. >> pelley: what do you have to have in order to make estimates in the remaining states?
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remaining. you have to have the rest of them counted in and included in those sounds so that once we can say where a state is going at this point, it's less about models and patterns as it is about a raw vote, when it gets down to tend of the night an it's this close. so once they say, okay, that's it, we're done counting, that's where you can call the state. >> pelley: what is the path for hillary clinton to win at thisnt >> well, she'll have to hang on to pennsylvania, that's going to be extremely narrow if she does, and then all of these states up here. >> pelley: she will have to sweep them? >> she'll have to sweep them. >> pelley: donald trump? what are his paths. >> donald trump has a lot of paths. we expect -- not all the votes are counted in arizona but he has a slight lead there, then he would just need one or two of these other states where they have the slim lead.
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hangs on to the lead, he would go up and over. >> much easier with hillary clinton. donald trump with 244. 270 needed to win. well within striking distance of being the 45th president of the united states. back with the latest vote total information on election night on cbs. cbs. want longer lasting heartburn relief? try...duo fusion duo fusion goes to work in seconds tums only lasts up to 3. for longer lasting one chewable tablet try duo fusion from the makers of zantac if you've gone to extremes to escape your nasal allergies... try clarispray. from the makers of claritin. clarispray provides 24-hour, prescription strength relief from sneezing, runny nose, and nasal congestion. return to the world. try clarispray today. ? my hero zero. ?
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>> this is the closest presidential election i've covered and i did cover the 2012 presidential election. in a number of states, close vote tallies. anthony mason, what are we witnessing tonight? >> we want to look at the exit polls to see what the recipe is for motivating trump voters, and you could remember the 1976 film network and howard behl, i'm mad at hell and not going to take it anymore, it's that kind of coalition because 38% of voters told us they're angry at the federal government, 93% said the country is on the wrong track. 77% said the fight with i.s.i.s. is going badly. 57% said trade is taking jobs away. i remember going back a decade and covering the economy hearing middle class voters in ohio
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protected the rich and poor and forgot about them and in the last 16 years the median income in this country has not moved. that is a recipe for anger: norah. >> anthony mason, thank you. if i could follow up on what anthony said, one of the things that united the trump voters is 77% said they want that wall, something he announced on the first ride down the escalator 500-plus days ago, they want the it? >> mexico. and then as we witnessed in the debate, hillary clinton challenged him on whether trump had the guts to bring it up, with the president of mexico, as to who would pay for thewell. we have more information ahead. we'll take you inside the battleground states we have yet to call, also why some are calling it a tossup, has to do
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the main cities of the battleground states. more straight ahead as election night continues at 1:24 in the morning. >> there you go. >> pelley: it's election night. election morning on the east on cbs tonight. we are still waiting for an estimate in swing states that are going to determination tonight. they include arizona, michigan, new hampshire, wisconsin, pennsylvania, donald trump has a small lead in five of those. he only needs to pick up two, maybe three depending on the state. he has many more paths to victory than hillary clinton does at this point. >> let's go inside some of these states, in particular. want to go first to pennsylvania.
