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nic robertson, thank you, in saudi arabia. i'm brooke baldwin. thank you for being with me in new york. jake tapper continues our live special coverage of the new york primary. that begins right now. >>> new york, new york, will donald trump's hometown advantage put him over the top here? will the city that never sleeps punish ted cruz for his slam on new york values? and if she can make it here, can hillary clinton snap bernie sanders' winning streak? "the lead" starts right now. good afternoon, welcome to a special edition of "the lead." i'm jake tapper. live in new york. here is something that hardly ever happens here in the empire state. primary vote here actually matters on both sides of 0 the aisle. new yorkers playing a crucial role for the first time in decades. democrats have 247 delegates at stake here. republicans have 95. four presidents born in new york, republican front-runner voting new york central s synagog synagogue, a few blocks from trump tower, he would lik to be number five. >> who are you voting for? >> easy decision. >> hillary clinton voted at an elementary school in the suburb of chap pa qua with former president bill clinton. >> just urge everybody, come out and vote before 9:00 p.m. tonight. >> brook will-born bernie sanders does not vote in new york, since he obviously lives in vermont but that did not stop him from making this prediction -- >> we are feeling very good. there's a large voter turnout, despite the impediment of 3 million people not being able to participate, i think we're going to do just fine. >> voters heading to polls now across new york state, hillary clinton and donald trump, by far, front-runners according to the latest public opinion 30s. each candidate is hoping a big win will blunt the recent rementum of challengers, bernie sanders and ted cruz. cnn's brianna keilar has that story. >> reporter: hillary clinton and donald trump voting in their hometowns this morning. >> this has been a joy during the last two weeks to be here all over the state. >> reporter: front-runners hoping polls with commanding leads in new york will sweep them to big victories. >> i think i'm going to do well. we'll see. who knows, it politics, right. >> reporter: even as trump's staff is getting a shakeup. national field director, stewart jolly, resigned, days after trump brought on former scott walker campaign manager above jolly as national political director. jolly's departure shrinks the circle of aides loyal to trump campaign manager, core lewandowski as paul manafort gains more clout in the campaign. >> when you bring in new people, we're bringing in high-level people, as you know, one brand, walker's campaign, he is a top guy, when you bring other people in, i can see some people, their feelings get hurt. >> reporter: as trying to stop ted cruz's recent gains in the delegate count, he's skewering the republican party's selection process. >> in the case of the democrats, they have super delegates. in our case, it's worse because it's more sinister. it harder to see. but it's actually more devious and it's worse. >> reporter: but what he calls devious, rnc and other gop groups call delegate selection rules, ones trump's team has yet to matter. john kasich and cruz are looking ahead. kasich in maryland and pennsylvania where cruz spent new york primary day. bernie sanders took a quick walk in new york before moving to campaign in pennsylvania. vermont senator saying new york polls are selling him short and lamenting the rules that don't allow independents, who generally support him over clinton, to vote. >> afraid she's going to be disappointed. we're feeling very good. if there's a large voter turnout, despite the impediment of 3 million people not being able to participate, we're going to do just fine. >> now clinton and sanders, in a dispute over how she raises money, jake, with this joint fund-raising account with the dnc, specifically he's questioning about the money that the dnc, how that can benefit hillary clinton in this arrangement. the clinton campaign firing back, this is a false attack, this is completely allowed and it certainly does appear to be legal but highlights that she is relying on big money donors and he's relying on small dollar don donors. >> cnn's jim acosta traveling with the trump campaign. republican front-runner hoping for a win in his home state. donald trump is fond of saying these are my people at rallies in new york. rallies full of raucous supporters. does trump's campaign think he'll sweep all 95 delegates today? >> reporter: it's going to be tough, jake. but i talked to a top official inside donald trump's delegate operation who said yes, it is possible, they will beat that 50% threshold needed in new york's districts and statewide to sweep up all 95. if they don't get all of them, the campaign does not see that as a setback. trump was asked as he was casting his ballot what it means to vote for himself for president in his home state. here what happens he had to say about that. >> i think i'm going to do well. we'll see. who knows, it's politics, right? you know that better than i do. but i think we'll do really well. it feels really good. great support. you see the people over there, all positive. no hecklers, no nothing. i think we'll do well. >> i've been told by the campaign they believe they have exited the