against john kerry, look at this, still very low when you see the last presidential election in 2012 of obama against mitt romney. let me show you something really striking, when we come to the end of this. you can see this whittling away of favourability, politicians in general held in lower esteem. even obama, with all of the hopes that came in behind him, still not breaking clear. have a look at the end of this. they are -11 and -20 eight. as andrew said, yes, hillary clinton is the lowest they have ever been, lower than barry goldwater, but, my goodness, trump is twice as low, and that is stunning. it might partly be about the modern age, post-watergate, maybe something to do with the clinton white house in the usa, but it is still just exceptional, isn't it, to see it that low, and it explains why there is just a sense so much of real misery around the election and a sense that the candidates be better sense that the candidates be better in so many people let's ask some individual questions of these candidates. so you are asking a question of voters. are they qualified to serve as

set to hold onto their majorities in both the house of representatives and the senate. john mccain has kept his seat in arizona. after thanking voters he called on republicans 00:03:25,1000 --> 00:03:28,319 and democrats to work together for the good of the people. together for the good of the people. i promise you i will work as hard as i promise you i will work as hard as i ever have, use all my knowledge and experience and relationships and extend an open hand to our new and my colleagues on both sides of the isles, 1 president. and my colleagues on both sides of the isles, i tell you to solve our problems together as fellow americans who have more in common than we have differences. stock markets have fallen sharply as ej stock markets have fallen sharply as a victory for donald trump became increasingly likely. the market in japan and australia had initially opened higher when predictions suggested mrs clinton would win, but all major markets in the region are now down. us stock futures fell down more than 4% as results came in, suggesting a sharp drop when trading resumes on

, because the clinton campaign chairman, john podesta, came because the clinton campaign chairman, john podesta, came out at chairman, john podesta, came out at around two am., telling chairman, john podesta, came out at around two am., telling everyone around two am., telling everyone to go home, that around two am., telling everyone to go home, that they were not go home, that they were not giving up yet, votes go home, that they were not giving up yet, votes were still up yet, votes were still being counted, but within half up yet, votes were still being counted, but within half an up yet, votes were still being counted, but within half an hour, counted, but within half an hour, as the location was counted, but within half an hour, as the location was almost emptied the location was almost emptied of supporters, supporters, it was indeed confirmed that supporters, it was indeed confirmed that donald supporters, it was indeed confirmed that donald trump was the winner. that donald trump was the winner. there that donald trump was the winner. there was a that donald trump was the

needs 270 to win. that was john curtice. most polling organisations believe hillary clinton has it as things stand. let's cross to new york and join my colleague katty kay. what can we expect on this election night? i'm joined by clinton supporter michelle bernard and ron christie, who served former president george bush. how confident is the clinton campaign feeling? don't think they're taking anything for granted. the clinton campaign is hopeful that she has been able to put together the obama coalition from 2008 and 2012, latino support looks good for the campaign. she's got to be absolutely excited but not taking anything for granted. ron, i'm putting the same question to you. how confident is the trump campaign? they're cautiously optimistic. they're looking at returns from florida that indicate a lot of voting. north carolina, my brother in law stood in line for three hours to vote. strong turnout. what donald trump has to do is get an early victory on the board, perhaps in florida and see if he can beat a state that obama won in the eb beat a state that obama won in the last el

polls speak to on this programme about polls here. john curtis is john curtis is there. good evening. john curtis is there. good evening. do you have do you have sympathy with the pollsters do you have sympathy with the pollsters across the pond? pollsters across the pond? oh, i certainly do. pollsters across the pond? oh, i certainly do. this is the certainly do. this is the moment when ‘ certainly do. this is the moment when all pollsters when all pollsters suddenly realise ‘ whether or when all pollsters suddenly realise ‘ whether or not they've got it right whether or not they've got it right or wrong. the whether or not they've got it right or wrong. the truth is this or wrong. the truth is this election, or wrong. the truth is this election, in truth‘ election, in truth like many us presidential election, in truth like many usi presidential election ises presidential election ises pretty‘ close, presidential election ises prettyi close, though actually, hillary close, though actually, hillary clinton's lead ‘ close, though actually, hillary clinton's lead inl close,

cutter sails back into a cuban harbor and is well received. if you are dumb of john, looking for an example of unruly the overarching question is this does the obama presageg to cuba dissolution of single party communist rule on the island or has it acquiesced to single party communist rule? in washington that you hear both arguments, that it has strengthened raul castro, or that this remains impossible for people to remain a close society. when obama went to cuba in march, raul castro was sitting almost in front of him in the balcony. he looked right at him and said what we have been trying to do in cuba for 55 years was not working. it did not work. he came to the conclusion that all this effort to pressure and twist cuba to implode back to revolution did not help anybody. certainly not the cuban people's interests. certainly not the interests in the region. some people in the cuban government interpreted it that way. we know that the u.s. negotiating team meeting with the cuban team with secret talks, they arrived at this point of improving relations and said we will move forward