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electoral votes. this had been part of hillary clinton's path to victory. she needs this -- donald trump feeds to pick it off if he wants to win. >> she had her biggest crowd in pennsylvania last night with the president of the united states, the first lady, bruce springsteen and jon bon jovi, the biggest crowd throughout the whole campaign in pennsylvania. >> we're talking about 60,000 votes give or take with the vote in anthony salvanto. the reason we call it a tossup is because there are a number of absentee ballots from around the philadelphia area that have not been counted at this hour. >> and they just don't know how many and how big that could be, that hole could be and whether that could get her close to the 60. >> do they know if they're from a certain area? >> i think they're from that
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hillary clinton which is what the pause is because that would -- there is -- you know,, she right now, in philadelphia county, has 560,000 votes to donald trump's 100,000. so that's a very strong hillary clinton county. >> the total vote in pennsylvania counted is about 5.8 million votes and, as we mentioned, a razor-thin margin there for donald trump. >> now, looking at the popular vote, which, of course, doesn't that matters, but looking at the popular vote, donald trump is ahead in the popular vote, has been really throughout the night, and he's ahead by about 1.3 million voters. 55 million for donald trump, 53 million and almost 54 million for hillary clinton. >> let's go through another some of these key states that we've talked about tonight,
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wisconsin, a state we mentioned the home state of the republican national committee chair, the speaker of the house, paul ryan, hillary clinton hasn't been there since the primary and looks like donald trump swept through the back door? >> looks like she left the back door open in wisconsin and michigan. minnesota looks like at the moment she's ahead by about 70,000 votes in minnesota. so that may not be on her worry list, but that's quite a long worry list, already, with michigan and wisconsin and pennsylvania out there, and strong rural votes that donald trump turned out. >> if he wins two of the three, he's won. >> i think, too, we can be talking about whether we would be up all night, whether we will have a tie, the possibility of 269 versus 269. all of that ahead as we continue our cbs news election night
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y2623y yy6y stands right now, hillary clinton 215 electoral votes, donald trump 244. that hasn't changed lately because the states you see in white are so close we cannot even estimate who the winner is
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totals come in on many of these states and it is that what we're going to have to rely on in order to tell you who has won them. but we can say at this point in the five swing states, donald trump does have a small knew nuc lead in all of those. he is knocking on the door of 1600 could be pennsylvania that puts him over the top. if you have a look at the board there, donald trump with 2.8 million votes, hillary clinton 2.7 million votes. it doesn't get a whole lot closer than that, folks. now here is wisconsin, also, a very close result. let's have a look at the battlegrounds in their entirety. there were 13 states at the
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beginning of election day yesterday, and 13 battleground states that were going to decide the election. the ones marked in red are the ones we've estimated will go to donald trump, the ones in blue hillary clinton and the ones not colored are the states outstanding. john dickerson, how has donald trump done this? >> he's done it by running up the score in the rural parts of america, in the parts when we first met in 2015 in his office he said basically it was pretty simple, he needed to turn out the vote that mitt romney couldn't turn out in the conservative base at the he knew was there and he knew he would be able to turn out and he did. >> pelley: the conventional wisdom -- sorry, gayle -- is what the republican party must do in order to win is bring in women, african-americans, latinos, and donald trump has repudiated that and proven that
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whether you had to do that immediately for this presidential election cycle or whether you had to get on your way to doing it because the demographic changes would hurt the party in 2020. well, he said forget all that, and he went and did it his own way and found his own people to do it. >> he also said all along he didn't need the g.o.p. establishment to accomplish what he wanted to do and he certainly didn't. >didn't. and we should pile up the things against him including the ad spending by the clinton team and allies plus the celebrities plus all the other media in the kind of popular media, the entertainers were against him. he had a lot going against him. >> he smirked at the clinton campaign the other day when he said there is no j. lo, no jay-z, no katy perry, it's just me and i don't sing and look at
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beautiful thing. clearly that works for him. >> he was right about that. money is the milk of politics, he says. hillary clinton outspent donald trump by a lot. hillary clinton raised about $1.3 billion including state party committees. donald trump, it was about 800 million. she had about a $500 million advantage. she creamed him when it was on the airways in the summer, she way outspent him. wasn't. so he's managed to do this well despite some of the structural advantages that favored the democrats. >> pelley: about six hours ago, there were high spirits at the clinton campaign headquarters here in manhattan but that changed dramatically. nancy cordes is here for us this morning. nancy? >> i just talked to a democratic strategist close to the clinton
