in michigan the latest reuters/ipsos poll puts joe biden ahead by nine. in nevada the latest siena college poll shows biden leading by six, 49 to 43. in iowa, biden winning by four points within the margin of error. and in north carolina, reuters/ipsos, biden with margin of error 50% to 46%. biden visited the new battleground state of georgia yesterday, the event in warm springs about an hour south of atlanta is where fdr would visit during his time in office. he used the therapeutic waters there to ease the pain of polio. biden called on that similarity for healing. >> this place, warm springs is a reminder that though broken, each of us can be healed. that as a people, and a country, we can overcome this devastating virus. and we can heal the suffering world and, yes, we can restore our soul and save our country. time and again throughout our history, we've seen charlatans, the con-man, the phony populist pick at our fears, pick at the oldest scabs we have or their own political gain. they appear in a nation that's been hit the hardest and we're at our

while the latest reuters ipsos poll shows biden ahead by a ten-point margin, 52%-42%. but let's turn now to that critical battleground state polling. in michigan, the latest "the new york times"/sienna college poll, gives biden an eight-point lead, 49%-41%. in wisconsin, the marquette university law school poll shows biden with a five-point lead, 48%-43%. that's a gold standard poll right there. in georgia, the monmouth university poll puts biden ahead by four, within the margin of error, 50%-46%. in florida, the latest nbc news/marist college poll, out this morning, shows biden ahead by four, within the margin of error, 51%-47%. the latest reuters ipsos poll shows biden leading by two, within the margin of error, 49%-47%. and in arizona, the same poll finds biden also leading by two, within the margin of error, 48%-46%. it is very, very close. >>> according to the u.s. elections project, early voting numbers are now up to 76 million with returned mail ballots almost doubling the in-person totals. cnn is reporting that more than one-third of the nation's registered vot

in arizona, the latest reuters/ipsos poll has bide within a three-point lead, 49% to 46%, within the margin of error. in ohio, donald trump is ahead 48% to 45%. in texas, the latest quinnipiac university poll shows the two candidates tied at 47% apiece. that's a lot of different states to look at, joe. what do they tell you? >> well, what they tell us is what we have been thinking for some time and that is that, again, willie, that donald trump is having real problems in the area where he was expecting to, you know, run to victory. in the upper midwest, michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania where the states gave him obviously a shocking victory in 2016. but you look at pennsylvania plus 10, plus 8, plus 5. michigan, plus 12. wisconsin plus 12 there which is a little below what it usually is. even in iowa, two polls out yesterday showing that joe biden up by three points, that's of course a state that donald trump carried by nine. again, if this were any other candidate, if this were any other election cycle, we would be talking about the end for donald trump but of course it's not becaus

and in florida, both the latest cnn/ssrs, and the reuters/ipsos poll, both show biden leading by four, within the margin of error, 50%-46%. in michigan, the latest fox news poll has biden up by 12, 52%-40%. in wisconsin, the same poll gives biden a five-point lead, 49%-44%. and in arizona, the latest reuters/ipsos poll gives biden a three-point lead within the margin of error, 49%-46%. meanwhile, in ohio, the latest fox new poll shows trump ahead by three, also within the margin of error, 48%-45%. and in texas, the latest q poll shows the two candidates tied at 47% apiece. this all continuing this narrative that the midwest and the rust belt possibly stronger for joe biden, pennsylvania and the sun belt the biggest questions as we hurdle toward election day. >>> still ahead here, we're going to go live to nashville for a preview of the final presidential debate. mike memoli is live from belmont university where president trump and joe biden will face off tonight. >>> and before we go to break, we want to know, why are you awake on this thursday morning? email us your reasons at way o

the latest reuters poll puts joe biden ahead by nine, 52-43%. in nevada the latest "new york times" siena college poll shows biden leddiading by six. in iowa, the latest iowa next star research poll shows biden leading by four points, 50 to 46% with margin of error plus or minus four points. in north carolina the reuters ips owes poll 49 to 48% biden with a margin of error of 4.4 points. >> willie, i trust absolutely no polls. i think it's a hangover from 2016. but i trust no polls. if trump towdonald trump is wit points of joe biden in any poll, i color that state red. for no good reason at all. d i hear what people in the media are saying about this race, and it sounds remarkly similar to what they were saying about the clinton race four years ago. and, yes, joe biden's over 50% in a lot of these polls. and, yes, joe biden's popularity is higher than ever, but we live in a tum you wiultuous world, c world. the polls started by people picking up the phone, calling, getting responses. we have become a far more cynical, skeptical society, even ov

