. bill: the political world is watching wisconsin for this week and that is all that matters. martha: i'm so glad i'm not that dunk tank. i'm martha maccallum the average of recent follows shows ted cruz with a 6-point lead over donald trump. john kasich comes in third. of course, the people still have to vote. wisconsin is on the national stage. tuesday night we have rick perry and lyndsey graham and jeb bush and carly fiorina, and wisconsin's own governor scott walker. >> if we can win wisconsin on tuesday we'll blow them out the rest of the way. the numbers in new jersey are through the roof. they are through the roof. so we are going to win all this stuff. >> accumulate delegates and be able to build momentum going into the convention. we'll see how we do here. hopefully we'll get a few delegate and it's on ward. martha: you have got 42 delegate up for grabs in the damager state tomorrow. what's the latest you are hearing on the ground there? reporter: we are hearing a lot of protests by a group called "f" your flag. they put an american flag on the ground and they stomp on it. t

about to make an endorsement in wisconsin. ted cruz is making a big push for that endorsement. >> we have been trapped in stagnation. trapped people out of work. wages stagnating. my number one priority as president will be jobs and economic growth, bringing jobs back to america nothing can replace brad. then liberty mutual calls, and you break into your happy dance. if you sign up for better car replacement™, we'll pay for a car that's a model year newer with 15,000 fewer miles than your old one. see car insurance in a whole new light. liberty mutual insurance. >> i'm a big, big fan of scott walker. he's a terrific governor and a strong conservative and he led this state and is very, very effective. of course, i would welcome scott walker's support. bill: in 20 minute we should get the endorsement from wisconsin governor scott walker. senator, welcome back to our program here. the badger state is now in the spotlight. have you spoken with scott walker recently? >> within the last couple weeks but not the last couple days. bill: do you know what he's going to do? >> no, you will be

turning point. with his win in wisconsin, is it enough? martha: ted cruz won the badger state by 13 points. ted cruz will pick up the lion's share of the 42 delegates, making donald trump's road to the nomination trickier. >> tonight is a turning point. it's the rallying cry. a call from the hard working men and women of wisconsin to the people of america. we have a choice. a real choice. bill: the trump team with this statement calling ted cruz worse than a puppet. he's a trojan horse being used by the party bosses to steal the nomination from done. martha: bernie sanders has won seven of the last eight contests. bill: byron york, chief correspondent with the "examiner." but my coverage starts with mike tobin. in wisconsin. reporter: a massive network of volunteers people say are responsible for the turnout and the win last night. >> rick perry and i lyndsey graham and jeb bush, and carly fiorina. and wisconsin's own governor scott walker. when you toss in senator mike lee and mark levin, we have got the full spectrum of the republican party coming together and uniting behind this

and baby are feeling great. bill: the stakes are high in wisconsin. voters are at the polls. martha: good morning. ll: i'm bill hemmer. martha: i'm martha maccallum. good morning. the republican race is shaping up to be heated tonight. you have got donald trump, ted cruz and john kasich all battling for the nomination. >> you will say it was the single greatest vote you ever cast. that's when our country became great again. we'll make america great again. thank you, wisconsin. go out and vote. >> wisconsin has a reputation as a national podium. a victory will change the outcome in states to come across this country. >> cruz is saying he's taking my voters. trump is saying he's taking my voters. they are both right, i'm taking both of their voters. bill: bernie sanders keeping up the momentum after winning five of the last six contests. byron york from the "washington examiner," if the polling is right, cruz wins. but for ted cruz, this is almost a must win for him. go. >> absolutely. it appears to be getting a little bit closer. the marquette poll really shook the race last week whe

have a brand-new poll showing movement in the next race. ted cruz is up in wisconsin and that may put donald trump on a longer road to the nomination. martha: we have two hours. i'm martha maccallum. let's look at the fox business network poll. ted cruz is up by 10% in the badger state. you have got john kasich in third place. that ups the chances of a contested convention, putting more importance on the big meeting that happened yesterday with the rnc, days after he backed out of a pledge to support the potential republican nominee. >> it was a very good meeting. we met with reince priebus and the staff. it's really a unity meeting. we have far and away the most delegates. millions of votes more than anybody else or ted has or kasich has. i get along with people very well. we had a very good meeting with the rnc. bill: this man gets along with people very well, too, chris wallace. >> i hate april fool's day. my feeling is life is tough enough, we don't need to make it tougher. bill: we'll give you a pass for now. what are we hearing? what came of this? reporter: not a lot more than w

thing. bill: brand-new polling numbers show a split decision in wisconsin. martha: you got ted cruz up by 10 points in the latest polls in wisconsin. this was a race that was neck-and-neck. but a different picture when you look at donald trump's home state of new york. trump walking into a political buzz saw over the issue of abortion. take a listen to this extended clip so you have the context of it. here it is. >> should the woman be punished for an abortion? >> this is something you can't dodge. you have to deal with the law. should abortion be punished. >> people in certain parts of the republican party and the conservative party would say yes they should be punished. i would say it's a serious problem. >> do you believe in apunishment for abortion yes or no. >> there has to be some punishment. >> how long? >> i don't know. >> why not? you take positions on everything else. bill: his opponents wasting no time to make the most of this? >> of course women shouldn't be punished. donald trump will figure out a way to say he didn't say the or he was misquoted. >> what he said today w