stage of the campaign that favors cruz where caucuses and state conventions were key and ventured the final stretch which puts trump on favorable terrain, especially, as you know, here in the northeast. >> let's talk about this shakeup on the trump campaign. is it beginning? what more can you tell us about that? >> reporter: jake, sources inside the trump campaign say, no question, corey lewandowski is now shifting into a more reduced role, more of a chief of staff role, as it was described to me as the campaign's new convention manager, paul manafort takes on a strategic position inside the organization. they've brought in seasoned vetters that brianna was talking about, attorney william mcginley, working on delegate and convention rules. rick wiley joined the campaign after working for governor scott walker's campaign. one source said people are wondering inside the trump campaign what is corey lewandowski's role now? >> we've been hearing less from donald trump than we're used to, what he has said has been less outrageous than in the past. are paul manafort and rick wiley, the gentlemen, are they restraining him? >> reporter: that's no easy task. remember, jake, it was lewandowski, as you know, who used to say, let trump be trump. but lately, right, trump has been more cautious in his comments but attacks on the rnc and the party estimate for awarding delegates have raised eyebrows. maybe not a total lid has been placed on what trump is saying these days. one trump source tells me, from what he's hearing from party regulars, they don't mind that donald trump is running an anti-establishment campaign. they just want to see donald trump running a more professional campaign and that will go a long way in attracting nervous, uncommitted delegates they need down the stretch. >> jim acosta, thanks so much. joining me, megapanel for the hour, carl bernstein, cnn political commentator and author of "a woman in charge, the life of hillary rodham clinton." ryan lizza, correspondent for the new yorker, maggie lab laborerman, senior analyst, david gergen, was an adviser to reagan, ford, clinton. a trump supporter, reagan white house political director. the former governor of michigan, jennifer granholm. and with us, jonathan dicenni, author of bernie sanders, his vision for america. let's do a quick run down the row. what are you looking for tonight as results come? >> black turnout, whether hillary will continue to get huge black support and get people to polls and whether young people are going to come out enough to support bernie sanders to the point where he can get her numbers down to below single digits, 8%, 9%, would be very good for him in this situation. >> ryan? >> expectations are sort of out of control for the two front-runners, home states here. so it's about how big a blowout donald trump and hillary clinton have. and on the trump side, specifically, delegates. we all know it's an out and out battle to battle to deny him 1,237. do they eat into the delegate. >> he needs 50% in all 27. >> maggie? >> all of the above. and also, how bernie sanders does in the hudson valley. that was a stronghold when andrew cuomo was challenged in 2014. that will tell us how his support translates to din areas going forward. >> translation, tell people where the hudson valley is. >> north of the city. it's a swath in the middle of the state, an area where the last person, who had a similar profile to bernie sanders, did very, very well in a primary. it's not a perfect analog but something to watch for. >> known for ar tcheese -- >> it's all about margins. margins create momentum. i thought momentum would shift more in cruz's direction after wisconsin. he's got the inside game playing so well. if trump can roll up the score here and do that in pennsylvania and connecticut, i think it's going to be very different and going into the conventions, there's a sense maybe the man with the most votes should take 62% of republicans now say. >> that's part, jeffrey of his strategy now of more restrained donald trump. >> presidential? >> if you say so. >> i think he's going to do very well. i think there's going to be a lot of momentum. yesterday i went to opening of the trump campaign headquarters in harrisburg, pennsylvania, got to come to central pennsylvania, next week, that's the republican base and fall campaign you really need it. i expect him to do well and have him begin the fine. push to june 7th. >> the republican side, i'm looking to see if kasich and cruz break the 20% bare why. are we going -- >> no delegates if you don't break that barrier. >> are we left wondering, should ted cruz coordinated with john kasich so john kasich, who was second in most polls could have taken new york and taken some delegates? if donald trump ends up with all delegates, if neither kasich nor cruz ends up with any delegates the answer will be yes. ted cruz will come home and regret it tomorrow. on the democratic side, i'm looking to see how bernie sanders does with diversity voters. he's had a very hard time until now. new york is a microcosm of america, we have a lot of diversity in the state. i want to see how he does with latinos, african-americans, young people, women, just look at the entire spectrum. >> governor. >> i agree with anna's last point. two, three weeks ago bernie sanders was saying new york was a must-win state for him. i think anybody looking at