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are not delusional either. and he brought up a name we haven't heard a lot of over the past few hours and that is james comey. he argued the reason the clinton campaign was surprised by the close races in wisconsin, michigan and pennsylvania is partly because no one could have seen this bombshell coming two weeks ago, that the f.b.i. director would send a letter to congress informing him his agent were looking atew relate to hillary clinton's use of a private server, that he hand many other democrats are going to argue that that turned off a lot of white working class voters who were trying to decide at that point between hillary clinton and donald trump, and further they argued that even a couple of days ago comey essentially sent another letter saying never mind, we've looked at these e-mails, it doesn't change our fundamental
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email issue which has always been a loser for her right at the end of the race. it's essentially one day before election day. so you will see a lot of democrats arguing that he had a role to play if she loses in her loss. republicans, on the other hand, will say if she hadn't used a private email account and server in the first place then he wouldn't have sent any letters at all. >> pelley: let's remember the daysef national convention when she was having a knock-down, drag-out fight with bernie sanders who generated a national movement of his own on the democratic side. how much do you think that hurt hillary clinton? >> i think it was very difficult for her because, during that race, bernie sanders tied her very closely to wall street over and over again, he called her the candidate of wall street, and that was something that hadn't been a huge problem for
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combined with all the big speeches she gave to wall street firms in the year leading up to her decision to get into the race really showed people felt she was the insider. so he did come around in the general election and get behind her, but he was more convincing making a case against trump than he was making a case for clinton. and in somef think you will see that the margin of victory for donald trump could ent up being close to the number of votes that these third-party candidates wrapped up, and those are votes primarily coming from young people, from disaffected supporters of bernie sanders, in many cases, who might have otherwise gone for hillary
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hour ago that said 74% of the people who cast their votes today made up their mind a month ago. although when you look at the results tonight, i guess the exit polls don't hold a lot of credibility at this particular time -- >> on cbs this morning, he said he didn't think it had that kind of impact. , too she had an array of sur surrogates. the president and first lady, former president, warren, bernie sanders, joe biden, all out for her h. donald trump had nobody but himself. >> you know why they say it didn't matter at the time, there will be a lot of people in whose interests it will be if donald trump wins the presidency to argue to get themselves off the hook and explain why it didn't work out. >> he did say that right after, no, they don't think that had any effect whatsoever.
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major in college, but i think for anyone at home trying to do this math, as we put that up on the board trump 244 and clinton 215, these are the states that are remaining, that add up to 79 votes. am i right, bob is this. >> right. arithmetic teacher mary hager corrected my figures and you're absolutely right. >> so we're hanging right in the we have a number of states here. some of these are edging to donald trump, we've got a number of them up on the board, we can talk about them, but this is where we stand at 1:40 in the morning and why we haven't called this race tonight. >> can i just say you might not have been a math major but you have very good penmanship, very easy to read, thank you. >> it is the least likely possibility, but there is still a possibility of a tie.
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a 269 tie and then the u.s. house of representatives would decide who the president of the united states is and the senate would decide who the vice president is. >> and the way there would be a tie is there are two states in the electoral college map that split their votes by congressional district. those two states are maine and nebraska. so main still has four electoral votes. we've not called that. those can split three plus one or two plus -- >> three and one. and nebraska still has one electoral -- >> there are a lot of people in bed already looking and saying when are they going to be able to call this thing? >> we don't know. this is a lot still to call with a lot of reports -- >> you're talking about 90, 95% of the votes in in all of those places. >> where there are razor e-thin margins, and anthony is telling
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wires and the secretary of state that there are absentee ballots that for some reason haven't been counted. >> is it all about the absentee ballots at this time? >> in the midwestern states that aren't being called, looks like when you look in every county, looks like 99% of the vote. >> where are the absentee ballots, y'all? >> part of the problem, is also, the vote in but in the modeling, they're not sure. >> sometimes, particularly true where i grew up in texas, they'd put the votes in the trunk of the car, drive home and next morning get up and deliver the votes to the county seat. >> or see how many they needed. how many ever made it out of the trunk? >> but one of these states we're talking about and waiting on is the state of wisconsin. we now show it -- cbs news shows
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he has a small numeric lead. chip reid has been following the campaign in wisconsin. chip? >> reporter: well, hi, scott. you can see behind me that they've torn this room apart here. this is where paul ryan had his victory celebration tonight on his reelection for his ninth term for the house of representatives and we are told that earlier this evening paul ryan called donald trump and congratulated him on his big night and they sayy very nice conversation. it's a very interesting dance we're going to see between these two if donald trump does pull out this victory because you may recall that a month ago after that tape was released, the billy bush tape in which donald trump talked so rudely and lewdly about women, paul ryan was so offended that he said he wassent going to defend him anymore and he wasn't going to campaign with him.