trump loses in wisconsin, it's difficult to see how he gets to 1,237. a lot of this is murky. he does need to win and get over the hurdle. if he doesn't, then the question is how short of 1,237 does he get. that sets more than the combined delegates. and that's a very difficult thing for him to scoop up one or two delegates to get over. and delegate psychology. if he's shy of 1,237, it's up to say no one crossed the finish line and it's up to us to fix it. delegates will be wary of violating the popular will. bill: i think you are right about the importance of wisconsin. rubio is holding on to his delegates. i think we have him at 164, you have him at 171. why do you think that's such a big deal that he's holding on to his delegates. >> they are bound to him and that reduces the pool of goreable delegates for donald trump when the horse trading begins. moreover, it will be contested he will have these delegates. we'll start with a credential fight on the floor. and the more you have those fights on the floor, and the more you make it seem like everything is up for grabs, everything is

wall of democrats whether it's minnesota, wisconsin, michigan or pennsylvania. at some point in the evening if he's doing all right in north carolina, florida, and ohio. bill: that would then need to turn another state from blue to red. >> my gut is pennsylvania looks like it's most likely. we came close in 2000 and 2004. we came within 5,500 votes in 2000 and 11,000 votes in 2004. but times have changed and his appeal is different and it may be that michigan or pennsylvania is more likely. >> i add new hampshire and pennsylvania to that. is -- if s pennsylvania in any one of the states carl just point out, florida or north carolina, it's game over pretty early in the night. i agree with the states he put up there. but i would be looking at new hampshire, too. because if trump can win new hampshire, that starts putting even that narrow electoral strategy of this getting to 70 with one from maine or pennsylvania. what did you see that was significant? >> the hispanic turnout everywhere. pretty much everywhere it's way up there. the fact the democrats didn't get the same margin out of

we enter this week of campaigning in wisconsin you will hear that a lot from ted cruz. bill: ways your guess about how this plays the out about american policy? how does cruz go after trump or vice versa? >> two big thing. i just mentioned accusing trump of being an isolationist. probably the bigger one is cruz and his allies, accusing trump of not knowing have much about foreign policy. you have to come away with the impression trump has not done and lot of studying to back up his instincts in foreign policy. you will see cruz and his allies hammer on that. as far as trump is concerned, you will $see him say what he's always been saying, there is no candidate as strong as he is and who can implement the policies he talks about. >> byron york for amal $is in washington. >> bernie sanders found some new momentum as he headed into this week. the vermont nor swept the weekend's contest by big margins. he's describing his wins as part of a comeback. he says he expects to close the gap with hillary clinton in the northeastern states. and he says he has work to do and maybe a big mounta

weekend, everybody. by donald trump is back on the trail hitting the critical state of wisconsin. this a day after he declined to endorse house speaker paul ryan. ryan maintained his endorsement but said it's not a quote blank check. liz: notable republicans will be missing at trump's rally. scott walker and senator ron johnson. bill: trump questioned that and his focus. >> he's had a strange run since the convention. it seems that we should be focusing on hillary clinton and all of her deficiencies. she is up a weak candidate one would think we would be on offense again hillary clinton and it's distressing that that's not what we are talking about these days. liz: donald trump and governor mike pence will hold a separate rally this afternoon. but what will trump do to try to regain some traction in the polls. reporter: people are wondering if there is anybody trump will take advice from. and this morning he says there is. he revealed a new economic advisory council an plans to work with them to revitalize the economy and that plan will be introduced on monday. also some new deta

worry about that. i represent wisconsin. i'm the speaker of the house. what are our ideas and solutions? we'll have a standard bearer and one of those people will be running for president. we are developing the standard. the standard is what are our principles, solutions and ideas so our country has a clear choice in the fall to make. we'll have a standard bearer join us that cleveland. bill: in cleveland i heard your answer numerous times. but you are the chairman of the convention. if they rewrite the rules which they can do, someone can put your name into nomination. i know you like -- >> you know how that would look? i don't think it's right. bill: if they put your name in nomination, what will you do? >> i would say remove my name. i made a conscious decision in 2015 not to run for president. i believe we in the country decided years ago not to have people coming out of conventions where delegates make the decisions. we set up the system so voters would inform delegates how the party selection is made. i don't know if we'll have an open convention. but assuming we do, i b

in wisconsin, calling it sad and ridiculous. martha: what a weekend, right? peter doocy live outside of trump to youer in new york city. so, peter, do we expect we might get a decision on secretary of state or any other post as early as today? reporter: we think it is possible, martha, because the transition team had been telling us to not expect anything until the week after the holidays. so that would be today and they are always full of surprises. so we are here outside of trump tower just waiting for word. to expand a little bit on the controversy surrounding the secretary of state, what is important to note is that kellyanne conway, you heard from there is the person the transition team has been using almost exclusively to get word out from the inside, from the top tier of the transition. she has been a very he vocal anti-mitt romney voice for the last several days. there has not been anybody from the inside of the transition team coming out and pitching mitt romney, talking about the pros of possibly having him as the secretary of state. so that sounds like it is going to be ki

