tv New Day With Alisyn Camerota and John Berman CNN November 7, 2018 2:00am-3:00am PST
we're going to have coverage throughout the morning. one of the big questions is how many of us came out -- how many of us vote? we have numbers for you right now. 88% of the vote is in, okay. you'll see we have 96 million people. remember, 12% still to come in. that's relevant. how does it size up? in 2014 you had 83.3 million people. we're ahead of 2014. the 2016 presidential election, you had 136 million. what's the record for a midterm? in 2010 we had 96 million people. we're already there. we still have 12% to go. good for you for getting out to vote. i'll hand it off to "new day"
right now. good morning to our viewers in the united states and all around the world. welcome to "new day." it is wednesday, november 7th, 5:00 in washington. i say good morning, but it's still election night, frankly. what a night it has been. mixed messages in the absolute extreme giving both parties coming to cheer about, but in terms of the biggest change, no question, democrats seize control of the house, breaking the republican monopoly in washington. they are now in the game. in the senate, the republicans not only held their majority, they added to it. many of the winners in states that president trump visited in the final days of the campaign. they already controlled the senate. the house is a huge shift. after two years of virtually no oversight from congress, now it's here. among other things, democrats are already saying they want to see the president's tax returns.
white house counselor kellyanne conway tells cnn, quote, they're talking about investigations and subpoenas, and he's talking about issues. she'll talk to us in the 8:00 hour. so exit polls point to several interesting factors. the biggest -- women. especially in the suburbs. women ahead up 52% of the overall election alternate. they went for democrats over republicans by about 20 points. it was a rough night for high-profile democrats. andrew gillum in florida, beto o'rourke in texas, both lost their bids. and stacey abrams in georgia is behind at the moment, but refusing to concede. some key races in the senate -- still too close to call. razor-thin margins in florida, montana, and arizona. in mississippi, a special election is headed to a runoff. we have it all covered for you. these numbers change by the minute. phil mattingly with the latest results for us. where is it now, phil? >> reporter: hey, i want to really focus in on the three tlasz are still outstand --
races that are still outstanding in the senate. you look at the margin, if things hold, 55 republicans, 45 democrats. things are not final. let's start with montana. incumbent democrat jon tester trailing by about 4,000 votes to republican matt rosendale, 84% reporting. key question, what's still outstanding. does jon tester have a pathway? there's four blue counties outstanding with vote. not a ton of vote in the counties. tester, i'm told, still does have a pathway but not a large one. democrats sweating that race a bit. to the south and arizona. jeff flake, retiring republican senator. right now, martha mcsally, member of the house, up by 12,000 votes with 74% reporting. let's see if kyrsten sinema, the democrat, has the opportunity to come back. there's one outstanding county, martha mcsally is leading by 17 points. again, nothing has been called yet. there's still opportunities here. the opportunities look at least at this point to be somewhat limited. to another race. people have been talking about this all night. governor rick scott running for
senate as a republican against incumbent bill nelson. 99% reporting, scott up by 38,000. a lot of people have said why don't you call the race -- here's why -- .4% separates the challengers. .5% is the automatic trigger for florida recount in a statewide race. there's also absentee ballots that had to be postmarked by today and will likely be counted over the next couple of days. our decision desk is holding off calling the race until we find out if there's going to be a recount and if the absentee ballots come in and what they say. that's what's outstanding now. let's look at a broader sense of the map. you talked about the divergent maps between the house and the senate. if you're mitch mcconnell, you feel very good. why do you feel good? you've got indiana circled, north dakota circled. in texas, beto o'rourke put up a mighty challenge. no question about. it losing by two or three points. he went down, as well. missouri, also a flip. democrats right now, we knew they had a tough map going in, they had to defend trump-won
seat. democrats lost a lot of those seats. the big question is how big majority leader mitch mcconnell's majority will be, not if he will have a majority. we know that's the answer. let's move to the house. there's still outstanding races there. i want to look at those. you talk about the top-line, as it stands, the democrats are leading or had races called in 228 seat. magic number was 218. they're over the threshold. the question is how big is the majority going to be. the here's the uncalled pickup opportunities out there -- seven for democrats. the key ones to look up in california, just a few minutes ago, when i was on the other set, this race was heading in republicans' hands. take a look now. 50, 50, 55% reporting, only 82 votes ahead. guys, the races are going to stay tight. why they matter with the top line, yes, democrats absolutely have won the house. when you look at races that are a couple hundred of votes apart, georgia six, everybody talked about this in the special election, it looks like the
democrat may win this, as well. margins matter when you have a house majority. yes, likely to be speaker nancy pelosi. how many votes will she have to work with? that's what we're going to be figuring out over the next couple of hours. >> phil mattingly at the magic wall. great to have you here. you've been up all night, still counting votes one by one, if you have to. >> really some of them are that close. as he was saying, 82. every vote counts as we've learned. >> phil on each and every one. let's talk about this. david greg orgregory, jeff alli stewart, i want to talk about what's going on. in terms of what's changed on planet earth, specifically in washington, democrats are taking control of the house. that is a giant deal. that is a different world for the president to live in. >> no question. you know, 2016, reverberations felt. democrats felt decimated. they won the popular vote in the presidency. lost the electoral college. lost the presidency, lost all control of washington.
