the delta variant is far more infectious, and we do not know if children will transmit the delta virus -- delta variant at higher rates than they did the earlier variants. >> dr. jha, what do you say to the people who say, "you know, children really aren't getting sick from this, at least not seriously. there are so few cases of children who have become critically ill or died with covid. it's just more impor for children to be in school"? >> it is undoubtedly true that it's incredibly important to have kids back in school. and there is no question in my mind that we know how to get every single child back to school in-person safely this fall. and what i wld say is, to people who minimize the effect of this virus on kids is, first of all, kids always have lower risk for almost erything compared to adults and compared to the elderly. that's really not the question. the question is, how does the risk of covid compare to other risks that kids face? and the truth is that covid is much more dangerous than many, many other risks that children face, and we should be careful. i'm not sure why w

delta and then 71% protection against hospitalization. remember i showed you before the durability of the immune responses up to eight months, and this is the first real world data to show the effectiveness of j&j in this challenging epidemiological setting of delta , particularly in the context of people who may have hiv. finally, if you look at breakthrough infections, inevitable with any vaccine is no vaccine is 100% effective, as you can see, the breakthrough infections, namely infections that occur in the setting of full vaccination, were mild in 96%, severe in less than 0.05% with death in less than 0.05%. so i will stop there and hand it over. >> thank you so much, dr. fauci, and good to -- good afternoon to everyone. i want to take a moment to update you on vaccination equity as well as the importance of covid-19 therapies. when it comes to equity, it is important to note that the majority of people getting vaccinated through the direct federal program are self identifying as people of color. so that is through community, dialysis

how do you look through the delta variant and for that more positive outlook -- the delta variant for that more positive outlook? martin: we are bullish on the delta variant because it has led to an increase in vaccines across america. i think we can see in india, u.k. and israel, a very significant divergence between vaccine uptake, levels of immunity and levels of -- scenarios. it is very clear for everyone to see. i think this is behind the acceleration in vaccines that we are seeing. we are at a pace globally of one million per month for the third consecutive month, and it's very good to see that acceleration in the states. >> how do you read the risks around inflation? the cpi print that we got out earlier in the week largely in line with estimates. ppi stronger again in the u.s. there's continuing questions as to what extent that will be passed onto the consumer and how that feeds into the reaction function from the fed. how are you assessing where we stand in terms of inflation risk? martin: well, we have seen 21 central banks hike interest rates in 2021. we expect actually a v

that's not right with delta. delta is 2, 2 1/2 times better at its main job, and its job is to infect people. with 75% vaccinated, that's not a high enough vaccination level to get us to anything resembling herd immunity. san francisco has gone from 10 cases 6 weeks ago to over 200 cases a day, and,cf medical center, we've gone from one covid patient to about 40. the surge is very real here. >> i think one thing has has helped me understand why delta is so much more poetnd and kind of a game changer is its effective reproductive rate. i think, if you can kind of explain how, you know, before you had one infected person with regular old strain of covid, you know, giving it to two or three people, and now, with delta, that 1 person is giving it to how many more? if you can kind of explain that. >> yeah. it's a useful number. it does get a little complicated, but i think it can be simply food that with the average person with the old covid gave it to three other people plus minus a little bit. the average person wit

that research, testing against the delta variant shows the delta variant does partially evade the vaccines respond since the vaccines were formulated around the original strain that came out of the wuhan due to the mutation seen in the delta variant the vaccines seem to be less effective against this new strain. host: andrew dunn of the insider talking about variants and vaccines when it comes to the delta variant. (202) 748-8000 for eastern and central time zones, (202) 748-8001 for the mountain and pacific time zones. this coming across from cnn, more than 99.9% of people fully vaccinated against covid-19 have not had a breakthrough case resulting in hospitalization or death according to the latest cdc data. andrew: this has been fascinating to watch as far as so many elements of the pandemic it comes down to public health messaging and these are complex and nuanced discussions and finding the right tone and messaging has been a challenge when it comes to the cdc response around mask guidance i think there was trying to find the right doubt -- the right balance between when they said you

