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tv   ABC News Your Voice Your Vote Election Night 2016  ABC  November 8, 2016 8:00pm-11:00pm EST

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the time has finally come. they've made their case. >> we will make america great again. >> we're going to prove to the world we are stronger together. >> so, who will be your next president? right now, live from times square, the crossroads of america, with our country at the croa night 2016. now reporting, from abc news election headquarters, george stephanopoulos. >> and welcome back to election night 2016. 8:00 p.m. here in the east. and the polls have just closed in 16 states, plus the district of columbia. let's look at where things stand right now. you see there, 68 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 37 for donald trump. the magic number is 270. here are the states that have closed. we can say now that hillary
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illinois. chef was born in the state of illinois. that is her home state. she's the winner there. democrat has won by double digits in the past six presidential elections. hillary clinton wins the state of illinois. hillary clinton also wins the state of new jersey. that is a state that's not voted republican since 1988 for george h.w. bush. one of the states where donald trump has a home, but that one's gone to hillary clinton. hillary clinton also winning the true blue state of massachusetts. it has voted democrat in the last seven elections. last voted republican in 1984. of course, also the home of senator elizabeth warren, one of hillary clinton's allies, perhaps donald trump's most determined foe on twitter. hillary clinton wins the state of massachusetts. and the state of maryland. and its ten electoral votes. hillary clinton wins that, as well. major stephanie rawlings-blake,
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i'm very excited. he got such a wonderful reputation in the house, and he is going to do an amazing job. and as this is all coming together, you know, i'm very excited about what this clinton coalition is going to be. i'm excited about the numbers that we're hearing and i'm very optimistic. >> more numbers are coming in. the state of rhode island, four electoral votes, again, one of those solid blue states, the last republican to win rhode island, ronald reagan in another one, state of delaware, its three electoral votes, the northeast filling in blue right now. last voted republican in 1988 for george h.w. bush. district of columbia, no surprise there, that goes to hillary clinton right there and its three electoral votes, and now one for donald trump, the state of mississippi and its six electoral votes. jimmy carter, the last democrat to win that in 1976. donald trump campaigned in mississippi, he ones that state. and the state of oklahoma, seven electoral votes.
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1968. and matthew dowd, before we move on right here, what you are starting to see here is the way tradition has gone in so many of the last elections, democrats have won so many of the solid blue states for the six out of the last seven elections, appears to be continuing tonight. >> if you look at the map as it fills in, it's very much similar to a map we saw in 2012 and very similar to, for a few exceptions, to 2008. so, you see, we've seen among race, and the geography, that's settled out in the country, vast swaths are red and then there's coasts that become blue. >> let's put up the map again one more time. see where the scoreboard stands right now. 68 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 37 for donald trump so far. a lot of states coming in right now that we don't have enough votes to project, including the state of connecticut. it last went republican in 1988
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state. hillary clinton and donald trump both won their primaries in april. we cannot call that one yet. tennessee, the state of tennessee, not enough data in yet on the state of tennessee and its 11 electoral votes. haven't voted democrat since 1996, even al gore, when he ran in 2000, could not win his home state for the democrats. we don't have enough data, this is a little bit of a surprise, the vote just coming in slow, but the state of alabama, and its nine electoral votes, not enough day to project there yet. not enough day to project in the electoral votes. and jon karl, there's a little twist in maine, one of two states where they split the votes. >> that's right. so, the second congressional district of maine is way up north, they say the people up there speak with canadian acc accents, but they vote like they're from alabama. it's part of the state that the trump team has put a lot of effort in. one of their paths to 270 electoral votes gets them to
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district. >> okay, state of missouri right now, ten electoral votes, state has gone blue only twice in the past decade, '92 and '96. not enough information in to project on that one. important senate race being held there, as well. so, we're going to spend time looking at missouri later. but these are the states we're paying most attention to tonight, these battleground states, these 12 battleground states, and the biggest one of them all, the polls have closed now in the state of jonathan karl, 29 electoral votes, not only are the polls closed, so much of the vote is coming in. let's look at what exactly we're seeing in that vote right now. >> well, if you take a deep dive into florida, it's been going back and forth. right now, clinton with a slight lead. but if you take a look at the counties, again, it all comes down to some of the bell weather counties. down here, miami-dade is overwhelmingly hispanic and overwhelmingly democratic.
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hillary clinton has a big lead there, 30-point lead, a bigger lead than barack obama had in 2012. and still a significant amount of vote to be counted in miami-dade. that's going to be overwhelmingly hillary clinton. if you go up here to the panhandle, george, this is -- excuse me. if you go up to the panhandle, this is a part of florida that is overwhelmingly republican, and we see very little vote has been counted up there. so, there will be some more donald trump vote. devalue count deval county, part of the state that mitt romney won by three points. right now, we have a slight lead for donald trump. the trend seems to be moving towards hillary clinton. >> there's no more important state early on in this evening. david muir, what do you have in the exit polls? >> the clinton campaign wants florida to lights out for the night. jon, you were talking about
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miami-da miami-dade. if you dive in at the racial makeup of the voters so far in florida. hispanic/latino making up 18%. that's just ticking up one percentage point from four years ago. and if you break it down, when you make up your decision, many of them, 61% said much earlier than the most recent weeks. but look at this. this could be interesting, as the night plays out. when asked if trump's treatment of bothers you after the audio released from that bus, 68% of florida voters saying so far that that bothered them a lot as they headed into the polls. >> martha lot of time on the road and a lot of the voters said it wasn't making that much of a difference to them. >> a little bit of truth in both of that. they said it made a difference, but not as much as you would expect it. and it changed over the months that i went. first, they were very concerned about it, then they weren't as concerned about it. so, they went either way. didn't seem like as big a deal as we're hearing about tonight. and i think it was very different in different states. again, if you go to the rural
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>> let's go back to paula faris, at the university of miami. what is happening there right now? what are you feeling? >> well, i got to tell you, there's a lot of excitement from the students behind me. as have been mentioning, all about florida and trump's campaign knows that. it's virtually impossible for him to win the presidency would winning here at the sunshine state, that's why he spent more time and money here than anywhere else. in fact, both candidates have spent more time here in florida over the last month than the early vote. 6.4 million floridians voted early here. we went to five polling stations, and they were virtually ghosttowns. to put that into context, that's more than the total vote here in florida back in 2000. one key demographic that david muir was just referencing was that hispanic vote. and the early hispanic vote in 2012 was 522,000. fast forward here, 980,000, 36%
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cycle. i have to tell you, the students here, george, are so engaged, most of these students are from out of state. they know the gravity of this vote. they registered here in florida, because they know their vote is going to count. one of the students said, quote, i'm so nervous, i might pass out. but george, they want to say one thing to you. >> hi, george! >> you have a lot of fans here on the campus of the university of miami, george. >> that is good to hear. i will take that. thanks very much. let's stick in on this. i here. what we are seeing with the focus on the latino vote and the early vote is the difference in the ground games between the clinton organization and the trump organization. >> yeah, they both call this a must-win state. and hillary clinton has spent a lot of time in florida, in fact, one of the things we've seen over her -- out of her campaign in the last few months is this coalition of big name celebrity surrogates. and she had this huge rally down there with jennifer lopez and latino stars, and really, she's
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donald trump say, he spends half of his time in florida, that's his second home. hillary clinton is trying to get in on that ground. >> tom llamas, he did very well in the primaries. >> he won 66 of the 67 counties. the only county he lost, miami-dade. i can't tell you enough how important florida is for donald trump. it's part of their core four. it's where he had the most visits since he locked up the nomination. look at the ad spending. the clinton team, $92 million now, kellyanne conway said there is one path to the nomination without florida, but many people you are chasing windmills at that point. >> another big announcement out of the state of florida. marco rubio, he was running for president earlier in the year, decided to go back into the senate race, he will come back as the senator. he has won that race, 51% to 46%, right now over patrick murphy. and jon karl, seeing a real gap here between marco rubio and donald trump.
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ten points. statewide, five to six points depending as it goes back and forth. rubio outperforming donald trump. it's a little sweet revenge. rube yoep's presidential campaign died in florida, when he got destroyed by donald trump. he said he was never going to run for senate again. he finally decided to change his mind to run and he had to answer for every everything he said about trump during the primaries. he never lifted his endorsement, george, but he made it clear he still does not like donald trump. >> he did >> he did vote for donald trump. >> and he endorsed him. secret ballot. we'll see. >> we remember marco rubio from the debate. >> but you know, george, he said, during the primaries that donald trump couldn't be trusted with the nuclear codes. during the course of this election, he said, yes, he still believes that, but he still has my endorsement. >> i want to bring the republican strategists in. marco rubio, a case study in the kind of pretzels you can get tied up into when you are a republican elected official
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said he could not be trusted with the nuclear codes. yet, in the end, he comes around and votes for him. >> yes, he does. and that was the tight rope a lot of republicans had to walk, but if marco rubio is running five to ten points ahead of donald trump, i'm demanding a recount. that's -- those are not good signs early for donald trump in florida. you know, trump has been appealing to a different voter than rubio. rubio's about the future. donald trump is appealing to the republican voter, older, whiter, less educated, rubio is very different candidate. and you can see a different republican party than maybe younger, more optimistic, doing better in florida tonight. >> and bill, you saw the real split here between former republican officials and current office holders. the former president says, i'm not voting for donald trump. mols of the elected officials came around, finally, maybe
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them if they're on the ballot in particular. and that but true of rubio and toom toomey. the secret ballot is a good thing. in the general election, jimmy carter, gerald ford was on the ballot. he was the democratic candidate for senate in new york. he respected gerald ford. i don't think he had a high view of carter. i asked pat, did you really vote for carter over ford? and he gave me a long lecture on e and how important a thing that is in the anglo-american tradition. i wonder about paul ryan, marco rubio. >> tom llamas, you wanted in on this? >> we have news coming in for the first time tonight, we are hearing frustration from donald trump, in an interview tonight over the radio, on lindsey graham not voting for him. he said, i think it's terrible. on george w. bush not voting for
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sad. donald trump can't be surprised. he put lindsay gram's ceey grah phone number out there. george w. bush, he savaged him on the war in iraq and destroyed his brother, constantly made fun of his brother and family. for the first time, george, we are hearing the frustration of what's happening tonight. >> got to take another quick break. when we come back, nate silver's forecast is change pg. we'll have that, plus more states. okay google, show me korean restaurants in boulder. google assistant: i found a few places. vo: the new pixel, phone by google. exclusively on verizon. the only next gen network that lets you get the most out of it. how is this possible? vo: because verizon lte advanced delivers 50% faster peak speeds in 450 cities, coast to coast. buy a pixel and get up to $400 back. and get 20 gigs of data with no surprise overages,
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[cricket sound] richard. didn't think you were going to make it. hey sorry about last weekend, i don't know what got into me. well forgive and forget... kind of. i don't think so!