so the democratic party struck back and sfrtruck back big. we're counting the vote total. they showed strength across the board. they exploited where the president's unpopular with suburban voters, college-educate voters -- where he's weak, rather, among women. they picked up a seat in central oklahoma. they picked up a seat in south carolina. they picked up a seat, culberson, outside of dallas, showing all of the strength that we've seen in demographic changes, moefbilization, energy the governors races appear to be disappointing certain in florida. perhaps, as well, in georgia. showing that even with demographic changes, even with energy, it's still difficult in the south. in those two states. but beto o'rourke in texas, a lot of strength there. but we also saw two things -- polarization and the resiliency of trump as a campaigner, as a political force, somebody who can consolidate that support particularly in rural parts of
the country. there's a lot there. not the blue wave a lot of people thought was coming. but certainly a big night. >> so blue wave in the house. red wave in the senate. if you want to call it that. the president can feel good -- basically, there are a lot of different factions that can be celebrating and see it as a victory for themselves. explain that paradox. >> i think the fact that -- i mean, this was always two separate elections. the republicans had the blessing of geography going into this because all of these senate races were in red states. look where the president went. he largely won all of the senate seats. the question we don't know is did his rhetoric at the end of the day, did his -- you know, his harsh tone on immigration, hurt the house. we'll be looking at that for a long time to come. one thing so interesting -- as the president goes forward, what does he do? sarah sanders, white house press secretary, told reporters before midnight the president had no plans to call speaker pelosi. >> not-yet speaker pelosi. >> speakers always call themselves speakers even after they leave. the president called her a
couple of hours later. the reality is president trump knows he's waking up to a new era in washington. how much will he work with them? i think more than we might think at this point. that is something to keep an eye on. but the president for all the thought of how he was going to hurt all these senate republicans, that did not happen. he was helpful at the end of the day by him making this race all about him. which it was. it helped saved senate republicans no question. >> in those states for sure. in this white house -- the political team deserves credit -- >> as does the president -- >> oin picking the right states to campaign. nina, i want to go to you. it's easy to tell what the republicans' mood is, they lost the house. i think they knew they were going to do that. perhaps they picked up a few more senate seats than they thought. how do democrats, deep down inside, really feel this morning? >> i mean, mixed, john. for me, this has been heavy especially because -- i was talking to david a little about that. especially because of florida and georgia. and there's something extra
special about florida and georgia, the weight of history, too. these -- it wasn't just stacey abrams and andrew gillum were trying to jump mountains. i call them mountain jumpers. some people have smooth surfaces. they had to try to overcome mountains. in that regard, that is heavy. people poured their heart, soul, into those races. in terms of them taking back the house of representatives -- the democrats were successful. they won six more gubernatorial, you know, races trying to make up for lost ground. since 2010, you know, democrats have lost 1,100 seats including state legislatures and governors mansions. in florida, one positive thing that happened, that is the second chance amendment. 1.5 million returning citizens, ex-offenders, will be able to regain their right to vote. that has a very powerful impact
on the african-american community, i did proportionately because they are disproportionately impacted by the laws. it's mixed. >> how are republicans feeling this morning? >> anywhere feeling -- justified given that we knew this was going to happen. this is how it was expected to turn out. the blue wave in the house was something they expected for -- for three reasons. one being history. generally the party in power loses states. another is democratic fund-raising was strong. that was beneficial to their candidates. as well as the retirements. we had a lot of republicans retiring. that opened up some seats for democrats to make some headway. that's certainly the way it happened. i will say with regard to those two races you mentioned in florida and georgia, gillum and abrams ran phenomenal races. they were tremendous candidates. the good thing is we haven't seen the last of them. they've got great futures ahead of them. these were strong, hard-fate races -- hard-fought races. at the end of the day, a lot of
