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tv   Beyond 100 Days  BBC News  November 19, 2018 7:00pm-8:01pm GMT

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you're watching beyond 100 days. the cia now reportedly believes the saudi crown prince ordered the killing of journalist jamal khashoggi. but donald trump seems happy to accept the prince's denials. the president said the prince had called him at least five times to say he wasn't involved. the cia doesn't agree. amid reports the mueller probe is wrapping up, mr trump says he is now unlikely to sit down for an interview with the special counsel. also on the programme... what happened to the tory rebellion? the eurosceptics are struggling to find the numbers to force a vote of no confidence in the prime minister. and have you noticed how effective the finns are at preventing wildfires? it must be all that raking. hello and welcome. i'm katty kay in washington, and christian fraser is in london. in the case of who ordered the murder of saudi journalist jamal khashoggi, donald trump
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appears to trust the word of an autocratic ruler — even though his own intelligence service reportedly disagrees. in an interview with fox news yesterday, mr trump was asked whether he believed the cia's reported conclusion that mohamed bin salman, the saudi crown prince, ordered the killing. here's the president's reply. he told me he had nothing to do with it. he told me that, i would say, maybe five times at different points, as recently as a few days ago. do you just live with it because you need him? well, will anybody really know? but at the same time we do have an ally and i want to stick with an ally that in many ways has been very good. those comments come as saudi arabia's king salman bin abdulaziz addressed the kingdom's shura council today. in the speech, he lauded his country's judiciary and public prosecution for "carrying out their duty in the service of justice". but, tellingly, the king made no mention of the jamal khashoggi case. our chief international correspondent, lyse doucet, has more from riyadh. these speech was widely anticipated.
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he doesn't speak in public very often. it was thought that this occasion, his annual address, would bea occasion, his annual address, would be a moment, however obliquely, to refer to the issue still making waves around the world, the murder of the saudi journalist jamal khashoggi. but there was no direct reference and there was only the most subtle of hints, if you want to read between the lines, in the king's address. he praised the prosecution and the judiciary, saying no crime would go unpunished and they should not deviate from god's laws without discrimination or disqualification. he also talked about improving governance in the kingdom, which is an absolute monarchy, and about avoiding any excesses or mistakes. afterwards i spoke to some members of the
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council. they said perhaps today was not the place to raise those kinds of issues. you speak to so many saudis and you know this dark cloud will hang over the kingdom for a long time to come. one female member of the council said, we felt we were making progress and showing the world we we re making progress and showing the world we were pursuing reforms, but the —— that the kingdom was changing. other —— whatever saudi arabia does here, 21 individuals in custody, 11 indicted, five, say the prosecution they will seek the death penalty for them, but the question will continue to be asked around the world. who ordered the murder of jamal khashoggi and just how high up in the kingdom did it go? the trump administration have put saudi arabia and the crown prince at the centre of their middle east strategy. mr trump said this weekend the saudis are a "spectacular ally". that is not a view universally shared in congress. senator lindsey graham said this week the crown prince is a "wrecking ball".
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if you know anything about saudi arabia, and a thing about mbs, the fa ct arabia, and a thing about mbs, the fact he did not know about it is impossible for me to believe. he is irrational, he is unhinged and i think he has done a lot of damaged to the relationship between the united states and saudi arabia and i have no intention of working with him everagain. have no intention of working with him ever again. lindsey graham. president trump will receive a full report tomorrow on the murder. will that change anything in the white house's response? joining me now is michele dunne,a former us state department official who is now at the carnegie endowment for international peace. thank you for coming in. let's start with what the different topic union seems to be —— the difference of opinion seems to be between the white house and the cia about who ordered the killing. we have seen a lea k ordered the killing. we have seen a leak from the cia that they have determined analytically, bill —— based on ample circumstantial
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evidence, that crown princess mary is and actually ordered the killing. we have seen president trump relu cta nt to we have seen president trump reluctant to acknowledge that. —— crown prince mohamed bin salman. this is the rising leader of a country with which he had hoped to work really closely. frankly, he has two options and they are not appealing options. one is to signal to the saudi royal family one way or another that he will not work with mohamed bin salman. and the other is to try to shield mohamed bin salman from face. then he will have an ongoing confrontation with congress. talking of congress, you heard lindsey graham, a known hawk, saying he will not deal with mohamed bin salman any more, that he is a wrecking ball. what does that mean? what power does congress have to ta ke what power does congress have to take richard reid of action against mohamed bin salman if they believe the cia is right? —— action against.