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and we are back with
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silver from fivethirtyeight, our forecasting guru. nate, your forecast is changing right now? >> a little bit. we have clinton up to 78%. she was at 72% at the start of the night. as more blue states come in, predictably to her side. >> she goes up even though the states were expected to go her way? >> yeah, i mean, you know, what we're seeing is we have some semblance of a normal election night in america. you're not seeing new jersey go red or something like that. obviously, the first major swing state that's and we're on the edge of four, five or six, maybe not on the edge, but monitoring four, five, six states right now. no major domino has fallen, but still, the script is going a little bit more how the clinton campaign would want it. >> we don't have any swing states we can call, but two other states can come in. the state of south carolina has gone republican, of course, we were saying it is a solid republican state. the only democrat to win was jimmy carter in 1976. and tennessee hasn't voted for a democrat since 1996. that goes to donald trump, as
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trump's biggest supporters, former major rudy giuliani. i like what "washington post" reporter sent out a bulletin, and you just left trump's apartment, said trump is watching everything, though i'm telling him not to. >> i meant during the campaign, more than tonight. i used to always tell him during the campaign, don't watch television, the way geo w but he loved watching it. >> how is he doing right now? >> i never -- oh, he's fine. he's in great shape. he -- he's -- he's happy, obviously, he doesn't -- he doesn't know how all these numbers are going to turn out anymore than we do, but he's pretty happy with the information we've gotten back about where we perform, where we thought we were going to perform, so -- i hate the word
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description i can give. i wish i could think of a better one. >> you say he's been happy. he's been lashing out tonight, including lindsey graham. he still seems to have some anger there. >> i haven't heard that, i mean, i can't imagine what lindsey has to do with tonight, but in any event, this is a question of, we got to find out what the voters are going to do and nobody ever knows until they actually vote. going to win up until 9:00 at night and then all of a sudden, boom, it switched. >> no question. we all remember that change. do you think donald trump is at peace with whatever the voters decide tonight? >> oh, yeah. this is a very mature, very accomplished man. i think, obviously, whoever wins is going to be extremely happy and feel very satisfied with what they did and whoever loses
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disappointed, because as you know, george, this is a tremendous effort, you give your whole life to it, and you also feel tremendous sort of loyalty to the people who worked so hard for you. so, this is not something that is easy to lose, it's something wonderful to win. i expect that he's going to win it, but i certainly am not a prophet and i've seen these things switch in a second one >> if he wins, there's been some talk of him serving as attorney general. are you interested? >> right now, i'm interested in getting through tonight. and i'm superstitious. i'm superstitious about that stuff. i never -- when i was running, i never talked to anybody about what they might do, should i get elected, even though i was a front-runner for awhile. i certainly thought about it in my head, i sort of thought about
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secretary of state or your attorney general or secretary of defense would be or head of the cia, but i never talked to anybody about it, i never would let anybody talk to me about it. >> major iuligiuliani, thank yor joining us tonight. >> thank you very much, george. always a pleasure. >> jon, we're tabout to take another break. >> a few minutes ago, there was a 30-vote lead out of 8 million votes cast. florida is looking tight. trump has just so slightly, but this is looking incredibly close. one thing you have to say for donald trump, they are still counting votes in the panhandle, there are still votes to come in in miami-dade county. this is going to be a contest at the end that i think is going to go right down to the wire. >> matthew dowd, you worked on the george w. bush campaign in 2000, little deja vu. >> ah, i hope we're not faced with 547 votes in this, but it looks very close.
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polls closing in other states. six more electoral votes up for six more electoral votes up for grabs. ? and the seagulls they'll be smilin ? ? and the rocks on the sand... ? it's so peaceful up here. yeah. [ eagle screech ] introducing the new turbocharged volkswagen alltrack with 4motion? all-wheel drive. soon to be everywhere. first there's sharp blades. then shielding lubrication. and cooling. brrr. with lubrication before and after the blades. shields and cools while you shave. proshield chill from gillette. if you've gone to extremes to escape your nasal allergies... try clarispray. from the makers of claritin. clarispray provides 24-hour, prescription strength relief from sneezing, runny nose, and nasal congestion. return to the world.
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[captioning performed by the national captioning institute, which is responsible for its caption content and accuracy. visit ncicap.org] >> this is a 2016 election day update. >> the polls in the bay state are now closed. >> results are starting to pour in. let's get to it. let's talk about massachusetts. it been called for clinton. she's also taken vermont,
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district of columbia, new jersey, delaware, illinois, and rhode island. >> in blue donald trump has been declared the winner in several states including indiana, kentucky, west virginia, mississippi, south carolina, alabama, tennessee, and oklahoma. polls in many states are now closed, and the closing wave is sweeping across the country. results will be coming in quickly, and the anticipation is growing in new york city tonight. so let's bring in ben. >> we're coming to you on the west side of manhattan. you can hear the cheers as they are watching the election returns. they are watching two of these early states very closely. north carolina and virginia. they believe north carolina is a bellwether of how this election may go and if she takes north carolina, it makes it that much harder for donald trump to win. hillary clinton just a mile and a half away from here in midtown
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the peninsula hotel. a couple of blocks from donald trump who is at the trump towers. that's the story from the west side. wcvb, newscenter 5. >> not far away, j.c. moynihan. >> it's beginning to fill up at the hilton midtown. we have some people wearing those red hot. sign that said bikers for trump. cheers erupt every time a state is declared for the republican candidate. a few boos for a couple of clinton announcement but for the most part this is an intimate crowd as compared to what's happening at the javitz center. a much smaller crowd. invitation only here compared with the public event that's happening at the javitz center with the clinton campaign. the trump family and donald trump at their home in midtown
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waiting for his arrival later tonight, hopefully to deliver a victory speech. live in new york city, wcvb, newscenter 5. >> in massachusetts we were asked to vote on four ballot questions. expand charter schools, question three bans the confining of farm animals, a situation where they couldn't stand up or move around. four would legalize marijuana here in the state. we're just starting to see those results on those questions coming in. the early returns are rolling in at the bottom of the another big race we're watching, the u.s. senate race in new hampshire. democratic governor is hoping to unseat the republican senator kelly ayotte. the two are locked in a tight race. it's been one of the most closely watched and one of the costliest in the nation. the outcome could help determine the balance of power in the u.s. senate. >> now back to massachusetts
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polls waiting in long lines to cast their ballots. three million people expected to vote voters really here in mass. and at least one new hampshire town, durham, they had record turnout there today. other communities expected, up to 80% of registered voters to show up today. obviously we've called the presidential race, but they are born ballot questions to keep in mind. the mobile app has you covered, we'll be on tv all night and the app is available for you as well. real-time town by town results. electoral college counts. it's right now in our app store. before we say goodbye let's take one more look at the electoral map. he's very close in florida and if it's within a half a percentage point which is where it's sitting right now, there is an automatic recall. so the question is will they know who the president-elect is
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and we are back now at 8:30 here in the east. that is the crowd for hillary clinton's campaign at the javits center here in midtown manhattan. go to robin roberts in a minute. let's look at the map, the scoreboard right now. see where the electoral votes stand. and there you see it right there, very close so far. donald trump. the magic number, 270. we can now say that donald trump has won the state of alabama. nine electoral votes. last time they voted for a democrat, 1976. that was the only time since 1964. it guess to donald trump. and the polls have closed in one more state. another home state of hillary clinton, the state of arkansas, of course, her husband was governor there for many years. six electoral votes, not enough
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these battleground states, these 12 battleground states that are so important in this election, and the polls have also closed in the state of pennsylvania. one of the key ones. the keystone state, a real corn cornerstone of hillary clinton's strategy. one of her closing rallies there, president obama, the first lady. this is so key. donald trump's campaign hoping this could be one of the states in hillary clinton's blue firewa and deborah roberts, you're in johnstown, pennsylvania, where there is a core of trump support. >> that's exactly right, george. in fact, folks are hoping that they will see some seismic activity here from johnstown tonight. i have to tell you, though, that even though this is, and pennsylvania has traditionally, in the last few weeks, tilted democratic, they are hoping to see a big shift. we're at a watch party for a state legislator, a republican, who is hoping to become the
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been a democratic seat. they are also hoping to see this in the presidential race. this is trump territory. it's a former steel mill town, people have seen a lot of unemployment, drug problems. they feel like donald trump speaks to them. he was here about a week and a half ago, and boy did they turn out for him, george. tonight, a lot of the folks are saying they are solid by behind him. some democrats have told us that they voted for donald trump. i spoke with one woman who people said they weren't thrilled about this candidate, but they feel that he understands their problems, their pain and their suffering, better than hillary clinton. and they're hoping that this area might somehow ship this state a little bit more and maybe tip it over to the trump column. could be a long night. a lot of folks here excited and we'll see what happens. >> we will. deborah roberts in johnstown, pennsylvania. of course, hillary clinton, david muir, pinning her hopes on philadelphia and those
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suburbs. >> the counties around flori philadelphia. so interesting to hear the president say, i hope the moms and dads out there will think about their daughters, the respect for their daughters, a direct appeal to the moment in the campaign when we heard that audio from that bus. we know this number so far. in the philadelphia suburbs, obama won them by seven points. hillary clinton is winning them by 27 points. if you look at what the voters said about trump and what he said a tape and some of the other behavior towards women, look at this. 71% of pennsylvania voters said it bothered them a lot. only 28% said not at all. so, it would ail peer in the counties around philadelphia, the strategy is working. >> martha, you spent a lot of time in those counties, as well. the clinton campaign pitching directly at women. >> i have to say, johnstown, where deborah roberts is, that's the only place i asked a voter what they thought of having a
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could do that job. back in the philadelphia suburbs, they like hillary clinton. but they don't like her as much as they used to. i mean, the e-mail thing, we were talking about it before, that actually has some resonance in those areas. but again, they like donald trump even less. >> and tom llamas, the philadelphia suburbs, the only place we saw a speech from melania trump. >> that is right. he hoped -- outside of philadelphia, in the suburbs. he hoped that melania couldin trump campaign was worried about all the comments, all the women that came forward in the last few weeks accusing donald trump of sexual harassment, melania was supposed to be is secret weapon. she gave the one speech, we didn't see her again. during your interview, he announced to her she was going to be speaking, it was news to her. we were in pennsylvania yesterday, in scranton, in a dark gymnasium.
