hudson -- rob hutton joins us now. rob: it's very exciting. let's a point believe campaign is making quite was diversely. it's a forecast. we all know how reliable are not forecasts are. the distinction you might want to make is between your ability to forecast my weight in a month , and your ability to forecast my weight if i only eat chips for a month. that is the argument that the treasury would make. that even if the precise number isn't right, the direction it travels is correct. they would say. the slight problem with this is it has been put together in order to reach a conclusion, and the conclusion it has been put together to reach is that this would be bad. they have, for instance, left off in their long-term scenario planning, they had three different scenarios are working on. they have left the best of those off for this one. this now only offers to scenarios, which are the worst. that said, it depends whether you believe -- they say look, the pound would fall, we would lose confidence and lose investments, that would cost jobs. imp

assessment from rob hutton. still with us is stuart richardson. thank you so much for sticking around. rob, how much do these results tell us about brexit? that is the question everyone in the city is asking. it is hard to read too much into this. next month.brexit here's what you can read into this. the brexit would be a revolution. last night, we had the biggest vote outside the general election. 43 million people entitled to vote, lots of vote cast, and very little change. if this is a country on the brink of revolution, there's no sign of it in these results. we just had the final scottish result. snp remains in government, has gone back slightly. the big bad news for the labour party is they have gone into third place the hind the conservatives. francine: a wider political takeaways, is it all about scotland? if they lost some states, they are still powerful enough. stewart: certainly. nationalism, independence has not gone away in scotland at all. that said, in scotland, if you are voting for a revolution, the snp had a majority. it has just

let's speak to rob hutton. on theo have you program. first of all, so the referendum is on june 23. president obama showed up. now we hear from tony blair. does any of this sway voters? rob: we certainly have not seen a massive shift in the polls post-obama. so, the short answer is it has not made a big difference yet. fromrgument that you hear the government, and these are their words, when people are making big decisions they ask what their friends think. and those are very carefully chosen words. they want you to think about this the way that you thought about whether you would get married or whether you should buy a house, and you went and spoke to your friends and said, what do you think? and here are our friends, they say. here is president obama, here is tony blair, whatever you think is doing a press conference. i would not be surprised if he has a view. everyone is being wheeled out. it's, one individual will not make the difference is the argument. but the idea is they are trying to create an atmosphere where everybody says the sensible thing is on the side. francine: so,