some ways in which i think the wisconsin primary he can posed weaknesses that he will have to make up for. bill: our projection has him 40% short in california. there is a field poll in california. >> it's a fascinating poll. they find that trump has a statewide lead of 39-32 over ted cruz. but ted cruz is leading in some of the state's most populist areas where most of the areas will be awarded including los angeles county. if cruz does well there, he could maintain that lead. he could split delegates coming out of california which wasn't something people expected when they looked forward to the june contest. bill: these are just projections, folks. martha: , wisconsin, they knew 10 days ago wisconsin wasn't looking good for them. the whole family was out there with him yesterday. bill: you have got new york on the calendar and the last tuesday of this month. five different states including the northeast. martha: it turns out the two democratic candidate are at each other's throats. senator bernie sanders stepping up attacks on hoik. talking about donors, fat cats, the voting reco

coming out of wisconsin, right? there were so many pundits that next day saying this is the unraveling, terrible, terrible week, worst week ever for donald trump. all of that seems to have disappeared now. >> that's right, because of new york. look, new york is donald trump's stomping ground. even though he lost his home borrow of manhattan, look what he did around new york state, bothdown state on long island, nassau, suffolk county and upstate. you want to know something? next bunch primaries in the northeast mirror kind of counties we saw in new york. so i think donald trump, wind is at his back. he should very well in next set of primaries of the he may be short at convention he will not be short by much. martha: in a weird way might be good for him that he lost his home county, reflect as lot of establishment in many ways. >> exactly. martha: places that he won is much more reflective of real folks across this country. it is interesting. so take a look one more of these exit polls, we went through them more in lot of detail this one is something the republican party wil

robert following trump as he campaigns in wisconsin. but we begin in washington, byron york, you heard it, size it up from trump. >> there are some thing we have seen before. an intensified fight against isis. finding common ground with russia. but the heart of this whole thing is an idea long cal test. but trump is going back to the early 1950s. congress passed laws through which the up s. could he can collude communists from coming to the united states. this was a period of intense conflict. it started in the 50s and 60s and congress chipped away at them in the 70s. trump is saying we need a new idea lon -- newideological test. bill: but it was a policy. bill: i think the new phrase he used was "a new cold war." >> i call it extreme, extreme vetting. our country has enough problems. in addition to screening out all members of the sympathizers of terrorist groups, we must also screen out any with hostile attitude toward our country or its principles. those who do not believe in our constitution or support bigotry or hatred will not be admitted for immigration into our country. b

a victory in wisconsin on april 5th and take those 42 delegates, it would give a sense that the momentum has shifted or at least trump's momentum has stalled, and then everything is sort of back to the beginning. i think that's the scenario -- you could also see a scenario where the contest continues to move beyond those states, cruz does well with very conservative primary voters, and john kasich steals some delegates in states in the northeast and midwest where he's expected to do well. bill: let's comet back to that count -- come back to that counter in a moment. there's a group of conservatives meeting in washington, d.c. today. what will that accomplish? >> well, these are conservatives who don't want donald trump as the nominee, and they object to trump on philosophical reasons, i think for principled reasons x they're doing one of two things; can we stop donald trump in this process, in the context of the republican primary process if we consolidate behind ted cruz. if that doesn't work, they want to set up con ton -- contingency plans where if donald trump seems to be at

moment. first president-elect donald trump took the big thank you tour to wisconsin last night. two well-known locals, paul ryan and governor scott walker. reince priebus was there as well. mike pence on the stage. lots of wisconsin guys and one from indiana in the vice president. mr. trump singing praises of his pick for secretary of state. there are indications there will be pushback here. he spoke very favorably of exxonmobil ceo rex tillerson. >> rex will will be a fierce ade for america's interests around the world and has insights and talents necessary to help reverse years of foreign policy blunders and disasters. [cheering] you're winning with health care. we're winning on the border. we're winning with isis. because we are going to get isis out. we're going to win so much, you will go to paul ryan, you will go, mr. speaker, please, please, we can't stand winning this much. we can't take it. and he is going to come to see me and he will -- mr. president, the people in wisconsin are tired of winning so much. >> more on that today. start with team fox coverage, david lee mille

janesville, wisconsin. no one is really talking about this race until donald trump praised paul ryan's opponent. reporter: the sitting speaker of the house has never been dethroned. but then donald trump refused to endorse ryan and praised nehlen. the endorsement was read off a piece of paper. some say as much attention as trump attracts, he does not carry a lot of weight. >> the southeast district where paul ryan is did not vote for trump, it voted for cruz. wisconsin was overwhelming for cruz. reporter: paul nehlen is called the speaker of soulless globalists. he has done ads showing off his tattoos. he challenges ryan to an arm wrestling match. nehlen was thrown out of a trump event with people saying he didn't have a ticket. abby: there is talk of wisconsin going red for the first time since ronald reagan. >> it doesn't help trump in the southern part of wisconsin because paul ryan is terribly popular here polling 80% of conservatives. >> trump is an underdog in wisconsin. you think it might be a decent state for trump because it's whiter than the national and. there are a l