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they can find lots of ways, frankly, to ta ke they can find lots of ways, frankly, to take it out of the administration if the administration is pursuing policies with which the congress disagrees. they can certainly do things like block arms sales to saudi arabia in the future will stop then there is the whole question of diplomatic engagement, criticising president trump and others in the administration if they meet with mohamed bin salman and so forth. what we have seen is very surprising. six weeks after this brutal murder it has not been dropped. members of congress and very senior senators, republicans and democrats, are digging in their heels and saying, we don't agree with just returning to business as usual in this relationship after this brutal murder. i noticed last week thatjohn bolton, the national security adviser, was in the uae meeting the crown princess mary. i would suspect
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they will try to use this as leveraged to wind up the war in yemen, won't they? certainly. this is being used as leveraged to convince both the saudis and the emma ratty ‘s, to show that they are willing to take steps to wind up the war in yemen, perhaps also to mend the breach with qatar that has been very inconvenient for the united states and others. but that still leaves unresolved this issue of mohamed bin salman in his future. the concern is that we have this very young leader, very reckless, who has shown no ability to learn from reckless steps he has taken in the past, just taking one more outrageous than the other, who is about to ascend to the throne of this important country. michelle donelan thank you forjoining us. that recklessness transcends to the
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war in yemen. i thought it was a fascinating interview with fox news. although he was pushed several times, donald trump, what happens if this major ally has lied, what then? most presidents, at least in a public interview, would say, if he had lied, there would have to be steps that were taken, i would be displeased. but trump didn't even wa nt to displeased. but trump didn't even want to say that. it was is almost as if he's was trying to say, we have to find some kind of cover. we know that he is not particularly concerned about human rights and a free press. he has said that publicly. that will not be part of american policy —— foreign policy under his administration. he is concerned about doing something about iran and he does not want to risk alienating the saudis. he has a useful ally when it comes to dealing with iraq. it is reminiscent of the way he approaches the problem with president putin. he is putting the word of an autocrat over the
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intelligence services? yes. it reminded me of that. vladimir putin has told me he didn't interfere in the us election, he has denied it to me. with donald trump seen —— that seems to be ok. they are dangerous times for theresa may, but for now, the backbench rebellion appears to have stalled. the eurosceptics who last week vowed to topple the prime minister, are still short of the 48 letters of no confidence, required to trigger a challenge. it doesn't mean they won't get them — but given the reticence of some, would the rebels be able to remove her even if there was a vote. if the prime minister wins that vote of no confidence she can't be challenged for a year. and there are concerns among some brexiteers they might inadvertently cement her position with a vote. some appear to be holding back, hoping they can still persuade her to change the agreement. there doesn't appear to be much appetite for that in number 10 nor in brussels. this was michel barnier earlier today. now, more than ever, we must all remain calm, and i will remain calm and keep our focus on the need
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for the uk to leave the eu in an orderly fashion. for more, i spoke a brief time ago to the bbc‘s europe editor, katya adler. we have been seeing how much the british politicians are divided on the draft agreement. what is the response from european leaders? luck, it is broadly supportive, i would say. regardless of what is going on, all that political turmoil in the uk, because the uk cabinet approved the draft text of the brexit withdrawal agreement last week, eu leaders are pushing on with plans for the special brexit summit in brussels on sunday. they want to put this chapter behind them. that said, there are storm clouds over the text of the brexit agreement here as well. they are not as
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menacing as they are in the uk. for example, today spain complained the withdrawal text doesn't make it clear enough, it says, that the negotiations cannot apply automatically to gibraltar. it's very unlikely they will try to veto any of the process, but they are at the moment asking for a written clarification. if we look at the second brexit document, it is called the political declaration on how the eu and the uk expect their future relations to look like after brexit, the eu chief negotiator said today it would be ambitious economically and strategically. theresa may said it would be a deep and special partnership. but france and germany, the eu powerhouses have made it clear they want the text to spell out to the uk that live outside the eu single market cannot be as comfortable and is profitable and as easy as 011 comfortable and is profitable and as easy as on the inside. we heard michelle bernier calling this a we heard michelle bernier calling thisafair we heard michelle bernier calling
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this a fair deal today. —— michel barnier. they seem to realise they have to try to help theresa may through these difficult days. is there anything really that the eu could give her or do for her to make passage of this bill more likely through parliament? well, of course. remember having the cake and eating it? that is what theresa may's critics want. they want to leave the eu but they want the economic benefits of the eu. that is something that all of the european capitals have said from the start. uk, if you leave, you can choose the kind of relationship you want. if it isa kind of relationship you want. if it is a close one like norway, it comes with its own regulations. it means paying into the eu budget. it means allowing the free movement of people. it means keeping much closer to all of our regulations, even when you are on to all of our regulations, even when you are on the outside. however, if you are on the outside. however, if you choose a free—trade agreement
