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tv   Life Liberty Levin  FOX News  August 12, 2018 10:00pm-11:01pm PDT

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sunday when "the next revolution" will be televised. . mark: hello america, i'm mark levin, this is "life, liberty & levin." we have a wonderful guest, dr. michael pillsbury. how are you sir? >> fine, thank you. mark: it's a pleasure. now you wrote an amazing book, the hundred year marathon, that grabbed my attention because of incredible relevance. china's secret strategy to replace america as the global superpower. this book has taken off in asia, the chinese have the book, though they keep it under glass. you're a senior fellow,
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director of chinese strategy at the hudson institute, a distinguished defense polz adviser, former high-ranking government official. you've written many books on china. educated at stanford ba in history, columbia university, ma, ph.d. during the reagan administration, assistant undersecretary for defense, the program of covert aid known as the reagan doctrine. but you worked for nixon, george h.w. bush, reagan, somewhat obama, anyone else that i missed? that pretty much covers it? >> yeah. mark: so you've spent your entire year, you're professional career, really, focused on china, and i want to read you just a couple sentences out of your book to elaborate on this for me. china's marathon strategy depends heavily on goodwill
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from other countries, especially the united states. that goodwill translates into massive foreign investment, the acceptance of chinese exports, indulgences when the government or state affiliated organizations are caught stealing technology or violating wto rules, and looking the other way on human rights abuses. western countries offer such concessions, primarily because their leaders convinced that overall, china is moving in the right direction toward freer markets, productive international cooperation and political liberalization. what do you mean by all that? >> well, china enjoys enormous good will inside our government, inside a number of governments around the world. they've worked very hard to earn that goodwill because frankly it pays off for them. if they had not had our market for their exports over the last 40 years, if they had not had
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our direct investment, and our scientific exchange programs, the help of our companies, they wouldn't be the great power they are today. they're number two in the world by some statistics. they are already number one in overall size of their economy. so they've done this quite consciously, that they got advice from nobel prize winning economists from the world bank, 40 years ago. how do we do this? how do we become number one in the world? and they realized it was not through hostility or demonizing other countries, it was going to be by getting inside the government of these other countries to extract what you might call the way to become the number one power in the world, and they've succeeded in doing that. now there's a pushback against it recently, but i would say their tragedy has worked brilliantly over the last 40 years. mark: they've gotten inside our government. they've gotten inside our
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businesses. they've gotten our technology. how did this happen? >> well, americans have dreams about our own system inspiring other countries, city on the hill, things like that. and the chinese played to that. they were actually quite an extreme communist-dominated nation, but in their ancient thinking, they know that to get the resources, a country needs pander, if you will, to the values and wishful thinking of other countries. they did this a lot 2500 years ago in the warring states period. so they held out the notion to american leaders successfully. if you help us, someday, we're going to be just like you, and it worked. i remember deng xiaoping visiting to america, 1979. he wore a huge white cowboy hat and went to a rodeo, as though he was a fellow texan.