. in wisconsin we were down 20 point, three weeks before the elect on show hike this, people would say how are you going to win in wisconsin. we have the flekability to deploy our resources as we wish to. bill: massachusetts, alabama, florida. he will call collusion. what would you say to primary voters who are trying to figure out whether they vote and the party decide? >> at the end of the day the majority of the republican primary voters do not want to see donald trump as the nominee. the way we get there is by having a two-person contest in as many places as possible. bill: thanks for coming back, ron. martha: despite all their problems, the irs is still getting bonuses. congress is trying to do something about that. bill: a flying airplane. that's what airplanes do. relying only on the power of the sun. may sound like science fiction. it's about to come true. ♪ comply with me, let's fly, let's fly away ♪ mary buys a little lamb. one of millions of orders on this company's servers. accessible by thousands of suppliers and employees globally. but with cyber threats on the rise,

republican challenger in the primary in the fir congressional district of wisconsin. but paul ryan has been in office for 16 years. he had a primary challenger in 2012. the louisiana type sarah palin cape to wisconsin was right before that april 5 primary. he spoke to the milwaukee county republican party and i was there. the audience sat on it hand the whole time. she had a hard type getting any response. bill: what did that suggest? >> it suggests sarah palin is not the most popular poll figure in wisconsin. wisconsin when found out is a different thing. after ted cruz beat donald trump so handily in wisconsin, we thought be is this a turning point or is wisconsin unusual? we found out wisconsin is unusual but that's where paul ryan is elected. martha: donald trump turning his fire to hillary clinton. >> she i married to a man who hurt many women. hillary hurt many women, the women that he abused. martha: strong word. trump invoking bill clinton's infidelity scandal. bill: twisters tearing through the heartland. the latest on the destruction they have left behind. plus there i this.

period and i would finish off with wisconsin where their off about 51,000 in that period, almost 140% and that's what trump has been going after, you know, for the past two years. the other thing i would offer here in deep blue pennsylvania now, this is right here where joe biden grew up, you know, trump won the county. look what that was four years ago. this was an easy win for barack obama by 5 points and now you see the way this flips and you can go through this map and just kind of pick and choose wherever you wanting to, up here in north eastern ohio, i talked about this at 2:00 o'clock in the morning earlier today. this is deep blue america, at least it had been in 2012 and in 2008 and in 2004 and now the shift as it goes from democrat to republican in favor of donald trump. but it's really -- tells us a fascinating story, martha, as we dive into the numbers as to how he was led to victory. we have so many more examples too and we will pull you up a few next hour or two. martha: thank you so much. thanks, bill. how did the polls get it so wrong? tom, good morning. >> good m

: balance of power contested in 39 days, key race in wisconsin. millions of campaign dollars flooding into the state as ron johnson faces off against a man whose seat he took. russ feingold. from the midwest bureau, what are we seeing in this hotly contested rematch? >> an interesting dynamic, the antiestablishment furor that got ron johnson elected in the first place is alive and well. the question is who is antiestablishment. the incumbent, ron johnson with one term, russ feingold with three terms and the senate. >> 34 year career politician, very little to show for it. during that same time i actually helped start a business in wisconsin, created good paying jobs, know how to grow a business, we need to grow the economy. >> i am proud i served in the united states senate but in this case he is the senator. when you are a senator talking about national security you don't show up 50 or 60% of the hearings that have to do with homeland security, that is a problem. bill: outside money is coming in shy of $7 million for third parties in wisconsin, most of it is anti-finance. who has a leg up

thing stopped momentum, i will say that, the firewall broke, michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania, ohio didn't come through and without that you're not going to be president of the united states. i would say that there's no question that there was a bit of momentum that was challenged in the last two weeks but in retrospect we wished we did different things in michigan and wisconsin. heather: rich. >> they should have nominated another candidate. she was vulnerable to some bad breaks at the end and she got them. but that happens in campaigns and the democrats knowingly nominated a candidate under investigation by the fbi. that has never happened before and no one ever would have thought it was a good idea before and it cost them. heather: not only that, i had brain room pull statistics, in terms of the state that she actually went to and this was 33 states that she did not go to from the post convention period of august through election day. 33 states. that would have made a difference as well. >> yeah, there's no question, i think, they regret some of the campaign moves. they had a hug

balance of power? wisconsin republican senator ron johnson will be here live, but first here is congressman devon knew necessary. >> after the several meetings that the congress had with director comey, he was quite clear that the investigation was done and that he would only open it if there was significant information. we asked a group of young people when they thought they should start saving for retirement. then we asked some older people when they actually did start saving. this gap between when we should start saving and when we actually do is one of the reasons why too many of us aren't prepared for retirement. just start as early as you can. it's going to pay off in the future. if we all start saving a little more today, we'll all be better prepared tomorrow. prudential. bring your challenges. martha: lawmakers from both sides of the aisle are now demanding briefings from the fbi on these newly-discovered clinton e-mails. as all this plays out, the impact could potentially tip enough down-ballot races to change the balance of power in the senate, which the democrats are

coverage of the recount in wisconsin. this is quite an interesting political tale going on here. coming up in the next hour we'll speak with trump's transition communications director jason miller about that, and mr. trump's cabinet picks so far. we'll talk to jill stein who initiated that, or who most people think initiated that. people think hillary clinton may behind it as well. we'll talk about that. bill: blue wall has been bulldozed. pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin. wow. eight minutes past the hour. martha: so we're also learning new details about the appaint lone wolf terrorist attack at high state university we watched unfold yesterday morning. abdul alley art town plowed people over with his car. got out of the car and slashed people with a butcher night. we initially thought it was shooting playing out at the ohio state university. authorities looking at his facebook posts where he ranted about treatment of muslims around the world. chief intelligence correspondent catherine herridge looking at this from washington this morning. good morning. >> thank you, martha. fo