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like canada has, for example, with the eu, it is much more of an armed's links relationship but it doesn't have the economic benefits of the single market. theresa may has always promised that after brexit the uk could enjoy frictionless trade with eu. but frankly, that was what the single was designed to do, to provide frictionless tread. that goes back to what germany and france are saying right now, that regardless of whether it is in this non—legally binding declaration on the future, or b final trade deal, that only starts being negotiated in earnest after brexit, it will not be possible for the uk to leave the single market and have frictionless trade. that is what theresa may's critics want. it is not what the eu will deliver. all the problems about the irish border, the guarantee about the irish border, if that were loosened that would help theresa may. but that is a red line the eu is absolutely determined not to step back from. it looks difficult for
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her. they will not unpick this withdrawal agreement. they have said this very clearly. katya adler in a very chilly brussels. get in the once. thank you. thank you. 0ur political guide rob watson is here with me now. a day at the time for theresa may at the moment? it is. i am sitting here rather chastened. my wife and kids we re rather chastened. my wife and kids were watching when katya adler was in town last week. they said, one, i am too close to you guys. and the other thing is am too close to you guys. and the otherthing is i'm not am too close to you guys. and the other thing is i'm not as well groomed as you are. i like your wife! theresa may's problems other than mine. short—term, medium—term, long—term. short—term is so —— will bea long—term. short—term is so —— will be a challenge to our leadership? each hour that she survives is a little take forever. the medium—term
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problem is can she get this deal that she has been busily selling through parliament? the third one is that ina through parliament? the third one is that in a way this is the biggest problem, after britain leaves the european union next march, what is the future relationship going to be? she has sort of done better on numberone she has sort of done better on number one today. no challenge has materialised so far. anyone who follows me on twitter will know i strayed into my old job again. i'm number crunching and looking at the numbers in the house. if you take away the ten dup votes, things look very different in the house of commons. this is suddenly a minority government. that brings its own dangers. past brexit she will have a problem as a leader because she will be running a minority government?” don't like the term past brexit. she will certainly struggle. i do think past brexit in our dreams. this gets
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to the medium—term problem. you're right about the number crunching. nobody looks at this can see how theresa may get deal through parliament because, as you say, she is in parliament because, as you say, she isina parliament because, as you say, she is in a minority. a considerable numberof is in a minority. a considerable number of conservative mps, the brexit purist utopians, have said they can't possibly vote for it. the labour party has come out in the la st labour party has come out in the last few hours and said they would definitely do what it can to stop it. here is the thing. the one thing there is a majority for in parliament, andl there is a majority for in parliament, and i hope i'm not getting too much into the meat here, is that britain does not leave the european union without a deal. the shadow brexit secretary saint are night he would be prepared to vote in the no—confidence motion to stop that happening —— saying tonight. few weeks before brexit, mps think, i've got a choice no real or this. thank you very much. donald trump says he is unlikely to sit down for an interview with special
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prosecutor robert mueller and that written answers to questions about russian collusion in the 2016 election are enough. the president says mr mueller‘s questions were "very easy", his responses are expected to be submitted to the special prosecutor this week. a year ago, mr trump said he was eager to sit down with mr mueller directly and be interviewed. that has now changed — "we've wasted enough time on this witch hunt," the president said yesterday. so does this all mean that after a year and a half, the infamous russia probe is nearly over? with me now isjonathan turley, constitutional law professor at george washington university. thank you for coming in. the president saying this was easy. we entered all of the questions. do you think you fully understands the significance of this probe and the potential peril it could be for him? may the five scariest words the white house lawyers have heard, this was easy white house lawyers have heard, this was easy answers. white house lawyers have heard, this was easy answers. nothing is easy about the russian investigation. the majority of people thus far
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indicted, us citizens, were indicted for misleading statements. there is nothing easy about it. what is geyger happened next is great to be more difficult. now that he has answered the questions on collision, robert mueller could finish that pa rt of robert mueller could finish that part of the report. e—cards to give them a collision report in congress through the acting attorney general. congress could then start to move, particularly in the house, if they feel there is something that needs to be investigated. and then, this might get even more wicked. he will then turn to obstruction. and those are the questions the president has not answered. so robert mueller will be left with the choice ofjust taking it on the chin and doing another report to congress. or am i kidding the president with a subpoena. that is one of the suspicions people have about the president's desire to keep this acting attorney general in place. this individual named whittaker. whittaker is viewed as an ally of
