tv Americas Choice 2016 Super Tuesday 3 CNN March 15, 2016 3:00pm-4:01pm PDT
me. anders anderson? >> john, thanks so much. a big night ahead. polls still open in five states. two states winner take all for republicans. tonight we'll find out if donald trump and hillary clinton can cement their front-runner status. so much at stake. our special coverage continues right now. the presidential race has been building for weeks to this moment. >> will tonight's contest guarantee the front-runners are unt unstoppable? we're standing by for the first results. >> right now from the chicago lakefront to south beach in florida, big state primaries that will change the state of the race. >> you will vote for donald trump. yes? >> who will hit the jackpot in florida, north carolina, ohio, illinois, and missouri? >> i need your help, your support. your guidance and your vote. >> on this high-stakes super tuesday, it's america's choice. tonight, in the republican race,
donald trump arguing it's all over if he wins florida and ohio. defending his message as his rallies turn ugly. >> my people aren't violent. my people want to do one thing, make america great again. >> marco rubio and john kasich facing do-or-die battles in their home states. >> we are going to win the state of ohio. >> we are going to win florida and we will win the nomination. >> ted cruz vowing to be the last republican standing to take on trump. >> people are waking up and help is on the way. >> in the democratic race tonight -- >> i want to be the president for the struggling and the striving. for people who have a dream. >> hillary clinton counting on this super tuesday to widen her lead after her shocking loss to bernie sanders in michigan. >> our job is to create a huge voter turnout. >> now, it's time for voters to have their say. >> little marco, i think he's
gone. >> as candidates in both parties blast the gop front-runner's rhetoric. >> donald trump has created a toxic environment. >> that is political arson. >> america is choosing, the campaign is taking stunning new turns, and more surprises may be on the horizon. right now. >> you're looking at live pictures of a polling place in ohio right now. one of five critical battlegrounds tonight. we're also watching a late dash to the polls in north carolina. this may prove to be the most decisive round of voting yet in the 2016 race for the white house. we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and around the world. i'm wolf blitzer in the cnn election center. four republicans and two democrats, they are competing in this mega state round of
primaries, but after tonight, the gop field may shrink. for the republicans 367 delegates are at stake on this super tuesday. that's 30% or so of the number needed to win the gop nomination. the winners in florida and ohio will get all of the states' delegates. these are the first winner-take-all contests in this primary season. donald trump heads into the night looking to add to his win column, strengthening his chances of locking up the nomination and avoiding a contested convention. his closest competitor, ted cruz, is likely to increase his all-important delegate count. tonight the spotlight is also squarely on marco rubio and john kasich. rubio is an underdog in his own home state of florida but kasich may be positioned to topple trump in the governor's home turf, that would be ohio. democrats also have a lot at stake right now with a whopping 691 delegates on the line, nearly 30% of the total needed
to clinch the democratic presidential nomination. hillary clinton hopes to grab a large slice of those delegates. she's favored to win the night's big prize, florida but after bernie sanders' surprise victory in michigan last week, he's looking to keep that momentum going in tonight's midwestern battlegrounds. we're going to get the first indications of how the night is going at 7:00 p.m. eastern when the first votes are posted in florida. we'll also have our first chance for project winners at 7:30 p.m. eastern. that's when the polls close in ohio and north carolina. half hour later, we're going to get fresh results when all the polls close in florida, illinois, and missouri. let's go to jake tapper now for more. jake? >> reporter: wolf, on this incredibly important night in the presidential race, we have, of course, standing by at all the candidates' headquarters. let's first go to jim acosta at donald trump headquarters in florida. jim? >> reporter: jake, a top trump campaign official here in
florida says donald trump will win florida and you're going to hear a lot later on tonight and tomorrow about how donald trump did so well in the state against marco rubio on his home turf. this top official says it's not very well known, but trump has been laying the groundwork quietly for four to five years, traveling the state meeting with top republican officials. they point to his name recognition in this state, owning properties worth tens of millions of dollars like mar-a-lago behind me employing thousands of workers. the official also points to those rallies that have been in the news so much lately because of the unrest in chicago and over the last week the rallies also, by the way, according to the source, turned out tens of thousands of people at events here in florida. those supporters are now volunteers getting out the vote across the state. the question, jake, is what happens in the state of ohio, can he beat john kasich and send him packing? he's looking for one knockout punch tonight. not clear at this point yet even inside the trump campaign whether donald trump will get a double knockout. that's what he wants. may not get it tonight, jake. >> jim acosta in florida.