emotion -- oprah winfrey brought that out in georgia. the emotion wasn't enough to match the intensity on the issues. republicans were firm on the issues and sticking hard with their core republican values. that drove more voters to the pollsment at t polls. at the end of the day that was beneficial in georgia, florida, and in texas. i think the ted cruz victory was strong. >> i have to add in georgia in particular, i mean, what -- the secretary of state managing the election process and the voter suppression that has gone on there. it wasn't just that it was a smooth path for stacy abrams there. -- stacey abrams there. a lot of poli-tricking went on. the racialization of the races by the president and the candidates, also andrew gillum and stacey abrams, that had a lot to do -- >> it was not a level playing field. >> they had to jump mountains, absolutely. >> i'm curious to see what the voting totals are particularly among young voters. this is important. in a way -- i agree with you, we're going to look in 2020 at
-- as we have started to already, we're going to look at georgia, we're going to continue to look at florida, arizona. the sunbelt states are where the action is. what beto o'rourke did in texas is shocking because the states are changing. the demographics are changing. they may have fallen short in these governors races, but we look at millennial voters, their turnout. the energy is there and is growing. >> let me quote ron brown stein. states like arizona, to a lesser extent texas, they're the future of the democratic party and always will be. >> right. >> which is to say that it always just seems out of reach. what happens is sort of my theory on those states. what we did see overnight and into this morning, we're still seeing it in california, is real movement in the suburbs. and you know, it wasn't long ago where the suburbs, it was the base of the republican party. george w. bush made his election based on these suburban areas. and now they're just melting
away. you go state by state -- jeff, to you, melting away here. it is, safe to say, a reaction i think to the president. does the white house think this is an even trade? is this something they are concerned about? is this an area you think the president might try to pivot in the next sfwheeyears? >> i think it's challenging him to try to pivot in the suburban districts. that's not how he won in the first place. i'm not sure that's how he'll win re-election. this is what concerns the white house and should concern the republican party, democrats, a strong night in state legislative races. the early numbers show as well as the governor's race in wisconsin. this is a new landscape for trump 2020. he's going to start campaigning almost immediately. he liked the rallies. one adviser told me, look, the rallies aren't ending. they are just starting. he liked the field. the reality is the president has a choice to make. at the halftime mark of his first term in office, he has a
choice to make if he wants to keep on the same path or if he wants to pivot a little bit. and will democrats allow him to pivot. so so much going there. but he is in charge of so much as he brings in a new team which he's going to do. >> passage -- panel, thank you very much for all of the insights. stick around if you will. in georgia, stacey abrams is down but not out in her bid to become the first black female governor. she trails the republican brian kemp by just over 2% points. she is not conceding at this hour. our nick valencia is live in atlanta with more. what's the situation this hour? >> reporter: this goes without saying, but it was a very bitterly contested governor's race. it is still not over. even though 9% of the precincts are reporting and democrat stacey abrams trails republican brian kemp by more than 80,000 votes, she has hope that there are tens of thousands of absentee ballots that could bring 50% of the threshold, that 50% mark that brian kemp has,
below the threshold enough to send it into a runoff. this is something she addressed to a rally of supporters last night during the campaign headquarters at her event there. she said that she knows it's going to be an uphill battle, but it's still a very real possibility. >> votes remain to be counted. there are voices that are waiting to be heard. across our state, folks are opening up the dreams of voters in absentee ballots. we believe a stronger georgia is in within reach. we condition seize it until all voices are heard. >> reporter: abrams didn't mention kemp by name but said there were people hard at work to, quote, try to take our voice away, alluding to allegations that she made against brian kemp of suppressing voters. brian kemp is the secretary of state, a position that oversees the elections here in georgia. some calling it a conflict of interest. for his part, temperature didn't declare victory last -- kemp didn't declare victory last
night but said he is confident math is in his favor to win the election. >> how long will it take to count the absentee ballots? >> reporter: the december 4th runoff, that's the mark. that is the outstanding question is how long it the take. 99% of the precincts already reporting. the local paper, the "ajc," saying 100% of precincts reporting. a hail mary here. the tens of thousands of absentee votes. she's counting on metro atlanta, which is predominantly progressive, to try to get her over the mark. >> nick valencia in atlanta. thank you very much. still counting votes in montana. d can jon tester hold on? counting in california. congressional races. will the democrats expands their margins in the house? we are watching all of it, and we're going to talk about what the democrats might do with this newfound power in trump's washington. stay with us. not cool. freezing away fat cells with coolsculpting? now that's cool! coolsculpting safely freezes