the alarming spread of the delta variant. the cdc reporting more than 100,000 new covid cases in just 24 hours. that's the first time we've topped that threshold in nearly six months. hospitalizations due to covid jumping 101% nationwide with new concerns this morning about the impact of the delta variant on children under 12 who are not yet eligible to be vaccinated. >>> also right now, urgent evacuation under way in turkey. tourists and locals escape towns threatened by wildfires. at least six deaths have been reported as wildfires spread through the region. dozens of helicopters and drones have been assisting in the fire fighting efforts with boats and private yachts bringing some people to safety. >>> u.s. olympic breakout star mykayla skinner winning a silver medal for the vault overnight in tokyo. skinner wasn't supposed to take part in the event and she stepped in to replace simone biles who withdrew from the competition. overnight, biles also pulling out of another event, the floor exercise final. >> great to see myka

the delta variant has been shown to be more transmissible. it is at least twice as contagious as previous forms of covid-19 we have seen. approximately two months ago, the delta variant was 1% or 2% of the percentage of covid-19 cases we were seeing in the united states. now it is more than 80% of the cases we are seeing. so, because of this more contagious variant, cdc has changed its guidance, in terms of masking. it is recommending if you live in an area with moderate to high spread, community spread of covid-19, that when you're in public, you wear a mask. frances: so that is the broad picture but scientists this week were wanting to see the data and so were the public. i believe that we may see more of the data later today. why the delay? why change the guidance without giving scientists a really good sense of what lay behind it? asst. sec. levine: the cdc will be releasing more data today and --today in its weekly mortality and morbidity report. frances: also returning in some parts of the country, do we need to be masking up? and are m

to medico 19 infection with the delta variant. so breakthrough infections and fully vaccinated people are the exception, not the rule. when they do happen, the vast majority are mild and asymptomatic. this reflect the reality that we have the most effective tool we need to end this pandemic, and that is the vaccine. recognizing the importance of continuing to push our efforts for the nation yesterday, we brought together the surgeon general of the united states, the clinton, obama, and trump administrations to discuss our covid 19 response. it was a historic meeting for a historic moment. these former surgeon general's and leaders who have been friends, mentors, and partners to me in my years as surgeon general, we spoke about the concerns of misinformation, ensuring communities of color and rural areas are not left behind in the vaccination effort, and the power of entrusting community-based organizations and vaccinations. we'll continue to work together in the months ahead to ensure we increase vaccination rates across the count

with delta, the first shot does very little. people should not feel like they are protected after the first shot. it isn't until after your second shot that you reach a reasonable level of protection. people can sometimes have the sense that they are safe after the first shot but it isn't until after the second shot that you are reasonably safe against delta. you are not perfectly safe because the efficacy of the vaccines has gone down some in the face of delta. kristen: i want to explore that a little later. i want to ask, one thing i noticed that is different about the mandate is unlike the state mandates for health care workers or teachers, a negative test is not good enough. don'ant to show your vexing proof, it is not like you can show a negative's -- a negative test. >> it is a judgment call on the city's part. having a negative test that day is reasonably good proof that you are ok. it is not perfect but it is reasonably good. as a city making a statement that we want people to get vaccinated, we really don't want give pe

i will start with an update on our fight against the delta variant. the delta variant continues to drive a rise cases with cases concentrated in communities with lower vaccination rates. in the past week, florida has had more covid cases than all 30 states with the lowest case rates combined. florida and texas alone have accounted for nearly 40% of new hospitalizations across the country. we all know vaccinations are the best line of defense against covid and how we end this pandemic. that is why we have been tireless in our efforts to get more and more americans vaccinated. for the first time since mid june, we are averaging about a half million people getting newly vaccinated each and every day. overall in the last week, 3.3 million americans rolled up their sleeves to get their first shot. in the past month, we have doubled the average number of 12-year-olds to 17-year-olds getting new vaccinated each day. critical progress as many of attila -- millions of adolescents start heading back to school. we are seeing the mousing of the can vaccination pr

until delta has subsided. the less core inflation print of july showed the spike -- the reopening spike is beginning to recede. we are seeing strong productivity growth, so that is pretty favorable. to make this argument the inflation spike be transitory i think is a solid idea. in the face of the delta uncertainty, why not quite a couple months? what difference does it make? jon: ian shepherdson, thank you. why not wait? what can chairman powell say next week? lisa: the incredible irony is that the longer the delta variant continues to be a problem, we see more inflationary pressures on the margins when it comes to some of the supply chain disruptions. how does the fed deal with the fact that consumers are getting less buying power in the store. it can they affect anything with that? what does it do to not taper in order to stimulate the economy? i'm struggling to get my head around how the fed addresses issues way beyond their control. jon: many people ask the same questions. lisa, you follow the consumer co