florida a key battleground state. not only for this evening's results but also for november's election as is ohio and that's where we find brianna keilar. brianna, the idea that hillary clinton might not win ohio is not one that they expected, not a problem they expected to be facing at this point, but boy, it looks like it's a tight race. >> reporter: yeah, and they're actually downplaying the expectations there, jake. they're feeling goods, the clinton campaign is, about north carolina and about here in florida, but with ohio, they are downplaying it specifically this is why they say why. they say they're looking at cuyahoga county which is cleveland area, and they are looking at what affiliated democrats are doing. they say when you look at early votes and look at absentee ballots, 15% of democrats affiliated democrats have requested republican ballots. so you can see they're making the case here that you have people who are democrats in a really liberal stronghold, but
also that supported john kasich in his re-election. they're making the case that he is -- they're bleeding off democrats trying to support john kasich and stop a donald trump surge. of course, they're managing expectations. we don't know exactly what those voters are doing at this point. they're trying to get out the vote with democrats and certainly try to lay the groundwork in case she does lose ohio and it becomes a michigan 2 preside2.0 upset for bernie san >> brianna keilar in west palm beach, florida, at clinton campaign hours. and dana, these are two states, ohio which brianna was talking about in which the clinton campaign is worried about and florida where donald trump could win this evening. these are two states we're going to cover a lot coming up long after tonight. >> imagine if he logged how much time we actually spent, the two of us, probably everybody in this studio in those states, it would be quite stunning. there's no question these are always important states and i think tonight the key question is going to be whether or not those two states mean from here
on in we're going to be looking at more of a general election campaign, or whether we're still going to be in a primary fight on both sides of the aisle. seems as though it's probably the latter. still going to be a primary fight, you know, for the republicans and the democrats but you never know, we've had surprises in both of those states. >> and these battles that we're fighting today, hillary clinton and donald trump, in both ohio and florida, they're laying the groundwork for what will be very, very, it looks like it will be a very difficult election, no matter who gets the nomination but certainly those are the two front-runners. >> absolutely, no question about it. the fact that hillary clinton earlier today was sort of signaling that she is ready to start to turn her attention to the republican side, and not fight as much on the democratic side, kind of gives you a signal of where, i mean, it's probably no surprise that her campaign, they're sort of done with the primary, but it also gives you a sense of the pickle that she is in, maybe more so than the republicans would be going forward. >> let's go to david chalian,
our political director in the election center. he has some information from the exit polls specifically having to do with republican voters. >> that's right, jake. now that we're getting deeper into the election season, look back and see how republican voters in today's primaries, for example, compare with what republicans were doing before. we're going to dig in onangry t republican electorate is. 39% say they're angry. let's move ahead to the next state of ohio. okay? take a look at that angry number again. 39%. 53%, a majority say they're dissatisfied. 39% say they're angry at the government. now to north carolina, you'll see again here, 40% say that they're angry. now, here's what's interesting, guys. if you look at that angry number, 39% in florida, 39% in ohio, 40% in north carolina, we averaged up all the polls, exit
polls and entrance polls, in the election season thus far, and on an average, republican voters, 42% of them have said that they're angry. so tonight at least across these states we're seeing some of the anger in the republican electorate tempered a bit. and that's an interesting trend that we're going to look into throughout the evening. >> the presumption, of course being, david, the angrier, the more likely it is they will vote for donald trump. wolf blitzer, let me throw it to you. >> thank you, jake. we're closing in on the first votes from the big prize of the night. we're talking about florida. does marco rubio have a chance against donald trump? we're going to get early clues just ahead. pet moments are beautiful, unless you have allergies.