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trump supporters and tonight some are saying that trump should do everything he can to keep paul ryan from being reelected as speaker. so you've got a real drama going on here in wisconsin aside from the fact that this race is so close and, by the way, when we first came out here a few days ago to cover this, we didn't come to cover it as a battleground state, we came to cover the battle between trump and rhine. it only became a battleground state today. so people really missed what was going on here. wisconsin for us tonight. also, we should make note that the democrats needed to pick up five seats in order to take control of the senate, and they have failed to do that. the senate will remain in republican hands. we will have the latest vote totals for you when we come back as election night on cbs
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>> pelley: okay. one more time from our experts. we have mark, and michelle.
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trump pivoting to governing? >> that is the question. it is someone who has not pivoted really to anything and has been one of the more sort of overused buzz words in this whole election. he never pivoted to being a nominee. he did it is h way. he's obviously promise add great deal. we'll see if he can deliver. >> in prod principles tha tha rr than programs. >> but tone would be the first how gracious would he choose to be if elected. >> and can't forget chris christie is his transition committee chairman. >> donald trump was elect bid people who want him to bring change to washington should he be elected, that's what they're looking for. oftentimes when presidents are eelectricked people see the pivot almost immediately. when barack obama was electted in 2008, people said they could see something immediately change
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that from donald trump, that's not who he is and what we've seen throughout the campaign. >> the last time you've seen someone like donald trump rise to this level of office it was andrew jackson. donald trump will have to turn to advisors who will give him advice on how to participate and run the presidency. the question from my perspective right now is what is the very first note that he found? a con cilia tore note where he says we must not be enemies but friends. it must be an approach that he is not going to use the office of the presidency to engage in vindictive behavior that he has in the course of the election.
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his victory if he were to win as a sign that his way was the way to get him here. i think clearly any newly elected president will say something comes over you the second that looks like you're going to be elected. >> so many things that during this campaign we said he won't get beyond this, but it looks like he will. >> the ultimate i told you so administration. >> although 'v to find his way yet to 270 votes. >> you know, it is a situation that is unprecedented in a lot of ways. i think a lot of americans now are concerned about the direction their country is taking. a lot of people didn't support donald trump. i think it's incumbent upon us to be hopeful about the fact that a hot of americans have given voice to concern and to i think a rising well of frustration. >> also incumbent on him to recognize there are great reservations and an active
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nation. >> we're a nation of states, and you may not hear that from him, but you can -- i mean, this is -- for some people, this is a very scary moment. this feels like a thunder clap for a lot of people. you may see the leadership coming from the states, not washington. >> the thing to keep in mind is while we look at this as a moment of chaos and from the world and the market i think they are looking at it, but from thespective of the people who voted for trump this is abact of democracy, sending a message that the system needs to change. >> back to scott. >> pelley: charlie, thank you very much. but wherever you are on donald trump's successes this evening, about 56 million americans are happy about it and 55 million americans are not, those being the popular vote totals. major garrett is at the trump
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>> reporter: scott, the crowd and it may start to chant again but a few moments ago was bellowing "call it, call it, call it." this is a sense in the midtown hilton where donald trump has his victory headquarters that they are on the cusp of this historic breakthrough propelling donald trump a political novice, no military experience, unprecedented in the history of the american presidency, the 45th presidentth coming soon. voters believe this is an expression of their definition of democracy, their definition of what america is, ought to be and can possibly be and believe donald trump is their best voice in achieving that. a couple of quick words about his approach to governing. i have been talking to republicans on capitol hill.