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the president. he might not be there if there is such a purpose to kill the robert mueller investigation. he mayjust be there to block a subpoena. that subpoena will have to go through the acting attorney general. a 2-stage process? yeah, but what with the implications be for matt whitaker if he took that route? it would not be good. a numberof route? it would not be good. a number of people would cry obstruction. the question is, what would they be able to do at that point? if the democrats want to proceed towards impeachment, they may be losing run way to get that off the ground. they only have two years. they will have to move. any move towards impeachment would require an investigation. subpoenas ta ke require an investigation. subpoenas take time to get through the courts. time is on the side of the white house right now. you're could be written answers he is sending in this week, could there be a perjury trial in those answers for the president, even though it might not
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be followed up with a face—to—face interview? most certainly. the president has a history of self—defeating statements. there are isa self—defeating statements. there are is a cringeworthy moment every day, notjust on twitter, is a cringeworthy moment every day, not just on twitter, but when he speaks to the media. the funny thing is he is actually fairly transparent. he says what is on his mind and it puts the white house lawyers into faecal positions every time they hear the president speak about some of these issues. —— vtol. the answers are written. you have a host of lawyers looking over them. i would think the risk is probably small for these answers. is that why president trump as mark the investigation, saying, they arejust going to say to me that the sky was blue and actually that they it was great, nobody can get out of a perjury trap? the polls indicate the american people are turning robert mueller, that the investigation is becoming less popular. he has
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succeeded in that. he also, to be fairto him, robert succeeded in that. he also, to be fair to him, robert mueller has not filed anything to suggest there is a direct collision connection to trump. this could be like an agatha christie movie where he gives all the information in the final scene. but those far, the narratives have not corrected trump to collision. thank you for coming in. everybody is waiting for the robert mueller report and a growing sent in washington they have to get on with it. jonathan is right. he doesn't say what he thinks. here is a tweet he said at the weekend. adam shipped will be the thorn in the side of donald trump. i am not going to read it out because i think it is pretty self—explanatory. do you think that isa self—explanatory. do you think that is a typo? if it was a typo they left it there for unlawfully long time. if you have made a typo which is as rude to somebody as this particular typo,
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changing the name, the white house would have taken that down. they have not. the tweet is still up there. kellyanne conway was asked about it in the driveway of the white house, if it was a typo. she laughed and walked off. my believe it is not a typo. he knows that he will be a problem for him. he likes nicknames and he is starting to develop one. we know that mr trump fights back against his critics. we also know that being a decorated military hero does not protect you from the president's wrath if he feels wronged. even so, his comments about admiral william mcraven this weekend were startling. here's why. mcraven is notjust any admiral. as commander of the us joint special operations command from 2008 to 2011, mcraven oversaw the navy seal mission in pakistan that killed al qaeda leader 0sama bin laden. he spent the last three years of his career as commander of the us special operations command, before retiring in 2014. mcraven is famous for not getting involved in politics, but he has expressed grave concerns
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about mr trump's repeated attacks on the press. here's how the president responded to that criticism yesterday. he's a hillary clinton backer and an obama backer. and frankly... he was a navy seal for 37 years. wouldn't it have been nice if we got osama bin laden a lot sooner than that? here he is criticising a military hero a week after not going to armistice commemorations in paris and not going to veterans day at arlington cemetery. he says he's putting money into the military but he sends thousands of them to the border in time for thanksgiving. what do the troops think of him? well, president trump says he has been the best president there has ever been for the us military because he has expanded the defence budget in the country. but there is a recent poll showing that
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disapproval of the president among members of the military has actually risen. it was 37% in autumn 2016. look at the number know today. a year on. 43%. a six—point rise is not an enormous rise in disapproval amongst the troops. but you have to set it against the huge expansion of the us defence budget. you might think extra spending would mean people had got happier with him, not less ha p py. people had got happier with him, not less happy. it is this kind of thing, this treatment of military war heroes, that people don't like. ok, let's take a break from the big issues of the day and lift the mood with some festive cheer. the white house has just taken delivery of this year's christmas tree. standing at 19 and a half feet tall, this beauty hails from newland in north carolina. and it's extra special this year, because the president — who's not normally around for the tree's arrival — wanted to mark its delivery, along with first lady melania.