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first votes actually being posted at the top of the hour. only, what, about 45 minutes away from that. we'll share those numbers as soon as day are officially posted. those are the numbers coming in from florida. but in the meantime, i want to go to ohio. 66 republican delegates are at stake. winner take all. a critical race under way right now. we're getting new informations. bill mattingly is joining us from ohio at kasich campaign hours. phil, what are you learning? >> reporter: well, wolf, kasich advisers are telling me they're growing increasingly confident about the state of this race and part of the reason why is the numbers they're seeing from their primary target areas. the suburbs. now, these are counties surrounding ohio's biggest cities, cleveland, columbus, dayton, cincinnati. these are the backbone of case kasich's support during the case, were during his gubernatorial race, primary targets of his efforts over the last week. wolf, what they're seeing right now is very positive from notho areas and if those areas are turning out in a big way, right now that's the case and for his
advisers, that's a positive sign as we head into the rest of the night. >> kasich needs to win his home state of ohio, phil, thanks so much. let's go to john king at the magic wall. john, ohio, ohio, ohio, they e used to say, critically important on this night. >> critically important on this night, in both primaries, and to governor kasich. this is make or break. this is the map, the results will fill in later tonight. i'm going to circle the cleveland area, around columbus, down here around cincinnati. why are they so important? let's go back in time to the 2012 republican presidential primary. look at this. mitt romney just barely won ohio, right, one point over rick santorum but won big here, cuyahoga county, suburbs of cleveland, romney getting a 19-point win there, a huge margin in the cleveland area, in the suburbs, lake county to the north. critical to mitt romney. down here, franklin county, the middle of the state, columbus is the state capital. tends to vote democrat in november in a tough race, but a five-point lead here if mitt romney in the columbus area and suburbs around it. the suburbs very important in a republican race.
most importantly, hamilton county down in the southwest corner of the state. cincinnati and the suburbs around cincinnati. again, look, a 20-point win for mitt romney there. a big win in the cleveland suburbs. decent win in the middle of the state, columbus suburbs. a huge win in the cincinnati suburbs. why is that important? because if somebody else like rick santorum did to mitt romney wins the rural areas of the state, to win the state, you have to run up the numbers in the population centers and close suburbs. that was key to romney four years ago. it's critical for governor kasich tonight. >> thanks very much. we're going to check back in a little while. let's go to anderson. >> let's check in with our reporters, analysts. nia-malika henderson, what are you looking for tonight? donald trump has been going hard after john kasich attacking him for the first time in this campaign. >> that's right, calling him the absentee governor, also took a pot shot at chris christie when he was making the same remark about chris christie. but, you knows, i think what do these white voters do in this state, not only for the
republican primary, but the democratic primary? is he resonating with nose union voters? are democrats switching over from the democratic ranks to vote for him? you know, i think if kasich wins, it's going to be about his ability to really have something of a broad coalition which is what he was able to do in his last re-election campaign, did very well with african-american voters, looks like african-american voters might be 19, 20% of the overall electorate there. so it's going to be really interesting. >> david, so far, kasich has been able to do well in states where he's been able to spend a lot of time. we saw that in new hampshire where he did more than 100 town halls. clearly he's been putting everything into ohio in order to win there. when i talked to him yesterday, every time i've talked to him, asked him, okay, say you win ohio, what changes? i mean, he says, well, he thinks he'll do well in illinois, exactly whatever that means, he won't be specific. also he says that he'll just get more interviews and the narrative will sort of change if he wins ohio. >> well, i do think that if he wins ohio, the aura around him
will change. the people will -- the press will start to pay much more attention to him. a lot more scrutiny. he continues to stand out in the race as the different candidate. the one who's more positive. who sort of has -- is more optimistic about the country who actually has executive experience in government which is missing in the rest of the republican field. so there's a lot about him that could become attractive. certainly a next state like pennsylvania, we can ask mayor nutter about that in a moment. i think this is a big, big night for kasich. overall, i find -- this may be inappropriate, but this is the eyes of mark. this is the eyes of mark. so the question tonight is whether the leaders are going to get cut down or not. and that is going to have a lot to do with how this race goes. >> beware of the -- >> the question is whether we get the sort of clarity that we all seem to be thinking we're moving toward tonight because we could conceivably wind up with
donald trump still the front-runner, a conservative candidate, ted cruz, and the establishment candidate, john kasich which are kind of the three lanes that we've been having all along in this race and we could wind up there very much tonight if, for example, cruz were to win missouri and kasich were to win ohio and trump were to win just about everything else. >> yeah. all right. a lot to talk about. a lot to watch for. florida election officials are getting ready to release the first votes of the night at the top of the hour. question is will the front-runners will the top prize in this super tuesday? the numbers ahead. you can't breathed. through your nose. suddenly, you're a mouthbreather. a mouthbreather! how can anyone sleep like that? well, just put on a breathe right strip and pow! it instantly opens your nose up to 38% more than cold medicine alone. so you can breathe and sleep.
