tv After the Bell FOX Business October 2, 2018 4:00pm-5:01pm EDT
liz: mark, you would be a great dad. i broke my leg. no problem, a value play. >> leave you one thing. liz: quick. we have to hold it to next time. [closing bell rings] we have fireworks for you, everybody else. record for the dow jones industrials once again. thanks so much for joining us. i will see you tomorrow. david: 102 and counting we're not tired of winning at all. the dow ending with a new record close. 102nd since the election of president trump. nasdaq is firmly in the red so it's a split decision. look at that dow. i'm david asman. glad you could join us. melissa: i'm melissa francis. this is "after the bell." phil flynn has all the action in oil from the cme. ashley webster at the new york stock exchange. tell us about the trade. >> it is interesting day. still after glow from trade deal with canada. forget about the italian debt.
we've seen money come out of small caps. russell 2000 came down. multinational stocks, big dow stocks gain. up 125. you're absolutely right. 102nd record close since election day. it is 85th record under president donald trump on the dow. the s&p not quite hitting record mark. nasdaq also down about half a percent on the day. so a little bit of a mixed bag. we'll look at individual stocks. amazon let's begin there. they announced they are raising the minimal wage 15 bucks an hour starting next month. it will cover 250,000 u.s. employees. as you can see it is being praised as a move but in fact it will hit the bottom line. you see amazon down 33 bucks. apple, meanwhile that is a record close. 229.28. they needed to finish at 22bucks. so another record high for
apple. microsoft needed to gain any ground for a record. didn't quite make it. intel the big chipmaker, carrying on news from last friday that business is good. that carried on today. it has been up all day. that helped bring the other chip-makers up along with it. get into ge if we could. ge had its credit downgraded a couple notches. it is one above junk from one credit analyst. there is question whether the cash-strapped company can provide dividend? does that mean it will cut dividend even more? it had a big change at ceo level. my goodness, dow jones another record, guys. melissa: charging higher. ashley, thank you. here to react to all the records, james freeman from "the wall street journal" and gary kaltbaum from kaltbaum asset management. they're both fox news contributors. james, let me start with you.
what do you think about the equities market? marty feldstein is worried about inflation because the economy is on fire. the fed raising at the same rate. what is your guess will happen? >> hard to say. any market in the world better than the u.s.? expectations are very high still for earnings in this quarter. 19% growth expected. you have seen companies reporting so far are once again beating high expectations. so, very hard to see a shore-term problem with the u.s. economy. you worry about the debt long term. i think italy is kind of a cautionary tale for us on that. but right now, this is a great economy. factories are booming. people are getting jobs. melissa: gary all anybody is talking about is tariffs. now we have a win on trade. does that make you feel even better about equities? >> not necessarily. i actually, even with the dow hitting new highs today i do not like what is going on underneath the surface. small caps, mid-caps are lagging. growth is starting to roll over. look anything is better than tariffs.
there is nothing i like about them. i like the fact we got past them with two countries. next up is china. if we get them moving towards us, that is good news longer term for the economy. we have been screwed by trade deals for too long. i'm all with that. david: we don't talk about gold much. it is popping today. it is now back above $1200 an ounce. oil ending shy of a four-year high. phil flynn standing by in the pits of the cme. why the pop in gold, phil? >> yes, sir. basically we had a big pop on the gold market today. partly concerns, david, what has been going on with the italian debt crisis overseas. that gave the market a big boost today. that really put gold on fire today. it seemed to calm down after we heard from jerome powell today give his speech. basically said inflation, we're watching out for you. if it gets out of hand we'll be verying a agressive but gold
closed above its moving average the first time since april. so very strong close. i don't know if the gold market is over. oil prices were trying for the other close right before, highest closing level since november of 2014. the market is waiting new news on inventories coming out later today after the close but we have a very solid oil market right now that is being driven by concerns about iranian sanctions, strong demand and really the tightest global supply situation we've had in a generation. get ready to rock on the commodities it will be a incredible day. david: phil you're a pro. way to go on the audio problems. melissa. melissa: following the trade deal with canned today and mexico, blake burman live from the white house with latest from the president? reporter: melissa victory lap from president. we heard that from the rose
