for wing the nomination, has even the democrats worried that he's going to roll all the way to the white house. there is no dismissing donald trump. just three days before the south carolina republican presidential primary, this polling shows that the no holds barred real estate tycoon and reality television star is simply crushing his rivals. the monmouth university poll, 16 points ahead of the number 2 candidates, texas senator ted cruz, meanwhile, senator marco rubio of florida rounds out third at just 17%. for months now the media, the pundits and much of the republican party refuse to believe that donald trump last ochance to capture the presidential nomination. no one this crazy and politically incorrect has the staying power to web the party ticket once the primarying season begins. the chorus of talking heads arrayed defense him who wanted to believe he was finished when he lost the iowa caucuses to ted cruz by 3 points, they were i don'wrong. are since then he has won the new hampshire primary and well could have done the same thing in south carolina this saturday. other s

are getting stronger >>> tonight there are more indications that both democratic and republican parties, revealing a populous realignment. the latest polls indicate that bernie sanders and donald trump are regaining ground. they are tapping into anger at wall street for the trade deals, foreign business and politics. along the way arrivals anointed by the establishments like hillary clinton and jed bush are being rivalled. trump and sanders preach enough for a political transformation, and the crowds are raking it up. >> the american people are tired of establishment politics, tired of establishment economics. they want a political revolution in which millions of americans stand up, come together, not let trumps of the world divide us. and say, you know what, in this great country we need a government that represents all of us, not just a handful of wealthy campaign contributors. >> there's one thing that we are similar on, he knows the country is being ripped on trade. he can't do anything about it. >> why not. >> he doesn't understand it, what is happening. >> what is happenin

play by a whole different set of rules. soaking the riches, back in style for democrats. the latest example is hillary clinton's proposal to slap a 4% sur charge on annual income above $5 million, raising what are known as marginal tax rates

right on the republican side and further to the left on the democratic side. that is a wide bridge to gap. this is a tough job to do. it is what ronald reagan did. he finally pushed through justice kenney in 1988. that was his last year. that happened under a democratic senate. regan was a republican >>> thank you. let's talk with bruce fine who joins us from washington. we will talk about the political implications of all of this in a moment. i want to talk about the justice for a moment. he was someone who engendered a lot of issues in people. how should he be remembered as a supreme court justice? >> reporter: i think he is require replaceable for the conservative view. i need to disclose i testify ied in his position. the constitution should not be viewed as a living document that the justices can change as they perceive changes in culture, that it should be interpreted by the architects of the document and if you wanted to change it you needed to go through the amendment process. he thought the language shouldn't be resorted to the history, but rather to the spirit. he was an exc

. the pope decided some of the latest in his remarks about donald trump. while democratic senator bernie sanders is taking heat for his history on immigration issues. left behind, all of this, are the people at the heart of the debate. those that leave their home country for opportunity in america. in some places, the current political environment is leaving warm welcomes in short supply. christopher putzel is in minnesota. >> reporter: this man is responding to an urgent call. a somalian woman is in trouble. >> someone has been arrested. they tell me that they are falsely accused. >> reporter: he came as a college student and stayed to business. >> so when i moved here in late 2005. there wasn't somali. there was less than 50, 100 people lived here then. >> with a growing somali population, he has tone on a growing roll. more than 30,000 separated in minnesota. minneapolis is home to the largest somali clienty. the somali community accounts for 10% of the population, and more than 20" noted in the school. lately they noticed a change in mood. somali's have been coming here for a

able partner in tehran >>> to other news how. hillary clinton has won the democrat krtic primary in-- democratic poll in south carolina. her win comes ahead of the super tuesday primaries next week when several states will choose which candidate to support. >> we have so much to look forward to. there is no doubt in my behind that america's best years can be ahead of us. we have got to believe that. we have got to work for that, stand with each, hold each other up, lift each other up and move together into a future that we will make. thank you, god bless you and god bless america >>> going to our respondent now live in colombia south carolina. it is a very big win. are we finally seeing the clinton camp gain some momentum in this race? >> reporter: indeed. this is really in many ways unexpected. hillary clinton pulled off what some thought was impossible. that was she convinced larger number of voters and turned out for obama in 2008 and that was all ready a recording breaking numbers to now support her. why this is significant is because those voters that supported obama back in 20