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red hats and the crowd was so hangry. they were on fire. and donald trump felt off that, he said one of the most vicious lines about hillary clinton. he said, that is the face of failure. that is the face of a failed foreign policy. >> i want to get to new hampshire in a second. we have a senate race to call and congressman todd young in the state of indiana has defeated evan bayh in that state. evan bayh, a former two-term senator. former this is a real blow to the democrats hopes to take the senate. >> it is. getting senator bayh back into office was a key part of taking the majority. this loss means that pathway is tougher. there's still a shot, but it is getting tougher. >> but you know, this also makes missouri a race to watch, because blunt is the evan bayh of missouri. >> and he's the republican in missouri. >> and he's a republican, so,
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person that's -- jason kander, made his name in the last several months. >> todd young, the challenger, ran a classic -- the democrats recruited evan bayh, chuck schumer did it personally, and they thought this was great, get a two-term governor and two-term senator back. they recruited a de facto incumbent and allowed the republican to run the challenger race for a republican seat. and young was behind and gained 15 points in the last two >> evan bayh got hit for staying in a hotel room instead of his parent wh apartment -- >> if only that worked on the presidential level. >> it will not. >> and look, evan bayh had a 35-point lead at one point, george. this was a great recruit for democrats, or so they thought. but you know, as you said, two terms, congress, two tomorrerms
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republicans are going to retain control of the house, right there. democrats are not going to be able to pick up enough seats to get control of the house. >> not a big surprise. but this means that paul ryan will be the man, we think, i mean, the challenge now is, paul ryan is speaker of the house. he supported donald trump, but refused to campaign with him. a lot of anger on the part of people who supported trump. and he will face a challenge to his speakership. he has control of the congress. republicans who, in the house, who are saying that paul ryan should pay a price for not more fully supporting trump. >> cokie and charlie, you covered the house. this is going to be a real challenge for paul ryan and who the next president is. >> absolutely. paul ryan has been saying over the last couple of days, oh, this is a lot of hype, i'm fine for speaker, everybody's for me, i've been out in all their districts campaigning for them. and that does count for a lot,
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very much opposed to him, and he's got to placate them at the same time that he'll be under pressure if there's a democratic president, to work with her. and so, it's going to be a lot of tugging on him to come. >> and then he's got to factor in, as well, charlie gibson, does he want to be president of the united states, and speaker is not the place to do it from. >> is there a question about whether he runs for president? i can answer that one with one word, too. but he has a devilish problem. and basically, finesse the trump problem, as to whether he would support donald trump or not, by simply going out and saying, i care about my members, i'm going to go out and do everything i can for them. he really worried about his on constituency in the house. but it's a devilishly difficult group to manage. as john boehner learned when he was speaker of the house. so, ryan's problems aren't going to go away. >> even if he retains control, if he has a smaller majority right there, and tom llamas, its will be one challenge to work
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trump. there is no question that donald trump was irritated throughout this campaign by paul ryan. >> george, it was the strangest political relationship. almost like love affair in junior high, like, did they break up, are they back together? two weeks ago, i interviewed donald trump and i asked him what he thought about paul ryan, he said one of the reasons he wasn't supporting him is because he thought paul ryan wanted to run for president. republicans were so upset over that. reince priebus, from wisconsin, paul ryan's state, tried to hard to mend tha trump campaign deciding to pull out of wisconsin. they didn't go there in the final days. and i can't remember, and jon karl can help me out there, did they ever appear together in public? >> they never appeared on stage together. not once. this is -- and it's an unbelievable relationship, because trump was, you know, had ryan at his convention, ryan was -- >> the chair of the convention. >> the chair of the convention, and they didn't appear together. >> even when they met in washington, you saw the shot of them going in.
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face a serious challenge to his -- >> george, one of the things that we're seeing tonight, three big check marks to be checked tonight in the politics in washington. the republicans just made a big check mark. they retained the house of representatives. they are starting to look like, they just won a seat in indiana that nobody expected them to win in the course of this, that's beginning to see where it goes. so, the idea that the republican party was gone, there was an anchor on it, they retain most of the governorships, they now retain the house and the senate. so, this is a country still governed by two political parties. >> and mary bruce is in wisconsin, the home of the speaker of the house, paul ryan. mary, what's happening there? >> you know, george, paul ryan is a bit superstitious when it comes to election days. he has a ritual, he goes hunting. he did that today. he's hoping the good luck will carry over, and he's going to need it. regardless of what happens tonight with the presidential election, paul ryan's future is
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line. if donald trump does not win, if hillary clinton does, paul ryan could face huge, tremendous challenges regardless. he is going to be the most powerful republican standing in the house, if hillary clinton does, in fact, win. he could be an instant 2020 contender, and that means he's going to have to find some kind of way to show the republicans in congress can get something done, why dealing with the push-back that he could be getting from members of his own party who could point a finger tonight. >> you'll be covering the house for us. i want to go back to the battleground board. and one of the key states right there is the state of new hampshire, polls have closed in the state of new hampshire, as well. don't have enough votes to project a winner right there, but jon karl, this is a small state. only four electoral votes, but on this electoral map in this year, it packs a powerful punch. >> absolutely. another one of those states that's on donald trump's path to getting exactly 270 electoral votes. he spent a lot of time there.
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ways, the state that gave us donald trump republican nominee. remember, he lost iowa, came in second, and then he came in and had that huge victory in new hampshire, which propelled him into south carolina and onto the nomination. he's been largely behind in the public polls in new hampshire, almost throughout the course of this campaign, since the convention. this is a tough state for them. >> the republican debate in new hampshire, such a key moment in that campaign. that was the debate where chris christie. he was rising in this race for -- before that happened. >> he punched himself in the chin. >> he was repeating his argument against president obama. >> how many times was it? >> three times. three times. as a moderator, you let him do it and let the voters notice it themselves. governor chris christie noticed it, he was across the stage. as he was repeating himself, i look over at christie, he looks
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i'm not in the game with you. >> there he goes again. robot. >> he brought up governor christie's name. so, we went to the governor next. >> that was pivotal. >> the other -- the other reason new hampshire so important. i want to bring this to cecilia vega, as well. if hillary clinton can hold onto the state of new hampshire, then donald trump is almost certainly going to have to flip one of those other big blue states right across the stop of the midwest. >> absolutely. and you've seen her concentrate on new hampshire a lot recently, in fact, she had a rally there not too long massachusetts senator elizabeth warren. this is bernie sanders' backyard. you go back to that primary, the hard-fought primary she lost in that state and now she's trying to turn it to her camp. she is, this is one of the states where we saw her reach out to millennial voters, where she really struggled with that. interesting to see how this works out for her tonight. the clinton camp is watching this state closely. >> more senate news, coming from the state of illinois. and this is a pickup for the democrats. congresswoman tammy duckworth, a
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senator mark kirk, he was seeking a second term. you see it right there. tammy duckworth, that is a pickup for the democrats. they need four, if hillary clinton wins the white house to control the senate, five if she doesn't. that is the first pickup there for the senate democrats, and stephanie, that was one that was long expected. >> long expected. she has been running very strong there for some time, against mark kirk, incumbent senator. and recently, they've had some explosions over racial comments he's made. so, she really tied up the race in the past couple of weeks. the probability of her wins was only going up. >> the democrats plus-one right now. and while we're here, let's go back to florida. that state, so important, how much do we have in right now? >> well, it is close. 48% clinton, 49% trump. trump has been gaining here. 91% of the precincts reporting, but zoom in here a little bit.
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right now in florida, it's the county of valucia county. this is a county that romney won, but barely. he had 111,000 votes. i'm on brevard, i'm sorry. there it is. you have 140,0 volusia county. 30,000 more votes docked than mitt romney in 2012. florida, we have 10% of the state to count. this is, i think, going to be very close. look back at miami-dade county, again, this is the big overwhelmingly democratic largely hispanic county, and we have 91% reporting, so, we'll have -- >> and what is the vote, with 91% in there, what is the vote gap? >> the vote gap is almost 30
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fact, if you look at our exit polls, she is outperforming brk w barack obama among hispanic votes. 29% ahead. obama won by 21%. so, she's significantly -- doing significantly better. >> have to take another quick break. more results coming in. we'll be right back. >> back live in times square
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back now, election night 2016. let's take a look at where things stand. put up the scoreboard of the electoral votes won by each of the candidates right now. 68 for hillary clinton, 66 for donald trump. couldn't be closer right now. let's take a look at those battleground states, the 12 battleground states we are following closely. let's pull up one of the key jon karl what are we seeing? >> this is a battleground that trump had been winning in virtually every public poll coming into this election. but if you look at this right now, there's only about a third of the state that's been voted, but hillary clinton has a narrow lead and there are signs of trouble for donald trump. take for instance, delaware county. delaware county, which is right above columbus. this is a county that mitt romney won by more than 20 points. if you look at it right now, donald trump has barely a one-point lead in delaware
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matthew dowd, this is key, as well. as donald trump continues to do, hang in there in florida, maybe gets the win in florida, if h hillary clinton wins in ohio, that cancels it out. >> donald trump, i mean, what's fascinating to me is, she's running up in their margins in all the places that she needed to in florida, and other places and he's running up his margins in all the places he needed to. so, that's why we're seeing such a competitive race. >> alex, races in florida. >> a lot of races. if you look at the northern counties, nonurban areas, there seems to be a bit of a trump wave. those counties are dramatically overperforming for trump. if that's true in other places like ohio and north carolina, we ought to keep an eye on some of the rural counties, because they may help balance the scales. >> trump overperforming up in the north, clinton overperforming down in the south. >> so, what happens in the i-4
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i'm showing donald trump losing it by 24 points. doing worse in some of the counties. bear in mind, what's interesting about orange is that you have a real big influx of folks coming from puerto rico. these are folks who are u.s. citizens, they can vote. the latino population in florida is not just about the cuban vote in miami-dade. it's becoming more diverse. this is a big reason why this central florida maybe be tougher for donald trump this time around. >> and also changing in florida. >> right, it is, the younger generation. the younger generation is different from alex's generation, which is different from alex's parents generation. you mentioned that trump's overperforming in the north and hillary clinton in the south, the electorate is overperforming. just looking at the raw numbers here, we're going to have a massive turnout in the competitive battleground states. for all the talk about how unfavorably viewed they both were, going to be a low turnout election -- we must have the
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sweating out florida results. what are you looking at right now? >> looks like we're going to be sweating it out again. i think it's going to be very close. there's still a good sizable vote out in the miami-dade area, which could bring her over the top. i also think in the i-4 corridor, it's increase in latino votes, but this is an area where, in the suburbs, we can see the white college educated women come outn that's part of the story in florida that we haven't seen yet. >> want to go back to robin roberts, there with brian fallon from the clinton campaign. >> you've been very patient, standing here with us. watching intently, listening intently what are you hearing and how are you feeling about florida right now? >> well, a state like florida is important, but it's important to keep it in perspective. there is a large portion of the vote still out in southern florida. looking at miami-dade and brow ward, where you are seeing a
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we're outperforming president obama in many key counties in florida. if we do win florida, the story of it will be the surge you've seen in the latino vote. to the point just made on the panel, we had a very targeted strategy, recognizing that the latino vote is not a monolith. we've talked to the puerto rican community, the cuban community, and the mexican community, when you look at a state like nevada. we have taken a s but while florida is important in terms of if donald trump loses it, very hard to see how he could get to 270, it's not going to be decisive for him just if he ones florida. he's going to have to run the table. not just win florida, win ohio, win north carolina and then paul off a michigan or a pennsylvania, and right now, the latter two states, michigan and pennsylvania, we feel very good about. >> you want to talk about, quickly about the stage here. >> the stage is symbolic, too. it's cut out in the shape of the
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it's because hillary clinton tonight, when she speaks, she's going to talk about how she wants to be president for everybody, not just those who voted for her. >> all right, brian, thank you very much.