the numbers has to agree that he's got to start eating into her numbers. if he doesn't, and she ends up gaining on him, it's so difficult to see the path going forward. i'll also look to see how he positions, if she wins tonight, how he positions himself vis-a-vis her. if he continues down this path of being very personally negative, that will be very damaging for the democratic party overall in the fall and i don't think that will be for his benefit. >> i agree with carl, turnout of young voters. bernie sanders, this will be similar to other states. he was 30, 40 points behind a few months ago. every single election, the ones he's won, he's come from far behind. wisconsin, won 71 out of 72 counties. i'm look for up in the upper state, buffalo, rochester, areas devastated by terrible trade agreements that hillary clinton supported. bernie sanders opposed throughout his career. if he does well there, it's a message he can carry into pennsylvania and other states. >> fascinating stuff. next, cautious hillary clinton, confident bernie sanders. >> i never count any chickens before they hatch. >> afraid she's going to be disappointed. >> clinton's campaign says sanders might be the ralph nader of 2016. is the senator from vermont running to be a spoiler? stay with us. # and eating. and eating. . >>> welcome back to this special edition of "the lead." i'm jake tapper. voters choosing either hillary clinton, who lives in the state or bernie sanders, vermont resident who grew up in brooklyn. sanders moved on to pennsylvania. jeff zeleny is in university park, pennsylvania, with the sanders campaign. sanders has been saying that the polls here in new york are not measuring the depth of his support and hillary clinton will be disappointed today. does he actually think he can win, pull out a victory here? >> reporter: i think there are a couple of things. there's an on mftic view all of the people who turned out at his rallies over the last two weeks in new york, by the tens of thousands, the optimistic view of sanders supporters would say, look, enthusiasm appears to be on our side. realistic view is something different. they know that it is math is tough in new york. they know that the clinton campaign has inherent build-in advantages there. no one that i've talked to in the sanders universe today is projecting or expecting victory. bernie sanders, turning his attention toward pennsylvania, he had a rally a short time ago in erie, pennsylvania, coming here to state college, home of penn state university, this evening. he is looking forward, hoping for a win. but if he was expecting one he would be in his native brooklyn tonight. >> it's significant that new york is a close the primary, only members of the democratic party can vote, no independents. how might that affect bernie sanders? >> reporter: that is the key thing to keep in mind tonight measuring support across the board. only democrats who were registered democrats last month can vote in this. bernie sanders ran into a man today doing some walking around midtown manhattan, approached by a man who said i wanted to change from independent to democrat to vote for you but i had to do that last october. and this is what bernie sanders told him -- >> it shouldn't be this hard. >> no, it should not be. today, 3 million people in the state of new york who are independents lost their right to vote in the democratic and republican primary, that's wrong. it's administered by the state, you have a right to vote. that's a very unfortunate thing, which i hope will change in the future. >> reporter: that's the blunt reality here, jake. you had to have been a registered democratic voter in march before this. if you were switching parties you had to do that last year. that will take away a lot of sanders supporters. they knew that. they're not surprised rules. that is one reason closed primaries are better for the clinton campaign because they are always going to favor the establishment candidate. >> explain to us the concerns that the sanders campaign is raising about hillary clinton's campaign fund-raising in conjunction with the democratic national committee. is this illegal? is this unethical. tell us what the charge is. >> reporter: jake, the charge is, sanders campaign is saying the clinton campaign is raising money in koortd naticoordinatio democratic party in governor races and other things. that's one of the reasons you're getting such high ticket fund-raising events like last weekend at the clooney's house. the top event last weekend, 353,000 per couple. the reason you can get that high, you can give to a bunch of different state parties. the sanders campaign is saying the clinton campaign is benefiting from this in kind contribution. this is available to the sanders campaign as well. you can do joint fund-raising committees. this is one of the things that happened with the campaign finance laws with the supreme court ruling. campaign finance experts said it's not illegal, it may be not the spirit of the law here in terms of the high dollar amounts here, but i think the sanders campaign is trying to raise this in the final day to show that the clinton campaign is beholden to big donors here. there's nothing illegal that we can see in this at this point. but the sanders campaign certainly wants to raise this as an issue in the final day. we will see if this works. >> check in with the best