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we're closing in on the first votes of the night out of the critical state of florida. we're going to get our first sense of who's in the lead, who may be struggling, and on this high-stakes super tuesday. i want to go over to sara murray, she's over at marco rubio campaign headquarters right now in miami. what's the latest over there? >> reporter: well, wolf, what sources are telling me is that even if marco rubio does not pull out a victory tonight, even if he loses here in florida, he is going to face immense pressure to stay in the race, at least officially. and this is part of a delegate strategy. what people who are opposed to trump and even some rubio supporters want is they want a way to ensure that marco rubio's delegates are still bound to him and they say if he ends his presidential bid, these delegates go unbound, they could
potentially support donald trump at the convention. now, this could put marco rubio in a little bit of an awkward position, but one person who is familiar with the discussion says he's already under an enormous amount of pressure to consider this route. this is as people are beginning to realize that if they want to stop trump, the only way to do is going to be at the convention. wolf? >> all right, sara, thanks very much. let's go over to john king over at the magic wall. you're looking at the all-important delegates. and i know there's an effort to stop trump from getting to that 1,237, that magic number he needs to be guaranteed the nomination. >> marco rubio's florida, and john kasich's ohio are critical to that. to sara murray's point, pressure on marco rubio to stay even if he can't win. if the margin is big tonight, there's conversations in the rubio campaign that he would get out. here's the state of play as we are now. donald trump with 100 delegate lead over ted cruz. what happens tonight? can donald trump in this scenario run the board? if he wins all five of the big states tonight, wolf, he'll inch way out here. not unstoppable but much harder to stop. if he's out here at the end of
the night if he runs the board, donald trump would need in the 42%, 43% of the remaining delegates to clinch. very doable especially if you have a wounded kasich probably out of the race and wounded r rubio probably out of the race. because it's 99 winner take all, if marco rubio can take this, donald trump goes back already. if john kasich takes his home state of ohio, 66 delegates winner take all, boom, donald trump stands back behind the halfway point. the expectation is, though, kasich, maybe close race there. most of the polls heading in suggested that donald trump was going to get the state of florida. it makes such a big difference in the math. so if you're the cruz campaign, you're looks to pick up delegates in missouri, pick up delegates in north carolina, pick up delegates in illinois. what the cruz campaign hopes for, let's make it in missouri, take one of those states and actually eke out a victory essentially split the delegates with trump a little bit more. say the night ends something like this, number one, would rubio stay if kasich is the new establishment favorite, even though with one win, does he stay in the race? that's one calculation. number two, at this point,
donald trump, let's say he's right around 700 at the end of the night, needs 47% of the remaining delegates. is that doable? yes. the big question will be cruz certainly would claim momentum if he picks up delegates and gets a win tonight. kasich wouldn't go anywhere. we do have a three-way race, four-way race going forward? donald trump would need 47% of the delegates in the remaining contests. this is the conversation is, maybe they could stop him then, but wolf, it's, you know, he ends up out here and not across the finish line, you going to take it away from him? >> unless he gets the 40% number -- 47%, how long would it take him to clinch that nomination? >> it would really depend on is he running the board? does he win in arizona and utah next week, does he win big? winning in new york, new jersey, maryland, does he get there early? most people think it's going to take a while especially if you have a close race with cruz, the misconception is all the republican states become winner take all. that's not the case. a lot have a hybrid formula if you win by a decent margin, you might get them all like trump did in south carolina. he won them all though it's not
a winner-take-all state. how many candidates in the race, what are the marnlgins, is he splitting delegates and winning states? it could take a while. >> thanks so much. anderson, over to you. >> wolf, the clarity so many people hoped to find tonight, the question is will there really be that? marco rubio, everyone is saying, look, he has to win in florida, it's obviously his home state. he never said yes, i'll drop out. he could easily say if he doesn't win tonight, i want to stay in in the hopes of being part of the effort to stop donald trump. same with john kasich, if he doesn't win, he's always said he's got to win in ohio but perhaps he would change his mind. mary katherine? >> i think there's a great chance of more clarity tonight. i like that gloria has been arguing for a little bit of chaos. it's fun times. >> you like chaos. it's not very conservative of you, is it? >> you know, i live on lts edge, anderson. >> okay. >> if this is thei ides of marc,
