tv The Day - News in Review Deutsche Welle January 8, 2019 9:30pm-10:00pm CET
and the world. your link to exceptional stories and discussions can you and will come to you separately program tonight from sunny germany from the news of easy town where i would say d w it comes to africa join us on facebook t w africa. how dangerous does the world look in twenty nineteen on both sides of the atlantic there is enough geo political t.n.t. to do the kind of damage not seen in decades a no deal for britain perhaps or what about the us president declaring a national emergency that could just trigger a national emergency well those are just two sticks of dynamite tonight our world and the risks that we are facing as we face a new year golf in berlin this is the day.
threats it means bret's it and we're going to make a success of it by respect to china and i respect president bush but this chilling out there not just the trade only they are the venue change crossings the door to the word will not stop the evolution of that were a few days ago i called the fake news the enemy of the people and they are they are the enemy of the people who did this and we know that side of the crime is an international challenge and mistake and. the russians were really land let's say in attempting to meddle in their twenty's sixteen elections. also coming up tonight police here in germany say they now know who was responsible for one of the country's biggest cyber attacks and they know where he lives with
his parents up to the slipped on the say the suspect said he stole the data and published it because he was angry about statements they had made publicly for me and always will. we begin the day with a look at twenty nineteen and all of the volatility uncertainty and some very scary what is the new year begins with more risks to the global order than most of us have ever know well tonight we examine the next twelve months with the help of one of the world's well most closely watched and respected top risk lists every year the risk assessment firm eurasia group compiles what it sees as the biggest risks to global order and stability and here are the headliners this year for europe bracks it is the most acute risk next week the british parliament will vote on the
brakes a deal the chances are very good that there will be no deal when it begins march twenty ninth and no one knows what that will mean for the u.k. or for the european you add to that growing populism here in europe twenty nineteen will be the year for populist movements to seize political power like the a of d. party right here in germany the relationship between the us and china it is looking more dysfunctional than ever that's one reason global stock markets and the global economy looks set to falter this year and one more that we consider especially important here the growing threat and destructive power of cyber attacks hackers are enjoying a wild west existence in cyberspace and everyone and everything in our connected world is now a target i want you to take a listen to what the chairman and the president at eurasia group are saying about
these risks. but. i really worry about us ever consciously trying to ministration is going to get more aggressive from us and. he's going to try to intimidate other countries they're probably not going to fall for it. from does have friends around the world you know they may not be all flying under his flag but they're willing this individual and as a government to go after us led institutions higher now that i've seen. the u.s. is too sure whether under constant pressure from birth control. nearly every major trend in europe is undermining european union global lives and will come unglued if the us russians and populism continue to feed on those left behind i don't many governments around the world that means we have nowhere near the resilience that we need to respond to the next crisis whether it's terrorism or cyber attack or most
likely there was a major economic downturn and that's the reason why. our top press two thousand. while the gentleman worried about those bad seeds is my first guest tonight on the day his latest book is the new york times best selling you us versus them the failure of globalism in it he argues that the world is an increasingly polarized place with divisions growing between countries and also inside those countries. well i'm happy to welcome back to the day tonight in bremmer president of eurasia group joins me tonight from new york city good evening to you he and it's good to see you again i guess we we have to start with the what the u.s. president is doing this evening he's addressing the nation and there is concern that he could declare a national emergency in order to get that border wall with mexico financed with
doing that would that in your opinion with that constitute or would that trigger a major crisis i mean does that become a major risk factor this year. no it's a minor risk factor and it's significant and on the dash board precisely because the world is led in principle by the united states it's the world's largest economy it's the world's most important superpower. but this is the first time in the history of my firm twenty one years when the united states at home has been on the list and even though it's only number five it is precisely because president trump this year is likely to test american institutions and the balance of power in ways that are hitherto unprecedented and the national emergency we're
talking about tonight and what might be the longest government shutdown in u.s. history is really just a beginning for that i think the real question will be how does president trump react when the investigations reach their conclusion and they come after his family his finances his company and his person in a direct way when he tries to wriggle lash out and is willing to use any power he can grab including some that may well be extra legal this congress respond and react in ways that uphold the sanctity of the separations of powers how about the supreme court i will tell you i personally believe that if these u.s. institutions are tested in that way by trump they'll get through ok but i don't think that's a guarantee in the fact that the question means that it's completely appropriate
that's the way you start the interview get with you in the seat will talk to me a little bit about these bad seeds that you referred to would that are being planted this year i mean is president trump is is he one of those bad seeds. well he's one of them but of course it's not just about the united states i mean if it was just about trump then in a couple of years time you know or six maximum once trump is gone then we don't have to worry about anymore that's really not the case at all right it's about our roshon of american institutions that's been going on for many years now and is becoming more acute under president trump it's an erosion of domestic institutions and leadership even including in germany though not as if you'd be there and of the european union itself and its bureaucracy its about the fact that every major international relationship in the world today u.s. russia u.s.