. he could do well in wisconsin a week from tuesday. new york state two weeks after that he has the opportunity to pick up a lot delegates. and there is one more note in that fox poll. they ask people, should any candidate who has the most delegates, even if he has the most delegates going into the convention, should he be the guy who gets the nomination and the majority said yes. bill: asked if you were scared if donald trump or hillary clinton or some of the other were elected president. 49% said trump and 33% said hillary clinton. that tells me he has some work to do. >> a huge amount of work. trump said i can be presidential any time i want to. but right now i have to get rid of these other guys trying to beat me. i think these numbers suggest he ought to get presidential sooner rather than later. general election voters share enormous concerns. this is a vase between one unpopular candidate and one really unpopular candidate. voters don't like hillary clinton have much either. but donald trump has a lot of work to do on that score. bill: byron york in washington. patti ann: sec

this campaign is only going to continue and grow as he heads to florida, i head to wisconsin. i think last night will continue to mine kate to the american people that on one side of that stage you had a 30-year career politician, highly-scripted. on the other side you had a candid leader ready to make america great. bill: you say mission accomplished based on that answer across the board? >> i do. i think he had a great night. tough understand, hillary clinton has been at this level for three decades. bill: i get it. twice she came back to the same line, trumped-up, trickle down. >> i just remember when they used to demean ronald reagan's tax cuts with the same language. the truth is that what the american people heard last night was two contrasting visions for how you get this economy moving again. hillary clinton literally said on national television that she wants to raise taxes. she wants to grow government. that she wants to continue the war on coal and radical, liberal climate change agenda that is literally helped drive this economy into a ditch. donald trump for his par

their ballots for hillary clinton and who are having a bad case of buyers' remorse. wisconsin is one of several states where you can change your early ballot if you think you made a mistake. a lot of stuff has come out since you voted. >> when i think of what we now know about donald trump and what he has been doing for 30 years. he still has spent a lot of time demeaning, insulting and assaulting women. he has shown us who he is. let us on tuesday show him who we are. bill: we begin our covering this morning live in florida. john roberts in miami where trump hold the first of three rallies. john, good morning there. reporter: donald trump will be at the bayfront ampitheatre. it hold people. if he can pack the place out, it will be a good visual for him in terms of generating enthusiasm. here in miami-dade county he is substantially behind in the early and absentee voting. republicans in the overall ahead in the state of florida. let's put up the results of the latest tracking poll. take a look at this number. this is interesting. the honesty and trust worriness number. donald trump

year. love to hear about those kind of stories, they make me feel safe at home. wisconsin holds a total of 10 electoral votes and they could be big. the last seven national elections have gone to democrats in that statement this year, some analysts believe it could be anybody's game. my toe and live in madison where he has spent a lot of time the past couple of years. out of that statement? reporter: you heard the party leaders like paul ryan and governor scott walker reluctantly throwing their support behind donald trump, saying essentially he would be the alternative in the way the gop has evolved in wisconsin, party membersvoted for the team . >> it's always a battleground state. there's a very real possibility that the badger state could go for the grand old party for the first time since ronald reagan area they have a democrat to thank for it, the demonstrations and attempted recall in the republican governor galvanized wisconsin conservatives. multiple elections of governor scott walker forced leadership to keep the machine well oiled. >> there is a republican machine. they

, of the gap. he's got to win a pennsylvania or a wisconsin or a colorado or new hampshire and michigan or some combination thereof. and it's an inside straight. difficult to do. people do it, but it's really, really tough to do. bill: all right, karl, we're going to show the map in about 30 minutes. thanks, see you real soon, karl rove there in washington d.c. thank you, sir. 20 past. martha: so donald trump making his case to voters with a major speech over the weekend. >> it's a contract between donald j. trump and the american voter, and it begins with bringing honesty, accountability and change to washington d.c. [cheers and applause] martha: so we're going to show you the elements of what he listed and went true in that gettysburg speech over the weekend, but most of what the media reported about the speech was the threat that he made to sue the women who have accused him, he says falsely, during the course of this election campaign. he called that another instance of unfair coverage. howie kurtz joins us to break that down. bill: also thousands of service members being told to gi

democratic states like wisconsin and michigan, say she were to do so kay in virginia and west carolina. she is close to getting the 270. if not colorado, look at pence strain yeah. the point is in this scenario, ohio, florida and pennsylvania are still out there. if she were to take one of them, she would get to the number of 270-plus. the daily tracking poll, the abc tracking poll for if the first time shows trump leading. trump at 46, clinton 45, and what that shows you how close this is, byron. it also begs the question in a close race like this given the headlines of the last week, these close states that rich hawms discussing, does this story flip any of the states from clinton to trump? >> we know there have been a lot of changes in the last week, the final seven days of an election. abc tracking poll with trump with a 1-points lead. it showed clinton 12 points ahead not long ago. that same abc tracking poll showed mitt romney ahead by 1 points one week ahead of the election and john kerry ahead by 1 point a week before the election. but it also showed changes in the las