cruz has a mean and hungry work, can make inroads, make the argument i can go forward. rubio is right the math looks better for him moving florida, but if he can't do florida, that doesn't matter. cruz will say i can take this guy on one-on-one. can the establishment and conservatives get together, the only thing than can unite us is trump and get behind this guy? the never-trump contingent is real. 30%, 40% say i'd consider a third-party ticket. >> kayleigh, can withdryou seei folks stay in even if they don't get it? >> if you have rubio stay in, when it's very evident he's not a viable contender for the presidency, it looks like he's trying to gerrymander the will of the people and stop the people from voting on a scertai candidate. i understand he have every right to stay in, of course he does, this is a personal decision. nevertheless, it seems like this is an attempt to keep donald trump from getting the nomination which i don't think will play very well at all. the point is marco rubio can't even win his home state and every time the establishment
endorses a candidate, be it jeb bush who was their first choice, falls precipitously. rubio fallingr precipitously. if they go to kasich, i predict the same thing. >> so many of the voters feel betrayed already by their leaders, if donald trump is in the lead and there is a need to come up with an alternative, that's going to enflame that. >> as we've all said, the race may not be determined tonight but there will be more definition and this ideas -- i mean, i've run for office and this idea that you just keep running to stop someone else just seems very strange to me. i mean, there are rules here. everyone knows what the rules are. they're all laid out. they didn't just start. at some point in time, you know, the race has to shrink for the candidates. you're running still to win. and this idea that somehow in football i'm running to be the blocker, to stop someone else, i mean, the voters see right through that. and i mean, look, the rules are
the rules and you just deal with it. >> rules can change. >> we've said this before, at some point people have to realize the only way to stop donald trump is to stop him with one candidate. not with three candidates. and if we do end up, as gloria said, with three different lanes, you know, then donald trump is just going to keep winning states with 35% or 40%. >> as you said, gloria, the rules can change. >> the rules can change and, you know, i don't know who's going to get on that rules committee at the convention, but it's going to have to be on television and out in the open because this would be about the worst thing you could do. >> the idea that donald trump wouldn't have people on the rules committee at the convention, that seems hard to imagine. >> but he will because it's going to be determined by the number of votes you get in each state and it's complicated and arcane and ridiculous but he will have people on that. the thing that i'm having a hard time getting my head around is that the establishment is now trying to figure out a way to rally around the man they loathe, right, ted cruz, the man
who shut down the government, whom they really don't like, and manu raju has just done this amazing story for us on cnn.com where you have people in the senate urging ted cruz to apologize to leader mitch mcconnell because cruz called him a liar. it's like you have to apologize to daddy before we can actually endorse you. right? and that's what's going on. >> i think why we're heading to crisis in the republican party, anderson, is we've had brokered conventions in the past. a lot of brokered conventions in the history of the political party. this is the first time we're looking at the brokered convention in the age of primaries. the primaries took over in the 1960s. since then, one person has won and gone on and taken -- except in 76 and ford took it. this will be a time when the establishment is trying to stop somebody who's the voters' first choice. in the past we've never had the
voters in a brokered convention. that's what makes it such a wildcard. >> and trump keeps talksing about that. our debate, his opening statement was about the millions of voters and his closing statement was the same thing, he said be smart and unite. >> we're minutes away from the first votes of the night out of florida. it's going to be the first real glimpse of how the trump/rubio grudge match is unfolding in the crucial states. super tuesday results ahead.