surveys that are positive for trump? john: welcome, look, the main thing is you start to get an incontrovertible sense that the race has tightened in this last period before election day. if the colorado poll were true, that would suggest that what hillary clinton has relied on as being in the bag basically was not only competitive, but trump is ahead. if you look at that ball more closely, you will show it is only showing 9% of hispanics, which will not be at all what the numbers are like -- i think it was 14% in 2012. that poll may be under representing a key demographic in that state. if that is true or even close to true, it says something important. mark: trump has shown movement over the last two weeks. is he still moving, or has he topped out? has the clinton campaign hit back or has trump hit a natural ceiling? i believe this data is suggesting he may well still be moving and he may well be moving in a number of places in a positive direction in those red states where clinton was thinking about challenging and a positive way for him in the blue states. he is still not th

nominate georgia congressman john price for health and human services secretary. about health care technology in general, and they said that federal funding will be very important in driving initiatives forward. any idea how the congressman or president-elect trump feel about that kind of technology? kevin: this is where it gets interesting. and financialorld worlds have a dipped a little bit, that's following brexit and the election here. a top surrogate for donald trump in the health care field. he was an early endorser of a donald trump at a time when it was not politically popular to and he was the architect of the republican alternative to the affordable care act. insect --tands on finsec and other things, but he -- that remains to be clear, but he is argued against the obama administration. this signals the president-elect trump is adamant about repealing and replacing obamacare despite that 60 minutes interview where to moderate of several aspects of it. top is a signal that his rallying cry on the campaign trail to repeal obama care is something he intends to follow through

special election coverage starting at 5:00 p.m. eastern time with a two hour with all due and john heilemann. then, our bloomberg election special the david gura and megan murphy. doing theirkets are best to anticipate the results tomorrow. there is analysts are predicting what a clinton or trump's victory will mean for the s&p 500. the banks think a truck victory could lead to selloffs. calling potentially 13% drop then. joining us from chicago now, research founder and president here in the city was mike mckee, bloomberg economic and editor. about theseing eerily similar situations of the brexit vote. a freeze in the markets, going the one way with reports. why won't this be a june 23? real feeling in the markets and elsewhere that brexit is the template. it was a different situation there. for one thing, you had a binary vote -- a yes or no. here, not only do you have the presidential race and the senate race you have millions of different kinds of referendums on the ballot. their reasons for people to turn out in ways that may influence the way that they vote. the biggest thing

you want it. carole: i need to create. ♪ mark: i'm mark halperin john: and i'm john heilemann. "with all due respect" when you say this election is enough. that was a gladiator joke. on our menu tonight, some juicy fbi updates. the deep dish and buffet of other news. a free range cut of the sights and sounds of this busy day on the campaign trail. >> what's up fayetteville? >> i'm happy to be at the hom

surprised that we did not see inflation sooner as the speech john was mentioning. jonathan: some further evidence is what we're told they need see. what do they need to see they don't see now, between now and december to hike rates? >> that's, of course, completely unclear, and that leaves a lot of guessing in financial markets. i can tell you equity investors come up with one answer, and rate investors come one another answer. it's not very helpful to say some further evidence. but i think it is a cryptic, secret language for saying we need to see continued job growth in the numbers today of 150 to 200,000. we need see continued wages and inflation, and if we are not seeing a dramatic breakdown in data, we are going to go in december. i think that really is what they're trying to tell us. jonathan: deutsche bank chief international economist and managing director. let's get an update outside the world of business. >> john, four days to go before the presidential election. both candidates campaigned in one of the battleground states, north carolina. hillary clinton took the stage with he

by myself on this record and some with john shanks. charlie: produced by john shanks. mixed by michael brower. jon: yeah, and new york guy. they mix, yeah, he was wonderful. charlie: the opening lines of the title track to say "these four walls have a story to tell, these doors are off the hinges." what do these lines mean? jon: here is the history and everyone is good to have their viewpoint of what has happened on this ride, on this roller coaster. it as the song goes on, says, this heart, the soul, this house is not for sale. in my integrity was called into question. did richie have a fight with you? was this about money? no, no, no. charlie: what was it about? things to deale with, and that's for him to discuss at some time, some place in his life and he is decided not to do this anymore at this level. and it's unfortunate. but i promise you, on your show and i have said publicly for years and it was never disputed, there was never a fight. he just didn't show up. there's a show that night. my phone rang. charlie: saying? jon: guess what? oh, no. charlie: did you expect it?