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i joke with senator ted cruz about this, he was pandering right to the instincts of texas. this is a good-old boy, comes to a rodeo, wears a white hat. take that times 100. i hate to use the word insinuate, but they've gotten into our companies pretty much the same way, we have a market of 600 in the world in the beoujois, to the middle class, but you have sharing attitudes. mark: in other words hours, we are towards them. >> yes. mark: let's jump into that. >> it was wishful thinking that was played into. mark: so we're naive? >> i prefer to say optimistic. mark: optimistic? >> inspires by the founding fathers that surely china wants democracy in the free market. now 40 years later, that's not
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true. the free market they clearly have stopped at about a 50% total of their economy, and they want the commanding heights, as socialists would say, to be under control of the communist party. our wishful thinking was wrong, but now it's pretty hard to undo all that. you have a whole generation trained in washington, d.c. to think of china as at least a friend and partner, if not an ally, and you throw into that what the book is really about is our secret cooperation with china, through cia and the pentagon, a lot of things we did together during the cold war, that in many ways taught our intelligence community and our military not to see china as an enemy, and they've exploited that wishful thinking as well. even as they do things only an enemy would do, they keep denying it, and we keep believing them. this is i think the dilemma
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president trump faces today. mark: let's break this down. technology. whether it's economic or military or they overlap. how are they taking over our technology? >> they began with a statement 40 years ago that the key source of economic growth is science and technology. so they zeroed in on science and technology as the singlemost important national security goal they could have. once you do that, and you ask your own chinese scientists tell me the future. the scientists can come back and say there's something called nanotechnology manufacturing. that no one ever heard of at the time. or artificial intelligence, or any one of a range of almost 100 high-tech processes. and the next step is, well, which companies in america have those processes? and then they would go through the front door and try to get some of it, if they couldn't
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get through the front door, they would steal through the back door. and frankly one of the first things they did is wake up jimmy carter at 3:00 in the morning, his science adviser was in beijing, and the chinese made clear we want an agreement, that all of our students who want to go america and science can go, and the national science foundation will share all american scientific discoveries quickly with china. mr. frank press was his name. he was so moved by this that he called jimmy carter from beijing. can i agree to this? carter said yes. that became the foundation for our own government sharing a great deal of science and technology with china. so it's the scale of what they've tried to do that's important. it's not just nickel and dime, grab one little patent here. it's a comprehensive approach it become number one in the world, we've got to get hold of
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the innovation technology base. find out the most dramatic profit-making technologies in the world and get them by one means or another. and as i say, we mostly help them, our government did, through the front door, and our companies did as well. under the illusion that someday the chinese market would open up and the companies would enjoy massive profits, only a few companies succeeded. most have not. mark: what happens to the companies that go to china, like apple and so forth? forced to give up certain proprietary information, are they not, in order to do business in that market? >> with a variety of techniques, a chinese partner can demand a technology transfer take place. sometime they focus on an individual in the company who has the trade secrets in the company and recruit him not only as espionage asset but somebody they offer a salary of $2 million, if you leave, in
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this case, i'm thinking general motors, you leave your company and work for us and show us how to make cars. so they are now the number one seller of automobiles in the world. of course, they didn't challenge general motors or jeep at the time, they had a stealthy approach to all this, and if asked are you trying to get hold of the world's technology to become the number one power? they would say absolutely not. what a silly thing. mark: do they think we're dupes? [laughter] . >> i think they praise their own strategy. mark: are we dupes? >> i think our presidents, including myself at the time as an adviser to the presidents, we did not understand the scale of china's ambitions. so any particular example that would be detected, the fbi would just arrest the person
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committing economic espionage, put them in jail for six months or a year, and assume this was a one-off thing. so the scale was just not in our philosophy. i hate to say we were dupes, we didn't understand the consequences of building up another power to surpass us. i don't think even president reagan thought that china would amount to what it has turned into today. >> are we dupes now? >> well, a lot of people want to call an end to all. this want a better terms of trade. there's still a community that says china will collapse, don't worry about it. the community that says they just want to be our partner in the world, but as they ignore united nations resolutions as they're caught with more and more technology theft, it becomes harder to explain this away. so i think we're in a period now which i think will go on for many more years of waking
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up but being a little uncertain what to do when china and china's friends are already deep inside our system. we never face this with the soviets in the cold war, they were always over there, and there weren't huge soviet companies and investments inside america. it was considered treason to help the soviet union. with china, it's the opposite, they're considered our friends and considered little bit too conservative to be against china these days. mark: how is donald trump doing with respect to china? seems to be changing the paradigm a bit, doesn't he? >> yes, he's got their attention. they're in a feisty fighting mode where, they're matching tariffs with their own threats. they're saying they're innocent, all these allegations he's made and his team he's made in various reports of technology theft, forcible technology transfer and many others. they claim they're innocent, this evidence doesn't hold up,