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and as if that wasn't enough, there's more fun lined up on tuesday, when the president pardons the thanksgiving turkey. extensive coverage of that on beyond 100 days tomorrow. a christmas for mac and a turkey. a christmas for mac and a turkeym is the season. we will be jolly for the next few weeks, we promise you. this is beyond 100 days from the bbc. coming up for viewers on the bbc news channel and bbc world news, two weeks after the midterm elections, results are still coming in. we will analyse what the electoral map looks like now. and why is president trump citing finland's raking habit as the reason the country has so few forest fires? why indeed? we will cover it in more detail. hello. the week has started colder
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and it is about to get colder still. wind—chill becomes more of a factor ina wind—chill becomes more of a factor in a strengthening easterly wind. the flow of air coming in from the east tapping into the blue lyu haotian. after a mild weekend, that is now history. on the flow of air from the east, plenty of showers. most frequent in the eastern scotland. northern england, the east of northern ireland, running into east anglia and into southern parts of england. there will be some in the west who stayed dry with clear spells. wind drops for some. but most of us frost free with the showers, with the breeze. a stronger wind tomorrow. some sunnis spells to begin with. showers in the east. they become more widespread during the day. showers scattered about anywhere in the afternoon on quite a
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raw easterly wind. they are feeding further west. turning wintry on the hills. longer spells of rain running through northern england. northern ireland and western scotland avoid most of the showers and stay dry with sunny spells. even here the temperatures are struggling. let's talk a bit about these temperatures. we have got the strong easterly wind. a0 to 50 mph for some in the north sea of england. that is what the thermometer will say. factor in that wind and it will feel much colder. it will feel like it is closer to freezing in some areas. as we go on through tuesday night into wednesday morning, a lot of these showers will have more of a wintry flavour to them on the hills, just about anywhere across the uk. don't be surprised to see that if you are venturing to any form of elevation. 0n venturing to any form of elevation. on wednesday, northern ireland and scotla nd on wednesday, northern ireland and scotland will see the wetter weather. rain, sleet, snow and hills. much of england and wales
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turning drier. strong winds across scotla nd turning drier. strong winds across scotland and northern ireland. a lighter wind in england and wales. it will feel less chilly, especially where ucb sunshine in the afternoon. for the rest of the week, low pressure to the south—west, high pressure to the south—west, high pressure in the north—east. it south easterly flow. less chilly. temperatures head up a few deg. —— deg. this is beyond 100 days, with me katty kay in washington, christian fraser is in london. our top stories: there's rain expected in parts of california, bringing much needed relief to the region following 11 days of devastating fires. in the midterms, republicans extend their senate majority with a win in florida, while democrats sweep the one—time republican bastion of orange county in california. coming up in the next half hour: theresa may renews her efforts to sell her draft brexit plan as some tory mps continue to press for late changes to the deal. and as more of us meet propective partners online,
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we'll hear about the sharp rise in romance fraud and how its left some people seriously out of pocket. it's been nearly two weeks since ferocious wildfires started in northern california. at least 77 people are confirmed to have died. close to a thousand are believed still to be missing, although it's proved difficult for the authorities to keep an accurate tally. multiple blazes are burning across the state, where 5000 firefighters are battling the flames. rain forecast for tuesday could help combat the fire, but it could also complicate the task of recovering bodies. dave lee reports from the devastated town of paradise. the homes are gone. the hospital is gone. the shops and restaurants too.
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this used to be the town's elementary school. helping paradise get back on its feet means starting with the basics. paradise had been something of a ghost town since the fire, but now we're starting to see a steady stream of resources heading into town to start the rebuilding effort. for survivors, however, they're going to have to wait a little longer before they can see what's left of their homes. and so it's in a nearby town where you'll see residents coming together to mourn together with, with hundreds of people still missing, cannot be fully, and it. the people i met here a suffering loss on multiple levels, their friends, family, homes and parish — their entire support network. it's hard to know what help you need when you have nothing. and when you're used to not being a taker, it's hard to be... ..0k to take from people, you know? i mean, where you go from there? even if your house is there, i mean...
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the town is unlivable at this moment. if i'll be 80 years old, where do i go? how do i start again? it's notjust me, it's everybody. i know i'm not the lone ranger, but we all have the our individual hell and trying to figure our way out of it, each day, we have to go inch by inch, we can't even go day by day. the states governor called what happens here the new abnormal. although fighting the blaze is nothing new, fire season is now all year round. we hit all the majorfires in california and we figured by november we'd be done. it's a lot, family life is very difficult, personal life is very difficult. just our personal well being is stressed by the job we do. the firefighters see their heroic
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effort is not as a job but as a calling. the call will come again and again. we can cross now to scott mclean, who is from the california department of forestry and fire protection. thank you forjoining us from sacramento. what's the status at the moment of those fires, and the still burning? the fires down south in wengerand burning? the fires down south in wenger and los angeles counties are at almost 90% containment, saw almost there. that should be fully contained by the 22nd of this month. keepin contained by the 22nd of this month. keep in mind is burned almost 97,000 acres. in northern california, 151,000 acres. it is about 66% contains, they are continuing to make strides towards all containment, which should be by the end of this month. the number of
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wildfires in california does seem to be picking up, how can you, if that's going to be the patton, what mortgage the state be doing, what resources do you have too tackled then? california has a sister, where there are a thousand five departments throughout the state who work as one when these things develop. and is no fire season left in california, it is all year round now. we had 350 wildfires start last year that no—one knows about because we we re year that no—one knows about because we were able to contain them to ten acres or less. we have the capability of pulling in from outside of california as well to bring in resources, especially the national guard. aircraft at this moment has not been a problem either as faras moment has not been a problem either as far as getting those resources
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in. as we get further into the year and hope things will slow down, last year, october and december last year we re year, october and december last year were fire seasons as well. we go and are aggressively pursuing to bring our porous back to the resiliency they need to be which will be a major project that we have always been doing, but we now have funds to really bolster them. so it is a twofold situation. as we think about climate change and areas that are low—lying which will flood in the future and areas which will burn, does california have together was thought as to where it builds and future? sure, those guidelines are out there in terms of those areas to abide by those guidelines. i guaranteed there's a lot of thought going into that right now. 0k, thank you very much for your thoughts.