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about dealing with donald trump, one reason specifically, mike pence, the former member of the house, well known, well respected, they expect donald trump to lean heavily on mike pence for many of his first legislative initiatives, specifically to rapidly and replace and repeal the affordable care act. and who is one of mike pence's closest friends in the united states speaker of the house paul ryan. there is some great expectations among republicans i have been talking to tonight that mike pence can be a bridge between donald trump and the speaker of the house and a productive one at that. >> pelley: major garrett, thank you very much, major. let us bring you up to date on where the election is. what's taking so long? it's that close and really matters what some of the vote totals are because they are so close in so many of the states. this is the electoral college
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hillary clinton 215. donald trump 244. well within striking distance of the 270 he needs to win. the states in white are the states where the polls have closed but still, after hours of counting, the race is so close in those states, cbs news has been unable to make a projection of the winner. norah, take us through some of the individual steps. >> let me q able to call this race because what rates still remain on the table, here is my rough sketch of arizona, wisconsin, pennsylvania, maine, new hampshire, nebraska, add up to 79 electoral votes and the right number getting you to 270 would win you the presidency. quickly, we've not seen donald
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clearly they are behind doors with their closest advisors and family looking at these results, and we are looking at these results trying to figure out who is the winner tonight. clinton's campaign chairman john podesta left the hotel and headed to the javits center. so perhaps we'll get an update from the clinton campaign about what they see in the results. now to pennsylvania, keystone state and key to a hillary clinton win tonight. we see here that it's narrowed since the last time we looked at this. he opened up a bit of a margin, now we're back to less than 80,000 votes. one of the reasons that cbs news has not called this up until now, the last update i received is there was a question about absentee ballots the n and from
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philadelphia area. michigan, looks like to me less than 70,000 votes in the state of the michigan. again, some discussion about absen see ballots around the detroit area. arizona, what has been a traditionally republican state but has the largest number of hispanics of all the battleground states, you see donald trump with a margin there. wisconsin, a state that hillary clinton did not visit since the primary, and donald trump is doing quite well in that state but also if you look at the the vote tally, it's close. and new hampshire. look at this. less than 4,000 votes in the state of new hampshire. it's just four electoral votes, but had al gore won new hampshire? 2000, h he would have been president of the united states. >> the gary johnson the spoiler
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independent candidate? >> we'll have to look in places like north carolina and florida where he got the younger vote, the 18 to 29-year-olds, we'll have to look at the margins to see if they're big enough. we started out the night saying it was very difficult for donald trump to get his six different pathways. now the narrative has flipped. it is very difficult for hillary clinton with those deficits and those three states pennsylvania and michigan to succeed in winning those and then you would still have to deal with new hampshire and maine. >> isn't it also true that no matter which one of them wins, it would be by a razor-thin margin, perhaps, in some of these battlegrounds? >> perhaps. but if he were to win all of them, he would be in the 300 range on electoral votes and
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start talking about -- >> but wisconsin. if he wins wisconsin and pennsylvania that gets him over 300. >> is that likely? to norah's point, in the popular vote, they're sprighted by 1%. out of 100 million votes they're separated by 1 million votes so that shows you how narrowly divided the nation is. elaine? >> gary johnson, our team has been doing the math, and with instance, under 130,000 votes separated these two candidates, but when you look at the combined vote totals for gary johnson and jill stein, that number is in the neighborhood of 267,800 votes. so you consider the effect that the third-party candidates had in a battleground state like florida, we're also looking at states like pennsylvania and wisconsin, the numbers are fluctuating, but now something
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pennsylvania separating the two candidates. johnson and stein combined had about 188,000 votes separating them. so 188,000 votes combined. you see the effect of this. >> i'm hearing from the clinton campaign that the reason campaign chairman john podesta left the hotel and secretary clinton is he is going to the javits center to say it is toocl so i think, you know, they know that people are leaving the javits center, that we saw the pictures earlier that people were dispirited, some even crying. now the campaign chairman is going over to rally the troops and, according to an official inside the clinton campaign, saying it's too close to call. >> too close to call or not wanting to accept reality? some are saying it's not so close to call. >> pelley: we will be back with nor nbc news coverage of
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winner the state of maine. with its four electoral votes. that brings hillary clinton's total up to 218. donald trump 244. but still, a very steep hill for hillary clinton to climb.