political panel in the business. jonathan, let me start with you. as a sanders supporter, the accusation from the sanders campaign, something untoward that the clinton campaign is doing with the democratic national committee in the fundraise, the dnc says, we offered to set something like this up with the sanders campaign as well. it's a way to support down ballot democrats running for the senate, the house, and even state houses and such. >> talk more about what jeff said. you can take the money, you can take 2700 to the individual campaign. the dnc can take a chunk and give $10,000 to each of the campaign committees. sanders campaign is saying millions are being used in an indirect way to support hillary clinton's fund-raising efforts and they're saying that's not the proper issue. that will be up to the experts, lawyers to decide if that's correct or not. >> governor, here's what larry noble told think progress, they, meaning dnc, are throwing their weight behind a particular candidate. argument is that it helps the party generally but the practical reality is it benefits hillary clinton. you don't expect this thing to happen in the prime marys. people are pushing the envelope further and further until it shreds. >> first, that is total b.s. what happens is that she raises money, $10,000 per state, there are 32 states part of the join fund-raising agreement, and they put that to work electing local democrats. this attack by bernie sanders, filing a lawsuit by bernie sanders, is really an an attack on the democratic party. we have to support these -- we have to support local races. we've got to support local democrats. she doesn't get any more than t the 2700 allowed by law. the suggestion that she is doing something improper is an extension of the personal attacks that the bernie sanders campaign have been waging which is, to me, terrible strategy if you look forward to the general election. look forward to the general election, it's as though bernie sanders team is singing off the republican play book. >> i want to emphasize, the issue at here with the fund, not money going to the state, used to help hillary clinton fundraise separately. let's find out if that's true. part of the reason this is coming up, with all due respect the dnc has not been even handed here. the debate over debates. there's no question, sorry, debbie wasserman schultz, in my opinion, one of the most incompetent chairs of the dnc has tried to put her finger on behalf on one side on behalf of hillary clinton. when we tried to get debates when the campaign started and the clinton campaign did not want that and debbie wasserman schultz did everything possible to schedule debates when nobody was watching, which was foolish, we wanted to expose the population to democratic values, i think that should be seen in the context. >> ana and i are enjoying this. >> people don't trust -- many people don't trust the way the dnc is operating. the particular issue, that's at heart -- >> i want to paraphrase the pollster for the clinton campaign who says that bernie sanders is acting like a potential ralph nader, a spoiler. do you believe that? >> i mean, bernie sanders came into this race saying he was not going to be ralph nader and chose to be a democrat because he believes in values of the democratic party. i believe that's true. i firmly believe that in his heart, if he sees no path, he is going to fully embrace the democratic ticket. you believe that too, i'm sure, right? you don't want to have -- in the poll that was done today, there was 40% of bernie sanders supporters who say they will not vote for hillary clinton. he's got to be helpful with those, if in fact he's not the nominee, in the same way if he were the nominee she would make sure all of that money she went to raise went tonight benefit him. my guess is, eventually we'll see that. if it's too late he becomes the ralph nader. >> the ralph nader thing, i have to say, bernie sanders has been part of the democratic caucus in the senate and the house, claire of the veterans committee in the senate. he's no ralph nader. he's. a solid supporter of the democrats. >> everybody stay with me. we'll have exit polling data at 5:00 p.m. eastern. >>> coming up, former mayor giuliani will join me in the studio. he kind sort of endorsed trump. 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[squeals of delight] still the same refreshing bud light. with a new look. ♪ where world-class chefs meet top-notch nutritionists. prime cuts of meat... 25 grams of protein... bold flavorful sauces... and savory mouth watering sides. it's the perfect balance of delicious and nutritious. making it just the right fit for you. stouffer's fit kitchen meals. this is fit. >>> i'm evank ka trump, i'm excited for march 8th. that's the date the republican primary is coming to your state. let's make america great again together. we appreciate your support, enthusiasm has been amazing. let's translate that into your vote. >> welcome back to the special edition of "the lead." that was donald trump's daughter encouraging mississippi republicans to vote for donald trump in primary last month. she and her brother, eric, are not able to vote for their father in the new york primary. they're registered independents and missed the deadline to register as republicans. polls are open until 9:00 p.m. eastern in new york. cnn is at a polling place