we're now just minutes away from the first votes of the night. we'll get an early look at both the republican and democratic contests in florida. that's the top delegate prize on this super tuesday. and we're less than an hour away from the first results out of another major battleground, ohio. polls close there and in north carolina, by the way, at 7:30 p.m. eastern. i want to go over to bernie sanders campaign headquarters. joe johns is standing by over there. joe, what are you hearing? >> reporter: well, wolf, i talked to a top official of the sanders campaign and asked where is it we should be watches to measure the campaign's performance this evening? and interesting, he told me, one of the places they think they're showing strength is in the state of missouri. this is a state where bernie sanders and hillary clinton apparently the polls say they've been running neck and neck as we move toward the primary today. this top official the campaign also told me take a look at the
state of north carolina. while they don't feel they're going to predict a win in the tarheel state, they do believe when you measure them against past expectations and other southern states, they think they'll do well there regardless of a win or loss, they say the point, of course, is to keep the delegate count close, wolf. >> all right, joe, thanks very much. joe's over at bernie sanders' headquarters on this night. let's go back to john king over there. on the democratic delegate count which is critically important, the democrats unlike the republicans, their states are proportionately distributed, the delegates. >> joe johns made the fundamental question in the democratic race, can bernie sanders stay close enough to say i'm still a viable candidate for the nomination, not just a protest candidate. that is why tonight is so important. the big michigan upset last week. here's what hillary clinton wants tonight, all five of tonight's states to fill in with the deeper blue, that would be a hillary clinton sleep. she'd say michigan was an aberration. she'd say, i got my midwest
chops back, sorry, senator sanders. a big hillary clinton win would make the math pretty convincing that she's on a glide path to the nomination. will take a while because of proportional rules but that would do it. listen to what just just said. what, for example, bernie sanders surprises hillary clinton in the state of missouri? number one, it would give him a midwestern win. he's been popular in oklahoma, kansas, nebraska, he's had popularity out there. it's not unreasonable to think it could happen. then where else? bernie sanders would very much like to get the state of ohio. if he could take that away from hillary clinton, see the delegate math doesn't change dramatically because of those rules but what a message that would send, right? bernie sanders also hoping hillary clinton's birth state, illinois, if the map at the end of the night included three sanders wi sanders wins in the midwest, hillary clinton would likely be well ahead in the math. no question about the delegate math. what would the message of the democratic race be if bernie sanders can make the case ohio, michigan, illinois, november battle lgrounds, democrts have to win? white working class voters coming to any. that's donald trump's greatest strength, hillary clinton's greatest weakness? sanders hopes two, three light
blue in the middle of the map to change the psychology of the race then work on the math which is heavily in clinton's favor. >> if that happened, he'd raise a lot of money, keep this thing going and going. anderson, to you. >> thanks. david axelrod is joining us. would the psychology of the race change a lot? >> if he were to win three or five the psychology of the race might change, but the delegate math would inexorably move on. given the nature of the states involved, if she were to win florida, for example, and north carolina, she could lose the other three and under the democratic rules she'll come back -- she'll net out ahead on delegates and just add to her delegate lead. >> does it wound her as a candidate? >> well, i think it -- in the long run, i don't know. in the short run, it's going to create a lot of angst and hand wringing of which they do a lot in the democratic party, so i'm sure there will be some of that. but their message tonight is going to be focus on the delegate math because she's got a larger lead among delegates
now than barack obama ever did in 2008. and given the rules of the democratic party, we've discussed it before, you know, everybody goes home with a prize. nobody goes home with nothing. it's very hard to catch up once a candidate gets a large lead and he would have to win a huge number of the remaining delegates in order to actually be the nominee. >> and you really have to look at how hillary clinton does with white working class voters. that's her sort of -- >> which in ohio is -- >> is a lot of voters, right. and that's kind of her achilles' heel. and i think if you look at -- we'll look at these states tonight and see how bernie sanders does with these voters and also look at these states tonight and see how donald trump does with these voters. because if it winds up a matchup between hillary clinton and donald trump, those voters are going to be really crucial. >> that's true, though, i look back at the 2008 race, and she crushed barack obama -- >> yes, she did. >> -- with those very same voters and he regained enough of them to win a fairly sizable victory in the fall.
i don't know if it's -- >> her margins with african-americans are huge. >> he was able to swell the african-american vote, too, maybe she would be able to as well, but it will also, i think, be interesting to see the white working class vote and witness her reaction to this. oftentimes you hear from the clinton campaign sort of an overcorrection. it will be interesting to see what they do. >> we're moments away now, we're about 15 moments away -- 15 minutes away. we'll get the first votes out of florida. which republican will claim the state's winner-take-all prize? the clues followed by our first chance to project winners. no other nasal allergy spray can say that. complete allergy relief or incomplete. let your eyes decide. flonase changes everything.