so jesse delta variant. what we are -- such as the delta variant. what we are seeing now, there are infections. the protection to the original infection somewhat, but reinfection recurs at a greater rate now. when you're dealing with a variant, you don't get the kind of protection you would have hope to have gotten from a previous infection. regarding the issue of vaccinating people, there is no doubt, when you vaccinate someone who has had an original infection and has recovered. not only do you increase the depth of the protection, not only do you increase the duration, you also increase the breadth of it so that you cover not only the original, but the variants. that is the reason why the recommendation still holds that even though you have been infected previously, in the context variants, it is a good idea to get vaccinated anyway. >> next question. >> i have a question for dr. walensky. whether the cdc is tracking covid-19 booster shots. would that be authorized by physicians? cdc dir. walensky: we are just starting to gather data and get data

from 92% before delta to 64% with delta. effectiveness has decreased against delta independent of when you are vaccinated. this data suggests full vaccination in the context of the delta variant may be correlated with less protection against sars-cov-2 infections then higher variance. our highest priority is to prevent severe infection. the data we will publish today and next week demonstrate the vaccine effectiveness against sars-cov-2 infection is waning. even though our vaccines are currently working well to prevent hospitalizations, we are seeing concerning evidence of waning vaccine effectiveness over time. additionally, reports from our international colleagues including israel suggests an increased risk of severe disease among those vaccinated early. given this body of evidence, we are concerned the correct strong protection against superinfection, hospitalization, and death could decrease in the months ahead, especially among those who are at high risk or are vaccinated earlier during the vaccination rollout. we are

this rapid increase, really attributable to the delta virus -- delta variant, excuse me, and the fact that we have reopened much of the city, so therefore, there's more activity. so the combination of these factors are what's driving this increase. next slide. so if there's any change in the current rate of vaccine uptake, and there's no change in san francisco's current contact rate, which is how much we're interacting with the public and each other, then we project the following, and these are just projections. the current surge would end with 257 additional covid deaths in san francisco. and with that last bullet, just to emphasize, the vast majority would be among people who are not fully vaccinated, and with vaccines, 90 to 95% of these deaths are preventible. next slide. as we've seen throughout the pandemic, covid-19 is having a disproportionate impact on different neighborhoods in the city. in this case, higher rates in the southeastern part of the city. the more the blue shade on this map, the higher the concentration in the city. so you see mission, tenderloin in particular

from 92% prior to delta, to 64% with delta. noticeably it did not show effectiveness overtime. they suggest full vaccination in the context of a delta variant that may be correlated with less production against sars-cov-2. we want to prevent severe infections. the data that we will publish today and next week demonstrate the vaccine effectiveness and shows that infection is wayning. even though infections are currently working well to prevent hospitalizations we're seeing concerning evidence of waning effectiveness overtime and against the delta variant. additionally reports from our international leagues shows increased risk of those vaccinated early. especially among those who are at higher risk or who were vaccinated earlier during the phases of our vaccination rollout. in the context of these concerns we're planning for americans to receive booster shots. starting next month, to maximize vaccine induced protections. our plan is to protect the american people and to stay ahead of the virus. before i turn things over to dr. fauci. our vaccines continue to offer the best prote

the delta variant has been shown to be more transmissable. it is at least twice as contain juice as previous forms -- on the -- contagious, and it was 1-2% of the percentage of covid-19 cases we were seeing in the united states, now it's more than 80% of the cases that we are seeing. but because of this more contagious variant, cdc has changed its guidance in terms of masking, and it is recommending that if you live in an area which has moderate to high spread, community spread of covid-19, when you're in public, you wear a mask. >> so that's a broad picture, but scientists this week really want to see the data. so do the public. i believe we may see data later one today. why the delay? why change the guidance without giving us a really good sense of what lay behind it? >> uh-huh. soso the cdc will be releasing more data today in its weekly mmwr or morbidity and mortality weekly report. so data should be coming this s.afternoon. >> so is mask mandates also returning in some participants of the country. do -- parts of the country. do we need t