in brooklyn. thanks for joining us. a first time in a while that new york's primary is key to the presidential race on both sides. turnout's so important. what are you seeing? >> reporter: jake, yeah, excitement is building here. voters know what you just said right there the numbers are backing it up. at this particular polling station, at borough hall in brooklyn, 1958 people voted so far. 1841 for the democrat side. 117 for republicans. certainly a lot of democrats here coming to brooklyn which we know has been the epicenter of the race and casting their b ball ballot. the voting booth, they've added more to the area where people can vote, because they're anticipating crowds get bigger after people get out of work and head here and cast their ballot. this is typically where we were seeing long lines in the morning and probably again later tonight, as you said, polls close at 9:00. again, a lot of excitement here in brooklyn. we know, in. >> it's the epicenter for the democratic race, because bernie sanders calls this his hometown. he had a big rally back in prospect park. hillary clinton has used brooklyn as her backdrop to gain voters as well. >> as new yorkers head to the polls today, donald trump picking up an endorsement from a man revered by a lot of republicans. former mayor rudy giuliani, thanks for joining us. you voted. >> i voted. i voted early. >> for? >> one time. for donald trump. >> have you always been a trump supporter or did you way for the field to narrow? >> i waited for the field to narrow. first, i'm a close personal friend of donald's for 25 years. there's a personal friendship involved as well. i didn't make the choice to support him until two weeks ago and i said i supported him but i don't endorse him, i'm not part of the campaign. nobody seems to pick up that distinction. >> now you're endorsing him. >> if you want to interpret it as an endorsement. to be endorse if is if you're speaking for the campaign, i'm not doing that. but i'm supporting him and urge people to vote for him. >> are you surprised that he's a republican front-runner? i don't know how you wouldn't be. >> well, sure. i'm not surprised as of two months ago but surprised as of six months ago or eight months ago, of course. i wouldn't be surprised if donald isn't surprised. >> i guess one of the questions i have is, you have he are very different in a lot of ways. similar in some ways but different. i can't imagine you taking some of the positions that he has taken, for instance, on banning temporarily muslims from entering the united states, et cetera. >> i disagree with that. >> do issues like that hold you back? >> a little bit. i worked for ronald reagan and ronald reagan had a theory. if you agree 8 out of 10 times, that's about as good as you're going to get in any candidate. i agree with him more than any of the other candidates in the field. take two democrats out, they're out. >> right. >> i agree with donald more than i do with cruz and kasich, actually, isn't even a candidate. >> you don't think he's a candidate? >> he's not. priebus says you can't change the rules, kasich can't even be -- >> mathematically impossible for him to win before the convention? >> no, you have to have five or eight primaries. he's won one. >> you think he should drop out? >> i don't know if he should drop out. not only mathematically eliminated, he's legally eliminated i can't see them changing the rule for kasich but then not changing the rule for trump. >> what do you make of a general election candidate he'd be. in the last couple of weeks he's been very restrained. >> i think that they're changing a bit. there's an interesting poll someone misinterpreted. i said today, i think on with chris cuomo, 65%, 70% of republicans believe the person who has the most votes at convention, whether majority or not, should be the candidate. i didn't say 65% to 70% want trump as the candidate. a lot of the 65% to 70% probably support somebody else. they see the fairness of the person with the most popular vote, if he gets really close, getting the nomination. >> even if his disapproval ratings are high, if he enters the convention with the highest number of dells -- >> this is what republicans are telling us if you poll them, if somebody gets close, no matter who it is, give them the nomination because the people have selected them, not party bosses. >> trump said there would be riots -- >> well, they're not going to be riots, not going to be violence. there's a lot debating, a lot of discussi discussing. i think trump will get to the majority number, i think he'll do well today, which will give him a lot of momentum going into pennsylvania. most states favor trump we see coming up. he's going to get to the number. if he doesn't get to the number, he's going to get very, very close. >> a number of republicans who say they're not going to go to the convention, i guess, assuming it's either trump or cruz for whom they don't have affection for either of them. john mccain saying he's not going to the convention, he has his own campaigning to do. are you going to go. >> yes, i'm going to go. >> what do you think of the republicans -- >> if it's a candidate other than donald, i'll support the candidate. i told senator cruz than i met senator cruz two, three months ago. i told him i wouldn't be endorsing him, but if he were the candidate of the party, he'd have a strong