utah, where the independent candidate has fallen back to third. so, john, we will talk about the polls that are good for hillary clinton, but what do you see in the surveys that are positive for trump? john: welcome, look, the main thing is you start to get an incontrovertible sense that the race has tightened in this last period before election day. if the colorado poll were true, best news of the group, because that would suggest that what hillary clinton has relied on as being in the bag basically was not only competitive, but trump is ahead. if you look into that poll more it is onlyu will see showing 9% of hispanics, which will not be at all what the numbers are like -- i think it was 14% in 2012. that poll may be under representing a key demographic in that state. but if that is true or even close to true, it says something important about what is going on in this race. important. mark: trump has shown movement over the last two weeks. is he still moving, or has he topped out? has the clinton campaign hit -- what back or has trump hit a , natural ceiling? he is lower than 5

elemental question of service, military service. it was a defining one. sununu torom john you. bush nurtures the collapse of the soviet union. he kicks them out of kuwait, and he loses. mitterand loses. moroni loses in canada. the japanese prime minister loses. the australia prime minister loses. inramatic shift occurs international affairs. jon: the governor is right. it was a sense of an order changing. jon: exactly. charlie: and how it shaped the world. how fast it happens. look at the summer of 1945. winston churchill was given the order of the boot, as he put it in his memoirs. after six years of harrowing experience and a standoff against hitler's, i was dismissed by the british people from any conduct of their affairs. and his wife said it was a blessing in disguise. jon: exactly. this is important, this question, because i actually believe that george herbert walker bush has more in common, ,ulturally and temperamentally with the founding fathers than he does with current politicians, born into a part of society were public service was expected of you. this is not to make hi

with a two-hour with all due respect special with mark halperin and john heilemann. at 7:00 p.m., election special with david gura and megan murphy . coming up, more on the u.s. economy. joined by austan goolsbee from the university of chicago school of business and the foreman chairman of the council of economic advisers. this is bloomberg. ♪ vonnie: this is bloomberg markets. i am vonnie quinn. a long race for the white house with campaigns by hillary clinton and donald trump that they did two visions of america that were very different. here is austan goolsbee, an economist at the university of chicago who served under barack obama and is supporting mrs. clinton. he joins us from chicago. pass this campaign been any more bitter -- that typical campaigns. austan: it has been horrible, the most bitter campaign of our lifetimes. we have seen bitter campaigns in our lifetimes and hopefully we can get past it. vonnie: what will be the outcome? apart from the result, is this country still very much divided? austan: on some things, for sure. i just hope that with the election over

important u.s. news. john deere is such a bellwether for america, for international sales. howard ward, in a million years, this is one of the oddest press releases i have seen. deere,fic beat by john all due to cost cutting. the estimate was $.39, and they came in with $.90. directly above it, fiscal year sales growth, -1%. it is almost like the model of your world on steroids. cutting costs works. howard: it works, but the market does not pay up for that. you have to have the top line. that is a short-term thing they can do to help earnings. but without top line, the stock will go nowhere. tom: agriculture and turf sales, down 5%. that does not even include the john deere zamboni that i bought for the backyard rink. are you more optimistic about those kind of companies, given the trumpet economics? howard: not necessarily. if you start talking about things tariffs on items in the country, they will start wha cking u.s. farm exports. i would be cost us on that. because john deere is commodity ag driven, it is a different cycle than the rest of the economy. tom: we use apple as a metap

mark: john: i mark halperin. and i'm john heilemann. with all due respect to donald trump, that escalated quickly. mr. trump: this is going to be exit plus. times five.it this is brexit times 10. this is going to be brexit times 50. it's going to be brexit plus plus plus. a lot of brexits. happy election eve sports fans. tomorrow in all 50 of these united states, voters will pick the next leader of the free world. mark and i spent the weekend flying around with hillary clinton and donald trump, touching down in battleground states across the country as candidates made their final -- -- made their final dash to the end of this sometimes stomach turning race. that got me to the city of brotherly love where barack obama, michelle bon jovi -- michelle obama and jon bon jovi will be there for a rally. mike pence and donald trump are holding a monster rally of their own. today was a frenzy of more than two dozen campaign events. hello pittsburgh. mr. trump: florida is my second home. , we are going to win the great state of north carolina. >> we will win michigan. >> we have to make s