memoli following the biden campaign in western georgia and jeff mason, white house correspondent for reuters. he'll be getting on the road with the president's campaign right after our show. shannon, let's start with president trump's strategy. why these states, and why with just one week to go, take himself all the way to nebraska for one single electoral vote? >> right. well, why michigan, this heavy emphasis on the rust belt states. it gets him to this electoral college math. if the president holds on to everything he held in 2016, he wins florida, he wins arizona, he wins north carolina, he cannot lose all three of these states. michigan, wisconsin and pennsylvania. he has to win one of those. and he's trailing rather significantly in nearly every poll in these states. and it also gets this electoral map where you asked about nebraska. why travel to nebraska on sunday for one electoral college vote. well, that is a district that includes omaha. it's leaning towards biden right now. it's a point that trump won in 2016. and again, there are scenarios at play here where things could get so

two hours after that, mark meadows, not trying to hide his name or title this time, told reuters, the president is doing well. he's up and about, asking for documents to review. the doctors are pleased with his vital signs. i've met with him on multiple occasions today on a variety of issues. come on, man. besides this being a clear contradiction of what he said hours before, who talks like this. the president is asking for documents to review? asking for documents to review? what does that mean? it is well known this president doesn't review documents. he watching cable tv. the president's lead physician dr. connelly also attempted to clarify the situation. in an official mem democrat he wrote in part -- the president inits to do well, however, quote, white not out of the woods, the team remains cautiously optimistic. end quote. that was the second official memorandum. his first was released in an effort to clear up the timeline of trump's diagnosis and treatment, which is really important, because he's been in contact with thousands of people this week, and that was littered with no

jase mason, white house correspondent at reuters. lots of new developments then there's that conflicting information over the past couple of hours concerning the president's health. what is your take on what we know definetively so far? >> well, a couple of thing, first of all you're right to say the white house is trying to clean up sort of the confusion about the timing and the doctor, dr. conley sent a memo that was released by the press secretary saying that he had spoken incorrectly and that, in fact, the president had been tested or tested positive for covid on thursday night. so that is what they're saying about that now so that helps with that piece of it. generally though, i think you can analyze the press conference today at walter reed which was very upbeat for the most part and contrast that with the piece of news josh was sharing that was spoken by a source familiar to the pool and conclude that that upbeat conference was probably directed as much at the patient as anyone else. if the white house is concerned about not h

in wisconsin the latest reuters poll shows biden ahead by eight among likely voters. those who have already cast their votes, 51 to 43%. in pennsylvania, the same poll shows biden and president trump statistically tied among likely voters and those who have already voted biden 49%, trump 45%. and in georgia, the latest emerson college poll shows another statistical tie. trump 48, biden 47%. >> so, john heilemann, what do you see in those polls? we also had a "new york times" siena poll coming out this morning showing joe biden up nine nationally. what trends are you looking at? >> you know, joe, i think it sounds like a broken record here. we talked about this yesterday. i think what you really see here is what you have seen for months, which is a race that has demonstrated remarkable stability for months. a boring headline, right? you are starting to see, the inevitable thing that i think people in our business have expected for a long time, that you and i and mika and willie and i have discussed for months, as you got into the final days that the race was going to t

and then reversed himself on the record to reuter's saying they felt very good about his progress. >> this is an important day as the president continues to improve and ready to get back to a normal work schedule. we're optimistic that based on his unbelievable progress rein how strong he has been that he will be released. >> unbelievable because right now you can't believe anything coming out of the white house. that timeline not making sense neerd are his constituents. the commander in chief informs a sealed suv unnecessarily exposing secret service agents. joining me now is carol lee, tim alberta, and the dean of the medical school of health. we're outside of where you are, and we're trying to figure out what is happening with the president today, what is the latest word? the latest is from mark meadows who said the president could go back to the white house as oerlly as this afternoon. the president's doctors set this expectation yesterday when he said that the president could leave walter reid and be discharged as early as today. that's the word that we're waiting on from the whi