aljazeera.com aljazeera.com >> we're in the eastern part of the democratic republic of congo. it's one of the least developed countries in the world, but there's an estimated $24 trillion worth of minerals here. tantalum, tungsten, tin, and gold have all been linked to violence in eastern congo by rebel groups and the congolese army. >> millions of people have been killed in the congo over the past decade. i want to see peace in the congo. >> the same minerals are used to make common electronics,that are sold all over the world. but in 2010, after months of lobbying by advocacy groups an obscure resolution called section 1502, was dropped into the dodd-frank wall street reform act. it means publicly traded companies are now required to track whether their products contain conflict minerals from congo. some of the top tech brands are taking credit for reducing violence here -- with the world's largest chip-maker intel even claiming that some of their products are now "100% conflict free". >> "we're proud to say the world's first commercially available conflict free microprocessors do just that

is pro-life, and people know it. we have seen hillary clinton on the democratic side her evolution on the issue of gay marriage. she evolved. president obama evolved very quickly on the idea of gay marriage. the electorate knows it, and i think the reason we see so many people saying a pass on both of your houses. i don't like democrats, i don't republicans. i'm self identifying, is because this is the politics that america does not like. they want people to stand for something, and stay there. believe in it, and if you evolve, the evolution should be authentic, or at least pretend to be authentic. >> pretense, i think may be involved in this. bill earlier in the program we saw senator marco rubio, telling a debate audience that they ought to want a faithful president, someone who has a faith orientation to guide them in the job. and i was wondering when he said that about core affiliated versus marginally affiliated. most americans still say they a threeist for president. so is there a certain portion that wants to hear god talk even if they can't bother to go to church themselves

on the republican side, healthy but not record-breaking turnout on the democratic side. we'll start this edition of "inside story" in where else, in new hampshire with aljazeera's libby casey. >> because of a uge voter turnout, and i say uge, we won. >> reporter: in concord, new hampshire, democrat, bernie sanders, thanked his supporters. >> what began last week in iowa, with voters here in new hampshire confirmed tonight is nothing short of the beginning of a political revolution. >> reporter: the vermont senator stuck to one of his familiar themes, railing against wid wall street and the. >> at a time of wealth and inequality, the wealthiest people and the largest corporations in this country will start paying their fair share of taxes. we'll need to come together in a few months and unite this party and this nation, because the right wing republicans we oppose must not be allowed to gain the presidency. >> i heard parts of bernie's speech, he wants to give away our country, folks, and we're not going to let it happen. >> reporter: a big night as well for republican, donald trump,

this. i don't have the list, but i could go through the statements from prominent democrats like john kerry and hillary clinton who said things just as certain about the presence of w mds as anyone in the bush administration. i think to this day there's a lot of misconception about that because so many people believe that bush lied, people died. it's not true >>> lying is a different thing from whether-- >> he said bush lied. that is what i think generated the anger. as for 9/11 there is tons of blame to go around. you can't blame president bush alone just as you can't blame president clinton who was in office for eight years prior to the attacks. in the 9/11 commission report identified nine opportunities that the president had to aassassinate bin laden. there was a lack of communication between agencies which was generally, i think, fixed after the 9/11 commission came out with their study >>> a lot of this is not binary. it plots a transitional from white to grey to black. it is not pickable out to say this person knew better or should have knew better. >> we're still processi

and later on take a closer look at the democratic result. joining me now rick pearlsteen, caramel martin, bruce haines, a founding partner of purple strategies, and doug thornel. bruce haines did we see the first outlines of a shakeout field? >> i think we did. you have already seen mike huckabee last night dropping out of the race, and i think now we have set the agenda going into new hampshire. trump has his lane. he has the populous wing buttoned up. ted cruz has the evangelical wing, and now we have a race where marco rubio has assumed the lead in the establishment wing of the republican party. and now we'll watch and see if the others can train their guns to move past him. right now it looks like rubio is the third person. >> do you buy, doug this idea of defining victory however it suits you coming out of the early primaries? [ laughter ] >> and this is not anything new for 2016. >> yep. people forget that bill clinton didn't win the new hampshire primary in '92, he came in second, but he exceeded expectations so he ladies and gentlemened himself the come-back kid. and if yo