under management and john joins us now with a look at how they have been positioning themselves in uncertain times. have you taken a position in terms of the u.s. treasury markets on who will become the next president? are you waiting it out? john: we have taken some cautious positions ahead of the election. we think likely to be a vote for clinton that it's still too uncertain. effectively we have added duration back. although our preference is not to add it back through treasuries. it's to take exposure in other markets. we are cautious overall on treasuries. if trump is elected we would expect some sort of risk off reaction which generally should benefit fixed income markets. vonnie: you said that you generally preferred to look at other markets and terms of who will be the next president. what? markets might they be john: we expect bond markets to benefit a risk off move. other markets react in currencies. so bond markets generally government bond markets rally but we would rather markets like europe. the bond market, just as a hedge against a sort of sharp moved to low yields

different stories. looks like the john kasich republicans have come home. it will be tough for her. francine: we are trying to track the markets. foraccused me of studying this. but i do have seven key issues. we do worry about foreign policy. the poverty rate that has risen up under various presidents. i brought this back to 1975. the poverty rate is going down but inequality is going up? marty: i do think inequality is a prism to look through with this election. donald trump has stayed positively at 40%. and that represents people who feel that the economy has left them behind. same time, hillary clinton has kept the national lead. so it really isn't about the economy, it is about character. and ultimately the election will fall into that category. who do people trust? francine: the chart i was looking at were people, the percentage under the poverty rate. in red you can see the recessionary times back to 1975. tom: yes, i think this has been .art of the campaign marty schenker, this has been a cultural election the likes of which we have not seen. marty: that's right. i think ev

privatized, it is like a call option. scarlet: absolutely. john paulson, a donald trump advisor and supporter has a big that. better offey privatized and what would that mean for the overall economy? managing partner at graham fisher and head of research at the bonn agency weighed in earlier today on bloomberg tv. >> i heard a very different turn. fannie and freddie and government ownership since 2008. we have seen somewhat radical, ideologically driven proposals put forward in washington for the past eight years. none of them have focused on protecting the taxpayer. the government is still control leavinge way they do, the taxpayer fully exposed especially because they have no -- i heard that someone who actually lived on the desk and has a greater understanding for under a president who is a believer in making things happen and deals and not living the perfect being the enemy of the good, saying, it is time to let go of ideology and move toward time at his appeared a deal to be done for the benefit of the taxpayer, let's get it done. think the deal is, obviously, we do not know wh

turn off the opening is to turn off the entire peace deal. ♪ i mark halperin. mark john: with all due respect : to donald trump, who suddenly an expert on flag -- pres.-elect trump: i don't know what all of the stripes represent. john: mr. trump, can we ask for your birth certificate? on our political color palette tonight, trump's congress, and the green party's jill sign will -- jill stein will be on the show in a few moments.

mark: i'm mark john: and i'm john. "with all due respect when you say this election is enough. mark: on our menu tonight, some juicy f.b.i. updates. buffet of other news. john: a free range cut of the sights and sounds of this busy day on the campaign trail. >> what's up fayetteville? >> i'm happy to be at the home of the steelers. >> in four days we are going to win the great state of new hampshire. >> four days left. four days left. and the stakes -- the stakes could not be higher. >> we going to build a stronger, fairer, better america or we going to fear each other and the future? >> hillary clinton is the candidate of yesterday. we, you, you, we, are the movement of the future. >> understand the stakes here. my name's not on the ballot, but everything we've worked for is on the ballot. [cheers and applause] >> justice is on the ballot. [applause] >> equality is on the ballot. [applause] >> jobs are on the ballot. [applause] >> criminal justice reforms on the ballot. [applause] >> democracy is on the ballot. i need you to vote. >> the snapshot of public polling out today for the

car sector. john deere shares are nicely higher and the earnings winning streak continues. they made $.90 per share in which was 130%gs better than what they were looking for. they took their fiscal year 2017 that profit view up to 1.4 billion. the stock is already up more than 20% of the year and it looks like this run could continue. jonathan: coming up, why it might be now or never for parity with donald trump rejuvenating the so-called rejuvenated trade. head of commodities research had more's -- ed morse joins us. from new york, a transatlantic bloomberg daybreak. this is bloomberg. ♪ jonathan: this is bloomberg daybreak, from london and new york with guy johnson and jonathan ferro. equities, all-time highs in the united states, futures go nowhere. outperform ours up one quarter went percent on the ftse 100 driven by the miners. guy: we saw the same thing yesterday, a big gap higher. we have seen positive views from the mining sector out from asia. let's talk about what we are watching on the cross asset board. 1.262.le rate, we have been talking about what is happening w