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those images just so awful from california. while touring the area devastated by wildfires in northern california over the weekend, president trump had some trouble remembering the name of the town he was visiting. as big as they look on the tube, you don't see what's going on until you come here. and what we saw at pleasure, what a name right now, but what we just saw, we just left pleasure... paradise. or paradise, and what we saw at paradise isjust, you know, it's not acceptable. you've got to get the names right when you go to these places. he's been criticised before not been great at consoling people. the name of paradise had been an on the news all week. and it matters to the
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people there, of course. their town has been wiped out, it matters at the presidents can offer consolation, it is little details like getting the name right that show empathy and concern. the midterm elections may have been two weeks ago, but the results are still coming in. this weekend, the democratic candidates for governor and senate conceeded in florida after the vote was so close, it triggered a recount. but while there was good news for republicans there, in california, it's a different story. democrats have completely taken over in what was once known as reagan country. for more on the results and their impact, we'rejoined now by the bbc‘s rajini vaidyanathan. it is almost two weeks now. how different does this situation look now in terms of results from the midterms to how they looked on the night? starting with florida, i thought i would never come back from florida, the recounts just thought i would never come back from florida, the recountsjust kept on coming! we have now had concessions
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in both the races for governor and senate. the most crucial was senate, it doesn't change the fact that republicans have held onto the house, but it does mean we had a hand recount on sunday, and in the end the democratic candidates conceded. the next senator for florida is rick scott. this reminded us that there are real problems when it comes to recounts. machines in palm beach county overheated and broke down. this after the infamous recount in 2000. two weeks on, the picture is clear that this was a good night for republicans in the senate and democrats in the house for. which matters more, the house
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or the senate? in the end, the senate is the more powerful house of congress, so it is important. but let's talk about california, it's not good news from the house of representatives in terms of what we're calling a blue tsunami in california. as cowell orange county is the birthplace of richard nixon and republicans have been and i later there, the democrats winning a lot of seeds. in some seats, immigration was a key issue, so that isa reminderof immigration was a key issue, so that is a reminder of how changing demographics in places like california and florida can have an impact. have republicans in california blaming donald trump there, saying that was part of the reason why they got wiped out in orange county. it was a blue tsunami rather than a blue wave in orange county, the reagan county, and there
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are no republicans left. talking about nancy pelosi, who has ambitions to be the sleeker of the house, where she got to with that? we have a letter here today signed by 16 democrats who say they won't support her bid to become the next, yet she has held that role in the past for something like 16 years, andl past for something like 16 years, and i think many people thought it was a and i think many people thought it was a dead cert she would take over again injanuary. was a dead cert she would take over again in january. but was a dead cert she would take over again injanuary. but doesn't look like she has all the votes. i'll read from the letter published today. we're thankful to leader pelosi for harris service, but they're saying democrats ran and won ona they're saying democrats ran and won on a message of change and those vote rs wa nt on a message of change and those voters want to see change in washington. that is crucial, many will look at this and say nancy pelosi is the face of the older
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democratic party, the democrats need to realign. you will need to get these 15 votes to make sure she is these 15 votes to make sure she is the new speaker of the wound and it is unclear whether she has the numbers. looking at the ages, there is an issue, the average age of the top three leaders on the democratic firm side in the house of representatives is 78, on the republican side, around 50, almost a 30 year difference. the democrats are going to have to come up with younger leaders for the next generation, that's what millennials are pushing for. another hands, nancy pelosi a skilled operator, if anyone is going to see the democratic firm party through, she could do it. newcomers dearer to go to the liberal side of the party,
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but she is a big fundraiser and if you lose, you're in the wilderness forever. and there isn't another name out there in the wilderness, so while they are opposing her ca nvasse rs while they are opposing her ca nvassers say, while they are opposing her canvassers say, there is no clear successor in place. in the face of the cros—party opposition to her brexit proposals, the prime minister is taking the debate to the country, appealing to the public to get behind her plan. today, she was at a gathering of business leaders in london, where the cbi director—general carolyn fairbairn said while the deal was not perfect, it did represent some hard—won progress. at the meeting was shanti keleman, senior portfolio manager at coutts bank in london. what did you make of the prime minister's words today? a thing she's hopeful and has to be. seeing there is a deal on the table gives you hope there will be a sensible end to all this. but don't think businesses are stopping planning for no deal means. financial services a
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big part of the british economy. what difference would it make if there was a no deal to the financial services industry? financial services industry? financial services will probably fall under equivalence, meaning regulators on both sides of the channel agree we have sufficient regulations and they can be treated the same. that can be revoked at any time. the bigger impact on financial services would be if the housing market towns badly, if business start going under, that impact loan books, the profits they make, the capital and ability to lend. banks are one of the sectors that sort of much sharply. so it's not so much about regulations as what happens to the economy? if you are a domestic—oriented bank, you are tied to the uk economy. let's say theresa may survives these leadership