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and something that is quite dramatic, they said that china is now leading the rest of the world in favor of free trade against president trump. even i who have -- i have great admiration for chinese strategy, as you can tell, even i didn't think they would be that dramatic to say we are protecting the world against president trump in terms of free trade. and this has a the love people believing. mark: but he's actually hurting them somewhat. >> yes. >> the value of their currency dropped 25, 30%. our currency value has gone up 17%. even if you're a free trader like i am, that has nothing to do with china for me, it's a national security issue, do you agree? >> i do. that's why i wrote the book, i'm trying to sound the alarm it's not too late, though i think it may be too late. scale of what we have to do it
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turn things around is enormous. mark: i want to pursue this after the break. can we given what congress is focused on with russia and the media and so forth, china has a single focus because it's an autocracy. we have a thousand different focuses, china may be among them or not? they use that to their advantage. don't forget, most week nights you can watch levin tv on crtv.com. we'd love to have you join our community there. call 844-levin tv. it's that simple. give us a call. we'll be right back. ♪motorcycle revving ♪ motorcycle revving ♪motorcycle revving ♪ motorcycle revving ♪ no matter who rides point, ♪
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. mark: dr. michael pillsbury, is it too late? isn't it too late? the question is, given the nature of our government, and the nature of one political party that has us focused on russia, russia, russia, you looked at media focused on stormy daniels, maybe there's a story that slips through about china. do you think we can ever come together to focus on what is this truly growing national security threat and economic
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threat? >> it's starting to happen. i think the pentagon got alarmed over some of the chinese technology acquisition in the silicon valley and elsewhere. the pentagon began to realize that the chinese were going upstream ahead of our current technology and trying to purchase, succeeding in purchasing the technology to produce weapons and win wars ten or 15 years from now. by buying smaller companies that are way out front? >> yes, yes. and having an uncanny instinct for where to find small companies. they weren't just randomly knocking on doors. so once the pentagon became alarmed, i think they asked the intelligence community for more help on this. to some degree, the commerce department and the u.s. trade representative have gotten more concerned about the ripping off of our trade and our market
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share of world production in almost everything. we're losing our market share in automobiles, even things like paint. it's quite a long list. there's some level of alarm but the divisiveness still is there, that the chinese helped us so much in the cold war, particularly president reagan, with the afghanistan program where. they sold us $2 billion secretly of weapons, that we then transferred to the afghan rebels and forced the soviet union into a humiliating defeat to withdraw from afghanistan. whereas the soviets themselves undercut them in eastern europe. mark: i never knew this, china assisted us, top secret out of afghanistan, okay? you were there? >> yes, sir. we discovered the chinese were
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hawks against the soviet union. in our own system, we had a lot of detente advocates, dr. kissinger and president nixon were leaders of detente, working out the balance of power with the soviet union, and we discovered from the chinese were willing to use force and fairly aggressive efforts including sniper rifles being provided and commando raids inside the soviet union. i cover this in one of my chapters, that frankly i was delighted that the cia permitted this to come out. 30 years ago, but there's still some sensitivities. they also helped us in cambodia, as you recall other in vietnamese army had invaded cambodia, and the u.s. and several other countries, i tell the story in hundred-year marathon, got together with the chinese intelligence service and provided weapons to the cambodian resistance to kick
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the vietnamese army out. so cambodia, afghanistan, there were other secret projects with the chinese, where they really showed themselves as fierce opponents of the soviet union, and who can guess otherwise? of course, we thought they would be anti-communist, pro american, for the rest of history. but it turned out that was just a tactical move. that at that time, the soviets were their enemy as well as ours. they would help us take them out. who would have thought later they would see us as a rival for global leadership and turn on us. mark: russia today and china, is there really this tight relationship or? russia is really a dying economy. china is not. so what is that relationship? >> well, the way the chinese measure power and the way they see a problem is the size of the gdp. so in their minds russia is
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about 10% of their gdp. this is the chinese, maybe 18 trillion, 19 trillion. this is the russian economy. 1.7 trillion on a good day. mark: they have a lot of nukes. >> yes, but what can you do. the russians are growing aware of the china threat themselves. there are several million undocumented aliens, undocumented chinese inside russia. mark: is that a plan by china? >> china says no, these are just chinese that live in siberia. but there's a number of chinese efforts to get control of energy resources, minerals by russian companies. if i were vladimir putin, i would be more than a little bit worried about my chinese friends. mark: you think he is? >> i think he is, yes. i think president trump may see this too. mark: back to the united states, you've said that unlike