mark: i'm mark halperin. john: and i'm john heilemann, and with all due respect to those who think this can be reversed, maybe, but only in postproduction. man, stuff has happened here in america. well, about last night, after more than a year of brain-twisting, reality-based in, you cannot make it up plot twists, the 2016 presidential race ended with one final, tectonic plate shifting 9.5 on the richter scale earthquake. hillary clinton woke up fairly certain she would be the 45th president of the united states. so did basically the rest of the political world. instead, this morning, the democratic nominee thanked a room full of grief-stricken staffers,nd campaign her running mate at her side, as she publicly conceded the race to donald j. trump and wished him well as the soon to be leader of the free world. secretary clinton: donald trump is going to be our president. we all him an open mind and the chance to lead. our constitutional democracy is thenes -- enshrines peaceful transfer of power. we do not just respect that. we cherish it. many of you are at the beginning of your pr

offering. can get it, willing to pay the price -- john said there's good enough options. people are not making the trip and not willing to pay up. they have depended to find exactly where they fit in the market. a lot of people think prepared foods, and upscale experience that people still want fresh produce -- david: any sense of the timetable here? craig: it's pretty unclear at this point. there's been a sense that something might happen with them. there's been persistent rumors that kroger's going to buy them. there's discussion that maybe someday takes them private. fix it up and then maybe bring it back. to, more pressure on them get their house in order. david: craig giammona joining me in new york. affordability of obamacare has been a hot button topic on the campaign trail. donald trump winning out rising premiums that's pointing out rising premiums. outonald trump pointing rising premiums. this is bloomberg. ♪ david: the debate surrounding obamacare continues. some under the program are finding the medical care they need is too expensive to actual use. joining us with mor

worries democrats is the x factor, the unknown. john: i think, it for the feel of it, i think you would acknowledge the trump momentum, eight, 10 days ago after the initial comey letter, dissipated. mark: there is no reason to think that it exists in some other way. even republicans are worried that they cannot explain how this happens. never a good sign. surprised if she wins florida and the race is effectively over early in the night. we hear about long lines at polling places, tactical watches , and it is no different this year. we have seen electronic voting machines down in at least half a dozen states with standard way times. pretty much par for the course, but donald trump's team is bigly.g them nevadaiscussed the new lawsuit in clark county, the big county around las vegas. stayed openions well past their closing time. trump is disputing official accounts that there were people in line when the polls closed. that would allow the polls to stay open. mr. trump: the people brought it up. i have great representatives in and a lot of other places, and they felt it was pretty ba

views of our expert panel. less, we talked global politics with american investor to germany john emerson. the 45th president of the united states mean for the world's most important central bank? we talk trump and the fed. ♪ is bloombergs surveillance, looking at capitol hill in washington, d.c. what a night. markets a little bit less anxious than they were when we started having news of the surprise victory for donald trump. i think the world overall is trying to get to grips with donald trump in charge of the world's biggest economy. this is treasuries. you see the five-year 1.29. i want to show you why, if we can take my bloomberg chart. this is the yield differential between 30 year and five year treasuries. earlier this night, 10 years fell to 1.71 percent, but have erased their yield to being unchanged. let's get to our expert panel. robert schapiro is professor at columbia university. bloomberg's marty shanker. and joining us from london, hsbc's steven major. onven, you are the expert treasuries. you had the bold call. is it change anything on when the fed hikes rates? s

, tonight through the weekend, important coverage on monday and tuesday. mark halperin and john heilemann , "with all due respect." they will make you smarter toward tuesday. this is bloomberg. ♪ tom: shows you where this bloomberg surveillance -- a busy friday. we killed it on brexit in the last hour. this hour we look to the u.s. and the economy. and aout kathleen hays conversation with paul krugman. here is paul krugman on chair yellen and the fed. paul: don't raise rates this year or next year. do not fire until you see the whites of their eyes. tom: this goes down to doing bush -- to dornbusch, the late rudy dornbusch. we are not even back to where we need to be, let alone to the overture that professor krugman wants. ellen: the fed has been implicitly showing us that they would like an overshoot of the economy, that that will help them get back to a 2% goal. in their own forecast tables, they expect the economy to read accelerate next year and 32018, above the economy's potential. the unemployment rate following below full employment. for that, which would show an indication that