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challenges, takes the draft agreement to parliaments, parliament voted down and it looks like we have no deal, what happens to the markets the next day? adding he would see sterling fall and stocks of all.l catastrophic fall, a little fall? is ita catastrophic fall, a little fall? is it a doomsday scenario in the first day or two or do we get through it and it's a blip in the markets?” think starling and uk equities are ready quite depressed sol think starling and uk equities are ready quite depressed so i don't think we would see a double—digit fall. the get out more than one go to get it through parliament, so it isa to get it through parliament, so it is a question of when that vote happens. if it is soon rather than the beginning of march, that makes a difference. that is the strategy for the prime minister, it two vote strategy, it's voted down at first,
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eve ryo ne strategy, it's voted down at first, everyone takes a breath and then it goes through. is few you're saying we might not see that panic? we did see sterling go to 120 or something, but people calling the time a parity isa but people calling the time a parity is a little overdone. there is potential in the uk economy if we can get through this, if businesses start investing again, if the economic scene picks up, interest rates go up, sterling could be out iao rates go up, sterling could be out 140 next year. the reason no one's investing is it's very difficult to price but uncertainty as an investor. you have to take a look at a new business or product. but pricing and that risk for people abroad who invest in our markets is difficult at the moment. thank you very much. and an situation, where the prime minister might giro market reaction
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to persuade parliament to go back and takea to persuade parliament to go back and take a second look at the draft agreement. this is beyond 100 days. still to come: a sharp rise in romance frauds. as more people are finding love online — could the dark side of internet dating pose a major threat? one of the world's best known businessmen, the head of nissan and renault, has been arrested injapan over claims of financial misconduct. carlos ghosn has been accused of significant acts of misconduct, involving his pay and the personal use of company assets. it has been slow, but... for 20 years, carlos ghosn has been one of the titans of the car industry, charming everyone from journalists to presidents and dominating two of the biggest car companies in the world. but tonight, mr ghosn is in police custody in tokyo, accused of serious financial misdeeds. at nissan's headquarters, the chief executive made the dramatic announcement. an investigation had found
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that in annual reports to the tokyo stock exchange, mr ghosn had hugely underreported his pay. translation: for us, the company, this is of course completely unacceptable. we have been advised by experts that this misconduct is serious enough to dismiss him. carlos ghosn now looks certain to be sacked from hisjob as nissan chairman. the news has sent shock waves around the world, especially to france, where mr ghosn is also ceo of renault, and to sunderland, where nissan runs one of the biggest car plants in europe. carlos ghosn will have signed off on that decision to produce the next generation qashqai there in 2020. nissan said they will review that depending on the form of brexit. so if somebody new comes in, there is the possibility that that decision might be reversed. it has been a day of high drama here in tokyo. but it's important to note that carlos ghosn is not being accused of tax evasion. he is accused of misreporting
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financial data to the tokyo stock exchange. that's something that other bosses of other japanese corporations have been found doing, and have not ended up in police custody. here in us, a fifth of americans now meet their partner through a dating website or app. the number is yet higher in the uk, with one in four finding love this way. but the growth of internet dating has also led to a sharp rise in romance frauds. the average british victim loses £15,000 and reported losses have doubled in the past two years. the bbc panorama programme's athar ahmad reports. millions of people are now looking for love online, but internet dating can be risky because criminals can hide
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behind fake profiles. we are pretty sure it is a scam. the romance fraudsters are often based on africa. they're known as catfish. laura is a private investigator who tracks them down. they're set up as a business. criminal gangs working together to make sure the process looks really realistic and the story works together. roy lost his life savings to a catfish. she called herself donna and sent him these stolen pictures. then she started asking for cash. after i'd worked everything out, i'd actually paid her the best part of £100,000. catfish are hardly ever caught. the most successful investigation was here in mississippi. thousands of victims were conned, but the authorities made 21 arrests. most were convicted thanks to an agent who pretended to be
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a lonely woman looking for love. tod williams spent 18 months chatting to the catfish online. the narratives they use read like a romantic novel. they are very good with the words they choose. they start off very slow and rapidly build an emotional relationship. the catfish were working from written scripts. stuff like, i've no words to describe how i feel about you, they basically copy and paste this? absolutely. this is how one individual was able to manage relationships with 50 different people simultaneously. the victims think they've really found love, so it can be doubly painful when they find t outhey‘ve been conned. you're just white washed, totally devastated. you're finished, you just don't want to be bothered any more. the solution sounds simple —
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never give money to someone you've only met online. but as long as there are lonely people looking for love, there'll be no shortage of victims for the catfish. extraordinaire, people so vulnerable in that situation. yeah, i think it's so sad, that guy. you think so you've fans something and people are just scanning your. there are some rotten people in the world. rotten people, yes. earlier, we told you president trump called california's wildfire—hit town paradise, "pleasure". which requires no comment. getting the name right is always important. the problem is he also suggested that the state of california was responsible for this fire. on a number of occasions, he has said it could have been avoided with better forest management. in fact, he said the finnish prime
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minister had told him that finns rarely have forest fires because they spend a lot of time raking. the finnish prime minister says he doesn't recall such a conversation. and none too surprisingly, twitter users have had some fun with this, particularly those living in finland. if only the white house had people as dedicated as the finns. there are professional forest clearers in finland, some who take it more seriously than others. and woe betide you if you are not raking in the autumn. you will be paid a visit by that fellow at the window. here is a finn talking directly to donald trump.