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really any enemy, and i do consider them an enemy, that we faced, they have secreted themselves, that is government entities, individuals, in our country, in our government? >> well, with our billionaires. that's one of the more amusing parts of all. this something called the billionaire gap that the chinese have more billionaires than we do. they have about 580 billionaires. we have about 540 billionaires. if you've seen our billionaires coming on tv whether it's bill gates or steve schwarzman, quite a few. they really like china, and they believe in a chinese-american sort of partnership going forward into the future when. our billionaires contact our president, he listens. so he may have the intelligence community in the pentagon and his trade experts telling him
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look, china is out to really make us into a second class country, but then he has his billionaires praising china as the force of the future. so i think this is one of the many approaches china has to continue this goodwill and pro-china policies that our government still has. i've advocated, as you know, we should have an inventory. congress should demand an inventory all the federal government programs in place, many of them for 40 years, that help china. many in the government are following jimmy carter's orders from 1979 that every department of the government must have a joint commission or a partnership with china and find some way to help chinese economic growth, even in nuclear reactor safety, for example, we provide them knowledge of nuclear reactor safety. sometimes very obscure areas. we had the faa have a team in
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shanghai to teach them how to build airliners safely on the theory we all want airline safety. mark: so nobody is in charge? >> no, there never has been a czar for china, always a matter of what the president is concerned with. mark: when we come back, i want to ask but the way the chinese government has insinuated itself into academia in this country to affect how younger people think about china, the types of scholarship that come out of these colleges and universities. we'll be right back. my father passed this truck down to me, that's the same thing i want to do with you. it's an emotional thing to watch your child grow up and especially get behind the wheel. i want to keep you know, stacking up the memories and the miles and the years. he's gonna get mine but i'm gonna get a new one! oh yeah! he's gonna get mine but i'm gonna get a new one!
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i'm lauren greene, now back to victory. . mark: let me ask you this question, dr. pillsbury. academia. how have the chinese taken advantage of our so-called open campuses and free speech? >> they've got two goals, one is most of their 300,000 students here now -- mark: whoa, whoa works. they have 300,000 students here? i didn't know that. >> yes, over 300,000. the students are mainly in hard sciences and engineering, so they're focused on helping chinese economic growth in this next generation of manufacturing processes. sometime they joke and say we're going to win nobel prizes. that base of hard currency paying students is important to them, that they not be challenged or investigated by
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the fbi, which the fbi director has already raised and concerned about these students. a lot of them are in laboratories. they're doing state of the art research. they believe it's okay to go back to china with the equipment, the materials, the patents that they got as graduate students, and there's a lot of success stories where they've done this. but the other goal is what i would call the soft underbelly of our academic establishment, that they need visas to have access to china, so it's been very well understood for at least 20 years, if you say the right things about china, have you no problem getting your visa for research into the chinese social security system or whatever you want to study. if you start criticizing china or praising the dalai lama or advocating arms sales to taiwan, you won't get a visa and look back to your academic management. this has been a problem that's
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influenced the way our academic community writes and talks about china. there's a couple of famous professors i happen to admire very much. one is perry link in california, one is andrew nathan at columbia. both denied visas for more than 20 years. their books are quite outspoken about chinese abuses and violations of rights and property and so forth, and these are two of our stars. but can you imagine. they have not visited china 20 years. the other academic professors often bring this up, well, professor nathan and professor link, their views are so out of date. they haven't been to china for 20 years. this is the insidious influence on our academic world. i think they've succeeded in both, universities generally speaking are quite positive in their discussions of china. it a ban the dalai lama
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visiting most of our universities. at the same time, the economic and technology benefits of the 300,000 students has got to be enormous. one of my chinese colleagues in beijing has set up a team that succeeded to bring back more and more of these students. some staying in the west, perhaps because they love liberty and feared going home to a nation of tyranny, and this team gives them all incentives. very high salaries, special living areas, their own laboratories to work on scientific projects and more and more of these people are going home. they're called the sea turtles, sea turtles sort of return to where they were born, and this is a huge boost for chinese technology and china's growth rate. mark: we heard about the confucius institutes. >> yes. mark: and we talked about that before. what are the institutes? >> thoo this is a chinese initiative about almost 20
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years ago that they realized they could go into american universities. we have the most of them. we have more than 100 out of 500 in the world. you go into american universities including stanford, and say we're going to give you $4 million from the chinese government. we're the education business. you don't really teach mandarin in your university. for $4 million we'll provide the faculty, rent or buy a building. we want you to sign an agreement, sometimes secret, and you will be able to teach your students chinese at a very low tuition. and obviously most universities agreed to this. then they found out there were strings attached that if you wanted a particular human rights dissident from china to speak, or if you wanted the chinese defector who it high-level knowledge of the chinese strategy to speak, no, you couldn't do this because you place in jeopardy your contract with the confucius institute.