garden. he went to campaign stole rallies in tennessee. he already had a event scheduled in philadelphia for the national electrical contractors association but it provided yet another forum for the president to celebrate this new trade deal between the united states, mexico and canada, the usmca as he calling it. he is calling that, because he does not want any association with nafta at all going forward. >> nafta was one of the worst trade deals ever made in any country at anytime. and now we have a great trade deal and we have a deal that is also good for mexico and good for canada. we have a good partnership with the three. reporter: this deal will still need congressional approval, likely the 2019 congress to take this up. the white house is expressing optimism now for the second day in a row as they sincerely feel that democrats will come on board. president trump citing chuck
schumer as one example. >> even many of the democrats including chuck schumer came out and said nice things. so that's very nice to hear that. so it is nice to see a little bit of a bipartisan approach. reporter: the steel and aluminum tariffs on canada and mexico still remain in place. the white house has yet to give a specific timeline as to when those could potentially come off. though the president's top economic advisor larry kudlow told us earlier today the talks between the sides he would describe are constructive. melissa. melissa: that's something. blake, thank you. david: well a new trade deal may have been secured but "the wall street journal" editorial page taking a slight jab at it with the headline reading quote, the new deal is worse than the status quo but disaster was avoided. faint praise. all right, james is with the editorial board but i want to start with gary because you have got "the wall street journal"
right next to you, gary. do you think it was a little harsh on the editorial page's part? >> i don't think really anybody knows longer term how well this is going to be but i will tell you the alternative was worse. i don't think nafta was that great. i think it was okay. i think this is better. but it is going to take time to figure out but look, tariffs are the worst possible scenario. we're getting past that. and freer trade is better trade. so i'm all with it. as far as "the wall street journal," great paper. i read it every day, to each his own as they say. david: james, what you are, what you, the editorial page writ large is saying that bob lighthizer, larry kudlow and president trump were all wrong. >> i agree with gary, it's a great paper. as far as the administration, look i think the president largely solved the competitiveness problem in the u.s. economy when he did the big corporate tax rate cut, regulatory cuts. so the deal with trade was just
don't do too much harm. i think when we get through the fine print you're going to get estimates this costs the economy money but i agree with gary, much better than it could have been. melissa: all right. moving on. >> jeff bezos today has done is not only enormously important for amazon's hundreds of thousands of employees it could well be, i think a shot heard 'round the world. melissa: well, giving credit where credit is due. senator bernie sanders, previously one of amazon's most vocal critics applauding ceo jeff bezos raising minimum wage for all workers at his company to $15 an hour? what do you think about that? this is the free market at work. amazon deciding good pr. good for their efforts lobbying. they made a business decision? >> i don't know if it's a business decision. it is kind of a public relations
decision. melissa: well, that's business. public relations is business. >> government relations i guess i should say i guess you could say it is part of business. you could dismiss bernie sanders simply as a marxist kook. he really has impact, getting a lot of senators to walk the plank and endorse medicare for all as he calls it, government-run health care. this is really disturbing because it was the result of a very misleading attack on amazon. he said their median u.s. pay was much lower than it actually is. he claimed that thousands of their workers have to go on public assistance because they make so little. the company said no, he is counting people who were part-timers or only worked there briefly. if this kind of misleading attack causesp company to change, i think that is not the market at work. melissa: let me play the flip side of that, gary.