. what is the upside for u.s. yields? are we at 2%? john: we will see very likely buyers creeping in from 185 up to 210. the u.s. looks as if it is offering that are yields than g7 bondhe rest of the market. if you are buying and you are an international allocator, the u.s. becomes extremely attractive even though there is a rate hiking cycle beginning arrest the wrath -- head of the rest of the world. they are both sticking with us. let's and up eight from headlines outside the business world. iraqi troops of entered the eastern outskirts of most all. they have captured the last town without suffering casualties. they are driving islamic state out of iraq. trumpy clinton and donald are preparing for the election to go into overtime. clinton has assembled a voter protection program that uses thousands of lawyers volunteering in battleground states. there will be a thousand lawyers ready to monitor polls and possibly challenge election results across the country. a pipeline explosion in alabama has caused the price of gasoline to surge. it's forced to shut its mainline. colonial pipelines

john: and i'm john heilemann. am with all due respect to donald trump, that escalated quickly. >> this is going to be brexit plus. this is brexit times five. this is brexit times 10. this is going to be brexit times 50. it's going to be brexit plus plus plus. a lot of brexits. ♪ john: happy election eve sports fans. tomorrow in all 50 of these united states, voters will pick the next leader of the free world.

. jeff: thanks, eileen. back to you, vonnie. vonnie: jeff mccracken, thank you. mark: john paulson went long when wall street went short. how his contrary that is beginning to pay off. this is bloomberg. ♪ david: john paulson has spent years lobbying for fannie mae and freddie mac. shares of the mortgage giants have spiked more than 80%. is joe light from washington. give us a sense of what john paulson has been up to, how he has been lobbying. companies ate two the center of the u.s. mortgage market and there taken over by the government in 2008. after the government took them they left many shares of fannie and freddie outstanding. hedge fund managers like john theson recognized, as crisis was turning, that fannie and freddie may be seeing more profits than they had before and started snatching up shares. now managers like john paulson are basically agitating for some of fannie and freddie's profits, which are all going to the u.s. government to be sent to shareholders instead. so paulson has been hiring lobbyists to try to get into the gears of lawmakers to try to change the policy

fines. and the departure of ceo john -- johntem pimc stumpf. pimco is losing its position as the world's largest fund. a federal judge has upheld a u.s. law that bars creditors from filing suits against puerto rico. the ruling offers a temporary reprieve to a u.s. territory struggling to emerge from a decade-long economic crisis. that is your bloomberg business flash. barring a dramatic turnaround, donald trump is on track to become the first republican presidential nominee to lose among white voters with a college degree. clinton has an average 12-point lead among white college gruas. that might be enough to deliver her the election win. graduates are not going to decide this, are they? >> anytime you are adding up the numbers in an election, it is a game of subtraction and addition. this is a group that republicans have historically relied on. obama lost this four years ago b. he lost by a more narrow margin eight years ago. but this is a republican group of the electorate that is usually in the bank. and donald trump has struggled with this. it's not just that they are even, c

sides guilty of exaggeration, half-truths, and scaremongering. joining us is john micklethwait. the tone. john: how you define to satisfied people? scaremongering? francine: the daily mail, it was shocking to see that. the headline on friday after the high cohort -- after the high court decided they needed to be a vote, and the headlines said public enemy number one. this brought us back to germany. there were nine judges of the time before a certain man was elected saying actually, these nine judges are against democracy. oft shocked me at a lot british people was the fact that theresa may didn't jump to the rescue saying you know what, the courts need to be independent. they can decide, after all, parliament is elected. the british people want brexit, i don't see why it's such a bad thing to go to parliament. it was shocking that it took her 24 hours to release a statement saying she has the full confidence in the high court and judiciary. jonathan: i will try and take some of the drama out of it. they are trying to stop brexit from happening. prime minister made herself has kind

poll in utah where evan mcmullin, the , independent candidate have fallen back to third. john, and a second we are going to have a lot of holes that are good for hillary clinton. what about these surveys seems positive for trump? john: look, the main thing is that you are starting to get an incontrovertible sense the race has tightened in this last few days before election day. if that colorado poll were true, it would be the best news in is whatup, because it hillary clinton relied on, not only competitive, but that trump is ahead. if you look at the poll a little closely, it is only showing 9% of hispanics. that is not at all what the number was like. i think it was 14% in 2012, so that poll may be under representing in a key demographic in that state. if that is even close to true, it says something important going on in this race. mark: trump clearly has shown movement over the last two weeks. the question is is he still , moving or has he talked out? -- topped out? is he getting a natural ceiling? we know that he has a natural ceiling that is lower than 50% to be sure. i believe

coverage all over the city. and john fryer join us from our european headquarters. what have we learned in the last hour? walk us through it. patrick: remarkable really. i think everybody thought because it is likely to go to the supreme court the government would walk this stage, but not so. the judge decided to bring against the government, saying triggering article 50 would be against law. jonathan: the government says they would appeal the decision. talk about process from here, the legal process. how long could this take? patrick: the legal team today suggested there was a four-day slot set out in december for the supreme court. usually they will hear that in a ruling will take about 12 weeks to come through, but i have been speaking to the legal teams and they are expecting one around mid-january because of the importance. jonathan: a look at the market reaction, the pound is stronger. won'ts not mean brexit happen, but did it move the dial for the markets? guy: we do not know i think is the simple answer. there is still a lot of butguity surrounding this, the market thinks the po

