tv Early Today NBC November 8, 2016 4:00am-4:31am PST
there is one core question for you to consider -- do you want america to be ruled by the corrupt political class? or do you want america to be ruled by you, the people? that's what it is, by the people. >> love trumps hate. let's get out and vote. philadelphia, tomorrow! let's make history together. thank you and god bless you. >> hillary clinton and donald trump make their closing arguments and now it's time for voters to decide at the polls. >> it is election day, 2016. a special edition of "early today" starts right now. >> good election tuesday, everyone, i'm ayman mohyeldin. >> and i'm frances rivera.
it is game day. election day is upon us. it's been 18 months in the making. this morning, millions of americans prepare to head to the polls to pick our nation's 45th president, just hours after trump and clinton wrapped up their final campaign events in michigan and north carolina. it has been 510 days since donald trump rode down his fifth avenue trump tower escalator to announce his candidacy for president. and 575 days since hillary clinton released her video announcing her second run for the white house. and hillary clinton returned home after a grueling 24 hours of campaigning before she goes to cast her own ballot. and moments ago, tim kaine became the first of the candidates to cast his vote, appearing at his local precinct in richmond, virginia. it all came to a head as the campaigns held their final rallies. trump in michigan, and clinton amassed her largest crowd yet, over 30,000 supporters gathering
to support her with bill clinton, president obama, the first lady, bon jovi, bruce springsteen, and lady gaga. both she and trump delivered their closing arguments early this morning. >> today is our independence day. when you step into that voting booth today, it's now today, there is one core question for you to consider. do you want america to be ruled by the corrupt political class? or do you want america to be ruled by you, the people? >> tomorrow, you can vote for a hopeful, inclusive, big-hearted america. i really believe it's the most important election of our lifetimes because we have never had a clearer choice. never. it is a choice between division or unity. between strong, steady
leadership or a loose cannon who could risk everything. >> it was an all-out sprint for the candidates, barnstorming through michigan, new hampshire, florida, and north carolina. this morning, we have the very first election results of the day after the small town of dixville notch, new hampshire, continued their midnight voting tradition. clinton captured the most votes with four, followed by two for trump, one for gary johnson and one write-in for mitt romney. now since 1960, the town has accurately predicted seven of the last 14 elections. our final battleground map has clinton leading with 274 electoral votes to trump's 170 votes. there are 94 votes in the toss-up category, of course. again, this is just a prediction. clinton also spoke to millions of tv viewers during two minutes ad that ran in primetime on the major networks where she laid
out her vision for the nation.
>> i think we can all agree it's been a long campaign. but tomorrow you get to pick our next president. so here are a few things that i hope you'll think about. first, it's not just my name and my opponent's name on the ballot. it's the kind of country we want for our children and grandchildren. >> but it was president obama who gave the most visceral speech of the final day of the campaign, offering his full-throated support for clinton. and with the latest gallup poll put his approval numbers at a record high of 56%, numbers not seen since 2009, he's putting that approval rating on the line for clinton. >> so with whatever credibility i've got after eight years as your president i'm asking you to trust me on this one. >> trump's running mate, mike pence, and campaign surrogate sarah palin and daughters ivanka and tiffany and sons donald jr. and eric were all hitting the trail one last time. >> this isn't just a choice
between two people, it's a choice between two futures. i choose to stand with donald trump and every american who knows we can make america great again. >> this is bigger than one man. if they have a problem with donald trump's tone or something, you know, gosh, something on the periphery. well, so what? you know this is bigger than one man. it's bigger than a party. >> yesterday the market snapped an eight-day losing streak largely due to political news, landon dowdy now joins us with a look at what this election means, not just for markets at home but around the world. >> typically in the week before the election wall street rallies, however the s&p 500 was down for nine straight sessions before snapping that losing streak just yesterday following the news that fbi once again cleared hillary clinton. so how do stocks perform after the election? if history is any guide investors could see some red arrows ahead, going back to 1996.
the s&p 500 has dropped in three
of the past five elections in the week after the vote. when barack obama won in 2008, the s&p fell nearly 11%. but remember we were in the throes of the global financial crisis at that time. but no matter who wins there are some specific stock sectors that could benefit. a republican victory in the white house and congress could be positive for drug, energy companies and banks, because the gop is perceived as pro business and not as strict on regulation. however, if democrats succeed, consumer discretionary and staples could get a boost as clinton has made increasing wages a priority, health care can also benefit as the odds of expanding obamacare would go up. wall street typically doesn't like uncertainty, though, it has long been anticipating a clinton win. but a donald trump victory could qualify as a shock for stocks. there's not much you can compare that to, maybe how markets reacted to britain's vote to leave the european union in june, the s&p 500 erased all gains for the year on that day
after brexit. but has since recovered those losses and then some. back over to you. >> if you needed one more reason to know why the elections are important, there's landon dowdy with the emphasize of what that will mean for the markets around the world. >> and the ramifications all across, especially when it comes to this historic collection. i want to in dan yella, senior vice president of the center for american progress, and former rnc chairman michael steele. good morning. as we jump into what is going to be a long day for all of us. >> let's get ready to rumble. >> it is. here's the thing, there's so much to watch on it. you have battlegrounds, some with no early voting. other perspective when you have toss-ups here. what's it going to boil down to? >> florida and north carolina. for donald trump, that's it. hillary clinton is in the best spot she could possibly be in, and we have said it from the very beginning.