"inside story" for comments. the democratic committee just this month dropped the ibm era ban on taking donation from lobbyists but there could be a political cost. ted cruz for instance has gone against both clinton and rubio for their ties with lobbyists. >> that is the washington cartel, the term i get for both parties that get in bed with the lobbyists and special interests -- >> what does money buy? the rubio campaign and a closer look, at the fund raisers, lee fong, investigative journalist, and alex goldstein and carrie levine. alexis, let me start with you. if lloyd blankfie blankfine wer, i will donate $2 million to the presidential candidate who promises me will get rid of dodd frank will that be against law for a candidate to respond, i will make that promise and take the money? >> i think that will get too close to quid pro quo which is not allowed but there are numbers of ways to accomplish that without being so explicit. that's something you have outlined in the intro today. >> some of this is legal structural architecture of our campaign finance system and some of i.t. is

democratic ballot, so when you are trying to figure out what is going on, trying to poll them, and decide which side they are likely to vote in, and then for whom they are going to clump around for, it just makes it so complex, it makes the callous of space flight look easy. >> do you buy horace's point that donald trump could head into south carolina as the second place finisher in iowa, and the winner new hampshire, and be somehow damaged because he didn't win by enough? >> i think the sheen is a little bit off of donald trump after his performance last week, in the sense he was expected to win iowa by a fairly comfortable margin, instead he loses iowa and then goes on a rant about how ted cruz stole eye aye -- iowa and the question is when do the laws of gravity start to kick in? and it seems to have started to kick in iowa. hampshire? >> doesn't iowa become history? >> but the question is can he maintain the margin he has seen in all of these polls. he does have a pretty high base of support, but a fairly low ceiling of support. in iowa all of the people who supported him, had already

. >> republicans, democrats... >> stay with al jazeera america for comprehensive coverage that's... ♪ >> you are watching "inside story." i'm ray suarez. i guess getting voters and reporters to think of you differently, is essentially what campaigns are all about. like neighborhoods who are trained to think campaigned are either headed up or down, but then the voters do something crazy they actually crews one candidate over the other. we get real results and campaign staff get to explain to me why their candidate, no, don't look at those pesky numbers, let me tell you why they really won or the other side really lost. we'll tell you whether this will function as an elimination round. take me inside the formally smoke-filled room -- probably nobody smokes anymore, but wednesday morning there will be tough conversations being had. >> well, normally as soon as the polls close, you know thence. i worked for fred thompson, and we were in south carolina, and this is the way it worked. he said he wanted a clear understanding of whether to go on or not. and i get the midday exit polls and i went to

democrats. and hillary clinton ahead, 53% to 47%, this is with 23% of the precincts reporting. ali, so this has been at least for the last 20 minutes, this is what we've seen. >> that's right. what you haven't seen yet is pall county, des moines, where that demographic will change a little bit perhaps to bernie sanders. we know it's early. what's more interesting is look down the ticket on both sides, on both sides, the democratic ticket, martin o'malley not registering a percent yet. what donald trump and ted cruz are doing, after that rand paul. the more establishment candidates not registering, virtually not registering at all. in fact you don't see mike huckabee on that list, john kasich, you see carly fiorina, just stretching up. some of those candidates aren't even here today john. john kasich, jeb bush, chris christie, they didn't even come here. they are in new hampshire right now today getting ready for the next contest on february 9th. the battle for top of spot still playing out still too early to tell. we mo who the likely winners are on both of these contests. on the d

the mainstream media. it's evidence of bias that exists much. >> the contrast with the democratic debate where every question from the media is which of you is more hand sol and why? >> let me say something about the media. the american people are sick and tired. >> people write this stuff... >> our american story is written everyday. it's not always pretty, but it's real... and we show you like no-one else can. this is our american story. this is america tonight. >>> this is al jazeera. hello. i am marianne nemazi. in the next 60 minutes, bomb blasts kill at least 76 people in hom may. s and dam afternoonus as the u.s. reports progress on a possible syrian cease-fire. india gloiz thousands of troops to comcast protests a major water crisis in new delhi. execute is