what? that was a john hicks moment. think we are probably going to go down that road, and it is lovely to go down that road. talking of doctors -- what do we hear from dr. carney? bank of england releases its rate decision. back at 8:00 a.m. in new york, 12:00 p.m. in london. all of that is coming up. this is bloomberg. ♪ tom: "bloomberg surveillance." it is gorgeous. guy, i don't get the architecture in london. i'm sorry, i'm like prince charles. i don't get it. sure thatnot entirely one should consider the london skyline as representatives. tom: how about the forex report right now. the clarity there, dollar-peso, the trump indicator, a weak peso this morning. that important bloomberg poll is out an hour ago. guy? americas" isk: coming up shortly. david, what are you excited about? electionally, the u.s. is dwarfing everything in terms of the markets. we have david cote talk from cumberland -- we have david kotok from cumberland. levkovich from citibank talking about how the equity markets are reacting to the polls that just came out. and the u.s. steel ceo -- they had earnings com

performance for the rest of the trump presidency. nejra: simon john and of m.i.t. -- johnson of m.i.t. said it would lead to a crash and global recession. will be a there selloff of 10%, possibly 20 percent. bestnk trumps policy is fiscal stimulus for the u.s. economy. we are seeing it in the u.k. here as well. populism is coming. trump is the most egregious example of it. fiscal policy is coming to replace monetary policy. already exhausted. the electorate have worked it out that they have no choice but to take this step. nejra: we would love to have you back in six months and see if your call on the election is right and if risk is coming back. isaacs.i six -- thank you so much. hillary clinton is doing in early voting. we will take you through the battleground states. this is bloomberg. ♪ nejra: i am nejra cehic. withis the european close less than 15 minutes to the end of equity trading in europe. vonnie: i'm vonnie quinn. early voting is underway in u.s. battleground states. the numbers are telling hillaryg stories about clinton's campaign strategy. where her team is feeling co

night and we expected and he has read john -- redrawn map. >> a state that has been blue since 1992. donald trump poised to become the president of the united states of america. that is good to donald trump election night headquarters. our colleague has been there all night. kevin, give us a sense of the rejection in the room there upon hearing the news that the ap has projected pennsylvania will go for donald trump. folks in the conference room behind me have not learned officially that pennsylvania, the ap has called pennsylvania. this is the first time since 1988 that a republican presidential candidate has won the states of pennsylvania. this is a remarkable feat. this is donald trump banking that the western portion of the state, the coal miners in the states, the refinery workers in the state, that his message will cut across party lines and resonate. course, it signals that hillary clinton was not able to have the turnout, particularly in philadelphia, to match that turnout of president obama. i think what you are seeing in pennsylvania and quite frankly, the closeness in the

looks like the democrats think they have this one in the bag. john: on a day when the new york times delivers thrilling details, we strike a musical theme on the show tonight. but first, the polls pick up tempo. can barely keep up with the onslaught of surveys from key that flooded our inboxes today. with less than a week before e-day, florida remains a razor thin race. donald trump is ahead by five percentage points. north carolina, clinton leads by three. pennsylvania, clinton leads by five points in one poll and four in another. in wisconsin, where donald trump campaign yesterday, clinton is up by six. in colorado, it has shrunk to three points. in virginia, she is up by five percentage points. in arizona, the state just last week that her campaign was talking about winning, donald holds a five-point advantage. clinton has a small lead among independent voters. that is a lot of data. mark, you have been on the campaign trail and up in wisconsin, and in iowa today with rudy giuliani, paul ryan, bill clinton, all over the place. in this jumble of data, as you look at it from y

private companies with implicit government backing for the government took them over. john paulson has been making big bets on these. seeing both agencies their shares more than double in value since the election. anald trump has not given specific plan coming to this but investors are betting that he will potentially make it so that their profits go back to shareholders and not just to the treasury. this is something we are keeping a close eye on, certainly something john paulson is benefiting from. there is a bloomberg news story today that take a look at how john paulson over the years has been putting money into lobbying the government over a change in policy directly and indirectly so that the company and shareholders can benefit from the return and profitability to their bottom line. joe: during this limbo state where they are still public retreated but they get paid back. the courts ruled that the shareholders could get the money, the shares can be worth a lot more. scarlet: right now it is a paper game. metals, mining, emerging markets usually move together. but there is a