look at a company like facebook which has been totally tone deaf to the criticisms they have gotten either from the government or from users. you know, that delete facebook hashtag, people frustrated, at same time they testify on capitol hill, barely making any changes. amazon is trying to get ahead of something like that before they become the pinata of the world, what do you think? >> the problem is though, they may be kowtowing to a man that has never created a dime of wealth or a job and has lived off the taxpayer dollar his whole life. this is the problem with all this. this will expedite automation. there will be less low-paying jobs, that is number one. number two, say somebody who would be hired at $10 may not be hired at 15. this is all bad news. bernie sanders does not know anything about the economy. i would not hire him to run a lemonade stand if it was put out by my goddaughters. for the life of me i don't
understand anybody listening to anything he has to say. he does not get it. these companies earn these profits versus socialists who use other people's money to do their bidding. melissa: gary, you just undermined james' point, if the whole idea, if jeff bezos knows this hastens automation, gets him closer to robots he is pretending to do what everybody in washington wants and he is getting where he wants to go anywhere so maybe we're all being fooled. >> you saw it with mcdonald's,. melissa: go ahead, james. >> you saw it with mcdonald's. gary is right. you now have a big new incentive to -- melissa: bring on the robots. >> bernie sanders wouldn't accept a job at lemonade stand if it didn't have a government grant. melissa: [laughter]. david: we have more people and robots looking for jobs than there are people looking for jobs and it is best of both
worlds. melissa: are all right. david: secretary of state mike pompeo will have face-to-face with kim jong-un sunday. we'll take you to the state department for details. melissa: the new trade deal cuts costly car tariffs. try to say that three times fast, but they are still facing several hurdles. what it could mean for the price you pay for cars. david: republicans planning to move ahead with a vote for brett kavanaugh this week. the fbi racing against that clock to interview key witnesses as the credibility of one of kavanaugh's accuser's, at least one is now in question. former u.s. assistant attorney andrew mccarthy joining us next. melissa: sally sells seashells -- >> we're talking about throwing ice on somebody when you were in college disqualifying you from a seat on the united states supreme court? this is not been a search for the truth. this has been about search and destroy.
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david: just when you thought we had enough breaking news we have more of it for you. "the new york times" is reporting that president trump engaged in tax keeps to benefit himself and his family and his lawyers are now responding. blake burman is live at the white house with details. they went even a little beyond schemes didn't they, blake? reporter: this is very, very lengthy article released by "the new york times," david. to break it down you have to separate this in two different buckets. the first "the new york times" says it has gone over documents, interviewed people, et cetera in this lengthy piece. they say that president trump's image he is this self-made billionaire that barely relied on his real estate developer father for help is essentially an overblown image. when they have gone through the documents over time, tax documents, et cetera, they claim that president trump's father gave him another of $100 million
worth over time, even dating back to his infant years. that is the first part. the more damaging part that the "new york times" claims, i'm not sure we should say damaging but the more explosive part that the "times" claims is the following, this is how they begin their article, quote, president trump participated in dubious tax schemes during the 1990s, instances of out right fraud that freightly increased fortune he received from his parents. an investigation from "the new york times" found. they camed as money flowed from the father to the son, in this case donald trump, that is where some of this fraud potentially occurred. here is a statement in part that president trump's personal attorney, one of his attorneys, charles hearter said, gave as a response to all of this, quote, "the new york times" allegations of fraud and tax evasion are 100% false and highly defamatory. there was no fraud or tax evasion by anyone of the facts upon which the times bases false
allegations are inaccurate. they were handled by licenses cpas, licensed attorneys, and licensed appraisers who followed all laws and rules. bottom line, david, this will raise questions about the president's tax situation. as you know has not released his tax returns. many people want to sigh those and this lengthy "times" article goes on to say that maybe the president doesn't necessarily have the cleanest tax situation, which of course as you -- melissa: that would be shocking. reporter: his attorney denied. david: we have another news cycle. what we need, right? reporter: here we are again. david: blake, thank you very much. melissa. melissa: all eyes on capitol hill, fbi reviews key witnesses in the sexual assault allegations against judge brett kavanaugh. where does this leave the nomination? edward lawrence from d.c. reporter: senate majority leader mitch mcconnell says it leaves it with a vote this week on judge brett kavanaugh. now he says every senator will have 24 hours to review the fbi
report. the fbi reached out and interviewed people publicly identified as witnesses to alleged or the allegation made against kavanaugh but have not interviewed dr. christine blasey ford yet. the president saying this is a thorough investigation and the fbi has been given the range to interview anyone it deems necessary to finish the background check. some democrats complaining one week to finish is not enough time. >> this is, i guess it is my 10th supreme court hearing that i sat on and there has never been one like this, with the issues like this. i don't take it lightly. so we need to do our due dell against and, there are other issues too. reporter: democratic senator joe manchin could be a yes vote at the end of all this he says he feels better with the fbi finishing the report. >> i think the week was everyone said is the right time to do it. i think chuck schumer agreed to that and the president. we'll wait until the
investigation is done. i will make a decision. reporter: president donald trump standing by kavanaugh saying that he should not be guilty until proven innocent. senator mitch mcconnell saying if the fbi finds nothing incriminating there is no reason for a no vote. >> obviously democratic strategy here is to drag judge kavanaugh through the mud as long as they possibly can. as you noticed, the goalposts keep getting moved. reporter: republicans are counting votes but it may likely come down to three republican senators, senator jeff flake, who helped reopen this background check, senator susan collins and senator lisa murkowski. senator murkowski said today she will wait and see what fbi uncovers to decide. back to you. melissa: dianne feinstein went on to say in the other matters, said his stance on abortion too. so you know, there you go. david: all about abortion.