. >> the contrast with the democratic debate where every question from the media is which of you is more hand sol and why? >> let me say something about the media. the american people are sick and tired. >> people write this stuff... struggles, their hardships and their triumphs. >> it gives me a lot of pride. >> our american story is written everyday. it's not always pretty, but it's real... and we show you like no-one else can. this is our american story. this is america tonight. >> these people have decided that today they will be arrested. >> i know that i'm being surveilled. >> people are not getting the care that they need. >> this is a crime against humanity. >> hands up... >> don't shoot. >> hands up... >> don't shoot. >> what do we want? >> justice. >> when do we want it? >> now. >> explosions going on... we're not quite sure - >> is that an i.e.d.? >> everyone has a story... and the only way to see all of america, is to see the human stories... one at a time. get to know the people, their

evidence of bias that exists much. >> the contrast with the democratic debate where every question from the media is which of you is more hand sol and why? >> let me say something about the media. the american people are sick and tired. >> people write this stuff... al jazeera america gives you the total news experience anytime, anywhere. more on every screen. digital, mobile, social. visit aljazeera.com. follow @ajam on twitter. and like aljazeera america on facebook for more stories, more access, more conversations. so you don't just stay on top of the news, go deeper and get more perspectives on every issue. al jazeera america. >>> >>> >>> a stand-off in a ufrt between police and five-- university between police and students in relation to five students charged with sedition. you're watching al jazeera live from our headquarters in doha. also ahead on this program uganda's opposition leader has been taken into police custody as the protesters plan to-- supporters plan to protest against the election. 21d

on 2015, doing more reports on him than the democratic field combined. trump went into iowa, leading the polls on the republican side. and seemed confident enough in those polls that he chose to skip a debate on fox news. >> everyone on the stage is souped, fat and ugly -- stupid, fat and ugly, now the donald trump portion is out of the way... >> he is a candidate many court. and donald trump looked rejected cruz. >> fox news, an untouchable place gets attacked. whether trump's decision do skip the debate was a mistake or not, if you watch fox news after of the results, they were taking mistake. >> after he skipped the debate on thursday, late breakers were not going to go his way. >> cruz's campaign in iowa, being more organized and trump paid a roll in how well he did. the other cop ponds to that have to do with mainstream media attending always to underappreciate the role of religion in american life. he was delivering the very overt religious messages which i think resonated with a lot of people in iowa. >> trump appeals to the ofishialityies. what they want to talk about is some

marco rubio at 10%. and now we're looking at hillary clinton and bernie sanders, the democratic primary. persony sanders ahead 51% to 40%. early numbers here. these are pictures that donald trump's headquarters. if the polls are right this is a very happy crowd tonight. it's not just about the wins and loses, but strong third or second place. ali velshi is in manchester tonight. ali? >> i think that's the more interesting part of it, john, who does come in. we've seen ted cruz come in with a fairly strong performance, but we're really look at jeb buck, john kasich and chris christie. bush and kasich have spent a lot of time in new hampshire. kasich and christie ignored iowa all together, putting their eggs in this basket. and you see a significant showing of what you're seeing, and 2% of the numbers are in, but most of the rest of the polls would have closed by now unless there are some problems with people not finished voting. we'll see if the trends hold up. on the democratic side you're seeing less than 10-point lead by againy sanders. the polls indicate a stronger lead. if i

. state of iowa as the republican and democrat partie ic parties vote for their nominees for the presidential election. first here is alan fisher, who was explaining to us first how this early selection process is going to work. >> this is where presidential campaigns come to die. in iowa outside of the top three and dreams of the white house can melt away. both republicans and democrats will caucus here, gather, talks, and pick the person they want to be president. this campaign has been going on for months although it feels much longer than that. but here now in iowa, in the frozen midwest of america's winter the contests really begins to ease up. here we will get the first real test of public opinion, the first vote, the first indication of where america's two main parties are headed. >> this has been a strange campaign. the conventional wisdom this would end up a contest between hillary clinton from the democrats and republican jeb bush. but one would change the dynam dynamics and the face of politics. >> donald trump changed the race. if you look back, it was going to be a v