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panera. food as it should be. >> live from wcvb, this is an election coverage update. >> welcome back. results still pouring in as polls continue to close nationwide. >> massachusetts has been called for hillary clinton. she's also taken vermont,
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columbia, new jersey, delaware, illinois, and rhode island. >> donald trump has been declared the winner in several states including indiana, kentucky, west virginia, mississippi, south carolina, tennessee and oklahoma. in connection with news is also projecting republicans will retain control of the u.s. house. in just a matter of minutes a number of states will close. another key race is the you senate race going on in new hampshire, and david is live in concord right now at the david? >> i'm told that kelly ayotte is here at her election headquarters. tonight she's in a private room watching some of the first results to come in. here in the ballroom, several supporters gathered. no visible reaction so far showing early results, hassan in the league. there are a few donald trump signs in the room but remember ayotte did not endorse donald trump and said she did not plan
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>> david, thank you. man what's going on there? >> just a few moments ago, when the crowd saw the latest poll numbers indicating that maggie had the lead over senator ayotte, of course, this is early in the vote count, those numbers will change. a good number of people here waiting for the arrival of the governor. she was nearby watching. so far, good attitude fort
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back live in times square. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> it's 9:00 p.m. here on the east coast. the polls have just closed in 14 more states. let's put up the scoreboard, look at where things donald trump with 127 electoral votes, hillary clinton with 97. we're paying so much attention to battleground states. and let's look at florida, there you see it. just about 100,000 votes separate donald trump and hillary clinton. and rebecca jarvis, you've seen an interesting development? >> with the polls so close,
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in the -- [ inaudible ] >> rebecca's microphone went off. you're seeing a selloff in the mexican peso. >> yes, about 1% -- >> we'll come back to you. and jon karl, the votes are so close right now. >> it's unbelievably tight. trump votes. but i think hillary clinton will bounce back. miami-dade county, 93% of votes in. but in broward county, went overwhelmingly for barack obama
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p precincts reporting. >> and north carolina, about 4,000 votes separate them. another one of the changing states. >> well, the halfway point between raleigh durham, is apex. in 2000, it was 90% white. the hispanic population is up 40%, the black population, up 80%, asian pacific up 60%. so, this is no longer jesse helms' north carolina. and donald trump had three offices in north carolina, hillary clinton had 33. >> and texas, 38 electoral
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on the board. and donald trump, the projected winner. matthew dowd, democrats hope the state is changing, but not quite yet. >> yes, there was a huge increase in latino vote, but it seems to have trended back. i think what you're going to see is a less of a margin a typical republican gets, but it's still kansas, six electoral votes. republican dominated the state, it goes again to the republican, donald trump. state of nebraska, five electoral votes. donald trump, only projected to win four.
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the second district, it's a place that the clinton team is very hopeful to pick up. >> they paid some attention to omaha. >> and not just omaha, states they never paid attention to before. arizona, who would have ever thought we would be talking about arizona. texas, they had hopes there. they were even looking at utah. this map has changed for them. they have their we will see. >> a lot of red there right now. south dakota, three electoral votes there. that will go republican as well. only voted for democrats in four presidential elections, the last time in 1964. north dakota, their three electoral votes go to donald trump as well. and wyoming, three electoral votes, that goes to donald trump
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country, straight down the middle, you have a line of red. right there for donald trump, across the south also. a few states for hillary clinton, and one in blue, the state of new york, 29 electoral votes. goes to hillary clinton, voted democrat in every election since 1984. tom llamas, at the beginning, donald trump kept tal winning his home state. >> he said he was going to win new york, he said he felt the people of new york would go for donald trump. the only campaigning he did was around trump tower and manhattan. we just got word mike pence is on his way, and we bet they're watching florida, florida, florida, right now. >> and a lot of states we can't
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five electoral votes, the democrats hoping for a win there. part of their solid blue wall. before 2008, it was a swing state. the democrats had been counting on it. and donald trump had a real feud there with the republican governor. minnesota, ten electoral votes, not enough data coming in yet to project that one. that was a state that donald trump made a late play for. one of the things we saw, tom, they thought to wisconsin, trump saw polls, and went elsewhere. >> they put together a last-mineral last-minute rally in minneapolis. it was one of their biggest ones, during a vikings game. >> that's a solid blue state, going democrat every single
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>> false hopes, it's a tough state for republican. >> it is a tough state for republica republicans. but let's go to the battlegrounds. florida. >> florida, florida, florida. i mentioned in the beginning, the state that's been the bellwether has been hillsboro county. ta hillsboro county, hillary clinton has a big lead. that doesn't mean it's going to continue to be a bellwether, but it's always been one. overall in florida, the count is incredibly tight. it's still donald trump with a slight lead, but as i mentioned, a lot of democratic votes still to be counted. >> polls just closed in other battleground states. michigan, 16 electoral votes,
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matthew dowd. michigan has also been one of the states, like pennsylvania, republicans towards the end think, this is one we can get. >> they looked at the limited nature of the map for donald trump, the places where he could win the election, he needed to flip a blue state. they went for wisconsin, pennsylvania, then settled on michigan. then the clinton folks got nervous about it bunch of surrogates there in the last days. it's a state that's divided. detroit will vote overwhelmingly for hillary clinton, and the rest of the state will vote for donald trump. >> david kerley is there. what are you seeing? >> exactly what matthew is talking about. the trump campaign believes it's all about turnout. they were hoping to get people out in the rural areas, and that
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crack this blue wall. and the campaign was hoping the african-american vote would be lower. it was only 2% lower according to the exit polls. and 2 out of 10 voters were white educated women, and clinton is winning them by ten points. not a lot of votes counted here, but hillary clinton has the lead at this hour. david muir, jobs are always such a big issue in the upper midwest. >> yes, and that's sometng capitalize on. voters were asked what do you think about your job situation, 39%, better, 26%, about the same, 25% worse. and the president and hillary clinton were there the last 24 hours, they wanted to do the early voting states first. what we couldn't find out, were they truly worried about michigan in the final days?
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will wish they had a better ground game there all along. > we have another call, we can say abc news can project that donald trump will win the state of arkansas. it's been a republican state, and it's going to go to donald trump, battlegrounds in the upper midwest. wisconsin, ten electoral votes. tough state for donald trump in the primaries. he lost that state to ted cruz, we don't have enough votes to call that right now. and bill kristol, this is a state where the conservatives never warmed to donald trump.
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just didn't like him. >> it's the mormons in utah, and the midwesterners in wisconsin that resisted donald trump the most. and paul ryan's state, he will be under great pressure from within his conference. but if the republicans hold the house, don't win the presidency, and maybe lose the senate, paul ryan is the one guy that came through. people like me criticized him for being too nice to bei being too accommodating, if he preserves the majority, he could be the most valuable republican of the night. and connecticut, hillary clinton winning the seven electoral votes. 104 for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. and another battleground state, colorado, 9 electoral votes in
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voted democrat in 2008 and 2012. and matthew dowd, colorado, strategists look at virginia and colorado as a pair. the states tend to go the same way. >> i think we're going to see them going in the same way. virginia is close, colorado will be close. another state where the divisions within the state, denver andbo different from the rest of the state. and just like places like florida, michigan, these geographic pots of votes each side is getting and turning out. >> another battleground state, the state of arizona, with its 11 electoral votes. clinton team went there late, michelle obama, spent some money there, even though it's been a solid red state. >> yes, a democrat hasn't won in 20 years.
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were hoping the latino vote would come out. colorado, a state they thought they had locked in early on, and went back towards the end and started pouring more ad money in there. arizona, they think they had this locked in. >> they don't need arizona, but that would be big news there. they would love the state of florida. going to stay on the state of florida, because it's so close. what are you seeing, unbelievably tight. can i give you one on colorado since i'm right here? this is jefferson county, colorado. a key swing county, western denver suburbs. she's outperforming barack obama, so that's a good sign. but florida, we're still
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lead. but let's check the counties outside of miami. broward county, overwhelmingly democratic county, 48% reporting, still over half to be counted. >> so, we're going to have this race, the panhandle versus broward county, getting in the last several votes. >> i think it's going to come down to a few thousand votes. we saw that in a lot of the polls, florida is one of the pivot states, all the polls, some had donald trump or hillary clinton ahead, but they were all within a point. and it looks like florida will be within a point.
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welcome back to abc news coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> we're back in times square. let's look at where the map stands. 104 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. the magic number, 27 let's check in with amy robach, at trump headquarters tonight. >> that's right. we're seeing a very different scene than about 30 minutes ago. a lot of cheers, a lot of energy as the results start to come in. anytime someone starts talking about florida, you hear the crowd erupt with usa, usa. smiles, laughing, something i
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people are becoming a lot more hopeful than earlier in the evening. >> and matthew dowd, he's in the game. donald trump is in the game if he can put out that state of florida. >> yes, he's definitely in the game. if she won florida, slam dunk, there's really no path for him. florida is the pillar of the game he needs to keep running. florida, north carolina, then ro >> but not hillary clinton. not pivotal for her. >> show the states he's got to win. >> it's basically 12 battleground states. looking at the one going into today, hillary clinton had a lead. she's already got over 270. what trump has to do, win all the ones we had as toss-ups,
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then a traditionally blue state, like nevada. >> and as we watch florida and north carolina, two states so close between hillary clinton and donald trump, if he manages to win the two states, then he has to find some ofhe off. >> if he's not going to win in nevada and new hampshire, he has to get one of the biggies. one of them, the state of michigan. it's a state that democrats feel good about, but were the most nervous, you could say about any of the industrial, midwest states. >> and david, one of the signs why donald trump is hanging in in florida?
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looking at women voters in florida, zeroing in on the exit polls. clinton getting 51% of the women voters with trump's 44%. in florida, of all the battlegrounds, is where she's performing at this level, surpassing this level in every other battleground. >> and sign of nervousness in the democratic camp in michigan. take us through the states they're worried about in the midwest? >> in michigan, they do think it's going to be much closer than 2012. they think white, college educated white women will bring them over the top. looks like the african-american vote is down a little bit in michigan, and the rural vote is significantly higher than it was
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in ohio, much of their early vote was very good in ohio, outperforming where president obama was. some bellwethers are not in yet. much of is areas outside of cleveland and cincinnati. and in pennsylvania, they feel very good about pennsylvania. from all signs, traditional philadelphia are going for her in very strong ways. that's a strong sign for what happens across the state. >> and florida may be telling us about the future of other states. hillary doing well in the i-4 corridor, that may mean she'll do well in florida. and trump may do well in michigan.
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>> live, this is a commitment 2016 election update. >> welcome back to our special coverage here on election day. >> election results continue to pour in from all across the nation tonight. >> first up, let's talk about what's going on here in massachusetts. starting to come in, the all important ballot questions in
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the ballot questions are right at the top. question two, right now, no is leading question two but look at the reporting numbers. only 11% in right now. >> question four, the ballot question that would legalize recreational marijuana here in massachusetts. very close as expected. at this point with 10% of the precincts reporting, we have a very close race there. >> to the national map, donald trump picking up several more you including texas, kansas, and both north dakota and south dakota. >> hillary clinton has tonight new york and connecticut in addition to massachusetts, emergency, delaware an several other states. the electoral votes stand, donald trump at 129, 104 for hillary clinton. 270 is the number to hit. an awfully close race going on in florida. abc news is predicting republicans will retain cell of
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here's more from new york city with an update from the clinton' lex headquarters, ben? ben: we're inside the javitz center on the west side of manhattan. this crowd has certainly mellowed out over the last hour. they were pretty boisterous around 8:00 when the results first started coming in but they have since become more mellow as we're seeing what are very tight races in florida, virginia, north carolina, looks like trump will win in ohio. he's ahead by a couple of hu a lot of people here were expecting or hoping for an early evening so they could witness history here. the first female being elected president of the united states. that's new york senator chuck schumer. secretary clinton's colleague in the center. he's at the podium outside the javitz center. a huge crowd gathered. secretary clinton is about a mile and a half away. as she watches these results in midtown at the peninsula hotel on fifth avenue.