all aabout abortion. melissa: edward lawrence, thank you. david: andrew mccarthy, former district attorney for the southern district of new york. i want to talk about the accusation. i know the media is not necessarily your bailiwick. it plays into what is used by the judicial system. let me first of all play a little sound bite from probably the least reliable accusers of all accusers of kavanaugh, julie swetnick, that there were group rape sessions during which victims were drugged. play a sound bite from what nbc played last night. >> he is admitted blackout drunk and drug addict. david: a drug addict. now you have yellow -- nbc, all major media outlets using same kind of style yellow journal its used, you make an accusation, they can always deny it. you make any kind of outrageous accusation without any evidence
whatsoever. then use that to, use the headline to condemn somebody. what do you think of all this? >> well, it is the tactic, david they have used from the beginning which is that the depth of any evidence that they have is irrelevant. it is seriousness of the charge because if you level a serious charge that means that, well we have to be responsible and investigate this and chase down every single lead and make sure that every stone is turned over. in the meantime what melissa mentioned just a second ago really is the heart of the matter, the people pushing this, already disagree and have decided not to vote or to vote against kavanaugh if it comes to a vote because of jurisprudence reasons, what they take to be his stand on abortion or what they take to be his stand on the second amendment. all the rest of this is theater. and republicans are going to have to understand at a certain
point in time no information is ever going to be enough for the democrats. they are going to have to call a vote. david: right. >> they will have to call it with the democrats screaming bloody murder more delay is needed. david: there is another play in this drama, in the theater aspect of all this. you talk about serious charges being made in a very unserious way. there is also unserious charges being made in a very serious way. "the new york times" had a charge today on page a-15 of "the new york times," at beary yale, referring to yale college, curses, fists, glass, blood and a student. you read this article almost as reads, just having attended yale is disqualifier for the supreme court because in some bars, god forbid people are throwing bits of food and ice at each other. completely frivolous charge. i would be disqualified because i was involved in food fights at college. are we supposed to take this seriously? i wonder whether any of this
spills over into our judicial system, into our sense of jurisprudence? >> well, david, before i came on today i asked the producer if having been in a bar fight when i was a kid was something that was disqualifying from appearing here with you. david: apparently yes. >> i didn't want to make you uncomfortable at all. this is where we're at. this is why the longer this goes on, the longer this will go on, which is why we've been saying for two or three weeks now it's time for a vote. this is not a criminal investigation. they're supposed to have enough information to make a discriminating appraisal of the qualifications of the nominee. we have more information about this nominee than any nominee in the history of the united states. david: yeah. >> the democrats object to him for reasons of jurisprudence. it has got nothing to do did he commit sexual assault and did
throw ice in a bar fight. really? david: the question i still don't know, i suspect somehow all this will bleed over into our judicial system somehow in terms of rules of evidence. we'll have to wait and see. we'll be talking about this for years to come, no doubt. great to see you, andrew mccarthy. thank you very much for being here. appreciate it. melissa: focusing on kavanaugh, we have the latest on the fbi's effort to dig further into judge brett kavanaugh's past. a former fbi investigator joins us coming up. plus, the state department making a major announcement today in the effort to bring peace to north korea. we're going to tell you of secretary pompeo's next move. that is coming up after the break. ♪
october 15th. apparently stockholders like this. shares of jcp surging 12% after-hours. melissa: good for them. secretary of state mike pompeo will meet with north korean leader kim jong-un in pongyang on sunday. rich edson with details at the state department. reporter: state department says secretary of state mike pompeo will go to east asia. he will make his fourth trip to pongyang and will meet again with kim jong-un. the state department says this to advance the process of north korea dismantling ballistic weapons and nuclear missile program and set up second summit between president trump and kim jong-un. pompeo's fourth trip to north korea should have happened already. but the trump administration canceled it, citing lack of progress on north korea surrendering that nuclear weapons program. the state department said just a few minutes ago, that its concerns have been allayed and it can be in a position to move forward for the fourth meeting between the secretary and going