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governors races nationwide. democrats flipped at least six seats from the gop, but republicans managed to hold key seats in the midwest. the most contested race is still playing out in georgia. that's where stacey abrams refuses to concede this hour. she's hoping that absentee ballots will help close the gap and then force a runoff with brian kemp. cnn's phil mattingly has been crunching the numbers and has the latest. what's it looking like now? >> we've been talking about the divergent maps between the house and the senate. democrats looked at governors races as the place to put the stamp on the night. mixed results. i want to focus on things democrats are most hurt about this morning when you talk about the races they watched. first start with florida. andrew gillum considered a top-tier candidate. the democratic party thought of him as the future for the party. he left to ron desantis, 49.7% to 49%. he conceded. that's obviously as we talked about beyond the .5% recall trigger. that race is now over. you talked about stacey abrams. another really big, lot of
momentum behind them in the democratic party. right now the race is still uncalled because, as we, as nick laid out earlier, she has not conceded the race. those are two difficult losses for democrats. another one -- ohio. if you talk about ohio, people going into this night thought richard cordray, the former director of the consumer financial protection bureau, had a real opportunity here. mike dewine, state attorney general, ended up winning this race by about four points. here's why that's problematic. you talk about what this means for the future. you're losing places like florida, like ohio, in governors races statewide, that has 2020 implications. more importantly it has redistricting implications. when the new census comes out and they draft maps, this governor has veto power. this is why democrats feel like they had a good night. let's look at the seats that flipped. and you're looking now at seven total if held and where are the seats? this is crucial. talking about ploicmichigan, wisconsin, scott walker, wisconsin, ended up losing. the longtime democratic target.
nevada, as well y. are those important? talking about a midwest rejection of president trump. states he won. another crucial 2020 state. mixed results. democrats happy certainly in the midwest. not happy about what happened in florida, georgia, and ohio, guys. >> thank you very much. back with us, we have david gregory, jeff zeleny, nina turner, and alice stewart. in terms of the governors races, let's focus in on florida. that was so high profile. david, with andrew gillum, is there anything -- any wisdom to glean from this? with progressives are not the flavor of the day or is there -- are we looking too specifically? >> i think there there's a lot positive. democrats were deeply disappointed. there was a lot of energy and enthusiasm, when you talk about the star power that's appeased. he was the real star power. you know, a young, black, progressive -- i think democrats are looking for who will lead us, not just the resistance, but
who will lead us and give us something to vote for. give us someone to vote for. to create something of a movement. and i think gillum represented that. and not just because he was young and fresh. because he had something to say that was meaningful. he was doing it in a state that would be tough. it would be really tough to win. and to john's point earlier, the sunbelt states are the democratic future. and i think that will become the future -- these are battleground states but they weren't able to do it. demographics matter, but so does the polarization. the president's strengths, the republican strength in rural parts of the state and other states is still meaningful, makes it difficult. >> i think if you asked democrats going into yesterday what the big racines would be i would be georgia, florida, and ohio. and now they control
pennsylvania, wisconsin, and michigan. they had pennsylvania already. but the three states, if had won, she'd be president today. >> no question. that is something that it was going to be a challenge for this president going forward. if he is going to win re-election and we're going to move on to that sooner than we probably should. that's the reality here. >> that hatched about six hours -- that happened about six hours ago. >> in the president's mind, as well. that is something that is going to be an issue as they go forwards, particularly redistricting. going forward the next decade, this is the critical year for governors, i think. back to florida, i think the president also plays a role here. you have to absolutely give him credit for campaigning for desantis. desantis was a mini trump during the primary. he moderated during the general election. and he ended up winning at the end of the day here. i think the white house, how they work with people of all sides including these democratic governors is something i'm keeping an eye on. the president's choice here. is he going to remake himself a bit, or keep going on? we don't know. >> you look at the democrats
