tv At This Hour With Kate Bolduan CNN November 5, 2018 8:00am-9:00am PST
hello, everyone. i'm kate bolduan taking the show on the road to d.c. for a very important reason. if i need to tell you at this point, we have an issue with you. your vote decides what happens here, and it happens tomorrow. high stakes, huge drama, and a potential game changer. we're one day away from the midterm election and there's one thing both republicans and democrats can agree on, probably the only thing. tomorrow's outcome is the whole ball game. >> america's at a crossroads. the health care of millions is on the ballot. a fair shake for working families is on ballot. perhaps most importantly, the character of our country is on the ballot. >> the level of fever is very
strong in the republican side. so i can't speak to the blue, but i can speak to the red. there's a lot of energy out there. they want to see border security. they don't want people pouring into our country. they don't want open borders. they don't want to pay for other people's health care. there's a lot of enthusiasm on the republican side. i haven't seen it, really. i haven't seen it really since our big election victory in 2016. >> with that in mind, a final poll before americans head to the polls. the new cnn poll shows democrats hold a 13-point edge in the generic ballot among likely voters. even with numbers like that, no one in washington and far beyond really knows for sure what is going to happen tomorrow. isn't that just part of the fun of it all? let's get to the latest. cnn political writer and analyst harry enten is here. where do things stand with your forecast at this very sect?
>> we're expecting a major change in the political landscape. right now, the current house is broken down this way, republicans have a majority, but come tomorrow night, we expect a massive change where democrats are going to have 226 seats, you need 218 seats to control the house of representatives, so we believe that the democrats will in fact gain that house majority. but in the senate, i should point out that we're expecting something entirely different. right now, we have republicans at 51, democrats at 49, but of course, what we're seeing is with so many red states up on the ballot, we think republicans are actually more likely to gain a seat than lose a seat, of course, there's still a number of close races in the senate, for instance, if we were going to go to the indiana senate race, we think the democrats will barely hold on, win by two, but if this goes the other way, republicans could get a much larger gain come election night. >> thank you for highlighting indiana. the best state in the union. just saying. thank you so much. here with me now, marc short,
former director of legislative affairs for president trump. he signed a nondespaisparagemen agreement when he worked for the campaign. nia-malika henderson, and mark preston, cnn senior political analyst. i always love that. >> so good. >> we're not going to pretend like i'm a sports announcer today than when i am going to. the president has always wanted to make this election about himself. he's made no secret about that. then when you see in the new poll 70% of voters say he's either very or extremely important to their vote, if that's the case, who does that help, who does that hurt? >> well, it all depends. when we look at the senate races as harry was going through all those, that's going to help because those candidates are running state wide, so they're also appealing to voters, to rural voters, not necessarily just these urban, suburban voters in the house of
representatives, specifically races and seats that democrats feel like they can win back in order to take the majority. so who does it help, who does it hurt? if you're a republican right now, and you are josh hawley, you want him in missouri. you think that's a good idea. you want rush limbaugh there. you want sean hannity there, although journalistically, you have to question that. regardless of that, you want them there. but if you're somebody that's kind of on the edges, you know, you might not want him there. you might want to back off, and we're seeing that specifically in the house race here in virginia. barbara comstock, outside of washington, d.c. suburbs, you don't want him. >> and it's almost like two different universes when you talk about the house and senate. and i know smarter minds than mine have said this earlier, but i really am seeing that right now. like two different campaigns. for a republican in the house, it's about the economy or health care. for a republican in the senate, it's about trump being there, it's about immigration, about
the caravan. >> that's because of the dynamics of those red states. those are states obviously that trump won and trump won big. you think about a place like indiana, montana, you thing about north dakota, heidi heitkamp struggling there, has been struggling for months. it looks like she's probably not going to hang on to that seat. they obviously want him there, but you look at a place like arizona, nevada, they don't want him there because it's a much more diverse state, even though tay deal with immigration, they feel like those candidates don't necessarily want him there because they're trying to appeal to moderate suburban voters, white voters. it's a whole different thing, and you look at the governors races. >> people need to pay more attention. >> exactly, people need to pay attention. trump obviously paying attention to them. he was in florida, he was in georgia. as well, very much those are in some ways his hand-picked candidates, you think about ron desantis, brian kemp, very trumpian candidates. he feels like his message on immigration really plays there and we'll see on tuesday.