. donald trump's running mate will be in wisconsin campaigning side by side with paul ryan. martha? martha: he's been a stronged a row captain on the campaign trail for the top of the ticket. >> what concerns team trump 4 days out? sir, thank you for coming back here on "america's newsroom." what concerns you? >> everything concerns me. i'm a pretty obsessive person, so everything concerns me whether it's early vote, absentee, election day activity. things we don't know that may happen tomorrow or the next day. everything. if i worry. bill: the new hampshire poll 42-42. 502% suggest they are less likely to vote for hillary clinton because of the f.b.i. investigation. how do you see that playing out now? >> it's what the message as bent entire time. it was someone in a position which is one of the highest positions you can have. she couldn't be trusted with the most basic task of being secretary of state which is to protect information and protect our secrets. she continues do it. talk about a wild year. potentially this classified information we know we are getting reports that it'

say cruz has his back against the you'll. bill: cruz won in wisconsin. but there are significant differences. >> after that big win in wisconsin, cruz people said keep your eye on indiana. that's where it would happen again. but talk radio was a huge force for ted cruz in wisconsin. it's not been as strong for ted cruz in indiana. governor scott walker's endorsement was very meaningful. here governor mike pence, his endorsement was relatively late and lukewarm. it's the first time and it's the first day before the election. so it hasn't worked out the way it did in indiana. bill: trump is there, he's holding rallies, what about you seeing and hearing from him. >> his argument is basically, this is over. let's just put an end to all this campaigning. we have seen around the country, some evidence of republicans deciding the best idea right now to support donald trump. i think his argument has become an argument of inevitability. that changed when ted cruz became math mathically eliminated. after that, donald trump has basically been saying, i have won, let's put a stop to this. by

attest in your home state, state of wisconsin, some of those same voters obama won. it is same reason that obama ran on hope and change. they expected hope and change. their pocketbook issues continue to fester. they continue to pay more for obama care despite people like me saying it is great, people have access to health care and more taken out of their checkbook every day for health care costs. they don't see the economic recovery is affecting them directly. they continue to hope for vote and change and somebody who will commit to them, obama committed to them. their financial issues are growing to get bert. i hope donald trump comes through. bill: don't take my word for it, or even krauthamer, this is president obama almost two months ago to the day, september 17th. when he said this in washington. >> i will consider it a personal itslt a insult to my legacy if guard and fails to activate itself in this election. want to give me a good sendoff? go vote! bill: and they did. >> they did. this is repudiation on his legacy. this is a legacy built on, this is sandcastle. built on a exe

about indiana being like wisconsin. and maybe there is some truth to that. midwestern state, et cetera. but in wisconsin, ted cruz has the backing of thes are republican party establishment that he rode to victory. so far they have not stepped forward to you mort him. >> in iowa they didn't either. when you have governors or high-profile individual who may not have weighed in, endorsements are interesting thing. but people make their decisions on their own. and i think that's what they are going to do here. the indiana voter is going to look at which one of these is consistent conservative. which one do they think can ask change washington, d.c. all this talk about donald trump being an outsider which he is. but ted cruz is not exactly an inside guy. bill: this is ted cruz pulling up to sarah's pancake house in indiana. he's not yet closed the argument. and he may not. >> the game is not over yet. i go back to being able to stay in the fight and make the pitch to the end. if it goes to a contested convention, then you have got a completely different environment there. and that's how we

this race will play out. >> kasich will lose in arizona and utah. he will lose in wisconsin. bill: you think john is going to get out? >> i think when you start losing and losing your money dries up. he's a good man, but at this point what he's doing doesn't make any sense unless he's auditioning to be trump's vice president. bill: cruz was on "fox and friends." he's making the case kasich has to get out. >> i can't compete with ted cruz's analysis of the race. he's just about right. we are seeing a lot of movement from the establishment wing of the republican party to put the pressure on kasich to get out. kasich ran in place behind the candidate who weren't in the race anymore. there is a lot of pressure for john kasich here, and cruz does seem to have a path, though john weaver, an influential adviser. i think utah shows that's not the case, that he does have a path going forward. bill: what we awoke to this morning was jeb bush endorsing ted cruz. what does that signal? >> it signal the what i was just talking about. you have a lot of folks from the establishment wing. mitt ro

about. bill: he flipped six states that obama won twice. >> you bet. bill: wisconsin, michigan, ohio, florida, iowa? >> pennsylvania, iowa. bill: so eventually he's going to get to all these states and to time. he still has to make a big decision in secretary of state. what do you think of the public dance with mitt romney? it is my sense that he's really trying to figure out whether or not he can make this work. what do you think? >> i'm happy that they have reminded america that frog legs are delicious. and i think that's important. because they are. but -- [laughter] the other thing that it does for trump is it shows that he is willing to listen to other people. now, you have to be careful. romney has been a very gracious gentleman. he has, despite having obviously some very strong feelings about donald trump's character, he has said only nice things about trump. he has come to trump twice to visit him at his country club and then to go to his hotel for dinner and to be there and play the supplicant role. there's a limit though. you can do that a couple of times. at a certain poin