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so on the surface it's language training, but actually it's a means of influence in 100 universities. once again, you have to admire the chinese chutzpah for lack of a better term. mark: when you wrote this book, the hundred-year marathon. you spoke to defectors, chinese intellectuals, scholars throughout our country. you wrote an enormous amount of information, you put it together in this book. now you've been doing this most of your career. you finished the book, what did you conclude? because again you were part of the group early on that said let's embrace china, right? >> absolutely. mark: share information with them and so forth and you said to yourself, wait a minute, we need to make a u-turn and we need to make it fast. that's pretty much what your book says and you lay out the whole situation. doesn't it like drive you
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almost a little crazy when you watch the news and you listen to politicians. >> yes. mark: you laid it out for them. couldn't be simpler and they don't discuss it. they don't discuss it. how can a country survive such a thing? if we're not focused on what is the enemy, they are an enemy. we're talking about russia all the time, talking about other things all the time. we talked about how we divided government and so forth, do we at least give some credit to president trump trying to focus somewhat on china. trying to deal with them economically, militarily, trying to deal with them in terms of foreign policy and so forth. do you think he gets the recognition he deserves and think he's doing a great job dealing with china? >> he's doing a great job with dealing with china. he's got their attention. he has the concept that they're a challenge to our global leadership, and he also has the
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concept they're really in some sense businessmen, so that the tariffs present a kind of effect on china all out of proportion to what they actually are. it's not the actual tax, the word if tariff in chinese is a tax at the gate. the tariffs themselves are not bringing china to its knees, but the fact an american president is talking about them as a challenge is something new, and because of his success so far, i have lost some of my pessimism. i finished the book, no, this is not going to work. it's too late. it's too late. ma so you just walk around telling people geico could help them save money on car insurance? yea,that and homeowners, renters, motorcycle and boat insurance. huh.that's nice. what happens when you catch a fish?
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. mark: dr. pillsbury, i want to elaborate on the chinese military threat. let me crystalize this. if we went to war with
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china, would we win or would they win? >> it depends where the war would be taking place and the tactics that would be used on the two sides. in terms of spending and numbers of let's say aircraft carriers, we're way ahead. we have something like ten to one superiority, all things considered. they don't have and stealth bombers at all. they don't have any nuclear-powered aircraft carriers at all. but in the war games, i have been involved in against china, when i've been there, sometimes on the china team, so-called red team, i would always find if i fight with an american style, then the american team would win that particular war game. if i use chinese style based on their writings for what they would do, attack our nerve centers first, for example, or
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attack our satellites in space during the first two hours of the war. if i would use things out of their chinese textbooks, then the american team would lose. mark: really? >> and over time the pentagon learned more and more, no matter -- they can shift to someone else to play the chinese team are as long as the chinese team used the chinese strategy, the american team would lose. this is president obama's pivot towards asia, though it wasn't much of a pivot as it should have been and part of the new national security strategy of president trump to take the military balance of power in asia seriously, that we are slowly falling behind, and these chinese production figures, submarines, jet fighters, even tanks, they're still up, so they're continues to keep their nuclear forces low, nothing like us or the russians, but now talking about increasing their nuclear
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forces. so i would say the main challenge from china remains economics, trade, technology, politics, influencing the next generation, but the military challenge is there too, and i was very just delighted the secretary of defense mattis recently made his first visit to beijing in his entire career. this shows somebody focused on europe and middle east and some sense taking seriously the military challenge from china for the first time. mark: do the chinese, the chinese government integrate civilian signs, technology, with military science and technology, there's really no break is there? >> yes, it's one of the aspects that's hardest for us to appreciate. take the space program. we have two. we've always separated nasa for peaceful use of space, exploring planets, putting the astronauts on the moon, from the u.s. air force.