>> so then, 39% approval, 59% disapproval. what do you do with that for the president? for the day the president was elected, his approval was at 38%. the reality is in a midterm -- >> shouldn't it be slightly better after someone has been in office? wouldn't you hope that? >> sure, you would. i think there's a lot of records of accomplishment the president kz run on, but typically in a midterm cycle, the party out of power has the energy. what the president is doing is upping the enthusiasm on the right side. i think you're going to have the left -- >> not talking about his accomplishments. >> i think he's done -- >> the economy is not exciting according to him. >> are you questioning the president increasing enthusiasm among republican voters? he absolutely has. >> but how i'm questioning. >> it's the economy and other issues. >> the big question we're going to look at on the senate side tomorrow night is i agree that he's increased the enthusiasm, but what's he done to
independent voters in those states? what's he done, and particularly the tactics he's used, the demagoguery, to put it mildly. >> fearmongering. >> yeah, the fearmongering. your poll shows some tightening in those races. places like missouri are more tight, indiana. i think, you know, again, we have to wait for the results, but absent the last couple weeks, it would have been the senate moving to republicans or continuing with republicans. the house of democrats. i think there is a chance that so many people are energized or turned off. the fact of the matter is when you're at 38% or 39% job approval and you're energizing everyone, those numbers don't work for you. >> that also begs the question, if democrats don't take back the house, when you look at where the enthusiasm is among democrats and now kind of narrowing, what the heck does that tell you? >> it tells you that the trump formula is much longer lasting and much more fundamental to change than the country.
i don't believe that's the case, but if the democrats don't retake the house, i think you're looking at a realignment of our politics in this country for a long time to come. >> i'm going to play the sound bietd from president trump. this happened on friday but it's just too good not to play again. his inner monologue once again coming out about what is or isn't exciting to talk about on the campaign trail. >> they all say, speak about the economy. speak about the economy. well, we have the greatest economy in the history of our country. but sometimes it's not as exciting to talk about the economy. right? >> i mean, hilarious and classic trump, yes. but is he right? when you look in our new poll of what is most important to republican voters. >> he's doing really well overall in terms of the economy, right? great economic numbers. voters feel like he's -- they approve of how he's handling the economy. not doing so well on immigration. like 39% approval rating in
terms of how people see how he's handling immigration, but also true that republicans very much think that's a big issue. if you're donald trump and you remember what the chants were when he was running, right? it was build the wall. it wasn't, you know, find me a job or something more catchy about the economy. >> find me a job is not as catchy. >> not as catchy, so he's going back to the tried and true is e issues that worked for him so well. >> donald trump grew up in new york. and he grew up as somebody who read and was featured in the tabloids. he knows what people read. people wake up in the morning, in new york, they're grabbing the tabloids. they're looking at the sports page, the celebrity news, they're looking at something catchy. what donald trump is doing on the campaign trail, he's right, talking about the economy is like eating oatmeal. you know you have to eat it, it's good for you, it's going to help you in the long run, but you want to open up the new york post and eat a pop tart, and
that's what he's doing. and he's successful. >> in some parts of the country, pop-tarts are part of the breakfast food groups. >> i fully endorse it. >> i'm not sure the economy works as well forp republicans now as they say. >> why? >> he talked about a middle-class tax cut, it was an admission that the first tax cut was weighted for corporations. >> i think marc short would agree. maybe not floating a tax cut. >> but if you look at this, the group the third way put out a really interesting study last week that shows about 70% of americans are still feeling moderate to severe economic insecurity. and i think that combination plus i think you could probably, and marc will know better than i do, you could put a lot of polling in front of donald trump and he'll say, it's really interesting. let me show you what my gut says. what his gut says is i want to go out and create this massive
fearmongering story, but i think the economy, you wouldn't have democrats looking to regain th house the way i think they are if people felt like the economy was going really well for them. >> i think his gut has been pretty good, but i think also because he's talking about immigration, frankly, the mainstream media is saying why aren't you talking about the economy. if he was talking about the economy, they wouldn't give him the same credit. >> that's so counterintuitive. marc short, got to love you. thanks, guys. i really appreciate it. >> we'll see how it all shakes out tomorrow, together. tune in to cnn for our special live coverage of election night in america. starts at 5:00 eastern. >> coming up for us, the battle for control of washington is also turning out to be a battle of the sexes. what does it mean for the balance of power in gres and for the country far beyond that? details ahead wroorb sdploo up next, the heating georgia governor's race got hotter. brian kemp accusing the state's
democratic party of hacking the head of the georgia democratic party will be here to respond. well you remember what happened last year. you can't bring a backup thanksgiving to my sister's house. it's not like we're going to walk in with it. we'll bring it in as we need it. ...phase it in. phase it in? yeah, phase it in. phase it in? at t-mobile, forty bucks gets you an unlimited plan and a new samsung galaxy s9 included for every line. this is what you get with your $40 plan at verizon. recap! with t-mobile, you get this: four lines four phones for forty bucks. with verizon, you get this... the choice just got a whole lot more obvious. get more because you deserve it. only at t-mobile.