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wcvb, newscenter 5. >> that's where we find j.c. live with the trump camp. hi. >> good afternoon -- good evening now, maria and ed. yes, i'm at the hilton midtown manhattan. the ball room is full now. and this crowd is definitely energized. there was a real calm earlier in the evening and now you can feel the energy building. every time one of too close to call. the crowd goes -- enthusiastically screaming, and on top of that, chanting usa. those are the things that have been happening since we last checked in. florida, should that state be called tonight, i can tell you, the mood in this room will go dramatically one way or the other. they are watching that race in particular very closely. donald trump and his family are watching all of this develop back at trump towers where he
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tonight. it's a matter of what kind of speech he'll give at that time. live in new york city, wcvb, newscenter 5. >> mike pence, the governor of indy in, has made his way to new york city so he's there with him as well. one more look at the electoral college map. 129 to 104. nebraska is colored that way because it's split electoral college just like maine. keep that in the back of your mind, if florida is within half a percentage stand by for that as well as that could prolong things. >> we've seen that happen before. >> so we're waiting for more numbers on these ballot races here in massachusetts. we're waiting for the final numbers up for that contentious senate race up in new hampshire. and we just showed you our mobile app which has you covered wherever you are. watch us an look at your app at the same time.
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and we're back now, 9:30 p.m. in the east. election 2016. let's look at where things stand right now. 104 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 129 for donald and let's go right to jon karl for the latest on florida. >> it's as tight as it's been. donald trump still has a lead, a significant lead. but again, as i mentioned before, the miami area, specifically the county just above miami, broward county, this is an overwhelmingly democratic county.
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hillary clinton can still harvest enough votes there. >> how much vote is in so far? >> the overall vote, about 90%. let's take a look, overall. 94% of the vote in florida is in. >> and you have it a little bit more than 100,000-vote lead for donald trump. and north carolina, let's see where that stands. there it is right there, 49% for donald trump. about a 60,000-vote lead in north carolina for donald trump. >> multiple states are going to go down to the wire, we may not even be decided by this evening. it's going to be a close race. >> one state that hillary
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let's pull that up. there you see, donald trump ahead there. about 78,000 to about 76,000 in the state of new hampshire. >> and new hampshire is a state that is critical to one of donald trump's path, and, george, incredibly close. >> and another one that's close, the state of michigan. blue state of michigan, as we said, a lot of attention votes over hillary clinton. and cecilia vega, this has to be unnerving the clinton camp a little bit. >> they were a little uncertain about michigan going in. they thought they had it in the bag, then got nervous and went back. hillary clinton, former president clinton, president obama was there. this is a state they want to
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it. and the issue of trade has come up, especially in the primaries with bernie sanders and her issue on tpp, and her flip-flop, as he would say, on that. it's been used to illustrate what her opponents would say, inconsistencies, hillary clinton's willingness to change what she says. >> and another state coming in eight electoral votes coming in for donald trump. and you're seeing the map fill in red across the south. and down the middle of the country. tom llamas, what are you hearing from the trump camp? >> right now, the campaign is buoyant, feeling happy. there is a tweet, eric trump tweeted out a picture of trump with governor mike pence in their headquarters, they're
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what they're seeing. we'll see where it goes from here. >> but right now, this could be, as you were saying, moatthew, a very, very long night. >> we're seeing donald trump overperform in a lot of places that people had questions about. but he's in many places, setting records in rural areas. >> alex? >> the missing trump voter that they've shown up. in rural america, voting in intense levels. that may mean he can hang on in north carolina, and maybe in michigan. if he can do that and keep arizona, that would get trump to 275. >> martha? >> and i saw enthusiasm for trump in the rural areas. they were concerned in ohio and pennsylvania that they could get the vote out.
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because there's no organization there, but in the last couple of days, they saw that ramp up. i traveled around, trump signs all over the place. they were doing it themselves, people would put signs in front of their houses. and in those areas, the economy is very, very important. it's the number one issue, for example, in ohio. and that's where trump is leading, among worried about the economy. >> and this is the exit poll in michigan, look at this. donald trump, 54%, to hillary clinton, 39%. this could illustrate the
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>> and here's why they're smiling. if you look at the key states, new hampshire, michigan, north carolina, and florida, right now, they're still counting votes. but right now, in florida, he still has that slight lead. in north carolina, he has the lead, very close. in new hampshire, looks like he has a chance to do something in new hampshire. and michigan, only 18% of the votes counted, but he's off to anar folks at trump headquarters. florida, back to the ever-important county of broward county. 75% of precincts reporting. more than 200,000 potential democratic votes still to be counted there. >> and hillary clinton has been there four times in the last few
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florida, they've invested in ads and visits. one of the most traveled-to states since early voting began. trying to lock in the early vote, build up a firewall against donald trump. try to lock in the voters. we talked about the i-4 corridor, and the demographic has shifted there. cubans, puerto there. >> and there's this real split between rural and city areas. >> yes, a middle school mock election in new bethlehem, pennsylvania, trump gets 86% of the vote from the kids.
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country together? and they said no, we have to split the country. and i said, we tried that, it didn't really work. on june 23rd, i stayed up all night in london, covering the brexit thing. at first, they looked like lost it, then more results come in. i have a sense of deja vu happening here. >> byron pitts? >> i'm fascinated by the change in america, in 1967, a commission came out that said, there are two americas, one black, one white. now it seems we've gone in a different direction.
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america is better for them. there are more black people in college, life expeexpectancy ha increased, but for rural working class white america, seems like they're unhappy. >> they've been stuck for a long time. and one way to put budweiser america. >> yes, the 22 states you can look at hillary clinton carrying, 16 of hers are in the top half of starbucks. donald trump's, 18 of his 25 are in the bottom half, low starbucks. that's why this is the last election that republicans can try to win with the old white
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election. so, the challenge for republican, we need to be a party that appeals to more americans than just that. how do we appeal to the i-4 corridor, the younger, educated voters. >> mary? >> i think it's going to be hard to appeal to those voters when you don't have any understanding of urban america. when you, the only thing you can say about american cities is cesspools, almost 90% of the population lives in cities and metro areas. it's no mistake, this is going to be a city versus rural vote. >> and jon, let's also look at another battleground state, virginia. one that hillary clinton is
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>> this one looks tight, too. 79% reporting, and donald trump still has the lead in virginia. i should caution once again, we see the democratic counties coming in slower. maybe one of the most important, fairfax county. just north of d.c. 80% reporting, clinton has a 33-point lead. would have thought. >> i want to bring in donna brazile. the chair of the democratic national committee. how worried are you with the close states? >> we're still confident that will are lots of votes that still haven't been counted. lots of votes in traditional
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i've talked to the team back at the headquarters in brooklyn. we know based on what we've heard early in the day, with the kind of lines we saw, not just in durham and north carolina, the lines that we knew existed in detroit, the lines in pennsylvania, at the end of the night, i'm confident, maybe it's too early to count all of the votes, but as soon as they're all counted, we'll see the democrats will overcome s the shortages we're witnessing right now. >> i had some people telling me they're sensing some weakness in flint and detroit. >> earlier today, some of the voters we rely on, they tend not to vote before 4:30 p.m., 5:00 p.m. i was on several radio stations encouraging people to stay in line. detroit, flint, earlier today, it was slow, steady.
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afternoon. the last message i had an hour ago was to remind people to stay in line. they have the right to vote, if they stay in line. >> and you remember well, the days of the recount in florida. are we headed that direction again? >> i hope not. but if that happens, we're prepared in florida and any other state for that outcome. but right now, what happens in broward and west palm beach. i'm optimistic, even if we can't overcome that big hurdle, we still believe there are enough votes out there, before we start popping the champagne. >> and donald trump has been bringing it up over the last several days, what was revealed in the wikileaks, any regrets
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>> as you know, i've never had access to questions. as a strategist, i work with topics, trend lines, but the event they claim the debate questions, as you well know, it was a forum. i have enough time to make my case, but right now, i'm focused like everybody else on the campaign. making sure every voter in line stays in there are still votes to come in all across the country for hillary clinton. we're expecting a big night tonight. >> and paula faris in miami, we talked about the possibility of a recount. walk us through what procedures are in place. >> i don't mean to give everybody in the studio immediate indigestion, it is
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recount. if the differential is 0.5%, it will be ordered by the secretary of state, and will be completed by next thursday by 3:00 p.m. these are the rules in place, 50,000 votes. and right now, they're still coming in from democratic-heavy broward county. 50,000 votes, autic for a mandatory recount. >> and you're seeing something in virginia? >> well, jon has been talking about the northern virginia vote. you get so caught up in the numbers. the tightening, it's just an amazingly close situation. virginia is now an example of it. >> it's a state that the trump campaign has essentially written off weeks ago.
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the assumption was that hillary clinton had a big advantage. >> they had stopped advertising there. >> and let's not forget were tim kaine is from. he's the senator of the state. i would love to hear from someone in the clinton campaign about this. >> tim kaine has never lost a race in virginia. coming up, ten states still we'll be back with you live when
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and night 2016, coming up on 10:00 p.m. in the east. let's look at where things stand in the electoral college. 104 for hillary clinton, 137 for donald trump. you need 270 win. and jon karl, so many close battleground states right now. >> florida, north carolina,virginia, michigan, surprisingly close, and new hampshire.
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stand. in florida, donald trump still has a lead. north carolina, donald trump has a lead. in virginia, donald trump has a lead. a lot of democratic votes still to be counted in northern virginia. but virginia will be incredibly close. whether or not he wins, it will be cleoser than anybody thought. in michigan, a state with only 21% in >> and matthew, these states are all so close. coming into the race tonight, it looked like hillary clinton, a convergence of national polls had her at about a 4% lead. >> i had her at about 5%. but what we're seeing, a divergence between the national numbers, and the possibility that hillary clinton could win
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percentage, four or five points, and possibly by a few thousand votes. we have no idea what will happen in the electoral college. >> if donald trump wins in three or four states, he becomes president. florida, north carolina, virginia, or florida,north carolina, and michigan, he's there. >> if he wins one of the states up in the north, michigan, pennsylvania, he has a real possibility right there. cokie, we were seeing going into it, and from what we were seeing earlier this evening. and a complete reversal in terms of the electoral college going for her, and maybe the popular vote going for him. that was an earlier theory. and what it is is, the rural votes getting out. it's the non-college educated people getting out.
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america has left them out and left them behind, economically and culturally. and they're ready to show their distaste for the current country. >> charlie? >> what's dismaying about this, to me, looking at this from a distance, the disparities in so many groups. such a difference between urban and rural, men and women. such a difference between college educated and not. between whites and it's dismaying, the polarity these groups. >> and asking the question, what candidate is qualified to be president, honest, trustworthy,
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5% say both. 2% say both are honest and trustworthy. they're not willing to give an inch to the other side. >> tom llamas? >> charlie's point of the two americas theory. i want to tell a story from michigan. exit polls say 50% say trade kills jobs. and i was at a rally, a guy he said i'm an auto worker, the union bosses are going for hillary clinton, the guys on the floor are going for donald trump. >> and rebecca jarvis? >> trump has pulled ahead in the polls, we've seen a selloff in
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behind, stocks pick up. and the closer we see things look, the dow is down 500 points. >> polls about to close in four more states. 21 electoral votes up for grabs. we'll be right back.
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>> hi, everybody, welcome back to our special election day coverage, results from the presidential race continue to pour in from all across the nation. >> here's a quick look.