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minutes away from the top of the hour. the top of the hour with the first votes of the night will be out of the crucial presidential battle ground of florida. there's a lot happening in the next hour. at 7:30 p.m. eastern, voting ends in ohio, as well as north carolina. that's when we'll have our first chance at projecting winners. remember, about 30% of the delegates needed to win the republican nomination, they are on the line. for republicans, florida and ohio winner take all, making those prizes even more rewarding. we'll see if donald trump that is a clearer path toward the nomination or if he's more likely to face a contested convention. a lot of that will depend on his face-off with kasich and marco rubio. marco rubio in his home state of florida. kasich in a possible squeaker with trump in the governor's home state of ohio.
ohio will be the first test of whether bernie sanders is running strong against hillary clinton, a week after his major upset victory in michigan. let's go over to jake for more. >> it is such a momentumous evening. let's check in with some of our correspondents standing by at the candidates' headquarters. we'll started with jim acosta who is at trump headquarters in palm beach, florida. and jim, trump is going into this hoping to have a good night. does the campaign think he might actually run the table? >> well, jake, we'll have to wait and see. i did talk to one top trump campaign official, saying kasich may have a good night in ohio. this is sort of the first concession from inside, not an official concession, but first acknowledgement from inside the trump campaign that kasich may win ohio. according to this ogs, kasich
stays in, but the question becomes, where does kasich go from here? where does had ewin after ohio? they're not convinced inside the trump campaign that kasich can win anywhere but in ohio. they feel a win in florida and a loss to kasich in ohio accomplishes something. they feel that still drives marco rubio out of the race and one knockout, if it's not two knockouts, at least one knockout accomplishes something, and narrows the field which donald trump wants. donald trump said, and ted cruz has said, they would like to have the one-on-one contest with one another. the votes have not been tabulated, but acknowledgement starting to surface within the campaign that he may not win ohio tonight. >> to the democratic front-runner in west palm beach. brianna diehl keilar, you are w
clinton. just in that state, by at least 20 points. >> they are pretty confident that they are going to win, and win big here in florida. the unofficial indication of that, jake, i'm told by folks at clinton headquarters in brooklyn that they are ordering in cuban food as we speak in honor of florida. because they are expecting to win big. they're expecting this to be their biggest success tonight. they think this is something that will help them make their case, that hillary clinton is the one who attracts a more diverse electorate than bernie sanders. this will be a test of whether bernie sanders can attract minority voters, and they also are expecting that a blowout here in florida will counteract any sort of gains that he may make in the midwest. missouri being among their primary concerns, because it is not winner take all when you look at ohio and florida, jake. so they think this will help them make their case, that
whatever happens tonight, hillary clinton is widening her delegate lead, and bernie sanders cannot catch up. >> brianna keilar at clinton campaign headquarters in west palm beach, florida. dana bash, one reason the clinton campaign might be doing better in florida is because it is a state with a lot of older voters with whom she does well, and about a third of the democratic voters there, at least according to the last primary there, minorities, she also tends to do well with those groups. >> that's right. i just look back, she actually won florida back in 2008. so this is kind of fertile ground for her. david axelrod talking about how so far the demographics have kind of flipped. that last time around she did better with the kind of voters that bernie sanders is doing well with now. i think that brianna, her sources are -- have a right to be happy, if she does well as expected in florida. but the reality is, if she doesn't win ohio, if she doesn't do well in some of these midwestern states, it does give
bernie sanders bragging rights. >> sure. >> to say to his donors out there, to the democratic party, i still have a place in this race. >> absolutely. and the clinton campaign is very worried, as you know, about losing potentially, who knows what's going to happen, but potentially losing missouri, illinois and ohio this evening. let's go to david chalian in our election center. david, you've been looking at the numbers from the exit polls specifically about democratic voters in ohio, and missouri. tell us who these people are. >> exactly what you guys were just talking about. what bernie sanders did in michigan you remember was sort of have a real appeal to his economic message. we looked at how people are feeling, democratic voters are feeling about the economy. 81% tell us tea they are worried, very or somewhat worried about the direction of the u.s. economy in missouri. look at ohio. we asked that same question in ohio. it's a little less there. 75% of democrats there say they
are very or somewhat worried. then we went back to the trade issue that bernie sanders rode to success in michigan. look here in ohio. 28% say trade with other countries creates u.s. jobs. 53% a majority of democrats in ohio say it takes away u.s. jobs of the that's not as big as it was in michigan. down about four points, guys. but clearly in states like missouri, ohio, illinois, that sanders pob you louse economic appeal, there is a big electorate that has opened his argument. i'm sure that's why the clinton campaign is very focused on the midwest states. >> david chalian, thank you so much. dana, that's one of the things on my show earlier, mayor nutter, a clinton supporter, was pushing back when bernie sanders was talking about why he does better with voters that don't like nafta, cafta, and the trade deal. while hillary clinton was not in office. she was just first lady during nafta. she now opposes the pacific trade deal and opposed cafta. >> no question.