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the balance of power in congress isn't the only thing up for grabs tomorrow. 36 governorships are on the ballot. one of the hottest races is in georgia with democratic candidate stacey abe republics is trying to be the first african-american woman governor. the race took an unexpected return. the republican candidate, brian kemp, who is georgia's secretary of state, accused the democratic party of trying to hack the state's voter registration system. joining me right now is rebecca, the executive director of the georgia democratic party. thank you so much for coming in. >> thanks for having me, kate.
>> stacey abrams this morning was speaking to my colleagues on new day. she said it's wrong to call it an investigation that kemp is leading. she says it's a witch hunt. but i'm left to wonder, if there is nothing wrong, and hopefully there isn't anything wrong, do you have a problem with the secretary of state's office looking into this? >> oh, absolutely not. there is absolutely nothing wrong. this is an incredibly bogus claim that i found out about from a reporter on sunday morning. we have not been notified by law enforcement. we have not been notified by secretary of state's office. there's nothing to investigate. this is one of the most egregious examples of trying to distract a campaign and a party two days before a really important election. >> so that's actually what i was wondering. when you first became aware, and you did not become aware from anyone involved with, not even forget his campaign, but with the secretary of state's office. you were not told by them at all? >> no, i was actually laying in bed trying to get that last hour of fall back sleep on sunday
morning before a full day of campaigning when i got reached out to by a reporter. >> abrams also said this morning that brian kemp, he himself was notified on friday there was a flaw in the voter registration system. do you know what this -- is this the same thing we're talking about that he's now investigating? and did the democratic party notify kemp of something on friday? i'm confused. >> yeah, i can walk you thru a little bit in the timeline as i know it to be. so what we understand has happened is that there is an individual in georgia whom i don't know. who has found what he believes is an alleged vulnerability of the my voter page website, which is the website that the secretary of state oversees that shows people where their voting precincts are, their sample ballots, et cetera. that person, i'm understanding, has shopped it around to a variety of people to say, hey look, i found this vulnerability. one of the people that ended up with that e-mail was a volunteer
at the democratic party. the volunteer did the right thing and sent it to an attorney on staff who is our voter protection director. our voter protection director looked at it and she didn't know exactly what it meant, so she sent the e-mail to two georgia tech cybersecurity and data professors because they specialize in that sort of thing. and she sent an e-mail to them and said hey, and i'm paraphrasing here, but it basically said hey, i don't have the technological expertise to find out if this is real or not. would you take a look and get back to me? that's all we knew happened. now, apparently, this gentleman also sent this e-mail to a couple other people in georgia. one man who i have just learned of yesterday was an attorney for another case that has been pending against brian kemp, because he's often on the receiving end of lawsuits in georgia. and this gentleman notified the
fbi and notified kemp's attorneys that there was this potential vulnerability well before kemp ever came out to the press and said the democratic party of georgia somehow hacked the system. and again, what is just the most egregious, audacious showing of abuse of power i have ever experienced. >> the person who reached out originally, this richard. >> yes. >> are you sure his motives are innocent? >> i have no idea who richard wright is. being the democratic party of georgia, we get a lot of e-mails from different folks saying a lot of different things. >> in retrospect, instead of going to the georgia tech professors, you think your folks should have sent it to law enforcement? >> no, not necessarily. i think we did what we thought was best two days before an election. like i said, we get a lot of e-mails about a lot of different
things. we're very public. you can reach out to anybody on staff. to get something of that potential magnitude, it made sense for our attorneys to put it in front of somebody who actually knew what they were doing to see if it was real or not before we sent it to law enforcement. >> what's going to happen now? is there really an investigation going on? >> i don't believe there is an investigation because there's nothing to investigate. >> have you had anyone from the secretary of state's office or any law enforcement reach out to you? >> not once. not one person. >> not one person. >> let me ask you this. this race has now become so contentious. it's been especially if you look at the last 24 hours, if brian kemp wins tomorrow, is there any -- are you questioning if you as a party will accept his victory as legitimate? >> well, i think you bring up a really important point there. we, first of all, really want to get the message out, despite all of this and despite his voter suppression tactics, that our voters need to get out there and vote tomorrow.