pence prepare for the debate, he played tim kaine. bill there are walker in wisconsin, there is a great senate race going upon between ron johnson and russ feingold. martha: the big question for donald trump is whether he can pivot. getting the question, receiving it, and giving a little bit back, then going forward. bill: i chicago they call that chum -- i think they call that chum in fishing. martha: the governor of florida is giving an update as his state braces for a direct hit from hurricane matthew. this is rick scott saying people on the coast need to be good and ready. >> the storm continues to move closer to our state. there is a forecast of a direct hit on our state. regardless of whether there is a direct hit or not, the impacts will be devastating. everyone must prepare for a direct hit. don't trust that the storm path is correct. martha: it's a big one. it's been churning out there. it's a category 3 at the moment. as it moves towards the bahamas. florida is expected to start feeling if the effects of the storm tomorrow. you will get heavy rain, massive storm surge th

of serious and systemic health care failures at v. amedical center in toma, wisconsin. this is still going on, folks. doug mckelway live in the d.c. bureau. doug, there is a new twist. seems like the fault lies with the watchdog who is supposed to be guarding against v. aabuses. you how could this be happening? reporter: that is exactly what is happening. these abuses came into light as as a result of senate inspection of va at the toma, wisconsin, medical center. i.g. did not quote, release its investigation report which concluded two providers at the facility prescribing alarming levels of narcoticses. the chief of staff at the time, houlihan who was nicknamed candy man because he doled out some bills. use the i.g. did not release the investigation there was no follow up with later close the case. five months later 35-year-old marine vet died from mixed drug toxicity after that doctor, known as the candy man, prescribed another drug to the 14-drug cocktail the patient was already taking. >> he was frustrated. they put him back on one medication that they had him on earlier he

running mate trying to shore up support in wisconsin, trump trailing by double digits this week. mike pence telling supporters that the media has muddiedthe waters with biased coverage of hillary clinton, uses point . >> it really is amazing. it seems like every day the national media latches onto some issue about my running mate. the only thing they're not talking about is anything having to do with hillary clinton. did you ever notice that? seriously. after attacking my running mate for comments he made at a rally and on interview shows, talking about secret service conversations that never happened, phone call that never happened, i got to be honest with you. the media is so busy lying about donald trump it's like they don't have time to tell the truth about hillary clinton. bill: mike pence making his case on the stump in wisconsin. the last republican to win in wisconsin, ronald reagan in 1984 . martha: donald trump down on his statement that barack obama and hillary clinton cofounded isis you meant that he created a vacuum. >> know, i thinkhe's the founder of isis, i do . martha

locations in milwaukee, wisconsin. clashing with police, throwing rocks at officers. after a black officer killed and shot a young black man. police say sylville smith ran from officers after a traffic stop and turned toward them with a gun. national guard standing by to keep the peace in milwaukee. we'll see how it goes in wisconsin. >> donald trump set to explain how he would deal as president with isis. watch this. >> they're rampant all over the world, probably they're rampant here too because we're taking in some people. martha: coming up, we talk to trump campaign foreign policy advisor about the big speech, get some of the specifics that he will roll out today in ohio. what is his plan to destroy isis as he says he will. plus this. >> we're coming. >> i will break the window. >> we're breaking the window. >> this was wow, aing stuff. deadly flooding claiming at lead four lives in louisiana. these crews rescued tens of thousands. why this desperate situation could get even worse. we'll take you there live. martha: thousands of people forced from the homes out west as crews fi

week? >> it's much more the latter. clearly wisconsin was a good state for ted cruz. he had the conservative movement in wisconsin backing him. that's to a certain extent why he did well there. donald trump looks like he's in a position to do well in new york. then pennsylvania, maryland, delaware among them. i think you are looking at a long slog, a battle to june 7 and california and new jersey and a battle on to the convention where the most likely outcome is a contested convention. the friel question is whether donald trump can amass the 1,237 delegates he will need for the nomination on the first ballot. if he doesn't his position is far weaker and there is less chance he will be the nominee. bill: with regard to trump, do you see him changing as a candidate and as a campaign? >> no, i think donald trump is who he is. there was some talk this week that he was going to shift to a serious tone under paul manafort and we haven't seen that. what we have heard is a lot of complaints about the process in colorado. suggestions that the game is rigged. finger pointing at reince pri

idea. but i'll tell you what is not a good strategy. something like going to wisconsin and attacking paul ryan. paul ryan has the highest favorables of any republican in wisconsin. i don't know how he thinks that's a winning strategy. attacking the green bay packers doesn't make sense. bill: debate number one was 23 days ago. you worked toward debate number 2. the numbers went wider and wider. the get is why. did debate number one make that much of a difference to put us in the situation where you are today or were there other factors? >> absolutely it was his best opportunity. it's always the first debate is that chance. but the amazing thing is because hillary clinton is so unpopular he got a second chance. i went back and looked at the polls. hillary clinton was up by 2.3 percentage points. the day of the second debate she is up by points. now she is up by 7.5. this race could change. trump never made up this ground. there was a period in june and july where he made up 7 points. it took him 40 days to do it. he's got 20 days now. >> it's hard to see how he can fashion a strategy t