and democratic parties choose their candidates for the 2016 presidential election. after months of campaigning in which has at times been heated and angry, it will be the first real test of how the candidates are viewed by the general public. al jazeera's alan fisher is in des moines and iowa and sent us this update. >> this is where presidential campaigns come to die. >> here we will get the first real test of public opinion, the first votes, the first indication of where america's two main parties are headed. this has been a strange campaign. the conventional wisdom is this would end up a contest between hillary clinton and jeb bush opinion one event changed the dynamic and the face of american politics. >> donald trump getting into the race, i mean, i think if you look back on this election, it was going to be a very different kind of conversation, very different discussion had donald trump not decided to run. >> trump is the most talked about, most covered candidate and provided the most incendiary moment of the campaign. >> donald j. trump is calling for a total and complete s

iowa. mike huckabee announced he is suspending his campaign. there's a close race on the democratic side, so close the democratic press may not be able to call it. hillary clinton is leading bernie sanders by less than a half of one percentage point. for marylands governor martin o'mallee suspended his campaign after receiving less than 1% of the vote in iowa. michael shure is in dooum in -- de-moyne, at ted cruz's headquarters. the cruz people must be happy. polls seem to show that he was dropping in the last few days of the campaign, instead he pulled out a solid victory. i'm schedule michael shure is not there with us. let's bring in david shuster, joe watkins and jeanie to look at this. the convention alt wisdom has been turned. you and i were looking at the counties, david, and it could get to the point where bernie sanders beats hillary clinton. >> the excitement and expectation is growing in bernie sanders camp. they have a large number. still the report, bernie sanders has been beating hillary clinton among voters, he will likely pick up a couple of precincts and aims enough

democratic side, they are saying anyone who is not in iowa, who's a registered democratic can telecaucus. their going to call in to a giant conference call and make their voices known. this is for anyone not in the state. in this way, they are trying to make sure they get at many people as possible. because of this, numbers will likely be raised. >> live in des moines, thank you very much. let's go to dave leventhal, the senior reporter for the center of public integrity joining us from washington, d.c. dave, thanks for being with us. if anything can be said about campaign 2016, the rule books have been thrown out. hillary clinton i guess leading now by a razor's edge object donald trump by on the republican side. >> here's the big difference between polls and caucuses, polls, you get to do in the privacy of your own phone, on the internet. caucuses aren't like primaries or going into the polls. it's a public pronouncement of a candidate. that could change things for people on the fence, maybe supporting donald trump or ted cruz but could be convinced by friends and family who are going

the country. voting will get underway later in the u.s. state of iowa as the republican and democrat parties choose their candidate for the election and after months of campaigning which at times has been heated and angry it will be the first real test of how the candidates are viewed by the general public and allen fisher is in des moines, iowa and he sent us this update. >> reporter: this is where presidential campaigns come to die, performance in the news of iowa outside the top three and dreams of the white house can melt away but republicans and democrats will caucus here, gather, talk, set aside the paws and publicity and pick the person they want to be as president. it has been going on for months and feels much longer than that but here, now in iowa in the frozen midwest of america's winter the contest really begins to heat up. here we will get the first real test of public opinion, the first sports, the first indication of where america's two main parties are headed. this has been a strange campaign. the conventional wisdom is this will end up a contest of hillary clinton fr

. >> we have won a great victory today. >> reporter: in 1972 it was only by chance that democrats in iowa scheduled their caucus earlier than everyone else. 1976 republicans in the state joined them. >> i'm running for president. >> reporter: jimmy carter did well that year and went on to win the white house iowa had the first in the nation's status and drake university's dennis gold ford said with it comes a process that is unlike primaries where voters cast ballots over the course of a day. >> let the causes you are there on sunday night and spend a couple hours and hope there is no blizzard, the car starts and there is nobody sick in the factually. >> reporter: public buildings like churches, schools and libraries are used by caucuses in the states 1681 precincts. in remote rural areas a caucus might be held in a private home. once inside rules are different depending on the party. republicans have the more straightforward process. after hearing from surrogates for candidates they write their choice on a piece of paper, votes are counted and reported to precinct officials and for