delta variant. >> how the new mandate might affect you. plus the bay srea's wine country turning out to be more than a vacation destination white wine makers from all around the world. looking to lay down new roots in the napa valley. keep it in the napa valley. keep it here. the news at 10 is next. attention, california. new federal funding of $3 billion is available to help more people pay for health insurance — no matter what your income. how much is yours? julie and bob are paying $700 less, every month. dee got comprehensive coverage for only $1 a month. and the navarros are paying less than $100 a month. check coveredca.com to see your new, lower price. the sooner you sign up the more you save. only at covered california. this way to health insurance. >> when fun time from the bay area's local news station. you're watching kron. 4 news. >> now at 10 california, the bay area getting aggressive on vaccine requirements to fight the highly contagious. delta variant of covid-19 as an even stronger version of the virus is now spreading w

make sure we fight the delta variant and wait for new vaccinations to be finished. and keep our economy strong. first, thanks to the latest middle-class tax cut in a long time, the next monthly check that is the child tax credit, and the next nine days, checks will go out to almost 40 million families and children in nine days. in the middle of this month i should say. on august 15, a family of two young kids under the age of seven will get a check for $600 paid immediately, and they will get a check for next month for $600, etc. if you are family with two kids between five and 17, you get $250 per child and that will continue month after month. second, i have looked ahead -- we have looked ahead and now schools have the resources they need to safely reopen as school year starts again so every child can be in school full-time, safe and this year. third, we provided months ago states and localities with $45 million in their coffers, state localities, to help renters and landlords to keep people in their homes and keep their local economy strong. that money has to get

the delta variant reaches nearly half the nation. keeping that troubled theme in -- that travel theme in mind, we have lufthansa coming across and delivering a $1.1 billion loss. long haul flights returning. this is of course as flights to asia we expect to drop by 6%. the numbers, second quarter revenue, $3.21 billion, below the estimate of $3.67. on a net basis losing three quarters of a billion euros, a net loss of 756. the estimated loss 738. free cash flow, that comes in at 340 million from a negative. a negative 1.13 billion. that was a year ago. we're on the beginning of the evolution of reopening and turning it around. hopefully, dani. good morning. dani: good morning, manus. hopefully that also means you can come visit us now, manus. you can come without having to quarantine with both your vaccines. i'm going to shift gears to the industrial sector. we have lines crossing over their earnings. their sales on third quarter coming in over $16 billion -- over 16 billion euros. expectation just under 15 billion euros. the full-ye

with the delta variant surging. more and more restaurants and entertainment venues are requiring vaccine verification. so how can you prove you're vaccinated without physically having your card kron four's. dan kerman has some answers. >> but more and more places requiring vaccine verification to enter what's the best way to do it. there are several options in california. well, it's best not to carry the cdc vaccine card. you got at the time. a vaccination with you. you can always carry a limited copy or take a photo of the original and carry it on your phone. but some places will not accept either originals or copies. if a digital certificate is required visit the state of california's digital covid-19 vaccine record page there. you can enter your name and date of birth and then you'll be linked to a qr code and a digital copy of your vaccination. take a picture of that and say an album on your phone. now some venues are requiring vaccine verification through a specific app. for example, if you're going to a show i

we start off with major warning from southwest the spreading delta variant. for more let's get straight to phil lebeau. >> you wouldn't see it from the way the stock traded today but it was under pressure earlier in the day. people said wait a second, is this what we're going to see from other airlines. the language was very clear. they said that they saw a dropoff in their expected revenue for the august and september time frame 3 to 4 percentage point and that's because of an immediate, near immediate dropoff in the number of bookings as well as an acceleration here's the language in the 8k. this has to do with covid-19 and the impact it's having on the psychology of travelers. southwest saying the company has experienced a deceleration in close-in bookings and close-in trip cancellations in august of 2021 in layman's terms, people are reassessing whether they want to take some trips or outright canceling them the passenger traffic levels have been down anywhere between 20 and 30% compared to 2019. that's the comparison you want to make. if you look, you ar