supporter in me. >> do you think donald trump can win in november? >> i think he can. between the two of them, he has the better chance of winning. cruz is what we throw at them all the time. meaning hard right republican, they know whether it's a fastball down the middle of the plate and hillary clinton has a play book for hitting that out of the ballpark. she doesn't know what donald trump is going to throw at her. i don't know what donald trump is going to throw at her. if i were her, i'd rather run against a known than unknown. he has defied all of the political experts this year. all of them. on the right, on the left, in the the middle. >> appreciate it. next, egg motion in afghanistan's city of kabul, the target was government officials but the victims were civilians. how could this impact the election? why do so many businesses rely on the us postal service? because when they ship with us, their business becomes our business. that's why we make more e-commerce deliveries to homes than anyone else in the country. here, there, everywhere. united states postal service priority: you duracell quantum lasts longer so kevin jorgeson can power through the night. sfx: duracell slamtones >>> welcome back to a special et decision of "the lead." let's talk about our world lead. explosion rocking afghanistan's capital today with the taliban claiming responsibility for the attack that killed at least 28 people, mostly civilians. let's turn to cnn's nick paton walsh. thanks for joining us. 28 people dead, more than 300 wounded from the attack in kabul. this is part of the taliban's preannounced spring offensive? >> reporter: that seems like it, a common tactic, jake, for them to penetrate to be the ring of steel that surrounds the government-controlled capital. the attack planned for the morning, actually the first blast there using a suicide bomber in a truck, blowing up in a private parking lot where there were a lot of civilians going their way to work, going to school. that parking lot annexed on to the back of a compound where part of the security services have one of their headquarters. this park, bodyguards effectively responsible for looking after afghan vips, that was the taliban's target. a second assailant, using a blast, having blown a hole in the wall to get in, began attacking inside. it seemed to have taken a number of hours for the second attacker to have been killed. remarkable, 300 injured. worth pausing on that number, 300 lives, changed to some degree today. a blast so powerful, it shook many people blocks away. >> what can you tell us about the individuals killed and wounded. were they afghan vips? >> a lot of them appear to have been civilians, women and children. we don't have a precise breakdown of who the victims ended up being. the major concern is it adds to the civilian toll. the u.n. pointing finger to taliban of being behind record number of casualties. we're seeing a slide in security in afghanistan, afghan security forces are being hit as hard as well. they last 5 1/2 thousand. that's way more than the nato campaign lost innite entire decade there. there being hit hard, affecting their training program, and that affects ability to hold territory from the taliban which now control more of afghanistan than any time, say u.s. officials, since 2001. >> nick paton walsh, thank you. front-runners hillary clinton and donald trump looking to extend leads with empire state victories this evening. minutes away from exit poll results in the critical new york state primary. real is touching a ray. amazing is moving like one. real is making new friends. amazing is getting this close. real is an animal rescue. amazing is over twenty-seven thousand of them. there is only one place where real and amazing live. seaworld. real. amazing you're down with crestor. alright! now there's a way you can get crestor for $3. adding crestor, along with diet, lowers bad cholesterol. crestor is not for people with liver disease, or women who are nursing,pregnant, or may become pregnant. tell your doctor all medicines you take. call your doctor if you have muscle pain or weakness; feel unusually tired; have loss of appetite, upper belly pain, dark urine or yellowing of skin or eyes. these could be signs of serious side effects. ask for the crestor $3 card. ask your doctor about crestor. shoshow me more like this.e. show me "previously watched." what's recommended for me. x1 makes it easy to find what you love. call or go online and switch to x1. only with xfinity. >>> welcome back to a special edition of "the lead," live from new york, minutes from the first exit poll results here in the empire state, at this point in the election cycle there's not much on the line. but that is not the case this year on either side of the aisle. my panel is back. carl bernstein, let me start with you. it could be pivotal for both trump and hillary clinton and bernie sanders. >> it sure is. the interesting thing, everybody keeps saying this is a bad campaign. i think it's a campaign if which we discovered america that we didn't know about and learning t electorate is -- we owe that because of donald trump and bernie sanders. hillary clinton has been pushed to the issues where she never wanted to go, way to the left. meanwhile, every other republican has been vanquished except ted cruz. trump can give hillary clinton a hell of a ride because of the way