china transatlantic interim middle east intro to europe they're all actually trending in negative directions that's the first time in life that that's been true and while that's not portending crisis tomorrow it's not urgent in terms of the markets or in terms of the global economy it's very clear that this isn't sustainable it's very clear this is heading us in a very bad direction indeed and the next crisis we have whether it's a pandemic or it's a cyber attack or it's a terrorist attack or it's most likely the next economic downturn we are really not prepared either as national governments or as a world to respond in any way effectively to africa and how do you see europe populism in europe is increasing we have anti
e.u. sentiment growing and we are also in the end of the uncle i'm marco era all of those things coming together we've got a lections this year the european parliament you've got regional what actions here in germany it is this a perfect storm that we're seeing for europe this year. again if you say this year the answer is no why because the e.u. is not tunisia you're not facing an arab spring and if the europeans get really angry we see what happens in italy they just elect the dysfunctional five star movement in league government which does sort of stupid things and then has backed down so it's not like you have middle classes or working classes that are suddenly starving and they're going to overthrow their governments in germany most german workers feel relatively upbeat about the economy no the problem is that the supranational experiment in democracy and common identity the e.u.
at a global level the most important such experiment that's ever been done is kind of failing and it's failing in slow motion it's failing with bret's it it's failing with the f.t. it's failing with mccraw the twenty three percent is failing with it the end of merkel's tenure but it's not urgent we're watching it happen in slow motion that's what we call geo political climate change i mean you know all of the climatologists thirty years ago the science was in we we knew where the world was heading but because it wasn't urgent and it was only affecting some people and countries would really care about we not do anything about it now unfortunately geo political climate change doesn't take thirty years to play out it takes more like thirty months but i don't think it's twenty nineteen and as a consequence the love urgency that you're not going to see the headlines driving a perfect storm for europe in twenty nineteen but the trends are unmistakably in that direction and we want to get your take tonight on something that happened in
the the us tonight on us television networks they're coming under fire for their decision to air the us president's speech tonight some got a little bit of social media reaction we've got the view from the journalists matthew glaze he is in he writes don't give trump free airtime to why you're. out the shutdown was no interruptions context or fact checking and then we've got the former u.s. secretary of labor robert rice and he makes the point in two thousand and fourteen networks refused to air president obama's address on immigration because they claimed it was over overtly political yet even though trump crows about the wall at every rally features it in campaign ads and has an embroidered on how they will air his address it seems and we've got trump supporters disagreeing with that the chair of the republican national committee want to daniel tweeting seriously don't want trump is giving his first primetime oval office address of his presidency and mainstream media has to deliberate over whether or not to broadcast it ridiculous
and looking at this from europe it's just hard to believe that the media had treated the president differently on this and do you see where you're standing in the mainstream media and some way fueling the fire of populism in the u.s. by giving a platform to the u.s. president. to a degree i mean certainly mr iglesias i think would personally be happy if the mainstream media were to air trump speech in full but had it on time delay so the individual networks could fact check the president and all of his misstatements as they were coming about but to be very clear if you were to do that you would get more outrage that we already have plenty of from people that
already can't stand trump and people that support trump would be blaming the mainstream media and would say that they're spinning it for their own preferences and the fact is the country is woefully divided mainstream media is partially to blame for this i mean you can't ask these companies their media companies they make advertising revenue on the basis of how many people are watching them and eight main stream trump an oval office speech it's not quite the super bowl right i mean because americans like football more but i mean you know trump is like a never ending car crash for the for the cable news companies is the gift that keeps on giving monetary really and so they have a codependent very deeply dysfunctional relationship i hate you don't leave me and that's the way the media feels about trump it's also the way trump feels about the new york times and c.n.n.'s have you see who he says is fake news but he can't stop watching and he can't stop tweeting about it he can't stop making money for them i