she needs one state to win, florida. if it's not florida, it will be ohio. she's always been in that spot where she hasn't had to work as hard to get that vote in. donald trump on the other hand had to find a pathway given the lopsided nature of the electoral college. florida and north carolina are going to be linchpins. iowa is going to be an important play for him, likely will be a nice pickup. there's some things where he can see some success early, but florida, that's it. >> florida, florida, florida. >> obviously, all eye are on the presidential race. when it comes to the senate, do you have confidence democrats are able to win for senate control on the house side as well or far fetched? >> the house is a little far fetched, but i think they'll pick up several seats. there are a lot more contested seats in the house this time around. i do think that democrats will pick up the senate, and i think you'll see that in a lot of places like new hampshire,
possibly north carolina, that the coattails of hillary clinton are going to be strong enough to carry democrats over to take back the senate. >> coattails are -- given that, how narrow is the race going to be, how close? >> that's the big question of the day. we'll get a sense of that once you sort of see the noon results, the polling from 6:00 a.m. to noon. you'll get a sense of where this thing is trending. i still suspect it will be closer than a law of people think. the polls do narrow. there's nothing that really indicates that hillary clinton is going to do a blow-out and get to 390 electoral votes kind of deal. but you never know. that's what's so exciting about this. this election, you sit here, you go, well, i think it's going to be close because of this metric and nobody knows because the voters have been unpredictable this entire cycle. >> in playing the prediction game, say donald trump loses tonight, do you expect a concession speech or a drawn out series of challenges over the next few days?
>> i really hope we don't have a law of challenges if he loses. i don't know i would expect a concession speech because nothing donald trump has done in this campaign cycle has been normal or followed any type of tradition. so it would be very -- it will be very interesting to see exactly what hoe does. i want to say one point about how close this might be. my gut tells me this will be a close election, but you never know. the latino numbers that are coming out in early vote are beyond anyone's wildest imagination. we don't know what's going to happen. >> we have waited 18 months. what's a few more hours? >> what's he going to do? >> you know, look. again, she's got it right. there's nothing about him that indicates he will. this is a man who didn't give us his taxes, why should he give us a concession speech. he's always about the win. if he does not win, i think it will be a hard space for him to walk into freely and say i lost. >> and he said if he loses it's going to be the biggest waste of time, money.
laying it out on the table. >> to both of you, as we get our day started, as always, good to hear from both of you. thank you. >> let's bring in bill karins for look at our election day weather. >> good election day morning to you. we're going to be watching some rain today. we already have some in texas, a little in louisiana and a little in missouri. the election day forecast overall still looks like about a 9 out of 10 because it's so warm across the country. temperatures in the 50s and 60s across the board. some states we'll be watching closely, michigan, to see how that turns out. we'll see on and off shoiers in the areas of michigan. shouldn't be too bad to keep people out, turn them away from the polls and we'll watch the heavy rain on the gulf coast. evyone in the westertemperature
either. many areas in the 60s and 70s even after sunset today. this election day is turning out to be one of the warmest we have ever seen. >> no excuses when it comes to the weather. just ahead, securing the election. >> how u.s. security stands ready to react amid outside interference in america's election. . thanks for giving victor the energy to be the rowdiest fan. and joseph, the ability to see monsters. when you choose walgreens, you choose to make a difference... like how every vitamin and flu shot you get at walgreens helps give life-changing vitamins and vaccines... to children in need. so, really... happy thanks for giving! walgreens. at the corner of happy and healthy. so dad slayed the problemt with puffs plus lotion, instead.