given the fact that it has hurt her, at least the perception that she has been a free trader has hurt her in the industrial midwest states. brianna talked about this earlier, when it comes to ohio, the clinton campaign is calling -- i got a call insisting that if she doesn't win ohio, that what we should be looking at is crossover votes. people who thought she was going to do great who are registered democrats, but who want to effect the republican race against trump. that is one of the ways that the clinton campaign is going into today has been trying to lower expectations and give data points to how to do that. >> it doesn't matter. a win's a win, a loss is a loss. wolf blitzer, back to you. >> less than four minutes away roit now there the first votes being posted in florida. we want to go over to john king at the magic wall. we'll get the official posting of these votes in florida.
even though the polls are still open. >> do or die for marco rubio in his home state. we're waiting for the results to come in. we should get votes pretty early, a decent chunk of votes, because there's a tradition of early voteding in florida. lets-go back to 2000 will to look number one for what to look at in the republican race. two establishment type candidates, rudy giuliani was petering out. he waited. the race never came to him. you have two establishment candidates much like you could say in the case of a rubio and donald trump. where does marco rubio have to do well to win in his home state? if you look at 2012, newt gingrich won big in north carolina. mitt romney turned the race back around. let's come back to the state and look at that. if you're marco rubio tonight, number one, across the i-4 corridor, used to be a swing area in november. not so much anymore. democrats because of the growing latino vote, more of a democratic area. but in a primary, can marco
rubio get latino votes here? other republican votes? this is his home area down here, miami-dade. he has to run up the score here. look what mitt romney did against newt gingrich. if marco rubio has any comeback, the numbers down here need to be huge. we'll watch as that plays out. trump has led consistently in the polls. let's look at the democratic side here. go back to 2008 for that. david axelrod was just talking about this. hillary clinton won the state pretty handily in 2008. you know, wolf, you know this state well. the old saying is, the further south you go, the further north you get. because of all the transplants down here. people from the northeast who have retired down here. you can see how well hillary clinton did down here in those days. again, critical for her down here. also critical, she's done well with latino voters, especially in the middle of the state. here you come in orange county, where orlando is, this is a big area for hillary clinton to run it up among latino voters in the state. we'll see how that maplays out
well. if you look at the 2016 map so far, in the democratic primaries, this has been, north carolina is tonight, florida is tonight, secretary clinton wants to essentially fill the rested of this in tonight to make an appeal to the electorate. if you look for bernie sanders in florida tonight, look again down in the areas where hillary clinton is strong. a lot of northeast transplants down here. can bernie sanders make the case to voters there. and up here you have more blue collar voters. conservative counties up here. but you have a lot of white working class voters, so that would be key for bernie sanders. democratic primary, obama up - here. this was largely clinton country. a little john edwards in here. she ran it up big in the state eight years ago, she expects to do that tonight with a big win in florida. she's hoping to use the big win in florida, and what she hopes will be a big win in north carolina to offset what could be much more competitive races out in the midwest.
>> all right. john, thanks very much. right now we're standing by for the first votes out of florida on this super tuesday. this ecould be released at any moment now. that's when the state of florida will start releasing official votes, even though the polls remain open in the state of florida. we're also looking ahead to the half hour where we may be able to reveal the first winners of the night. when polls are closed down in ohio and north carolina. the presidential candidates in both parties are battling for nearly a third of the delegates needed to win their respective nominations. it's a critically important night. we're watching all of this very closely. jake, i've got to tell you, we're going to get the official numbers very, very soon. the first official numbers released by the state of florida. >> that's right. any minute now. on this make-or-break super tuesday, we have correspondents at all the candidates' headquarters, they're standing about i right now. let's go to jim acosta at trump headquarters in palm beach, florida.