we don't want anyone to think their vote isn't going to count. we don't want anyone to be worried. the only way someone's vote won't count is if they don't vote. so the best thing we can do to beat these tactics is to get out there en masse and win with a large victory tomorrow. >> but on the eventual outcome, you'll accept it no matter what because you're confident in the security of the voter registration system? >> i have no idea what is going to happen tomorrow and we have great experts who will be sitting with us all day long and watching everything that happens, but i can tell you my focus, and what i am in charge of is, making sure that our voters get out there and they turn out to vote, and that is exactly what i'm going to be spending all my energy on. >> rebecca, thank you very much. >> thanks so much, kate. >> thank you. we did reach out, we want to tell our viewers we did reach out to the georgia republican party to see if someone would like to join us to discuss this as well. they did not saerpt our invitation. now, to another historic race
brewing in florida. democrat andrew gillum is vying to be the state's first african-american governor. he's in a tight race with republican ron desantis who has the backing of president trump. the latest poll shows gillum up by four points, but that is within the margin of error which means the race is too close to call. ryan nobles is in tallahassee for this one for us. what are you hearing and seeing on the ground today? >> look, there's no doubt this race is as close as it could possibly be. what's interesting is exactly which direction we're going to see florida voters go in on tuesday night. we often think of florida as a swing state because it will often elect republicans and democrats, but there's a lot of evidence that it's a state filled with an equal number of partisan voters. a third of florida voters describe themselves as not affiliated with a party, but even amongst the non-party affiliated voters, they tend to break one way or another. as a result, we have seen both of the campaigns really play to
the base of their party, emphasizing issues that republicans specifically and democrats specifically care about. we heard ron desantis, the republican candidate, talk about that effort to get republican voters to the polls in a rally earlier today. listen to what desantis had to say. >> if our republican voters come out on tuesday like we think, we will be successful. i think that's very, very good. >> so it's all about getting the base out at this point, kate. that's why you saw president obama here for andrew gillum earlier, and that's why president obama has been here two different times. he also tweeted his support for ron desantis this morning. it's all about getting the party voters out. i have to imagine there's a lot of moderate votes in florida wondering what about us? we could play a big role here tonight as well. >> they could play a very decisive role tonight if they wanted to. great to see you. coming up, president trump wrapping up his final campaign sprint tonight in missouri. his target, incumbent democratic
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mccaskill. a new poll shows they're deadlocked. if mccaskill cannot hold on to her seat, chances of democrats taking over the senate even bleaker. rebecca berg is on the ground for this very important race, in springfield where the president is headed tonight. great to see you. what are you hearing on the ground? >> hi, kate. the race is deadlocked heading into election day. a pretty surprising dynamic here because missouri supported president trump in 2016 by nearly 20 points. it's a state that's trended republican over the past decade. and claire mccaskill is facing some serious headwinds. nevertheless, the race is tied and that's why we have president trump returning to missouri later today for the second time in a week. finishing off this election season in missouri. he'll be joined, of course, by rush limbaugh, missouri native. also sean hannity. they're going to be in the southeast corner of the state today. today, we're in springfield,
missouri, in the southwest corner of the state. josh hawley was here earlier today, the republican candidate, trying to gin up republican enthusiasm. this has been one of the big problems for republicans here in missouri and across the country this election cycle. getting their voters excited to get to the polls tomorrow. missouri doesn't have early voting so it all comes down to tomorrow. and take a listen to josh hawley's closing message. it's all about painting claire mccaskill as a liberal democrat trying to tie her to democrats like hillary clinton. take a listen. >> senator mccaskill supports amnesty, just like hillary. she supports higher taxes, just like hillary. she supports open borders, just like hillary. we told hillary clinton what we thought of her in 2016. tomorrow, it's time to say to claire mccaskill, you are fired. >> meanwhile, kate, the closing message for claire mccaskill has been that she is a moderate democrat who will work across the aisle. that she's not going to washington to fight president