winning in michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania, the upper midwest, this is -- you know, where democrats need to make changes. >> in the places where it has been a struggle with beto o'rourke, andrew gillum, stacey abrams, still struggling, these were the high-profile stars. are there lessons to be learned? >> they softened the soil. alice brought that up in her first comments, and i do agree with her on that even though i am not happy with the results. but they softened the soil. it wasn't a blowout. you know, andrew gillum was the future of the democratic party. he still is the future of the democratic party. he showed very clearly he ran as a true progressive, not a half-measured progressive. >> why don't you take the less -- it isn't where they lost -- >> no, but again, it's a difference between having a smooth surface, a rocky surface, hills and mountains. let us not forget the import of history in this country. that less than five african-american men have been elected as governor in this
country. and no african-american woman has ever been elected. that history and that energy and momentum that both abrams and gillum had, that means something. yes, they did not win, but they didn't get blown out either. even with the fact that they had to jump mountains. even with the racialized nature of it brought on by the president and the two candidates that they had to run against. making this about race and one of the most negative, despicable ways ever. all of that plays into this. so they have a lot to be proud of. and this is bigger than the democratic party. this is really about the future of america. that whether or not we are as a country fully ready to be represented in executive office by people who are black and brown. that's really what's on the line in this country. >> if we can, i want to pull it back to the house a little bit now and talk about what we're going to see over the next few weeks and few months. the democrats are coming into power here, and they have a choice to make, and the president has a choice to make. should i hold my breath that
they'll both decide miraculously to work together, or where do you think it's going? >> you hold your breath, and you'll be the boy in blue over there. you'll continue to hold your breath. a lot of it depends on who blinks first. will the democrats in the house be about legislation, or will they be about investigation? >> it could be about both. >> it could. simultaneously as paul ryan says we can walk and chew gum at the same time. i hope they will have a kumbaya moment and get things done. we did see when the president met with chuck and nancy that they had the summit and had some type of agreement with regard to daca and immigration. >> fell apart -- >> didn't move forward. i think what we need to do is agree, okay, if we're going to get things done, we've to work together. we can't just have meetings and have talk and no action. we have to follow through and have bipartisanship. i'd like to think that's what we're going -- >> ultimately did they want it? if you want to continue to resist the president, do you want to investigate, do you want to use the subpoena power, you heard nancy pelosi being cautious about impeachment which
i think is a good idea. you know, i don't know. the president's always going to spoil for a fight. you know, he had an immigration deal. he had money from democrats to build the wall. he said no because he wanted to take a more hard-line position. if you're the democrats, i'd want this immigration issue off the table. i think republicans want it off the table, too. i'm not holding my breathe that. i think there's an -- my breath on that. i think there's an opportunity they want this off the table before 2020. >> do the democrats want daca more or the president wants the wall more? it's who wants what. >> who's going to run the democrats in the house of representatives? >> at this point you have to give an edge to nancy pelosi, the former speaker and current speaker or future speaker. no one holds sway over as much of the house democrats as she does. she raised money. she's largely responsible for this. she's responsible for some of the depends losing out there. until there's a center of gravity around someone else, either from the california delegation or the cbc, if she
loses support from there, she's in trouble. as of now, you have to say i think that she is the most likely next speaker. she's been there before. she knows how this works. >> she can count votes. she's one of the few people left in washington who can count votes. >> without a doubt. >> not a rush to a new tomorrow in either the senate or the house. >> no. >> about 100 women in the house in the next congress, which has never happened before. >> it depends if there's a center of gravity around everyone. >> thank you very much. so the candidates, they were not the only thing on the ballot. initiatives on marijuana, redistricting, even voting rights for felons. a cnn reality check next. and soy to even skin tone. unleash dewy, glowing skin from within. new aveeno® maxglow™.