and a new reuters/ipsos poll taken online after president trump was diagnosed puts joe biden ahead by ten points. 65% of respondents say president trump would not have been infected if he took the virus more seriously. let's break all this down with nbc senior political editor mark murray. first of all, i just want to apologize to everybody who i gave a mini migraine by reading all of those numbers back-to-back. but i promise we are going to try to make these numbers make sense. mark, are there any specific takeaways from our latest nbc news/"wall street journal" poll that stand out the most to you in terms of giving clear context to where the race is right now? is it one of the findings we just read, or is it something else? >> yeah. joshua, i actually think the biggest finding is just the jump and we end up seeing the lead joe biden has going from eight points before the debate to 14 points now. it's important to note this has been an incredibly stable presidential contest. our nbc "wall street journal" poll has showed joe biden's lead hovering between 7 and 11 points over the cours

i guess he has orders from the reutered out guy at the top of the food chain. mike pence actually did quite well in '16. probably a forgettable day as vice-presidential debates are. and i doubt he's going to come out like a rabid dog for 90 minutes, verbally assaulting kamala harris. that distinction between what trump and pence did, you know, he may get graded by pundits doing better. the question during this debate, brian, do any voters behave differently after the debate than before the debate. that's always the question. jason, i'll spend time with you tomorrow night, and that's lovely conversation. what will the voters say? kamala harris has a better position. having led the coronavirus task force, you just put up basically a picture of the crime scene at the white house with all these cases. that's going to be the pivotal moments in this debate, is kamala harris really prosecuting the case against trump and pence for the mishandling of the virus. again, given the events of the last four or five days, should be an easier case than it even was before. >> ja

reuters is out with an analysis, finding more than two dozen candidates for congress next week have endorsed or given credence to qanon. what does this say about where we are in politics right now? >> well, specifically, the laura loomer thing, you have to understand, this is a far-right stunt woman. whether it is chaining herself to twitter headquarters to protest her, you know, sens censorsh censorship, or whether it is storming a play, sphakespeare i the park, whatever it is, she made a name for herself and money from donations after doing these wild stunts. this campaign is another wild stunt. she is something like 30 points behind in the polls. she's not going to win but -- >> not expected to win, it's a good point. >> exactly. what it says is a lot about her supporters. who are the people willing to line up behind this obvious stunt? the president, lara trump, the president's daughter-in-law, campaigned with her this year. what you mentioned t the mainstreaming of these crazy political views from qanon with marjorie taylor green, to this anti-muslim sentiment, and a lot of other hates

a new reuters/ipsos poll has biden up by four, exactly within the margin of error. reminder, in 2016 donald trump won pennsylvania by just 44,000 votes. joining me from the state in question, pennsylvania, nbc news political reporter monica ail back from wisconsin nbc news political reporter shaquille brewster and from the big board, steve kornacki. also with me, politico senior writer and msnbc contributor, jake sherman. so, monica, i'm going to start with you. the president is campaigning angry. and today he's demanding his attorney general investigate biden before the election, calling him a criminal. basically a redo of what he was saying in 2016 and what happened in 2016 with hydroxychloroquine and her email server and the fbi. is this a strategy for the trump campaign or is this just donald trump speaking off the cuff and saying whatever he thinks he needs to get elected or to get his voters angry enough to turn out again? >> reporter: well, kathose were the president's words. using the same strategy to paint joe biden corrupt as the way he did hillary clinton

the latest reuters poll puts biden up by 7. 49 to 46%. n michigan, they're basically tied. in florida, the university of north florida poll shows biden 48%, trump 47%. and in georgia, the poll shows the presidential candidates are tied at 45% apiece. this is still a very, very close race. meanwhile, new filings with the federal election commission show that president trump's committee ended september with $63.1 million in the bank. that number leaves him badly outmatched against the biden campaign with, again, less than two weeks to go. the disclosures show that since the start of 2019, trump's campaign and its shared committees, along with the republican national committee, they've raised, get this, about $1.5 million. but in october, that total number was down to $251.4 million. that's compared to the $432 million that biden's campaign in its joint accounts and the dnc had in the bank. the associated press is breaking down exactly how trump plowed through more than $1 billion. some of the expenditures include a $10 million super bowl ad when he didn't even have a challeng