trump but to fight for missourians. of course, we have talked here on cnn about that radio ad airing currently hire in missouri by claire mccaskill's campaign that says she's not one of those crazy democrats. we we'll see tomorrow if missourians can cast their ballots for claire mccaskill or if this is a state turning over to republican hands. >> great to see you. thank you so much. joining me right now, democratic senator chris van hollen of maryland. he's the man in charge of getting democrats elected to the senate. thanks for coming in. >> great to be with you. >> since you have all of no time on your hands, i appreciate it. what do you think of mccaskill's race right now? >> look, claire mccaskill has been fighting for the people of missouri. and as the person who did the lead-in mentioned, that's been her north star. that means if president trump has an idea that's good for the people of missouri, claire mccaskill has been there. if he has an idea that is bad for the people of missouri,
she'll fight him. one of the big issues, of course, that we have been fighting on is the issue of protecting people who have pre-existing health conditions. and josh hawley, her opponent, who is the attorney general there, helped file that texas lawsuit which would take away protections for people with pre-existing conditions. so those are the kind of issues front and center in missouri. but claire mccaskill, she's about missouri, not about party. >> i want to talk about health care in one second, but laying out a landscape that you know in your sleep, but for our viewers, there are 35 senate races this cycle. democrats defending 26 of those. and ten senate democrats are defending their seats in states that trump won, in some cases, if you look at mccaskill especially, double digits. when i lay out a road map like that, or when i lay out a map like that, what is going to happen tomorrow, senator? >> well, it all depends on turnout. i can tell you, the early voting has been really good. but as you mentioned, kate, this
is the most difficult political map that any party has had in the last 60 years. we are defending a lot of territory, including states that donald trump won. but the good news and the real story here is that we're as competitive as we are going into the final stretch, where there is a narrow path to a senate democratic majority. you know, 18 months ago, a lot of republicans were predicting they would win eight seats and have a filibuster-proof senate. so we're really pleased where we are right now, and it is a testament to the fact that our senators are standing up first and foremost for the people of their states, and the people in their states know it. >> the art of managing expectations ahead of a big vote. senator, let me play for you what you're talking about, you mentioned health care. let me play for you what sarah sanders said this morning. >> the president has been clear, whatever policy he puts forth on
health care, it will protect pre-existing conditions. there are some people out there in the country that want to tell you a different story. but at the end of the day, the president's going to do what is necessary to protect people with pre-existing conditions. but also create a health care system that actually works. >> i mean, democrats have been literally banking on health care being their issue. does this pledge from the president and what we have been hearing from republican candidates, them cutting ads talking about protecting pre-existing conditions, does this take this issue away from you? >> no, it doesn't because it's not true, and the american people aren't going to be fooled. they watched over the last two years as republicans including the president tried to blow up and destroy the affordable care act, including the provisions that protect people with pre-existing conditions. and that's why you saw an uproar around the country, in rural areas with rural hospitals, you had local chapters of the american cancer society, the american diabetes association, all of these patient advocacy