to upon pyongyang. >> we are feeling confident to hop on a plane and continue the conversations. reporter: north korea warned that it doesn't see declaration of ending korean war as a bargaining inchip. it wants sanctions relief. the region is still operating under a armistice signed in the 1950s. china and russia pushed to relax sanctions against north korea. the president and secretary of state, that the u.s. will keep that sanctions pressure until north korea fully device as plan to fully give up its nuclear program. president will visit allies to tokyo, to seoul, south korea and beijing as part of this four-country trip. melissa: rich edson, thank you. interesting stuff. david: i don't know if i look at the soldiers with medals
covering their entire body think i would be in a cartoon. melissa: i don't think that would be good diplomacy you felt like you were a cartoon. david: i'm not cut out for diplomacy. meanwhile revitalizing the auto industry, president trump touting the new trade deal with canada and mexico. is he right? crossing party lines, why president trump says even democrats are happy with his new trade deal. doug schoen, former president clinton pollster coming up to join us. ♪
david: as we said earlier "wall street journal" editorial page kind of raining on the president's hard-fought u.s. mexico-canada trade deal writing, quote the new trade deal could have been worse given mr. trump's protectionist beliefs but that is about the best we can say for it. what do businesses directly affect the by the deal think about this? let's ask four next guest, global auto ceo john bozella. thanks for being here. what do you think of the editorial in the journal? >> i can understand it. it is a fairly good point of view from where i sit. here is the challenge. it is good to know what the rules are, so we have the clarity and certainty of rules,
but knowing the rules isn't the same as having a business case. so i think there added costs and complexity to the agreement. we'll see how it shapes out. david: let's talk about some of the rules. some of them make it more challenging, no question about that. you have rules on wages, the wages of mexican laborers have to go up. that makes it more expensive to manufacture in mexico, manufacture a part. then you have the rules on content. they have to be, 75% of content has to come from north america for them to get in without any kind of tariff. these are very difficult ways of measuring things, are they not? >> yeah, they are. and you know every trade agreement has to have some rules. has to have some rules that you know, allow to you, you follow those rules. you get the benefits of the trade agreement. but these are certainly way more complex than the agreement that this would replace. and so, you know, i think it will be a challenge for automakers to sort through it.
they will have to study this thing hard before they figure it out. david: the key for the president and his negotiator was not necessarily making it more difficult for global automakers that you represent. i know you represent u.s. companies as well. we don't as much care about the german and japanese automakers. we care about u.s. manufacturers making it easier and less expensive for them to manufacture here in the united states. will it at least do that? >> well, you know, we should care about those companies because those are the companies that build cars and trucks here. there are 14 cars and truck -- david: i understand, i understand, john, but specifically about u.s. car manufacturers. i know that there are foreign manufacturers that manufacturer here but will it make it easier and cheaper for u.s. manufacturers to do their business? >> i think the jury is still out on that. so companies will have to analyze this there is no question if you are more integrated in this market, probably compliance will be a little easier for you. so companies that are based here, probably more integrated
as are companies that have been here for a long time, like toyota and honda. clearly there is a range of ability to comply here or ease of compliance here. companies will have to work through it. david: john, real free trade is also fair trade. there is nothing fairer than zero tariffs. zero tariffs going in. and zero tariffs coming out. the president said that his goal at least in regard to european manufacturers, presumably manufacturers everywhere. does this get us closer to that goal, bringing us all down? >> by the way i share the president's goals, zero for zero is exactly where we should be for automotive trade. i hope it does. i hope this creates a opportunity to move to u.s.-eu and move to u.s.-japan but we will have to see. there is threat of steel and aluminum tariffs. david: but you know how the president uses these tariffs as
threats and as a result of using them as threats he gets trade deals like the one he just got with canada? >> but the threats have consequences. these are not just theft. david: they're part of a process, part of a process of getting us out of bad trade deals very simply. >> and consequences of that, there is risk. david: there is risk, no doubt. >> if in fact we get the deal and steel and aluminum tariffs go away, auto tariffs go away that would be one thing but they're still here. david: you don't get anywhere in life if you don't take risks. that is the president's point. we're stuck in bad deals but i accept your notion. there are risks we have to be aware what they are. john, great to see you. thank you very much for being here. >> thank you. melissa: the investigation into judge brett kavanaugh. new details on the fbi's background check into president trump's supreme court nominee. that's next. ♪