. >> in michigan, a reuters poll of likely voters shows joe biden eight points ahead of donald trump, 58-53. and in north carolina, a monmouth poll shows two potential scenarios. it depends on whether there is a high turnout of likely voters or a low turnout of likely voters. in the high-turnout scenario, joe biden has a four-point lead over donald trump at 50-46. in a low turnout scenario, joe biden has just a one-point lead over donald trump at 49-48. high turnout is what we're seeing in states with early voting already under way. in georgia, more than 128,000 voters went to the polls on monday, a record for the first day of early voting in the state. today early voting began in texas. "the new york times" reports in texas, the first day of early voting brought long lines in the state's major urban centers with hours-long waits in san antonio. officials attributed the long lines to high turnout as well as ballots that require more time to fill out. a change in state law forbidding straight ticket or one-punch voting means voters can no longer choose a party's entire slate with one m

the latest reuters/ipsos national poll of likely voters gives biden a ten-point edge over president trump, 51%-41%. and meanwhile, in new battleground state polling, the latest cbs news/yougov poll has biden up by seven in pennsylvania, 51%-44%. and while the latest "the new york times"/sienna college poll also has the vice president with a seven-point lead in the state, 49%-42%. in florida, "the new york times"/sienna college poll shows biden with a five-point lead, 7 47%-42%. and in ohio, the latest cbs news/yougov poll shows trump and biden tied at 47% apiece. in arizona, the latest usa today/suffolk university poll puts biden and trump in a statistical tie, 50%-46%. the senate race in that state, however, showing democrat mark kelly ahead by nine over republican incumbent martha mcsally, 49%-40%. some really tough gaps to close for a lot of those senators. senate majority leader mitch mcconnell announced that the senate would not meet as planned this week after three senators tested positive for the virus, but he indicated that republicans would push to confirm judge amy coney barrett

reuters reporting today that russian state hackers targeted the democratic parties in california and in indiana. the russian-speaking hackers who have been hitting hospitals with ransomware, locking up hospitals' computer systems around the country, that is continuing to happen. in addition to the hospitals we profiled last night, we now know of a hospital system in dixonson county in northeastern, wisconsin, that has been hit by the same ransomware attack out of russia, shutting down the hospital's computers. the fbi and the cyber agency cisa at homeland security tonight put out another bulletin about hackers from iran hitting voter registration data. it's a weird time, and it is easy to get overwhelmed and to be scared about all these developments. but you know what? i actually find comfort in the fact that the solution to all of it is for us citizens is always the same. stay focused. pay attention. but know that god will grant you the wisdom to know what the things are that you cannot change. what you can do, the solution in your own life is the same no matter how overwhelming the

. >> and at the white house on friday, the president once again mocked reuters white house correspondent jeff mason for wearing a mask during a phone call with israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu. >> this is jeff mason. he's got a mask on that's the largest mask i think i've ever seen. so i don't know if you can hear him. >> meanwhile, as the country faces what the experts are calling a third wave of the kroevd 19 outbreak, as we just outlined, there's a new study that roughly estimates more than 500,000 people could die from the pandemic by the end of february, even with social distancing mandates reinstated in most states. according to the research published in the journal "nature medicine," nearly 130,000 of those deaths could be prevented with universal mask-wearing. this comes as the trump administration, as you just saw in that clip, continues to undermine the importance of masks, even mocking people who wear them. just last week, twitter removed a tweet from dr. scott atlas, who has become one of the most important members of the president's coronavirus task force, for sprea