groups having nothing to do with party, stood up and said no, and yet republicans continue to push it. i mentioned the lawsuit that josh hawley is pushing in texas. that would destroy protections for people with pre-existing conditions. and on top of that, you have the republican senate leader mitch mcconnell now saying they have blown up the deficit, you know, $2 trillion as a result of the corporate tax giveaway, and now they're going to come back and cut medicare and social security and medicaid. so this is a moment where everybody needs to watch out. and i think most people want senators who are not going to be rubber stamps but are going to stand up for their states and hold people accountable. >> leader pelosi, she stuck her neck out last week on late night tv saying she's no longer couching it. she said dems are going to win back the house. when you were chair of the d-trip, would that have been music to your ears a week out or nails on a chalkboard? >> look, i think that what nancy pelosi was talking about in the
house races, you've got this more of a wave effect because you're talking about competing in suburban districts primarily, and look, i think what we're seeing is a call to action. i'm going to go back to what i said. >> wait, are you confident -- of course, it's about turnout, senator. are you confident that dems are going to take the house now. are you with nancy pelosi on this? >> i believe democrats will take the house, but i always caution that it isn't over until it's over and nobody should be sitting back right now and expecting a certain result before we count all the ballots. and everyone just has to get out to vote. >> that's my point, because i interviewed a democratic candidate, alessa slotnic last week, and when i asked her about what nancy pelosi said, she said it doesn't help at all. let's see what we see together when it shakes out tomorrow, because let's say it again, it's
all about turnout. it's all about turnout. >> as yogi bear said, it ain't over until it's over. >> i appreciate your time. coming up for us, the trump administration hits iran with new sanctions. iran vowing defiance. where does this go from here? that's next. with safelite, you can see exactly when we'll be there. saving you time for what you love most. >> kids: whoa! >> kids vo: ♪ safelite repair, safelite replace ♪
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lifted through the iran nuclear dear are now reinstated. this hurting them the most, its oil and gas, shipping and banking industries. here are the secretary of state and the treasury secretary kind of announcing it this morning. >> our objective is to starve the iranian regime of the revenue it uses to fund violent and destabilizing activities around the middle east and indeed around the world. our goal is to convince them to abandon their current revolutionary course. >> we're making it clear to the iranian regime that they'll face mounting financial isolation until they fundamentally change their destabilizing behavior. >> so will this maximum pressure campaign work? joining me right now, tony blinken, he was deputy secretary of state under president obama. he's a cnn global affairs analyst. thanks for being here. the point of this is to convince iran to change course. of course, that's the point in
every move when it comes to iran. to make it stop destabilizing, being such a destabilizing force in the region. you clearly disagreed with the president pulling out of the deal. at this point, do you think these sanctions will work, or the course to take? >> i'm skeptical. when we imposed sanctions on iran, which we did under obama, we had the full cooperation of our allies. the reason we had cooperation is they thought the objective was to get them to the table. president trump doesn't have the cooperation of our allies. they're trying to do everything they can to avoid complying with the sanctions. even countries that are not allies like china are getting waivers to be able to continue to buy oil from iran. because they said look, we're not going to go along with getting down to zero and not buying any oil. it's tougher because basically what president trump is trying to do is get more with less pressure than we were actually able to exert a few years ago. >> these waivers, i wanted to
ask about. i'm confused by it. the u.s. is exempting eight countries including six of the iran's biggest oil buying customers. why exempt any country? what does the exemption do then? >> the reason for the exemptions is these countries said no. we're not going to get to zero. we need to buy oil. we need the oil for our economy. so what they did is is they got the countries to take a little less. the money that iran gets from selling the oil will go into an escrow account and allegedly can only be used to buy humanitarian goods. >> does it take the bite out? >> it takes some bite out. we're going from iran selling about 2.5 million barrels a day probably down to 1 million barrels a day. meanwhile, the price of oil has gone up. it was $50 or $60 a barrel, now it's up to $70 or $80. some of the difference is made up by the price. >> when president rouhani said iran will proudly break the u.s. sanctions, what do you think of that response?