facebook. it was announced that hackers did not access other sites that use facebook log-ins in the recent cyberattack. at least 50 million users were affected by the security breach at the social media giant last week. shares of facebook are about flat after hours. melissa. melissa: investigation raising the clock. republicans moving ahead for a vote with brett kavanaugh this week as the white house authorizes fbi to widen the investigation into sexual miss conduct allegations against the supreme court nominee s that enough time for the fbi? here is bill daly, former fbi investigator. what do you think of the time frame what they have been asked to do? >> melissa, with the narrow scope they have been given, look at allegations with certain set of individuals, no matter how long the ball of string, that ball is very small. to look at them quickly with the watchful eye of the director of the fbi, mr.way way, they will do everything they can to fix
it. this is the fbi of investigation. it is not just fbi of checking the box. if they see something requires more investigation, and perhaps requires a little more time they will have to do that, to make sure whatever they provide is thorough, complete, they can stand behind it. melissa: the president clarified, look whatever you want, whatever you need to do, if you want to look at all three allegations, whatever you think is credible. we want to wrap this up by friday. is that reasonable? >> i think it is reasonable to have a target. with many investigations you don't know the avenues they go down. if more people need to be spoken to, all the people available, it is possible there could be some additional days. i think having a target it puts the amount of resources needed to get it done and quickest amount of time, gets focus on it. given what we know as the public is that, individuals need to be spoken to, can be talked to in the amount of time provided. melissa: six big deep, background checks before, how has none of this come up?
in your mind, is it possible he has these kind of allegations in the background and they didn't come up in a background check or does it seem unlikely? >> he had six background checks, full field investigations fbi would call it. people for national security clearances. >> what does that mean full field? they talk to people? >> go out, knock on the doors. don't talk to people, you or i would talk to because they will say something nice. talking to other people, neighbors, friends, other acquaintances local police departments where they went to school. they want further information about the person's character, their standing what they have done in the past. is it possible that something may not have come up, held by an individual and that individual, you know, didn't spread it out, it wasn't known to others? it is possible. what i would probably tell you these investigations that go to provide people the highest level of security clearances in our country and myself and other people work for the fbi have gone through them, this is not something we take lightly.
they would have covered a lot of turf already. why this narrow focus can be done quickly because all the other stuff is done. melissa: another thing people are talking about the fbi is under a lot of scrutiny, especially everything that happened in the last election and this idea of the russia collusion investigation and what was really going on behind the scenes, who are they listening to, that sort of thing, should that give folks out there in the audience pause how they would approach this? >> i don't believe so. i think at this point we're talking about the various field offices of the fbi. what we saw happening, see unfolding seemed to be something i would call more of an ivory tower situation enclosed in a sir. fbi agents in the field, rank-and-file fbi field are independent. they can conduct investigations thoroughly. we should have confidence what they are doing. they will do it in very impartial way. they are like facts, like joe friday used to say in "dragnet."
just the facts ma'am, just the facts. melissa: thank you. david: i remember that show. melissa: of course you do. david: president trump touting the new trade deal with mexico and canada, even hinting it might be an issue that brings republicans and democrats together? is that possible? jo no. david: won't the midterm elections rule that out? doug schoen, president clinton's former pollster, on that issue coming next. ♪ here to talk about trucks. i love trucks. what the heck is that?! whoa! what truck brand comes from the family of the most dependable, longest-lasting full-size pickups on the road? i think it's the chevy. ford. is it ford? nope, it's not ford. i think it's ram. is it ram? not ram. that's a chevy! it's chevy! that's right. from the family of the most dependable, longest-lasting full-size pickups on the road. gorgeous. chevy hit it out of the ballpark with these.