so with delta, we need to wear masks more often. we need to where better masks and we need to be very vigilant about airborne controls, but making sure that we have clean air. >> yes. you always talk about wearing a mask correctly. that is just as important as the type of mask. i'm going to get to some questions. alex wants to know, is there a wrong way to wear a n95 mask. my office is requiring that we take a training. >> this is an n95 mask. there is the right way to wear them. it's not as complicated as people are making it sound. the key thing is the metal strip. this is stiff. you have tried these, kristen. they are very strong . you need to make sure that this is right firmly around your nose. then the two straps on the top, that goes over the top of your head and one goes back lower down on your head and you just make sure that there is no gap around that. that is really all it takes. just make sure that when you breathe in and out, there is nothing escaping. if you are glasses and it is fogging up, that is a bad sign. >> i w

delta. plus. >> officials say it's even more contagious. then the delta variant a delta plus was first detected in europe in march. so doctors say it's more transmissible is transmissible and also it latches on to the long cells. more easily. >> it's kind of like delta, but it's taken some super powers data which was this is from the south africa. and that's why it's by like delta. but the pluses, it increase. vision like the south beta variant. >> as of last week, 298 people in santa clara county had the delta variant and 47 tested positive for delta. plus, alameda county perforce fewer than 10 cases of delta plus as of last tuesday and contra costa county less than 7% of their detected delta cases have been dealt a plus. >> state health officials say that because of the danger of the delta variant and the well, the danger it poses to everybody. health care workers specifically across the state now have to be fully vaccinated by the end of september. so the state order applies to general ac

it's called delta. plus, officials say it's the most contagious variant we have seen thus far kron four's. michelle kingston has the details on that. >> what you see is like buy stuff just getting worse. mutating. >> the delta variant is the most contagious coronavirus mutant. so far in the pandemic and now there's a variation of that variant and it's gaining speed. the delta plus was first detected in europe back in march. doctors say it's more transmissible than the original delta variant and that it latches on to lung cells more easily. this delta plus has been identified in it. >> has changes that. >> suggest the possibility of it being a problem for us. it exploded. we've known about delta plus for a while now and it just hasn't exploded even where we first found south asia, the county of santa clara is already tracking it on their website, though they say it exists statewide and nationwide. >> and that there's not enough information right now to indicate that that should be more concerning than th

then the original delta variant. and it latches on to your long cells even more easily. >> it's kind of like but it's taken some super powers data which was this is from the south africa. and that's why it's by like delta. but the pluses, it increase. vision like the south beta variant. >> as of last week, 298 people in santa clara county had the delta variant 47 tested positive for delta. plus, alameda county reports fewer than 10 cases of delta plus, as of last tuesday and contra costa county health officials say less than 7% of their delta cases have been dealt a plus. >> across the state more than 5500 people currently in the hospital with covid-19 across california. and that is the highest number of hospitalizations since february. 25th more than 9500 new cases of the virus were reported yesterday. another 56 deaths as well. 63% of the state's population now is fully vaccinated and there is a huge push to get the rest vaccinated as we're now in a race against these and now the big story in the south bay. santa c

delta plus es altamente contagiosa. >>> la variante delta como otras variantes es peligrosa, especialmente para los que no han sido vacunados. covid-19 sigue haciendo de las suyas en california el jueves se reportaron 14 mil 400 nuevos caso sos y promedio de contagio entre no vacunadoses s7 470%. tenemos que vacunar la mayor cantidad de personas para evitar la formaciÓn del nuevas variantes. >>> entre la comunidad hispana tambiÉn hay preocupaciÓn ya que muchos la ti desempeÑas trabajos esenciales. >>> sÍ estÁ peligroso y sÍ estoy vacunado pero hay que cuidarse todo y tomar medidas necesarias. >>> yo me vacunÉ, lo que no es seguro lo que dicen los doctores porque dicen que viene el booster para quÉ a vacunarse si viene otra peor. >>> en santa clara la autoridad reportan 47 casos positivos de delta plus en comunicado dicen en parte que condado santa clara sigue de de cerca a casos de variante delta plus y que no hay suficiente informaciÓn sobre esta cepa. >>> sin embargo, los mÉdicos dicen. >>> esto virus mientras tiene capacidad de transmitirse de una personas a otro continuarÁ

so let's review some aspects of delta to help put it into context. we know it's transmits ability is greater then alpha variant. this makes a major difference in transmissibility. the viral load is up to 1000 times rater then alpha which is a mechanistic reason why you have such a tremendous increase in transmissibility. in previous reviews, i had shown this slide and check the boxes as to proof of protection. there was one glaring missing check in previous iterations of this and that was in the johnson & johnson clinical effectiveness. i had showed you before this slide, looking at the data of immune response and this was the j&j vaccine study which showed durable cellular responses eight months after delta with vaccination. we recently had a study came out south africa and other african countries involving 478,000 health this is real world effectiveness against delta. for the 91-96% action against delta and then 71% action against hospitalization. remember i showed you before that the durability of the immune responses up to eight months and this i