>> i think what's really going on is this. here's what the iranians are likely to do. they're likely to stick, divide, and wait. stick with the deal, the nuclear deal. continue with their obligations under the deal. try to divide us from our allies and wait out president trump and see if they get a different president in a couple years to renegotiate a nuclear deal or to come back to the nuclear deal with the united states. there's an alternative, if they don't do that, if the economic pressure really does mount and the hard liners in iran say we're not getting the economic benefit of this deal, they may restart their nuclear program. it may take time, but at that point, if theydohat,we'll be back to the really bad choice we faced, which is either allow them to have a breakout nuclear capacity, allow them to develop a nuclear weapon quickly, or attack them to stop it. that was the choice the nuclear deal was designed to get out of it. we might be right back there. so either way, it's probably not a good thing. and what's so perplexing about this is president trump threw out the one thing that was actually working with iran, the
nuclear agreement. there's a lot of things they're doing that we don't like that we need to stom. why would you throw out the one thing that was working? >> because he promised he would. great to see you. thanks for coming in. coming up for us, forget red versus blue, the 2018 midterms may all come down to men verses women. the massive gender gap and what it means for tomorrow's results and far beyond. ent hotel brands. like a doubletree for my cousins. a homewood suites for my uncle. a hampton for my sister and her kids. and the waldorf astoria beverly hills for me. can i get a..? thank you. book at hilton.com and get the hilton price match guarantee. from capital one.nd i switched to the spark cash card book at hilton.com i earn unlimited 2% cash back on everything i buy. and last year, i earned $36,000 in cash back. which i used to offer health insurance to my employees. what's in your wallet?
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and we use this information in partnership with first responders and california's emergency response systems. to learn more about the community wildfire safety program and how you can help keep your home and community safe, visit pge.com/wildfiresafety control of congress come could down to the gender gap. look at the new cnn poll. 62% of likely women voters would vote for a democrat, while just
35% say they would vote for the republican. compare that to the statistical dead heat among men for the parties. joining me now to discuss, republican and democratic pollsters. great to see you guys. kristin, the gender gap has been consistent through our conversation about this. is the numbers that we just showed, is that a failure on the part of republicans or just success on the part of democrats? >> the gender gap has always benefitted democrats among women to a slight degree. what we see this year is enormous levels of enthusiasm, particularly around college-eticated women. the reason why it's so much more is there are lots of women with college degrees in the districts with the type of places most likely to flip. in the u.s. senate where you have a lot of red states with rural areas where republicans are probably going to do quite
well, it's the geography of where the swing districts are and the college educated women are driving the gender gap. >> you talked about enthusiasm. that's a huge thing that everyone has been watching. it was all about the enthusiasm and then among republicans. the lead for dems narrowed to just four points. is that concerning to you? >> i do think that there has been consistent enthusiasm for democrats since trump took office. if you look at the special elections that happened and the 2017 elections and places like virginia, you see that democratic enthusiasm converted the democrats to show up and vote. there is reason to feel encouraged. on the flip side in the closing days as you get close, republicans are feeling more galvanized. when you look at where the early vote numbers are coming in, people are voting. democrats are voting and republicans are also voting. >> what's the data point that you are most interested in
tomorrow's results? >> i think it is the degree to which you see younger people, the 18 to 29-year-olds turning out and hispanic voters. a lot of people were very surprised after 2016 who may have sat it out who feel if you sit elections out, the outcome may surprise you in a way you don't like. whether they show up at the levels thaw hope you see in a wave is going to be the thing. >> for a slightly different reason, i'm interested in knowing what it looks like. that can break one of two ways. president trump is trying to make the case, make your vote about me and send me a congress i can work with. he won last time. he was on the ballot nationally. does he want a 2016 electorate? if low propensity voters turn out, the demographics of the elections tend to favor democrats more than what they benefitted from the last two times around.
if we see turn out levels, i doubt they will get to 2016 and looking more presidential than the mid-term. >> when we were sitting down together at the conference, you said you would maybe make a mid-term prediction. we have arrived on that day. >> it's going to be a good night for democrats, but there are too many data points pointed in opposite directions. >>ful it's all about turn out, guys. it's all about turn out. yes, it is. great to see you. thank you so much. soon president trump takes off for tomorrow's elections. what is his message on this final day? stay with us.
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welcome to inside politics. i'm john king. thank you for sharing your busy day with us. a mid-term referendum on president trump who is embracing his central role with election rallies in three critical states. advantage democrats when it comes to the house. the senate map tilts in favor of republicans. outside of washington democrats predicting big gains for governor and other races. whether tuesday brings