mean so it's truly i mean when you take a step back and you say is this the way liberal democracy is supposed to work are these really the public servants of the american people and public service sounds like an oxymoron in this environment and i just stand why from the german perspective it has to be a little confusing yeah well put their number with eurasia group on the risks facing the world in twenty nineteen there we appreciate your time tonight and your valuable insights thank you. well here in germany police say that they have found the person responsible for last month's cyber attack one of the biggest ever in the country and they found him at home living with his parents the twenty year old student has confessed to
stealing the personal data of thousands of public figures including the german chancellor angela merkel. this is the twitter account that's shaken germany's political world the suspect a twenty year old german student was released after allegedly making a full confession. so. in answer to the question does the perpetrator come from the extreme right i can say no he does not. there's no indication that he has any connection with a politically motivated criminal activity. the hacker even revealed the personal data of the german chancellor angela merkel every party in the german parliament was hit apart from the far right alternative for germany the cyber attack apparently told police he was angered by statements made by politicians and celebrities interior minister who was the who says the hacker was quickly tracked down as a whole for insists security has not been compromised and the authorities are alert
to possible data theft measures include tighter i.t. regulation and extra security personnel duty since abilities protecting confidential information is the job of everyone responsible for security that both federal and regional level i've also suggested an early warning system if. they hoover said the theft and manipulation of data was a worrying prospect for politicians considering the upcoming elections. bush did for an open war in may we have european elections. i've no wish to be alarmist. but we must be prepared to recognize and prevent anything that might impact on these elections. this latest incident highlights how easily data can come under attack in the internet
age. and joining me now is christoph abos he is head of the cyber security research program for police when he gets a berlin based think tank because of it's good to have you on the show let us talk a little bit about what we're dealing with here the suspect is a twenty year old high school student still lives at home with his parents described by police as not a great computer expert. what he must be good at something if if he was able to do what he did right i think is that datum as far as i'm aware of a lot of these information were out there on the internet at some deep of the web and so it's less about technical expertise and more about commitment and actually the motivation to do harm. but he was still able to get things such as e-mail addresses and fax numbers for angela merkel for the german chancellor how is it
possible for example maybe some event the chancellor attendants published some information for example of private email addresses of telephone numbers something like this and. he just found it on the web so that that is not completely impossible so what is then the biggest threat here is if he's not a great computer expert he is very. brilliant in taking the information he does have in putting it out there social media for the public to see and that scares a lot of people that that's actually true but i think the media. cope well with it because i would say of course the intention is to harm people to do harm to politicians but if we don't talk about the contents of this information about and actually let's say. humiliating aspects of the data and just about like what happened and what kind of information what people are affected i think as long
as we keep this kind of judgment agreement we're fine and be a success those people have. limits but the perception will always be if someone can get the information of high profile people and then publish it on twitter on social media they have violated people's private smears right. is there any way then that you as a computer expert is there any way that you can guarantee people that that there is absolute security of course not i wouldn't guarantee any want to do this absence actually what you can do is take care of the basics so you propose words like passwords and the passwords and update your software and of course if someone some condoms received by e-mail whatever. strange to you don't click at it try to avoid this kind of content and you should be beyond that aware that as long as you are on the internet you expose your vulnerable hands you should keep that in mind that
you're that they're dangerous lurking in the deep web and. you should be aware that there is no certainty that you don't get this do you think this is a story more about a country and its prominent people and they are maybe their computer illiteracy and not really a story about a country's weak cyber defenses i would say yes. because for example the attacker did not succeed to penetrate the network of the government it was just private accounts that would get compromised and it sends he choose which targets must wrong once and be his because said today that no government number was affected in that sense it's not about hearts have a security but about the human factor about people that make mistakes and those attackers exploit these mistakes yeah exactly in the you know where to find those mistakes that is for sure chris of cyber security expert because of we appreciate