reuters is reporting the same russian group accused of interfering in 2016 is at it again, this time, reportedly posing as an independent news outlet targeting right wing social media users. that's according to two people familiar with an fbi probe into the activity. it's alarming, right, but it's not a surprise. why not? the fbi director just warned under oath that russia is actively trying to influence the election again, and that's something president trump took some issue with. watch. >> we certainly have seen very active, very active efforts by the russians to influence our election in 2020. >> i did not like his answers yesterday. the big problem is china. and we could have others also, and i'm not excludeing anybody. but the big problem is china. >> i'm joined now by retired three star lieutenant general hr mcmath mcmaster, who served as national security adviser until early 2018. nice to see you again. >> great to see you, too. thanks for having me. >> of course. you are of course the author of this new book battlegrounds, the fight to defend the free world. let's talk about d

in wisconsin, the latest reuters ipsos poll shows joe biden ahead by nine, 53%-44%. in pennsylvania, the same poll finds biden leading by seven, 51%-44%. in texas, the latest "the new york times"/sienna college poll puts president trump ahead by four, 47%-43%. and in georgia, the latest "atlanta journal-constitution" poll shows biden up by one, 47%-46%, within the margin of error. joining us now, democratic candidate running for election in texas' 126th state district, natali hurtado. natali, good morning to you. thank you for coming on the program this morning. i wanted to hear from you, because while we often talk a lot about whether joe biden is going to win texas, whether the lonestar state can go blue in this kind of macro way, the reality is, this is a census year. and oftentimes, we see change first at the local level. and your district is one of a number that democrats think they can flip in the state of texas this year. you're in the houston area. i was hoping you could talk a little bit about why you think this is suddenly possible? why are you and others l

in wisconsin the latest reuters/ipsos poll shows joe biden ahead by nine. 53% to 44%. in pennsylvania, the same poll finds biden leading by seven, 51% to 44%. in texas the latest "new york times"/siena college poll puts president trump ahead by four, 47% to 43%. >> so john heilemann, you know, these polls count off and if they are off let's just shut the whole thing down because polls have never been this wrong before. if you're looking at the polls though that donald trump's team is looking at and the joe biden's team's looking at, they will tell you, tell anybody that asks, off the record, if you know them well enough, michigan is gone. and wisconsin's gone. i don't know that donald has figured that out yet, but they're gone. pennsylvania is slipping away quickly. but they still have the sunbelt strategy where they win those sunbelt states and they somehow figure out a way to win pennsylvania and yet we talked about it last hour with jonathan lemire, this president has a scatter shot approach. he's going everywhere which means he's going nowhere. he's not focusing on

so in that meeting trump once again mocked reuters white house reporter correspondent jeff mason for practicing the preventative measure of wearing a mask in this crowded maskless room. >> this is jeff mason. he's got a mask on. it's the largest mask i have ever seen, so i don't know if you can hear him. >> by the way, it's really remarkable that you are thinking about voting for that man. really it's staggering. you get information from facebook that says that anthony fauci is in some secret cabal that's going to make billions of dollars on a vaccine. that's a lie. you can't be that stupid. you say it's no worse than the flu. no. donald trump himself in february, it's on tape, so please get off your stupid qanon sites, get off your stupid facebook sites, turn your head away from whatever tv station is telling you this is just like the flu because even donald trump said that was a lie it bob woodward back in february. >> look at the number on the screen. >> katty kay, here you have a president who mocked and ridiculed jeff mason for wearing a mask a couple of months back sq asking a

call told them to take off -- jeff mason with reuters told him to take off his mask because he couldn't hear him. >> mark meadows. >> mthen mark meadows up on the hill, you sure look funny in your mask. i don't really understand that, but what were they thinking was going to happen? >> did they think this was funny because covid is deadly. with 18 people, possibly more contracting it, i worry are they going to have a horrific experience with it? >> right. >> is somebody going to die? >> the president says one day, don't worry about this, go about your life. the next day, the next day the joint chiefs have to quarantine because of the president's recklessness. quite frankly because of the stupidity of his covid policy that has been responsible for we don't know how many of the 210,000 deaths that americans have endured, men families have endured. but a lot of it. but even inside the white house you don't have to look at those 210,000 people who have died and figure out exactly how many have been responsible or killed because of white house negligence. all you have to do is look at the fa