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hello, america. and hello mr president, donald trump. like president trump said, we are finns, we spend a lot of time raking, cleaning and doing things. that's how we prevent wildfires. it doesn't have to do anything without climate. no, no, no, no. although it rains like hell and it's cold as bleep, we have to rake. it is mandatory in finland. we have to rake two hours a day. but we have the greatest rakes in the world. it's easy to rake with them and to prevent wildfires. it's really great. we even have raking universities in finland. that's how we learn to rake. so, you know, any time you're welcome back to finland, mr trump. and we can teach you how to rake. it's really easy. it's great. we clean our forest floors with the cleanest water on earth. it's the greatest water on earth. so, welcome back to finland and rake america great again. break america great again, yes. they
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had a lot of fun with that one in finland. davide has gone around sunday times, i saw it at 0rient this morning, by the end of the day, lx eight‘s now famous, as is the finnish sense of humour. there's all manner, the olympic rakers here. just brilliant. it's a serious subject, of course, the wildfires. look, the fire are terrible and people have lost their homes, and i think the reason people have found a moment of levity here in a situation thatis moment of levity here in a situation that is all full for people in california is donald trump has put himself in the situation by saying something that the finnish prime minister then had to say, i didn't say that. someone had to call the finnish prime minister and as kim!
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he said, no, we didn't. he thinks donald trump saw people breaking the embers in california and put two and two together to get five. time to break up this programme, i think. arts?. we'll see you tomorrow. 0oft. the flow of air coming in from the ease, tapping into the blues here, so after a mild weekend, that narrows down. from the east, showers frequent too. most frequent through parts of scotland overnight, the east of england down into east
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anglia as well. boast of us will stay dry with clear nights, where the wind drops, perhaps a touch of frost in the west. most of us frost—free with the showers and breeze, is stronger when tomorrow, some showers mainly in the east, becoming more widespread throughout the day. showers get about anywhere in the afternoon on a roll easterly winds. starting to turn wintry on the hills, merging into spells of rain in places. though the rest of void in showers and staying dry with sunny spells. temperatures struggling here. on those temperatures, we have the strong wind gusting up to 50mph for some, the north sea coast of england, for example. this is what thermometers
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say, but factoring in the wind it will feel closer to freezing in some areas. into wednesday morning, a lot of the showers will feel wintry on the hills just about everywhere across the uk. don't be surprised to see that at any elevation. west of —— east of england and scotland feeling the showers, the rest turning dry. a lighter winds in england and wales, feeling less chilly especially in the sunshine. for the rest of the week, low pressure to be southwest, high pressure to be southwest, high pressure to be southwest, high pressure to the northeast. southeasterly flow, so less chilly, temperatures nudging up a few degrees. this is bbc news.
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the headlines at 8pm. the prime minister brings her brexit message to business leaders, telling the cbi thatjobs and livelihoods depended on securing the right brexit deal for britain. it was never going to be easy or straightforward. and the final stage was always going to be the toughest. but we have in view a deal that will work for the uk. but business leaders warn of the impact on the economy, if the uk crashed out of the eu with no deal. westminster seems to be living in its own narrow world. it seems to be playing a high—stakes game of risk, where the outcome could be an accidental no deal. surely, surely, we can do better than this. in brussels, the eu's chief brexit negotiator says the deal is "fair and balanced", the focus should now be on the future relationship.
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