you coming in tonight thank you my pleasure. i've. now who is in charge of u.s. foreign policy in syria that is apparently a point of contention tonight between the turkish president richard. and u.s. president trumps national security advisor john bolton at a one reportedly refused to meet with bolton today a public snub after bolton said that u.s. troops will not leave syria u.s. forces are leaving syria where during the course of the war in syria you may remember kurdish forces spearheaded the fight against islamic state with support from the u.s. kurdish forces mostly most importantly the p.g. also managed to gain control over a large area bordering turkey on who regards them as a terror organization because of their ties to turkey's kurdistan workers' party the peak eight k. . all right for more on this now i'm joined by daniel he is
a middle east expert he's the chief editor of the magazine which focuses on the middle east good to see you again. we've got mr bolton basically. given the finger if you will by by by turkey over what he said today. who's telling the truth here. ed on is a. has a lot of political instinct and he's a power player but at the same time we should not forget the way he handles personal relationships and his vindictiveness a jumble said two years ago in a life broadcast as a as a commentator basically when he was still with the american enterprise institute and while there was a coup attempt going on in turkey he said i know that everyone is not a friend of the united states he kind of he didn't support us in the iraq invasion and if he goes down i'm not going to shed any tea for him and i think bolton has made remarks like this very critical of before regardless of what you think about it on being himself bullying other politicians all the time you could say ok
he should be too sensitive about it but i think there's also a certain degree of indictive miss on out on side now both said something. and he said it out of israel. and out on picked it up in his populist approach and said. we want a guarantee that he doesn't go killing the kurds i'm not quoting it. for the safety hearing to do so. rebuke was the p k k the p y d the y p g the terrorists that we are fighting in syria terrorists in his words are not the kurds because the kurds as a people or the kurds as a culture of the kurds in syria are all brothers even use the word brother and if you look at turkey itself i mean there is a substantial kurdish minority in turkey and i think out on once to make clear on the wants to win it politically he wants to show that he has backed off against the us he wants to exploit the very sensitive and very insecure situation of u.s. foreign policy but he also wants to make clear we are fighting terrorism and we're
not fighting the kurdish people we've got about thirty seconds here is the time but what about this claim by her to one that he has a personal promise from drop that u.s. troops will leave and that they're leaving soon whatever happened on that phone call one should not count on add on's personal promises but shortly not a president trumps i think that is us that truth and you know. when they discussed it that's a very good point because always heavey if we could use the hash tag the day every member whatever happens between now and then tomorrow is another day we'll see the next one.
trust but verify a cardinal rule a business fun supervisory board. in the eurozone. in the fight against corruption tax evasion and data theft. how important are checks and balances to a functioning economy. made in just thirty minutes on d w. i was issued when i arrived here i slept with six people in a room. it was hard as for. i even got white hair is that.
the german language head never got this gives me and they go but you need to entrust the flavor you want to know their story the muslims are fighting and reliable information for margaret. sometimes books more exciting than real life. referring to greece. you know. what if there's no ski. list. german street. how's the view of the world. where i come from but over that could just go just like with chinese fluids as measure of where i am it's always reminds me of home after decades of living in germany chinese food is one of the things i miss the most but that taking
a step back i see things i need to look different to me now. live for its first as an acorn a sense that exists to add the heart of the lord haven't been and to mention it in china that's new i'm not trying it's new home wondering if they're going to say but if you have a right to learn all that is this is the job just another film on how i see it and that's why i left my job because i tried to do it except for maybe an hour a day my name of the uninsured and i work at did you. mean.
this is g.w. news log from berlin tonight police in germany say the suspect responsible for one of the country's biggest cyber attacks is a student living at home with his parents the twenty year old telling police that he acted alone and that he was the hacker behind the twitter jail which exposed politicians and celebrities details on wall also coming up tonight assailants a seriously injured and four white german.