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military use of space, and we built two separate infrastructures, roughly $70 billion each. the chinese said what's the sense of that? let's just have one space infrastructure run by the military, and save money and let's get technology from the russians and like to get into the american nasa high-tech stuff as well. we blocked them so far. and so their space program has jumped ahead in the past ten years. they've not only got their own space station, because we wouldn't let them mate with ours, but talking about men, people on mars and they're still dangling the idea of joint space missions and they've been very pleased with three movies. i don't know if you've seen gravity, the martian, and red dawn. mark: red dawn, i remember. >> all three are showing the chinese in a positive way, that
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their space program actually helps our marooned astronauts. so this is just another chinese challenge that we've been in some sense blind to. mark: ladies and gentlemen, don't forget to join us on levin tv almost every week night, go to crtv.com, crtv.com. give us a call also at 844-levin tv. for just $59... ancestrydna can open you to a world of new cultures to explore. with two times more detail than any other dna test... you can get a new taste of your heritage. only $59- our site's lowest price ever. enterprise car sales and you'll take any trade-in?rom that's right! great!
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. mark: you interviewed eight high-level defectors for your book. i know you're not going to give their names, nor should you. what did you learn from them? >> the defectors present an opposite side of the story from chinese officials. as you know, over the last four years, i've had a lot of contact with chinese generals, chinese executives, chinese diplomats. the defectors come from within that group. they've had access to china's greatest secrets. they've now chosen freedom to come and live in the west and to seek a new identity. they're essentially a witness protection programs. they even want the stories read that they've been killed or
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they died, sometimes they joke about the chinese will joke with me about did that defector die? and i'd say yes, and they'd say, was it a drowning accident? they say yes, and laugh, we always give them the same story. actually the defectors are still alive. and in their view is the cynicism of the chinese strategy that the things that took me so long to discover, the defectors can confirm all this. they've seen documents, they've been to meetings where the marathon strategy is being implemented, so it's not some kind of academic debate. is china really doing this or not as our academics would say. to the defectors, they've been there, in many ways they can't believe that america puts up with this and has not discovered it over such a long period of time, and the defectors have warned me that
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they believe china's entering a period of maximum danger over the next five to ten years, that this is the period they will pull ahead in economic strength. perhaps in military power as well, and the americans are going to wake up. this is how they see president trump. as the first american president who has awakened to this danger, but they're still gambling that there's enough opposition to president trump in the congress and in the media, that he will not be able to turn things around in terms of the china challenge. the defectors themselves are worried about this, and as you mentioned i give them pseudonyms but tried to describe what each one had to say. and one of the most dramatic is they have something called the communist party school in beijing where they teach the marathon strategy, and part of it is to get market share and high tech and claim this is how
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the americans after the civil war and many decades, this is how the americans became the number one power in the world, and that we then dominated the united nations process, 1945. this seems to be their plan, the defectors say. there's going to be a chinese world order, china's going to call the shots but get there with our assistance the same way america got there with british assistance. mark: we'll be right back. ♪motorcycle revving
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mark: you have laid out a daunting situation. how does it sound? >> it could end in two different ways but depends on how americans care about their meaning in the world. apparently, 40-50% of americans care about it and they don't
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like the idea of being disrespected overseas or losing global leadership. a lot of americans don't care. i've had a lot of americans tell me the 100 year marathon is based on our still being number one. we've had a chance and had a run for 100 years. let's let the chinese see if they can do better. this is the progressive view that we've been unable to achieve our goals of social justice. the chinese will do that. so, these are the two broad outcomes. i happen to be one of americans who believe were better off being number one in the world but i'm not sure it's a unanimous view and that's where the challenge of president trump and his team comes in. he seems to have support from his face and from the congress but whether that will be enough, the chinese are gaveling no, it will not work.
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the hundred year marathon has them on the winning side. mark: it's been a great pleasure. very important. thank you. the next time on "life, liberty and levin".

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