not just republicans, it's democrats as well. >> indeed. they're all still campaigning. donald trump is continuing to look for supporters. it's not limited to just the republicans. marco rubio was also out, and ted cruz, hillary clinton and bernie sanders still. we know over the weekend the top two candidates were going door to door. hillary clinton apparently her campaign hitting 125,000 households looking for the support. bernie sanders in the neighborhood of 76,000. they're also spending an awful lot of money. they are in a very tight race. hillary clinton is within the margin of error, competing head to head. but hillary clinton is spending an awful plot more to do it, spending $74 million going through the money very, very quickly. bernie sanders average donation is $26. hillary clinton worried this would be a lot like 2008 where she looked like the inevitable candidate only to lose to barack obama. working very hard to try win there win for the iowa caucus. >> kimberly halkett, and now to john hendren, the nonestablishment candidates are doing very, very well and better than th

today? >> reporter: well, barbara, the polls show a tight race. on the democratic side it is a statistical dead heat between hillary clinton and bernie sanders. and donald trump is only five points ahead of ted cruz his nearest rival. what happens when you get candidates that develop enthusiasm among unlikely voters those polls go out the window. a lot of people who aren't expected to vote show up at the polls. if we see high turnout that's probably good news for outside candidates like donald trump and bernie sanders on the democratic side. what we're waiting to see is when those caucuses start whether they are overrun whether there are lines outside. and complicating matters, there is a snow storm that is supposed to hit and that may keep people home but they're expected to start after the caucuses end. >> why is this tending to be seen as quite so decisive? >> it's the first one and picked some winners in the past. jimmy carter was a winner in the '70s and barack obama, eight years ago, right here had a surprise upset over hillary clinton, and that really propelled his campa

running a bit behind him from the democrat side. hillary clinton has been out shaking hands. one thing that we noticed is some of the numbers that have been coming in terms of how much money hillary clinton has been spending. according to her own numbers, she spent $74 million last year, in contrast to her main rival bernie sanders, who in the last four months raised $53 million. many of his donations are about $27 each. he's attracting the grassroots. what did they end up with? the same results. shows how hard hillary clinton has had to work. over the weekend, her campaign reached out to 125,000 iowan households. bernie sanders did 75,000. at the end of the day, this is critical for hillary clinton, she's looking back to 2008 when again it was sort of presumed that she'd be the inevitable nominee only to lose to pam a. she's looking hard to see that that doesn't happen. we have to look at the results and what they mean. it's an important matter. giving an indication of how americans people, and you need to finish in the top third if you want to win the presidency. >> thank you k

dialog and conflict mediation and she is in a difficult position and she helped democratic reform and on the other hand she has to work with military in parliament, talk to us about this fine balance she has to walk. >> indeed, i think despite they won overwhelming election victory in november as your correspondent noted this is in effect a power sharing government and the military has control formally and informally and what we have seen is the transition such the election has gone much smoother than many expected as in giving up some reigns of power and bodes relatively well for the transition over the next few months to engage in dialog and negotiate with each other and in that way that that is a guaranty for a smooth transition at least for this current phase of the transition and there are challenges. >> yes, adam the word reconciliation is being banded about quite a lot. now, there are, however, many ethnic groups and freedom fighters who have suffered under the military rule, is there justice in this new democratic myanmar? >> that is one of the biggest challenges with the gove

democrats was hillary clinton, but the far left candidate bernie sanders has closed the gap. the republican process has been dominated by billionaire donald trump. he has a narrow lead over ted cruz, with rival candidates struggled for attention. donald trump has been speaking from iowa. differented whelm bring back jobs, we'll bring them back from china, japan, mexico - who is doing a number. i love mexico and the people. but the leaders are too smart, too cunning. they are doing on unbelievable job. i wish our leaders could do the same job to other countries. again, we don't win, we never have victory, we will change that >>> we have two correspondents in iowa, john hendren in newton, but first to kimberley halkett. she is in demoyne. this is an uncertain caucus that we have seen, a great deal riding on this for the frontrunners. >> indeed. all eyes are focusle on it. here is the headline in the demoyne register. it's a paper that everyone looks to and gives an endorsement to hillary clinton. you can't forget what is happening. the caucus set to start in three hours. it's firm