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ballot initiatives were made for marijuana. and there were big decisions overnight on that front. we have the reality check on all the ballot issues. >> that's the only one you care about, isn't it? >> i feel like it's the only one you hear about it. every two years it's on the ballot again. >> the wisdom of the people overrides the state legislatures. an interesting result. yeah, marijuana legalization and felon voting rights, redistricting reform. those are some of the issues that passed in election 2018. if you look at the whole spectrum of 158 statewide ballots, you get the sense that america is far more interested in evolving than the red state/blue state stereotype would suggest. michigan legalized recreational use of marijuana. others legalized medicinal
marijuana. and some are saying they don't smoke marijuana in dakota, hokey in meskokie. they turned it down. if you're concerned about the politics, voters in michigan, colorado, and missouri approved nonpartisan redistricting commissions which will end the rigged system of redistricting and lead to more competitive general elections for congress and more representative results. the fight for voting rights was a big theme this year. and voters in florida decided to restore voting rights to felons who served their time going forward. nevada backed automatic voter remg administration. maryland approve -- registration. maryland approved same-day voter registration. in the south, arkansas and north carolina backed requirements to show voter i.d. at the polls. polls said health care was issue number one for people. citizens of idaho, nebraska, and utah are requiring their conservative states to accept obamacare's medicaid expansion. a big deal. massachusetts refused to roll
back transgender rights after a 2016 bill passed by the reelected republican governor charlie baker. alabama backed a proposal to allow the ten commandments to be posted in public spaces that will certainly face legal challenges, and asserting the rights of anti-abortion principles and, quote, the rights of unborn children in the state constitution. anti-crimes victims, marcy's law, controversial because it adds costs to legal proceedings, passed in six states throughout the south and west. that's your reality check. >> all right. i mean, i like sublime song, i smoked two joints in the morning. >> you went sublime on that one -- >> the song. the song, please. >> just -- >> the song. all right. thank you very much. what were the biggest surpriseses last night and how -- surprises last night and how did the polls do, did they reflect reality? cal: ellen, our certified financial planner™ professional, helps us manage our cash flow and plan for the unexpected. valerie: her experience and training
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democrats take control of the house. 222 that they have. republicans have expanded their hold on the senate. they are, what, at 51 right now? >> yeah. >> okay. there were unexpected results that could tell us what's in store for 2020. senior analyst ron brownstein and senior writer and analyst harry enten. we have to talk about the polls. harry, every morning we listened to your forecast. was your forecast accurate? has it played out accurately? >> it seems that it did. the final forecast had democrats winning 227 seats on a median or 229 on the average. and right now i believe they'll probably pick up about 229 seats in the house of representatives. i'm not a soothsayer, i don't go to miss cleo, i base my forecast on the polls. the polls were pretty good if my forecast was pretty good. >> you stuck the landing on the polls completely. there are people who say the polls were wrong.
you told us what was going to happen. it happened. >> maybe you are miss cleo. >> maybe i am. >> ron, i want to go to you. i want to know why this happened -- explain the divergence where democrats can sweep into the house -- you know, something like a blue wave. >> right. >> the republicans can pick up the senate -- >> people say, how can these both happen at the same time. the answer is that two divergent americas that rendered utterly antithetical verdicts in the first few years of the trump presidency. and the key to the divergent result last flight is this gap that we've -- last night is this gap that we've been talking about between the voting preferences of whites with a college education and whites without a college education. in the exit poll yesterday, the national exit poll, democrats won 53% of college-educated white voters. and that was the key to their victory literally coast to coast. detroit, minneapolis, oklahoma, charleston, you know, denver, tucson, but not only those.