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electoral count right now. he's at 137 and she has 104. indiana and west virginia, south carolina and kentucky. >> hillary clinton has taken massachusetts, new york, new jersey, maryland, and a handful of other states. florida, key battleground state. it's still too close to call even at this hour. take a look at this picture. this is our first look at donald trump as he watches as the returns come in. he's standing right next to indiana governor mike pence. this photo tweeted by his daughter showing the trump family and the pence family in new york city. >> let's talk about what's going on in our back yard. keeping a close eye on ballot questions. question two would expand charter schools in massachusetts. still at this hour, with 26% reporting, it is at no. >> question four, let's take a look. this is the one about legalizing
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table with 25% of those reporting. yes, with a 6% lead, 25% in. another important race unfolding at this hour is the senate race in new hampshire, maggie is hoping to unseat republican kelly ayotte and the results are thin. holding on to a 2% lead with 333% of the vote in right now. it's one of the most closely watched and one of the costliest. the mobile app has you covered wherever you are. you can find those real-time we'll have the ballot questions there. the updated electoral college counts, and any changes to the balance of power in congress. >> we'll be back with another update. just about half an hour from now right on channel 5. we'll go live to me tv to columbia river the news at 10:00 for you as well.
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welcome back to abc news coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> and it is 10:00 p.m. here on the east coast in times square. let's take a look at where things stand right now in this very close race for president. there you see it. hillary clinton has 104 elra you need 270. polls have just closed in four more states with 21 e telectora votes, and donald trump has won the state of montana. republicans carried that state in all but one election, 1992. since 1964. but it is going to donald trump, the republican this time around. and three electoral votes. polls have closed in the state of iowa, one of our battleground states. not enough vote in to say yet what's going to happen there
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2004. close in both 2000 and 2004. barack obama won it twice. tough state for hillary clinton. we don't have enough votes in there to project yet. the state of utah, not usually a battleground. usually solid red. but you've got hillary clinton, donald trump, gary johnson, of course, evan mcmullin, hometown favorite there, running, as well. a mormon in a very heavily mormon state. not enough votes to call that yet, but we are keeping an eye on the very, very close including nevada. another battleground state. six electoral votes. not enough to project yet. a lot of early vote in that state. last voted republican in 2004 for george w. bush. not enough to project, though. cecilia, want to bring you in on this, because we did see a heavy latino vote and early vote in nevada. democrats had been encouraged by that. >> one of the most encouraging signs for the clinton campaign this weekend coming into election day. a market, a latino market in las
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hours to vote to cast a vote. we saw a really strong ground game from the clinton campaign in states like nevada and one number that jumps out at me as we headed into election day, the clinton campaign says early voting started, knocked on and made phone calls, they contacted 45 million people. this is a well oiled very well paid for machine that they've got going into this election day and they're banking on that right now. especially in states like nevada. b in florida, but boy -- >> i don't know, george. look at this. it's still very close. donald trump with 130,000-plus vote lead and i've been talking a lot about broward county, just north of miami. look what's happening there. 98% of the vote is in. and donald trump still has a big lead in the state of florida. it looks to me like he is trending towards winning the state of florida. >> tom llamas, what are they saying in the trump war room?
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the trump campaign is sending out more and more photos of thumb's up, donald trump smiling inside that room. i have one text, this is a wild night. and the mood is energetic and upbeat. >> amy robach, you're at the new york hilton, where trump campaign hoping to celebrate tonight. >> that's right. and there are a lot of people already celebrating here, a lot of shouting, a lot of chanting. and we've heard from inside that aide telling us that the mood in that room could be summed up with one word. fireworks. another one, intense. and we have tweets showing inside, actually, trump's d.c. brand new hotel, popping champagne already. people are in the mood to celebrate. and certainly at trump headquarters, we are waiting for him to make his way to the hilton. we don't know when that's going to be, but a dramatic shift in mood here in the past hour.
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closely, as these returns come in. >> robin roberts, what are we seeing at the javits center? >> well, just as amy said, a drastic shift in the mood here at the javits center. though people are trying to stay upbeat -- and you can hear every time -- they just saw that she's the projected winner in new mexico, and so they are very happy about that. but earlier, george, they were playing music, it was a very upbeat scene. and then, when the race started getting tighter and going in the way of donald trump, they results up on the big screen, they kept changing from different networks and it was so quiet, as people were intently listening to the commentary, as well. so, you could hear the cheers, because of new mexico, but they're trying to remain optimistic, but in all honesty, there has been quite a shift here in the last hour or so, george. >> okay, robin roberts. we are not ready to project the state of new mexico yet.
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what do we see in the state of v.a. sla? >> looks like hillary clinton has pulled ahead. the northern counties near washington, especially fairfax, that vote is coming in. hillary clinton is pulling ahead in virginia. but i think the state that we're going to be watching, if trump takes florida, the state that it will all come down to, i believe, is the state of michigan. >> michigan. >> because, matthew dowd, if krm donald trump holds onto florida, he's leading in north carolina, leading in ohio. we don't have enough vote in four. all he really needs is one more of the big blue states from the democrats. >> yeah, and jon's right. i think as we move forward, as we, this comes in, if this sticks with the way the numbers are, as we know, these always are a few thousand votes, it becomes the great state of michigan, could ultimately decide the presidency. >> stephanie cutter, nervousness in the democratic camp? i guess that answers the question. >> in this camp.
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going to be closer. there's -- it's -- there's -- even though we believe florida is leaning in trump's direction, there's still some vote out. and there's big democratic counties that have yet to report in michigan. and i think this is just going to be later than anybody thought. i think she's still favored to win. >> david muir, what do you have in michigan? >> take a look at this. tom llamas was talking about this earlier. when trump pounded this issue during his visits to michigan. 50% of the voters in michigan said the trade deals takes away jobs here in america. only 31% said the trade deals create more jobs. and look at this. when you break it down, with other countries, take away jobs, if you feel like your frightened about these trade deals, that the jobs disappear because of them, the breakdown is very clear. you went with donald trump, 57% to -- >> jon, i want to go to you in a
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abc news can project that donald trump has won the state of missouri. gone blue only twice in the last four decades. both times for bill clinton in 1992 and 1996. donald trump, republican, wins the state of missouri. right now, filling in the red across that map. martha raddatz? >> i just want to say, we keep talking about this divide in america. the divide is about opportunity. and you look at places like michigan, you look at places like ohio, you look at places like real incomes for americans with a four-year college degree have increased by 22%, real incomes for americans without have fallen by 10%, 68% of americans age 25 and older do not have a four-year college degree. and it's not so much enthusiasm in these area that's bringing out all the trump voters, it is anger. it is frustration. it's feeling that they are really left out. >> and we just saw a state go to
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we heard the javits center applaud when they thought new mexico was coming in. we can project that now, as well. new mexico, and its five electoral votes for hillary clinton. so, there you see the map right now, 150 to 109. jon, let's go back to michigan. becoming more and more important by the hour. >> this is a state that barack obama won by nine points. right now, only a quarter of the vote is in, and trump is up five points. here is what's happening. look at three key counties in michigan. first, marquette in the upper peninsula. look at this. trump is beating hillary clinton in marquette county. you know what happened in that county in 2012? barack obama won by 14 points. so, donald trump is outperfo outperforming mitt romney. if you go back and you look at eaton county, just outside of lanci lansing, trump has a big lead.
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points. and then, finally, historically we know, we talk a lot about macomb county. only 1% is in. but this is the county that gave us the reagan democrats. the very early counting there, donald trump with a lead in macomb. >> michigan, very, very close right now. a lot of vote yet to come in in the state of michigan. let's pull up the state of north carolina right now. that is another one of the core four for donald trump. and in the state of north carolina, what are you seeing? >> state of again, trump expanding his lead. this has been close all night. but trump is expanding his lead in north carolina. 83% in. he's got a 3 percentage point lead. >> matthew dowd? >> it's an amazing unfolding of the map, as we watch this tonight. i mean, i had thought, as the national polls were moving, all this was going in the direction, but what we're seeing is a diver jens. between sort of the national popular vote and the votes in
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rural and suburban -- one thing i noticed in the numbers is donald trump is overperforming what anybody thought he was going to get in the suburban areas of these states. >> tom llamas, what are you hearing from the trump camp? >> we have this from kellyann ckellyanne conway. she said, come into the war room. she says he is energized an optimist optimistic. we're talking about the core four for the trump ohio, florida, north carolina, iowa, they have a lot of reasons to be happy. >> they are watching the numbers come in. byron pitts. >> across the street, there's a new play called "a bronx tale." one of the famous lines from the play is, it's better to be feared than loved. and so it seems at this point, tonight, fear is winning out, the dark picture of america seems to be carrying the hour at this point. >> talk about the divide in this country. the story line that is sort of emerging here, this difference
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the u.s. economy. is the condition of the economy not good or poor? 57% in urban america say it's not good or poor, but in rural america, 72% say the economy needs to be fixed. look at this, nationwide, direction of the country. in urban america, 53% believe we're on the wrong track, but that, look at that number in rural america. 71% believe this country is on the wrong path. >> terry moran? >> whoever wins here, what is happening in world, and it goes beyond brexit. it's essentially ordinary people around the world saying that the way elites have arranged the globalized world, through immigration and trade, ain't working for them and their families. and when they get a chance to punch the elite in the face, they have. >> we're see, they are sending a message to washington, to the elite institutions across the board. cecilia vega? >> we haven't heard from anyone in the clinton campaign, and this is the opposite of what we
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they've won something, they are out there screaming from the roof toops is going, i haven't heard from anybody yet, now, it's the clinton team that is quiet tonight. they do think that -- they're still waiting on michigan. that knew that was going to be a late one, and they always said was that florida was not theirs. they didn't necessarily need to win it. >> but florida was their hope, that's why they went in for the kill in the last several days. >> yes, their spin is that they didn't necessarily need it, but heavily in that state. if they do not win florida tonight, there will be some tears because of that one inside brooklyn. >> that's where they spent the most money, jon karl. >> she went there more to florida, more than any other state. trump spent the most money, went there more than any state. really did come down to florida. and looking now, 95% reporting, he's still got that significant lead, well over 100,000 votes. you know, the other state i'm watching is new hampshire. another state that four years
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home in new hampshire, partly from new hampshire, just like he was partly from michigan, and he lost handedly to barack obama. and look at this. almost half the vote is in, and donald trump has a three percentage point lead. >> if he wins new hampshire and michigan and the core four -- >> look at the possibilities. if you look, again, we have 12 battleground states, virginia, say that goes to clinton, she's up there. she takes all those states, we've thought all along she's going to win, she seems to have a pretty clear path to 270. but now because of what's happened, if you put florida in trump's camp, if you put north carolina in trump's camp, if you put ohio in trump's camp, and arizona, 254. he now actually has a couple of paths to get to 270. >> all it takes is michigan right there. >> all it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new
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>> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win michigan,
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meaning if you have problems with white working class voters, if you don't turn out african-americans, you lose those states or win by a razor thin margin. she is in profound trouble right now in the electoral college. >> you were pointing out for awhile that donald trump had a better chance in the electoral college than he did in winning the national vote. i want you to address another question that a lot of people are going to be asking right now. we did see a convergence of the high quality national polls over the course of the last lead for hillary clinton and we'll see what comes in, what comes in at the end. and some people had always been talking about the possibility of a systematic bias in the polls, they were going to be missing trump voters. is that what's happening? >> well, first of all, our model at least always showed the potential for a split. where i think clinton might still be the favorite to win the popular votes, she will wrack up huge margins in california and
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in the midwest. that could prove to be her downfall in the electoral college. but also, polls at the end, sometimes it's not the last poll that's the most accurate, because pollsters don't want to be out of line. and therefore, it's a next to last poll sometimes that was the honest opinion of the pollster and those showed a very competitive race. >> and as we were just repeating one more time, as we were coming into the day, your projection above 70% for hillary clinton, where is it right now? >> i mean, i would look at betting markets which say that donald trump is a narrow favorite to win t college. >> okay, nate silver, thank you. we saw both campaigns closely watching these results come in. millions still heading to the polls out west. voters in the final six states still casting their ballots. we'll be right back. >> back live in times square
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abc news live coverage of election night 2016 is sponsored by hulu. >> and it is election night 2016, we are right here in times square. what a dramatic night. what a close election. want to go to the states. jon karl, been talking about the possibility, just heard nate silver, looking at the betting markets, starting to predict a donald trump victory. they had not been doing that for several weeks and months. let's look at the paths that could get him there. >> i see two paths for a donald trump victory, if he wins the state of florida. and that is trending in that direction. so, if you put florida in his column and you assume he wins ohio where he is up, iowa, arizona, north carolina, places where he is up. here's what he can do.