democrat parties will start the process of choosing their candidates for this year's presidential election and the aftermath accounting that has been heated at times is a challenge from des moines. >> reporter: where presidential campaigns come to die and the news of iowa outside the top three and dreams of the white house can melt away and both republicans and democrats will caucus and gather and talk, set aside the publicity and pick the person they want to be president. the campaign going on for months and feels much longer than that but here now in iowa in the frozen midwest of america's winter the contest really begins to heat up. here we will get the first real test of public opinion, the first thoughts, the first indication of where america's two main parties are headed. this has been a strange campaign, conventional wisdom is this would end up a contest of hillary clinton from democrats and jeb bush but one changed the dynamic. >> donald trump getting in the race, i think if you look back on this election it was going to be a very different kind of conversation and a very

caucusing. it's a majority democratic polling area. but a lot of people are going to be coming over from the democratic side to vote for donald trump so we have been told, tony. >> yeah, you are right, brother. can't ignore it, we're pasting votes tonight. we're talking about cruz, and donald trump and bernie sanders and hillary clinton. but there are other candidates. any chance of a surprise from those somewhere in the middle of the pack or even the bottom of the pack here? >> reporter: there may be. if you look at the middle of the back on the republican side, you should see marco rubio showing up a little bit than he has. some people breaking from ben carson may go to marco rubio. it may be too early for that for rubio. in that sort of coalescing may not happen until later state. look at jeb bush he hasn't campaigned a lot here, though he spent a ton of money, and only polled at 2%. and a lot of iowa voters break very late. we're going to look also out towards the democrats. we're going to see where the martin o'malley voters break. when they sit and talk in the caucus room, the

important night for republicans and democrats. this is a live look at a caucus at drake university in des moines. there has been a lot of talk about the polls. soon we'll find out if the polls were actually right. my coanchor ali velshi is in des moines with the view on the ground, ali? ♪ >> -- we're still counting votes the old way, but they are going to be transmitted to the state parties a little bit differently. precinct captains will have an app on their phone, as long as they count correctly, they can relay the votes correctly. you'll remember the last time around, iowa went on for hours and hours and hours. there were missing ballots, and people had to phone in the results. well that is supposed to end tonight. there is a paper and pen backup, but the good news that we should have, at least fiefficient counting. the big numbers probably will take a couple of hours, john. >> ali your audio was off in the beginning. explain where you are tonight. >> i'm at the microsoft media center in downtown des moines. microsoft is using the system -- it's their system that precinct capt

iowa and dreams of the white house can melt away. both republicans and democrats will caucus here, gather, talk, set aside the polls and publicity and pick the person they want to be president. this campaign has been going on for months, though feels longer than that. here, now in iowa, in the frozen midwest of america's winter, the contest really begins to heat up. here, we will get the first real test of public opinion. the first vote, the first indication of where america's two main parties are headed. >> this has ban strange campaign. the conventional wisdom was this would end up a contest between hillary clinton and jeb bush. one event changed the dynamic and face of american politics. >> donald trump getting into the race, i mean, i think if you look back on this election, it was going to be a very different kind of conversation, very different discussion had donald trump not decided to run. >> trump is the most talked about, most covered candidate and provided the most incendiary moment of the campaign. >> donald trump is calling for a total and complete shutdown of muslims

next big contest in and a nevada and south south carolina. kimberly halkett reports. >> democratic presidential candidate bernie sanders turned his trust over to a key demographic needed to win the white house. sanders' popularity among young people continued to rise over the last few months, but what happened here in new hampshire in terms of enthusiastic and arouse electorate people who came out in large numbers that is what will happen all over this country. >> if the anti-establishment message dictated, debated and left rival hillary clinton struggling to find footing. >> i know i have some work to do. particularly with young people, but i will repeat again what i have said this week. even if they are not supporting me now, i will support them. >> like the democratic race, the establishment candidates fighting for second place in the crowded republican contests are facing similar obstacles. u.s. voters are looking for alternatives who do not represent the status quo. >> i would like to. >> there is such an anti- anti-establishment environment that people are looking for an esca