and the latest reuters/ipsos poll shows biden leading by two, 49% to 47%. and finally, in arizona, the same poll finding biden leading by two. 48% to 46%. >> so jonathan lemire let's go through the numbers. and these are the first time you or i have ever gone through a polling number in the 2020 news cycle. why don't we do something new today? so michigan plus 7, plus 8. wisconsin, plus 5, plus 17. by the way, those are two really good polls. there is -- i was reading the upshot last night. there's really no explaining the wide divergence in the two polls. georgia plus 4. florida plus 4, plus 2 for biden. arizona plus 2. i'm going to say something now and i don't believe any of these polls, i'll be honest with you. i don't believe any of them. i don't believe any of these polls. i think this race is extraordinarily tight. and every time i start believing the polls, i start looking at data from early state voters. you know, like florida. okay, can donald trump really be behind four points in the state of florida when he is outperforming democrats the way he

it seems to be separate, it was reported by reuters late last night, but now we see the lilly plant was investigated by the fda and an official action indicated report came out, which is not a warning letter, but it's the next step toward the company having to correct some flaws in the manufacturing process at the plant that this monoclonal antibody, neutralizing antibody drug is being manufactured at, mika. >> all right. i want to get to the rally in sanford, florida, for example, because the president's holding them all over the country. i believe pennsylvania had another one as well. but if you look at the video from -- from these events, many of them are, you know, around his plane and airport. there is 100% the opportunity to social distance these people, to spread them out so that they are not such a risk to each other. but as you can see, the campaign has made sure that everybody is side by side, shoulder to shoulder, absolutely positively exchanging droplets and breathing on each other. so, what was the risk for attendees and their families and friends back home at the trump ral

meadows told reuters in which he contradicted in which he had told the press pool, no, the president was doing great. he's in vital health. you know, he is doing fine now. he's on his way to the quick recovery. then he gives another -- that interview with fox news that night in which he did say the president was doing better but again acknowledged he has been in a bad spot on friday and it was going to require a lot of care. we know that meadows signed off on the president's motorcade ride last night outside of walter reed. it's not just the chief of staff changing his story, but you have the president relentlessly being positive and putting out the videos and saying he understands how serious covid is, but you have a team of doctors that now in consecutive days has given briefings which have provided contradictory answers and evaded questions and side stepped inquiries about how the president is doing. the health of the president of the united states, the commander in chief. updates indeed that don't just shape the last month of the presidential campaign but where the united states

in arizona, the latest reuters ipsos poll shows yet another statistical tie. biden 50%. trump 46%. in florida the same poll shows a statistical tie. in florida as well, biden 49% to donald trump 47%. >> so mike barnicle, new hampshire and georgia both have biden with big leads. i suspect they're much tighter in both of those places but no doubt, joe biden looking good in new hampshire. and giving donald trump a run for his political life in georgia, because if biden can't -- or if trump can't win in georgia he's in huge trouble elsewhere. north carolina stayed tight the entire race, but biden's always ahead by two, by three, by four. ohio tied, arizona biden plus 4. florida, plus 2. but as jonathan lemire said whether we believe the public polls or not you could certainly see what the trump campaign is seeing behind the scenes when they're campaigning in a state like iowa that they won easily four years ago. when they campaign in states like georgia, that they won easily four years ago. there is no doubt they are on the run, they are spread thin and donald trump is going to have to

reuters white house correspondent jeff mason who was on that trip in florida with the vice president yesterday. and an msnbc news political contributor, shauna thomas. jeff, you were there at the town hall, the vice president was performing much stronger, talked about how he felt about that debate last week on camera about just how difficult it was. what was your takeaway? >> he sure did. i thought it was interesting he was asked in part whether or not he had stooped to the president's level, by calling him a clown, by asking him to shut up. vice president biden sort of conceded that maybe he should have not called him a clown. it was interesting to me that he wasn't ready to go so far as to say you're right, i'm not proud of my performance. he kept the focus on the fact that president trump was the one who did the vast majority of the interrupting. he also faced questioning, andrea, and i thought this was interesting too, about his ability to stand up to a bully such as president trump. his response was to talk about his history of meeting with president putin and other dictators ar