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nevada and new hampshire. and that gets him to exactly 270, but again, george, it assumes he wins the second congressional district in maine, which tells you why they were spending so much time there. >> we should say, though, but at 269, donald trump is probably still president. >> 269-269, it goes to the house of representatives, the republicans control the house. it is voted by state delegations, almost certain they would choose a republican president, donald trump, you have to have run. if you come take new hampshire and nevada, he can take the state of michigan. if he takes michigan, 276. both of these paths are difficult, because there isn't that much vote yet in michigan. michigan is a state where he has not led a single public poll, he's up right now in the raw vote. a little over a quarter. the other problem is that nevada, nevada's been a state, again, where the public polls were all trailing, all going against trump coming into this election.
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the vote, of his vote, of the margins that he was going to get among noncollege educated whites, because as we've looked through the numbers, hillary clinton's getting overwhelming numbers with nonwhites. nonwhite turnout unlike we've ever seen. 70% of the vote was white. so, what's -- and she got college educated white women, what's happened is, noncollege white men buy a huge margin went to donald trump. a donald trump, donald trump has won the state of ohio. donald trump wins the state of ohio. one of his core four. you saw it right there. a big victory there for donald trump. there you see it. key state, no republican has ever won the white house without winning ohio. donald trump has won it.
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>> our special coverage of election night 2016 continues. hello, everybody. >> i'm ed. we want to get to you some key ballot questions. let's look at the numbers and see what they look like. ballot questions beginning first
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be a yes or a no on two. do we have those ballot questions? >> it's leaning towards no at this point. >> leaning toward no. >> at this point. so both clinton and trump campaigns, they have been keeping a low profile tonight as they watch these close returns coming in. this right here, though is a picture of donald trump and his family in new york city tonight. that was tweeted out by his daughter ivanka. now we want to turn you to newsnt c. who is live from trump headquarters. j.c.? >> maria and ed, that picture that you mentioned that ivanka tweeted out and trump tweeted as well, the only glimpse we've had except for this morning when trump voted alongside ivanka and his wife. everybody here in the ballroom, all eyes on the monitors. every tracks of a percentage point on these too close to call
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with this crowd. the energy ebbs and flows. the energy is up by everybody is sort of keeping pace waiting to see what the next state will bring. really keeping a close eye on florida and pennsylvania. lots of too close to call states. we'll be here, you can hear the cheers coming in. as ohio is declared for trump and the energy so we'll be watching all of these numbers come in. ohio just called for trump! that's a big win for the trump campaign! we'll see where this goes from here. back to you. >> puts him at 168 electoral votes right on the edge of being a hundred away. ben continues our coverage right now. he's also live in new york city. he's at clinton headquarters, ben? ben: to show you how close this is, silence in this room a
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two minutes later this crowd erupted as virginia was just called for hillary clinton. they had been watching that very closely all day. the clinton campaign. it's a bellwether state. president obama was able to turn from it a republican stronghold to a democratic leaning state and it looks tonight like she'll keep it in her column. that pre-serves her blue wall. you see crowd wrapped attention focusing on the monitor, the projections coming in. there are about 11 states where polls race is too close to call. no one in this room. these are avid hillary supporters. no one here thought this was going to be as close as it is at this point. many of them waited hours thinking they would be witnessing history tonight but it looks like, guys, this is going to be a long evening here in new york city. back to you. >> a reminder, the wcvb mobile app has you covered. wherever you are, we'll be on tv but you can find real-time town by town results.
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in power in congress, and one other thing we've been watching, the dow futures, the futures for the dow jones are down 600 points right now. down 600 points right now. >> we're watching, we'll see you
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and we are back, election 2016. 10:30 here in the east coast. you see it right there, donald trump, we called it just before the break. donald trump projected the win the state of ohio and its 18 electoral votes there, and david muir, you see a big gender gap in that state. >> this is really fascinating in must-win for donald trump, and he's now pulled that off tonight. no republican wins the white house without ohio. the breakdown. 53% women voters, 47% men. but look when we break it out. who did they vote for? look at the men. 54% went with donald trump, 39% with clinton. that's 15 points right there. the gap there. and then look at women. she carries women, but only by nine points. and one more thing i wanted to show you is when you do the education breakdown, the voters
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which gets back to this dits cushion we've been having about economic opportunity in this country, not matching those with college degrees and trying to level the playing field. >> and cokie, we've seen the gender gap a little bit less there. >> in ohio, yes. but, you know, what we're seeing is, we've been talking all season about this change of the college educated vote and especially college educated white women and they are going for clinton, it appears, from all of the exit not enough of them and so, what you've got is many more noncollege educated people turning, first of all, there are many more of them, but secondly, many more of them turning out to vote. and it is, as we've said, this sense of opportunity that is world wide because of technology. and so, what you're seeing is, people being left behind by the technological revolution in a way that's very similar to the
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think are really, their lives are so disrupted that they don't recognize them, either in terms of their day-to-day economic life or their neighbors. their neighbors are different people from what they used to be, their kids might be doing something, might be involved in a gay relationship that they never expected, all kinds of things have changed in their lives and this is the way of saying, we want it to stop. >> and these are people who stuck with this guy, through the most incredible camn history, i think it's safe to say. whatever happens tonight, donald trump has astonished the country. >> you heard the noise right there, that means we have another state to call, and it is the state of virginia, virginia, 13 electoral votes, going to go to virginia. voted for obama in the last two elections. such a key state for hillary clinton, her running mate, tim kaine, from virginia. you would call it, jon karl, a must-win state. >> absolute must-win.
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clinton has won, it was a lot closer than anybody thought it would be. >> that's right. 48%, 47% coming in right there. but right now, she seems to be holding onto the states so far that she needs, but it goes back to that state in the midwest, state of michigan. let's look. >> and i'll tell you, it's very close, it's tightened a little bit. trump still has a lead with about a third of the vote in. and i'm trying to look at the key counties in michigan, it's been awhile since it's been a true battleground. as close as you can get to a bell weather county i anymore after this election, it is so scrambled, but it's kent county. that's lansing. and this is a -- >> grand rapids. kent county is grand rapids. >> i'm sorry, i'm talking about eaton. i meant eaton. eaton county is lansing, and this is a county that has gone in the past, has gone back and forth. if you look at it, three-point victory for obama, and look at
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trump, but you mentioned grand rapids. let's go out to grand rapids, a solidly republican part of the state. if you go to kent county, as i said, in grand rapids, trump has a huge lead there, but only 9% of the vote is in. that means, to me, that there's a lot more republican vote to come in from grand rapids and kent county. but there's also a lot of vote, george, still to come in in detroit. wayne county, only -- i'll circle it, here, a third of the vote in, that is overwhelming democratic. i don't know. i could see trump moving ahead in michigan. i could see him losing michigan. >> either way, cecilia vega, president obama went to detroit in the final days, hillary clinton went back in the final days. they didn't pay a lot of attention to it from the convention and late october, early november. didn't spend any money there. and they kept saying that they thought that donald trump didn't invest early enough in the state of michigan. >> yeah, you're right.
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election state for them, but it really became, like a last couple of weeks state for them that they really started to pay attention. george, i just want to say, over the last half hour, i've been sitting here and i keep thinking back to the primaries, and the 17 republicans duking it out, and i'm talking to sources in the clinton campaign throughout all of it and they thought they were getting ready to run against marco rubio or jeb bush and they never thought that it would be -- they have always said the race would be tight, but i think when it came down to it, the thought of hillary clinton running against donald trump this in the bag. and look at where they are right now. you've got to bet that they are really nervous inside brooklyn seeing this map right now. >> george, let me raise just one other thing we haven't talked about tonight, which is, again, looking at this as a distance, as i know do, being retired. never in my lifetime, george, and i don't think in yours, have we had two such unpopular candidates. >> have not. >> never. >> so, we're talking about why
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why they voted for hillary clinton, we haven't talked tonight about why people voted against hillary clinton, and against donald trump. and a dismaying percentage of the vote, in both cases, were because they didn't like the other guy, or they didn't like her. and that, again, speaks a sadness about this election. i mean, something extraordinary is going on, and you can't take anything away from trump and how strongly he's running. but i wonder how much of that is an anti-hillary vote and how >> i think you see a lot of anti the other side. people i spoke to, it is about character and temperament. a lot of people didn't trust donald trump's temperament, but they didn't trust hillary clinton's character. people knew a lot about this race, it's incredible to go around the country and hear everybody talking about it. everybody engaged in this race. i wouldn't say there's a lot of depth on the issues, but the
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donald trump's message got out there, among the voters. he said she's corrupt. he said the e-mails over and over and over again. he said benghazi, and those sort of things really stuck with the voters. >> the other thing, i think you're seeing is, is a reflection of the political environment, the environment we're in as a country as a whole. what you're watching is unfolding. a bunch of voters don't think donald trump has the temperament. don't think he's ready to be commander in chief. but they're voting for him, because they're like she formalized representing the status quo and he represe representing blowing it up and people inspite of their questions whether he was qualified to be president went for blowing it up. >> nuclear codes. what about the nuclear codes, if you don't think he has the temperate. you know, he wouldn't do that, would he? i'm going to vote for him anyway. >> it's kind of astonishing that he's this close right now, when you've got a majority of
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>> the analogy i've heard used is that he's the experimental treatment to what ails america. he may comes with side effects, he may not be tested in the same way as other leaders might but if you have been sick long enough, maybe you're willing to take a chance on that treatment. >> i think that's right. we've discussed this, george, over the months. in a change election, being the candidate of change is the better thing to be and you have to make yourself acceptable. a lot of us thought he probably hadn't succeeded in doing that and people think secretary trump was able to reassure people just enough, not to be scary enough that he, if you want change, we're voting for trump. if he makes it across the finish line, just comes just short, just shows how powerful the unhappiness of the status quo is, and i think hillary clinton, and again, we said this over the months, not just second guessing, she never really explained the change she was going to bring about. entirely a disqualification of donald trump that she attempted and may have not succeeded.