he conducts his campaign and he has defined the issues in terms of america is not working. people are responding to that message. >> david? >> i think -- let's go back to the question of margin. i think it matters a lot tonight. if she wins by more than ten points, i think jennifer's point is on target, that he ought to pull back. he's not going to win this, but he will have a price for his support. if he handles this in a more gracious way, so he's not driving up her negatives, then at the convention, he can debate and argue and negotiate for changes in the platform that will commit her fully to the position she'd rather not take. on the other hand if he comes within five points and puts a scare into her, it's rock em, sock em. so a lot matters. a lot hinges on the margin. >> eight years ago, maggie, hillary clinton won 57% to barack obama's 40%. does she need to match that, does -- is that the number for her, 17 points, 57%, or is just a win a win. >> i personally think that a win is a win. i think on either side if trump clears 50%, does well in a majority of congressional districts he's won, the same is true on the democratic side for this reason. i think that, number one, one of most undercovered stories of this primary has been the knack hillary clinton was popular in the state when shes and a senator. and she has in the time spent at the state department, in the years since out of office, a lot of the ties that she had with voters have eroded and she's had to rebuild them from scratch. that is part of what you're going it see in terms of 0 the change. she's affiliated with a president who a lot of liberals feel disappointed in. i also -- >> which one? >> wow. >> there were two there. >> but at the end of the day, i think that bernie sanders was going to keep going, regardless. i think if she won by 20 points he would keep going and if she won by five points he was going to keep going. he's resisted all calls until now. he raised $44 million, whatever it was, he's going to keep going and i think that he is unswayed by calls he should get out for politeness and help reshape the party. i don't think he's responding to that. >> what do you make of donald trump's continued complaining about the primary system on the republican side and how it's rigged and not fair? >> i think actually to give him credit, he has shined a light on the fact that our primary system is unusual, right? every state has their own rules. if you were designing a system from scratch today you would never design the system we have. it's for historic reasons and changes over the years. mostly because every state gets design its own rules, that's why it's messed up. having said that, he's benefited more than anyone from the nondemocratic small d nature of the republican primary system. he's won 37% of the popular vote and won 45% of the delegates. that's not so bad. if he wanted a purely democratic estima system he might not be doing so well. >> some parts of the u.s. are getting noise isvisitors after . how many are coming? 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[squeals of delight] still the same refreshing bud light. with a new look. ♪ innovative sonicare technology with up to 27% more brush movements versus oral b. get healthier gums in 2 weeks guaranteed. innovation and you. philips sonicare. save when you buy the most loved rechargeable toothbrush brand in america. duracell quantum lasts longer so kevin jorgeson can power through the night. sfx: duracell slamtones shoshow me more like this.e. show me "previously watched." what's recommended for me. x1 makes it easy to find what you love. call or go online and switch to x1. only with xfinity. >>> welcome back to "the lead." i'm jake tapper. finally, in what we call our buried lead, we call it that, those are stories not getting enough attentioning but in this case it's literal. buried are coming alive. if you're not northeastern part of the nation, you will be getting noisy visitors next month, billions of them to be more exact. cicadas back. after spending 17 years underground feasting on plant roots, three different species of cicada, all grown up and ready to emerge looking for mates which means they will be louder and more annoying than ever. those breeding calls are among the loudest noises in the animal kingdom. if you live in maryland, here in new york, ohio, pennsylvania, virginia or west virgini, congratulations, you're going to have some of the best seats to the concert. but it's not all bad. some of us may think cicadas are annoying or creepy, perhaps. some of us have private theorys they're actually aliens. but in some parts of the world they're considered to be good luck. follow me on facebook and twitter. i'm jake tapper. i'll be back at 8:00 p.m. turning you over to wolf blitzer and anderson cooper in "the situation room." >> happening now, playing the trump card, looking for all 95 delegates that his home state has to offer. can donald trump end his slump with a big win tonight? >> dueling democrats bernie sanders and hillary clinton locked in a battle and a race few expected to be so close. each says they've got the better path to the white house. new york's 247 delegates can make a big difference getting there. >> voter views an breaking news. our first exit polling. moments we'll show you the data and what it might tell us about how the night's shaping up. >> i'm anderson