places like atlanta where they apparently won a seat. not to mention houston and dallas. the entire urban kind of diverse urban metros moved significantly against the republicans last night. on the other hand, on the other hand, if you look at the national exit poll, republicans won 61% of whites without a college education. they ran higher among evangelical and rural whites. the senate map, particularly the interior states of missouri, north dakota, indiana, that -- that's where the voters are. you now have i think, you know, these two americas that have utterly different verdicts on what donald trump means for the country. utterly different verdicts about where they want to see the country going. how they feel about the demographic, cultural, that we're living through. they're separated and more starkly aligned than ever. >> to give you your due, this is what you predicted. every time you come on, you've opinion telling us to look for that in terms -- you've been
telling us to look for that in terms of college education versus non-college educated voter. what surprised you? since you got a lot right, what surprised you last night? >> i think the fact was that even though the polls were pretty good, the errors tended to overwhelmingly be in states with white voters without a college degree. look at missouri, indiana, look at states like west virgini virginia,montana. we got the forecast right in west virginia and montana, tended up being a lot more republican leaning than we thought. in missouri and indiana, it flipped the races the other way. >> that's the thing, it's not a shock that the democrats lost in missouri and indiana. the margins seemed to be much bigger. >> it is modern world. talking about in all of the states, the republicans ran about 60% among whites without a college degree. that's what trump has done. the trade trump is imposing on the party, we see it clearly. strong with rural, white, blue dollar, and evangelical whites. but -- blue collar, and evangelical whites. but the cost in the suburbs became much more real yesterday than it has been before. >> is there a 2020 implication in the last statement you made?
>> yeah. it's interesting for 2020. the three states that made trump president, the three he dislodged from the blue wall that i copied in 2009 were michigan, wisconsin, and pennsylvania. he won the race in each. they didn't blow off the doors among working class whites, they got back into the 40s. all they have to do to win them. on the other hand, i would offer a slightly dissenting view. the sunbelt path while not fully realized and you see the obstacles, was opened. democrats got to 48 or 49% at least in georgia, texas, and arizona. they probably -- when was the last time -- last democrat got to 48% in any of those states i'm betting was janet nepapolito in 201-- in 2006. and beto o'rourke got more votes yesterday than hillary clinton did in the 2016 presidential race. which is -- >> noble -- >> a remarkable statement in an off year. >> so -- >> they're still uphill but i don't think you can look at the
results and say republicans can entirely put them in the bank. clearly the first option is the rustbelt where democrats have than they crawled off the map. i think there's a sunbelt path that at least is open to discussion with the right nominee. >> always going to be out there. it is -- >> yeah. the mirage -- >> the future and always will be. as ron brownstein says. >> harry and ron, thank you very much. >> you nailed it. don't sell yourself short. >> i try not to, but it's my jewish way. my jewish mother. always trying to please. >> excellent. thank you. most of the late-night comics were live for the midterm elections. their take on the big vote, next. i had no idea the amount of damage that water could do. we called usaa. and they greeted me as they always do. sergeant baker, how are you? they were on it. it was unbelievable. having insurance is something everyone needs, but having usaa- now that's a privilege. we're the baker's and we're usaa members for life. usaa. get your insurance quote today.
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all the gop has is the other half of congress, the supreme court, and a president who does whatever he wants. so far, tonight's feeling is -- yes. all, all yes. [ applause ] >> no matter what the outcome, whether you're a republican or democrat, i think we can all agree that the big loser this year is all of our thanksgiving dinners. thanksgiving -- >> the results wouldn't come in. the whole day. the last few hours it's been too close to call, too early to call. like we texted america, you up? and then all we could see is that little typing bubble. >> most of us use highly advanced smartphone to learn about the candidates, to locate our polling places, we use an app to call an uber, to navigate through traffic and drive us to the door in the most efficient way possiblement we fill out a
-- way possible. then we fill out a scan tranon an old lady's garage and they give you a sticker. everyone's very proud of their stickers. >> right. people do. people love the stickers. >> yes. he makes a point about how antiquated it is. but the other point is that that we all trust technology at this point. >> yeah. >> and online things. so that's where we're -- >> they were so freaking proud, they stayed up and did live shows. i've slept since 2003 at this point. i can't remember the last time. >> delirious, basically. >> there's a little bit of that. the democrats take the house. that is a major change in the power structure of washington. republicans expanded their majority in the senate, and you know what, there are still votes being counted as we speak. we will tell you what is happening at this moment next. s constantly evolving. and the decisions you make have far reaching implications. the right relationship with a corporate bank who understands your industry and your world can help you make well informed choices and stay ahead of opportunities. pnc brings you the resources of one of the
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we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and around the world. this is "new day." it is wednesday, november democrats hit a red wall in the senate. republicans not only maintained control but increased their majority there. >> president trump spoke with the once impossibly future house speaker, nancy pelosi, to congratulate her. she said americans