mark: i am mark halperin. john: and i am john heilemann. with all respect to king trump, it looks like the democrats have this one in the bag. ♪ on a day when the new york times delivers thrilling details from a new tribe called west album we strike a musical theme , on the show tonight. including donald trump's change of student -- change of tune. but first, the polls pick up tempo. can barely keep up with the onslaught of surveys from key state polls that flooded our inboxes today. with less than a week before e-day, florida remains a razor thin race. in one poll, clinton is up by one point among likely voters, in another, she is up by two points. in ohio, donald trump is ahead by five percentage points. north carolina, clinton leads by three. pennsylvania, clinton leads by five points in one poll and four in another. in wisconsin, where donald trump campaigned yesterday and mark halperin was, clinton is still up and six. her advantage in colorado has shrunk to three points. in virginia, she is up by five percentage points. in arizona, the state just last week that her campaig

mark: i'm mark halperin. john: and i'm john heilemann. and "with all due respect" to october, you better hold on to the sugar is been a whole lot than tree. ♪ john: happy halloweener, sports fans. in our pillowcase of candy hillary clinton hits a sour snickersdonald trump, and the fbi throws out a , fireball. but first, federal agents in a whatchamacallit. fbi agents now have a warrant to two searchers is 650,000 e-mails found on the computer of carlos danger, the former husband of hillary clinton's top aide. since james comey informed the congress about this messages which he called pertinent, the agency's previous investigation, we have learned a lot about intra-government feuds, but virtually nothing about what is contained in the e-mails. the election is one weekend one day away. clinton was on the campaign trail at kent state university, trying to keep this story from spinning out of control. >> i am sure a lot of you may be asking what this new e-mail story is about and why in the world the fbi would decide to jump into an election with no evidence of any wrongdoing with j

: john: i mark halperin. and i'm john heilemann. with all due respect to donald trump, that escalated quickly. mr. trump: this is going to be exit plus. times five.it this is brexit times 10. this is going to be brexit times 50. it's going to be brexit plus plus plus. a lot of brexits. happy election eve sports fans. tomorrow in all 50 of these

john: i am john heilemann. mark: and i am mark halperin. with all due respect is 7-eleven , allegedly donald trump is a wawa man. ♪ we are just one very endless week away from election day. wisconsin,au claire, where donald trump is holding a rally tonight. questions swirl about whether his narrow after presidency is maybe widening a bit. they are making a final push for votes everywhere. trump announced today, he is a spending $25 million over the next few days for tv ads here in the badger state and other blue states, including colorado, virginia, michigan, and new mexico. clinton's campaign intern is making six-figure busy in each -- buys in each of the states that seem to save in her column. trump is on a bit of offense here in wisconsin. tim kaine is appearing, bill clinton going to colorado. hillary clinton today had some harsh words for political opponent, and this explanation of why the rays might get more data before it is over. at a rally today, clinton went back to her tried-and-true tactic of this campaign for her, she appeared on stage with the miss universe

that moves forward tonight at 5:00 p.m. with mark halperin and john heilemann, and onto david gura and megan murphy through the evening. francine lacqua will be here in the early you new york morning -- early new york morning -- francine: 1:00 a.m. announcingl be senate. let's get to our bloomberg first word news. taylor: we have heard the final speeches of a bitter presidential campaign and americans will decide. hillary clinton and donald trump made their last pitches in states that are still up for grabs. : hillary clinton is the last stand for the wall street and special interest donors to special interest themselves. hillary is the face of failure. .he is the face of failure she is the face of failed foreign policy. : bring out your friends, roommates, strangers on the street, just stop and talk to them about what is at stake in this election because north carolina is key. taylor: polls show clinton with a narrow lead. three battleground states are expected to be the first where we will get returns, north carolina, pennsylvania, and florida. germany has arrested five men accused o

special that begins at 5:00 p.m. it is a two hour special with mark and john heilman. we follow that up with david and megan with our 2016 election special coverage. >> mcelroy ahead on the election -- more ahead on the election. it will be the first change in administration since the financial crisis. alan greenspan weighs in on what challenges are ahead to the nexus us president. this is bloomberg. markets. bloomberg i am matt miller along with charlotte charlotte. >> alan greenspan has seen his share of change in government. he joins bloomberg america this morning. ey asked him how the functional political environment set against the fed chair. >> i don't think the markets understand exactly what type of future there is out there, and that is causing a considerable a lot of uncertainty with either possible nominee. i don't think this is a usually strictly analytical approach to solve this. there isn't any. we are on ground not covered previously, and we are going to have to fend our way along. >> it is ground not covered because we have a lot of behavioral regulation as well as ot