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>> democrats including chuck schumer came out and said nice things. that is nice to hear that. it is nice to hear a little bit of a bipartisan approach. david: doug schoen joining me, former clinton pollster. would chuck schumer sign off on anything like this before an election? >> i can't see how he would, david. look, chuck schumer and the democrats have become more and more protectionist overtime, like donald trump, but candidly this is all politics all the time for schumer. i say this as a democrat. david: i know. >> as somebody who was a democratic partisan. david: on the other hand there is a cost to all of this. president calls it obstructionist. there is reason a lot of people in the middle in america think it is obstruction. the lead that the democrats have had in these generic polls, how like more likely vote for, republicans and democrats, we can put it up there, that lead is narrowing right now. democrats still have a lead but
by a lot less than they used to and republicans are coming up. >> i looked on a daily basis average of all the polls, it is about 7 or 8 points. it hasn't really widen beyond that. david: we just showed the "qunnipiac poll," just came out. >> talking about the average of every poll. so we're taking out the bias of individual polls. democrats have a lead, not enough of a lead they can rest comfortably. i think for some of the races we're going to talk about it is certainly within the margin of error. david: republican voters are not resting at all. this is encouraging them to go out and those that might have stayed at home, all this stuff going on, kavanaugh and rest of it. >> we have to see how it plays out this week to see final impact. i say this, if kavanaugh for some reason doesn't get through, you will see great anger and a level of electoral participation from republicans that will defy logic. david: it will be very busy midterm election. >> that's for sure.
david: talk about particular senate races. >> please. david: if the democrats take over the senate, they could block any nominee for the next two years. >> sure. david: they could also move on impeachment if the house votes that. let's first look at texas. you have ted cruz getting a real fight from beto o'rourke, who has become kind of a cult figure. >> the polls narrowed to two or four points. on the other hand beto o'rourke had to apologize for a dwi, hit-and-run, and i just, have a sense that in a state like texas, even in a good democratic year, he won't quite get there. i would be surprised if he wins. david: west virginia, joe manchin has been doing all he can to appeal to a voting crowd that voted i think over 40% for president trump the last time. is making progress. >> well he is. he has been ahead by anywhere from five to some polls, 13, 14 points. i think joe manchin will prevail, though the real
question is, does he vote for judge kavanaugh? , given that his state will overwhelmingly be supporting -- david: let's put it the other way, if he votes against kavanaugh could he still win west virginia? >> i think he could. will be much tougher, david. david: florida, so many times races everything comes down to florida or presidential -- >> that's right. david: we have what didn't appear to be a horse race, bill nelson thought he had the seat, rick scott is giving him a run for his money. >> very, very careful -- david: go ahead. >> some polls that have had scott ahead, majority has had scott ahead. a few recently had nelson ahead. i would make scott a very, very narrow -- in a very, very tough and competitive state. david: claire mccaskill is running for her life in missouri. what do you think? no there have been a bunch of polls recently show her behind. i call that race about 50/50. i think republican hawley has at least as good a chance as
>> your checked bags shots. >> shocking new video. these are baggage handlers for cathay pacific airways. keep this going. it is worth taking a good, hard look at this. this is in hong kong. >> that one didn't even go in. >> you got to really cathay pacific is one of the best reputations were dealing with things like luggage in everything. >> not anymore it doesn't. >> not anymore.
there's so much of what happens to not only your bags going through, but imagine if you have a dog that you're carrying or something like that. >> .not sunday. >> no, no. >> i always suspect. that's way better put it in the overhead or just forget it. >> "the evening edit" starts right now. >> we honor the men and women who turn dreams into reality with their own to beautiful hands. an americana, we honor all of you with cable, copper, why your copper, why your come and steal. you are the one slighting america's path forward. so important. the once rebuilding this land that we love. you are the ones making america greater than ever before. elizabeth: president trump really sharply focused right now on jobs and wages. the president visiting with electrical workers in philadelphia. the new trade deal will raise