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james comey. when he came out and announced he was reopening the investigation into the e-mails, not fully reopening, but looking at what was on anthony weiner's comput computer, hillary clinton was on her way, they certainly thought and i think most of us thought was on her way towards a pretty decisive win. that was the ultimate october surprise. comey came back a couple of days there's nothing more to investigate, but i think, if this goes donald trump, you're going to hear democrats -- >> we have another projection right now, it is a projection for hillary clinton. the state of colorado. voted democratic in 2008, 2012. that is going to hillary clinton right there. so, one of the things we're seeing, virginia and colorado, as we said matthew dowd, going in tandem, voting like new mexico, also coming in for
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question is, can she hold the firewall? >> that's the real question. we're going to go to michigan, i think wisconsin is still undecided. the numbers in wisconsin, maybe john can give us an update on that. i think wisconsin is not yet decided. new hampshire's not yet decided. and so, we still have -- and obviously florida's not been called, north carolina's not been called. those are leaning right now in donald trump's direction. this is going to be a long time. >> okay, i want to -- jon, pull up wisconsin. let me go to clayton sandell in er behind you, clayton. >> yeah, there's a lot of excited people here but i think there is also releech, you know, you heard cecilia say earlier, the clinton camp thought they had colorado wrapped up very early. they pulled all of their ads over the summer. but in recent weeks, the race tightened here considerably. one poll had them tied at one point and that prompted a flurry of activity. many visits by clinton sure galts, donald trump himself over the weekend.
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is. in the last ten presidential elections here, republicans have won all the contests, except for three. bill clinton in '92 and, of course, barack obama twice. but with a hillary clinton win here, that now makings it three for three for democrats here in colorado. that's never happened here before, george. >> clayton, thank you. pull up the scoreboard right now. 131 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 168 for donald trump. takes 270. nine battleground states left on the board. >> wisconsin is quite a story. 48%, half of the vote in, and donald trump with a two-point lead over hillary clinton. you know, i've got to drill down and see where the outstanding vote is, but with almost half the vote in to see donald trump leading in the state of wisconsin is -- >> and this is a state he didn't win in the primaries. >> this is a win he got trounced in the primaries, because the entire republican establishment in the state was against him.
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the conservative talk radio, a guy named charlie sikes, one of the big influencer for republicans, led a jihad against donald tru donald trump on the radio. and then, look. i don't know if he's going to win wisconsin, but it is unbelievable at this point, he looks to be in the hunt. >> tom llamas. >> take you inside the trump war room right now. it is so filled, you can't even walk in. there are so many people around donald trump. you know, covering trump is a lot like playing roulette. you never know what's going to happen. and in roulette, the trend is your friend. and one lesson i learned from cov covering donald trump, once he starts winning, he doesn't lose. i think we are at a very critical moment. he's just won ohio. my republican sources say he's going to win florida, as well. this could be a very interesting night. >> he wins ohio, he wins florida, he needs north carolina and he's going to look up north
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right now in the senate. and this is the north carolina senate race and we can say that the republican incumbent, senator richard burr is going to win that race in the state of north carolina. key race to help the republicans retain control of the senate. now they have made up for the seat they lost in illinois. and this is going to be very close, bill kristol, but that was a big one for the republican party. >> yeah, looks like the senate could maybe go to a 50/50 split. i think most of us thought that hillary clinton was likely to be the next president and it would be a senate, because tim kaine would be the tie breaker. >> okay, and gary langer, our pollster, is he hooked up now? do we have gary on the microphone right now? i want to pick up with a couple of the points i wanted to get with nate silver, as well. first of all, this idea that we are conditioned to watch all the public polls, we saw hillary
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but first pick up on the point that onkarl was making. what kind of an impact did we see from this announcement about ten days ago from james comey? >> well, george, what we have here is really a cry, i think, among the disadvantaged voters in this country. those that don't have a college education, who have seen their real incomes falling, as we've been discussing, they're not turning out in greater numbers than we expected, but they are voting overwhelmingly for donald trump. discontent with the status quo in terms of a system that hasn't been working for these americans. now, we did see this in the pre-election polling. we had a small lead nationally for clinton, four points in the final estimate. we'll see how that comes out. but state by state, in these tossup states, you're seeing this overwhelming trump vote among these noncollege whites. >> on the two states we were just talking about, wisconsin and michigan, and we talked
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been one tie in michigan between the conventions and election day. same thing in wisconsin. >> yeah, i didn't follow the state polls in those two states. we can dig back in and look how they did. state polling is sometimes squirrely. it takes a lot of effort to do pre-election polls well. but the -- i think the most important thing to keep in mind is, what the voters are telling us here. and this notion here that many americans, for particularly noncollege educated white americans, the system is not working. they've been falling behind, growing increasingly frustrated. not since the great recession, but for decades. and this expression of frustration turns into this anti- -- >> yeah, but you have a good metaphor there, as well. you can look at some of the economic statistics and pick out statistics, unemployment is down. there's been economic growth for the last several quarters. you can see consumer confidence.
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lot of people feel there is no economic opportunity. >> that's right. it's less about the economy than it is about the opportunity for prosperity. really, the promise of the american dream. if you don't have a college degree, we talked about this earlier, your real income against inflation over the last 35 years has declined. the reason most people in this country feel like they're doing less well is because it's true. and we're seeing the result tonight. >> okay, gary, thank you very much. let's go back to michigan. jon karl? >> michigan, still 41% in, donald trump still up by three percent in the state of michigan. >> david kerley, what is the feeling there in detroit? >> oh, george. let me tell you. this is the state democratic party we're at in detroit, and it has completely changed. people have been on the podium saying, keep your fingers crossed, we're not out of it yet, but the mood has changed here entirely. don't forget, this is a state
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it's been a solid blue state for so long. but as gary langer was just pointing out, what we're seeing in michigan is that a lot more rural voters did turn out here. 27% of the vote in michigan, according to the exit polls, was rural. it was only 19% just the last election. so, a lot of folks have turned out. now, there are still a lot of votes in detroit, about 60%, 64% of the vote, still to come in campaign was worried about. how good was the trump turnout? and what we're seeing is, in the rural areas, it's very good. will detroit make up the difference? >> this night could not be more dramatic or close. all eyes on michigan, florida, the battleground states. voters still casting their ballots out west. we'll be right back. >> abc news live coverage of election night 2016 is sponsored
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coming up on 11:00 p.m. in the east, and this dramatic election night, it's been an unusual campaign and tonight, everything so close and donald trump doing so well so far. let's look right there. he's got 168 electoral votes to hillary clinton's 131. you need 270 to win. we've been keeping an eye on battleground states all night. started out at 12, now we're down to nine and jon karl, let's go through the wins that remain, starting with that big win, 29 electoral votes, the state of reporting, george. donald trump still holding a pretty commanding lead. we move up the coast a little bit, north carolina, donald trump with a solid five-point lead, 91% reporting. keep going up, pennsylvania, this was a long shot from the start for trump, he's losing, but, again, it's pretty close. only a three-point margin in pennsylvania. new hampshire, one that he had been losing in most of the public polling, look at this.
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go to michigan. donald trump still leading, it's narrowed a little bit. about 45% in. wisconsin. donald trump with over half the vote in, still has a pretty serious lead in the state of wisconsin. >> three big opportunities there. >> just shocking. >> three big opportunities there for donald trump. let's go back to the possibilities. say for the sake of argument, you give him the statements where he has the lead right now. north carolina and florida, the states that he has to win. thosar but then he's got his choice among michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania looking like clinton for now, but he's got his choice, michigan, wisconsin and new hampshire still out there. >> i'm going to leave iowa in the middle. hillary clinton is looking pretty strong in iowa, which is a state we thought donald trump, one we thought he was going to win. you look at the other stafts, 243 if he stakes ohio, north
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that, he should take arizona. if he takes michigan, 270 electoral votes. put michigan back. if he takes pennsylvania, 274. put it back. if he takes wisconsin, not quite there. he needs something else. he would need to pull in iowa, that would get him to 270. >> so, we've seen really a reversal of what we've seen all throughout this election campaign in hillary clinton had multiple maps, now donald trump has and she has a i want to take that to sean spicer. sean, what are you seeing, what are you feeling? >> it's just pure excitement here at trump tower. mr. trump, governor pence and the entire team are just watching these results come in. the excitement is unbelievable, as we saw north carolina, ohio, we're keeping our eye on florida, but it looks good and it's just, you know, again, you see michigan and wisconsin, all closing in and as -- i know jonathan karl was just talking
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all of them it will take, but it's definitely the race that we thought. i know we've kind of had that candidate with a message and a ground game that we've been touting for awhile. it's producing the result we thought it would. >> what did you see that others didn't? >> well, i think that we saw a shift in the electorate a few weeks ago. to mr. trump. and again, i think this was the perfect storm. you heard republicans out there talking about clinton inc, the obama care increases, and the all kind of coming at that perfect storm in these last couple weeks. and then when the fbi scandal happened, and they revived the concerns that most voters had with trust and honesty, it really kind of became that perfect storm of that message of change that donald trump and mike pence have been talking about. >> what are you seeing out of michigan right now? >> well, again, i think that we've seen a shift in at the last couple of weeks. we had us going into this race, just barely ahead, and the
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i think it's going to be close but we're going to pull it out. >> and wisconsin? >> wisconsin's going to be a tight race. and so, we'll keep an eye on that, but senator johnson's fighting hard. and i think we've got some areas that, you know, if you look at some of those key counties that obama won 51%, 52%, you're now seeing a role reversal, where donald trump is up 51%, 52% on those. we're not giving up on wisconsin. it's going to be tough. but it's amazing to seee and i think we feel pretty good about where iowa is going to end up, as well. >> you and your boss, chairman of the republican party, took a lot of heat for the way you've backed donald trump. i was wondering how mr. preibus is feeling now? >> i think there are smiles all around trump tower tonight. i think we touted, you know this, and jon karl knows this, but we've been talking about the data operation that the rnc put together, the ground game that we have, the amount of time and money that chairman reince priebus has invested in both and
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that's talking about change and a movement, and those things combined, we've been talking about for awhile and i think it's finally that combination hit it at the sweet spot and going to spell for a really good night for us tonight. >> sean spicer, thank you. all eyes on the big battleground states. florida, north carolina, wisconsin, michigan. polls about to close in more states. we'll have all the latest
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>> live from wcvb newscenter 5, this is a commitment 2016 election update. ed: we are joining you as this tight presidential race unfolds. maria here's where the electoral : college stands. because this race is so close we'll be staying with abc's presidential coverage for the rest of the night.
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: hampshire senate race either but here's where it stands. maria: question number two, charter schools my yes on 2 has conceded. you can see the margin of voting no lifting that cap. ed: and to question 4 legalizing marijuana. 63% have reported, 53% say yes. 47% say no. that number has held back to the electoral college. the ap has fallen in the donald trump column. with florida in trump's column he is at 197. hillary clinton at 131. 270 are required to win. you can still see that michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania, north carolina, georgia are still uncalled at this time.
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night here on wcvb because the presidential race is so tight. it's 11:00 p.m. in the east. election night 2016, and it's in keeping with that this year has trump in the lead. those are the two campaign headquarters in new york. let's put up the board, see where things stand. 190 electoral votes for clinton, 172 for trump. polls have closed in five more states. 82 electoral votes. california is the big one. 55 going to hillary clinton. that was expected.

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