1. >> blowout. >> places like pennsylvania and colorado today, we could be talking about wisconsin and michigan in two weeks. martha: which was his original plan. till people that he can turn things around. thank you, guys, great stuff. bill: we can say anything because right now we're all right. [laughter] martha: we can run it tomorrow. we have the technology. bill: thank you, guys. have a listen to this right now. >> i think he speaks a language that people out there can understand and so i think he's going to have a good night. bill: what version of trump will we see tonight priebus live. martha: creating a level playing field. will the candidates stay inside the lines or throw the rule book out tonight. bill: it's any one's game. 11 hours from now, will that change? can donald trump seize the moment? looks like ronald reagan did. remember this? >> important to the american people. >> governor. >> there you go again. what powers the digital world. communication. that's why a cutting edge university counts on centurylink to keep their global campus connected. and why a pro footb

tightened, virginia has tightened, wisconsin and michigan are the next tier out although we did have a poll that shows clinton's lead dropped in michigan. >> the university of denver has clinton and trump at 39-39 apiece. the trump team was in studio last week and said look out, colorado. if he were to take colorado, he's at 274. he's at the number. colorado is one of those states -- it's been really swingy. clinton had a big lead there and it disappeared in september. then she busted out to a substantial lead in october. but it represents opportunity. there are only 9 electoral votes in colorado. but it could be huge in the final analysis. thank you, sir. martha: five days to go and you come along with us. we'll get you all the facts and analysis on election night. we have poll coverage fair and balanced. when you just watch some of the coverage over the course of the last 24 hours, i was struck by the fact that bret's reporting and catherine herridge's reporting of the investigation that's clearly ongoing into the investigation was barely picked up in a lot of places. an f.b.i

dollars to spend. she didn't go a place like wisconsin. the road map was very similar. same road map four years ago or eight years, you had to win the states and she lost the states, key states by a hundred thousand votes. she basically got as many votes as obama, maybe exceed that by the end. i don't think it had anything to do with her being a woman. at the end of the day, it was a flawed campaign and sometimes she wasn't a great candidate. she spent all of the month of august raising money in the hamptons. i don't think it has nothing to do with it being a woman and with my dear nancy, took a long time for time magazine to make an editor in chief, nothing to do with nancy's skills but certainly today i think hillary could been the time person of the year if she would have won. martha: she could have. even if she did win donald trump might have landed on the cover because the task forit is sort of who stirred the most controversy. that probably wouldn't have happened. jessica, is it wrong to fall back on the woman excuse here? >> you know, i don't know that what she was saying necessari

. he's popular in wisconsin, but not popular nationwide. the trump supporters will remember this. so i don't think this will work out well for paul ryan if he continues to try to distance himself. >> it seems when mr. trump gets into this spiral of going after people on twitter, it's very distracting to the issues of his campaign. is there sort of a 21-day effort under way to turn this thing around in the polls are not looking great. judging from everything his campaign is saying about how rigged it is, it gives you the feeling they are pretty concerned too. >> what you call a spiral i call a man defending himself against the false narratives. martha: i'm merely point out when those episodes happen and continue, his numbers don't go up. when he stays away from that stuff and stays focused on the border, isis, improving our position in the world. that's when his numbers tend to get better. >> he tries to stay focused on them. the media with the exception of fox news doesn't allow him to focus on them. he does want to get back to the issues. he talks about them every day. thousands of am

of wisconsin in 10 days? >> you mentioned this at the beginning of the segment. but a lot of media coverage of this and a lot of donald trump spin has been they try to win over each other's wives. and super pac published this photo that was originally published in "gq." his hour gas said they went after donald trump's wife so we are going to go after his wife. donald trump is the one who ramped this up and not only just went after ted cruz's wife and said maybe i'll spill the beans on her but also tweeting an unflattering photo of heidi cruz which is categorically different than the offending ad that ran on facebook. bill: trump said i did not start the war with lyin' cruz. he knew the pac was putting it out. truck said you hit me, i'm going to hit you back harder. >> ted cruz did not hit donald trump on his wife. this is an important thing to remember. this is a falsehood being perpetuated by the trump campaign and trump himself, that this was started by ted cruz. it's important to note that and remember that as we talk about this. i think there is an escalation that donald trump

. martha: mike lee was never on board. paul ryan uninvited him to a wisconsin events, what does he do now? >> paul will have to make that decision himself. before it's important for republicans to stuns what this is about. it's about we do the next four years. if it's a question of a rotten mouths saying something disgusting and hillary clinton taking the country down towards socialism. the question is clear. you cannot have hillary clinton as the next president of the united states. all the concerns raised are appropriate. the tape was disgusting. he apologized for it. i still think folks have to focus on the fact we have to decide whether we want four more years of obama or a major change. trump did a good job under scoring that line in the debate last night. martha: there have to be people talking that line yesterday who today say, well, he has the guts to say what republicans have been trying to say and frightened to say, frankly for years and years and years. so whether he wins or lose he's always going to be the guy to go there. >> most importantly he laid out what the three or four

for michigan, wisconsin. these places that trump thinks of very, very fondly that helped make him the president. the other thing, i think one of the really important things that he said, you played it very early in the show, he said this is a very brief window, a very brief time to get things done. what he is doing here, not sort of rubbing it in, not just doing a victory tour, trying to build enthusiasm for those 100 days in office when he will have a very brief time to try to do a number of the things that he want to do. if his public support as soon in rally after rally, big crowds, a lot of enthusiasm, that will help him in washington. bill: it was not a sellout last night. it was disappointing to the trump team. they were there four weeks ago, mid-october, month 1/2. apparently streets were blocked down. bridges were closed down. traffic was a mess in cincinnati. that may have had a factor. we'll talk to andy card in 45 minutes to figure out how trump is changing his own life and getting used to being president the way things change around him. general mattis was rumored yesterda