this rapid increase, really attributable to the delta virus -- delta variant, excuse me, and the fact that we have reopened much of the city, so therefore, there's more activity. so the combination of these factors are what's driving this increase. next slide. so if there's any change in the current rate of vaccine uptake, and there's no change in san francisco's current contact rate, which is how much we're interacting with the public and each other, then we project the following, and these are just projections. the current surge would end with 257 additional covid deaths in san francisco. and with that last bullet, just to emphasize, the vast majority would be among people who are not fully vaccinated, and with vaccines, 90 to 95% of these deaths are preventible. next slide. as we've seen throughout the pandemic, covid-19 is having a disproportionate impact on different neighborhoods in the city. in this case, higher rates in the southeastern part of the city. the more the blue shade on this map, the higher the concentration in the city. so you see mission, tenderloin in particular

so the delta variant does not cause them to lay off employees and shutter their doors. there is something called the paycheck protection program, a loan program, forgivable, if the small business cap to employees in their job and doors open. we are now in the process to forgive those loans for small businesses who are doing the right thing, putting them in a better position to keep their businesses going. fifth, if anyone is worried about getting health insurance during the pandemic, there is help today. for those who get their health insurance through the affordable care act, we are covering more people with more extensive benefits with premiums that average 40% lower. if you don't have insurance, you can still sign up under the affordable care act through august 15. just go to healthcare.gov today. six, we lower prescription drugs to hearing aids by allowing businesses to compete, which would give them more choices at lower costs. for example, you're not going to have to go to a doctor to get a prescription to get a hearing aid. you will go right to the counter of the

>> the share market seems to have passed the delta effect. it is always in certain -- uncertain of where we can come out of there. even the equity market seems to be looking past the current issue. companies are impacted by the current lockdown and are a little bit reluctant to talk about guidance. consensus has been coming down somewhat. there are many companies that all create investment. all in all, a good reporting season so far. there is a little risk of where the earnings expectation is due to come up somewhat because of the lockdown and how long it will be. income is very strong. it is a good reporting season so far. >> keeping investors happier. jun, always good to have you. we have more to come on daybreak australia. this is bloomberg. ♪ >> here is a quick check of the latest business flash headlines. suspending the review of the ipo application of the byd semiconductor unit. that as they investigate this law firm. the advisor to the proposed share sale. it is not immediately clear if the move is linked to the broader crackdown on

we know the delta variant is making a resurgence. i would not want to fight this because it is august, but i do not think it is a material change. we expected august risk aversion, and we think it will get better next month. francine: how are people interpreting what we heard from the minutes yesterday from the fed? on slowing the pace of bond purchases, at the margin it could make a difference on trader sentiment, even if backward looking. mark: the most backward data point is gdp, the fed minutes are relevant. they shed more light even though the situation has changed. we fit their interpretation to explain the price action. it looked a risk adverse day. this morning we thought it is because the fed is hawkish and are tapering. there is no move in the rates, so this was not anything to do with the fed. they are sounding like they are moving toward tapering. people have moved beyond that. now it is, how worried are we about the delta variant? having those fed minutes, even though they were not a shock, arriving at that tone is not g

the delta plus variant. >> yes, of course it is concerning. you know, you start with one and then another one and another one. when do they stop? >> we are outside. we have been vaccinated. not worried. >> reporter: the santa clara public health department is tracking the mutation, the latest dashboard update detected 46 cases of the delta plus mutation. the county told kpix5 in a statement, cases of delta plus exist statewide and nationwide and there is currently not enough information on these particular variants to indicate if they may be more concerning than the original delta variant. >> we believe that it is the least as bad as delta. >> reporter: the doctor is a expert at ucsf. he is as there is still a lot to learn about this mutation. >> number one, it is more transmissible, number two, does it evade vaccines? and number three, does it make you sicker? >> having additional variants is going to be expected with any virus. >> reporter: infectious disease expert at stanford school of medicine as health experts continue to track and learn