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second senior intelligence official. multiple officials say concern is so high for the first time in conjunction with an election in several top secret facilities including underground bunkers like this one located somewhere on the east coast, hundreds of federal employees, including boat military and intelligence cyber experts are monitoring incoming intelligence t react to any threat to the federal government's communication and command system. formernato commander discussed the type of russian threat he was concerned about. for a dump of false documents to an attack on the u.s. power grid. >> there's maybe a 1 in 3 chance of this happening but it's not insignificant. >> the scope of government readiness is unprecedented. including the six national cyber centers and 54 state emergency operation centers. including here in new york, where both candidates will host
what they hope are victory celebrations. new york police department and counter surveillance teams are already at work. 5,000 uniformed officers on the detail. comparable to the pope's visit. it's the first time since 1944 that both candidates are from the same place. it, too, was new york. the candidates, roosevelt and dewy. but unlike 1944, the cyber genie got out of the bottle this year and won't ever be put back in. cynthia mcfadden, nbc news, new york. >> just ahead, proof that voter turnout is reaching new heights. we'll explain that. plus, how the international community watching how the u.s. elections play out. we'll go live to london next. uh. i don't see cake, i just see mess. it's like awful. it feels like am not actually cleaning it up. what's that make mommy do? (doorbell) what's that? swiffer wetjet. this is amazing.
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welcome back to our decision 2016 coverage here on "early today." the only american now in space has cast his ballots in today's election. shane kimbrough voted from the international space station sending a secure electronic ballot. literally, every vote, even if it's outer space, counts. >> good to see he has connectivity. the 2016 election has been one of the most polarizing. >> according to john kerry, it isn't doing us any favors afraud. >> this election has been difficult for our country's perception abroad.
there are moments when it is downright embarrassing. >> want to bring in keir simmons who joins us from london. what are you seeing and hearing across the pond? >> good to see you. look, the world is watching. that is reflected in the tv haynes around the world. and in the newspapers. here's a british newspaper. world holds its breath as america votes. a german newspaper with a picture of donald trump and the headline, apocalypse now. no doubt what they think of the candidates. then to the financial times. markets rally as survey shows clinton hanging on to slim lead. those two last pictures give you an idea of the way the majority in the west feel. there's a good deal of fear about the prospect of a trump presidency. there's concern in other parts of the world about what a
clinton presidency might mean. in the middle east, for example, the prospect of continuing the obama policies as a war in syria, there's another war next door to saudi arabia. there are a number of issues with russia, for example, will clinton continue to push hard against russia? how will russia react to that? and asia too. there are many issues, guys. >> so much to watch here within our own borders and certainly overseas as well. keir simmons, thank you, as always. just ahead, a massive sinkhole in japan to show you about. as far as other news of the day outside decision 2016. plus, life imitates art on a mexican flight. how creepy is that? you're watching "early today." this is 100% useful for a 100% fresh mouth. just ask listerine® users. the very people we studied in the study of bold. people who are statistically more likely to stand up to a bully. do a yoga handstand. and be in a magician's act.
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as you wake up this morning on election day, for decision 2016, you want to delve into what we can expect, joining us from washington is ryan graham, washington bureau chief of the "huffington post." good morning to you. as we look at this date nearly two years in the makinger what would you say are the top things you're watching we should watch as well. >> i'm going to be looking alcentral florida and northern florida. you have been talking about the potential latino surge. if clinton can kind of cut into the gap that obama had with romney in 2012 in those area, there's really no way for trump to hold on to florida. i would look for the same thing in north carolina. if you can narrow that gam in rural states by getting more of a latino vote out ipthose areas, then not only does it portend
victory for her tonight in 2016, but it becomes very difficult to see how republicans can win the white house in 2020, 2024, if they can't turn around this complete shellacking that they're taking among latino voters. >> let me pick up on a point you raised and talk about the electoral map. what do you think it will look like at the end of the map? i know it's a tough prediction, but how do you see it? >> our projection is pretty confident you're going to see 323 electoral votes for hillary clinton. that gives her new hampshire, florida, and north carolina. and if that happens, people can actually turn in for the night. but we still think she's going to win colorado and nevada as well. >> the what we'll be watching to determine how long our day and night will be. before we let you go, i want to ask, also, given the fact that you mentioned that will hinge on how long the night will be, given this hypothetical, donald trump loses this election, can you imagine him coming out with a concession speech at all?
>> i can't imagine it. he's done an extraordinary amount of things i never could have imagined him doing, though, so anything is possible. but it's also possible that somebody like paul ryan ends up conceding over the phone for donald trump on his behalf. >> interesting point there. >> right. i hadn't heard that before. i could see that happening as well. we'll all be seeing as we watch. thank you so much. >> thank you. and just a quick programming note. nbc's election night coverage begins at 7:00 eastern, 4:00 pacific. we hope you join us for decision night in america. on this election day morning, we thank you so much for being with us. i'm frances rivera. >> i'm ayman mohyeldin. remember to go out and vote today. we'll see you right back here tomorrow with all the results and the breakdown of election night.
. ready to vote. the polls are open on the east coast. people lined up ready to turn in their ballots. we have crews on the ground in new york where clinton and trump will learn their fate. >> californians are critical choices on their ballots. 17 statewide propositions. the most we've seen in a quarter century for marijuana. allegations of assault in the water. east bay police investigating a water polo player is accused of doing under the water that had nothing to do with the match. this is "today in the bay." i'm